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The Nexus between Economic Growth, Natural Resource Depletion and Foreign Direct Investment 经济增长、自然资源枯竭和外国直接投资之间的关系
IF 4.4 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.17059/ekon.reg.2023-2-18
L. Agheli, Levin, P. Im
The overall economic performance is summarised in the economic growth. It occurs when resources are combined technically in an effective way. While advanced countries have no reliance on natural resources, they experience steady growth compared to natural resource-abundant countries. The Caspian Sea basin countries (Azerbaijan, Iran, Kazakhstan, Russia, and Turkmenistan) and Central Asia states (Kyrgyz Republic, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan) own considerable mineral and ecological resources. This paper aims to examine the relationship between economic growth and natural resource depletion in the region during 1997–2019. Due to abundance of natural resources, this region trades fossil fuels and minerals with other economic blocs. Hence, foreign direct investment is added into the regression model in order to account for economic openness. In addition, the share of industry value added in gross domestic product is included to embody the industrialisation impact on economic growth. Finally, the tertiary enrolment is entered into the regression to measure the effect of human capital on economic growth. After specifying the econometric model, variables under study were tested for unit root. Due to difference in order of integration among variables, panel fully modified least squares method was used to estimate the model. The estimation results indicate the significant and positive effects of natural resource depletion, foreign direct investment, the share of industry value added and tertiary enrolment on economic growth. These findings imply that natural resource depletion contributes to economic growth much greater than foreign direct investment and tertiary enrolment. Thus, the resource curse is not confirmed across the examined countries.
经济的总体表现可以用经济增长来概括。当资源在技术上以一种有效的方式组合时,就会发生这种情况。发达国家虽然不依赖自然资源,但与自然资源丰富的国家相比,它们的增长是稳定的。里海盆地国家(阿塞拜疆、伊朗、哈萨克斯坦、俄罗斯和土库曼斯坦)和中亚国家(吉尔吉斯共和国、塔吉克斯坦和乌兹别克斯坦)拥有可观的矿产和生态资源。本文旨在研究1997-2019年该地区经济增长与自然资源枯竭的关系。由于自然资源丰富,该地区与其他经济集团进行化石燃料和矿物贸易。因此,在回归模型中加入外商直接投资,以解释经济开放度。此外,还纳入了工业增加值占国内生产总值的比重,以体现工业化对经济增长的影响。最后,将高等教育入学率纳入回归,衡量人力资本对经济增长的影响。在确定计量模型后,对研究变量进行单位根检验。由于变量间的积分顺序不同,采用面板完全修正最小二乘法对模型进行估计。结果表明,自然资源枯竭、外商直接投资、产业增加值占比和高等教育入学率对经济增长有显著的正向影响。这些发现表明,自然资源枯竭对经济增长的贡献远远大于外国直接投资和高等教育招生。因此,资源诅咒并没有在所有被调查的国家得到证实。
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引用次数: 0
Clustering of Regions Using Basic Agricultural and Economic Criteria 基于基本农业经济标准的区域聚类研究
IF 4.4 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.17059/ekon.reg.2023-1-14
R. Shestakov, E. I. Lovchikova
The diversity of natural, climatic, and economic conditions of Russian regions implies a wide range of approaches to their classification. Simultaneously, the task of creating an abstract methodology for any branch of the national economy becomes more complicated. Effective clustering plays an important role in the establishment and implementation of agricultural and economic policies. The paper explores the potential of basic agricultural and economic regional clustering based on time series of main eco-nomic and agricultural development indicators. The dynamic segmentation technique was applied in order to monitor and predict the direction of meso-economic changes. Official Russian statistics were analysed to identify groups of indicators on production, production and institutional, and production and structural criteria. The k-means clustering algorithm was chosen as the key research method. Based on the three simulated regional segments, baseline average values were calculated. Then, the segments were classified according to the obtained characteristics. The outliers, significantly differing from the main data sets, were considered separately. The findings confirmed a wide spatial distribution of regions included in certain agricultural and economic segments. The presented classification can be applied to justify the directions and choice of instruments of agricultural and economic policy and a strategy for creating production clusters. Moreover, it can be used to plan the activities of regional agri-businesses and reduce their devel-opment imbalances. To improve the dynamic segmentation technique in the field of agricultural and economic development, the analysis can be expanded by changing the examined time interval, increasing the number of factors included in the model and their interactions, and introducing new clustering algorithms. Additionally, this model can be used to forecast structural changes and production dynamics.
