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An interregional input–output analysis with the Eaton–Kortum model 基于Eaton–Kortum模型的区域间投入产出分析
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-05-01 DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2022.2068407
R. Itoh, Kiyoshi Yonemoto
This study proposes a multi-regional input–output (I–O) model obtained from comparative statics analysis and a linear approximation of Eaton and Kortum's (2002). [Technology, geography, and trade. Econometrica, 70(5), 1741–1779. https://doi.org/10.1111/ecta.2002.70.issue-5] general equilibrium trade model. The derived reduced form, which represents the effect of a final demand shock, is equivalent to the Leontief inverse, which means that our model is a straightforward extension of the conventional I–O framework. In addition, supply-side shocks, such as a decrease in transport costs, and the corresponding welfare gains are also calculated without setting any structural parameters. The linear reduced forms also enable us to decompose the welfare gains into various ripple channels, such as by sector, region, or the time that the gain arrives. A Japanese multi-regional I–O table is used as a numerical example to derive the effect of a reduction in transport costs (for the links around the northern region). The results indicate that more than half of the welfare gains in the southwest region are delivered through indirect channels, and their time to arrival is more than twice of that in the northern region, which is close to the shock.
本研究提出了一个多区域投入产出(I–O)模型,该模型是通过比较静力学分析和Eaton和Kortum(2002)的线性近似获得的。[技术、地理和贸易。计量经济学,70(5),1741–1779。https://doi.org/10.1111/ecta.2002.70.issue-5]一般均衡贸易模型。导出的简化形式代表了最终需求冲击的影响,相当于Leontief逆,这意味着我们的模型是传统I/O框架的直接扩展。此外,在不设定任何结构参数的情况下,还计算了供应侧冲击,如运输成本的下降,以及相应的福利收益。线性归约形式还使我们能够将福利收益分解为各种波纹通道,例如按部门、地区或收益到达的时间。日本的多区域I/O表被用作一个数字示例,以得出运输成本降低的影响(对于北部地区周围的连接)。结果表明,西南地区一半以上的福利收益是通过间接渠道传递的,其到达时间是北部地区的两倍多,接近冲击。
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引用次数: 0
Fuzzy cognitive model of agricultural economic growth 农业经济增长的模糊认知模型
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-05-01 DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2022.2065466
M. Anokhina
Agrarian growth is becoming increasingly important to many countries as the global demand for food rises, natural resources become scarcer, and environmental problems deepen. Herein, I propose a mechanism for designing agricultural growth management strategies that is based on fuzzy cognitive logic. The research presented is built on three main findings. First, it integrates established theories of economic growth, economic cyclicality, and sectoral market theories into a model of agricultural growth management. This enables the identification of main growth factors and the determination of the nature of their effects on agricultural dynamics. Second, I develop an algorithm for cognitive analysis of agricultural growth management and justify both this mathematical apparatus and the tools it uses. And third, I conduct a computational experiment that applies cognitive technologies to generate what I believe is the best agricultural economic growth strategy for Russia.
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引用次数: 1
The role of imported intermediates in productivity change 进口中间体在生产力变化中的作用
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-04-24 DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2022.2062301
E. Gilles, Javier Deaza, A. Vivas
We address the role of imported intermediates in productivity by applying a methodology that proposes an equivalence between input–output analysis and data envelopment analysis, and decomposes sectoral productivity gains into two factors: efficiency change and technical change. We illustrate this by using data for Spain in the 2008–2015 period with three levels of labor skills, capital, and twenty-eight industries, and compare the results of two different settings: one including only domestic intermediates and the other incorporating total (i.e. both domestic and imported) inputs. We find differential results regarding productivity, efficiency, and technical changes that are attributable to imported intermediates. We also find that the main drivers of productivity change are high-skilled labor and the manufacturing sector. Our results suggest the importance of both trade and educational policies that respectively foster international economic complementarities and promote higher qualification of labor.
