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Risk of What and Why? Disaggregating Pathways to Extremist Behaviours in Individuals Susceptible to Violent Extremism. 风险是什么?为什么?易受暴力极端主义影响的个体走向极端主义行为的途径。
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2024-12-08 DOI: 10.1002/bsl.2710
Caitlin Clemmow, Nicola Fowler, Amber Seaward, Paul Gill

Best practice in violent extremist risk assessment and management recommends adopting a Structured Professional Judgement (SPJ) approach. The SPJ approach identifies relevant, evidence-based risk and protective factors and requires experts to articulate hypotheses about a) what the person might do (risk of what), and b) how they've come to engage in the concerning behaviour (and why) (Logan 2021) to inform who, needs to do what, and when. Whilst the field continues to move towards adopting an SPJ approach, there remains a gap between what is known empirically and what is needed in practice. We apply psychometric network modelling to a sample of 485 individuals entered into Channel, the UK's preventing and countering violent extremism (P/CVE) program. We model the system of interactions from which susceptibility to violent extremism emerges, providing data driven evidence which speaks to risk of what and why. Our research highlights a way to generate evidence which captures the multifactorial nature of susceptibility to violent extremism, to support professional decision making in the context of an SPJ approach.

暴力极端主义风险评估和管理的最佳做法建议采用结构化专业判断方法。SPJ方法确定了相关的、基于证据的风险和保护因素,并要求专家阐明以下假设:a)人们可能会做什么(什么风险),b)他们是如何参与相关行为的(以及为什么)(Logan 2021),以告知谁、需要做什么、何时做什么。虽然该领域继续朝着采用SPJ方法的方向发展,但在经验知识和实践需要之间仍然存在差距。我们将心理测量网络模型应用于485名进入英国预防和打击暴力极端主义(P/CVE)计划的个人样本。我们对产生暴力极端主义易感性的互动系统进行建模,提供数据驱动的证据,说明风险的内容和原因。我们的研究强调了一种产生证据的方法,这种证据抓住了对暴力极端主义易感性的多因素性质,以支持SPJ方法背景下的专业决策。
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引用次数: 0
Classifying Female Sexual Homicide Offenders: A Latent Class Analysis of Murder Arrestees in the U.S. 分类女性性杀人罪犯:美国谋杀被捕者的潜在阶级分析
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2024-12-08 DOI: 10.1002/bsl.2709
Heng Choon Oliver Chan, Matt DeLisi, Timothy G Edgemon

Research on sexual homicides has primarily focused on male offenders, and thus little is known about female offenders who perpetrated sexual homicides. This study aimed to develop the first statistical classification of female single-victim (SV) sexual homicide offenders (SHOs) using the U.S. FBI's Supplementary Homicide Reports database that spanned over a 47-year period (1976-2022). A latent class analysis (LCA) was computed to detect subtypes of female SHOs in a sample of 158 offenders. Findings of the LCA identified two unique classes of female SHOs exist within the data: White intra-familial offenders and Black extra-familial offenders. The distinguishing features of these two classes were the offender's racial group, the victim's age and racial groups, the offender-victim relationship, the geographical urbanness level of crime location, and weapon use. This empirically-derived offender classification can be informative to law enforcement agents and security professionals in their investigative strategies.

关于性杀人的研究主要集中在男性罪犯身上,因此对实施性杀人的女性罪犯知之甚少。本研究旨在利用美国联邦调查局(FBI)的补充杀人报告数据库,对跨越47年(1976-2022)的女性单受害者(SV)性杀人罪犯(SHOs)进行首次统计分类。利用潜类分析(LCA)对158名女性SHOs罪犯的亚型进行检测。LCA的研究结果确定了数据中存在的两种独特类型的女性SHOs:白人家庭内罪犯和黑人家庭外罪犯。两类犯罪的显著特征分别为罪犯的种族、受害者的年龄和种族、罪犯与受害者的关系、犯罪地点的地理城市化程度和武器使用情况。这种经验衍生的罪犯分类可以为执法人员和安全专业人员提供调查策略方面的信息。
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引用次数: 0
Stranger Danger: Analyzing Offender Behaviors Based on Victim Approach Tactics in Sexual Homicide. 陌生人危险:基于被害人接近策略的性杀人犯罪行为分析。
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2024-12-06 DOI: 10.1002/bsl.2708
Zena Rossouw, Eric Beauregard, Julien Chopin

