首页 > 最新文献

International Review of Financial Analysis最新文献

英文 中文
The spillover and comovement of downside and upside tail risks among crude oil futures markets 原油期货市场下行和上行尾部风险的溢出效应和连动效应
IF 7.5 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103578
Combining efficient transfer entropy and DY spillover indices, this study first explores the contagion effects of downside and upside tail risks among INE, Brent, and WTI. Then we utilize wavelet coherence to capture the comovement characteristics of tail risks at multi-time scales. Furthermore, by mapping wavelet coherence information into comovement networks, the diversity and regularity of mode conversions of tail interdependency are investigated in depth. The results show that INE is reactively susceptible to the tail risk spillovers from Brent and WTI, and in terms of the magnitude of spillover to INE, Brent surpasses WTI prominently. The coherence between the tail risks of INE and Brent or WTI is much weaker than that of the Brent-WTI pair, especially in the short term or in the upside tail case. The evolution of downside tail risk comovement is more difficult to stabilize. A few comovement modes show a significantly higher probability of occurrence than others, and they also tend to link each other. Of special note are some comovement modes with low probability of occurrence yet behave as the key “bridges” in the mode transformation process.
本研究结合有效的转移熵和 DY 溢出指数,首先探讨了 INE、布伦特和 WTI 之间下行和上行尾部风险的传染效应。然后,我们利用小波相干性来捕捉尾部风险在多时间尺度上的耦合特征。此外,通过将小波相干性信息映射到耦合网络中,我们深入研究了尾部相互依赖的模式转换的多样性和规律性。结果表明,INE 对布伦特和 WTI 的尾部风险溢出具有反应敏感性,就对 INE 的溢出程度而言,布伦特明显超过 WTI。INE 与布伦特或 WTI 的尾部风险之间的一致性要比布伦特-WTI 的尾部风险之间的一致性弱得多,尤其是在短期或上行尾部情况下。下行尾部风险的演变更难稳定。少数几种耦合模式出现的概率明显高于其他模式,而且这些模式往往相互关联。特别值得注意的是,一些出现概率较低的耦合模式在模式转换过程中起到了关键 "桥梁 "的作用。
{"title":"The spillover and comovement of downside and upside tail risks among crude oil futures markets","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103578","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103578","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Combining efficient transfer entropy and DY spillover indices, this study first explores the contagion effects of downside and upside tail risks among INE, Brent, and WTI. Then we utilize wavelet coherence to capture the comovement characteristics of tail risks at multi-time scales. Furthermore, by mapping wavelet coherence information into comovement networks, the diversity and regularity of mode conversions of tail interdependency are investigated in depth. The results show that INE is reactively susceptible to the tail risk spillovers from Brent and WTI, and in terms of the magnitude of spillover to INE, Brent surpasses WTI prominently. The coherence between the tail risks of INE and Brent or WTI is much weaker than that of the Brent-WTI pair, especially in the short term or in the upside tail case. The evolution of downside tail risk comovement is more difficult to stabilize. A few comovement modes show a significantly higher probability of occurrence than others, and they also tend to link each other. Of special note are some comovement modes with low probability of occurrence yet behave as the key “bridges” in the mode transformation process.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2024-09-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142316039","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Decision-making in closed-loop supply chains: Effects of government subsidies and risk aversion 闭环供应链中的决策:政府补贴和风险规避的影响
IF 7.5 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103566
Closed-loop supply chains (CLSCs) play a crucial role in promoting sustainable resource management, yet their implementation faces challenges in balancing economic viability with environmental goals. While existing research has explored various aspects of CLSC operations, the interplay between government subsidies and risk-averse behavior of supply chain members remains understudied, particularly in systems involving third-party recyclers. This gap hinders the development of effective policies and management strategies for sustainable CLSCs. Herein, we employ a Stackelberg game-theoretic model to investigate decision-making processes in CLSCs under four distinct subsidy scenarios, incorporating risk aversion through mean-variance utility functions. Our results reveal that subsidy effectiveness significantly depends on remanufacturing costs and risk attitudes of supply chain participants. When remanufacturing costs are high, subsidizing third-party recyclers yields superior environmental and economic outcomes, whereas manufacturer subsidies prove more effective when these costs are low. Moreover, we identify critical thresholds in subsidy levels and risk aversion that alter decision-making patterns. These findings provide a framework for designing targeted subsidy policies and risk management strategies in CLSCs, advancing the field of sustainable supply chain management by offering nuanced insights into the complex dynamics between government interventions, risk preferences, and CLSC performance.