俄罗斯各地区自然、气候和经济条件的多样性意味着它们的分类方法范围很广。同时,为国民经济的任何一个部门建立一个抽象的方法论的任务变得更加复杂。有效集群在农业和经济政策的制定和实施中发挥着重要作用。基于主要经济和农业发展指标的时间序列,探讨了基础农业和经济区域集聚的潜力。采用动态分割技术对中观经济变化方向进行监测和预测。对俄罗斯官方统计数据进行了分析,以确定有关生产、生产和体制以及生产和结构标准的指标组。选择k-means聚类算法作为重点研究方法。基于三个模拟区域段,计算基线平均值。然后,根据得到的特征对片段进行分类。与主要数据集显著不同的异常值被单独考虑。调查结果证实,包括某些农业和经济部门在内的区域在空间上分布广泛。所提出的分类可用于证明农业和经济政策的方向和工具的选择,以及创建生产集群的战略。此外,它还可用于规划区域农业企业的活动并减少其发展不平衡。为了改进农业和经济发展领域的动态分割技术,可以通过改变检测时间间隔、增加模型中包含的因素数量及其相互作用、引入新的聚类算法来扩展分析范围。此外,该模型还可用于预测结构变化和生产动态。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamics and Regional Features of Labour Market Recovery During COVID-19 2019冠状病毒病期间劳动力市场复苏的动态和区域特征
IF 4.4 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.17059/ekon.reg.2023-1-7
A. V. Topilin, O. D. Vorobyova
The imbalance between labour supply and demand, both by types of economic activity and by professional groups, differs in Russian regional labour markets, causing long-term unemployment and im-poverishment of the population. The article examines the transformation of the labour market, regional characteristics of market failures and its recovery during the COVID-19 pandemic. Based on sample surveys of the labour force conducted by the Federal State Statistics Service, we determined monthly unemploy-ment dynamics and, subsequently, the vulnerability and instability of regional labour markets. It is hypoth-esised that the stronger the contraction of employment and the greater the unemployment, the longer the process of labour market recovery during the pandemic; regions recover from the crisis at different speeds. Indicators of the intensity of labour market failures and its recovery are proposed. Since the pandemic is a peculiar phenomenon that affected the economy and society, human behaviour in the labour market, the concept of excessive unemployment was used (the difference between actual unemployment and its pre-pandemic level). We performed a correlation analysis of the relations between labour market failures and its recovery in four groups of regions characterised by different labour market fluctuations. The cal-culated Spearman’s coefficients showed a positive relationship between the indicators. The depth of la-bour market failures and its recovery rate in regions with developed infrastructure, attracting labour mi-grants, are revealed. A positive relationship was established between the unemployment dynamics and the increase in vacancy rate reported by employers to employment agencies, increase in the average monthly salary. This article presents the results of the first research stage. Further studies will expand the time se-ries of employment and unemployment in order to identify long-term trends and build a forecasting model.
