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The innovation effect of digital M&As: Evidence from China 数字并购的创新效应:来自中国的证据
IF 7.5 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103595
Digital mergers and acquisitions (M&As) have gained global momentum. However, whether digital M&As can effectively stimulate corporate innovation awaits further research. This paper evaluates the causal effect of digital M&As on corporate innovation using data from digital M&As and patents of Chinese A-share listed companies. Our findings indicate that digital M&As significantly promote the quantity and quality of acquirers' innovation, which still holds after various robustness tests and exhibits heterogeneity in different dimensions such as transactions, acquirers, and targets. Mechanism tests further reveal that knowledge synergy, financial synergy, and human capital structure upgrading are critical channels through which digital M&As promote the acquirers' innovation.
数字化并购(M&As)在全球范围内发展势头迅猛。然而,数字化并购是否能有效刺激企业创新还有待进一步研究。本文利用中国A股上市公司的数字并购数据和专利数据,评估了数字并购对企业创新的因果效应。我们的研究结果表明,数字并购显著促进了收购方创新的数量和质量,经过各种稳健性检验后,这一结论仍然成立,并且在交易、收购方和目标等不同维度上表现出异质性。机制检验进一步揭示,知识协同、财务协同和人力资本结构升级是数字并购促进收购方创新的关键渠道。
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引用次数: 0
Testing how banks generate credit in the USA under the Basel III framework 测试美国银行如何在巴塞尔协议 III 框架下创造信贷
IF 7.5 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103590
This paper revisits the determinants of the loan generating process as it is revealed through the idiosyncratic role of banks, in the case of the United States. Specifically, if banks are primarily mainstream “financial intermediaries”, then their financial role is expressed through a credit growth process emanating from the reserves of banks, in the period before Basel requirements, and from banks' equity during the era of Basel I, II & III restrictions. On the other hand, if banks are primarily “credit and money creators”, as an heterodox point of view would have it, then every proxy of the aggregate demand (AD) needs, is expected to play a leading role in the credit creation process. The innovative liquidity risk ratios, like LCR & NFSR, brought new instruments in this debate thus, extending the alternatives between the two extremes. Hence, the combination of a predominant role for AD needs along with acknowledgment of liquidity restrictions as drivers of credit growth, characterises an eclectic approach. According to our empirical results, credit to both US firms and households, is primarily driven by aggregate demand (AD) factors. Solvency and liquidity risk ratios do play a role, during the examined period but the overall results are closer to the eclectic approach, concerning the role of US banks, which seems to be more encompassing and realistic.
本文以美国为例,重新探讨了通过银行的特殊作用揭示的贷款产生过程的决定因素。具体而言,如果银行主要是主流的 "金融中介",那么在巴塞尔协议要求之前的时期,其金融作用就会通过银行的储备金以及巴塞尔协议 I、II & 和 III 限制时期的银行股本所产生的信贷增长过程来体现。另一方面,如果银行主要是 "信贷和货币创造者",正如异端观点所认为的那样,那么总需求(AD)的每一个代理变量都将在信贷创造过程中发挥主导作用。创新的流动性风险比率,如 LCR & NFSR,为这场辩论带来了新的工具,从而扩大了两个极端之间的选择范围。因此,既承认 AD 需求的主导作用,又承认流动性限制是信贷增长的驱动力,这两者的结合是一种折衷方法的特点。根据我们的实证结果,美国企业和家庭的信贷主要由总需求因素驱动。在研究期间,偿付能力和流动性风险比率确实发挥了一定作用,但总体结果更接近折衷方法,即美国银行的作用,这似乎更全面、更现实。
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引用次数: 0
Non-arm's-length transactions, offshore financial centres, transfer pricing agreements and corporate cash holdings: Evidence from U.S. multinational corporations 非正常交易、离岸金融中心、转让定价协议和公司现金持有量:来自美国跨国公司的证据
IF 7.5 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103589
This paper examines the association between non-arm's-length transactions, the existence of offshore financial centres, the existence of a transfer pricing agreement and corporate cash holdings for a large sample of U.S. multinational corporations over the 2006–2020 period. This study provides evidence that the existence of non-arm's-length transactions and of offshore financial centres increased the level of corporate cash holdings. In contrast, the existence of a transfer pricing agreement reduces the level of firm cash holdings. Overall, these results suggest that development of transfer pricing agreements with taxing authorities reduces multinational corporations' incentives and capacity to shift profits from higher- to lower-tax countries. These results remain robust to alternative specifications of cash holdings and endogeneity tests.
