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The Effect of Referendums on Autocratic Survival: Running Alone and Not Finishing Second 公投对专制国家生存的影响:单打独斗不屈居亚军
IF 2.8 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-08-30 DOI: 10.1017/gov.2023.31
Alberto Penadés, S. Velasco
Dictatorships that use plebiscites – that is, referendums initiated by the executive – have a longer expected lifespan. A successful plebiscite sends a signal that makes coordination for collective action more difficult and induces the falsification of preferences. It also enhances the status of the dictator within the regime and against potential rivals through the use of agenda power. As a result, plebiscites are followed by decreased mobilization and a reduced risk of palace coups. This, in turn, adds years to the dictator's tenure. We have found evidence to support these propositions by utilizing data from various databases of autocratic regimes that span from 1946 to 2008.
使用公民投票的独裁政权——也就是由行政部门发起的公民投票——预期寿命更长。公民投票的成功发出了一个信号,使集体行动的协调更加困难,并导致偏好的伪造。它还提高了独裁者在政权内部的地位,并通过使用议程权力对抗潜在对手。因此,公民投票之后,动员减少,宫廷政变的风险降低。这反过来又为独裁者的任期增加了几年。我们利用1946年至2008年独裁政权的各种数据库中的数据,找到了支持这些主张的证据。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Government Participation on the Political Trust of Populist Party Supporters 政府参与对民粹主义政党支持者政治信任的影响
IF 2.8 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-08-30 DOI: 10.1017/gov.2023.32
Christina-Marie Juen
Citizens are more trustful of politics if their preferred party is an electoral winner and becomes part of the government. However, there remains the question of whether this positive effect of joining the government also holds for supporters of populist parties. Populists show low levels of political trust, as they strongly criticize the political elite. This study argues that voters of populist parties perceive the political system as more responsive to their concerns when their preferred party becomes part of the government and so they become more trustful of politics. Drawing on the case of Austria, the analyses demonstrate that political trust among populist party voters is higher when their party is in government. In contrast, non-populist voters' level of political trust is more stable, even when their party is not in government.
如果他们喜欢的政党是选举获胜者并成为政府的一部分,公民就会更加信任政治。然而,加入政府的这种积极影响是否也适用于民粹主义政党的支持者,这仍然是一个问题。民粹主义者表现出政治信任度低,因为他们强烈批评政治精英。这项研究认为,民粹主义政党的选民认为,当他们喜欢的政党成为政府的一部分时,政治制度会对他们的担忧做出更大的反应,因此他们对政治更加信任。以奥地利为例,分析表明,民粹主义政党选民在执政期间的政治信任度更高。相比之下,非民粹主义选民的政治信任水平更稳定,即使他们的政党不在政府中。
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引用次数: 0
Partisan Biases among the Unemployed 失业者的党派偏见
IF 2.8 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-08-30 DOI: 10.1017/gov.2023.30
R. Urbatsch
Unemployed people are relatively rarely studied in political science. Yet, with their economic significance and centrality to many political debates, they can provide insight on many questions, including just how far partisan biases – where opinions and even factual perceptions follow what reflects well on their holder's preferred political party – extend. The economic and emotional costs of joblessness make its evaluation an unlikely seeming case for partisan effects. Surveys in the United States and Great Britain nevertheless show that partisan alignment predicts unemployed individuals' evaluation of their economic situation: unemployed individuals identifying with parties represented in the national executive report more positively on their household finances (and on the national economic situation) than do non-partisans, while those identifying with the opposition report more negatively. These effects are especially substantial among people interested in politics. Even something as personal and affectively intense as unemployment is viewed through a partisan scrim.