我们通过应用一种方法来解决进口中间体在生产率中的作用,该方法提出了投入产出分析和数据包络分析之间的等价关系,并将部门生产率收益分解为两个因素:效率变化和技术变化。我们通过使用西班牙2008-2015年期间的数据来说明这一点,数据包含三个层次的劳动技能、资本和28个行业,并比较了两种不同设置的结果:一种只包括国内中间产品,另一种包括总(即国内和进口)投入。我们发现进口中间体对生产率、效率和技术变化的影响存在差异。我们还发现,生产率变化的主要驱动力是高技能劳动力和制造业。我们的研究结果表明,贸易和教育政策的重要性,分别促进国际经济互补性和促进更高的劳动力素质。
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引用次数: 0
Upgrading low value-added activities in global value chains: a functional specialisation approach 升级全球价值链中的低附加值活动:功能专业化方法
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-03-27 DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2022.2047011
Aleksandra Kordalska, M. Olczyk
ABSTRACT This paper aims to identify patterns of functional specialisation (FS) in global value chains (GVCs) and determinants of upgrading them for selected Central Eastern European (CEE) economies. By combing the World Input-Output Database with data on occupations, we reveal a new FS pattern among subgroups of CEEs. Poland and Slovakia have an unfavourable GVC position and specialise in low value-added fabrication function. In contrast, other CEEs have competitive advantages in high value-added tasks: the Baltic countries and Slovenia in management services, the Czech Republic and Slovenia in R&D. We identify upgrading factors for different types of FS in GVCs. The wages convergence of CEEs with developed economies, and strong GVC backward linkages support the path to higher value-added in almost all business functions. Higher GDP per capita and lower economic distance to Germany allow CEEs to escape from ‘factory economies' status and also generate higher value-added in R&D activities.
本文旨在确定全球价值链(GVCs)中的功能专业化(FS)模式,以及选定的中东欧经济体升级它们的决定因素。通过将世界投入产出数据库与职业数据相结合,我们揭示了cee亚组之间的新FS模式。波兰和斯洛伐克在全球价值链中处于不利地位,专门从事低附加值的制造业务。相比之下,其他中东欧国家在高附加值任务方面具有竞争优势:波罗的海国家和斯洛文尼亚在管理服务方面,捷克共和国和斯洛文尼亚在研发方面。我们确定了全球价值链中不同类型金融服务的升级因素。中等收入国家与发达经济体的工资趋同,以及强大的全球价值链反向联系,为几乎所有业务功能的高附加值提供了支持。较高的人均GDP和较低的与德国的经济距离使中东欧国家摆脱了“工厂经济”的地位,并在研发活动中产生了更高的附加值。
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引用次数: 9
Stochastic simulation with informed rotations of Gaussian quadratures 具有高斯正交通知旋转的随机模拟
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-03-18 DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2022.2045258
Davit Stepanyan, G. Zimmermann, H. Grethe
Given the fast growth of available computational capacities and the increasing complexity of simulation models addressing agro-environmental issues, uncertainty analysis using stochastic techniques has become a standard modeling practice. However, conventional uncertainty/sensitivity analysis methods are either computationally demanding (Monte Carlo-based methods) or produce results with varying quality (Gaussian quadratures). In this article, we present a computationally inexpensive and reliable uncertainty analysis method for simulation models called informed rotations of Gaussian quadratures (IRGQ). We also provide an R script that generates IRGQ points based on the required input data. The results demonstrate that this method is able to produce approximations that are close to the estimated benchmarks at low computational costs. The method is tested in three different simulation models using different input data in order to demonstrate the independence of the proposed method on specific model types and data structures. This is a methodological paper for practitioners rather than theorists.
