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Procuring Medical Devices: The Price Effect of Mergers Among Orthopedic Prostheses Producers 医疗器械采购:骨科假体生产商并购的价格效应
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-01-20 DOI: 10.1111/joie.12408
Vincenzo Atella, Nicola Ceschin, Francesco Decarolis

This paper quantifies the price effects of a merger between two major producers of orthopedic prostheses. It shows that, in the public procurement markets where these products are purchased, the effect of the merger hinges on the characteristics of both the procurement design and the organizational structure of the buyers. Using data from all public procurement events in Italy between 2012 and 2019, and exploiting a difference-in-differences model where pacemakers play the role of the control group, we find that the merger led to a 7.6% increase in prices and that this effect is concentrated in the first three years post-merger. Further insights are: (i) a heterogeneous impact among gender and age groups such that most of the burden is on female patients aged 65 and above; (ii) short-term quality does not change, but patenting activity declines; (iii) there is no evidence of the merger triggering ex-post coordinated effects in the form of bidding and entry patterns compatible with firm collusion.

本文量化了两大骨科假体生产商合并的价格效应。研究表明,在采购这些产品的公共采购市场上,并购的效果取决于采购设计和采购方组织结构的特点。利用2012年至2019年意大利所有公共采购事件的数据,并利用差异中的差异模型(起搏器扮演对照组的角色),我们发现合并导致价格上涨7.6%,而且这种影响集中在合并后的前三年。进一步的见解是:(i)性别和年龄组之间的异质影响,大多数负担是65岁及以上的女性患者;(ii)短期质量不变,但专利活动下降;(三)没有证据表明并购引发了与企业合谋相适应的竞价和进入模式的事后协调效应。
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引用次数: 0
Merger and Entry With Learning 并购与学习
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-01-06 DOI: 10.1111/joie.12407
Yves Guéron, Jihong Lee

We study dynamic market competition between a monopoly incumbent and an entrant experimenting with disruptive innovation. The incumbent can pursue the uncertain innovation after acquiring the disruptor, who may be more productive and privately know its ability. Mergers generate synergies. We characterize perfect equilibria in Markov strategies on bargaining and R&D. The equilibrium path is determined by the interaction between market belief in the unobservable state and the distribution of private information. Asymmetric information generates failed mergers and buyout effects. Inefficient mergers arise from imperfect returns to R&D. There may be under- or over-investment. We provide implications for antitrust policy.

我们研究垄断者和尝试破坏性创新的新进入者之间的动态市场竞争。在位者可以在收购颠覆者后追求不确定的创新,颠覆者可能更有生产力,并且私下了解其能力。兼并产生协同效应。本文描述了马尔可夫策略中讨价还价和研发的完全均衡。均衡路径是由市场在不可观察状态下的信念与私有信息分布的相互作用决定的。信息不对称会产生并购失败效应。低效并购源于研发回报不完美。投资可能不足,也可能过度。我们提供了反垄断政策的启示。
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引用次数: 0
Demand Estimation with Flexible Income Effect: An Application to Pass-Through and Merger Analysis* 具有灵活收入效应的需求估算:转嫁和兼并分析的应用*
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-11-19 DOI: 10.1111/joie.12406
Shuhei Kaneko, Yuta Toyama

This article proposes a semiparametric discrete choice model that incorporates a nonparametric specification for income effects. The model allows for the flexible estimation of demand curvature, which has significant implications for pricing and policy analysis in oligopolistic markets. Our estimation algorithm adopts a method of sieve approximation with shape restrictions in a nested fixed-point algorithm. Applying this framework to the Japanese automobile market, we conduct a pass-through analysis of feebates and merger simulations. Our model predicts a higher pass-through rate and more significant merger effects than parametric demand models, highlighting the importance of flexibly estimating demand curvature.

本文提出了一个半参数离散选择模型,该模型包含收入效应的非参数说明。该模型允许灵活估计需求曲率,这对寡头垄断市场的定价和政策分析具有重要意义。我们的估计算法采用嵌套不动点算法中带形状限制的筛近似方法。将这一框架应用于日本汽车市场,我们进行了收费的传递分析和合并模拟。我们的模型预测了比参数需求模型更高的通过率和更显著的合并效应,突出了灵活估计需求曲率的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Welfare-Increasing Monopolization* Welfare-Increasing垄断*
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-11-11 DOI: 10.1111/joie.12405
Simon Cowan

The conditions for monopolization to be good for social welfare are examined. Social welfare can be higher when a monopoly sells to a monopoly, with double margins, than when a competitive industry sells to a downstream Cournot oligopoly with differing efficiency levels. This requires inverse demand to be sufficiently concave, and cannot hold when demand is convex. When there are no vertical issues conditions are found for elimination of an inefficient firm to raise welfare, building on Lahiri and Ono (1988). In general greater demand concavity increases the relative importance of the benefit of redistributing output to the efficient firm.