闭环供应链(CLSC)在促进可持续资源管理方面发挥着至关重要的作用,但在实施过程中却面临着平衡经济可行性与环境目标的挑战。虽然现有研究已经探索了闭环供应链运营的各个方面,但对政府补贴与供应链成员规避风险行为之间的相互作用仍然研究不足,尤其是在涉及第三方回收商的系统中。这一空白阻碍了为可持续的供应链中心制定有效的政策和管理策略。在本文中,我们采用斯塔克尔伯格博弈理论模型,通过均值-方差效用函数将风险规避纳入其中,研究了在四种不同的补贴方案下供应链中心的决策过程。我们的研究结果表明,补贴效果在很大程度上取决于再制造成本和供应链参与者的风险态度。当再制造成本较高时,对第三方回收商的补贴会产生较好的环境和经济效益,而当再制造成本较低时,对制造商的补贴则更为有效。此外,我们还确定了改变决策模式的补贴水平和风险规避的临界点。这些发现为在供应链中心设计有针对性的补贴政策和风险管理策略提供了一个框架,通过对政府干预、风险偏好和供应链中心绩效之间的复杂动态提供细致入微的见解,推动了可持续供应链管理领域的发展。
{"title":"Decision-making in closed-loop supply chains: Effects of government subsidies and risk aversion","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103566","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103566","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Closed-loop supply chains (CLSCs) play a crucial role in promoting sustainable resource management, yet their implementation faces challenges in balancing economic viability with environmental goals. While existing research has explored various aspects of CLSC operations, the interplay between government subsidies and risk-averse behavior of supply chain members remains understudied, particularly in systems involving third-party recyclers. This gap hinders the development of effective policies and management strategies for sustainable CLSCs. Herein, we employ a Stackelberg game-theoretic model to investigate decision-making processes in CLSCs under four distinct subsidy scenarios, incorporating risk aversion through mean-variance utility functions. Our results reveal that subsidy effectiveness significantly depends on remanufacturing costs and risk attitudes of supply chain participants. When remanufacturing costs are high, subsidizing third-party recyclers yields superior environmental and economic outcomes, whereas manufacturer subsidies prove more effective when these costs are low. Moreover, we identify critical thresholds in subsidy levels and risk aversion that alter decision-making patterns. These findings provide a framework for designing targeted subsidy policies and risk management strategies in CLSCs, advancing the field of sustainable supply chain management by offering nuanced insights into the complex dynamics between government interventions, risk preferences, and CLSC performance.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2024-09-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142312220","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Uncertainty breeds opportunities: Assessing climate policy uncertainty and its impact on corporate innovation 不确定性孕育机遇:评估气候政策的不确定性及其对企业创新的影响
IF 7.5 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103560
Using over seven million online news articles to construct the climate policy uncertainty (CPU) index, this study reveals a positive relation between CPU and corporate innovation, with a particular emphasis on green and inventive innovation. Exogenous shocks and instrumental variable methods further confirm this finding. Notably, this relation is more pronounced in the new energy, high-tech, and highly competitive sectors while weaker in the fossil energy industry. Monitoring pressure, CEO innovation awareness, and environmental, social, and governance (ESG) practices emerge as key reasons why firms foster innovation amidst climate policy uncertainty. Our empirical results support the theory of strategic growth options and directed technical change, provide crucial insights into evaluating and understanding policy uncertainty, and identify comprehensive corporate innovation strategies in response to this uncertainty.
