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Typology of Russian Regional Systems in Connection with the Decarbonisation of the Economy 俄罗斯区域系统与经济脱碳的类型学
IF 4.4 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.17059/ekon.reg.2023-1-3
D. Gainanov, R. Gataullin, R. Safiullin
The Paris Agreement on climate change was adopted on December 12, 2015 by 197 states. Despite mutual sanctions between Russia and a group of countries led by the United States, the agree-ment remains in force. Since sanctions negatively affect the dynamics of the global economy, they cannot be perpetually imposed. Therefore, the state should be ready for any changes in foreign economic relations, including the lifting of sanctions and, in particular, fulfilment of the requirements of the Paris Agreement. To decarbonise the economy, regions have to take effective action and thoroughly assess the future work. The influence of the emission factor in each region is determined by the scale and structure of the econ-omy. The study presents a typology of regions based on the scale of production, functional localisation, vol-ume and structure of exports to non-CIS countries, volume and structure of exports by economic sectors subject to environmental taxation by the European Union and members of the Paris Agreement. Industrial regions, being major exporters of fuel and energy, chemistry and petrochemistry, metals, agricultural pro-duction, are more dependent on decarbonisation. Economically underdeveloped regions, such as Dagestan, Ingushetia, Kabardino-Balkaria, Kalmykia, Karachay-Cherkessia, Tyva, Chechnya and Jewish Autonomous Oblast, do not actively participate in the international division of labour and, consequently, do not depend on decarbonisation processes. Thus, the territorial differentiation of Russian regional systems should be considered when implementing socio-economic strategies, which take into account decarbonisation pro-cesses. Introduction of international hydrocarbon regulation by the European Union and transition to envi-ronmentally friendly technologies for the production of goods and services will require the territorial and structural transformation of regional economic systems.
2015年12月12日,197个国家通过了《巴黎气候变化协定》。尽管俄罗斯和以美国为首的一些国家相互制裁,但该协议仍然有效。由于制裁对全球经济的动态产生消极影响,因此不可能永远实施制裁。因此,国家应该为对外经济关系的任何变化做好准备,包括取消制裁,特别是履行《巴黎协定》的要求。为了使经济脱碳,各地区必须采取有效行动,并彻底评估未来的工作。各区域排放因子的影响是由经济的规模和结构决定的。该研究根据生产规模、功能本地化、向非独联体国家出口的数量和结构、由欧盟和《巴黎协定》成员国征收环境税的经济部门的出口数量和结构,提出了一种区域类型。工业地区是燃料和能源、化学和石化、金属、农业生产的主要出口国,它们更依赖于脱碳。达吉斯坦、印古什、卡巴尔达-巴尔卡里亚、卡尔梅克、卡拉恰伊-切尔克斯、特瓦、车臣和犹太自治州等经济不发达地区没有积极参与国际劳动分工,因此不依赖于脱碳进程。因此,在实施考虑到脱碳进程的社会经济战略时,应考虑俄罗斯区域系统的地域差异。欧洲联盟实行国际碳氢化合物管制和向生产货物和服务的环境友好技术过渡将要求区域经济制度的领土和结构改革。
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引用次数: 1
Global Production Networks in the Regional Analysis Framework: Case of the EU Peripheral Automotive Manufacturing 区域分析框架下的全球生产网络:以欧盟周边汽车制造业为例
IF 4.4 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.17059/ekon.reg.2023-1-18
G. H. González, E. Sapir, A. Vasilchenko
Recent transformations following the global financial crisis of 2009, COVID-19 pandemic, supply chains disruptions and newest shocks have radically reshaped global production landscape and challenged comparative benefits of global production networks (GPN) vs global value chains (GVC) paradigms in international production analysis. The study tests the hypothesis that GPN concept allows for a better identification of structural shifts in international production structures while revealing regional patterns of cooperation. In the first section, the main methodological constraints of GVC paradigm are specified. Additionally, the reasons for the application of network-based approach to international production are outlined. The second section dissects the EU automotive manufacturing to support the theoretical propositions. While comparing GVC and GPN quantitative toolkits, the possible trade-off has been reached which is to calculate network indicators (transitivity, centrality, etc.) on the inter-country input-output tables. As a result, the hypothesis was confirmed. Specifically, betweenness centrality metric suggests that Czechia and Slovakia have immediately favoured a positive effect of the entry into the EU, whereas neither of GVC indicators reveals such a shift. Simultaneously, 2008 crisis is depicted via GVC indicators, whilst network metrics suggest no structural changes in the production system. These results corroborate to our theoretical juxtaposition of GVC/GPN approaches. The methodological cohesion of two sets of indicators further advances the views on European regional coreperiphery integration and automotive production networks dynamics. At the same time, the findings may contribute to the reassessment of regional integration developments in Europe, as well as in Latin America and Eurasia.
