Pub Date : 2023-03-13DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2023.2170217
Fernando de la Torre Cuevas, Xesús Pereira, Edelmiro López-Iglesias
{"title":"A new alternative for matrix balancing under conflicting information","authors":"Fernando de la Torre Cuevas, Xesús Pereira, Edelmiro López-Iglesias","doi":"10.1080/09535314.2023.2170217","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/09535314.2023.2170217","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":47760,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2023-03-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49566180","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-02-24DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2023.2174002
Ershad Ostadzadeh, A. Elshorbagy, Marta Tuninetti, F. Laio, A. Abdelkader
Fossil fuels are not distributed evenly throughout the world, and hence the countries rely heavily on international trade to secure energy supply. Characterization of the energy trade network is needed to conduct long-term assessments of energy security. This study proposes a modeling framework to assess the evolution of energy trade under current conditions as well as under future scenarios up to 2050. The total trade of each country is estimated with trade predictive models (TPMs) using key variables. Subsequently, a matrix-balancing method (RAS) is used to estimate the annual bilateral trades. The projected energy trade network in 2050 varies under each shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) of the future, with annual fossil fuel global trades among countries ranging between 538 and 215 EJ. Canada, USA, Venezuela, and China are projected to dominate the global trade network, with Canada-USA remaining the most dominant fossil fuel trade link up to 2050.
{"title":"Who will dominate the global fossil fuel trade?","authors":"Ershad Ostadzadeh, A. Elshorbagy, Marta Tuninetti, F. Laio, A. Abdelkader","doi":"10.1080/09535314.2023.2174002","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/09535314.2023.2174002","url":null,"abstract":"Fossil fuels are not distributed evenly throughout the world, and hence the countries rely heavily on international trade to secure energy supply. Characterization of the energy trade network is needed to conduct long-term assessments of energy security. This study proposes a modeling framework to assess the evolution of energy trade under current conditions as well as under future scenarios up to 2050. The total trade of each country is estimated with trade predictive models (TPMs) using key variables. Subsequently, a matrix-balancing method (RAS) is used to estimate the annual bilateral trades. The projected energy trade network in 2050 varies under each shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) of the future, with annual fossil fuel global trades among countries ranging between 538 and 215 EJ. Canada, USA, Venezuela, and China are projected to dominate the global trade network, with Canada-USA remaining the most dominant fossil fuel trade link up to 2050.","PeriodicalId":47760,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems Research","volume":"35 1","pages":"354 - 375"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2023-02-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43628154","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-02-23DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2023.2174003
Timothé Beaufils, Etienne Berthet, H. Ward, L. Wenz
Understanding how countries contribute to the generation of externalities globally is important for designing sustainable policies aimed at reducing negative externalities such as carbon emissions. Commonly used approaches focus on either producers or consumers, thereby neglecting the role of intermediates. We here introduce the concept of throughflow to comprehensively quantify upstream externalities generated by the supply chains originating from, passing through or ending in a given country. We define the Throughflow Based Accounting (TBA) framework as the decomposition of the throughflow into local, imported, exported and traversing externalities. We illustrate the strength of the TBA by identifying the CO2 emissions caused by supply chains involving the German economy. We show that Germany could use its position in global value chains to help reduce two times more CO2 emissions than measured with usual production- or consumption-based accounting frameworks.
