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Changing patterns and determinants of China's interprovincial migration: Evidence from the 2020 census 中国省际人口迁移的变化模式和决定因素:来自2020年人口普查的证据
IF 2.6 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-09-25 DOI: 10.1002/psp.2850
Fenghua Wen, Shujin Yu, Hui Liu, Yating Jiang

Interprovincial migration in China has changed in recent years due to the socioeconomic transformation. Yet, less attention has been paid to the current spatial patterns of interprovincial migration, especially the spatial heterogeneity of the determinants. Based on the newly released 2020 census data, this study explored the spatial patterns and determinants of interprovincial migration in China using a spatial analysis and geographically weighted regression. The results revealed multiple trends in interprovincial migration, including flow from developing provinces in the central region to eastern and western regions and returning flow from developed to developing provinces in the central and western regions. The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Yangtze River Delta, and Pearl River Delta urban agglomerations remained centres of population inflow. Moreover, key western development areas, such as the Chengdu-Chongqing area and Xinjiang, emerged as centres of population inflow. Economic and social development, social safety, and living environment significantly and positively affected interprovincial migration. Furthermore, significant spatial heterogeneity in factors influencing migration was detected. The findings provide a systematic understanding of China's interprovincial migration in 2020 and the spatial heterogeneity of determinants can guide the population development strategy design of governments.

近年来,受社会经济转型的影响,中国省际人口迁移发生了变化。然而,目前对省际人口迁移的空间格局,特别是影响因素的空间异质性研究较少。基于新发布的2020年人口普查数据,采用空间分析和地理加权回归方法,探讨了中国省际人口迁移的空间格局及其影响因素。结果表明,省际人口流动呈现出中部发展中省份向东部和西部地区流动和中西部发达省份向发展中省份回流的多重趋势。京津冀、长三角、珠三角城市群仍然是人口流入的中心。此外,西部重点开发地区,如成渝地区和新疆,成为人口流入中心。经济社会发展、社会安全、生存环境对省际人口迁移具有显著正向影响。此外,影响移民的因素存在显著的空间异质性。研究结果为2020年中国省际人口迁移提供了系统认识,并为政府制定人口发展战略提供了指导。
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引用次数: 0
The experiences of older migrant mothers and grandmothers with intergenerational solidarity in their transnational families 老年移民母亲和祖母在跨国家庭中代际团结的经验
IF 2.6 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-09-25 DOI: 10.1002/psp.2846
Ioana Pisaltu

The role of grandparents in providing support to their migrant adult children is well researched within the intergenerational cross-border solidarity literature. Studies highlight the gendered care roles assumed by ‘left behind’ grandparents, usually women, who provide hands-on caregiving to their young grandchildren. However, there is limited research on the supportive economic roles of older migrant women who help ‘left behind’ families navigate economically unpredictable circumstances through remittance transfers. This article makes a contribution by exploring the economic roles of older mothers and grandmothers who participate in the international labour market as paid care workers to support their families ‘back home.’ It draws on ethnographic research with Romanian women in their late 50s and 60s in Italy. Insight is gained into the experiences with transnational care and mobility of older mothers and grandmothers. More specifically, how expectations and demands for intergenerational solidarity in their families conditions women's migration projects, including its temporalities and the distribution of economic risks and responsibilities within the transnational family.

