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Courts-First Federalism: How Model Legislation Becomes Impact Litigation 法院优先的联邦主义:示范立法如何成为影响性诉讼
IF 3.8 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-04 DOI: 10.1017/s1537592724000616
Dylan L. Yingling, Daniel J. Mallinson
States and interest groups are facilitating a redistribution of government powers under a new courts-first federalism. States are working to claw back powers while interest groups drafting model laws strategically tailor them to skirt the limits of federal law and, once adopted by states, prompt federal courts to review them as parties litigate to clarify their rights. States do not need to be completely successful in litigation to shift the balance of state–national power. Testing this argument, we find that the US Supreme Court grants review to 17% of model laws in our sample produced by the American Legislative Exchange Council (ALEC), whereas merely 1% of other cases are granted certiorari. Ultimately, the states and ALEC were partly successful in constraining federal power. Thus, the combination of model legislation, impact litigation, and courts-first federalism becomes a tool for states to draw power to themselves and from the federal government.
在法院优先的新联邦主义下,各州和利益集团正在推动政府权力的重新分配。各州正在努力收回权力,而利益集团则在起草示范法时对其进行了战略性调整,以规避联邦法律的限制,一旦被各州采纳,就会促使联邦法院对其进行审查,因为各方都要通过诉讼来澄清自己的权利。各州不需要在诉讼中完全胜诉就能改变州与国家之间的权力平衡。为了验证这一论点,我们发现美国最高法院对美国立法交流委员会(ALEC)制定的样本中 17% 的示范法进行了审查,而其他案件中仅有 1% 的示范法获得了审查。最终,各州和 ALEC 在限制联邦权力方面取得了部分成功。因此,将示范立法、影响性诉讼和法院优先的联邦主义结合在一起,成为各州将权力从联邦政府手中收归己有的工具。
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引用次数: 0
The Ukrainian Refugee Crisis and the Politics of Public Opinion: Evidence from Hungary 乌克兰难民危机与舆论政治:来自匈牙利的证据
IF 3.8 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.1017/s1537592724000410
Thomas B. Pepinsky, Ádám Reiff, Krisztina Szabó
The 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine was a watershed moment in European politics. The invasion prompted a massive influx of refugees into Central Europe, a region in which immigration has proven highly contentious and politically salient in recent decades. We study public opinion toward refugees in Hungary, a highly exclusionary political environment in which anti-migrant and anti-refugee sentiments are commonly invoked by the ruling government. Combining historical public opinion data from the past decade with two rounds of original survey data from 2022, we demonstrate that the Ukrainian refugee crisis was accompanied by a large increase in tolerance for refugees, reversing what had previously been one of the most anti-refugee public opinion environments in Europe. To explain this reversal, we use a series of survey experiments coupled with detailed settlement-level demographic data to investigate how conflict proximity and racial, religious, and national identity shape openness to refugees. We find that the distinguishing feature of the 2022 refugee crisis was that refugees were mostly white European Christians driven from their home country by conflict. We discuss the implications of our argument for Hungary, for European politics in times of crisis, and for the politics of public opinion in competitive authoritarian regimes.
2022 年俄罗斯入侵乌克兰是欧洲政治的分水岭。这次入侵促使大量难民涌入中欧,而近几十年来,中欧地区的移民问题在政治上备受争议。我们研究了匈牙利公众对难民的看法,在这个高度排外的政治环境中,执政政府通常会引用反移民和反难民的情绪。结合过去十年的历史民意数据和 2022 年的两轮原始调查数据,我们证明了乌克兰难民危机伴随着对难民容忍度的大幅提高,扭转了此前欧洲最反难民的民意环境。为了解释这种逆转,我们使用了一系列调查实验,并结合详细的定居人口数据,研究冲突邻近程度以及种族、宗教和民族认同如何影响对难民的开放度。我们发现,2022 年难民危机的显著特点是,难民大多是被冲突驱离祖国的欧洲白人基督徒。我们讨论了我们的论点对匈牙利、危机时期的欧洲政治以及竞争性独裁政权的舆论政治的影响。
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引用次数: 3
Jihadist Terrorist Attacks and Far-Right Party Preferences: An “Unexpected Event During Survey Design” in Four European Countries 圣战恐怖袭击与极右翼政党偏好:欧洲四国 "调查设计中的意外事件
IF 3.8 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-27 DOI: 10.1017/s1537592723002980
Tim Vlandas, Daphne Halikiopoulou
This article presents new empirical evidence about the impact of Jihadist terrorist attacks on far-right preferences using the “unexpected event during survey” research design. This strategy allows us to match individual-level data from the European Social Survey (ESS) to data on Jihadist terrorist attacks to compare respondents’ party preferences before and after a terrorist attack during the same survey period in the Netherlands, Sweden, France, and Germany. We theorise and test three distinct hypotheses about how different combinations of attitudinal changes including out-group prejudice and trust in institutions impact far-right preferences. We find no statistically significant effects. Analyses of the two indirect mechanisms— i.e., prejudice and trust—yield mixed results consistent with the null effect on far-right party preferences. By showing that terrorist attacks are unlikely to decisively change party support despite attracting significant public attention and affecting political attitudes, our results challenge the argument that Jihadist terrorism necessarily benefits the far-right and highlight the importance of null effects for overcoming confirmation bias in the study of voting behaviour.
