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Human Experts and AI Models in Offender Risk Assessment: A Comparative Pilot Study Using the HCR-20V3 人类专家和人工智能模型在罪犯风险评估中的应用:基于HCR-20V3的比较试点研究。
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2025-11-11 DOI: 10.1002/bsl.70023
Shai Farber

This pilot study compares offender risk assessments conducted by human experts and advanced large language models (LLMs) within the HCR-20V3 framework. Both groups evaluated a series of synthetic forensic case vignettes designed to simulate realistic clinical conditions. Quantitative results indicate that AI models consistently assigned higher overall risk scores and demonstrated greater inter-rater reliability compared to human assessors. Qualitative analysis revealed distinct reasoning patterns: AI systems emphasized historical and static risk factors and often recommended more intensive management strategies, whereas human experts focused on recent behavioral improvements, dynamic change, and rehabilitation potential. These contrasts highlight fundamental differences between algorithmic pattern recognition and human clinical judgment. The findings suggest that integrating AI-generated analyses with professional expertise can enhance the consistency and transparency of risk evaluations, while preserving the ethical, contextual, and human-centered insights essential to forensic and clinical decision-making.

这项试点研究比较了HCR-20V3框架内由人类专家和高级大型语言模型(llm)进行的罪犯风险评估。两个小组都评估了一系列旨在模拟现实临床条件的合成法医案例。定量结果表明,与人类评估者相比,人工智能模型始终赋予更高的总体风险评分,并表现出更高的评级间可靠性。定性分析揭示了不同的推理模式:人工智能系统强调历史和静态风险因素,通常建议更密集的管理策略,而人类专家则关注最近的行为改进、动态变化和康复潜力。这些对比突出了算法模式识别与人类临床判断之间的根本差异。研究结果表明,将人工智能生成的分析与专业知识相结合,可以提高风险评估的一致性和透明度,同时保留对法医和临床决策至关重要的道德、背景和以人为本的见解。
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引用次数: 0
An Empirical Study of the Factors Influencing the Confession Behaviour of Criminal Suspects 犯罪嫌疑人供述行为影响因素的实证研究。
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2025-10-31 DOI: 10.1002/bsl.70022
Haixin Guan, Xuelian Zhao

The incidence of confession behaviour among criminal suspects in custodial situations and the associated factors were explored through an analysis of questionnaire data obtained from criminal suspects in custody at detention centres. A high overall confession rate of criminal suspects in the investigation stage was observed, particularly during the initial interrogation. A binary logistic regression model indicated that the factors associated with confession behaviour were education level, prior criminal experience, strength of adverse evidence, and information-gathering interrogation strategy. The findings of this study verify that the confession behaviour of criminal suspects is affected by a combination of individual characteristics, criminological factors, and contextual interrogation factors in the judicial and cultural context of China. The predictive model of suspects' confessions provides local empirical evidence that could inform cross-cultural research on the interactive process model as well as provide a practical basis for scientific, effective interventions and guidance of confession behaviour.

通过对从拘留中心被拘留的犯罪嫌疑人获得的问卷数据进行分析,探讨了被拘留情况下犯罪嫌疑人的招供行为发生率及其相关因素。在调查阶段,特别是在初步审讯阶段,观察到犯罪嫌疑人的总体招供率很高。二元logistic回归分析表明,与供述行为相关的因素有教育程度、犯罪前科、不利证据的强弱和情报收集策略。本文的研究结果验证了中国司法文化背景下犯罪嫌疑人的招供行为受到个人特征、犯罪学因素和情境讯问因素的综合影响。犯罪嫌疑人招供预测模型为互动过程模型的跨文化研究提供了局部经验证据,为科学有效地干预和指导招供行为提供了实践依据。
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引用次数: 0
Cross-Cultural Differences in Beliefs About Lie Detection: A Comparison of Arab and Non-Arab Australians 关于测谎信念的跨文化差异:阿拉伯和非阿拉伯澳大利亚人的比较。
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2025-10-28 DOI: 10.1002/bsl.70021
Walaa Katta, Emma L. Turley, Amanda Rebar, Rebecca Wilcoxson