本研究利用七百多万篇在线新闻文章构建了气候政策不确定性(CPU)指数,揭示了CPU与企业创新之间的正相关关系,并特别强调了绿色创新和创造性创新。外生冲击和工具变量方法进一步证实了这一发现。值得注意的是,这种关系在新能源、高科技和竞争激烈的行业中更为明显,而在化石能源行业中则较弱。监测压力、首席执行官的创新意识以及环境、社会和治理(ESG)实践成为企业在气候政策不确定的情况下促进创新的关键原因。我们的实证结果支持战略增长选择和定向技术变革理论,为评估和理解政策不确定性提供了重要见解,并确定了应对这种不确定性的全面企业创新战略。
{"title":"Uncertainty breeds opportunities: Assessing climate policy uncertainty and its impact on corporate innovation","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103560","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103560","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Using over seven million online news articles to construct the climate policy uncertainty (CPU) index, this study reveals a positive relation between CPU and corporate innovation, with a particular emphasis on green and inventive innovation. Exogenous shocks and instrumental variable methods further confirm this finding. Notably, this relation is more pronounced in the new energy, high-tech, and highly competitive sectors while weaker in the fossil energy industry. Monitoring pressure, CEO innovation awareness, and environmental, social, and governance (ESG) practices emerge as key reasons why firms foster innovation amidst climate policy uncertainty. Our empirical results support the theory of strategic growth options and directed technical change, provide crucial insights into evaluating and understanding policy uncertainty, and identify comprehensive corporate innovation strategies in response to this uncertainty.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2024-09-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142329852","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The determinants of voluntary disclosure: Integration of eXtreme gradient boost (XGBoost) and explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) techniques 自愿性信息披露的决定因素:整合极端梯度提升(XGBoost)和可解释人工智能(XAI)技术
IF 7.5 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103577

Financial information transparency is vital for the various users of financial statements. This study employs the Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) approach, utilizing eXtreme Gradient Boost (XGBoost) to explore management's motivations for voluntary disclosure. By transforming financial data into various plots, we introduce a voluntary disclosure model that enhances interpretability through Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) techniques. These XAI methods aim to clarify different results in the voluntary disclosure literature, addressing the ongoing debate within the financial research community regarding voluntary disclosure. This research marks a significant advancement in voluntary disclosure by merging the transparency of XAI with effective voluntary disclosure prediction, offering a more comprehensive understanding of the determinants of voluntary disclosure.

财务信息透明度对于财务报表的不同用户来说至关重要。本研究采用了可解释人工智能(XAI)方法,利用极梯度提升(XGBoost)来探索管理层自愿披露信息的动机。通过将财务数据转换成各种图,我们引入了一个自愿披露模型,该模型通过 Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) 技术增强了可解释性。这些 XAI 方法旨在澄清自愿性信息披露文献中的不同结果,解决金融研究界目前关于自愿性信息披露的争论。这项研究将 XAI 的透明度与有效的自愿性信息披露预测相结合,提供了对自愿性信息披露决定因素的更全面理解,标志着自愿性信息披露领域的重大进展。
{"title":"The determinants of voluntary disclosure: Integration of eXtreme gradient boost (XGBoost) and explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) techniques","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103577","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103577","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Financial information transparency is vital for the various users of financial statements. This study employs the Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) approach, utilizing eXtreme Gradient Boost (XGBoost) to explore management's motivations for voluntary disclosure. By transforming financial data into various plots, we introduce a voluntary disclosure model that enhances interpretability through Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) techniques. These XAI methods aim to clarify different results in the voluntary disclosure literature, addressing the ongoing debate within the financial research community regarding voluntary disclosure. This research marks a significant advancement in voluntary disclosure by merging the transparency of XAI with effective voluntary disclosure prediction, offering a more comprehensive understanding of the determinants of voluntary disclosure.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2024-09-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142274893","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Regulatory profiling and endogenous benchmarking 监管剖析和内生基准
IF 7.5 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103575

Banks' responses to regulatory requirements have a direct effect on their balance sheet mix and their business models. The paper introduces the concept of regulatory profiling, which establishes a nexus between banks' operations and their regulatory choices. Regulatory profiling is a process that identifies an optimal number of regulatory peers sharing similar operational characteristics for a bank. We also introduce a novel methodology for identifying the optimal direction of improvement in bank operations through Principal Components Pursuit, thereby overcoming restrictive shortcomings of competing approaches. This methodology identifies the core operations within each regulatory profile, which are effectively projections of the actual operations, and uses the projected points as optimal directions of improvement. Using data from US commercial banks following the Dodd-Frank Act's relaxation, we find empirical evidence of convergence in operations while controlling for banks' regulatory responses. Core banking operations shift towards a safer mode of operations, arguably to improve capital adequacy. Our findings are validated for banks' risk and profitability while carry important policy implications, since regulatory profiling seems to matter the most for smaller banks.