2009年全球金融危机、2019冠状病毒肺炎大流行、供应链中断和最新冲击之后的近期变革从根本上重塑了全球生产格局,并对国际生产分析中全球生产网络(GPN)与全球价值链(GVC)范式的比较效益提出了挑战。该研究验证了GPN概念可以更好地识别国际生产结构的结构变化,同时揭示区域合作模式的假设。在第一部分中,详细说明了全球价值链范式的主要方法约束。此外,还概述了将基于网络的方法应用于国际生产的原因。第二部分对欧盟汽车制造业进行剖析,为理论命题提供支撑。在比较全球价值链和全球网络的量化工具包时,可能会达成折衷,即在国家间投入产出表上计算网络指标(传递性、中心性等)。结果,这一假设得到了证实。具体而言,中间性中心指标表明捷克和斯洛伐克立即赞成加入欧盟的积极影响,而全球价值链指标都没有显示出这种转变。同时,2008年的危机是通过全球价值链指标来描述的,而网络指标表明生产系统没有结构性变化。这些结果证实了我们对GVC/GPN方法的理论并置。两组指标的方法衔接进一步推进了对欧洲区域核心-外围一体化和汽车生产网络动态的看法。同时,研究结果可能有助于重新评估欧洲以及拉丁美洲和欧亚大陆的区域一体化发展。
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引用次数: 0
Socio-Economic Determinants of Tobacco Consumption in Russian Regions 俄罗斯地区烟草消费的社会经济决定因素
IF 4.4 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.17059/ekon.reg.2023-2-6
С. В. Дорошенко, О. В. Санаева, . SvetlanaV.DoroshenkoiD, O. Sanaeva
Nowadays, it is necessary to analyse the influence of various socio-economic factors on the regional heterogeneity of tobacco consumption in Russia, since there is a lack of econometric studies based on regional data. The present study aims to assess the impact of financial, economic and educational factors on tobacco consumption in Russian regions. To this end, a simultaneous quantile regression approach, resistant to outliers, was applied to separately estimate the influence of the above factors on regions classified as light and heavy smokers. Panel data on 82 Russian regions for the period 2005-2019 was examined. The dependent variable is the percentage of household expenditures on tobacco obtained from a sample survey of household budgets. The main independent variables are education, income, unemployment, loan debt. Control variables include alcohol consumption, male-to-female ratio, divorce rate, proportion of the rural population, binary variables. The invariance of the impact of factors relative to the percentiles of regions was revealed. The greatest differences are observed between light and heavy smokers regions (q10 and q90 groups). Individual loan debts, average per capita income, alcohol consumption, increase in excise tax, divorces and emergence of e-cigarettes are significant for regions with low tobacco consumption and insignificant for regions with high consumption. High consumption regions are greatly influenced by the male-to-female ratio, number of graduates of secondary vocational institutions and proportion of the rural population. Such factors as higher education, crises and anti-tobacco laws are significant for each quintile. The results can be used to improve state policy measures to reduce the consumption of nicotine products. The study is limited by the lack of regional data in terms of age and gender.
