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Chinese Development Finance and African Policy Space: Towards Productive Incoherence? 中国开发性融资与非洲政策空间:走向生产性不一致性?
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-04-18 DOI: 10.1002/jid.3996
Jack Taggart, Han Cheng, Marcus Power

How does Chinese Development Finance influence perceptions of policy space across Sub-Saharan Africa? This paper employs Grabel's concept of ‘productive incoherence’ to both describe the ‘new development finance landscape’ and to explore its implications for recipient-country policy space. Drawing on an exploratory survey of elite perceptions and three country case studies (Ethiopia, Malawi and Mozambique), we find that Chinese Development Finance contributes to incremental and context-specific enhancements in policy space, rather than transformative or wholesale change. Moreover, we contend that the extent of policy space is determined more-so by the internal dynamics, historical legacies and structural position of recipient countries within the global political economy, and the interplay between these elements, than by changes in the external financing environment.

中国的开发性金融如何影响撒哈拉以南非洲国家对政策空间的看法?本文采用Grabel的“生产性不连贯”概念来描述“新的发展融资格局”,并探讨其对受援国政策空间的影响。通过对精英观念的探索性调查和三个国家的案例研究(埃塞俄比亚、马拉维和莫桑比克),我们发现中国的开发性融资有助于政策空间的渐进式和具体情况的增强,而不是变革性或大规模的变化。此外,我们认为,政策空间的大小更多地取决于受援国在全球政治经济中的内部动态、历史遗产和结构地位,以及这些因素之间的相互作用,而不是外部融资环境的变化。
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引用次数: 0
Resource Governance, Economic Upgrading and Political Settlements in Colombia—No Curse Without Development 哥伦比亚的资源治理、经济升级与政治解决——没有发展就没有诅咒
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-04-17 DOI: 10.1002/jid.4003
Tobias Franz

This article challenges the prevailing resource curse explanations for Colombia's failure to achieve inclusive development through its natural resource wealth. It argues that historically evolved power balances are at the root of institutional failures to achieve higher value-added growth. By analysing national, transnational, spatial, and geographical developments affecting the interdependency between power and institutions, this article finds that Colombia's political settlement, where landed elites and international actors hold significant power and the state has limited capacities, explains disappointing development outcomes. This power structure has led to a focus on low-productivity sectors and a failure to effectively channel resource rents into high-value activities, perpetuating Colombia's position at the lower end of global value chains. The article contributes to a deeper understanding of the complex interplay between power, institutions, and resource governance in shaping economic development outcomes.

本文对哥伦比亚未能通过其自然资源财富实现包容性发展的普遍的资源诅咒解释提出了挑战。它认为,历史上演变的权力平衡是实现更高附加值增长的制度性失败的根源。通过分析影响权力与制度相互依存关系的国家、跨国、空间和地理发展,本文发现哥伦比亚的政治解决方案是令人失望的发展结果的原因,在这种解决方案中,土地精英和国际行动者拥有重要权力,而国家能力有限。这种权力结构导致了对低生产率部门的关注,未能有效地将资源租金引导到高价值活动中,使哥伦比亚长期处于全球价值链的低端。本文有助于更深入地理解权力、制度和资源治理在塑造经济发展成果方面的复杂相互作用。
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引用次数: 0
Networks of the Belt and Road: The Hidden Role of Financial Brokers “一带一路”网络:金融经纪人的隐藏角色
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-04-10 DOI: 10.1002/jid.3999
Alexandra Joosse, Ammar A. Malik, Sheng Zhang, Thai-Binh Elston

China has emerged as the world's biggest source of development finance, far out-spending traditional sources of aid. In recent years, researchers have made progress in collecting and documenting China's influence through its financing of projects all over the world; however, most of that focus has been on either the Chinese financiers or the effect of Chinese financing on its recipients. In this paper, we focus instead on the network of non-Chinese financiers who facilitate Chinese development financing. To do this, we turn an existing dataset that documents Chinese development finance into a network dataset that allows us to display and analyse the structure of relationships between financiers and recipients of loans. Using the method of social network analysis, we identify non-Chinese financiers that act as brokers in the network, facilitating relationships for financiers and recipients of Chinese development finance. The results suggest that non-Chinese entities may be holding Chinese development financing together in ways that were previously not known. In particular, private commercial banks emerge as critical actors. Our results also suggest that the top non-Chinese brokers differ in how they use their brokerage power, with some top brokers playing a more active role and others playing a more passive role. Finally, the paper shows that social network analysis can be a valuable tool to uncover structural patterns in this dataset.