银行对监管要求的反应直接影响其资产负债表组合和业务模式。本文引入了 "监管剖析 "的概念,建立了银行运营与其监管选择之间的联系。监管剖析是一个为银行确定具有相似运营特征的最佳监管同业数量的过程。我们还引入了一种新颖的方法,通过主成分追求法确定银行运营的最佳改进方向,从而克服了其他竞争方法的限制性缺陷。该方法确定了每个监管概况中的核心业务,这些业务实际上是对实际业务的预测,并将预测点作为最佳改进方向。利用多德-弗兰克法案放宽后美国商业银行的数据,我们发现了在控制银行监管反应的同时,业务趋同的经验证据。核心银行业务转向更安全的运营模式,可以说是为了提高资本充足率。我们的研究结果验证了银行的风险和盈利能力,同时也具有重要的政策含义,因为监管概况似乎对小型银行最为重要。
{"title":"Regulatory profiling and endogenous benchmarking","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103575","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103575","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Banks' responses to regulatory requirements have a direct effect on their balance sheet mix and their business models. The paper introduces the concept of <em>regulatory profiling</em>, which establishes a nexus between banks' operations and their regulatory choices. Regulatory profiling is a process that identifies an optimal number of regulatory peers sharing similar operational characteristics for a bank. We also introduce a novel methodology for identifying the optimal direction of improvement in bank operations through <em>Principal Components Pursuit</em>, thereby overcoming restrictive shortcomings of competing approaches. This methodology identifies the core operations within each regulatory profile, which are effectively projections of the actual operations, and uses the projected points as optimal directions of improvement. Using data from US commercial banks following the Dodd-Frank Act's relaxation, we find empirical evidence of convergence in operations while controlling for banks' regulatory responses. Core banking operations shift towards a safer mode of operations, arguably to improve capital adequacy. Our findings are validated for banks' risk and profitability while carry important policy implications, since regulatory profiling seems to matter the most for smaller banks.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2024-09-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142274892","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Female CEOs’ name gender-neutralization and audit fees: Evidence from China 女性首席执行官的姓名性别中立化与审计费用:来自中国的证据
IF 7.5 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103558
We focus on how inconsistency or conflict between actual biological sex and name gender-orientation affects CEO trustworthiness, and thus firm audit fees. This study of Chinese listed firms led by female CEOs finds that female CEOs’ name gender-neutralization significantly reduces audit fees, and the presence of female auditors mitigates the above negative relationship. Mechanism tests find that female CEOs’ name gender-neutralization reduces audit fees by adopting positive tone, enhancing TMT stability, and improving social image. Heterogeneity analysis from the perspectives of CEO and auditor traits demonstrate that when female CEOs were born before the 1970s, also serve as chairmen, and are non-family CEOs, as well as when auditors tenure is shortened, audit report time lag is decreased, and the audit team gender structure is singular, female CEOs’ name gender-neutralization reduces audit fees more significantly. We find no evidence that female CEOs with masculine or gender-neutral names perform better or worse than those with feminine names in any substantive way. Additionally, female CEOs’ name gender-neutralization does not have a consistent effect on positive and negative abnormal audit fees.