In the Australian criminal justice system, police and jurors (members of the general public) judge a suspect's credibility to determine guilt. Studies show that the general public and some Australian police officers have stated that they often use nonverbal behaviour to detect lies. However, nonverbal behaviour is an unreliable lie detection method, particularly when used cross-culturally, given cultural differences in nonverbal behaviour and perceptions. There is a lack of cross-cultural lie detection research in Australia, and no studies have investigated the lie detection methods used by Arab–Australians. This study utilised an open-ended question and a 10-item questionnaire created by the Global Deception Research Team to explore potential lie detection method differences between a sample of Arab- (n = 102) and non-Arab–Australians (n = 70). The results showed that while most participants in both groups were confident in their ability to detect deceit, Arab–Australians thought they could detect lies significantly more than non-Arab Australians. Both Arab- and non-Arab participants tended to rely on non-verbal behaviour to detect lies; however, there were some differences, some of which were surprising given purported cultural differences with some nonverbal behaviours. This has significant implications for understanding how cultural context influences perceptions of truthfulness.

在澳大利亚的刑事司法系统中,警察和陪审员(一般公众成员)通过判断嫌疑人的可信度来判定其是否有罪。研究表明,普通大众和一些澳大利亚警察表示,他们经常使用非语言行为来检测谎言。然而,非语言行为是一种不可靠的测谎方法,特别是在跨文化使用时,考虑到非语言行为和认知的文化差异。澳大利亚缺乏跨文化测谎研究,也没有研究调查阿拉伯裔澳大利亚人使用的测谎方法。这项研究使用了一个开放式问题和一个由全球欺骗研究小组创建的10项问卷来探索阿拉伯裔澳大利亚人(n = 102)和非阿拉伯裔澳大利亚人(n = 70)在测谎方法上的潜在差异。结果显示,虽然两组中的大多数参与者都对自己识破谎言的能力充满信心,但阿拉伯裔澳大利亚人认为自己识破谎言的能力明显高于非阿拉伯裔澳大利亚人。阿拉伯人和非阿拉伯人的参与者都倾向于依靠非语言行为来识别谎言;然而,也有一些差异,其中一些是令人惊讶的,因为一些非语言行为的文化差异。这对于理解文化背景如何影响对真实性的认知具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Decoding Disbelief: Using Natural Language Processing's Sentiment Analysis to Assess 24 Years of Unfounded Rape Reports Narratives 解码怀疑:使用自然语言处理的情感分析来评估24年来毫无根据的强奸报告叙事。
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2025-10-23 DOI: 10.1002/bsl.70020
Rachel E. Lovell, Lacey Caporale, Jiaxin Du

Rape myths, including the belief that victims frequently lie, contribute to barriers in justice, such as the disproportionate use of the “unfounded” classification—where, following an investigation, it is determined no crime occurred. This study analyzes rape report narratives tied to previously untested sexual assault kits (N = 5638) from a large, urban Midwestern (US) jurisdiction, focusing on differences in narratives deemed unfounded or where officers expressed victim lying/doubt. Using natural language processing's sentiment analysis, we assessed tone (via polarity and subjectivity) and word counts. Results showed that unfounded narratives were shorter and more negatively written than others but did not differ in subjectivity. Victim lied/doubted narratives showed no significant difference in polarity, subjectivity, or length compared to others. These findings highlight how bias can manifest in written narratives, potentially influencing case outcomes. Addressing these biases through improved report writing and limiting the misuse of the unfounded classification is essential to support victims' pathways to justice.

强奸的神话,包括受害者经常撒谎的信念,助长了司法障碍,例如过度使用“无根据”分类,即在调查后确定没有犯罪发生。本研究分析了来自中西部(美国)一个大型城市司法管辖区的强奸报告叙述与先前未经测试的性侵犯包(N = 5638)有关,重点关注被认为是毫无根据的叙述或警察表示受害者撒谎/怀疑的叙述的差异。使用自然语言处理的情感分析,我们评估了语气(通过极性和主观性)和字数。结果表明,无根据叙述比其他叙述更短,写得更消极,但主观性没有差异。受害者撒谎/怀疑的叙述在极性、主观性或长度上与其他叙述没有显著差异。这些发现强调了偏见如何在书面叙述中表现出来,可能影响案件结果。通过改进报告写作和限制滥用毫无根据的分类来解决这些偏见,对于支持受害者诉诸正义的途径至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Retention of Training Effects in Police Officers Following Scalable AI Simulations of Child Sexual Abuse Interviews 在可扩展的人工智能模拟儿童性虐待访谈后,警察培训效果的保留。
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2025-10-13 DOI: 10.1002/bsl.70019
Shumpei Haginoya, Yongjie Sun, Pekka Santtila

