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Coupling an integrated assessment model with an input–output database 将综合评估模型与投入产出数据库结合起来
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-19 DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2024.2387023
Nicolas Dai, Qiyu Liu, Mengyu Li, Arunima Malik, Manfred Lenzen
MESSAGE is an Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) useful for developing anthropogenic climate change scenarios and the evaluation of long-term energy policies. MESSAGE is constrained by its internal ...
MESSAGE 是一个综合评估模型 (IAM),用于制定人为气候变化方案和评估长期能源政策。MESSAGE 受限于其内部 ...
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引用次数: 0
Storm in the Cloud: A Study on the Macroeconomic Impact of the UK’s Digital Service Tax 云中风暴:英国数字服务税的宏观经济影响研究
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-23 DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2024.2374767
María T. Álvarez Martínez, María Gesualdo, Jonathan Pycroft
The nature of the digital economy puts pressure on traditional tax practices, as it is frequently characterised by high returns from intangibles. In this paper, we assess the macroeconomic impact o...
数字经济的特点是无形资产回报率高,这给传统的税收实践带来了压力。在本文中,我们评估了数字经济对宏观经济的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Structural change and socio-economic disparities in a net zero transition 零净过渡中的结构变化和社会经济差距
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2024.2371306
Cormac Lynch, Yeliz Simsek, Jean-Francois Mercure, Panagiotis Fragkos, Julien Lefèvre, Thomas Le Gallic, Kostas Fragkiadakis, Leonidas Paroussos, Dimitris Fragkiadakis, Florian Leblanc, Femke Nijsse
A net zero transition is likely to generate substantial and irreversible economic transformation. High-carbon industries and their related occupations will disappear, while new low-carbon industrie...
净零过渡可能会带来不可逆转的重大经济转型。高碳产业及其相关职业将消失,而新的低碳产业将出现。
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引用次数: 0
Risk-based dynamic inoperability input-output and non-linear optimisation models to analyse resilience in the construction industry 基于风险的动态不可操作性投入产出和非线性优化模型,用于分析建筑业的抗灾能力
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-27 DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2024.2355919
Ahmed Owais Durrani, Yousaf Ali
Pakistan has faced significant economic losses due to catastrophes, specifically floods. This study aims to assess the ripple effects of the 2022 floods, focusing on the Construction Industry, whic...
巴基斯坦面临着灾难,特别是洪水造成的重大经济损失。本研究旨在评估 2022 年洪灾的连锁反应,重点关注建筑业,因为建筑业是巴基斯坦的支柱产业。
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引用次数: 0
Forced labour in the fashion industry: a hypothetical EU-driven reorganisation of textile value chains 时装业中的强迫劳动:欧盟驱动的纺织品价值链重组假设
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-27 DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2024.2345096
Angela García-Alaminos, Jorge Zafrilla, Fabio Monsalve
Given recent breakdowns in global value chains, like the COVID-19 crisis or the conflict in Ukraine, developed economies are trying to develop resilience to address future drawbacks. Backshoring an...
鉴于最近全球价值链的断裂,如 COVID-19 危机或乌克兰冲突,发达经济体正在努力发展复原力,以应对未来的弊端。背靠背式生产和...
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引用次数: 0
A methodology to study price-quantity interactions in input–output modeling: an application to NextGenerationEU funds 研究投入产出模型中价格-数量相互作用的方法:应用于下一代欧盟基金
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-16 DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2024.2337375
Manuel Alejandro Cardenete, M. Carmen Lima, Ferran Sancho
The standard input–output (IO) model consists of two distinct and self-contained modules that describe the underlying factors governing quantities and prices. However, these modules operate indepen...