Victims of sexual homicide may be deceived by perpetrators who use a friendly approach to gain access to them, making it difficult for the victim to assess the danger posed by the stranger. When investigating sexual homicides committed by strangers, investigators often lack direct information, including how the perpetrator gained access to the victim. To identify potential predictors of the approach method used in sexual homicides, this study analyzed the preferences and behaviors of sexual murderers who target strangers based on their approach method. The results of the logistic regression analysis showed that in comparison to offenders using "blitz" or "surprise" attacks, those using a deceptive "con" approach tended to have more male victims, exploit vulnerability, and exhibit post-crime organization by relocating the victim's body and successfully disposing of the weapon used in the crime. Their crimes also more frequently involved oral sex and had lower rates of victim beating. This study discusses the investigative implications of these findings.

性谋杀的受害者可能被作恶者欺骗,作恶者用友好的方式接近他们,使受害者难以评估陌生人构成的危险。在调查陌生人犯下的性杀人案时,调查人员往往缺乏直接信息,包括犯罪者是如何接触到受害者的。为了确定性谋杀中使用的接近方法的潜在预测因素,本研究分析了基于接近方法的性杀人犯的偏好和行为。logistic回归分析结果显示,与“闪电战”或“突然袭击”相比,采用欺骗性“欺骗”方法的犯罪分子往往有更多的男性受害者,利用脆弱性,并通过转移受害者尸体和成功处理犯罪所用武器来表现出犯罪后的组织。他们的犯罪也更频繁地涉及口交,而且殴打受害者的比例更低。本研究讨论了这些发现的调查意义。
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引用次数: 0
False Confessions: An Integrative Review of the Phenomenon. 虚假供述:对该现象的综合评价。
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2024-12-04 DOI: 10.1002/bsl.2707
Michael Welner, Matt DeLisi, Theresa Janusewski

Confessions are an important evidentiary part of the legal process, and false confessions have been notable contributors to wrongful convictions. However, academic research in the psychology and law field primarily relies on student or volunteer samples in staged exercises, methodological features that lack ecological validity for replicating police interrogation or the pressures distinctive to high stakes crime investigations. Here, we provide an integrative review of research and data on false confessions during police interrogations with distinctions of key concepts, relevant case law pertaining to confessions including several U.S. Supreme Court decisions, updating the typology of false confessions, the quantification of false confessions, risk factors for false confessions, interrogation risk factors for false confessions, validity threats to false confessions research, and recommended directions for informing courts and the law.

供词是法律程序中重要的证据部分,而虚假供词是导致错判的显著因素。然而,心理学和法律领域的学术研究主要依赖于学生或志愿者的实验样本,缺乏复制警察审讯或高风险犯罪调查特有的压力的生态有效性的方法特征。在这里,我们提供了一个综合审查的研究和数据在警察审讯中的虚假供词的关键概念的区别,相关的案例法与供词,包括几个美国最高法院的判决,更新虚假供词的类型,虚假供词的量化,虚假供词的风险因素,虚假供词的审讯风险因素,虚假供词的有效性威胁研究,并推荐了通知法院和法律的方向。
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引用次数: 0
An Exploration of Risk Factors for Further Police Contact Among Females Known for Online Child Sexual Exploitation Offenses. 网络儿童性剥削犯罪女性进一步与警方联系的风险因素探讨。
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2024-12-02 DOI: 10.1002/bsl.2703
Erika Fortunato, Reneta Slikboer, Marie Henshaw, Denny Meyer, James R P Ogloff

Despite increases in online child sexual exploitation (OCSE) internationally, no study has examined risk factors for re-offending among females who perpetrate OCSE, resulting in limited knowledge regarding the idiosyncratic needs of this cohort. This study explored factors predictive of further police contact among 116 females known to police for OCSE offenses in Victoria, Australia. Four binary regressions were run for each of Any, Violent, and Non-Violent re-offending, with one regression each focusing on characteristics related to offending history, index offending, co-offending, and victimization. Predicted probabilities from each model were then input as predictors into a final binary regression for each recidivism type. Offending history emerged as the most robust predictor across re-offending types, even when controlling for other domains. Victimization and index offending also predicted Non-Violent re-offending, while co-offending was not predictive across any analysis. These preliminary findings have implications for the unique management needs of females who perpetrate OCSE.

