The International Criminal Court (ICC) was established to deliver impartial and universal justice, yet its operations are shaped by geopolitical interests and legal formalism, limiting its inclusivity and effectiveness. This commentary draws on feminist geopolitics to critically examine how the ICC's structural ambiguities constrain but also create opportunities for rethinking justice. By foregrounding intersectionality, structural violence and alternative legal frameworks, we propose ways to make international justice mechanisms more responsive to local contexts and marginalised communities. Moving beyond critique, we outline concrete reforms, including expanding the ICC's mandate, decentralising justice processes, and integrating survivor-led approaches. In doing so, we call for a more geographically attuned and socially equitable approach to global justice. We also argue that geographers—especially those working in legal, political and feminist subfields—can play a critical role in illuminating the spatialities of international justice, uncovering power asymmetries, and advancing more inclusive legal imaginaries. Their interventions help expose and challenge the uneven geographies of accountability that shape institutions like the ICC.
{"title":"From The Hague to the margins: The ICC, feminist geopolitics and alternative legal futures","authors":"Sarah Klosterkamp, Alex Jeffrey","doi":"10.1111/geoj.70026","DOIUrl":"10.1111/geoj.70026","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The International Criminal Court (ICC) was established to deliver impartial and universal justice, yet its operations are shaped by geopolitical interests and legal formalism, limiting its inclusivity and effectiveness. This commentary draws on feminist geopolitics to critically examine how the ICC's structural ambiguities constrain but also create opportunities for rethinking justice. By foregrounding intersectionality, structural violence and alternative legal frameworks, we propose ways to make international justice mechanisms more responsive to local contexts and marginalised communities. Moving beyond critique, we outline concrete reforms, including expanding the ICC's mandate, decentralising justice processes, and integrating survivor-led approaches. In doing so, we call for a more geographically attuned and socially equitable approach to global justice. We also argue that geographers—especially those working in legal, political and feminist subfields—can play a critical role in illuminating the spatialities of international justice, uncovering power asymmetries, and advancing more inclusive legal imaginaries. Their interventions help expose and challenge the uneven geographies of accountability that shape institutions like the ICC.</p>","PeriodicalId":48023,"journal":{"name":"Geographical Journal","volume":"191 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-06-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://rgs-ibg.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/geoj.70026","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144923725","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
This essay examines how Donald Trump's 2024 presidential campaign and early 2025 executive orders deploy overlapping forms of embodied exclusion to construct a white heteropatriarchal vision of American nationhood. Building on feminist political geography and refugee studies, I analyse how Trump's rhetoric and policies represent an intensification of techniques that render certain bodies as threats to national security. Through examining campaign attacks on trans and LGBTQ rights and inflammatory anti-refugee rhetoric, I demonstrate how these coordinated exclusions work to normalise state violence against multiple marginalised groups while strategically deploying claims of ‘protecting’ white, cisgender women. The analysis reveals how contemporary far-right movements combine bodily othering with populist appeals to manufacture consent for restrictive policies. In my conclusion, I draw attention to the emergence of ‘anticipatory care networks’—grassroots efforts to protect refugee families and build solidarity across difference before threatened policies materialise. This research advances feminist political geographic understanding of how far-right movements deploy ‘convergent exclusionary performativity’ where multiple forms of exclusion do not merely exist in parallel, but actively reinforce and amplify each other through public performance and policy.