鉴于可用计算能力的快速增长和农业环境问题模拟模型的复杂性不断增加,使用随机技术进行不确定性分析已成为标准的建模实践。然而,传统的不确定度/灵敏度分析方法要么在计算上要求很高(基于蒙特卡洛的方法),要么产生质量不同的结果(高斯象限)。在本文中,我们提出了一种计算成本低且可靠的模拟模型不确定性分析方法,称为高斯象限的知情旋转(IRGQ)。我们还提供了一个基于所需输入数据生成IRGQ点的R脚本。结果表明,该方法能够以较低的计算成本产生接近估计基准的近似值。该方法在三个不同的模拟模型中使用不同的输入数据进行了测试,以证明所提出的方法对特定模型类型和数据结构的独立性。这是一篇面向实践者而非理论家的方法论论文。
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引用次数: 0
High Altitude Cerebral Edema: Improving Treatment Options. 高海拔地区脑水肿:改进治疗方案。
4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-03-01 Epub Date: 2022-03-17 DOI: 10.3390/biologics2010007
Rebecca Zelmanovich, Kevin Pierre, Patrick Felisma, Dwayne Cole, Matthew Goldman, Brandon Lucke-Wold

High altitude illness in its most severe form can lead to high altitude cerebral edema (HACE). Current strategies have focused on prevention with graduated ascents, pharmacologic prophylaxis, and descent at first signs of symptoms. Little is understood regarding treatment with steroids and oxygenation being commonly utilized. Pre-clinical studies with turmeric derivatives have offered promise due to its anti-inflammatory and antioxidant properties, but they warrant validation clinically. Ongoing work is focused on better understanding the disease pathophysiology with an emphasis on the glymphatic system and venous outflow obstruction. This review highlights what is known regarding diagnosis, treatment, and prevention, while also introducing novel pathophysiology mechanisms warranting further investigation.

高原病最严重时可导致高原脑水肿(HACE)。目前的策略主要是通过逐步登高、药物预防和在症状初现时下山来进行预防。人们对通常使用的类固醇和吸氧治疗了解甚少。姜黄衍生物具有抗炎和抗氧化特性,其临床前研究为治疗提供了希望,但仍需临床验证。目前的工作重点是更好地了解疾病的病理生理学,重点是甘液系统和静脉流出阻塞。本综述重点介绍了诊断、治疗和预防方面的已知知识,同时还介绍了值得进一步研究的新型病理生理学机制。
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引用次数: 0
Trade heterogeneity and virtual water exports of China 贸易异质性与中国虚拟水出口
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-02-23 DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2022.2035689
Hui-Zheng Liu, Huibin Du, Zengkai Zhang, Huimin Wang, K. Zhu, Yaling Lu, Xi Liu
China is facing serious water scarcity, and the effects of international trade on its water resources have been widely examined. Processing exports account for nearly half of China’s gross exports. Adopting China’s multi-regional input–output table that captures processing exports, we enrich the literature on virtual water exports by accounting for trade heterogeneity. The results show that China’s virtual water exports show a significant trade heterogeneity. Normal and processing exports are attributed to 86.7% and 13.3% of the Agriculture sector’s water use induced by exports respectively. Conversely, normal and processing exports are attributed to 31.8% and 68.3% of the Communications Equipment, Computers sector’s water use induced by exports respectively. In addition, a cross-regional compensation is needed to deal with the unequal regional distribution of water uses and economic benefits related to exports.
中国正面临着严重的水资源短缺,国际贸易对中国水资源的影响已被广泛研究。加工出口占中国出口总额的近一半。采用中国的多区域投入产出表,通过考虑贸易异质性,丰富了关于虚拟水出口的文献。结果表明,中国虚拟水出口具有显著的贸易异质性。正常出口和加工出口分别占农业部门出口用水量的86.7%和13.3%。相反,正常出口和加工出口分别占通信设备和计算机部门出口引起的用水量的31.8%和68.3%。此外,还需要一种跨区域的补偿,以处理用水的不平等区域分配和与出口有关的经济利益。
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引用次数: 0
Microdata selection for estimating household consumption-based emissions 估算家庭消费排放的微数据选择
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-02-23 DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2022.2034139
Lena Kilian, Anne Owen, A. Newing, D. Ivanova
To estimate household emissions from a consumption-perspective, national accounts are typically disaggregated to a sub-national level using household expenditure data. While limitations around using expenditure data are frequently discussed, differences in emission estimates generated from seemingly comparable expenditure microdata are not well-known. We compare UK neighbourhood greenhouse gas emission estimates derived from three such microdatasets: the Output Area Classification, the Living Costs and Food Survey, and a dataset produced by the credit reference agency TransUnion. Findings indicate moderate similarity between emission estimates from all datasets, even at detailed product and spatial levels; importantly, similarity increases for higher-emission products. Nevertheless, levels of similarity vary by products and geographies, highlighting the impact microdata selection can have on emission estimates. We focus our discussion on how uncertainty from microdata selection can be reduced in other UK and international contexts by selecting data based on the data generation process, the level of disaggregation needed, physical unit availability and research implications.