尽管网络儿童性剥削(OCSE)在国际上有所增加,但没有研究调查过发生网络儿童性剥削(OCSE)的女性再次犯罪的风险因素,导致对这一群体特殊需求的了解有限。这项研究在澳大利亚维多利亚州的116名女性中探索了预测进一步与警察接触的因素。对任意、暴力和非暴力再犯罪分别进行了四个二元回归,每个回归分别关注与犯罪历史、指数犯罪、共同犯罪和受害相关的特征。然后将每个模型的预测概率作为预测因子输入到最终的二元回归中,用于每种累犯类型。即使在控制其他领域的情况下,犯罪历史也成为再犯罪类型中最可靠的预测因素。受害和指数犯罪也能预测非暴力再犯罪,而共同犯罪在任何分析中都不能预测。这些初步发现对女性OCSE患者独特的管理需求具有启示意义。
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引用次数: 0
International and Interdisciplinary Perspectives on School Violence and Bullying, Cyberbullying, and Cyber Deviance: An Introductory Essay. 国际和跨学科的观点对学校暴力和欺凌,网络欺凌,和网络越轨:介绍性论文。
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1002/bsl.2704
Ji-Kang Chen, Heng Choon Oliver Chan

School violence and bullying, cyberbullying, and cyber-deviance have become subject matters of great concern for various disciplines, such as social work, criminology, psychology, education, medicine, public health, and nursing. In the past years, scholars in different countries have adopted the theoretical perspectives developed in their respective disciplines to separately examine issues of school violence and bullying, cyberbullying, and cyber deviance. For example, researchers in the field of social sciences tend to adopt psychosocial theories and perspectives, while public health scholars tend to adopt medical- or health-related theories. There is a call for the international and interdisciplinary perspectives to examine these topics and their potential interconnectedness. There is also an urgent need to systematic strategies, policies, and intervention to tackle school violence and bullying, cyberbullying, and cyber deviance. The purpose of this special issue is to deepen our understanding of issues related to school violence and bullying, cyberbullying, and cyber-deviance, to expand our cross-disciplinary and integrated perspectives on these topics, and to provide potential legal strategies, policy, and intervention to tackle these social problems.

校园暴力与欺凌、网络欺凌和网络越轨行为已成为社会工作、犯罪学、心理学、教育、医学、公共卫生和护理等各学科高度关注的主题。近年来,各国学者采用各自学科发展的理论视角,分别研究校园暴力与欺凌、网络欺凌和网络越轨问题。例如,社会科学领域的研究人员倾向于采用心理社会理论和观点,而公共卫生学者则倾向于采用医学或健康相关理论。我们呼吁从国际和跨学科的角度来审视这些主题及其潜在的相互联系。还迫切需要系统的战略、政策和干预措施来解决校园暴力和欺凌、网络欺凌和网络越轨行为。本期特刊的目的是加深我们对校园暴力和欺凌、网络欺凌和网络越轨行为相关问题的理解,扩展我们对这些主题的跨学科和综合视角,并提供潜在的法律策略、政策和干预措施来解决这些社会问题。
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引用次数: 0
The Forced-To-Penetrate Myth Acceptance Scale (FTP-MAS): A New Attitudinal Tool for Assessing Myths That Surround Female Perpetrated Sexual Violence Against Men 强迫穿透神话接受量表(FTP-MAS):一种评估女性对男性实施性暴力神话的新态度工具。
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1002/bsl.2706
Siobhan Weare, Dominic Willmott

The purpose of this study was to develop and validate a new measurement tool designed to capture endorsement of myths surrounding female perpetrated sexual violence against men, specifically in ‘forced-to-penetrate’ cases. Data were collected among a sample of 4152 UK adults aged 18–55+ (52% female). Dimensionality and construct validity of the Forced-to-Penetrate Myth Acceptance Scale (FTP-MAS) was investigated using traditional Confirmatory Factor Analysis (CFA) techniques separately for the complete sample, males only, and females only. CFA results indicated that FTP-MAS scores are best captured by a three-factor model (1. Distorted Sex and Gender Roles; 2. Harm Minimisation; 3. Offence Denial) across all samples tested. Excellent composite reliability and differential predictive validity were observed for all three subscales. The validated 22-item FTP-MAS constitutes the first measurement tool which allows for the assessment and evaluation of public attitudes towards female perpetrators who force men to penetrate them without consent. As such, this tool enables researchers to better understand the multi-faceted nature of these myths, assess prevalence in different contexts, and can also be used as an outcome measure in research seeking to evaluate the effectiveness of interventions that aim to debunk endorsement of such myths and stereotypes.

