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Middle-income Trap or Neoliberal Trap? Industrial Policy and Ideology in the World Development Report 2024 中等收入陷阱还是新自由主义陷阱?《2024年世界发展报告》中的产业政策与意识形态
IF 3.2 2区 社会学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-09-11 DOI: 10.1111/dech.70013
Pritish Behuria, Andy Sumner
<p><b>World Bank Group, <i>World Development Report 2024: The Middle-income Trap</i>. Washington, DC: World Bank Group, 2024. xxx + 241 pp</b>. <b>www.worldbank.org/en/publication/wdr2024</b></p><p>Over the past two decades, both within academia and in multilateral policy circles, significant attention has been devoted to analysing the ‘middle-income trap’ (MIT), which generally refers to a growth slowdown at middle-income levels (Agénor, <span>2016</span>; Doner and Schneider, <span>2016</span>; Felipe et al., <span>2012</span>; Gill and Kharas, <span>2007</span>; Im and Rosenblatt, <span>2013</span>). The growing literature on the MIT suggests widespread agreement that falling into this trap is likely. Yet it is not clear whether such a trap exists at all (see discussion in Kang and Paus, <span>2020</span>). Several studies have found no generalizable pattern indicative of a ‘trap’ facing middle-income countries (Pritchett and Summers, <span>2014</span>). Others have argued that growth slowdowns attributed to the MIT took place much earlier in Latin America and parts of Southeast Asia than its proponents suggest (Palma and Pincus, <span>2024</span>). Debates also persist over its multiple definitions, the income thresholds used to delineate it, and the empirical evidence required to identify a growth slowdown (Bulman et al., <span>2014</span>).</p><p>The growing prominence of the MIT concept in policy debates is most clearly reflected in the World Bank's most recent annual flagship publication, the <i>World Development Report 2024: The Middle-income Trap</i> (henceforth WDR 2024 or the Report). The Report's lead author, Indermit Gill, now Chief Economist of the World Bank, and Homi Kharas, a former World Bank official, are often cited as having first introduced the term (Gill and Kharas, <span>2007</span>). That said, many years prior, Arthur Lewis (<span>1980</span>) had already postulated that countries tend to experience a growth slowdown as they approach high-income status due to the diminishing benefits of labour transfers from the non-capitalist to the capitalist sector in the dual economy model, once the Lewis turning point is reached.</p><p>Our article has two main objectives. First, we critically review the WDR 2024 and highlight its shortcomings. Second, we discuss alternative frameworks for explaining growth slowdowns. We argue that the Report is an oddly defensive response to the recent surge in discussions around industrial policy, especially given the World Bank's earlier openness under Justin Lin's tenure as Chief Economist. We also contend that the Report represents an attempt at paradigm maintenance, intended to limit the role of the state as ruptures between the neoclassical view of industrial policies and the enactment of such policies in the Global South become increasingly visible. Such paradigm maintenance strategies have been a feature of earlier World Development Reports (Wade, <span>1996</span>). For example, following