{"title":"Beyond production and consumption: using throughflows to untangle the virtual trade of externalities","authors":"Timothé Beaufils, Etienne Berthet, H. Ward, L. Wenz","doi":"10.1080/09535314.2023.2174003","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/09535314.2023.2174003","url":null,"abstract":"Understanding how countries contribute to the generation of externalities globally is important for designing sustainable policies aimed at reducing negative externalities such as carbon emissions. Commonly used approaches focus on either producers or consumers, thereby neglecting the role of intermediates. We here introduce the concept of throughflow to comprehensively quantify upstream externalities generated by the supply chains originating from, passing through or ending in a given country. We define the Throughflow Based Accounting (TBA) framework as the decomposition of the throughflow into local, imported, exported and traversing externalities. We illustrate the strength of the TBA by identifying the CO2 emissions caused by supply chains involving the German economy. We show that Germany could use its position in global value chains to help reduce two times more CO2 emissions than measured with usual production- or consumption-based accounting frameworks.","PeriodicalId":47760,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems Research","volume":"35 1","pages":"376 - 396"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2023-02-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46997787","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-02-19DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2022.2164179
Louis de Mesnard
{"title":"Input-output price indexes: forgoing the Leontief and Ghosh models","authors":"Louis de Mesnard","doi":"10.1080/09535314.2022.2164179","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/09535314.2022.2164179","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":47760,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2023-02-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47074769","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Lead (Pb) pollution is a serious environmental and health risk and remains a major challenge for China. This study analyzes China’s atmospheric Pb emissions from the dual perspectives of production and final demand, by integrating localized emission factors and a Multi-Regional Input – Output model. Our results show that Shandong, Hebei, and Hubei directly contribute over 36% of the national emissions. However, from the final demand perspective, some developed provinces, such as Jiangsu, Guangdong, and Zhejiang, induce a considerable proportion (29%) of the national emissions by relocating emissions to other provinces through inter-provincial trade. Trade-embodied emissions typically flow from interior regions to more affluent coastal regions (e.g. Henan-Jiangsu, Anhui-Jiangsu, Hunan-Guangdong). Considering both production and final demand, we identify different roles for provinces in Pb emission management. Prosperous beneficiary provinces should take more responsibilities by transferring advanced technologies, especially those in industries such as coal dressing, to sacrificial provinces. GRAPHICAL ABSTRACT
{"title":"Managing lead (Pb) emissions in China from the perspective of final demand","authors":"Ruoqi Li, Wenjun Wu, Wei Zhang, Yuanchun Zhou, Hongqiang Jiang, Yaling Lu, Cuiyang Feng, Jinnan Wang, Miaomiao Liu, J. Bi, Yu Liu, Hongkuan Zang, Y. Shan","doi":"10.1080/09535314.2022.2164483","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/09535314.2022.2164483","url":null,"abstract":"Lead (Pb) pollution is a serious environmental and health risk and remains a major challenge for China. This study analyzes China’s atmospheric Pb emissions from the dual perspectives of production and final demand, by integrating localized emission factors and a Multi-Regional Input – Output model. Our results show that Shandong, Hebei, and Hubei directly contribute over 36% of the national emissions. However, from the final demand perspective, some developed provinces, such as Jiangsu, Guangdong, and Zhejiang, induce a considerable proportion (29%) of the national emissions by relocating emissions to other provinces through inter-provincial trade. Trade-embodied emissions typically flow from interior regions to more affluent coastal regions (e.g. Henan-Jiangsu, Anhui-Jiangsu, Hunan-Guangdong). Considering both production and final demand, we identify different roles for provinces in Pb emission management. Prosperous beneficiary provinces should take more responsibilities by transferring advanced technologies, especially those in industries such as coal dressing, to sacrificial provinces. GRAPHICAL ABSTRACT","PeriodicalId":47760,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems Research","volume":"35 1","pages":"417 - 437"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2023-02-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46194201","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-01-27DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2022.2158065
M. Budzinski, Richard Wood, Behnam Zakeri, V. Krey, A. Strømman
{"title":"Coupling energy system models with multi-regional input-output models based on the make and use framework – insights from MESSAGEix and EXIOBASE","authors":"M. Budzinski, Richard Wood, Behnam Zakeri, V. Krey, A. Strømman","doi":"10.1080/09535314.2022.2158065","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/09535314.2022.2158065","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":47760,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2023-01-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41824789","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-01-20DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2022.2157249
Luis Tormo García, Paz Rico Belda, F. Morillas Jurado, B. Cabrer-Borrás
{"title":"A new approach to the hypothetical extraction method: regional full extraction","authors":"Luis Tormo García, Paz Rico Belda, F. Morillas Jurado, B. Cabrer-Borrás","doi":"10.1080/09535314.2022.2157249","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/09535314.2022.2157249","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":47760,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2023-01-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42830935","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-01-11DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2022.2153221
A. Borin, Michele Mancini
The spread of global value chains (GVCs) has given rise to new statistical tools, the inter-country input–output tables, and new analytical frameworks aimed at properly identifying production linkages between and within economies. However, several important questions remain unaddressed. This paper proposes a new toolkit for value-added accounting of trade flows at the aggregate, bilateral, and sectoral levels. The paper shows how different empirical issues require distinct accounting perspectives and maps these methodologies onto the economic questions they are best suited to address. We provide novel accounting perspectives that allow us to properly address important empirical issues. With respect to other accounting methodologies previously proposed in the literature, we offer more accurate or, in some cases, more exhaustive value-added decompositions of trade flows (e.g. by covering both domestic and foreign value-added). In addition, the paper gathers a significant amount of the related literature under one comprehensive framework.