{"title":"Convergent exclusionary politics of gender and migration in Trump's re-election campaign, 2024–2025","authors":"Banu Gökarıksel","doi":"10.1111/geoj.70021","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/geoj.70021","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This essay examines how Donald Trump's 2024 presidential campaign and early 2025 executive orders deploy overlapping forms of embodied exclusion to construct a white heteropatriarchal vision of American nationhood. Building on feminist political geography and refugee studies, I analyse how Trump's rhetoric and policies represent an intensification of techniques that render certain bodies as threats to national security. Through examining campaign attacks on trans and LGBTQ rights and inflammatory anti-refugee rhetoric, I demonstrate how these coordinated exclusions work to normalise state violence against multiple marginalised groups while strategically deploying claims of ‘protecting’ white, cisgender women. The analysis reveals how contemporary far-right movements combine bodily othering with populist appeals to manufacture consent for restrictive policies. In my conclusion, I draw attention to the emergence of ‘anticipatory care networks’—grassroots efforts to protect refugee families and build solidarity across difference before threatened policies materialise. This research advances feminist political geographic understanding of how far-right movements deploy ‘convergent exclusionary performativity’ where multiple forms of exclusion do not merely exist in parallel, but actively reinforce and amplify each other through public performance and policy.</p>","PeriodicalId":48023,"journal":{"name":"Geographical Journal","volume":"191 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145522390","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
In this introductory essay, we reflect on the significance of the re-election of Donald Trump to the presidency in the United States, and we provide some context for interpreting Trump's second term. Two of Trump's early policy moves—the release of billions of gallons of water from reservoirs in California and the granting of refugee status to Afrikaners—portend four years of politics based on alternative facts, conspiracy theories, and racial grievances. Trump's political agenda has received a significant boost from Silicon Valley billionaires, who are keen to eliminate regulatory bureaucracy. Paradoxically, while allied with high-tech futurists, Trump's policies hearken to an earlier era of imperialism and settler colonialism. After outlining the basic contours of Trump's agenda, we provide an overview of this special section on the second Trump presidency as viewed by geographers. We conclude by giving attention to themes not covered in this collection, including the Trump administration's attacks on US universities. In this tumultuous time, geographers must communicate their research to a sceptical and distrustful public that has grown weary of liberal policies.
{"title":"The next four years: Geographical reflections on the second Trump administration","authors":"Caroline Nagel, Peter Hopkins","doi":"10.1111/geoj.70020","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/geoj.70020","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In this introductory essay, we reflect on the significance of the re-election of Donald Trump to the presidency in the United States, and we provide some context for interpreting Trump's second term. Two of Trump's early policy moves—the release of billions of gallons of water from reservoirs in California and the granting of refugee status to Afrikaners—portend four years of politics based on alternative facts, conspiracy theories, and racial grievances. Trump's political agenda has received a significant boost from Silicon Valley billionaires, who are keen to eliminate regulatory bureaucracy. Paradoxically, while allied with high-tech futurists, Trump's policies hearken to an earlier era of imperialism and settler colonialism. After outlining the basic contours of Trump's agenda, we provide an overview of this special section on the second Trump presidency as viewed by geographers. We conclude by giving attention to themes not covered in this collection, including the Trump administration's attacks on US universities. In this tumultuous time, geographers must communicate their research to a sceptical and distrustful public that has grown weary of liberal policies.</p>","PeriodicalId":48023,"journal":{"name":"Geographical Journal","volume":"191 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://rgs-ibg.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/geoj.70020","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145522389","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Within the contemporary context of multiple and overlapping crises, which critical scholars often call the Anthropocene epoch, commons and commoning have been presented as a promising way to approach and address the emerging problems. Commons are often presented as spaces antithetical to capitalism, governed in a radical democratic fashion. We argue that to deepen our knowledge on how commons contribute to politics of our times, we need to understand both the embodied relations of care within the commons and the ways commons are related to the state. On these grounds and by presenting commons as an empty signifier, we aim to provide a nuanced understanding of commons contribution to politics in the Anthropocene.