本文采用 "调查期间突发事件 "的研究设计,就圣战恐怖袭击对极右翼倾向的影响提出了新的实证证据。这一策略使我们能够将欧洲社会调查(ESS)中的个人层面数据与圣战恐怖袭击数据相匹配,以比较荷兰、瑞典、法国和德国在同一调查期间发生恐怖袭击前后受访者的政党偏好。我们提出并检验了三个不同的假设,即不同的态度变化组合(包括对外部群体的偏见和对机构的信任)如何影响极右翼的偏好。我们在统计上没有发现明显的影响。对偏见和信任这两种间接机制的分析结果不一,与对极右翼政党偏好的无效影响一致。我们的研究结果表明,尽管恐怖袭击吸引了大量公众关注并影响了政治态度,但却不太可能决定性地改变政党支持率,这对圣战恐怖主义必然有利于极右翼的论点提出了质疑,并强调了无效效应对于克服投票行为研究中的确认偏差的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Critical Race Theory: How Policy Language Differentially Engages Symbolic Racism and Partisanship 批判种族理论:政策语言如何以不同方式参与象征性种族主义和党派纷争
IF 3.8 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-26 DOI: 10.1017/s1537592724000240
Mia Carbone, Allison Harell, Stuart Soroka
Recent years have seen a marked shift in the salience and politicization of any incorporation of race into teaching at the elementary and secondary levels. “Critical race theory” (CRT) has become a prominent feature of the current debate, even as there is a good deal of misunderstanding about what CRT actually is. Drawing on a pre-registered survey experiment, we consider the impact of the phrase “critical race theory” in activating both racial biases and partisan identity. Our expectation was that CRT would tend to activate partisanship independent of symbolic racism. Results suggest otherwise: where support for culturally relevant pedagogy is concerned, CRT appears to engage partisanship particularly amongst those who exhibit high levels of symbolic racism.
近年来,将种族问题纳入中小学教学的重要性和政治性发生了明显的变化。种族批判理论"(CRT)已成为当前争论的一个突出特点,尽管人们对 "种族批判理论 "的实际内涵还存在很多误解。通过预先登记的调查实验,我们考虑了 "种族批判理论 "一词在激活种族偏见和党派认同方面的影响。我们的预期是,"批判性种族理论 "倾向于激活独立于象征性种族主义的党派认同。结果表明并非如此:在支持文化相关教学法方面,批判性种族理论似乎特别能激发那些表现出高度象征性种族主义的人的党派意识。
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引用次数: 0
Empowering Digital Democracy 赋予数字民主权力
IF 3.8 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-26 DOI: 10.1017/s1537592724000409
Roberta Fischli, James Muldoon
This article examines the role of digital technology in enabling and enhancing democratic practices and forms of governance. It contributes to emerging debates on democratic innovations by proposing a novel theoretical account of decentralized participatory democracy. To develop our account, we draw on the experience of two EU-funded projects, D-CENT and DECODE, which produced innovative citizen participation platforms and digital public infrastructure. Bringing democratic theory into conversation with critical data studies and the new municipalism movement, we theorize how these projects advanced three political aims: organizing political communities to build collective power, empowering citizens through direct participation in decision making, and transforming political institutions. The article then analyzes the strengths and limitations of these projects to draw lessons for policy makers and practitioners for future digital democratic experiments.