{"title":"Measuring what matters in value-added trade","authors":"A. Borin, Michele Mancini","doi":"10.1080/09535314.2022.2153221","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/09535314.2022.2153221","url":null,"abstract":"The spread of global value chains (GVCs) has given rise to new statistical tools, the inter-country input–output tables, and new analytical frameworks aimed at properly identifying production linkages between and within economies. However, several important questions remain unaddressed. This paper proposes a new toolkit for value-added accounting of trade flows at the aggregate, bilateral, and sectoral levels. The paper shows how different empirical issues require distinct accounting perspectives and maps these methodologies onto the economic questions they are best suited to address. We provide novel accounting perspectives that allow us to properly address important empirical issues. With respect to other accounting methodologies previously proposed in the literature, we offer more accurate or, in some cases, more exhaustive value-added decompositions of trade flows (e.g. by covering both domestic and foreign value-added). In addition, the paper gathers a significant amount of the related literature under one comprehensive framework.","PeriodicalId":47760,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2023-01-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44642750","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-01-10DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2022.2159792
J. Oosterhaven
{"title":"Price re-interpretations of the basic IO quantity models result in the ultimate input-output equations","authors":"J. Oosterhaven","doi":"10.1080/09535314.2022.2159792","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/09535314.2022.2159792","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":47760,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2023-01-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45892339","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-11-26DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2022.2133598
Joel F. Bruneau, M. Ghosh, D. Luo, Yunfa Zhu
Global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions continue to rise but, at the same time, emission intensities associated with domestic consumption and territorial production have declined albeit at vastly different rates across economies. To identify the socioeconomic factors that drive this cross-country variation, we combine input–output modelling with panel data analysis. Using the World Input–Output Database, we estimate GHG intensities separately for domestic consumption and for territorial production. For the regression analysis, we consider several socioeconomic factors that capture development features, exposure to international trade, as well as energy prices and GHG-relevant programmes. Our results show that development-type factors, such as per capita income, capital-labour ratios, and investments, are the primary drivers of cross-country differences. Energy prices and domestic GHG policies are not major drivers. We also find that reductions in intensities are primarily through changes in techniques rather than compositional changes in the structure of economies.
{"title":"Income and investment, not energy policy, are driving GHG emission intensities","authors":"Joel F. Bruneau, M. Ghosh, D. Luo, Yunfa Zhu","doi":"10.1080/09535314.2022.2133598","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/09535314.2022.2133598","url":null,"abstract":"Global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions continue to rise but, at the same time, emission intensities associated with domestic consumption and territorial production have declined albeit at vastly different rates across economies. To identify the socioeconomic factors that drive this cross-country variation, we combine input–output modelling with panel data analysis. Using the World Input–Output Database, we estimate GHG intensities separately for domestic consumption and for territorial production. For the regression analysis, we consider several socioeconomic factors that capture development features, exposure to international trade, as well as energy prices and GHG-relevant programmes. Our results show that development-type factors, such as per capita income, capital-labour ratios, and investments, are the primary drivers of cross-country differences. Energy prices and domestic GHG policies are not major drivers. We also find that reductions in intensities are primarily through changes in techniques rather than compositional changes in the structure of economies.","PeriodicalId":47760,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems Research","volume":"35 1","pages":"438 - 457"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2022-11-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48627103","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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