考察了垄断有利于社会福利的条件。当垄断企业以双倍利润向垄断企业出售产品时,社会福利可能会高于竞争行业以不同效率水平向下游古诺寡头垄断企业出售产品时。这就要求反向需求足够凹,而当需求是凸时就不能维持。在Lahiri和Ono(1988)的基础上,当不存在垂直问题时,发现了消除低效企业以提高福利的条件。一般来说,更大的需求凹度增加了重新分配产出对高效企业的利益的相对重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Platform design and rent extraction* 平台设计和租金提取*
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: 10.1111/joie.12404
Amedeo Piolatto, Florian Schuett

We study the design of online platforms that aggregate information and facilitate transactions. Leading players in the industry (e.g., the Booking Group) hold two types of platforms in their portfolio: revealing platforms that disclose the identity of transaction partners (like Booking.com) and anonymous platforms that do not (like Hotwire.com). Anonymous platforms offer discounts but lead to inefficient matching between consumers and firms. We develop a model in which horizontally differentiated firms sell to heterogeneous consumers both directly and via a platform that enlarges the pool of consumers they can attract. The platform charges firms for transactions it intermediates and can choose to offer an anonymous sales channel in addition to a revealing one. We show that offering both sales channels is profitable not only because it allows the platform to implement price discrimination, as suggested by the literature on opaque selling, but also because it improves rent extraction. The anonymous channel breaks the link between the price on the revealing channel and the firms' outside option; moreover, it can reduce double marginalisation. The welfare impact of the anonymous channel is ambiguous: while it sometimes leads to market expansion, it also causes inefficiently high transport costs.

我们研究的是聚合信息和促进交易的在线平台的设计。该行业的领先企业(如 Booking Group)在其产品组合中拥有两类平台:披露交易伙伴身份的平台(如 Booking.com)和不披露交易伙伴身份的匿名平台(如 Hotwire.com)。匿名平台提供折扣,但会导致消费者和企业之间的匹配效率低下。我们建立了一个模型,在这个模型中,横向差异化企业既可以直接向异质消费者销售,也可以通过一个平台向异质消费者销售。该平台向企业收取中介交易费用,并可选择提供匿名销售渠道和公开销售渠道。我们的研究表明,提供这两种销售渠道都有利可图,这不仅是因为它允许平台实施价格歧视,正如有关不透明销售的文献所指出的那样,还因为它提高了租金提取率。匿名渠道打破了揭示渠道的价格与企业外部选择之间的联系;此外,它还能减少双重边缘化。匿名渠道对福利的影响是模糊的:虽然它有时会导致市场扩张,但也会造成运输成本过高。
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引用次数: 0
Does Increasing Concentration Hit Poorer Areas More? A Study of Retail Petroleum Markets* 集中度的提高对贫困地区的影响更大吗?石油零售市场研究*
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-02 DOI: 10.1111/joie.12403
Peter L. Ormosi, Farasat A. S. Bokhari, Sean Ennis, Franco Mariuzzo

A central tenet in the field of industrial organisation is that increasing/decreasing market concentration is associated with increased/reduced markups. But does this variation affect every consumer to the same extent? Previous literature finds price dispersion exists even for homogeneous goods, at least partially as a result of heterogeneity in consumer engagement with the market. We study this question by linking demographic and income heterogeneity across local areas to the impact of changing market concentration on markups. With 15 years of station-level motor fuel price data from Western Australia and information on instances of local market exit and entry, we apply a non-parametric causal forest approach to explore the heterogeneity in the effect of exit/entry. The paper provides evidence of the distributional effect of changing market concentration. Areas with lower income experience a larger increase in petrol stations' price margin as a result of market exit. On the other hand, entry does not benefit the same low-income areas with a larger reduction in the margin than in high-income areas. Policy implications include a need to further focus on increasing engagement by low-income consumers.

工业组织领域的一个核心原则是,市场集中度的提高/降低与加价率的提高/降低有关。但这种变化对每个消费者的影响程度是否相同?以往的文献发现,即使是同质商品也存在价格差异,这至少部分是消费者参与市场的异质性造成的。我们将不同地区的人口和收入异质性与市场集中度变化对标价的影响联系起来,对这一问题进行了研究。我们利用西澳大利亚州 15 年的加油站一级汽车燃料价格数据以及当地市场退出和进入实例的信息,采用非参数因果森林方法探讨了退出/进入影响的异质性。本文提供了市场集中度变化的分布效应证据。由于市场退出,收入较低的地区加油站的价格利润率增幅较大。另一方面,与高收入地区相比,进入市场并不能使同样的低收入地区受益,其利润率下降幅度更大。政策影响包括需要进一步关注提高低收入消费者的参与度。
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引用次数: 0
Correction to “Estimating Consumer Inertia in Repeated Choices of Smartphones” 对 "智能手机重复选择中的消费者惯性估计 "的更正
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-04 DOI: 10.1111/joie.12402

Grzybowski, L. and Nicolle, A., 2021, ‘Estimating Consumer Inertia in Repeated Choices of Smartphones,’ The Journal of Industrial Economics, 69(1), pp. 33–82. https://doi.org/10.1111/joie.12239

In the footnote on the first page of the paper, Ambre Nicolle acknowledges funding from “the European Union's Framework Programme for Research and Innovation Horizon 2020 (2014-2020) under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie Grant Agreement No. 75388 and from LMU Munich's Institutional Strategy LMUexcellent within the framework of the German Excellence Initiative (No. ZUK22).”