世界银行集团,《2024年世界发展报告:中等收入陷阱》。华盛顿特区:世界银行集团,2024年。xxx + 241 pp. www.worldbank.org/en/publication/wdr2024Over过去二十年来,学术界和多边政策圈对“中等收入陷阱”(MIT)的分析给予了极大的关注,这通常指的是中等收入水平的增长放缓(agsamunor, 2016; Doner和Schneider, 2016; Felipe等人,2012;Gill和Kharas, 2007; Im和Rosenblatt, 2013)。越来越多关于麻省理工学院的文献表明,人们普遍认为很可能陷入这个陷阱。然而,尚不清楚这样的陷阱是否存在(见Kang和Paus, 2020年的讨论)。几项研究没有发现中等收入国家面临“陷阱”的普遍模式(Pritchett和Summers, 2014)。另一些人则认为,拉美和东南亚部分地区的经济增长放缓比其支持者认为的要早得多(Palma和Pincus, 2024)。关于其多重定义、用于描述其的收入阈值以及确定增长放缓所需的经验证据的争论也持续存在(Bulman等人,2014)。世界银行最新年度旗舰出版物《2024年世界发展报告:中等收入陷阱》(以下简称《2024年世界发展报告》或《报告》)最清楚地反映了麻省理工学院概念在政策辩论中的日益突出地位。该报告的主要作者,现任世界银行首席经济学家Indermit Gill和前世界银行官员Homi Kharas经常被认为是第一个引入这个术语的人(Gill and Kharas, 2007)。也就是说,许多年前,亚瑟·刘易斯(1980)就已经假设,一旦达到刘易斯拐点,在二元经济模式下,劳动力从非资本主义部门转移到资本主义部门的好处就会减少,因此国家在接近高收入地位时往往会经历增长放缓。我们的文章有两个主要目的。首先,我们严格审查《2024年世界发展报告》,并强调其不足之处。其次,我们讨论了解释增长放缓的其他框架。我们认为,该报告是对最近围绕产业政策的讨论激增的一种奇怪的防御性回应,特别是考虑到世界银行在林毅夫担任首席经济学家期间早些时候的开放。我们还认为,该报告代表了一种范式维护的尝试,旨在限制国家的作用,因为新古典主义工业政策观点与全球南方国家制定此类政策之间的裂痕越来越明显。这种维持范式的策略是早期《世界发展报告》的一个特点(Wade, 1996)。例如,随着东亚发展中国家制定的战略与华盛顿共识时代国际金融机构(IFIs)推动的市场友好政策直接相矛盾(Amsden, 1989; Johnson, 1982;Wade, 1990),世界银行在其1993年的报告(World Bank, 1993)中认为,这些国家的快速增长主要归因于它们采取了加强市场的政策,而国家的作用只是在有限的程度上得到了承认。发展国家学者(如Amsden, 1994; Wade, 1996)批评了这种解释,他们认为这种解释是通过对证据的选择性分析得出的,未能充分考虑东亚国家形成结构转型的详细背景现实。此外,Mkandawire(2001: 292)认为,随后的世界银行报告,如《非洲的调整》(世界银行,1994)和《商业中的官僚》(世界银行,1995)提供的证据表明,世界银行变得更加谨慎,甚至不鼓励有限形式的国家干预。在过去的几十年里,中国的崛起(由国家大量参与经济)和2008年的全球金融危机动摇了各国对国际金融机构长期倡导的以市场为中心范式的信心。虽然世界银行已经认识到产业政策的重要性,但它仍然通过“调整”或“增强”华盛顿共识的常规处方继续支持自由化(Rodrik, 2006)。那么,为什么现在才出现《世界发展报告》的主题和意识形态定位呢?我们认为,《2024年世界发展报告》是对国家在产业政策制定中的全球复苏及其作为经济发展协调者的新角色的回应。虽然国际金融机构目前发现自己在偿债需求上升的推动下处于新的影响力地位,但《世界发展报告》显示,世行内部的紧张局势仍然存在。该报告可被视为《世界发展报告》悠久传统的一部分,该传统倡导“大体相同,但更好”的市场友好战略。 它的药方忽视了几十年来市场主导的改革,以及全球南方经济体日益融入全球金融和工业经济的进程,这些都严重制约了结构性转型。忽视这些现实会导致国家陷入“新自由主义陷阱”,而不是“中等收入陷阱”(Palma and Pincus, 2024)。本文的结构如下。下一节将回顾《2024年世界发展报告》的主要论点,以及用于支持其政策处方的证据。在此之后,对报告的核心知识和概念缺陷进行了批判性审查,特别是其对国家角色,工业化的处理以及使用关键例子来证明其处方的合理性。接下来的部分提供了分析增长放缓的另一种方法。我们首先重新考虑双部门模型的相关性,特别是借鉴阿瑟·刘易斯和塞尔索·费塔多的工作。然后,我们利用进化经济学领域的讨论来强调与国内企业从全球经济中的从属地位获得技术能力相关的当代挑战。以下部分批评了《世界发展报告》的一个关键政策处方:鼓励与外国公司和出口导向型全球价值链(GVCs)建立伙伴关系。相反,我们认为,忽视与占领国内和区域市场相关的利益的决定是错误的。下一节讨论结构转型的政治性质,并说明当前的全球经济如何使动员国内资金为结构转型提供资金变得困难。最后,本文认为《2024年世界发展报告》误诊了当代经济发展的核心问题。在本节中,我们首先描述《2024年世界发展报告》设想的产业政策处方类型。我们展示了这些处方如何与符合市场的产业政策方法相一致。例如,该报告与国际金融机构的长期立场一致,特别是他们对租金和国家参与的厌恶(世界银行,1981年)。这些论点没有承认,产业政策本质上是复杂和有风险的,它的特点是失败。虽然报告中提倡出口导向的产业政策,但它忽略了东亚进口替代与出口促进的历史共存(Lall, 1992)。事实上,这些策略是相互加强的(Oqubay, 2015)。报告没有认识到,加强国内和区域联系与融入跨国公司主导的全球价值链同样重要。报告还在很大程度上忽视了为产业政策融资所面临的挑战。几十年来,国际金融机构促进了金融部门的自由化,并减少了资本和外汇管制。这限制了后发国家利用国内金融体系为产业政策提供资金的能力,就像东亚发展中国家曾经做过的那样(Wade, 1990)。世界银行也经常批评国家开发银行的使用,这是为产业政策提供资金的另一个重要途径(Griffith-Jones和Ocampo, 2018)。最后,尽管报告关注的是产业政策,但它对政治和租金管理问题——包括熊彼特的垄断租金概念——保持沉默。从根本上说,成功的产业政策是通过国家使用租金来激励企业学习和投资技术能力获取而实现的。因此,对“学习租金”的政治管理对于任何希望走向技术前沿的国家来说都是至关重要的(Khan和Sundaram, 2000)。《2024年世界发展报告》在其注入战略中特别关注产业政策。它认为,产业政策被认为是必要的,以“解决已确定的市场失灵,以及国家支持的机会成本”,在支持价值的同时减轻“市场扭曲和偏袒的风险”,并“监测和评估直接的预期影响”(第175-76页)。技术注入(或转移)是其投资、注入和创新战略第二阶段的一部分,强调采用和适应外国技术作为结构转
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引用次数: 0
Biophysicality, Social Reproduction and the Limits of Renewables Capitalism 生物物理,社会再生产和可再生资本主义的限制
IF 3.2 2区 社会学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-09-08 DOI: 10.1111/dech.70017
Bengi Akbulut