Child sexual abuse (CSA) investigations require high-quality interviews, but maintaining interviewing skills long-term has been challenging. This study investigated the long-term effectiveness of avatar-based interview training for CSA investigations among 478 police officers. Participants were randomly assigned to single booster (n = 291) or double booster (n = 187) groups. Following initial training, the single booster group received reinforcement at 6 months, while the double booster group received sessions at 1 and 6 months. Results showed that initial training significantly improved interviewing skills, increasing recommended questions and relevant details elicited. While the double booster group demonstrated better skill maintenance over time, no differences in relearning saving rates were observed between groups at 6 months. The study indicates that avatar-based training with regular booster sessions effectively enhances and maintains CSA interviewing competence. Future research should examine skill transfer to real interviews and optimal booster scheduling.

儿童性虐待(CSA)调查需要高质量的访谈,但长期保持访谈技巧是一项挑战。本研究以478名警员为对象,探讨了基于化身的访谈训练对CSA调查的长期效果。参与者被随机分配到单强化剂组(n = 291)或双强化剂组(n = 187)。在初始训练后,单强化组在6个月时接受强化训练,双强化组在1个月和6个月时接受强化训练。结果表明,初步培训显著提高了面试技巧,增加了推荐问题和相关细节的引出。虽然双强化组随着时间的推移表现出更好的技能维持,但在6个月时,两组之间的再学习储蓄率没有差异。研究表明,基于虚拟形象的培训与定期的辅助课程有效地提高和维持了CSA面试能力。未来的研究应该检查技能转移到真实的面试和最佳的助推器调度。
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引用次数: 0
Admissibility of Prior Sexual History Evidence: Examining Its Impact on Mock-Jurors’ Judgments When Gender and Race Are Considered 先前性史证据的可采性:在考虑性别和种族的情况下检验其对模拟陪审员判决的影响。
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2025-10-10 DOI: 10.1002/bsl.70018
Bailey M. Fraser, Emily Pica, Joanna D. Pozzulo

Rape shield laws restrict the admission of prior sexual history evidence (PSHE) in sexual assault trials in various countries, including Canada and the U.S. Despite such laws, admission of PSHE is often at the discretion of a trial judge. The current study examined the effect of PSHE (present, absent), victim and defendant gender (male, female), and victim race (White, Indigenous) on mock-juror decision-making. Undergraduate students (N = 484) read a mock-trial transcript depicting a rape case. Mock-jurors provided guilt ratings and perceptions of the victim and defendant. Mock-jurors assigned higher guilt ratings, held less favourable perceptions of the defendant, and more favourable perceptions of the victim, when PSHE was absent. Mock-jurors also were more likely to reach a guilty verdict when the victim was male (as opposed to female). Finally, mock-jurors perceived the defendant less favourably, and the victim more favourably, when the victim was Indigenous, as opposed to White.

在包括加拿大和美国在内的许多国家,强奸保护法限制在性侵犯审判中承认有前科的性史证据(PSHE),尽管有这样的法律,PSHE的承认通常是由审判法官酌情决定的。本研究考察了PSHE(在场、缺席)、受害者和被告性别(男性、女性)和受害者种族(白人、土著)对模拟陪审员决策的影响。本科生(N = 484)阅读了一份描述强奸案的模拟审判记录。模拟陪审员提供了对受害者和被告的罪责评级和看法。当PSHE缺席时,模拟陪审员给出了更高的有罪评级,对被告的看法不那么有利,对受害者的看法更有利。当受害者是男性(而不是女性)时,模拟陪审员更有可能做出有罪判决。最后,当受害者是土著而不是白人时,模拟陪审员对被告的看法不那么有利,对受害者的看法更有利。
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引用次数: 0
Judges at Risk: A Review of Homicides of U.S. Judges 危险中的法官:对美国法官谋杀案的回顾。
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2025-10-01 DOI: 10.1002/bsl.70012
William N. Robiner, Eugene Borgida

We identified 54 homicides of U.S. judges since the 1800s through news accounts, databases, and the National Violent Death Reporting System (NVDRS). Most (92.6%) decedents were men. More than half of the homicides had a connection to work. Firearms were the most common attack method. Although violence is relatively common in U.S. courts, homicides of judges are rare. Homicide nevertheless is an occupational hazard and potential threat for judges necessitating effective security measures to safeguard judges in and outside of courts. We advocate for the development of a comprehensive national database for refining risk management strategies throughout the judicial system. The psychological impact of violence, and how the judicial system responds to threats of judicial homicide, are public policy issues warranting additional study and resources.