本研究的目的是开发和验证一种新的测量工具,旨在捕捉关于女性对男性实施性暴力的神话的认可,特别是在“强迫渗透”的情况下。数据收集了4152名年龄在18-55岁以上的英国成年人(52%为女性)的样本。采用传统的验证性因子分析(CFA)技术,分别对完整样本、男性样本和女性样本进行了强制穿透神话接受量表(FTP-MAS)的维度和结构效度调查。CFA结果表明,FTP-MAS评分最好通过三因素模型(1)来捕获。扭曲的性别与性别角色;2. 无害的;3. 罪行否认)在所有测试样本。所有三个分量表的综合信度和差异预测效度都很好。经验证的包含22个项目的性行为调查是第一个测量工具,可以用来评估和评价公众对强迫男子在未经同意的情况下插入她们的女性犯罪者的态度。因此,该工具使研究人员能够更好地了解这些神话的多面性,评估不同背景下的流行情况,也可以作为研究的结果衡量标准,旨在评估旨在揭穿这些神话和刻板印象的认可的干预措施的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
One Person, Two Identities: The Problem of Legal Gender Recognition of a Transgender Person in Europe 一个人,两种身份:欧洲跨性别者的法律性别承认问题。
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2024-11-30 DOI: 10.1002/bsl.2702
Maciej Rzewuski

The legal recognition of the gender status of transgender people in Europe (and indeed worldwide) is undoubtedly a complex and multifaceted issue, which has prompted academics and legal practitioners to raise numerous scientific questions and seek answers thereto. The gravity of this issue is heightened by the fact that the daily functioning of a transgender person in society as a person of registered (assigned at birth) sex that is incongruent with their self-perception exposes them to constant and conspicuous distress (the so-called gender dysphoria), often manifested in various forms of discrimination. The role of every European state should be to eliminate, or at least minimize, such distress and the risk of discrimination. One of the ways to attain these specified objectives may very well be the eponymous procedure of legal gender recognition for transgender people. This article was conceived with the perspective of human rights in mind. Consequently, its primary assertion is that the aim of every proceeding (be it judicial or administrative) concerning gender recognition is the realization of comprehensive protection of rights and freedoms for a transgender person. An additional aim of the present article is to attempt to facilitate the task of judges who adjudicate cases involving gender recognition, officials who process applications for changes in civil status records, and attorneys who represent transgender people in matters pertaining to changing a person's name and gender marker on identity documents.

欧洲(乃至全世界)对跨性别者性别地位的法律承认无疑是一个复杂而多方面的问题,这促使学者和法律从业者提出了许多科学问题并寻求答案。这个问题的严重性被以下事实所强调:一个变性人在社会中的日常功能,作为一个登记的(出生时指定的)性别与他们的自我认知不一致的人,使他们经常受到明显的痛苦(所谓的性别焦虑),通常表现为各种形式的歧视。每个欧洲国家的角色都应该是消除(或至少是最小化)这种痛苦和歧视风险。实现这些特定目标的方法之一很可能是对跨性别者进行法律上的性别承认。这篇文章是考虑到人权的观点而构思的。因此,它的主要主张是,关于性别承认的每一个程序(无论是司法程序还是行政程序)的目的都是实现对跨性别者的权利和自由的全面保护。本条款的另一个目的是试图促进审理涉及性别承认案件的法官、处理公民身份记录变更申请的官员以及代表跨性别者处理有关更改身份证件上的姓名和性别标记的事务的律师的工作。
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引用次数: 0
Survey of change-of-venue motions in appellate court transcripts of murder trials (2000–2020): Which factors make a difference? 对上诉法院谋杀案审判记录中变更审判地点动议的调查(2000-2020 年):哪些因素会产生影响?
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2024-10-05 DOI: 10.1002/bsl.2700
Nadav Goldschmied, Anna Ancona, Amanda Yap