我们重点关注实际生理性别与姓名性别取向之间的不一致或冲突如何影响首席执行官的可信度,进而影响公司的审计费用。这项对女性首席执行官领导的中国上市公司的研究发现,女性首席执行官的姓名性别中立化会显著降低审计费用,而女性审计师的存在会缓解上述负相关关系。机理检验发现,女性首席执行官的姓名性别中性化可以通过采用积极的语气、增强 TMT 的稳定性和改善社会形象来降低审计费用。从首席执行官和审计师特质的角度进行的异质性分析表明,当女性首席执行官出生于 20 世纪 70 年代之前、同时担任董事长、非家族首席执行官,以及审计师任期缩短、审计报告时滞减少、审计团队性别结构单一时,女性首席执行官姓名性别中性化会更显著地降低审计费用。我们没有发现任何证据表明,姓名男性化或性别中性化的女性首席执行官在任何方面都比姓名女性化的首席执行官表现得更好或更差。此外,女性首席执行官姓名性别中性化对正负异常审计费用的影响也不一致。
{"title":"Female CEOs’ name gender-neutralization and audit fees: Evidence from China","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103558","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103558","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We focus on how inconsistency or conflict between actual biological sex and name gender-orientation affects CEO trustworthiness, and thus firm audit fees. This study of Chinese listed firms led by female CEOs finds that female CEOs’ name gender-neutralization significantly reduces audit fees, and the presence of female auditors mitigates the above negative relationship. Mechanism tests find that female CEOs’ name gender-neutralization reduces audit fees by adopting positive tone, enhancing TMT stability, and improving social image. Heterogeneity analysis from the perspectives of CEO and auditor traits demonstrate that when female CEOs were born before the 1970s, also serve as chairmen, and are non-family CEOs, as well as when auditors tenure is shortened, audit report time lag is decreased, and the audit team gender structure is singular, female CEOs’ name gender-neutralization reduces audit fees more significantly. We find no evidence that female CEOs with masculine or gender-neutral names perform better or worse than those with feminine names in any substantive way. Additionally, female CEOs’ name gender-neutralization does not have a consistent effect on positive and negative abnormal audit fees.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2024-09-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142324204","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Pre-IPO dividend puzzle: Reaction to IPO underpricing or post-IPO lockup? Evidence from China 上市前股息之谜:对 IPO 定价过低的反应还是 IPO 后的锁定?来自中国的证据
IF 7.5 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103564
It remains a puzzle as to why firms pay cash dividends to initial investors prior to their initial public offerings (IPOs) while at the same time raising capital through the IPOs. Leveraging mandatory disclosure from three years of pre-IPO data in China, we examine two possible explanations for this puzzle: strategic reactions to IPO underpricing and post-IPO lockup. Our findings suggest that (1) when an IPO firm expects a large IPO underpricing, it pays more cash dividends pre-IPO, suggesting that initial shareholders view large IPO underpricing as undervaluing the market value of the firm's cash pre-IPO. (2) When an IPO firm pays more cash dividends pre-IPO, its initial shareholders unload fewer shares post-IPO after lockup expiration, suggesting that the initial shareholders receive “compensation” via cash dividends to ease their liquidity concern from post-IPO lockup. Both results support the proposed explanations. Additional analyses show that high cash dividend payouts pre-IPO are associated with fewer fixed assets, less investment in research and development, and poor performance post-IPO. These results indicate that cash dividends pre-IPO are not consistent with shareholder value maximization. Overall, pre-IPO cash dividends reflect a type II agency conflict in which initial shareholders seek private benefits at the expense of future shareholders.