在代际跨境团结文献中,祖父母在为其成年移民子女提供支持方面所扮演的角色得到了深入研究。研究强调了 "留守 "祖父母(通常为女性)所承担的性别照料角色,他们亲力亲为地照料年幼的孙辈。然而,关于老年移民妇女通过汇款帮助 "留守 "家庭渡过经济上不可预测的难关所发挥的经济支持作用的研究却很有限。本文通过探讨年长的母亲和祖母作为有偿护理人员参与国际劳动力市场以支持 "家乡 "家庭的经济角色做出了贡献。文章借鉴了对意大利 50 多岁和 60 多岁罗马尼亚妇女的人种学研究。该研究深入了解了老年母亲和祖母在跨国护理和流动性方面的经验。更具体地说,对家庭代际团结的期望和要求如何影响妇女的移徙项目,包括其时间性以及跨国家庭中经济风险和责任的分配。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial dynamics of incoming movers and the state-led gentrification process: The case of Rotterdam 新移民的空间动态和国家主导的城市化进程:鹿特丹案例
IF 2.6 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-09-25 DOI: 10.1002/psp.2851
Kyri Maaike Joey Janssen, Clémentine Cottineau-Mugadza, Reinout Kleinhans, Ellen van Bueren

Although gentrification and its associated changes in residential mobility have been widely studied, surprisingly little attention has been paid to the changing origin locations of gentrification-related residential moves. In this study, we use fine-grained register data from the Dutch Central Bureau of Statistics to uncover changing residential mobility patterns to and within the city of Rotterdam, the Netherlands. We identify that the state-led gentrification process goes hand in hand with the changing socioeconomic characteristics of in-movers and the changing origin locations of residential moves. The city of Rotterdam increasingly attracts middle- to high-income households from other core cities in the Netherlands, a process that we understand as inter-urban gentrification spillover. In parallel, intra-urban moves by economically vulnerable residents are declining, especially toward and within gentrifying neighborhoods. This represents evidence of exclusionary displacement. We conclude that the spillover effects of contemporary gentrification should be understood beyond an intra-urban metropolitan perspective since gentrification in one city can enhance gentrification in another.

尽管对绅士化及其相关的住宅流动性变化进行了广泛研究,但令人惊讶的是,人们很少关注与绅士化相关的住宅流动的原籍地变化。在本研究中,我们利用荷兰中央统计局提供的精细登记数据,揭示了荷兰鹿特丹市内不断变化的住宅流动模式。我们发现,国家主导的城市化进程与迁入者不断变化的社会经济特征以及住宅迁移的原籍地变化是同步进行的。鹿特丹市越来越多地吸引来自荷兰其他核心城市的中高收入家庭,我们将这一过程理解为城市间的绅士化溢出。与此同时,经济上处于弱势地位的居民在城市内部的迁移却在减少,尤其是向城市化社区内部的迁移。这就是排斥性迁移的证据。我们的结论是,当代城市化的溢出效应不应局限于城市内部的视角,因为一个城市的城市化会促进另一个城市的城市化。
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引用次数: 0
Transitions across borders: Migration aspirations of young people from Kinmen, Taiwan 跨越国界的过渡:台湾金门青年的移民愿望
IF 2.6 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-09-24 DOI: 10.1002/psp.2843
Gina Chin-Yi Yang, Anita Koo

This paper examines the migration aspirations of young people from the remote border area of Kinmen, Taiwan and their migratory trajectories—internal migration to the main island of Taiwan and cross-border migration to China. Located between Taiwan and China, Kinmen is an offshore island with a long history of migration. Based on multi-site ethnographic data from 30 young people, this paper explores their migratory trajectories and aspirations concerning the instability of socio-political context and the growing social and cultural inequalities of today's globalised world, China's rise in particular. It contributes to the population geography literature by using migration aspiration as a critical lens to analyse how young people negotiate their borderland identity through mobility under the changing cross-strait political economy. The paper emphasises the importance of considering the transformation of regional economy and culture when analysing youth migration experiences. In recognising the socially grounded aspects of migration aspiration, it highlights the fluid and transformative nature of migration to enrich our knowledge of how marginalised youth form subjectivities and negotiate complex identities through migration. The distinctive experiences of peripheral youth shed new light on the conceptualisation of border crossing, place and desires under the sway of globalisation.