目前,由于缺乏基于区域数据的计量经济学研究,有必要分析各种社会经济因素对俄罗斯烟草消费区域异质性的影响。本研究旨在评估金融、经济和教育因素对俄罗斯地区烟草消费的影响。为此,采用不受异常值影响的同步分位数回归方法,分别估计上述因素对轻度和重度吸烟地区的影响。研究了2005-2019年期间俄罗斯82个地区的小组数据。因变量是从家庭预算抽样调查中获得的家庭烟草支出的百分比。主要的自变量是教育、收入、失业、贷款债务。控制变量包括饮酒量、男女比例、离婚率、农村人口比例、二元变量。揭示了各因素影响相对于区域百分位数的不变性。在轻度和重度吸烟者之间观察到最大的差异(q10组和q90组)。个人贷款债务、人均收入、酒精消费、消费税增加、离婚和电子烟的出现在烟草消费低的地区显著,在烟草消费高的地区不显著。高消费地区受男女比例、中等职业院校毕业生数量和农村人口比例的影响较大。高等教育、危机和反烟草法律等因素对每一个五分位数都很重要。研究结果可用于完善国家减少尼古丁产品消费的政策措施。由于缺乏年龄和性别方面的区域数据,这项研究受到限制。
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引用次数: 0
Sustainable Development in Regional Strategies: Approaches and Solutions 区域战略中的可持续发展:方法和解决方案
IF 4.4 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.17059/ekon.reg.2023-1-2
I. Korshunov
The adoption of the UN 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development by the Russian Federation in 2016 requires the introduction of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) into na-tional strategies and policies. As most SDGs are already included in the main strategic planning documents, regional development strategies should be changed accordingly. This emerging practice of regional stra-tegic planning needs to be carefully studied. Based on the analysis of socio-economic strategies of eleven Russian regions included in the Northwestern Federal District, the present study shows the incorporation of the SDGs into regional strategic plans. The findings lead to the following conclusions. The implementa-tion of the SDGs in regional strategies is extremely heterogeneous, ranging from complete abstraction to their recognition as key development benchmarks. However, even the regions, which expressed the inten-tion to follow the UN Agenda in their strategies, did not establish clear plans for its implementation. The economic component of sustainable development is considered a priority, while social and environmen-tal components are underestimated, indicating that sustainable economic growth and related goals are seen as the main direction of regional development. Thus, sustainable development is yet to be achieved in the context determined by the UN Agenda and government strategic planning documents. It is necessary to further examine each region’s motivation for the introduction of the UN 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development into regional strategies. Government and administrative bodies can use the research find-ings to improve approaches to strategic planning and management of the development of Russia and its regions.
俄罗斯联邦在2016年通过了《联合国2030年可持续发展议程》,这就要求将联合国可持续发展目标纳入国家战略和政策。由于大多数可持续发展目标已被纳入主要战略规划文件,区域发展战略应相应改变。这种新兴的区域战略规划实践需要仔细研究。本研究通过对俄罗斯西北联邦区11个地区的社会经济战略分析,表明可持续发展目标已纳入地区战略规划。研究结果得出以下结论。在区域战略中实施可持续发展目标的情况极不相同,从完全抽象到将其视为关键的发展基准。然而,即使是在其战略中表示愿意遵循联合国议程的地区,也没有制定明确的实施计划。可持续发展的经济组成部分被认为是优先事项,而社会和环境组成部分被低估,这表明可持续经济增长和有关目标被视为区域发展的主要方向。因此,在联合国议程和政府战略规划文件确定的背景下,可持续发展尚未实现。有必要进一步研究各地区将联合国2030年可持续发展议程纳入区域战略的动机。政府和行政机构可以利用研究结果来改进俄罗斯及其地区发展的战略规划和管理方法。
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引用次数: 1
Methodology for Selecting Regions to Study the Adaptation of Agriculture to Climate Change 农业适应气候变化研究的区域选择方法
IF 4.4 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.17059/ekon.reg.2023-2-14
Н. М. Светлов, Nikolai M. Svetlov, Nikolai M. Svetlov — Dr
The impact of climate change on the social and institutional conditions of agriculture (as opposed to technological ones) in Russia has hardly been studied. With a limited budget, such research should examine a small sample of regions. To reduce the subjectivity, a formalised methodology for creating and ranking small samples of regions was developed. While occupying the largest possible share in the country’s gross agricultural production, the regions included in the sample should significantly differ in natural and agricultural zones, agricultural production efficiency, contribution of peasant farms to agricultural output. Unlike other methods, the proposed technique uses a linear programming problem, where all corner solutions are integer. Data envelopment analysis (DEA) was utilised to ensure the inclusion of both efficient and inefficient regions in the sample. In accordance with these requirements, Altai, Krasnoyarsk, Krasnodar krais and Moscow oblast were selected for analysis. For the regions included in at least one of the five best samples (such as Volgograd, Saratov and Leningrad oblasts), a model of partial equilibrium on the wholesale markets of agricultural products of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation (VIAPI model) was applied to assess the impact of scenario climate change on the output and wholesale prices of ten types of agricultural products. The research revealed that while the production in the selected regions is resistant to this influence, except for Altai and Krasnoyarsk krais, regional market prices are still rising due to the impact of world prices for milk products and grain.