The Marie Skłodowska-Curie Grant Agreement number indicated is not correct. It should be No. 754388, rather than No. 75388.

We apologize for this error.

Grzybowski, L. and Nicolle, A., 2021, 'Estimating Consumer Inertia in Repeated Choices of Smartphones,' The Journal of Industrial Economics, 69(1), pp. https://doi.org/10.1111/joie.12239。在论文第一页的脚注中,Ambre Nicolle 感谢 "欧盟研究与创新框架计划地平线 2020(2014-2020)玛丽-斯克沃多夫斯卡-居里资助协议第 75388 号以及慕尼黑大学在德国卓越计划框架内的机构战略 LMUexcellent(第 ZUK22 号)"的资助。我们对此表示歉意。
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引用次数: 0
Innovating Yourself Out of a Job* 通过创新让自己失业*
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1111/joie.12401
Michael T. Rauh

Continuous improvement, where production workers suggest incremental process improvements, has become standard practice in modern manufacturing. I consider a simple two-period model where workers produce output and innovate and innovation leads to future job losses. I derive the optimal multitasking contract and show that the principal distorts optimal first period employment downwards to increase the probability of continued employment and reduce first period incentive costs. At high levels of moral hazard, first period employment does not respond to shifts in demand and other parameters. I observe similar distortions at Lincoln Electric and predict that they should be observed more broadly.

持续改进,即生产工人提出渐进式流程改进建议,已成为现代制造业的标准做法。我考虑了一个简单的两期模型,在这个模型中,工人生产产出并进行创新,而创新会导致未来工作岗位的减少。我推导出了最优多任务合约,并证明委托人会向下扭曲第一期的最优就业,以增加继续就业的概率并降低第一期的激励成本。在道德风险较高的情况下,第一期就业率不会对需求和其他参数的变化做出反应。我在林肯电气公司观察到了类似的扭曲现象,并预测这种现象会在更大范围内出现。
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引用次数: 0
Should We Expect Merger Synergies to be Passed Through to Consumers?* 我们是否应该预期合并的协同效应会传递给消费者?
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-06-04 DOI: 10.1111/joie.12394
Mario Leccese, Andrew Sweeting, Xuezhen Tao

When reviewing horizontal mergers, antitrust agencies balance anticompetitive incentives, resulting from market power, with procompetitive incentives, created by efficiencies, assuming complete information and static, simultaneous move Nash equilibrium play. These models miss how a merged firm may prefer not to pass through efficiencies when rivals would respond by lowering their prices. We use an asymmetric information model, where rivals do not observe the size of the realized cost efficiency, to investigate how this incentive could affect post-merger prices. We highlight how the strength of this incentive will depend on the market structure of non-merging rivals and discuss alternative settings where similar issues arise.

在审查横向兼并时,反托拉斯机构假定信息完全、静态、同时移动的纳什均衡博弈,平衡市场力量带来的反竞争激励和效率带来的有利竞争激励。这些模型忽略了当竞争对手会通过降价来应对时,合并后的公司如何选择不传递效率。我们利用信息不对称模型,即竞争对手无法观察到已实现成本效率的大小,来研究这种激励会如何影响合并后的价格。我们强调了这种激励的强度将如何取决于非合并对手的市场结构,并讨论了出现类似问题的其他情况。
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引用次数: 0
Procuring Survival* 采购生存物资*
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-05-30 DOI: 10.1111/joie.12395
Matilde Cappelletti, Leonardo M. Giuffrida, Gabriele Rovigatti

We investigate the impact of public procurement on business survival. Using Italy as a laboratory, we construct a large-scale dataset of firms—covering balance-sheet, income-statement, and administrative records—and match it with public contract data. Employing a regression discontinuity design for close-call auctions, we find that winners are more likely to stay in the market than marginal losers after the award and that the boost in survival chances lasts longer than the contract duration. We document that this effect is associated with earnings substitution rather than increased business scale and that survivors experience no productivity premium. Securing contracts relaxes credit constraints and acts as a mechanism for survival.

我们研究了公共采购对企业生存的影响。我们以意大利为实验室,构建了一个大规模的企业数据集,涵盖资产负债表、收入报表和行政记录,并将其与公共合同数据相匹配。我们采用回归非连续性设计来分析临近拍卖,发现中标者比边缘失败者更有可能在中标后继续留在市场上,而且生存机会的提升持续时间比合同期限更长。我们发现,这种效应与收益替代相关,而不是与企业规模扩大相关,而且幸存者不会获得生产率溢价。获得合同可以放松信贷约束,成为一种生存机制。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Industrial Economics
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