A court may move the location of the trial to another jurisdiction if the jury pool is deemed biased by the judge, a legal maneuver based on a “Change of Venue” motion (CoVm). We surveyed the frequency and the factors associated with granting the motion at the state level when the defendant was charged with murder. We reviewed court transcripts of appealed murder convictions during the 2000–2020 years from Nexis. We complied a sample of 832 CoVm and conducted a nested regression analysis. We repeated the procedure with a subset of 360 CoVm for which we could identify the race of the defendant and victim. Overall, the success rate of CoVm was 23.5% but varied widely between the states. The motion was more likely to be granted in jurisdictions with smaller populations and a policeman was the victim. It was also found that Black and Latino defendants were less successful than Whites in winning CoVm. The racial disparity in CoVm decisions is especially concerning given past findings that people of color suffer heightened negative local pretrial publicity. In light of the findings, we advocate for a more uniform state legislation.

如果法官认为陪审团有偏见,法院可以将审判地点转移到另一个司法管辖区,这是一种基于 "变更审判地点 "动议(CoVm)的法律行为。我们调查了州一级在被告被控谋杀时批准动议的频率和相关因素。我们查阅了 Nexis 中 2000-2020 年间上诉谋杀定罪的法庭记录。我们收集了 832 份 CoVm 样本,并进行了嵌套回归分析。我们对可以确定被告和受害人种族的 360 个 CoVm 子集重复了上述程序。总体而言,CoVm 的成功率为 23.5%,但各州之间差异很大。在人口较少且受害者为警察的司法管辖区,动议更有可能获得批准。研究还发现,黑人和拉丁裔被告在 CoVm 案中的胜诉率低于白人。鉴于过去的研究结果显示,有色人种在当地审前宣传中遭受的负面影响更大,CoVm 判决中的种族差异尤其令人担忧。鉴于上述发现,我们主张制定更加统一的州立法。
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引用次数: 0
Are risk assessment tools more accurate than unstructured judgments in predicting violent, any, and sexual offending? A meta-analysis of direct comparison studies 在预测暴力犯罪、任何犯罪和性犯罪方面,风险评估工具比非结构化判断更准确吗?直接比较研究的荟萃分析。
IF 1 3区 社会学 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2024-10-03 DOI: 10.1002/bsl.2698
Jodi L. Viljoen, Ilvy Goossens, Sanam Monjazeb, Dana M. Cochrane, Lee M. Vargen, Melissa R. Jonnson, Adam J. E. Blanchard, Shanna M. Y. Li, Jourdan R. Jackson

We conducted a pre-registered meta-analysis of studies that directly compared the predictive validity of risk assessment tools to unstructured judgments of risk for violent, any, or sexual offending. A total of 31 studies, containing 169 effect sizes from 45,673 risk judgments, met inclusion criteria. Based on the results of three-level mixed-effects meta-regression models, the predictive validity of total scores on risk assessment tools was significantly higher than that of unstructured judgments for predictions of violent, any, and sexual offending. Tools continued to outperform unstructured judgments after accounting for risk of bias. This finding was also robust to variations in population, assessment context, and outcome measurement. Although this meta-analysis provides support for the use of risk assessment tools, it also highlights limitations and gaps that future research should address.

我们对直接比较风险评估工具与非结构化的暴力、任何或性犯罪风险判断的预测有效性的研究进行了预先登记的荟萃分析。共有 31 项研究符合纳入标准,其中包含来自 45,673 次风险判断的 169 个效应大小。根据三级混合效应元回归模型的结果,在预测暴力犯罪、任何犯罪和性犯罪方面,风险评估工具总分的预测有效性明显高于非结构化判断。在考虑偏差风险后,工具的预测有效性仍然高于非结构化判断。这一结论在不同的人群、评估环境和结果测量中也是稳健的。尽管这项荟萃分析为风险评估工具的使用提供了支持,但也强调了未来研究应解决的局限性和差距。
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引用次数: 0
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Behavioral Sciences & the Law
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