按经济活动类型和按专业群体划分的劳动力供求不平衡在俄罗斯各区域劳动力市场各不相同,造成长期失业和人口贫困。本文考察了2019冠状病毒病大流行期间劳动力市场的转变、市场失灵的区域特征及其复苏。根据联邦国家统计局对劳动力进行的抽样调查,我们确定了每月的失业动态,并随后确定了区域劳动力市场的脆弱性和不稳定性。假设就业萎缩越严重,失业率越高,大流行期间劳动力市场复苏的过程就越长;不同地区从危机中复苏的速度不同。提出了劳动力市场失灵及其复苏强度的指标。由于大流行病是一种特殊现象,影响到经济和社会以及劳动力市场中的人类行为,因此使用了过度失业的概念(实际失业率与大流行病前水平之间的差距)。我们对以不同劳动力市场波动为特征的四组地区的劳动力市场失灵与复苏之间的关系进行了相关分析。计算得到的Spearman系数表明,各指标之间存在正相关关系。报告揭示了基础设施发达地区劳动力市场失灵的深度及其恢复速度,这些地区吸引了劳动力移民。失业动态与雇主向职业介绍所报告的空缺率增加、平均月薪增加之间存在正相关关系。本文介绍了第一阶段的研究成果。进一步的研究将扩大就业和失业的时间序列,以确定长期趋势并建立预测模型。
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引用次数: 0
Comparative Assessment of Digitalisation in Russian Industrial Regions 俄罗斯工业地区数字化的比较评估
IF 4.4 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.17059/ekon.reg.2023-1-5
G. Korovin
Technological and organisational opportunities provided by digitalisation to the society and economy can help improve the efficiency of industry and advance the development of industrial regions. The study aims to assess the digitalisation level and rate of industrial regions in comparison with the av-erage Russian level. For this purpose, structural and dynamic analysis, as well as the method of grouping of various indicators from the official Russian statistics in the field of ICT were applied. It was hypothe-sised and confirmed that digital technologies are used more intensively in industrial regions. In terms of the use of basic information technologies, the values are higher by 1-7 %. Organisations in industrial re-gions are 3 % more likely to use global networks to interact with counterparts. There are also more en-terprises (by 4 %) that have implemented automated data exchange with partners. Industrial regions have been using special design, production management and product lifecycle software 15 % more often since 2018. However, a hypothesis of a larger-scale implementation of advanced digital technologies in indus-trial regions has not been unequivocally confirmed. The values are higher only for indicators of the use of industrial robots (by 25 %), artificial intelligence technologies (by 12.4 %), digital platforms (by 3.4 %), geo-information systems (by 4.7 %), the Internet of Things (by 4.3 %). The findings can be used to develop digi-talisation strategies at the regional and federal levels. Variability of the regulatory framework for collecting statistics and underdeveloped terminology in the field of digital technologies can be considered as limita-tions to the application of the results. Further research may focus on building econometric and other models for implementing digitalisation in regions.
数字化为社会和经济提供的技术和组织机会有助于提高工业效率,促进工业区的发展。该研究旨在评估工业地区与俄罗斯平均水平相比的数字化水平和速度。为此目的,采用了结构和动态分析,以及对俄罗斯在信通技术领域的官方统计数据中的各种指标进行分组的方法。这是一个假设,并证实了数字技术在工业地区的使用更为密集。在基础信息技术的使用方面,价值高出1- 7%。工业地区的组织使用全球网络与同行互动的可能性要高3%。也有更多的企业(4%)实现了与合作伙伴的自动化数据交换。自2018年以来,工业区域使用特殊设计、生产管理和产品生命周期软件的频率增加了15%。然而,在工业试验区大规模实施先进数字技术的假设尚未得到明确证实。只有工业机器人(增长25%)、人工智能技术(增长12.4%)、数字平台(增长3.4%)、地理信息系统(增长4.7%)、物联网(增长4.3%)的使用指标的价值更高。研究结果可用于制定地区和联邦层面的数字化战略。收集统计数据的监管框架的可变性和数字技术领域不发达的术语可以被认为是对结果应用的限制。进一步的研究可能侧重于建立计量经济学和其他模型,以便在地区实施数字化。
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引用次数: 0
Dependence of Informal Employment on Population Income in Russian Regions: Lessons from the Pandemic 俄罗斯地区非正规就业对人口收入的依赖:大流行的教训
IF 4.4 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.17059/ekon.reg.2023-2-11
. Н.Н.КуницынаiD, А. В. Д. I. С. Ф. университет, Российская Ставрополь, Федерация, СОЦиА льНОе РАЗВитие РеГиОНА, . NataliaN.KunitsynaiD, Aleksandr V. Dzhioev