政治学对失业人员的研究相对较少。然而,由于它们的经济意义和在许多政治辩论中的中心地位,它们可以洞察许多问题,包括党派偏见的延伸程度——意见甚至事实认知都遵循了其持有者偏好的政党。失业的经济和情感成本使其评估似乎不太可能产生党派效应。然而,在美国和英国进行的调查显示,党派结盟预测了失业者对其经济状况的评估:与无党派人士相比,与国家行政报告中所代表的政党认同的失业者对家庭财务(和国家经济状况)更积极,而那些认同反对派的人则更为消极。这些影响在对政治感兴趣的人中尤其显著。即使是像失业这样个人和情感上强烈的事情,也会通过党派混战来看待。
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引用次数: 0
From Bad to Worse: The Continuous Dilemma Facing Parliaments in European Economic and Fiscal Governance 从坏到坏:欧洲经济和财政治理中议会面临的持续困境
2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-08-24 DOI: 10.1017/gov.2023.29
Päivi Leino-Sandberg, Tapio Raunio
Abstract Analysing how the roles of national parliaments and the European Parliament have changed in European economic governance since the euro crisis, this article argues that their situation has deteriorated in the post-Next Generation EU regime. It identifies structural factors impeding more effective parliamentary engagement, relates these to empirical evidence about the role of domestic legislatures and the European Parliament and mirrors these practices against constitutional interpretations concerning the democratic role of parliaments in budgetary matters. The broader Economic and Monetary Union architecture has grown to encompass a variety of rules and mechanisms, many of which are located outside of the treaties and the budget of the Union. As a result, parliaments lack formal powers that would guarantee them meaningful participation rights in European economic and fiscal governance. The key to more effective parliamentary involvement is ensuring that the parliaments can genuinely shape policies and that a strong link is established between elections and budgetary politics.
本文分析了自欧元危机以来各国议会和欧洲议会在欧洲经济治理中的作用发生了怎样的变化,认为它们的情况在后下一代欧盟体制中有所恶化。它确定了阻碍议会更有效参与的结构性因素,将这些因素与有关国内立法机构和欧洲议会作用的经验证据联系起来,并将这些做法与关于议会在预算事项中的民主作用的宪法解释相对照。更广泛的经济和货币联盟架构已经发展到包括各种规则和机制,其中许多位于联盟的条约和预算之外。其结果是,议会缺乏正式权力,无法保证它们有意义地参与欧洲经济和财政治理。更有效地参与议会的关键是确保议会能够真正地制定政策,并在选举和预算政治之间建立牢固的联系。
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引用次数: 0
Young People's Attitudes towards Democracy and Political Participation: Evidence from a Cross-European Study – CORRIGENDUM 年轻人对民主和政治参与的态度:来自跨欧洲研究的证据-勘误
2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-08-22 DOI: 10.1017/gov.2023.33
Eva Fernández Guzmán Grassi, Martín Portos, Andrea Felicetti
An abstract is not available for this content. As you have access to this content, full HTML content is provided on this page. A PDF of this content is also available in through the ‘Save PDF’ action button.
此内容没有摘要。当您可以访问此内容时,该页上会提供完整的HTML内容。此内容的PDF也可以通过“保存PDF”操作按钮获得。
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引用次数: 0
The Relationship between Economic Populist Sovereignism, Globalization and Populist Radical Right Politics: Voter Attitudes in Western Europe and the United States 经济民粹主义主权主义、全球化与民粹极右翼政治的关系:西欧和美国的选民态度
IF 2.8 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-08-15 DOI: 10.1017/gov.2023.28
Oscar Mazzoleni, G. Ivaldi
Sovereignism is at the crux of the current wave of radical right-wing populism (RRP). While sovereignism may concern different dimensions, claims by RRP parties and leaders about regaining sovereignty are increasingly associated with socioeconomic issues such as welfare, redistribution and international trade. Adopting a demand-side perspective, this article draws from an original cross-national survey to investigate the intersection between economic sovereignism, economic populism and globalization attitudes, and how such attitudes may shape RRP voting in Western Europe and the United States. Our results confirm that economic populism and sovereignism form coherent sets of attitudes together with perceptions of globalization, and that such attitudes have a significant effect on support for RRP actors. We find different patterns of association, however, across our European cases and the United States, which suggests that the relationship between populism, sovereignism and economic globalization is partly dependent upon national context and historical legacies.