本文探讨了台湾金门偏远边境地区年轻人的移民愿望及其移民轨迹--内迁台湾本岛和跨境移民中国大陆。金门位于台湾和大陆之间,是一个有着悠久移民历史的离岛。本文以 30 名年轻人的多地点人种学数据为基础,探讨了他们在社会政治环境不稳定以及当今全球化世界(尤其是中国的崛起)日益加剧的社会和文化不平等背景下的迁移轨迹和愿望。本文以移民愿望为关键视角,分析了在两岸政治经济不断变化的情况下,年轻人如何通过流动来协商其边疆身份认同,从而为人口地理文献做出了贡献。论文强调了在分析青年移民经历时考虑区域经济和文化转型的重要性。在认识到移民愿望的社会基础方面,论文强调了移民的流动性和变革性,以丰富我们对边缘化青年如何通过移民形成主体性并协商复杂身份的认识。边缘青年的独特经历为我们揭示了全球化影响下的跨境、地点和愿望的概念。
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引用次数: 0
Special issue: Middle-class Indian students: Migration recruiters and aspirations 特刊:印度中产阶级学生:移民招募者和愿望
IF 2.6 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-09-24 DOI: 10.1002/psp.2836
Anand Panamthottam Cherian, Sebastian Irudaya Rajan

This paper explores the perspectives and hopes of the Indian middle class regarding international migration, specifically focusing on educational mobility. It discusses the obstacles that students encounter in a fluctuating economy, their dependence on family resources and financial support for studying abroad, as well as the importance of social networks. Furthermore, it analyses how social media platforms aid migration and addresses the influence of privatisation and global mobility on student decision-making. The paper also highlights Indian students' desires to embody ideal neoliberal characteristics to secure prestigious employment while fulfilling cultural expectations within middle-class households. Additionally, it investigates how migration facilitation and migrants' actions contribute to new migration routes. The research contextualises these changes in students balancing conflicting pressures and ambitions across different locations with cosmopolitan migrant ideals at its core.

本文探讨了印度中产阶级对国际移民的看法和希望,尤其侧重于教育流动性。论文讨论了学生在经济波动中遇到的障碍、他们对家庭资源的依赖、出国留学的经济支持以及社交网络的重要性。此外,论文还分析了社交媒体平台如何帮助移民,并探讨了私有化和全球流动对学生决策的影响。论文还强调了印度学生希望体现理想的新自由主义特征,以获得有声望的工作,同时满足中产阶级家庭的文化期望。此外,论文还探讨了移民便利化和移民行动如何促成新的移民路线。研究以世界性移民理想为核心,分析了学生在不同地点平衡相互冲突的压力和抱负时所发生的变化。
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引用次数: 0
Simultaneous and widespread: Colombia's fertility transition 同步而广泛:哥伦比亚的生育转型
IF 2.6 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-09-24 DOI: 10.1002/psp.2845
Juliana Jaramillo-Echeverri

Colombia experienced one of the fastest declines in fertility in the world: children per woman fell from 7 in 1960 to 3 in 1985. Despite the stark inequalities of the country, the regional character of the decline has been neglected in previous research. This study examines the rapid decline in fertility rates in the country, focusing on regional patterns. Using complete census registers from 1973 to 1993, it provides a detailed empirical perspective on the fertility transition. By analysing spatial patterns with Local Indicators of Spatial Association (LISA), the study identifies geographical clusters and explores the association between geography and fertility before and during the fertility transition. Additionally, new estimations of fertility rates from 1958 to 1990 are presented at the subnational level. The findings indicate that before the fertility transition, fertility patterns were influenced by historical legacies and geographical endowments. However, after 1964, fertility began to decline simultaneously across all regions, regardless of their historical fertility levels. While regional convergence in fertility rates was not achieved by 1983, the total fertility rate halved in most regions within just 25 years. Despite regional disparities, the fertility decline in the country was not only fast but also widespread. This simultaneous decline suggests that socioeconomic improvements alone do not always explain demographic processes.