The coronavirus spread transformed the economy and social order, and dealt a crushing blow to the labour market. Considering the worsening unemployment, it becomes important to reduce informal employment, which leads to an increase in the shadow economy. It is hypothesised that the decline in official income is accompanied by an increase in informal employment differentiated across Russian region. The study aims to theoretically justify and empirically confirm the relationship between the consequences of the pandemic, decline in population income and dynamics of informal employment in regions, as well as to develop ways to reduce their negative impact on the labour market. The study utilised an approach of the Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) to determining employment criteria; additionally, expert and analytical methods, analysis of statistical series, clustering and cartography were applied. The regions were clustered according to Ward’s hierarchical method based on weighted standardised data. To this end, official data from Rosstat, the United Nations, and the World Bank were examined. As a result, the analysis of informal employment in Russian regions during the pandemic did not confirm the hypothesis, showing that informal employment actually decreased in most constituent entities; the largest decrease was observed in the North Caucasus republics. The performed clustering revealed groups of Russian regions in terms of the dependence of informal employment on average per capita income and gross regional product per capita. The obtained findings can be used to develop standard solutions for establishing long- and short-term support measures for employees at the national, regional and micro-level aimed at reducing the negative impact of the identified reasons for the growth of informal employment.
冠状病毒的传播改变了经济和社会秩序,并对劳动力市场造成了毁灭性打击。考虑到日益严重的失业问题,减少非正规就业就显得尤为重要,这导致了影子经济的增加。据推测,官方收入的下降伴随着俄罗斯各地区不同的非正式就业的增加。这项研究旨在从理论上证明和从经验上证实大流行病的后果、人口收入下降和各区域非正规就业动态之间的关系,并制定减少其对劳动力市场的负面影响的方法。这项研究采用了联邦国家统计局(Rosstat)确定就业标准的方法;此外,还采用了专家分析法、统计序列分析法、聚类法和制图法。在加权标准化数据的基础上,采用Ward分层聚类方法对区域进行聚类。为此,我们研究了俄罗斯国家统计局、联合国和世界银行的官方数据。结果,对大流行病期间俄罗斯各地区非正规就业情况的分析没有证实这一假设,表明大多数组成实体的非正规就业实际上有所减少;减少最多的是北高加索共和国。所进行的聚类揭示了俄罗斯地区在非正式就业对平均人均收入和人均区域生产总值的依赖方面的群体。所得的调查结果可用于制定标准的解决办法,以便在国家、区域和微观一级为雇员制定长期和短期支助措施,旨在减少已查明的导致非正规就业增长的原因所产生的负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial-Rating Assessment of Entrepreneurial Performance in Industrial Parks of Russian Regions 俄罗斯地区工业园区创业绩效的空间分级评价
IF 4.4 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.17059/ekon.reg.2023-2-17
E. Piskun, K. B. Brusnikin
Analysis of statistics at the micro-level shows that the development trends of a large number of resident entrepreneurial structures of industrial parks are characterised by adverse dynamics. Accordingly, assessment of the performance of entrepreneurial structures and improvement of their management models in the general system of industrial parks become more relevant. This paper presents a methodological approach to the construction of a spatial-rating assessment of the performance of entrepreneurial structures in the system of industrial parks functioning. As a result, two groups of Russian regions were identified, among which a potential resident, when making a decision on the placement of production facilities, can choose a region taking into account its investment attractiveness and industrial activity. Two discriminant groups of industrial parks were determined, the condition of which can be defined as economically inefficient and efficient, by evaluating parks with low and high values of the park rating level in terms of attractiveness for external investors and resident entrepreneurial structures. The proposed methodological approach can be applied to improve the quality of decisions on the formation of differentiated strategies for sustainable development of both individual entrepreneurial structures in the system of industrial parks and their clusters, and regions as a whole. It is recommended for both enterprises and industrial parks when making decisions on the formation of strategies and development scenarios, as well as for federal and regional authorities when designing documents for the territorial development on the strategic and tactical level.