企业在首次公开发行(IPO)前向初始投资者支付现金股利,同时又通过 IPO 募集资金,这仍然是一个谜。利用中国三年首次公开发行前数据的强制披露,我们研究了这一谜题的两种可能解释:对首次公开发行定价过低的战略反应和首次公开发行后的锁定。我们的研究结果表明:(1)当 IPO 公司预期 IPO 定价大幅偏低时,它会在 IPO 前支付更多的现金股利,这表明初始股东认为 IPO 定价大幅偏低低估了公司 IPO 前现金的市场价值。(2)当 IPO 公司在上市前支付更多现金股利时,其初始股东在上市后锁定期满后解禁的股份较少,这表明初始股东通过现金股利获得了 "补偿",以缓解他们对上市后锁定期带来的流动性担忧。这两个结果都支持所提出的解释。其他分析表明,首次公开发行前的高现金分红与固定资产较少、研发投资较少以及首次公开发行后业绩不佳有关。这些结果表明,首次公开发行前的现金股利与股东价值最大化并不一致。总体而言,首次公开募股前的现金股利反映了第二类代理冲突,即初始股东为谋取私利而牺牲未来股东的利益。
{"title":"Pre-IPO dividend puzzle: Reaction to IPO underpricing or post-IPO lockup? Evidence from China","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103564","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103564","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>It remains a puzzle as to why firms pay cash dividends to initial investors prior to their initial public offerings (IPOs) while at the same time raising capital through the IPOs. Leveraging mandatory disclosure from three years of pre-IPO data in China, we examine two possible explanations for this puzzle: strategic reactions to IPO underpricing and post-IPO lockup. Our findings suggest that (1) when an IPO firm expects a large IPO underpricing, it pays more cash dividends pre-IPO, suggesting that initial shareholders view large IPO underpricing as undervaluing the market value of the firm's cash pre-IPO. (2) When an IPO firm pays more cash dividends pre-IPO, its initial shareholders unload fewer shares post-IPO after lockup expiration, suggesting that the initial shareholders receive “compensation” via cash dividends to ease their liquidity concern from post-IPO lockup. Both results support the proposed explanations. Additional analyses show that high cash dividend payouts pre-IPO are associated with fewer fixed assets, less investment in research and development, and poor performance post-IPO. These results indicate that cash dividends pre-IPO are not consistent with shareholder value maximization. Overall, pre-IPO cash dividends reflect a type II agency conflict in which initial shareholders seek private benefits at the expense of future shareholders.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2024-09-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142318604","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Dynamic portfolio optimization with the MARCOS approach under uncertainty 用 MARCOS 方法优化不确定条件下的动态投资组合
IF 7.5 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103565

This paper introduces a dynamic portfolio selection approach that integrates the robustness of interval type-2 fuzzy sets (IT2FSs) with the flexibility of the MARCOS (Measurement of Alternatives and Ranking according to COmpromise Solution) method, offering a novel framework for asset evaluation amidst uncertainty. The IT2FSs enhance the adaptability of asset criteria representation, while the innovative application of MARCOS within the IT2FS environment refines the asset selection process. The weighted semi-absolute deviation metric is embraced to capture portfolio risk characteristic, which ingeniously harnesses the utility function values derived from the IT2F-MARCOS framework to delineate the anticipated return profile. On this basis, a dynamic bi-objective portfolio allocation model with realistic constraints and dynamic risk preference is formulated to rebalance portfolio periodically. Empirical evidence demonstrates the robustness and effectiveness of this approach compared to benchmark indexes, different allocation strategies, and the TOPSIS-based selection method, offering significant advancements in portfolio optimization for investors navigating uncertain markets. This study endeavors to contribute to the field of portfolio management, providing a thoughtful approach that enhances both theoretical understanding and practical application.