{"title":"On commons, state institutions and capitalism","authors":"Ioannis Rigkos-Zitthen, Nikos Kapitsinis","doi":"10.1111/geoj.70023","DOIUrl":"10.1111/geoj.70023","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Within the contemporary context of multiple and overlapping crises, which critical scholars often call the Anthropocene epoch, commons and commoning have been presented as a promising way to approach and address the emerging problems. Commons are often presented as spaces antithetical to capitalism, governed in a radical democratic fashion. We argue that to deepen our knowledge on how commons contribute to politics of our times, we need to understand both the embodied relations of care within the commons and the ways commons are related to the state. On these grounds and by presenting commons as an empty signifier, we aim to provide a nuanced understanding of commons contribution to politics in the Anthropocene.</p>","PeriodicalId":48023,"journal":{"name":"Geographical Journal","volume":"191 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://rgs-ibg.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/geoj.70023","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144923778","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Fatih Sunbul, Enes Karadeniz, Mustafa Taner Sengun, Muhammed Kocaoglu
Understanding land use and land cover (LULC) dynamics in seismically active regions is crucial for risk-informed urban planning and sustainable post-disaster recovery. This study investigates the impact of the Mw 6.8 Elazığ earthquake (24 January 2020) on LULC patterns in eastern Turkey by integrating high-resolution Sentinel-2 satellite imagery with geographic information systems (GIS), remote sensing (RS), artificial neural networks (ANNs), and Markov chain modelling. The methodology comprises four phases: establishing a pre-earthquake baseline (2015–2019), assessing post-earthquake changes (2015–2023), analysing transition probabilities to identify key LULC drivers, and forecasting land-use scenarios for 2030 and 2050 under seismic and non-seismic conditions. Results reveal that seismic activity significantly accelerates urban expansion, shifting development towards geologically stable zones. By 2050, artificial surfaces are projected to occupy 54.70% of the region under seismic influence, compared to 48.87% without it. Agricultural land is more preserved in the seismic scenario (26.54%) than in the non-seismic case (22.68%), while pasture and meadow areas decline sharply to 6.18%, raising concerns for biodiversity and ecosystem services. These findings emphasise the importance of integrating ecological considerations and seismic risk into land-use planning frameworks. By combining multicriteria decision-making with machine learning-based forecasting, the study offers a replicable and scalable model for balancing urban growth, environmental conservation, and resilience. Framed within interdisciplinary insights from disaster resilience theory, urban governance, and spatial risk modelling, this research contributes to the global discourse on sustainable urban transformation in the face of increasing natural hazards.
{"title":"Forecasting urban shifts post-earthquake: LULC change analysis in Elazığ, Turkey using ANN and Markov models","authors":"Fatih Sunbul, Enes Karadeniz, Mustafa Taner Sengun, Muhammed Kocaoglu","doi":"10.1111/geoj.70022","DOIUrl":"10.1111/geoj.70022","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Understanding land use and land cover (LULC) dynamics in seismically active regions is crucial for risk-informed urban planning and sustainable post-disaster recovery. This study investigates the impact of the Mw 6.8 Elazığ earthquake (24 January 2020) on LULC patterns in eastern Turkey by integrating high-resolution Sentinel-2 satellite imagery with geographic information systems (GIS), remote sensing (RS), artificial neural networks (ANNs), and Markov chain modelling. The methodology comprises four phases: establishing a pre-earthquake baseline (2015–2019), assessing post-earthquake changes (2015–2023), analysing transition probabilities to identify key LULC drivers, and forecasting land-use scenarios for 2030 and 2050 under seismic and non-seismic conditions. Results reveal that seismic activity significantly accelerates urban expansion, shifting development towards geologically stable zones. By 2050, artificial surfaces are projected to occupy 54.70% of the region under seismic influence, compared to 48.87% without it. Agricultural land is more preserved in the seismic scenario (26.54%) than in the non-seismic case (22.68%), while pasture and meadow areas decline sharply to 6.18%, raising concerns for biodiversity and ecosystem services. These findings emphasise the importance of integrating ecological considerations and seismic risk into land-use planning frameworks. By combining multicriteria decision-making with machine learning-based forecasting, the study offers a replicable and scalable model for balancing urban growth, environmental conservation, and resilience. Framed within interdisciplinary insights from disaster resilience theory, urban governance, and spatial risk modelling, this research contributes to the global discourse on sustainable urban transformation in the face of increasing natural hazards.</p>","PeriodicalId":48023,"journal":{"name":"Geographical Journal","volume":"191 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://rgs-ibg.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/geoj.70022","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144923712","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
This commentary contends with the broader settler colonial structures through which the second Donald Trump presidency may proceed. Through a historical and contemporaneous engagement with broader concepts such as settler colonialism and the ‘frontier’, this piece grapples with how Indigenous nations can ensure their continued vitality through this political moment.