哥伦比亚是世界上生育率下降最快的国家之一:每名妇女的生育率从 1960 年的 7 个降至 1985 年的 3 个。尽管该国存在严重的不平等现象,但以往的研究却忽视了生育率下降的地区特征。本研究以地区模式为重点,对该国生育率的快速下降进行了研究。本研究利用 1973 年至 1993 年的完整人口普查登记资料,从经验角度详细分析了生育率的转变。通过使用地方空间关联指标(LISA)分析空间模式,该研究确定了地理集群,并探讨了生育率转型之前和期间地理与生育率之间的关联。此外,还对 1958 年至 1990 年国家以下一级的生育率进行了新的估算。研究结果表明,在生育率转型之前,生育率模式受到历史遗留问题和地理禀赋的影响。然而,1964 年后,所有地区的生育率开始同时下降,而不论其历史生育水平如何。虽然到 1983 年各地区的生育率还没有趋同,但大多数地区的总生育率在短短 25 年内下降了一半。尽管存在地区差异,但全国生育率的下降不仅速度快,而且范围广。这种同时下降的情况表明,单靠社会经济的改善并不总能解释人口进程。
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引用次数: 0
China's provincial optimum population sizes under SSP-RCP scenarios 中国各省在 SSP-RCP 情景下的最佳人口规模
IF 2.6 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-09-24 DOI: 10.1002/psp.2840
Xinyan Huang, Xiangqi He, Gaoxiang Gu

Climate change poses new challenges to achieving a balanced population distribution. Predicting the impact of development patterns using climate change scenarios can offer more precise insights into environmental and social risks. By adopting the possibility–satisfiability (P–S) model, this study investigates the optimum population sizes for the 31 provincial districts of China by 2035 and 2050 under seven shared socioeconomic pathway-representative concentration pathway (SSP-RCP) scenarios. Results indicate that under SSP2-4.5 scenario, which maintains current development patterns, the optimum human population (OHP) ranges from 985 million to 717 million in 2035 and from 902 million to 623 million by 2050 at different P–S values, respectively. The SSP1-1.9 and SSP1-2.6 scenarios offer promising prospects by carrying the largest optimum population size. Therefore, China's future development depends on choosing a sustainable path that prioritizes the growth of the OHP. The optimum population sizes of provinces under unbalanced development routes SSP4-3.4 and SSP4-6.0 scenarios are mainly limited by economic development, while those of the regional competition route SSP3-7.0 scenario are limited by both economic and climatic pressures. Under the fossil fuel route SSP5-8.5 scenario, climate deterioration imposes severe constraints on optimum population size. The optimum population scales of the eastern coastal area with high urbanization levels and the northwest area with harsh environments are subject to natural conditions. In addition, the central and western regions encounter population size limitations due to insufficient economic development. Notably, China's population distribution remains concentrated in the east and sparse in the west, flanking the Hu Huanyong Line (Hu Line), with minimal expected changes in the future. By studying the spatial distribution of the optimum population under different SSP-RCP scenarios, this study provides theoretical support for government decision-making in the context of future climate change.