中国已成为全球最大的发展融资来源国,其支出远远超过传统的援助来源国。近年来,研究人员在收集和记录中国通过资助世界各地的项目所产生的影响方面取得了进展;然而,人们关注的焦点大多集中在中国金融家或中国融资对受援国的影响上。在本文中,我们将重点放在促进中国发展融资的非中国金融家网络上。为此,我们将记录中国发展融资的现有数据集转换为网络数据集,使我们能够显示和分析融资者和贷款接受者之间的关系结构。使用社会网络分析的方法,我们确定了在网络中充当经纪人的非中国金融家,促进了中国发展融资的金融家和接受者之间的关系。研究结果表明,非中国实体可能以以前不为人知的方式将中国的发展融资结合在一起。特别是,私人商业银行成为关键角色。我们的研究结果还表明,顶级非中国经纪人在如何使用他们的经纪权力方面存在差异,一些顶级经纪人扮演更积极的角色,而另一些则扮演更被动的角色。最后,本文表明,社会网络分析可以成为揭示该数据集中结构模式的有价值的工具。
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引用次数: 0
The Employment Status of Young Heads of Households and the Level of Poverty Within Their Households in Benin 贝宁年轻户主的就业状况及其家庭贫困程度
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-04-08 DOI: 10.1002/jid.3995
Sessinou Erick Abel Dedehouanou

This article contributes to the relatively limited literature on how the poverty level of households led by young people relates to their occupation status and, in turn, offers reflections on the precariousness of young workers, particularly in Benin. Data from the 2021–2022 Harmonized Survey on Household Living Conditions were used to analyse the occupation status (i.e. multiple-income-generating activities and salaried work) of young heads of households in relation to their households' poverty level (i.e. absolute, subjective and relative). The estimates, derived using the Distributive Analysis Stata Package, probit method and propensity score matching, revealed that regardless of the type of poverty, engaging in multiple income-generating activities increases household poverty, whereas salaried work reduces it. Considering that most young individuals involved in multiple-income-generating activities are not salaried, economic policies targeting young people should focus on regularly adjusting the minimum wage according to the cost of living and encouraging young people's entrepreneurship by addressing the various challenges associated with it, including lack of funding and entrepreneurial training.

本文对相对有限的关于由年轻人领导的家庭的贫困水平与他们的职业状况之间的关系的文献作出了贡献,反过来,对青年工人的不稳定性提出了反思,特别是在贝宁。本研究使用“2021-2022年家庭生活状况协调调查”的数据,分析年轻户主的职业状况(即多种创收活动和有薪工作)与家庭贫困水平(即绝对、主观和相对)的关系。使用分布分析统计软件包、概率方法和倾向得分匹配得出的估计表明,无论贫困类型如何,从事多种创收活动都会增加家庭贫困,而带薪工作则会减少家庭贫困。考虑到从事多种创收活动的大多数年轻人没有工资,针对年轻人的经济政策应侧重于根据生活成本定期调整最低工资,并通过解决与之相关的各种挑战,包括缺乏资金和创业培训,鼓励年轻人创业。
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引用次数: 0
Sacrificing Leisure for Clean Energy Fuel: A Decomposition Analysis of Time Poverty 牺牲休闲换取清洁能源:时间贫乏的分解分析
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-04-08 DOI: 10.1002/jid.3997
Edward Martey, Prince M. Etwire, Jonathan Mockshell, Collins Asante-Addo

Given the extended hours demanded by the labour market and the health risks posed by pollution from nonrenewable energy sources, the question of whether households are willing to prioritise clean energy over leisure remains unresolved. This study addresses this gap by investigating the impact of time constraints, encompassing both paid and unpaid work, on the Multidimensional Energy Poverty Index (MEPI) using data from the seventh round of the Ghana Living Standards Survey (GLSS 7). Our findings indicate that households experiencing time constraints are more inclined to adopt clean energy fuels. A decomposition analysis of time constraints reveals that while those stemming from paid work encourage the adoption of clean energy fuels, those associated with unpaid work hinder it. This suggests that households prioritise clean energy when faced with time pressures related to paid employment. Our results hold across various estimation methods and withstand robustness checks using different time and energy poverty metrics. The adverse impact of time constraints on energy poverty is particularly pronounced in rural areas, male-headed households and communities with accessible roads. We posit that household income serves as a key mechanism through which time constraints influence energy poverty.