标准的投入产出(IO)模型由两个不同的、自成一体的模块组成,这两个模块描述了支配数量和价格的基本因素。然而,这些模块的运作是独立的。
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引用次数: 0
Downscaling down under: towards degrowth in integrated assessment models 缩小尺度:在综合评估模型中走向退化
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2023.2301443
Jarmo S. Kikstra, Mengyu Li, Paul E. Brockway, Jason Hickel, Lorenz Keysser, Arunima Malik, Joeri Rogelj, Bas van Ruijven, Manfred Lenzen
IPCC reports, to date, have not featured ambitious mitigation scenarios with degrowth in high-income regions. Here, using MESSAGEix-Australia, we create 51 emissions scenarios for Australia with ne...
迄今为止,政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)的报告还没有对高收入地区的减排情景进行雄心勃勃的描述。在此,我们利用 MESSAGEix-Australia 为澳大利亚创建了 51 个排放情景,其中包括新的减排目标。
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引用次数: 0
Identifying the key atmospheric and economic drivers of global carbon monoxide emission transfers 确定全球一氧化碳排放转移的主要大气和经济驱动因素
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-06 DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2023.2300787
Sandy Dall’erba, Nicole Riemer, Yilan Xu, Ran Xu, Yu Yao
This paper proposes a structural decomposition analysis (SDA) augmented with cross-country atmospheric circulation and uncovers that changes in carbon monoxide (CO) levels are driven by atmospheric...
本文提出了一种以跨国大气环流为辅助的结构分解分析(SDA),并揭示了一氧化碳(CO)水平的变化是由大气环流驱动的。
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引用次数: 0
The construction of an environmentally extended multi-scale MRSUT: the case of Indonesia 构建环境扩展的多尺度 MRSUT:印度尼西亚案例
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-07 DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2023.2280888
I. A. Rum, A. de Koning, A. Tukker, A. Yusuf
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引用次数: 0
Regions may share factors of production, too: Implementation of topologies within the World Trade Model 各地区也可以共享生产要素:世界贸易模型中拓扑结构的实现
4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2023.2272213
Naci Dilekli, Ignacio Cazcarro, Julio Sánchez-Chóliz
ABSTRACTThe World Trade Model (WTM), which incorporates input - output data and minimizes global factor costs subject to satisfying demands while being constrained by each region's factor endowments, is one of models based on the principle of comparative advantage. These factor endowments are not necessarily fixed in each region as traditionally posed in most theories, but rather can or de facto be shared across regions. We highlight the importance of this feature for economic modeling, and then introduce an extension for the integration of topological rules into WTM to facilitate the sharing of factors with directionality (one-way or two-way) across regions. A series of numerical examples illustrating a range of sharing scenarios is demonstrated to facilitate an examination of this extension's features. Finally, we discuss the most interesting cases in which this topology can be used, as well as the additional challenges or implementations that can be derived from this work.KEYWORDS: World Trade ModelFactors of production sharingInput – outputInternational tradeGlobalizationJEL: Codes: C67D57F1F2F6R15 AcknowledgementsThe authors greatly thank the interesting comments and suggestions made by the reviewers and Editors, which in our view notably helped improving the article. Their research is also possible thanks to the Spanish Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities, through PID2019-106822RB-I00 and PID2022- 140010OB-I00; and the Government of Aragon through S40_20R and S40_23R (CREDENAT) group financing.Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1 It emphasizes that in a pure ‘Ricardian' understanding, instead of having a single row of factor uses of a type, technologies (e.g., with different qualities of land) do not compete for being chosen over others. Instead, the best technologies are utilized first until they deplete the resources, followed by other technologies. This leads to two different possibilities of defining factors in which different qualities compete among technologies (defined as a vector) or not (defined as a diagonalized vector) in the WTM.2 Beginning with articles by (Jones, Citation1971; Samuelson, Citation1971a, Citation1971b), a number of writers have returned to an older tradition, traceable in the works of Marshall, Ohlin himself, and Harrod, which assumes that, in the short run at least, capital goods are sector-specific. In the light of this tradition, the Heckscher-Ohlin-Samuelson model is seen as describing positions of long-run equilibrium only (Neary, Citation1978). This last cited work deals with cases in which the assumption of sector-specific capital leads to more intuitively plausible results than the assumption of intersectoral capital mobility. Also, we can argue that the expansion capacity of an economy cannot grow immediately, but it cannot be denied that financial capital may freely flow depending on financial regulations. Today capital flows much faste
摘要世界贸易模型(World Trade Model, WTM)是一种基于比较优势原理的模型,它将投入产出数据纳入其中,在满足需求的前提下,在各地区要素禀赋的约束下使全球要素成本最小化。这些要素禀赋不一定像大多数理论传统上提出的那样,在每个地区都是固定的,而是可以或事实上在各个地区共享。我们强调了这一特征对经济建模的重要性,然后引入了将拓扑规则集成到WTM中的扩展,以促进跨区域具有方向性(单向或双向)的因素共享。一系列数值示例说明了一系列共享场景,以方便检查此扩展的功能。最后,我们讨论了可以使用这种拓扑的最有趣的情况,以及可以从这项工作中派生出来的其他挑战或实现。关键词:世界贸易模型生产要素共享投入产出国际贸易全球化jel:代码:C67D57F1F2F6R15致谢感谢审稿人和编辑提出的有趣的意见和建议,我们认为这些意见和建议对本文的改进有很大的帮助。他们的研究也得益于西班牙科学,创新和大学部,通过PID2019-106822RB-I00和PID2022- 140010OB-I00;而阿拉贡政府则通过S40_20R和S40_23R (CREDENAT)集团融资。披露声明作者未报告潜在的利益冲突。注1:它强调,在纯粹的“李嘉图”理解中,技术(例如,具有不同质量的土地)并不会因为被选择而相互竞争,而不是有一种类型的单一因素使用。相反,最好的技术首先被利用,直到它们耗尽资源,然后是其他技术。这导致了两种不同的定义因素的可能性,在wtm中,不同的质量在技术之间竞争(定义为矢量)或不(定义为对角化矢量)。萨缪尔森,Citation1971a, Citation1971b),许多作家已经回归到一个更古老的传统,可以追溯到马歇尔,奥林本人和哈罗德的作品,该传统假设,至少在短期内,资本货物是特定于部门的。根据这一传统,Heckscher-Ohlin-Samuelson模型被视为仅描述长期均衡的位置(Neary, Citation1978)。这最后引用的工作处理的情况下,部门特定资本的假设导致比部门间资本流动性的假设更直观可信的结果。同样,我们可以说,一个经济体的扩张能力不可能立即增长,但不能否认,金融资本可以根据金融监管自由流动。如今,资本通过金融信贷、企业股份等方式流动得快得多,尽管在一年内有一些限制(例如,外国资本投资不会迅速做出决定)。一个明显的例子是资本在各国之间流动并流入发展中市场,这在失去资本的地区造成了政治和结构性风险。为了更现实地建模,必须为地区提供一些资本禀赋,同时允许资本在地区之间共享,而不是必须选择相对任意的大量“闲置”禀赋来解释每个地区可能的流入在经济放缓或“危机”期间,计算西班牙和其他几个国家的失业率也很“棘手”,因为许多长期失业者——通常是老年人——不再找工作,同样,由于经济前景悲观,许多年轻人延长了他们的学生生活,减少了有生产力的人口,同时增加了不活跃的人口最终的问题是,在某些地区是否必须至少100%的fvi可用。如果这是不允许的,它实际上是减少了现有的捐赠。然而,我们注意到,当“孤立”区域存在(不涉及因子共享)时,这可能会带来挑战,因此一个建议可能是更好地倾向于使用Mi,j,v=1来处理i=j,首先根据所研究情景的性质适当地定义禀赋fi=(fvi)(正如它通常在WTM/RCOT研究中所做的那样)。这与注7有关需要额外约束的不相交区域子集的情况有关有了这个,我们认识到区域不相交子集的可能性,这需要每个区域块的因素(即“质量”)守恒条件。四个区域的情况如下所示:[10.250000.50.5000.5100000]。
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Economic Systems Research
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