我们通过新闻报道、数据库和国家暴力死亡报告系统(NVDRS)确定了自19世纪以来美国法官的54起凶杀案。大多数(92.6%)死者为男性。超过一半的凶杀案与工作有关。枪支是最常见的攻击手段。虽然暴力在美国法院相对常见,但谋杀法官的情况却很少。然而,杀人对法官来说是一种职业危害和潜在威胁,需要采取有效的安全措施来保护法院内外的法官。我们主张建立一个全面的国家数据库,以完善整个司法系统的风险管理战略。暴力的心理影响以及司法系统如何应对司法杀人的威胁是公共政策问题,需要进一步研究和提供资源。
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引用次数: 0
Consent Myths and Norm Violation Responses: Reconceptualizing Rape Myth Theory in Sexual Assault Sentencing in China 同意神话与违反规范的反应:中国性侵判决中强奸神话理论的再认识。
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2025-10-01 DOI: 10.1002/bsl.70016
Yali Peng, Xiaohong Yu

Criminal sentencing in sexual assault cases exhibits systematic disparities based on victim-offender relationships, yet existing theoretical explanations remain inadequate for understanding the underlying cognitive mechanisms. This study reconceptualizes rape myth theory by distinguishing between two distinct cognitive structures: consent myths that operate through everyday cultural reinforcement, and norm violation responses that activate through moral boundary violations. Analyzing 7701 Chinese rape case judgments (2012–2020), we demonstrate that these mechanisms produce opposing sentencing effects. Consent myths lead to sentencing discounts of 5%–9% for acquaintance and intimate partner cases, while norm violation responses trigger 25% longer sentences for familial cases. This dual-structure framework explains previously puzzling cross-cultural patterns, including why Chinese courts impose harsher punishment on family members than strangers. We identify two critical moderating factors that interact differently with these myth types. Lay assessor participation produces “accidental equity” through generalized punitiveness, compressing relationship-based disparities via universal severity rather than bias correction. Provincial modernization demonstrates contradictory effects: reducing consent myth influence through changing gender norms while simultaneously amplifying norm violation responses through heightened moral sensitivity. Crucially, female educational advancement proves more effective than general economic growth in reducing rape myth influence.

性侵犯案件的刑事量刑表现出基于受害者-罪犯关系的系统性差异,但现有的理论解释仍然不足以理解潜在的认知机制。本研究通过区分两种不同的认知结构来重新定义强奸神话理论:通过日常文化强化运作的同意神话,以及通过违反道德边界激活的规范违反反应。通过对2012-2020年中国7701起强奸案件判决的分析,我们发现这些机制产生了相反的量刑效应。在熟人和亲密伴侣案件中,“同意神话”导致判刑折扣5%-9%,而在家庭案件中,违反规范的回应会导致25%的刑期延长。这种双重结构框架解释了之前令人困惑的跨文化模式,包括为什么中国法院对家庭成员的惩罚比对陌生人更严厉。我们确定了与这些神话类型相互作用的两个关键调节因素。非专业评估员的参与通过普遍的惩罚产生了“偶然的公平”,通过普遍的严厉程度而不是偏见纠正来压缩基于关系的差异。省级现代化表现出矛盾的效果:通过改变性别规范来减少同意神话的影响,同时通过提高道德敏感性来放大违反规范的反应。至关重要的是,事实证明,在减少强奸神话的影响方面,女性教育水平的提高比总体经济增长更有效。
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引用次数: 0
Two Views of Invalid Response Set and Malingering Attributions in Forensic Assessment: Credibility and Non-Credibility 司法鉴定中无效反应集与诈欺归因的两种观点:可信与不可信。
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2025-09-27 DOI: 10.1002/bsl.70013
Gerald Young, Laszlo A. Erdodi, Luciano Giromini