This article debates the prospect of renewables capitalism and the hypothesis that capitalism per se does not require fossil fuels from a feminist degrowth perspective by elucidating how capitalism, its imperatives and its contradictions — and thus the potentiality of renewables capitalism — would be viewed from this perspective. To this end, the article outlines a feminist degrowth understanding of capitalism by building on traditions and frameworks which inform degrowth thinking, delineating two aspects in particular: the biophysicality of capitalism and its conception as a heterogeneous social formation. This particular understanding of capitalism is then mobilized to elaborate on the potential contradictions of renewables capitalism, structured around the limits and constraints that the biophysical properties of renewables would pose for capitalism and the labour of social-ecological reproduction in renewables capitalism. The article concludes by highlighting the contribution of a feminist degrowth perspective to contemporary debates on renewables capitalism, as well as the lessons to be drawn from degrowth thinkers over the prospect of a renewables transition led by capital.

本文讨论了可再生资本主义的前景,以及资本主义本身不需要化石燃料的假设,从女权主义去增长的角度出发,阐述了如何从这一角度看待资本主义、其必要性和矛盾——以及可再生资本主义的潜力。为此,本文概述了女权主义者对资本主义的去增长理解,建立在传统和框架的基础上,这些传统和框架为去增长思想提供了信息,特别描绘了两个方面:资本主义的生物物理性及其作为异质社会形态的概念。这种对资本主义的特殊理解随后被动员起来,以阐述可再生能源资本主义的潜在矛盾,围绕可再生能源的生物物理特性对资本主义和可再生能源资本主义社会生态再生产的劳动构成的限制和约束。文章最后强调了女权主义去增长观点对当代可再生能源资本主义辩论的贡献,以及从去增长思想家那里吸取的关于资本主导的可再生能源转型前景的教训。
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引用次数: 0
Opportunities for Latecomer Technological Catch-up in the Era of Renewables Capitalism: Possible Pathways out of the Periphery 可再生能源资本主义时代后发技术追赶的机会:走出边缘的可能途径
IF 3.2 2区 社会学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-09-02 DOI: 10.1111/dech.70016
Lindsay Whitfield, Tobias Wuttke