微观层面的统计分析表明,大量工业园区居民创业结构的发展趋势具有不利动态的特征。因此,在工业园区总体系统中对企业结构的绩效评价和管理模式的改进就显得更为重要。本文提出了一种方法方法来构建工业园区功能系统中企业结构绩效的空间等级评价。因此,确定了两组俄罗斯地区,其中潜在居民在决定生产设施的位置时,可以根据其投资吸引力和工业活动来选择一个地区。通过对园区对外部投资者吸引力和居民创业结构的评价,确定了经济效率低下和经济效率高的两类判别型园区。所提出的方法方法可用于提高工业园区及其集群系统中个体企业结构和整个区域可持续发展差异化战略形成决策的质量。建议企业和工业园区在制定战略和发展方案时,以及联邦和地区当局在设计战略和战术层面的领土发展文件时使用。
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引用次数: 1
Improving the Stability of power Supply in Regions on the Basis of Smart Local Energy Systems 基于智能局部能源系统提高区域供电稳定性
IF 4.4 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.17059/ekon.reg.2023-1-13
F. Byk, L. Myshkina, M. Kozhevnikov
A modern organisational and technological structure of the energy sector emerged due to the development of distributed energy improving the reliability, efficiency and environmental friendliness of regional power supply systems. The study aims to substantiate the economic benefits of integrating smart local energy systems (SLES) based on distributed energy into regional power supply systems. Using heu-ristic and theoretical methods, the article explores the genesis of SLES and reveals factors that spur their development in regions. Analysis of empirical data from the implemented SLES projects revealed the ac-celerating pace of adoption of distributed energy by various regional economic sectors, allowing us to esti-mate the effects. Municipal smart local energy systems have a priority over those in agriculture and man-ufacturing, since their integration generates systemic effects significant for the region. These effects in-clude increased availability of energy at socially acceptable prices, reduced cross-subsidisation, flexible energy supply through the use of smart technology, and better conditions for small and medium-sized en-terprises. A key factor limiting the implementation of SLES projects is an underdeveloped institutional en-vironment, which could be improved by changing the current rules of the wholesale and retail markets of electricity and capacity. In particular, it might be expedient to include SLES in regional energy systems in order to justify changes in the regulatory framework. The paper presents a comprehensive examination of the properties and characteristics of smart local energy systems and suggests ways to obtain useful eco-nomic effects in the development of regional power supply systems. As for the practical value, the research emphasises the appeal of SLES to investment companies and outlines conditions for a region’s sustaina-ble development.
由于分布式能源的发展,提高了区域供电系统的可靠性、效率和环境友好性,能源部门的现代组织和技术结构出现了。本研究旨在验证将基于分布式能源的智能局部能源系统(SLES)集成到区域供电系统中的经济效益。本文运用实证分析和理论分析的方法,探讨了区域经济发展的成因,揭示了促进区域经济发展的因素。对已实施的SLES项目的经验数据的分析显示,各个区域经济部门采用分布式能源的速度正在加快,这使我们能够估计其影响。市政智能本地能源系统优先于农业和制造业,因为它们的整合会对该地区产生重大的系统性影响。这些影响包括以社会可接受的价格增加能源供应,减少交叉补贴,通过使用智能技术实现灵活的能源供应,以及改善中小企业的条件。限制SLES项目实施的一个关键因素是体制环境不发达,这可以通过改变电力和容量批发和零售市场的现行规则来改善。特别是,在区域能源系统中包括SLES可能是一种权宜之计,以便证明改变管理框架是合理的。本文全面分析了智能局部能源系统的特性和特点,并提出了在区域供电系统发展中获得有益经济效益的途径。在实践价值方面,研究强调了SLES对投资公司的吸引力,并概述了区域可持续发展的条件。
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引用次数: 1
Modelling of Regional Economic Management in Conditions of Mass Diseases 群体性疾病条件下的区域经济管理模型
IF 4.4 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.17059/ekon.reg.2023-2-1
. И.В.ЛутошкинiD, М. С. Рыбина, . IgorV.LutoshkiniD, Maria S. Rybina