气候变化对俄罗斯农业的社会和制度条件(与技术条件相反)的影响几乎没有被研究过。在预算有限的情况下,这类研究应该考察一小部分地区的样本。为了减少主观性,开发了一种形式化的方法来创建和排列区域的小样本。虽然在全国农业生产总值中所占的份额最大,但样本所包括的地区在自然和农业区域、农业生产效率、农民农场对农业产出的贡献方面应该存在显著差异。与其他方法不同,所提出的技术使用线性规划问题,其中所有角解都是整数。使用数据包络分析(DEA)来确保样本中有效和无效区域的包含。根据这些要求,我们选择了阿尔泰、克拉斯诺亚尔斯克、克拉斯诺达尔边疆区和莫斯科州进行分析。对于包括在五个最佳样本中至少一个的地区(如伏尔加格勒、萨拉托夫和列宁格勒州),应用俄罗斯联邦组成实体农产品批发市场的部分均衡模型(VIAPI模型)来评估情景气候变化对十种农产品产量和批发价格的影响。研究显示,除了阿尔泰和克拉斯诺亚尔斯克边疆区外,选定地区的生产对这种影响具有抵抗力,但由于世界奶制品和谷物价格的影响,该地区的市场价格仍在上涨。
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of Human Resources Considering Industry Specialisation 考虑行业专业化的人力资源决定因素
IF 4.4 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.17059/ekon.reg.2023-2-5
исследовательская статья, Zhanna A. Ermakova, N. Speshilova, Vyacheslav N. Shepel
Since digitalisation of the economy greatly affects the labour market, human resources in each constituent entity of Russia should be developed taking into account regional specialisation (agriculture, industry or other). Thus, the study aims to substantiate the determinants of human resources in regional economy by considering the dominance of various economic activities. Statistical data analysis, as well as comparison and causal analysis methods were utilised. The following significant determinants of human resources in regional economy were identified: the management system, labour availability and movement, vocational education system and, in particular, the role of local universities in it. The study suggested to introduce an automated intelligent decision support system (AIDSS) into the activities of regional authorities and proposed a methodological approach to the block-by-block organisation of data storage (on the example of Orenburg oblast). It is noted that the architecture and algorithm of AIDSS are being developed, which can be used for managing personnel, as well as for studying and predicting various factors affecting regional economy. The testing demonstrated that the population in Orenburg oblast has been decreasing since 2014. The share of rural population decreased more than the urban one; this factor negatively affected the reproduction of labour resources, considering economic specialisation of this regions. Orenburg oblast is characterised by slow implementation of innovations and the need to develop knowledge-intensive industries; therefore, it is necessary to intensify the training of highly qualified personnel (primarily at regional universities) competent to work in the conditions of digitalisation of the economy. Scientists and specialists in the field of human capital development can use the research findings to create state policies to ensure human resources in Russian regions.