主权主义是当前激进右翼民粹主义(RRP)浪潮的核心。虽然主权主义可能涉及不同的维度,但RRP政党和领导人关于重新获得主权的主张越来越多地与社会经济问题联系在一起,如福利、再分配和国际贸易。本文采用需求侧视角,借鉴一项原始的跨国调查,研究经济主权主义、经济民粹主义和全球化态度之间的交集,以及这种态度如何影响西欧和美国的RRP投票。我们的研究结果证实,经济民粹主义和主权主义与对全球化的看法形成了连贯的态度,这种态度对RRP参与者的支持有显著影响。然而,我们在欧洲和美国的案例中发现了不同的关联模式,这表明民粹主义、主权主义和经济全球化之间的关系在一定程度上取决于国家背景和历史遗产。
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引用次数: 0
Polity Size Matters? The Effect of Country Size on Politicians' Professionalization 政策规模重要吗?国家规模对政治家职业化的影响
IF 2.8 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-08-04 DOI: 10.1017/gov.2023.26
Andreu Paneque
This article examines the effect of country size on the professionalization of politicians in six European micro-states and a large-scale democracy – Germany – since 1980. The article revisits an ongoing debate about the extent to which either country size or government size are causal factors in the individual professionalization process. Using an original dataset consisting of 6,940 parliamentary mandates – 2,809 individuals – in national parliaments, the article shows that country size is a determinant of the degree of politicians' professionalization. The article further demonstrates that political parties' gatekeeper role is the key causal mechanism explaining the influence of population size on politicians' professionalization.
本文考察了自1980年以来,欧洲六个微观国家和大规模民主国家德国的国家规模对政治家职业化的影响。这篇文章重新审视了一场正在进行的辩论,即国家规模或政府规模在多大程度上是个人职业化过程中的因果因素。文章使用了一个由6940个国家议会授权(2809人)组成的原始数据集,表明国家规模是政治家专业化程度的决定因素。文章进一步论证了政党的守门人角色是解释人口规模对政治家职业化影响的关键因果机制。
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引用次数: 0
Targeted Nativism: Ethnic Diversity and Radical Right Parties in Europe 有针对性的本土主义:欧洲的种族多样性与激进右翼政党
IF 2.8 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-07-19 DOI: 10.1017/gov.2023.27
Dragana Švraka
Radical right parties are commonly associated with nativism and opposition to ethnic diversity, but there have been few systematic attempts to investigate this connection further. Noting that radical right parties in Europe do not express hostility towards all minorities or all immigrants, I investigate possible explanations for the difference in targeted hostility. I introduce the concept of targeted nativism, distinguishing between ethnic minorities that are excluded using the nativist cleavage, and those that are implicitly included in ‘the nation’. I propose three explanations for the targeted nativism, identifying minority outgroups based on: (1) ethnocultural differences, (2) minority political empowerment, or (3) ethnocultural minority accommodation. I examine these explanations using the examples of radical right parties in Sweden and Bulgaria, and further test these hypotheses with a new dataset that identifies targeted minorities. My findings indicate that more distinctive minorities are significantly more likely to be targeted by the radical right.