{"title":"Settler colonialism in Donald Trump's America","authors":"Niiyokamigaabaw Deondre Smiles","doi":"10.1111/geoj.70019","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/geoj.70019","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This commentary contends with the broader settler colonial structures through which the second Donald Trump presidency may proceed. Through a historical and contemporaneous engagement with broader concepts such as settler colonialism and the ‘frontier’, this piece grapples with how Indigenous nations can ensure their continued vitality through this political moment.</p>","PeriodicalId":48023,"journal":{"name":"Geographical Journal","volume":"191 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://rgs-ibg.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/geoj.70019","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145522075","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
For 20 years, turbulence has defined American urbanism. In the late noughties, a global financial crisis pushed many US cities to the brink of bankruptcy. Austerity followed, with belt-tightening squeezing city services. Then came Trump, then came COVID. The pandemic would, unpredictably, make US cities cash rich thanks to the Federal government's largesse. And now we await Trump 2.0. For US cities the prospect of radical change seems real. But what type of reform will Trump bring? Herein lies the difficulty. Trump 2.0 is as hard to predict as the first version was. Immigration, tariff reform and government efficiency are currently Trump's domestic talking points. Yet we have little idea about what precisely will be done across all these policy arenas. This is a pressing conundrum for urban scholarship since each arena will impact the future of US cities. This reflection will assess how US cities are entering into the incoming Trump presidency and consider two possible versions of urban reform under Trump: the unlikely ‘coordinated version’, and the more likely ‘uncoordinated version’ defined by Trump's populist politics.
{"title":"He's a builder, but does Trump have an urban agenda?","authors":"Mark Davidson","doi":"10.1111/geoj.70014","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/geoj.70014","url":null,"abstract":"<p>For 20 years, turbulence has defined American urbanism. In the late noughties, a global financial crisis pushed many US cities to the brink of bankruptcy. Austerity followed, with belt-tightening squeezing city services. Then came Trump, then came COVID. The pandemic would, unpredictably, make US cities cash rich thanks to the Federal government's largesse. And now we await Trump 2.0. For US cities the prospect of radical change seems real. But what type of reform will Trump bring? Herein lies the difficulty. Trump 2.0 is as hard to predict as the first version was. Immigration, tariff reform and government efficiency are currently Trump's domestic talking points. Yet we have little idea about what precisely will be done across all these policy arenas. This is a pressing conundrum for urban scholarship since each arena will impact the future of US cities. This reflection will assess how US cities are entering into the incoming Trump presidency and consider two possible versions of urban reform under Trump: the unlikely ‘coordinated version’, and the more likely ‘uncoordinated version’ defined by Trump's populist politics.</p>","PeriodicalId":48023,"journal":{"name":"Geographical Journal","volume":"191 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://rgs-ibg.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/geoj.70014","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145521908","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
LaToya E. Eaves, Bryttani Wooten, Danielle Purifoy
The 2024 U.S. election has resulted in an outpouring of public mourning among those who believed they could ‘fix’ the country through policy or government interventions. Yet, we have been watching a systematic dismantling of rights-based citizenship since the mid-twentieth century. Using a Black geographies framework, in conversation with feminist geographies, Black feminisms, and environmental justice scholarship, the paper addresses the present predicament in terms of barriers to reproducing life for Black people. We also explore the liberatory possibilities in this moment as informed by Black spatial histories. We use the example of traditional midwifery practices to show we might re-imagine Black futures and a world built on relationality over spatial fixes.
{"title":"Black geographies in the wake: The afterlives of difference and the possibilities of reproductive justice","authors":"LaToya E. Eaves, Bryttani Wooten, Danielle Purifoy","doi":"10.1111/geoj.70018","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/geoj.70018","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The 2024 U.S. election has resulted in an outpouring of public mourning among those who believed they could ‘fix’ the country through policy or government interventions. Yet, we have been watching a systematic dismantling of rights-based citizenship since the mid-twentieth century. Using a Black geographies framework, in conversation with feminist geographies, Black feminisms, and environmental justice scholarship, the paper addresses the present predicament in terms of barriers to reproducing life for Black people. We also explore the liberatory possibilities in this moment as informed by Black spatial histories. We use the example of traditional midwifery practices to show we might re-imagine Black futures and a world built on relationality over spatial fixes.</p>","PeriodicalId":48023,"journal":{"name":"Geographical Journal","volume":"191 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145529981","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
A second Trump administration has many dangerous and concerning implications for the 65.2 million Latinxs living in the United States. This essay explores how a diverse Latinx population can build on their distinct identities and experiences of organising in the United States to challenge white nationalist and nativist policies of the Trump administration. First, we give a brief introduction to varied histories and geographies of Latinx populations in the United States. Second, we trace the Trump administration's anti-immigrant and anti-Latinx rhetoric that employs geographic stereotypes. Finally, we look to historical examples of organising across social, cultural and political fault lines to argue that diverse experiences and perspectives can be harnessed to resist the narrow and violent white nationalist lens of the current administration.