This article reviews two major sets of six articles on malingering and invalid response set, which have diametrically opposite conclusions on the value of performance and symptom validity tests (PVTs and SVTs) in forensic and related disability assessments (FDRA). First, we review the six-article series by the Leonhards, which takes the stance that PVTs and SVTs lack sufficient conceptual and empirical support to be utilized in FDRA. More specifically, the Leonhards criticize the circularity in using PVTs both as predictors and outcome criterion variables. Also, they argue that PVTs are highly correlated and collinear. However, we note that the Leonhards refer to PVTs as “malingering” tests, which they are not. Next, our article summarizes Young six-article series on invalid response sets, which (a) provides revised definitions of key terms; (b) proposes a new multivariate cutoff for invalid performance tied to the number of PVTs administered (“the 30% rule”); and (c) reviews research on the base rate of invalid response sets (generally below 30%). Finally, the present article reviews additional papers criticizing the Leonhards' approach, and introduces new data that support the standard approach. We recommend continued conceptual and empirical refinement, while re-affirming the utility of PVTs and SVTs in FDRA.

本文综述了两组主要的六篇关于装病和无效反应集的文章,这些文章对性能和症状效度测试(pvt和svt)在法医和相关残疾评估(FDRA)中的价值得出了截然相反的结论。首先,我们回顾了leonhardds的六篇系列文章,这些文章认为,在FDRA中使用pvt和svt缺乏足够的概念和实证支持。更具体地说,莱昂哈德夫妇批评了使用pts作为预测因子和结果标准变量的循环性。此外,他们认为pvt是高度相关和共线的。然而,我们注意到,莱昂哈德夫妇将pvt称为“装病”测试,事实并非如此。接下来,我们的文章总结了Young关于无效响应集的六篇文章系列,其中(a)提供了关键术语的修订定义;(b)针对无效表现提出了一个新的多变量截止值,该截止值与实施的pvt数量有关(“30%规则”);(c)回顾了无效应答集基本率的研究(一般在30%以下)。最后,本文回顾了批评莱昂哈德方法的其他论文,并介绍了支持标准方法的新数据。我们建议继续完善概念和经验,同时再次肯定pvt和svt在FDRA中的效用。
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引用次数: 0
Generative Artificial Intelligence in Violence Risk Assessment: Emerging Technology and the Ethics of the Inevitable 暴力风险评估中的生成式人工智能:新兴技术与不可避免的伦理。
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2025-09-20 DOI: 10.1002/bsl.70014
Neil R. Hogan, Gabriela Corăbian

Recent developments in artificial intelligence (AI) have stimulated considerable excitement and discussion regarding the potential impacts on people's lives and work. In particular, proposed and realized applications of generative AI have appeared across multiple industries and domains, including at the intersection of behavioral science and the law. This manuscript presents an ethical analysis of applications of generative AI to violence risk assessment, guided by the ethical principles of autonomy, beneficence and non-maleficence, and justice. The authors argue that generative AI, although capable of producing novel content, is nonetheless vulnerable to ethical problems, including through its exposure to biased training data. Issues such as limited transparency in decision making and the potential for the perpetuation and exacerbation of racial disparities are discussed. The authors recommend that professionals approach generative AI with due caution, as they would with any novel or emerging risk assessment approach, and suggest continued evaluation and research.

人工智能(AI)的最新发展引起了人们对其对人们生活和工作的潜在影响的相当大的兴奋和讨论。特别是,生成式人工智能的提出和实现的应用已经出现在多个行业和领域,包括行为科学和法律的交叉领域。本文在自主、仁慈和非恶意以及正义的道德原则的指导下,对生成式人工智能在暴力风险评估中的应用进行了伦理分析。作者认为,生成式人工智能虽然能够产生新颖的内容,但仍然容易受到道德问题的影响,包括暴露于有偏见的训练数据。讨论了诸如决策透明度有限以及种族差异长期存在和加剧的可能性等问题。作者建议专业人士谨慎对待生成式人工智能,就像对待任何新颖或新兴的风险评估方法一样,并建议继续进行评估和研究。
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引用次数: 0
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Behavioral Sciences & the Law
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