The Debate section asks whether developing countries can leverage the transition to renewables capitalism to escape their peripheral status in the global economy. This contribution focuses on how capitalism, and thus also renewables capitalism, creates windows of opportunity during periods of disruptive technological change and how latecomer countries can exploit these windows for technological catch-up; it suggests possible pathways out of the periphery that have been downplayed or overlooked in the development studies literature. The authors argue that successfully leveraging windows of opportunity requires three interconnected dynamics: (1) local firms must access and assimilate foreign knowledge through transnational networks; (2) firms must use this knowledge base for innovation while securing adequate market demand and financing to scale production and reduce costs; and (3) governments must provide strategic support through targeted industrial policies. The article makes a novel contribution to the debate on technological catch-up in development studies by demonstrating that all three dynamics are not only important but necessary for technological catch-up. It illustrates this argument through two industry case studies from the more distant past (South Korea and Taiwan in semiconductors) and the more recent past (China in electric vehicles). Its insights can inform strategies regarding the windows of opportunity related to green decarbonization technologies which will inevitably arise under renewables capitalism.

辩论部分询问发展中国家是否可以利用向可再生能源资本主义的过渡来摆脱其在全球经济中的边缘地位。这篇文章关注的是资本主义(以及可再生能源资本主义)如何在破坏性技术变革时期创造机会之窗,以及后发国家如何利用这些机会之窗实现技术追赶;它提出了在发展研究文献中被低估或忽视的可能的外围途径。作者认为,成功利用机会之窗需要三个相互关联的动力:(1)本地企业必须通过跨国网络获取和吸收外国知识;(2)企业必须利用这些知识基础进行创新,同时确保足够的市场需求和融资,以扩大生产规模并降低成本;(3)政府必须通过有针对性的产业政策提供战略支持。这篇文章对发展研究中关于技术追赶的辩论做出了新颖的贡献,它证明了这三种动力不仅重要,而且对于技术追赶是必要的。它通过两个行业案例来说明这一观点,它们分别来自较遥远的过去(半导体领域的韩国和台湾)和较近的过去(电动汽车领域的中国)。它的见解可以为与可再生能源资本主义不可避免地出现的绿色脱碳技术相关的机会之窗的战略提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
Development as Erasure: Palestine, Genocide and ‘Reconstruction’ 发展即抹除:巴勒斯坦、种族灭绝和“重建”
IF 3.2 2区 社会学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-09-01 DOI: 10.1111/dech.70014
Rafeef Ziadah

This article examines the destruction of Gaza since October 2023 as part of a longer settler-colonial project in which war, reconstruction and development are inseparably linked. Far from a rupture, the devastation exemplifies a historical continuum of erasure, from the Nakba of 1948 to contemporary schemes such as ‘Gaza 2035’, which envision the territory as a depopulated investment frontier for energy, logistics and speculative urbanism. Situating Palestine within comparative settler-colonial scholarship, the article highlights how development and humanitarian discourses function as technologies of control, embedding dispossession within fiscal regimes, aid dependency and infrastructural planning. Tracing these dynamics through the Oslo Accords, donor interventions and regional economic normalization, it shows how neoliberal frameworks have transformed reconstruction into an extension of war by other means. In this system, Israel emerges not only as militarily dominant but also as economically indispensable, its occupation sustained through global markets, supply chains and international complicity.