本文介绍了一种动态投资组合选择方法,该方法将区间二型模糊集(IT2FS)的稳健性与 MARCOS(根据妥协方案衡量备选方案并进行排序)方法的灵活性融为一体,为不确定情况下的资产评估提供了一个新颖的框架。IT2FS 增强了资产标准表示的适应性,而 MARCOS 在 IT2FS 环境中的创新应用则完善了资产选择过程。采用加权半绝对偏差度量来捕捉投资组合的风险特征,巧妙地利用从 IT2F-MARCOS 框架中得出的效用函数值来描述预期收益情况。在此基础上,制定了一个具有现实约束和动态风险偏好的动态双目标投资组合分配模型,以定期重新平衡投资组合。经验证据表明,与基准指数、不同的配置策略和基于 TOPSIS 的选择方法相比,这种方法具有稳健性和有效性,为投资者在不确定的市场中进行投资组合优化提供了重大进展。本研究致力于为投资组合管理领域做出贡献,提供了一种深思熟虑的方法,增强了理论理解和实际应用。
{"title":"Dynamic portfolio optimization with the MARCOS approach under uncertainty","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103565","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103565","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper introduces a dynamic portfolio selection approach that integrates the robustness of interval type-2 fuzzy sets (IT2FSs) with the flexibility of the MARCOS (Measurement of Alternatives and Ranking according to COmpromise Solution) method, offering a novel framework for asset evaluation amidst uncertainty. The IT2FSs enhance the adaptability of asset criteria representation, while the innovative application of MARCOS within the IT2FS environment refines the asset selection process. The weighted semi-absolute deviation metric is embraced to capture portfolio risk characteristic, which ingeniously harnesses the utility function values derived from the IT2F-MARCOS framework to delineate the anticipated return profile. On this basis, a dynamic bi-objective portfolio allocation model with realistic constraints and dynamic risk preference is formulated to rebalance portfolio periodically. Empirical evidence demonstrates the robustness and effectiveness of this approach compared to benchmark indexes, different allocation strategies, and the TOPSIS-based selection method, offering significant advancements in portfolio optimization for investors navigating uncertain markets. This study endeavors to contribute to the field of portfolio management, providing a thoughtful approach that enhances both theoretical understanding and practical application.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2024-09-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142274890","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Do firms listen to the ESG voices of minority investors? Evidence from China 企业是否倾听少数投资者在环境、社会和公司治理方面的声音?来自中国的证据
IF 7.5 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103562
This study examines whether and how the expression of ESG(Environmental, Social, and Governance) concerns by minority investors in their communication with firms affects firms' ESG performance. We employ the bidirectional encoder representation from transformer (BERT) model to identify ESG statements in questions asked by minority investors and construct sentence-level ESG concern indicators. The findings indicate that the more ESG-related questions investors ask in their interactions with firms, the better the firms' future ESG performance. This effect is more pronounced when investors' ESG-related questions are more negative, when managers show greater willingness to learn from investor interactions, when listed firms emphasize investor relations management, and when listed firms are held by ESG funds. Additional analyses reveal that pressure from the market and regulation may explain why listed companies listen to the ESG voice of minority investors. In addition, we find that minority investor voices do not lead to opportunistic greenwashing when driving improvements in firms' ESG performance. Overall, our findings suggest that minority investors promote corporate sustainability through active voice.
本研究探讨了少数投资者在与企业沟通时表达的 ESG(环境、社会和治理)关注是否以及如何影响企业的 ESG 表现。我们采用转换器的双向编码器表征(BERT)模型来识别少数投资者所提问题中的 ESG 语句,并构建句子层面的 ESG 关注指标。研究结果表明,投资者在与企业的互动中提出的 ESG 相关问题越多,企业未来的 ESG 表现就越好。当投资者提出的 ESG 相关问题更消极、管理者更愿意从投资者互动中学习、上市公司更重视投资者关系管理以及上市公司被 ESG 基金持有时,这种效应会更明显。其他分析表明,来自市场和监管的压力可以解释为什么上市公司会倾听少数投资者在环境、社会和公司治理方面的声音。此外,我们还发现,少数投资者的声音在推动企业改善 ESG 表现时,不会导致机会主义的 "洗绿 "行为。总体而言,我们的研究结果表明,少数投资者通过积极发声促进了企业的可持续发展。
{"title":"Do firms listen to the ESG voices of minority investors? Evidence from China","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103562","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103562","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines whether and how the expression of ESG(Environmental, Social, and Governance) concerns by minority investors in their communication with firms affects firms' ESG performance. We employ the bidirectional encoder representation from transformer (BERT) model to identify ESG statements in questions asked by minority investors and construct sentence-level ESG concern indicators. The findings indicate that the more ESG-related questions investors ask in their interactions with firms, the better the firms' future ESG performance. This effect is more pronounced when investors' ESG-related questions are more negative, when managers show greater willingness to learn from investor interactions, when listed firms emphasize investor relations management, and when listed firms are held by ESG funds. Additional analyses reveal that pressure from the market and regulation may explain why listed companies listen to the ESG voice of minority investors. In addition, we find that minority investor voices do not lead to opportunistic greenwashing when driving improvements in firms' ESG performance. Overall, our findings suggest that minority investors promote corporate sustainability through active voice.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2024-09-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142316103","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The enabling effects of digital technology on the quality of firm development: Insights and implications 数字技术对企业发展质量的促进作用:启示与影响