由于经济数字化对劳动力市场产生了巨大影响,俄罗斯各组成实体的人力资源开发应考虑到区域专业化(农业、工业或其他)。因此,本研究旨在通过考虑各种经济活动的主导地位来证实区域经济中人力资源的决定因素。采用统计资料分析、比较分析、因果分析等方法。确定了区域经济中人力资源的下列重要决定因素:管理制度、劳动力供应和流动、职业教育制度,特别是地方大学在其中的作用。该研究建议在地区当局的活动中引入一个自动智能决策支持系统(AIDSS),并提出了一种数据存储的分块组织方法(以奥伦堡州为例)。报告指出,目前正在开发艾滋病信息系统的架构和算法,可用于人员管理,以及研究和预测影响区域经济的各种因素。测试表明,自2014年以来,奥伦堡州的人口一直在减少。农村人口比重下降幅度大于城市人口比重;考虑到该地区的经济专业化,这一因素对劳动力资源的再生产产生了负面影响。奥伦堡州的特点是创新实施缓慢,需要发展知识密集型产业;因此,有必要加强培养能够在经济数字化条件下工作的高素质人才(主要是在地方大学)。人力资本开发领域的科学家和专家可以利用研究成果制定国家政策,以确保俄罗斯各地区的人力资源。
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引用次数: 1
Industries Development with the Input-Output Analysis: Investment Simulation on Two Regencies in Indonesia 投入产出分析下的产业发展:印尼两大产业的投资模拟
IF 4.4 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.17059/ekon.reg.2023-1-17
F. Firmansyah, S. Oktavilia, S. Handayani
The similarity of the industrial structure of the main industries in two neighboring regencies, Wonosobo and Temanggung, Indonesia, is expected to result in equality demand for intermediate and primary inputs. The neighbouring regencies are located in the mountainous area and had similarities in economic structure. The goals of this study were to analyse the economic structure, select 5 main sectors in each district, and compare the impact of the economic investment on the main sectors in order to identify the effectiveness of the investment in the same production sector in the context of its impact on the economy. This research employed independent Input-Output analysis using the 2016 Input-Output Tables of Wonosobo and Temanggung regencies to evaluate the flow of intersectoral transactions and develop a multiplier analysis to determine development strategies which are shock injections applied to each region. This study hypothesises that the increase of sectoral investments increases output which is relatively the same in 5 corresponding industries in both regions. The obtained results showed that the selected main sector included Trade, Other Food and Beverage Industries, Building, and Wood and Wood Materials Industries. The investment on the main industrial sector led to a higher improvement in Temanggung rather than in Wonosobo. By simulating investment policies in two adjoining regencies, the optimally economic impact on each region and the cooperation approach used to carry out development planning can be assessed.
印度尼西亚的沃诺索博和特曼贡两个邻近地区的主要产业的产业结构相似,预计将导致对中间和初级投入的需求相等。邻近的县域都位于山区,经济结构有相似之处。本研究的目标是分析经济结构,选择每个地区的5个主要部门,并比较经济投资对主要部门的影响,以便在其对经济影响的背景下确定同一生产部门投资的有效性。本研究采用了独立的投入产出分析,使用了2016年Wonosobo县和Temanggung县的投入产出表来评估部门间交易的流动,并开发了一个乘数分析,以确定适用于每个地区的发展战略。本研究假设部门投资的增加增加了产出,这在两个地区的5个相应行业中是相对相同的。所得结果表明,选择的主要行业包括贸易、其他食品和饮料工业、建筑、木材和木材材料工业。对主要工业部门的投资导致Temanggung比Wonosobo有更高的改善。通过模拟两个相邻县域的投资政策,可以评估对每个区域的最佳经济影响以及用于实施发展规划的合作方法。
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引用次数: 1
Differentiation of Small Towns by Knowledge Localisation Factors 基于知识本土化因素的小城镇分化研究
IF 4.4 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.17059/ekon.reg.2023-2-3
Jel O18, Т. Б. Мельникова, Tatyana B. Melnikova, Tatyana B. Melnikova — Cand, Sci. Econ
The ambiguity of the causal relationship between knowledge creation and regional growth does not indicate its insignificance, as proven by numerous empirical studies. However, such works rarely examine small towns, characterised by uncertainty of knowledge sources. The article aims to identify and compare groups of similar small towns in the Central, Ural and Southern Federal Districts by using a set of knowledge localisation factors. A two-stage clustering was performed by the k-means method according to the following criteria: interactions between actors, specific knowledge stock and financial resources for commercialisation. The resulting cluster centres were divided into quartiles according to the grading system (good, satisfactory or poor). First, the study revealed 10 clusters in the Central Federal District, 7 clusters in the Ural Federal District and 5 clusters in the Southern Federal District. In 35 % of the towns of the Southern Federal District, 35 % of the Central Federal District and 38 % of the Ural Federal District, the estimated specific knowledge stock exceeded the availability of financial resources. Second, towns were differentiated by population and divided into two groups depending on the agglomeration impact of larger cities. Clusters were formed within each group and federal district. 50 % of Ural towns with a population of 10,000 to 20,000 people unaffected by the agglomeration, as well as 62 % of towns with more than 20,000 people have the advantage of specific knowledge stock over financial resources. These values are 18 % and 8 %, respectively, for the Central Federal District, 36 % and 30 % for the Southern Federal District. The findings can help extend the analytical framework for making decisions on the small towns development. Future research may focus on establishing measures to improve the characteristics of clusters.