为了从消费角度估计家庭排放,通常使用家庭支出数据将国民账户分解到次国家层面。虽然经常讨论使用支出数据的局限性,但从看似可比的支出微数据得出的排放估计数的差异并不为人所知。我们比较了从三个这样的微数据集得出的英国社区温室气体排放估计值:产出区域分类、生活成本和食品调查,以及信用参考机构TransUnion制作的数据集。研究结果表明,即使在详细的产品和空间水平上,所有数据集的排放估计值之间也存在适度的相似性;重要的是,高排放产品的相似性增加。然而,相似程度因产品和地理位置而异,突出了微数据选择可能对排放估计产生的影响。我们将重点讨论如何通过基于数据生成过程、所需的分解水平、物理单元可用性和研究意义选择数据来减少其他英国和国际背景下微数据选择的不确定性。
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引用次数: 1
Productive linkages in a segmented economy: the role of services in the export performance of German manufacturing 分段经济中的生产联系:服务业在德国制造业出口绩效中的作用
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-20 DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2022.2026894
Daniel Herrero, Adrián Rial
This article analyzes the causes that affect the export performance of the German manufacturing sector. By applying a subsystem approach to input–output analysis, we take into account the interlinkages between manufacturing and services. In particular, we consider two types of relationships that influence manufacturing competitiveness: the wage squeeze in services due to institutional factors and outsourcing; and the role played by knowledge-intensive business services (KIBS) as innovation drivers. Taking vertically integrated sectors as units of analysis, an export model is estimated. We find that labor costs play only a minor role for international competitiveness, while non-price factors are the main drivers of German exports. Therefore, although the wage squeeze in services is the centerpiece in the unit labor costs and export prices moderation, it is of minor importance for export growth. Conversely, the growing integration of KIBS provides a strong stimulus for non-price competitiveness and export growth.
本文分析了影响德国制造业出口绩效的原因。通过将子系统方法应用于投入产出分析,我们考虑了制造业和服务业之间的相互联系。特别是,我们考虑了影响制造业竞争力的两种类型的关系:由于制度因素和外包导致的服务业工资紧缩;知识密集型商业服务(KIBS)作为创新驱动力的作用。以垂直整合行业为分析单元,估计出口模型。我们发现,劳动力成本对国际竞争力的影响较小,而非价格因素是德国出口的主要驱动力。因此,尽管服务业的工资紧缩是单位劳动力成本和出口价格放缓的核心,但它对出口增长的重要性不大。相反,KIBS的日益一体化为非价格竞争力和出口增长提供了强有力的刺激。
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引用次数: 5
Processing trade in Chinese interregional input–output tables: construction and application 中国区域间加工贸易投入产出表的构建与应用
IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-12-18 DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2021.2012430
Yuwan Duan, E. Dietzenbacher, B. Los, Cuihong Yang
We construct new interregional input–output tables for China, which can be used to analyze changes in the interindustry linkages within and between eight Chinese regions, and their consequences. We claim that analyses based on these tables yield more accurate results than analyses using existing interregional input–output tables for China, because our tables explicitly account for a typical feature of the Chinse economy: the importance of processing exports activities. These activities rely heavily on imported inputs and much less on inputs sourced from domestic regions. Accounting for such differences between processing exports and other production activities reduces aggregation biases. We illustrate the usefulness of the tables by computing supply chain fragmentation indices for China and quantifying the biases that are avoided by using our input–output tables instead of conventional ones. We make our tables (for 2002, 2007 and 2012) publicly available.
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引用次数: 0
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Economic Systems Research
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