{"title":"Latinxs in the (newest) Trump era","authors":"Solange Muñoz, Pamela Sertzen","doi":"10.1111/geoj.70012","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/geoj.70012","url":null,"abstract":"<p>A second Trump administration has many dangerous and concerning implications for the 65.2 million Latinxs living in the United States. This essay explores how a diverse Latinx population can build on their distinct identities and experiences of organising in the United States to challenge white nationalist and nativist policies of the Trump administration. First, we give a brief introduction to varied histories and geographies of Latinx populations in the United States. Second, we trace the Trump administration's anti-immigrant and anti-Latinx rhetoric that employs geographic stereotypes. Finally, we look to historical examples of organising across social, cultural and political fault lines to argue that diverse experiences and perspectives can be harnessed to resist the narrow and violent white nationalist lens of the current administration.</p>","PeriodicalId":48023,"journal":{"name":"Geographical Journal","volume":"191 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145521491","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Numerous studies have evaluated maximum evaporation rates from open water bodies (Eo). However, relatively little attention has been paid to evaporation losses from residential swimming pools and outdoor water features. This study evaluates the combined impact of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and climate change on Eo for 1859 water bodies with total area ~173,500 m2 on Palm Jumeirah Island, Dubai. Historic (2010–20) annual mean Eo from open water was estimated via the Linacre (1977) equation to be ~600 million litres (ML). Annual Eo projected under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5 by 2050 could be 627 ML under La Niña, 633 ML for neutral, and 675 ML under El Niño conditions. The present Eo equates to the water demand of 3000 people—or about 30% of the Palm's population—assuming 550 litres per capita per day. Moreover, replacing evaporated pool water with desalinated water contributes about 1.2 million kg CO2 each year. Such evidence enables authorities to reevaluate plans for future developments, including swimming pool density, and domestic water demand reduction targets under the 2036 UAE Water Security Strategy. Mandatory adaptation measures, such as installing pool covers, could be introduced to reduce evaporative losses. Further research is needed to estimate open water evaporation from the whole of Dubai as a baseline for assessing impacts of future developments and climate change.
{"title":"Evaporation losses from residential swimming pools and water features under climate variability and change","authors":"Alicia I. Cumberland, Robert L. Wilby","doi":"10.1111/geoj.70008","DOIUrl":"10.1111/geoj.70008","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Numerous studies have evaluated maximum evaporation rates from open water bodies (Eo). However, relatively little attention has been paid to evaporation losses from residential swimming pools and outdoor water features. This study evaluates the combined impact of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and climate change on Eo for 1859 water bodies with total area ~173,500 m<sup>2</sup> on Palm Jumeirah Island, Dubai. Historic (2010–20) annual mean Eo from open water was estimated via the Linacre (1977) equation to be ~600 million litres (ML). Annual Eo projected under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5 by 2050 could be 627 ML under La Niña, 633 ML for neutral, and 675 ML under El Niño conditions. The present Eo equates to the water demand of 3000 people—or about 30% of the Palm's population—assuming 550 litres per capita per day. Moreover, replacing evaporated pool water with desalinated water contributes about 1.2 million kg CO<sub>2</sub> each year. Such evidence enables authorities to reevaluate plans for future developments, including swimming pool density, and domestic water demand reduction targets under the 2036 UAE Water Security Strategy. Mandatory adaptation measures, such as installing pool covers, could be introduced to reduce evaporative losses. Further research is needed to estimate open water evaporation from the whole of Dubai as a baseline for assessing impacts of future developments and climate change.</p>","PeriodicalId":48023,"journal":{"name":"Geographical Journal","volume":"191 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://rgs-ibg.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/geoj.70008","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144923357","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}