Economic globalisation, logistics intensification, world population growth and increasing mobility lead to the emergence of mass diseases, determining the behaviour of various economic agents. The article offers a new tool for analysing regional economic management in conditions of mass diseases, which combines both socio-biological and economic factors in one economic and mathematical model. The proposed model is based on the description of disease dynamics among various population groups (SIR or SIER compartmental models) and corresponding socio-economic changes. Investments in the improvement of hospital beds, in the construction of new hospitals, and in information campaigns to combat the disease are considered as control actions on the economic system. Thus, the regional management system can apply this tool to quantify and compare possible management decisions, taking into account the mutual influence of biological and socio-economic factors. Mathematical models in population biology and epidemiology were analysed in order to construct the tool and assess its parameters by the methods of regression correlation analysis, simulation modelling, and numerical analysis of the differential equation system. In particular, statistical information on the COVID-19 pandemic in Russia and Ulyanovsk oblast for 2020 was examined during the research. The developed software package was utilised to model the presence or absence of restrictive measures during the reviewed period; then, a comparative analysis of these strategies was conducted. The described tool can be adapted to assess the management strategies of various economic agents. It can be further supplemented with quality criteria and appropriate algorithms for selecting optimal strategies to manage regional economy in conditions of mass diseases.
经济全球化、物流集约化、世界人口增长和流动性增加导致大规模疾病的出现,决定了各种经济主体的行为。本文将社会生物学和经济因素结合在一个经济和数学模型中,为分析群体性疾病条件下的区域经济管理提供了一种新的工具。提出的模型是基于对不同人群之间疾病动态的描述(SIR或SIER分区模型)和相应的社会经济变化。在改善医院床位、建设新医院和开展防治疾病的宣传运动方面的投资被视为对经济系统的控制行动。因此,区域管理系统可以应用这一工具来量化和比较可能的管理决策,同时考虑到生物和社会经济因素的相互影响。采用回归相关分析、模拟建模和微分方程组数值分析等方法,分析了种群生物学和流行病学的数学模型,构建了该工具并对其参数进行了评估。研究期间特别审查了2020年俄罗斯和乌里扬诺夫斯克州2019冠状病毒病大流行的统计信息。已开发的软件包用于模拟审查期间是否存在限制措施;然后,对这些策略进行了比较分析。所描述的工具可以用来评估各种经济主体的管理策略。它可以进一步补充质量标准和适当的算法,以选择在群体性疾病条件下管理区域经济的最佳策略。
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引用次数: 0
Cluster Assessment of European Countries in Terms of Digitalisation and Sustainable Development 欧洲国家数字化与可持续发展的聚类评估
IF 4.4 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.17059/ekon.reg.2023-1-1
Z. Belyaeva, Y. Lopatkova
The world economic development nowadays is characterised by the significance of digital in-novations and sustainable development in all areas of production and management. However, the exist-ing literature still cannot explain how environmental, economic and social factors of sustainable develop-ment corresponding to these innovations affect the new global ecosystem, based on the introduction and adaptation of digital technologies and achievement of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) at the national level. The article presents the results of the authors’ assessment and classification of countries according to the achievement of the SDGs and implementation of digital innovations in the national and global economy. The empirical analysis utilises the data on the digitalisation performance in-dicators of the Global Innovation Index (GII) and the Sustainable Development Goals Index (SDG Index). The country assessment matrix was classified in terms of digitalisation and sustainable development and tested on a sample of European countries. Cluster analysis of 39 European countries identified four homo-geneous clusters, which have distinctive systemic characteristics: advanced countries, catching-up coun-tries, locomotive countries and leaders in sustainable and digital development. The identified clusters ex-pand the possibilities for substantiating socio-economic and technological strategies at the country — re-gion — industry level. Russia is revealed as one of the eleven catching-up countries. The paper specifies the directions of the strategy to achieve the target digitalisation and sustainable development in the pro-cess of integration of the SDGs into national indicators. The proposed assessment can be used to adjust the state policy for the co-development of digital innovations and sustainable development indicators.