本文考察了自2023年10月以来加沙地带的破坏,这是一个长期的定居者-殖民项目的一部分,在这个项目中,战争、重建和发展是密不可分的。从1948年的纳克巴(Nakba)到当代的“加沙2035”(Gaza 2035)计划,这种破坏远非破裂,而是一种抹除的历史连续体的例证,该计划将该地区设想为一个人口稀少的能源、物流和投机性城市化的投资前沿。本文将巴勒斯坦置于定居者-殖民地的比较研究中,强调了发展和人道主义话语如何作为控制技术发挥作用,将剥夺嵌入财政制度、援助依赖和基础设施规划中。通过《奥斯陆协定》、捐助者干预和区域经济正常化来追踪这些动态,它展示了新自由主义框架如何通过其他方式将重建转变为战争的延伸。在这个体系中,以色列不仅在军事上占据主导地位,而且在经济上也是不可或缺的,它的占领通过全球市场、供应链和国际共谋得以维持。
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引用次数: 0
Is Renewable Energy Enough to Save the Planet, or Humanity? 可再生能源足以拯救地球或人类吗?
IF 3.2 2区 社会学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-09-01 DOI: 10.1111/dech.70011
Jayati Ghosh

This contribution argues that the ‘green transition’ towards net zero carbon emissions is not possible within a capitalist market-oriented framework, and requires significant public intervention. But simply changing the energy mix towards renewables will not be sufficient to save the planet or humanity: more fundamental changes in economic and social arrangements are needed. Poverty elimination, massive reductions in inequality, empowering women and other marginalized groups, and transforming food systems, in addition to the shift to greater use of electricity generated through renewable sources, will all be vital.

这篇文章认为,在资本主义市场导向的框架下,向净零碳排放的“绿色转型”是不可能的,需要大量的公共干预。但仅仅将能源结构转向可再生能源并不足以拯救地球或人类:需要在经济和社会安排方面进行更根本的变革。消除贫困、大幅减少不平等、增强妇女和其他边缘化群体的权能、转变粮食体系,以及更多地利用可再生能源发电,这些都将至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Authority as a Spatial Hook for Renewables Capital: Frontierization, Zoning and Land Making in Asian Coal Economies 当局作为可再生能源资本的空间挂钩:亚洲煤炭经济的边界化、分区和土地制造
IF 3.2 2区 社会学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-08-25 DOI: 10.1111/dech.70012
Nikita Sud

As large, coal-dependent economies, India and Indonesia are committed to a green transition. Their respective border regions, Kachchh and Rempang Island in the larger Riau Islands Province, are emerging as hotspots for the manufacture and generation of renewable energy. A green transition is presented as a promising means towards economic productivity and socio-political stability for these marginal regions while addressing the global climate crisis. This article demonstrates that marginalization has been actively produced in Kachchh and the Riau Islands through processes of colonial frontierization, post-colonial extraction and zoning, and everyday land deals and land grabs. The resulting disorder and restiveness of sidelined local populations have been managed through securitization and coercion by formal and informal authority. Authority, in the form of the state and non-state actors that further official agendas, has thus controlled space at the margins. By making this space attractive to capital, authority has acted as a hook drawing capital to seemingly risky frontiers in search of high returns. Today, this authority is increasingly anti-democratic and aggressive as it attracts global private capital into meticulously curated spaces in preparation for a green transition. The article shows how renewables authoritarianism and renewables capitalism have a mutually constitutive relationship in Kachchh, India and Rempang, Indonesia — and possibly in many other parts of the world.