激进右翼政党通常与本土主义和反对种族多样性联系在一起,但很少有系统的尝试进一步调查这种联系。注意到欧洲的激进右翼政党并不对所有少数民族或所有移民表达敌意,我研究了有针对性敌意差异的可能解释。我介绍了有针对性的本土主义的概念,区分使用本土主义分裂被排除在外的少数民族和那些隐含地包括在“国家”中的少数民族。我对针对性本土主义提出了三种解释,即基于(1)民族文化差异、(2)少数民族政治赋权、(3)民族文化对少数民族的包容来识别少数民族外群体。我用瑞典和保加利亚的激进右翼政党的例子来检验这些解释,并用一个确定目标少数群体的新数据集进一步检验这些假设。我的研究结果表明,更有特色的少数族裔更有可能成为激进右翼的目标。
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引用次数: 0
Contentious Institutionalization of Protests under Democracy: The Evidence from Taiwan, 1986–2016 民主下抗争的制度性争议:来自台湾的证据,1986-2016
IF 2.8 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-07-19 DOI: 10.1017/gov.2023.25
Ming-sho Ho, Yun-Chung Ting
While many scholarly works are concerned with how social protests promote democratization, this article addresses the causally reverse question: how democratization shapes the landscape of street protests. We use a unique database of 31 years of protest events in Taiwan, a smooth and successful case of authoritarianism-to-democracy transition, to engage in a dialogue with political transition theory, the institutionalization thesis and networked movement theory. The logistic regression analysis indicates that protest violence persists under consolidated democracy, but it is marginalized. We find an indirect effect from the growth of social movement organizations that foster the adaptation of festive and performative tactics, which are less confrontational in nature. Politicians' involvement, however, remains a constant source of disruptiveness. Our conclusion of contentious institutionalization finds that late-democratizing countries also gravitate towards becoming a ‘social movement society’ as advanced democracies do, but in a highly compressed period of time.
虽然许多学术著作关注的是社会抗议如何促进民主化,但本文解决了因果关系相反的问题:民主化如何塑造街头抗议的景观。我们利用台湾31年抗争事件的独特资料库,与政治转型理论、制度化理论和网络化运动理论进行对话,探讨台湾从独裁到民主转型的顺利成功案例。逻辑回归分析表明,在巩固的民主制度下,抗议暴力仍然存在,但被边缘化了。我们发现社会运动组织的增长产生了间接影响,促进了节日和表演策略的适应,这些策略在本质上较少对抗性。然而,政客们的参与仍然是破坏性的持续来源。我们关于有争议的制度化的结论发现,后期民主化国家也倾向于像发达民主国家一样成为一个“社会运动社会”,但在一个高度压缩的时间内。
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引用次数: 0
Transnationalization of Opposition Strategy under Competitive Authoritarianism: Evidence from Turkey and Hungary 竞争威权主义下反对派战略的跨国化——来自土耳其和匈牙利的证据
IF 2.8 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-07-11 DOI: 10.1017/gov.2023.19
Pelin Ayan Musil, Şebnem Yardımcı-Geyikçi
Despite a growing body of literature on the advancement of autocratic tactics and toolkits in competitive authoritarian regimes (CARs), we lack sufficient knowledge on the strategies that the opposition builds against populist-authoritarian governments. Using two top autocratizing cases – Turkey and Hungary – this article singles out ‘transnationalization’ as one such novel strategy. ‘Transnationalization’ is defined as a strategy through which opposition-led subnational executives transform local and global boundaries by consciously forming a link with the liberal-democratic world in order to expand their space for manoeuvre. Conducting a qualitative content analysis of the Istanbul and Budapest mayors' international Twitter accounts and using evidence from elite interviews with officials from Istanbul and Budapest municipalities, we demonstrate the material, symbolic and political means of this strategy and the rationalist and normative motivations behind it. By discussing the what, how and why of a transnationalization strategy, we fill an important gap in the scholarship regarding opposition strategies in CARs.
尽管越来越多的文献报道了竞争性独裁政权中专制策略和工具包的发展,但我们对反对派反对民粹主义独裁政府的策略缺乏足够的了解。本文以土耳其和匈牙利这两个最高的独裁案例为例,将“跨国化”列为一种新颖的策略跨国化”被定义为一种战略,反对派领导的国家以下各级行政人员通过有意识地与自由民主世界建立联系,改变地方和全球边界,以扩大他们的回旋空间。我们对伊斯坦布尔和布达佩斯市长的国际推特账户进行了定性内容分析,并利用伊斯坦布尔和布达佩斯市政府官员的精英访谈证据,展示了这一战略的物质、象征和政治手段,以及其背后的理性主义和规范动机,跨国化战略是如何以及为什么的,我们填补了CAR中反对战略的学术空白。
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引用次数: 0
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Government and Opposition
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