当今世界经济发展的特点是数字化创新和可持续发展在生产和管理的各个领域的重要性。然而,现有文献仍然无法解释基于数字技术的引入和适应以及国家层面联合国可持续发展目标(sdg)的实现,与这些创新相对应的可持续发展的环境、经济和社会因素如何影响新的全球生态系统。本文介绍了作者根据可持续发展目标的实现情况和数字创新在国家和全球经济中的实施情况对各国进行评估和分类的结果。实证分析利用了全球创新指数(GII)和可持续发展目标指数(SDG指数)的数字化绩效指标数据。国家评估矩阵根据数字化和可持续发展进行分类,并在欧洲国家样本上进行了测试。对39个欧洲国家的聚类分析发现,发达国家、追赶国家、火车头国家和可持续发展和数字化发展的领导者这四个同质集群具有鲜明的系统特征。确定的集群扩大了在国家-区域-工业一级实现社会经济和技术战略的可能性。俄罗斯是11个正在追赶的国家之一。本文明确了在将可持续发展目标纳入国家指标的过程中实现数字化和可持续发展目标的战略方向。所提出的评估可用于调整国家政策,以促进数字创新和可持续发展指标的共同发展。
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引用次数: 0
Tax System Reform as a Challenge to Economic Reform: A Case Study of Jordan 税制改革对经济改革的挑战:以约旦为例
IF 4.4 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.17059/ekon.reg.2023-2-21
Sanaa Maswadeh
Governments care about the tax system and pay attention to it not as a tool for collecting money, but rather as a tool of economic reform, so that taxes achieve their financial, economic and social goals, and then achieve tax justice and protect the poor and middle class. Thus, this study came to investigate the effect of the tax revenue structure in Jordan on economics reform indicators (per individual income growth rate, public debt, openness trade, and inflation) as a challenge to the economic reform. The study population consists of the public sector of the ministries and public sector departments responsible for preparing the general budget and the Jordanian Department of Statistics, with the aim of relying on data issued by them during the time period 1990-2019. Multiple regression models were used to study hypotheses. The research results showed that direct tax (income and profits tax) in Jordan did not significantly affect the economic reform indicators, while there was a negative significant impact at a significance level (á ≤ 0.05) of sales tax on the economic reform indicators. Additionally, the study found that there is no significant effect of indirect taxes (property tax and foreign trade) on economic indicators relative to GDP represented in per individual income growth rate, public debt, and inflation. Among the recommendations of the study is that Jordan must develop the country’s public revenues from its own resources in order to reduce dependence on foreign debt.
政府对税收制度的关心和重视,不是把它作为收税的工具,而是把它作为经济改革的工具,使税收实现其财政、经济和社会目标,从而实现税收公正,保护穷人和中产阶级。因此,本研究旨在探讨约旦税收结构对经济改革指标(人均收入增长率、公共债务、开放贸易和通货膨胀)的影响,作为对经济改革的挑战。研究对象包括负责编制总预算的部委和公共部门部门以及约旦统计局的公共部门,目的是依靠它们在1990-2019年期间发布的数据。采用多元回归模型对假设进行研究。研究结果表明,约旦直接税(所得税和利得税)对经济改革指标的影响不显著,而销售税对经济改革指标的影响在显著性水平(≤0.05)上呈显著负向。此外,研究发现间接税(财产税和外贸)对相对于人均收入增长率、公共债务和通货膨胀所代表的GDP的经济指标没有显著影响。研究报告的建议之一是,约旦必须利用本国资源发展国家的公共收入,以减少对外债的依赖。
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Cambridge Journal of Regions Economy and Society
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