气候变化对实现人口均衡分布提出了新的挑战。利用气候变化情景预测发展模式的影响,可以更准确地洞察环境和社会风险。本研究采用可能性-可满足性(P-S)模型,探讨了在七种共享社会经济路径-代表性浓度路径(SSP-RCP)情景下,中国 31 个省级行政区在 2035 年和 2050 年的最佳人口规模。结果表明,在维持现有发展模式的 SSP2-4.5 情景下,在不同的 P-S 值下,2035 年的最佳人口规模(OHP)分别为 9.85 亿至 7.17 亿,2050 年为 9.02 亿至 6.23 亿。其中,SSP1-1.9 和 SSP1-2.6 方案的最佳人口规模最大,前景看好。因此,中国未来的发展取决于选择一条可持续发展的道路,优先发展超高人口规模。在非均衡发展路线 SSP4-3.4 和 SSP4-6.0 情景下,各省的最佳人口规模主要受经济发展的限制,而在区域竞争路线 SSP3-7.0 情景下,各省的最佳人口规模则受到经济和气候压力的双重限制。在化石燃料路线 SSP5-8.5 情景下,气候恶化严重制约了最佳人口规模。城市化水平较高的东部沿海地区和环境恶劣的西北部地区的最佳人口规模受到自然条件的制约。此外,中西部地区由于经济发展不足,人口规模也受到限制。值得注意的是,中国的人口分布仍然集中在东部地区,而在胡焕庸线(胡线)两侧的西部地区则较为稀疏,预计未来变化极小。本研究通过研究不同 SSP-RCP 情景下的最优人口空间分布,为未来气候变化背景下的政府决策提供理论支持。
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引用次数: 0
Transnational lives interrupted: The Canadian state and Indian international student experiences during the COVID-19 pandemic 跨国生活被打断:加拿大国家和印度留学生在 COVID-19 大流行期间的经历
IF 2.6 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-09-22 DOI: 10.1002/psp.2832
Neil Amber Judge, Margaret Walton-Roberts

Canada has emerged as a major education destination for international students from across the world. International students are understood to significantly contribute towards the labour market and economic growth of Canada including the higher education sector that has come to financially rely on international students. India has emerged as the largest source of international students to Canada in recent years making them a significant category of migrants impacted by the covid-19 pandemic and the subsequent lockdown measures implemented by the Canadian state. This paper looks at the experiences of Indian international students already in Canada and prospective students in India planning to pursue their studies in Canada. The pandemic delayed international education plans for many students in India while causing significant disruption to the studies, employment, and living arrangements of international students in Canada. Such disruptions created considerable uncertainty over their financial situation including meeting various eligibility requirements for work permit after graduation. This paper reveals the deeply embodied and personalised consequences for students in the face of state responses to balancing pandemic control and retaining financial and economic contribution during the pandemic.

加拿大已成为世界各地留学生的主要教育目的地。据了解,留学生对加拿大的劳动力市场和经济增长做出了重大贡献,包括在经济上依赖留学生的高等教育部门。近年来,印度已成为加拿大最大的国际学生来源国,使他们成为受 19 号大流行病和加拿大国家随后实施的封锁措施影响的重要移民类别。本文探讨了已在加拿大的印度留学生和计划到加拿大求学的印度准留学生的经历。大流行病推迟了许多印度学生的国际教育计划,同时对加拿大留学生的学习、就业和生活安排造成了严重干扰。这些干扰对他们的经济状况造成了相当大的不确定性,包括毕业后是否符合工作许可的各种资格要求。本文揭示了在大流行病期间,国家为平衡大流行病控制与保持经济和经济贡献而采取的应对措施给学生带来的深层次体现和个性化后果。
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引用次数: 0
Towards a safe haven: Students from post-Soviet countries pursuing education in Sweden during the COVID-19 pandemic 走向安全避难所:COVID-19 大流行期间在瑞典求学的后苏联国家学生
IF 2.6 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-09-22 DOI: 10.1002/psp.2833
Mette Ginnerskov-Dahlberg

This article delves into the motivations and aspirations of students from post-Soviet countries who opted for education in Sweden amid the COVID-19 pandemic. In stark contrast to most nations which enforced stringent lockdown measures to curb the transmission of the coronavirus, Sweden adopted a relatively laissez-faire approach, keeping significant sectors of society operational. While Sweden's strategy garnered considerable global scrutiny and critique, the students in this study exhibited a notable lack of apprehension regarding the global health crisis or Sweden's controversial approach to the pandemic. For these students, the COVID-19 pandemic primarily manifested as a practical impediment to their forthcoming academic endeavours. Conversely, they perceived various enduring societal challenges in their countries of origin–such as unemployment, anxiety and distrust towards governmental authorities, and even armed conflict–as possessing a more entrenched and formidable nature, posing a greater threat to their overall well-being. Against this backdrop, Sweden emerged as a perceived sanctuary capable of reinstating a state of ontological security, especially for the students identifying as members of the LGBTQ+ community and with political convictions frowned upon by the government of their home country. By focusing on the narratives of these individuals and adopting a conceptual framework that views ‘crisis’ as a relational construct, this study sheds light on the divergent experiences and perceptions of the COVID-19 pandemic among international student cohorts. This approach underscores the nuanced and context-dependent nature of their responses to the pandemic, emphasising the imperative of empirically accounting for these variations.