鉴于劳动力市场需要延长工作时间以及不可再生能源污染带来的健康风险,家庭是否愿意将清洁能源置于休闲之上的问题仍未得到解决。本研究利用第七轮加纳生活水平调查(GLSS 7)的数据,通过调查时间限制(包括有偿和无偿工作)对多维能源贫困指数(MEPI)的影响,解决了这一差距。我们的研究结果表明,经历时间限制的家庭更倾向于采用清洁能源燃料。对时间限制的分解分析表明,虽然来自有偿工作的时间限制鼓励采用清洁能源燃料,但与无偿工作有关的时间限制则阻碍采用清洁能源燃料。这表明,当面临与有偿就业相关的时间压力时,家庭优先考虑清洁能源。我们的结果适用于各种估计方法,并经得起使用不同时间和能源贫困指标的鲁棒性检查。时间限制对能源贫穷的不利影响在农村地区、男性户主家庭和道路便利的社区尤为明显。我们假设家庭收入是时间限制影响能源贫困的关键机制。
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引用次数: 0
The Threat of Fentanyl-Based Counterfeits in Mexican Pharmacies: Addressing a Growing Public Health Crisis 墨西哥药店中芬太尼假药的威胁:应对日益严重的公共卫生危机
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-04-07 DOI: 10.1002/jid.3998
Nicholas Lassi, Su Jiang

Pharmacists are perceived as protectors of public health, advancing trust in pharmacies and the drugs provided. However, this trust is often misplaced in Mexico, where pharmacists frequently dispense dangerous fentanyl-based counterfeits without prescription orders and on-demand. The convergence of four trends occurring in Mexico—the influx of international tourists seeking pharmaceuticals without prescription orders, increased domestic consumption of illicit fentanyl, expanded domestic production of illicit fentanyl, and the rise of fentanyl-based counterfeits in Mexican pharmacies—has created a substantial risk to regional public health. Mexican cartels manufacture and distribute these counterfeit drugs, facilitated by corrupt officials engaged in limited drug enforcement. To address this emerging public health crisis, an independent fentanyl enforcement division should be established in Mexico to oversee expanded drug enforcement operations targeting cartels and their intermediaries. This division should conduct rigorous and surprise inspections of pharmacies accompanied by international observers and provide anonymous whistleblower channels for pharmacists and the public. Pharmacy owners found knowingly selling fentanyl-based counterfeits should face severe penalties, including forfeiture of pharmacy licences, lifetime bans from owning and operating pharmacies, significant fines, and incarceration. By enacting these enforcement and public health reforms, Mexico can more effectively minimize the dispensation of fentanyl-based counterfeits and safeguard regional public health.

药剂师被视为公众健康的保护者,促进了对药店和所提供药物的信任。然而,这种信任在墨西哥往往是错位的,那里的药剂师经常在没有处方和按需的情况下分发危险的芬太尼假药。墨西哥出现的四种趋势——国际游客在没有处方的情况下寻求药品、国内非法芬太尼消费增加、国内非法芬太尼生产扩大以及墨西哥药店中以芬太尼为基础的假药增多——已经对区域公共卫生造成了重大风险。墨西哥贩毒集团在参与有限禁毒执法的腐败官员的协助下,制造和分销这些假药。为了解决这一新出现的公共卫生危机,应在墨西哥设立一个独立的芬太尼执法部门,以监督针对贩毒集团及其中间人的扩大的禁毒执法行动。该司应在国际观察员陪同下对药店进行严格和突击检查,并为药剂师和公众提供匿名举报渠道。被发现故意销售芬太尼假药的药店老板应面临严厉处罚,包括没收药店执照、终身禁止拥有和经营药店、巨额罚款和监禁。通过实施这些执法和公共卫生改革,墨西哥可以更有效地减少芬太尼假药的分发,并保障区域公共卫生。
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引用次数: 0
Effect of Growing Up Poor on Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence From Indonesia 成长贫困对劳动力市场结果的影响:来自印度尼西亚的证据
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-04-04 DOI: 10.1002/jid.3993
Mayang Rizky, Daniel Suryadarma, Asep Suryahadi

We estimate the long-term impact of child poverty on adult labour market outcomes in Indonesia, a middle-income country. Our instrumental variable estimation shows that a child who lived in a poor family when aged between eight and 17 years old suffers from an 87% earnings penalty as adults relative to a child who did not grow up in a poor family. The direct effect remains large after we account for a large set of mediators. Depending on the set of mediators that we use, we estimate an earnings penalty of between 85% and 90%. Similarly, we do not find any evidence that receiving various government transfer programs mediates the effect of growing up poor on earnings as adults.

我们估计了儿童贫困对中等收入国家印度尼西亚成人劳动力市场结果的长期影响。我们的工具变量估计表明,一个8到17岁之间生活在贫困家庭的孩子,成年后的收入要比一个不是在贫困家庭长大的孩子少87%。在我们考虑了大量的中介因素后,直接影响仍然很大。根据我们使用的中介,我们估计收入损失在85%到90%之间。同样,我们也没有发现任何证据表明,接受各种政府转移支付计划可以调节成长过程中贫困对成年后收入的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Interlinkages Between Agri-Food Trade and the SDGs at the Global, Regional and Local Level 农产品贸易与可持续发展目标在全球、区域和地方层面的相互联系
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-04-04 DOI: 10.1002/jid.3994
Armah N. A. Ralph, Quartey Peter, Turkson Ebo Festus, Abbey N. Emmanuel, Mawuenyega M. Butu, Huan-Niemi Ellen