大量实证研究证明,知识创造与区域增长之间因果关系的模糊性并不意味着其不重要。然而,这些作品很少考察小城镇,其特点是知识来源的不确定性。本文旨在通过使用一套知识本地化因素来识别和比较中部、乌拉尔和南部联邦区相似的小城镇群体。根据以下标准,通过k-means方法进行两阶段聚类:参与者之间的相互作用,特定知识存量和商业化的财务资源。根据评分系统(好、满意或差)将得到的聚类中心分为四分位数。首先,研究发现中央联邦区有10个集群,乌拉尔联邦区有7个集群,南部联邦区有5个集群。在南部联邦区35%的城镇、中央联邦区35%的城镇和乌拉尔联邦区38%的城镇,估计的具体知识存量超过了可用的财政资源。第二,以人口划分城镇,并根据较大城市的集聚效应将城镇划分为两类。在每个群体和联邦区内形成集群。乌拉尔1 - 2万人口的城镇中,50%未受集聚影响,2万以上的城镇中,62%具有特定知识存量优于财力的优势。这些数值在中央联邦区分别为18%和8%,在南部联邦区分别为36%和30%。研究结果有助于扩展小城镇发展决策的分析框架。未来的研究重点可能是建立改善集群特征的措施。
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引用次数: 0
Methodology for Assessing the Effectiveness of Investment Policy in Russian Regions 评估俄罗斯地区投资政策有效性的方法
IF 4.4 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.17059/ekon.reg.2023-1-20
V. Myakshin, V. Petrov, T. N. Pesiakova
Objective and reliable information on the investment results, as well as the methodology for their comprehensive assessment are necessary to make effective investment decisions. The conducted analysis of modern investment ratings revealed numerous methodological problems. Thus, the present study aims to develop a new and promising tool for examining the investment attractiveness of Russian regions and assessing the effectiveness of their investment policy. Kaplan and Norton’s balanced score-card model is used as the main research method. The configuration of the balanced scorecard was determined in accordance with the key investment factors; it includes four components: development; natural resource; political, economic and social; production and financial. The study identified main assessment indicators connected with the key investment factors and information needs of investment actors (pubic authorities, private investors, population). Additionally, the article proposed assessment methods and a measuring system based on the target values of indicators, depending on the objectives of regional investment policy. To determine the achievement of these objectives, the target and actual (showing the investment results) values of indicators were compared. The significant deviation of these values allowed us to establish priorities of regional investment policy. Based on the data from the Federal State Statistics Service, the developed methodology was tested on regions of the Russian Arctic. The natural resource component positively influences the investment attractiveness of these regions, while the development component has a negative impact. The revealed differentiation and multidirectional dynamics of integral indicators indicate an imbalance in certain areas of the investment policy of these regions (excluding the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia)), limiting the realisation of their investment potential. Based on the research results, ways to increase regional investment attractiveness were described.