IF 7.5 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103555

Firms are the fundamental units driving the development of regional systems, and their enhancement in overall strength determines the effectiveness of industrial collaborative innovation networks, serving as a crucial support for the high-quality development of urban agglomerations. In the digital era, how firms can improve their overall strength to enhance their supporting role in the construction of regional industrial networks is a matter of significant interest. Therefore, as a new driving force for firm development, exploring the impact of digital technology on firm development quality is of great importance. From the perspective of the enabling effects of digital technology, this paper takes A-share listed firms within China's five major urban agglomerations as the research subjects, utilizing panel data from 2012 to 2022. Through theoretical analysis and empirical testing using various econometric methods—including the fixed effects model, two-stage least squares regression model, and mediation effect model—the study investigates the impact of digital technology application on firm development quality and its underlying mechanisms. This study finds that the application of digital technology significantly enhances the quality of firm development, and as the level of digital technology application deepens, firms' development continues to improve. From the perspective of enabling factors, digital technology application can promote the improvement of firm development quality by activating innovation vitality, alleviating financing constraints, and reducing human resource management costs. The heterogeneity analysis results reveal that the impact of digital technology application on firm development quality exhibits various heterogeneous characteristics, including differences in urban agglomeration, ownership structure, and firm size.

企业是推动区域系统发展的基本单元,其综合实力的提升决定了产业协同创新网络的有效性,是城市群高质量发展的重要支撑。在数字化时代,企业如何提升自身的综合实力,增强在区域产业网络建设中的支撑作用,是一个备受关注的问题。因此,作为企业发展的新动力,探索数字技术对企业发展质量的影响具有重要意义。本文从数字技术赋能效应的视角出发,以中国五大城市群内的A股上市公司为研究对象,利用2012-2022年的面板数据进行研究。通过理论分析和实证检验,运用固定效应模型、两阶段最小二乘回归模型、中介效应模型等多种计量经济学方法,研究了数字技术应用对企业发展质量的影响及其内在机制。研究发现,数字技术的应用显著提升了企业的发展质量,随着数字技术应用水平的加深,企业的发展质量不断提高。从有利因素来看,数字技术应用可以通过激活创新活力、缓解融资约束、降低人力资源管理成本等促进企业发展质量的提升。异质性分析结果表明,数字技术应用对企业发展质量的影响表现出多种异质性特征,包括城市集聚程度、所有制结构和企业规模的差异。
{"title":"The enabling effects of digital technology on the quality of firm development: Insights and implications","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103555","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103555","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Firms are the fundamental units driving the development of regional systems, and their enhancement in overall strength determines the effectiveness of industrial collaborative innovation networks, serving as a crucial support for the high-quality development of urban agglomerations. In the digital era, how firms can improve their overall strength to enhance their supporting role in the construction of regional industrial networks is a matter of significant interest. Therefore, as a new driving force for firm development, exploring the impact of digital technology on firm development quality is of great importance. From the perspective of the enabling effects of digital technology, this paper takes A-share listed firms within China's five major urban agglomerations as the research subjects, utilizing panel data from 2012 to 2022. Through theoretical analysis and empirical testing using various econometric methods—including the fixed effects model, two-stage least squares regression model, and mediation effect model—the study investigates the impact of digital technology application on firm development quality and its underlying mechanisms. This study finds that the application of digital technology significantly enhances the quality of firm development, and as the level of digital technology application deepens, firms' development continues to improve. From the perspective of enabling factors, digital technology application can promote the improvement of firm development quality by activating innovation vitality, alleviating financing constraints, and reducing human resource management costs. The heterogeneity analysis results reveal that the impact of digital technology application on firm development quality exhibits various heterogeneous characteristics, including differences in urban agglomeration, ownership structure, and firm size.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2024-09-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142274891","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
International Review of Financial Analysis
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1