本文探讨了数字技术在促进和加强民主实践和治理形式方面的作用。文章对分散式参与民主提出了新颖的理论解释,为新出现的民主创新辩论做出了贡献。为了展开论述,我们借鉴了欧盟资助的两个项目--D-CENT 和 DECODE 的经验,这两个项目产生了创新的公民参与平台和数字公共基础设施。我们将民主理论与批判性数据研究和新市政主义运动结合起来,从理论上阐述了这些项目如何推进三个政治目标:组织政治社区以建立集体力量、通过直接参与决策赋予公民权力以及变革政治体制。文章随后分析了这些项目的优势和局限性,为政策制定者和实践者未来的数字民主实验提供借鉴。
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引用次数: 0
How to Stay Popular: Threat, Framing, and Conspiracy Theory Longevity 如何保持流行:威胁、框架和阴谋论的寿命
IF 3.8 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-25 DOI: 10.1017/s1537592723003006
Courtney Blackington, Frances Cayton
Why do some conspiracy theories (CTs) remain popular and continue to spread on social media while others quickly fade away? Situating conspiracy theories within the literature on social movements, we propose and test a new theory of how enduring CTs maintain and regain popularity online. We test our theory using an original, hand-coded dataset of 5,794 tweets surrounding a divisive and regularly commemorated set of CTs in Poland. We find that CTs that cue in-group and out-group threats garner more retweets and likes than CT tweets lacking this rhetoric. Surprisingly, given the extant literature on party leaders’ ability to shape political attitudes and behaviors, we find that ruling party tweets endorsing CTs gain less engagement than CT tweets from non-officials. Finally, when a CT’s main threat frames are referenced in current events, CTs re-gain popularity on social media. Given the centrality of CTs to populist rule, these results offer a new explanation for CT popularity—one focused on the conditions under which salient threat frames strongly resonate.
为什么一些阴谋论(CT)在社交媒体上持续流行和传播,而另一些则迅速消失?我们将阴谋论置于有关社会运动的文献中,提出并检验了一种新理论,即持久的阴谋论如何在网上保持和重新流行。我们使用手工编码的原始数据集来验证我们的理论,该数据集包含 5,794 条推文,这些推文围绕着波兰一系列具有分歧且定期举行纪念活动的 CT。我们发现,与缺乏这种修辞的 CT 微博相比,提示群体内和群体外威胁的 CT 获得了更多的转发和点赞。令人惊讶的是,考虑到现有文献对政党领袖塑造政治态度和行为能力的研究,我们发现执政党支持 CT 的推文获得的参与度低于来自非官方人士的 CT 推文。最后,当CT的主要威胁框架在当前事件中被提及时,CT在社交媒体上重新获得了人气。鉴于反恐委员会在民粹主义统治中的核心地位,这些结果为反恐委员会的受欢迎程度提供了一种新的解释--侧重于突出的威胁框架能引起强烈共鸣的条件。
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引用次数: 0
Strategically Hijacking Victimhood: A Political Communication Strategy in the Discourse of Viktor Orbán and Donald Trump 战略性劫持受害者身份:维克托-欧尔班和唐纳德-特朗普话语中的政治传播策略
IF 3.8 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-25 DOI: 10.1017/s1537592724000239
Jessie Barton Hronešová, Daniel Kreiss
This article introduces the concept of “hijacked victimhood” as a form of strategically leveraging victimhood narratives. It is a subset of strategic victimhood, which is a relatively common communicative strategy whereby groups claim victimhood status in contests over power and legitimacy. Political leaders who use the strategy of hijacked victimhood present dominant groups as in danger, as current or future victims, and in need of protection (especially by the crafter of the narrative) from oppressive forces consisting of—or indirectly representing—marginalized and subaltern groups. In the process, leaders hijacking victimhood blunt the rights-based claims of such groups. Analyzing Viktor Orbán’s and Donald Trump’s elite rhetoric in Hungary and the United States, respectively, we inductively document varieties of hijacked victimhood in their political communication, showing how Orbán leverages historical suffering and resistance while Trump constructs economic and value-based harms for dominant groups. Making both conceptual and empirical contributions, we argue that at the heart of hijacked victimhood is a reversal of the victimizer–victim dichotomy, a new portrayal of moral orders, a teleological ordering of past and future harms, and a mobilization of security threats—all used to preserve or expand a dominant group’s power.