作为依赖煤炭的大型经济体,印度和印度尼西亚都致力于向绿色转型。它们各自的边境地区,廖内群岛省的Kachchh和Rempang岛,正在成为制造和生产可再生能源的热点地区。在解决全球气候危机的同时,绿色转型被认为是这些边缘地区提高经济生产力和社会政治稳定的有希望的手段。本文表明,通过殖民边疆化、后殖民榨取和分区、日常土地交易和土地掠夺等过程,在克奇和廖内群岛积极地产生了边缘化。通过正式和非正式当局的证券化和强制手段,对被边缘化的当地人口造成的混乱和反抗进行了管理。因此,以推动官方议程的国家和非国家行为体形式出现的权威控制着边缘空间。通过使这一领域对资本具有吸引力,当局充当了一个诱饵,将资本吸引到看似高风险的领域,以寻求高回报。今天,当局越来越反民主和激进,因为它吸引全球私人资本进入精心策划的空间,为绿色转型做准备。这篇文章展示了可再生能源威权主义和可再生能源资本主义是如何在印度的Kachchh和印度尼西亚的Rempang——以及可能在世界上许多其他地方——相互构成的关系。
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引用次数: 0
Unbundling the Grid: Renewable Capital and the Demise of Electricity as a ‘Public Utility’ in the United States 分拆电网:可再生能源资本和美国电力作为“公用事业”的消亡
IF 3.2 2区 社会学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-08-07 DOI: 10.1111/dech.70008
Matthew T. Huber

One might think that renewable energies such as solar and wind are flow resources that are conducive to public ownership, but the vast majority of these renewables projects are privately owned. What explains this apparent paradox? This article focuses on the unique case of electricity in the United States to argue that renewable capital must be seen as a specific form of privatized wealth accumulation made possible by the ‘unbundling’ of electricity as a public utility. The article reviews the historical and legal origins of public utility law which argued that electricity was an essential service that should be insulated from market forces and competition. It explains how this consensus was disrupted during the neoliberal revolution of the 1970s, leading to three specific phenomena. First, unbundling allowed non-utility generation projects, or ‘independent power producers’, to increase their share in the power-generation mix. Second, rooftop solar emerged as an industry unhinged from the utility system, allowing affluent homeowners and solar installation companies alike to benefit. Third, the land-intensive nature of renewables development cemented private landowners as central beneficiaries of renewable development through the extraction of rent. While the analysis primarily focuses on the US, the unbundling of public utility systems is now a global phenomenon.

有人可能会认为,太阳能和风能等可再生能源是有利于公有制的流动资源,但这些可再生能源项目绝大多数是私营的。如何解释这种明显的矛盾呢?本文关注美国电力的独特案例,认为可再生资本必须被视为私有化财富积累的一种特殊形式,这是由于电力作为公共事业的“解绑”而成为可能的。本文回顾了公用事业法的历史和法律渊源,公用事业法认为电力是一项基本服务,应该与市场力量和竞争隔离开来。它解释了这种共识是如何在20世纪70年代的新自由主义革命中被打破的,导致了三种具体现象。首先,分拆允许非公用事业发电项目或“独立发电企业”增加其在发电组合中的份额。其次,屋顶太阳能作为一个脱离公用事业系统的行业出现,使富裕的房主和太阳能安装公司都从中受益。第三,可再生能源开发的土地密集性,通过收取租金,巩固了私人土地所有者作为可再生能源开发的主要受益者。虽然分析主要集中在美国,但公用事业系统的分拆现在已成为一种全球现象。
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引用次数: 0
Greening the Gulf? Renewables, Fossil Capitalism and the ‘East–East’ Axis of World Energy 绿化海湾?可再生能源、化石资本主义和世界能源的“东西方”轴心
IF 3.2 2区 社会学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-08-06 DOI: 10.1111/dech.70006
Adam Hanieh

This article examines the place of the Gulf Cooperation Council states in the global energy transition, with a focus on the recent and rapid expansion of renewable energy in the region. It argues that much like at the global scale, the energy transition in the Gulf is an additive process, one that superimposes renewable energy on growing fossil fuel production. Far from being in tension with hydrocarbons, renewables in the Gulf are explicitly conceived as part of a strategy to sustain and enhance the production (and export) of oil and gas. The article situates these dynamics within broader shifts currently underway in the world system, notably the rise of major centres of capital accumulation in China and East Asia alongside a relative decline of American global power. A key feature of this transformation is the emergence of an ‘East–East’ energy circuit linking the Middle East and China/East Asia, which now encompasses fossil fuels, petrochemicals and (increasingly) renewables. This axis is forging new interdependencies between Middle East and East Asian capitalisms, reflected not only in trade and investment flows but also in ownership patterns across the energy sector. This analysis offers a critical lens on the political economy of the so-called ‘green transition’, highlighting the strategic centrality of the Gulf in determining future pathways for global energy and climate policy.