This study is a structured review on the interlinkages between agri-food trade and the SDGs in the environmental, social and economic dimensions to identify any missed opportunities that agri-food trade could positively impact the SDGs and provide policy guidance for the missed opportunities at the global, regional and national levels. A great deal of diversity in the papers at the global level, and papers at the regional level are similar, but there is additional analysis on promoting regional markets and value chains. Papers at the local level are product-specific to emphasise how the trade of specific agricultural commodities would affect the achievement of particular SDGs in question. There is a concern regarding whether agri-food trade can promote sustainability and the attainment of the SDGs. This is particularly important given that gains from trade are not entirely equitable. Questions relating to concrete innovations, policies and behavioural changes that can ensure systemic transformations remain critical and need to be addressed.

本研究对农业食品贸易与可持续发展目标在环境、社会和经济方面的相互联系进行了结构化审查,以确定农业食品贸易可能对可持续发展目标产生积极影响的任何错失机会,并为错失的机会提供政策指导,在全球、区域和国家层面。在全球层面的论文有很大的多样性,在区域层面的论文是相似的,但有关于促进区域市场和价值链的额外分析。地方一级的文件是针对特定产品的,以强调特定农产品的贸易将如何影响有关特定可持续发展目标的实现。农业食品贸易能否促进可持续发展和可持续发展目标的实现令人担忧。鉴于贸易收益并不完全公平,这一点尤其重要。与能够确保系统变革的具体创新、政策和行为改变有关的问题仍然至关重要,需要加以解决。
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引用次数: 0
The Poverty Reduction Capacity of Nature-Based Tourism in Lao PDR—A Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) Study 老挝人民民主共和国自然旅游的减贫能力——社会会计矩阵(SAM)研究
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-03-22 DOI: 10.1002/jid.3991
Frédéric Thomas

This study investigates the distributional impact of nature-based tourism (NBT) revenues on relative incomes and poverty incidence by employing a SAM model in a village adjacent to a protected natural area in Lao PDR. The findings suggest that while community-based tourism (CBT) benefits both poor and non-poor households, indicating the potential for lifting some poor households out of poverty, particularly when they are directly involved in tourism, it also exacerbates income inequality between the wealthiest quintile and the rest. Furthermore, qualitative data underscores variations in the benefits derived from commercial natural resource exploitation when local communities collaborate with a private sector company, as opposed to managing initiatives independently. These findings hold significant implications for government policymakers seeking to determine the most effective strategies for promoting NBT to foster economic growth, poverty alleviation and natural resource conservation in underserved rural areas.

本研究在老挝人民民主共和国自然保护区附近的一个村庄采用SAM模型,调查了基于自然的旅游(NBT)收入对相对收入和贫困率的分布影响。研究结果表明,虽然以社区为基础的旅游(CBT)对贫困家庭和非贫困家庭都有好处,表明有可能使一些贫困家庭摆脱贫困,特别是当他们直接参与旅游业时,但它也加剧了最富有的五分之一与其他五分之一之间的收入不平等。此外,定性数据强调了当当地社区与私营部门公司合作而不是独立管理倡议时,商业自然资源开发所带来的利益的变化。这些发现对政府决策者具有重要意义,有助于他们确定最有效的战略,以促进农村地区的经济增长、扶贫和自然资源保护。
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引用次数: 0
Role of Digital Transformation in Closing the Financial Inclusion Disparities in West African Economic and Monetary Union and the Covid-19 Effect 数字转型在缩小西非经济和货币联盟普惠金融差距中的作用以及Covid-19效应
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-03-21 DOI: 10.1002/jid.3992
Koffi Sodokin, Joseph Kokouvi Djafon

Despite significant advancements, disparities in access to financial services persist across developing nations. The Covid-19 pandemic has significantly influenced the adoption of digital finance, particularly in West African Economic and Monetary Union countries. Using World Bank Global Findex data (2017 and 2021), this study employs heteroscedastic binary choice and difference-in-differences methodologies to evaluate the impact of digital finance on financial inclusion, considering factors such as gender, age, income, location and the pandemic. The findings indicate that while overall financial inclusion experienced a decline, the increased adoption of digital finance mitigated this trend, suggesting the importance of system interoperability.

尽管取得了重大进展,但发展中国家在获得金融服务方面仍然存在差距。2019冠状病毒病大流行严重影响了数字金融的采用,特别是在西非经济和货币联盟国家。本研究利用世界银行全球金融包容性指数(2017年和2021年)数据,采用异方差二元选择和差中之差方法评估数字金融对普惠金融的影响,同时考虑到性别、年龄、收入、地理位置和疫情等因素。研究结果表明,虽然整体金融包容性有所下降,但数字金融的普及缓解了这一趋势,这表明系统互操作性的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of International Development
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