本文介绍了 "劫持受害者身份 "这一概念,它是一种战略性地利用受害者身份叙事的形式。它是战略性受害者身份的一个分支,而战略性受害者身份是一种相对常见的沟通策略,通过这种策略,各群体在争夺权力和合法性的过程中声称自己是受害者。使用 "劫持受害者身份 "策略的政治领导人将占统治地位的群体描述为处于危险之中,是当前或未来的受害者,需要得到由边缘化群体和次等群体组成的或间接代表边缘化群体和次等群体的压迫势力的保护(尤其是受到叙事创造者的保护)。在此过程中,劫持受害者身份的领导人会削弱这些群体基于权利的诉求。通过分析维克托-欧尔班(Viktor Orbán)和唐纳德-特朗普(Donald Trump)分别在匈牙利和美国的精英言论,我们归纳记录了他们政治沟通中各种劫持受害者身份的方式,展示了欧尔班如何利用历史苦难和反抗,而特朗普则如何为主流群体构建基于经济和价值的伤害。通过对概念和实证方面的贡献,我们认为被劫持的受害者身份的核心是对加害者-受害者二分法的颠覆、对道德秩序的新描述、对过去和未来伤害的目的论排序以及对安全威胁的动员--所有这些都是为了维护或扩大统治集团的权力。
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引用次数: 0
Deepening or Endangering Democracy: Demonstrations and Institutions under Representative Government 深化还是危及民主?代议制政府下的示威与制度
IF 3.8 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-02 DOI: 10.1017/s1537592723002955
Robert M. Fishman
Do demonstrations tend to deepen or endanger democracy? I examine this theme of major debate between scholars and among political actors, analyzing how the United States and other democracies have dealt with—and been shaped by—popular pressure on representative institutions. Cases that are discussed include Martin Luther King’s 1963 March on Washington and the January 6, 2021 assault on the Capitol, as well as examples drawn from Spain, Portugal, and Italy. I offer clear principles to differentiate between types of protest that deepen democracy, advance the goal of inclusion, and others that endanger democratic principles. Among the issues I take up is whether the location of protest—for example, adjacent to or even inside legislative chambers—is decisive. Rejecting that approach, my argument instead emphasizes the difference between protests intended to influence policy-making or the political agenda and those that use intimidation or violence to replace the primacy of elections in selecting office holders. The discussion argues that conceptualizing demonstrations as complementary to the work of representative institutions can help to promote the difficult to obtain objective of political equality between citizens. The article also asks whether consensus on this matter can be attained and if so how.
示威是倾向于深化民主还是危及民主?我将探讨学者之间和政治参与者之间的这一重大争论主题,分析美国和其他民主国家如何应对民众对代议制机构施加的压力,以及这种压力对代议制机构的影响。讨论的案例包括马丁-路德-金 1963 年的华盛顿大游行和 2021 年 1 月 6 日对国会大厦的袭击,以及西班牙、葡萄牙和意大利的例子。我提出了明确的原则来区分深化民主、推进包容目标的抗议类型和危及民主原则的其他类型。我所讨论的问题之一是抗议的地点--例如在立法机构附近甚至内部--是否是决定性的。我反对这种做法,而是强调旨在影响决策或政治议程的抗议与使用恐吓或暴力手段取代选举在遴选公职人员中的首要地位的抗议之间的区别。讨论认为,将示威概念化为代议制机构工作的补充,有助于促进公民政治平等这一难以实现的目标。文章还提出了能否就这一问题达成共识以及如何达成共识的问题。
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引用次数: 0
Scattered Attacks: The Collective Dynamics of Lone-Actor Terrorism 分散攻击:独行者恐怖主义的集体动力
IF 3.8 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-11 DOI: 10.1017/s1537592723002852
S. Malthaner, Francis O’Connor, Lasse Lindekilde
The proliferation of lone-actor terrorist attacks over the past decade has led to a rapidly expanding literature and a subfield of research. However, this research has only to a limited degree been brought into wider discussions on political violence and social movements. In the present article, we take up this synthetic challenge and argue the need to theorize the social and collective dynamics of lone-actor terrorism. The article proposes a novel analytical framework for understanding lone-actor terrorism. We provide a conceptualization that draws attention to the social embeddedness of terrorist lone-actor radicalization and the collective dynamic of lone-actor attacks. Our point of departure is the recurrent finding that lone-actor terrorists are in fact not that alone, and that their attacks tend to cluster in time and space. First, we propose to conceive of lone-actor radicalization as a relational pathway shaped by social ties and interactions with radical milieus/movements. Second, taking inspiration from Charles Tilly’s notion of “scattered attacks” as a pattern of dispersed, loosely coordinated collective violence, we suggest three complementary ways of analyzing these processes and their temporal and interactive dynamic. We argue that theorizing the social and collective dynamics of lone-actor political violence is not only about addressing an empirical puzzle (the abundance of social ties; the clustered pattern of violent attacks), but about analytically capturing an entirely different and potentially increasingly relevant logic of violent processes. Thereby, and paradoxically, the very notion of “lone actors” can help us to understand the social dynamics of collective political violence more generally.