本文考察了海湾合作委员会成员国在全球能源转型中的地位,重点关注该地区近期可再生能源的快速扩张。报告认为,就像在全球范围内一样,海湾地区的能源转型是一个叠加过程,将可再生能源叠加在不断增长的化石燃料生产上。海湾地区的可再生能源并不与碳氢化合物紧张,而是被明确视为维持和提高石油和天然气生产(和出口)战略的一部分。本文将这些动态置于当前世界体系正在发生的更广泛的变化中,特别是中国和东亚主要资本积累中心的崛起,以及美国全球实力的相对衰落。这种转变的一个关键特征是连接中东和中国/东亚的“East - East”能源线路的出现,现在包括化石燃料、石化产品和(越来越多的)可再生能源。这个轴心正在中东和东亚资本主义之间形成新的相互依赖关系,这不仅反映在贸易和投资流动上,也反映在整个能源部门的所有权模式上。这一分析为所谓的“绿色转型”的政治经济学提供了一个关键的视角,强调了海湾地区在决定全球能源和气候政策未来路径方面的战略中心地位。
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引用次数: 0
Amiya Kumar Bagchi and the Political Economy of Underdevelopment 阿米亚·库马尔·巴奇与欠发达国家的政治经济学
IF 3.2 2区 社会学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-07-31 DOI: 10.1111/dech.70009
Prabhat Patnaik
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引用次数: 0
When Governments Deliver: Migrant Remittances and the Willingness to Pay Higher Local Taxes 政府何时兑现:移民汇款与支付更高地方税的意愿
IF 3 2区 社会学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-07-03 DOI: 10.1111/dech.70002
Ana Isabel López García

This article deviates from prior research which considers only national-level and formal taxes when examining tax attitudes and behaviours in migrant-sending countries. It investigates the relationship between the receipt of remittances and ‘conditional tax compliance’, and how it varies between the local and the national levels. The article posits that remittance recipients are willing to pay higher taxes at the local level in exchange for better services, but this willingness does not extend to higher levels of government. Data from the AmericasBarometer support this hypothesis: those receiving remittances show greater readiness to pay higher taxes for better municipal services. Statistical findings also reveal that recipients’ greater conditional tax compliance at the local level correlates with higher trust in municipal authorities, increased demand making on them, greater attendance of town hall meetings and closer engagement in community affairs, including making tax-like payments towards community-improvement activities. Contrariwise, at the national level, recipients of remittances display no greater willingness to pay higher taxes for welfare, no greater trust in state authorities, and lower participation in presidential elections. These findings suggest that a local perspective can provide deeper insights into the tax attitudes and behaviours of migrants and their families and the nature of state–society relations in migrant-sending countries.

本文偏离了先前的研究,即在审查移民输出国的税收态度和行为时只考虑国家一级和正式税收。它调查了收到汇款和“有条件纳税”之间的关系,以及它在地方和国家层面之间的差异。这篇文章假设,收款人愿意在地方一级支付更高的税收,以换取更好的服务,但这种意愿不会延伸到更高一级的政府。美国晴雨表的数据支持这一假设:那些接受汇款的人更愿意为更好的市政服务支付更高的税收。统计结果还显示,接受者在地方一级的有条件纳税合规程度较高,与对市政当局的信任度较高、对市政当局的需求增加、更多地参加市政厅会议和更密切地参与社区事务(包括向社区改善活动支付类似税收的款项)相关。相反,在国家层面上,汇款接受者没有表现出更大的意愿来支付更高的福利税,对国家当局没有更大的信任,对总统选举的参与度也更低。这些发现表明,从当地的角度来看,可以更深入地了解移民及其家庭的税收态度和行为,以及移民输出国国家-社会关系的性质。
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引用次数: 0
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Development and Change
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