本文探讨了在 COVID-19 大流行期间选择到瑞典接受教育的后苏联国家学生的动机和愿望。与大多数国家采取严格的封锁措施以遏制冠状病毒传播形成鲜明对比的是,瑞典采取了相对自由放任的态度,让社会的重要部门保持运作。虽然瑞典的策略在全球范围内引起了广泛的关注和批评,但本研究中的学生对全球健康危机或瑞典有争议的大流行病应对方法明显缺乏忧虑。对这些学生来说,COVID-19 大流行主要表现为对他们即将开始的学业的实际阻碍。相反,他们认为原籍国的各种持久性社会挑战--如失业、焦虑和对政府当局的不信任,甚至武装冲突--具有更加根深蒂固和可怕的性质,对他们的整体福祉构成了更大的威胁。在这种背景下,瑞典成为了一个能够恢复本体安全状态的避难所,尤其是对于那些自称是 LGBTQ+ 群体成员、其政治信仰为本国政府所不齿的学生而言。通过关注这些人的叙述,并采用将 "危机 "视为一种关系建构的概念框架,本研究揭示了留学生群体对 COVID-19 大流行的不同体验和看法。这种方法强调了他们对这一流行病的反应的细微差别和背景依赖性,强调了对这些差异进行实证分析的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Get out of life on the edge: The role of urban public health services on migrants’ social integration in China 摆脱边缘生活:中国城市公共卫生服务对流动人口社会融入的作用
IF 2.6 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-09-22 DOI: 10.1002/psp.2841
Jun Li, Tiantian Li, Wei Wang

Public health services for migrants are not only related to their health status, but also crucial to their social integration in the host cities. Using data from the 2017 China Migrants Dynamic Survey, we examine the impacts of urban public health services on migrants’ social integration. We find a positive correlation between the accessibility of public health services among migrants and their social integration. Research on the mechanisms reveals that obtaining public health services contribute to social integration by improving migrants’ health status, fostering the alignment of hygiene practices with those of local residents and promoting family migration. Heterogeneity analysis shows that the positive impact of public health services on social integration is notably pronounced among migrants engaged in informal employment, lacking social security, holding rural hukou and having a relatively brief duration of residence in the host cities. This paper presents valuable insights into migrants’ social integration which is a critical issue for policymakers. By improving the accessibility of public health services, migrants will better integrate into host cities. The findings may be instructive for promoting urbanization in China and other countries.

流动人口的公共卫生服务不仅关系到他们的健康状况,而且对他们融入所在城市的社会也至关重要。利用 2017 年中国流动人口动态调查的数据,我们研究了城市公共卫生服务对流动人口社会融合的影响。我们发现,流动人口的公共卫生服务可及性与他们的社会融合之间存在正相关。对其机制的研究表明,获得公共卫生服务有助于改善流动人口的健康状况,促进卫生习惯与当地居民的卫生习惯相一致,并推动家庭迁移,从而促进社会融合。异质性分析表明,公共卫生服务对社会融合的积极影响在从事非正规就业、缺乏社会保障、持有农村户口以及在东道城市居住时间较短的移民中尤为明显。本文就移民的社会融合问题提出了宝贵的见解,这对政策制定者来说是一个至关重要的问题。通过改善公共卫生服务的可及性,移民将更好地融入东道城市。研究结果可能对促进中国和其他国家的城市化进程具有指导意义。
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引用次数: 0
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Population Space and Place
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