要作出有效的投资决策,客观可靠的投资结果信息及其综合评价方法是必要的。对现代投资评级的分析揭示了许多方法上的问题。因此,本研究旨在开发一个新的和有前途的工具来检查俄罗斯地区的投资吸引力和评估其投资政策的有效性。本文采用Kaplan和Norton的平衡计分卡模型作为主要研究方法。根据关键投资因素确定平衡计分卡的配置;它包括四个部分:发展;自然资源;政治、经济和社会;生产和财务。这项研究确定了与关键投资因素和投资行为者(公共当局、私人投资者、人口)的信息需要有关的主要评价指标。此外,根据区域投资政策目标,提出了基于指标目标值的评价方法和衡量体系。为了确定这些目标的实现情况,将指标的目标值与实际值(显示投资结果)进行比较。这些值的显著偏差使我们能够确定区域投资政策的优先级。根据联邦国家统计局的数据,开发的方法在俄罗斯北极地区进行了测试。自然资源部分正向影响区域投资吸引力,而发展部分负向影响区域投资吸引力。综合指标所显示的差异和多向动态表明,这些地区(萨哈(雅库特)共和国除外)投资政策的某些领域不平衡,限制了其投资潜力的实现。在此基础上,提出了提高区域投资吸引力的途径。
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引用次数: 0
Product Segments of the Agri-food Market: Unified Approach or Targeted State Regulation 农产品市场的产品细分:统一方式还是国家定向调控
IF 4.4 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.17059/ekon.reg.2023-2-16
T. Belova, I. N. Chernyshov, R. Gubanov
The state policy of protectionism in the agri-food sector yielded ambiguous results, such as success in agriculture and achievement of food security thresholds on the one hand, and a sharp increase in food prices on the other. Sugar market has satisfied domestic demand and therefore needs either export expansion or production restriction. The article analyses the development dynamics of the sugar beet industry and sugar consumer market in 2000-2021. The study aims to assess the effectiveness of existing state support measures in the sugar market, considering changes in import substitution. It is hypothesised that in case of saturation of the market with domestic products, the state should support consumers rather than producers. Statistical data analysis and simulation modelling were used as the main research methods. Nominal Protection Coefficient (NPC) was chosen to indicate changes in state support. Domestic market volume under constant demand was assessed. Given that the average per capita sugar consumption remains at 39 kg/person, domestic consumption is 5.8 million tonnes. Considering current production volumes (7.6 million tonnes), the equilibrium price of sugar is estimated at 37 roubles/kg. Calculated NPC values show the dominance of market price transfers for sugar producers. Thus, it is necessary to switch to unrelated support measures for strengthening the effect of market mechanisms. The results can be adapted to develop specific agricultural policy instruments. Future research may conduct deeper structural analysis of selected segments of food markets in order to identify regional and corporate characteristics of participant interaction and adjustment of state regulation measures.
农业食品部门的国家保护主义政策产生了模棱两可的结果,例如一方面在农业方面取得了成功,实现了粮食安全门槛,另一方面粮食价格急剧上涨。食糖市场已经满足了国内需求,因此需要扩大出口或限制生产。本文分析了2000-2021年甜菜产业和糖消费市场的发展动态。考虑到进口替代的变化,本研究旨在评估现有国家对糖市场支持措施的有效性。假设在国内产品市场饱和的情况下,国家应该支持消费者而不是生产者。主要研究方法为统计数据分析和仿真建模。选择名义保护系数(NPC)来表示国家支持的变化。评估了持续需求下的国内市场数量。鉴于人均糖消费量保持在39公斤/人,国内消费量为580万吨。考虑到目前的产量(760万吨),食糖的均衡价格估计为37卢布/公斤。计算出的NPC值表明,市场价格转移对食糖生产商起主导作用。因此,有必要转向不相关的支持措施,以加强市场机制的作用。研究结果可用于制定具体的农业政策工具。未来的研究可以对选定的食品市场细分市场进行更深入的结构分析,以确定参与者互动和国家监管措施调整的区域和企业特征。
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引用次数: 0
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Cambridge Journal of Regions Economy and Society
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