过去十年来,单独行动的恐怖袭击事件激增,导致文献和研究子领域迅速扩大。然而,这些研究仅在有限的程度上被引入到有关政治暴力和社会运动的更广泛讨论中。在本文中,我们接受了这一综合挑战,并认为有必要对独行恐怖主义的社会和集体动态进行理论分析。文章提出了一个新的分析框架来理解独行恐怖主义。我们提供了一个概念化的方法,提请人们注意恐怖主义独行者激进化的社会嵌入性和独行者袭击的集体动力。我们的出发点是一个经常出现的发现,即独行恐怖分子事实上并不那么孤独,他们的袭击往往在时间和空间上聚集在一起。首先,我们建议将独行恐怖分子的激进化视为一种由社会关系以及与激进团体/运动的互动所形成的关系途径。其次,我们从查尔斯-蒂利(Charles Tilly)的 "分散攻击 "概念中汲取灵感,将其视为一种分散的、松散协调的集体暴力模式,并提出了分析这些过程及其时间和互动动态的三种互补方法。我们认为,对独行侠政治暴力的社会和集体动态进行理论分析,不仅是为了解决一个经验性难题(社会关系的丰富性;暴力袭击的集群模式),也是为了在分析中捕捉到一种完全不同的、潜在的、日益相关的暴力过程逻辑。因此,自相矛盾的是,"单独行动者 "这一概念本身可以帮助我们更广泛地理解集体政治暴力的社会动态。
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引用次数: 0
What Is It Like To Be a Partisan? Measures of Partisanship and Its Value for Democracy 党派是什么样的?党派主义的衡量标准及其对民主的价值
IF 3.8 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-06 DOI: 10.1017/s153759272300289x
Kevin J. Elliott
What is it like to be a partisan? How do individuals experience their relationship to political parties? The most common answer today, both in popular discourse and much political science, is identity, but many individuals do not identify with parties. Rather, they relate to parties in terms of psychological closeness or affinity—they do not say “we” about the party, as do identifiers, but rather “they.” In this article, I argue that both the empirical and normative study of partisanship would be improved by recognizing that these are two fundamentally different ways for individuals to be attached to parties and that these distinct experiences coexist within most democracies today. Acknowledging this basic plurality of partisanships would remedy the current tendency among empirical studies to homogenize partisanship as either identity or closeness and so would avoid falsifying the experience of many citizens who fall into the opposite category. In polarized contexts, moreover, it could help break up dualistic and antagonistic thinking about how to perform partisanship and diversify public understandings of how to be a partisan. Recognizing the plurality of partisanships would also improve the explosion of normative theorizing about partisanship found in the ground-breaking work of scholars like Nancy Rosenblum, Russell Muirhead, and Jonathan White and Lea Ypi. I show how identity and closeness partisanship—and the interaction between them—have transformative consequences for each of these scholars’ theories of partisanship, either furthering or threatening them. The article aims to improve the conceptualization of partisanship and to model a salutary engagement between normative and empirical inquiry within political science.
当游击队员是什么感觉?个人如何体验他们与政党的关系?今天,无论是在流行话语中还是在许多政治科学中,最常见的答案都是身份认同,但许多个人并不认同政党。更确切地说,他们与聚会的关系是心理上的亲密或亲近感——他们不会像标识符那样说“我们”,而是说“他们”。在这篇文章中,我认为,通过认识到这是个人依附于政党的两种根本不同的方式,以及这些不同的经历在当今大多数民主国家共存,党派关系的实证和规范研究都将得到改善。承认党派关系的这种基本多元性将纠正目前实证研究中将党派关系同质化为认同或亲近的倾向,从而避免伪造许多属于相反类别的公民的经验。此外,在两极分化的背景下,它可以帮助打破关于如何执行党派关系的二元和对抗性思维,并使公众对如何成为党派的理解多样化。认识到党派关系的多元性也会促进党派关系规范性理论的爆发,这些理论在南希·罗森布鲁姆(Nancy Rosenblum)、拉塞尔·穆尔黑德(Russell Muirhead)、乔纳森·怀特(Jonathan White)和利亚·伊皮(Lea Ypi)等学者的开创性工作中得到了发展。我展示了身份和党派关系的亲密性——以及它们之间的相互作用——如何对这些学者的党派关系理论产生变革性的影响,要么促进了这些理论,要么威胁了它们。本文旨在改进党派关系的概念化,并在政治科学的规范和经验调查之间建立有益的接触模型。
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