本文以大量美国跨国公司为样本,研究了 2006-2020 年间非正常交易、离岸金融中心的存在、转让定价协议的存在与公司现金持有量之间的关联。本研究提供的证据表明,非正常交易和离岸金融中心的存在增加了公司现金持有量。与此相反,转让定价协议的存在降低了公司现金持有水平。总体而言,这些结果表明,与征税当局签订转让定价协议会降低跨国公司将利润从高税率国家转移到低税率国家的动机和能力。这些结果对于现金持有量的其他规格和内生性检验仍然是稳健的。
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引用次数: 0
Financial inclusion through digitalization and economic growth in Asia-Pacific countries 亚太国家通过数字化和经济增长实现金融包容性
IF 7.5 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103596
Digital technology for financial inclusion tends to bring more benefits to people at the bottom of the economic pyramid across the Asia-Pacific region; therefore, financial inclusion is crucial for sustainable development and economic growth in this region. Digital financial services, based on technology-driven innovation, contribute to enhanced financial inclusion at affordable prices, which potentially reaches many new people who are unbanked or underbanked. This paper examines the impact of digital financial inclusion (DFI) on economic growth in 30 Asia-Pacific countries based on panel data for 2014, 2017, and 2021. A three-stage principal component analysis is used to develop the DFI index for the Asia-Pacific region, capturing both the digital and traditional aspects. We use fixed effect regression to examine the linear effect of DFI on economic growth, and results show a significant positive impact, contributing to the Theory of Finance and Growth, System Theory, and Diffusion Theory of Innovation. Given the different roles of DFI in different countries and the wide digital divide across the region, this paper employs a panel threshold regression model to identify any non-monotonic influence of DFI on economic growth. The results show a significant threshold effect of DFI, indicating the non-linear effect of financial inclusion on economic growth. The paper brings evidence-based policy implications to boost DFI to achieve inclusive growth.
促进普惠金融的数字技术往往会给整个亚太区域经济金字塔底层的人们带来更多的好处;因此,普惠金融对于本区域的可持续发展和经济增长至关重要。基于技术驱动创新的数字金融服务有助于以负担得起的价格提高金融包容性,从而有可能惠及许多没有银行账户或银行账户不足的新人群。本文基于 2014 年、2017 年和 2021 年的面板数据,研究了 30 个亚太国家的数字金融包容性(DFI)对经济增长的影响。我们采用三阶段主成分分析法来编制亚太地区的 DFI 指数,同时捕捉数字和传统两个方面。我们采用固定效应回归法考察了DFI对经济增长的线性影响,结果显示DFI对经济增长有显著的正向影响,有助于金融与增长理论、系统理论和创新扩散理论的研究。鉴于 DFI 在不同国家的不同作用以及该地区广泛的数字鸿沟,本文采用了面板阈值回归模型来识别 DFI 对经济增长的非单调影响。结果显示,DFI 具有显著的门槛效应,表明普惠金融对经济增长具有非线性影响。本文提出了以证据为基础的政策建议,以促进 DFI,实现包容性增长。
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引用次数: 0
House prices, financing mode and economic growth 房价、融资模式和经济增长
IF 7.5 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103600
This study delves into the intricate relationship between house prices and the economy, using a combined dataset of 287 Chinese cities and incorporating urban investment bonds, local government financing platforms, and land resources statistics. Key findings indicate that rising house prices boosted per capita gross domestic product before the financial crisis, but this effect diminished after the crisis. Although rising prices increased total output, they also heightened local debt risks, resulting in a double-edged impact. The study also found that government policies that caused a rapid increase in house prices disrupted resource allocation, jeopardizing urban sustainability. Research emphasizes the importance of carefully designed policies to ensure the balanced development of the real estate market, which is conducive to long-term economic health.
本研究利用中国 287 个城市的综合数据集,并结合城投债、地方政府融资平台和土地资源统计数据,深入探讨了房价与经济之间错综复杂的关系。主要研究结果表明,金融危机前,房价上涨促进了人均国内生产总值的增长,但危机后这种效应减弱。虽然房价上涨增加了总产出,但也加剧了地方债务风险,造成了双刃剑效应。研究还发现,导致房价快速上涨的政府政策扰乱了资源分配,危及城市的可持续发展。研究强调了精心设计政策以确保房地产市场平衡发展的重要性,这有利于经济的长期健康发展。
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引用次数: 0
Litigation risk and the cost of debt financing in M&As 并购中的诉讼风险和债务融资成本
IF 7.5 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103586
In this paper, we use a semi-supervised machine learning technique, the word2vec word embedding model, to measure litigation risk for fixed-income issuers that use bond financing in primary market for mergers and acquisitions (M&As) in 28 countries. We investigate the relationship between the litigation risk and the offering yield of these securities, demonstrating that increased litigation risk increases financing costs. We analyze several ways to mitigate adverse effects, including the employment of more M&A advisors and assessing the legal environment in the issuing country. Our results are robust to an instrumental variable approach and alternative measures.
在本文中,我们使用半监督机器学习技术 word2vec 词嵌入模型来衡量 28 个国家在一级市场上利用债券融资进行并购(M&As)的固定收益发行人的诉讼风险。我们研究了诉讼风险与这些证券发行收益率之间的关系,证明诉讼风险的增加会增加融资成本。我们分析了缓解不利影响的几种方法,包括聘用更多的并购顾问和评估发行国的法律环境。我们的结果对工具变量方法和替代措施都是稳健的。
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引用次数: 0
Traditional finance, digital finance, and financial efficiency: An empirical analysis based on 19 urban agglomerations in China 传统金融、数字金融与金融效率:基于中国 19 个城市群的实证分析
IF 7.5 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103603
With the emergence of the digital economy era, enhancing financial efficiency through the complementary effect of digital and traditional finance has increasingly become a focal point in the financial industry. This paper focuses on 19 urban agglomerations in China to investigate whether digital finance and traditional finance have complementary effect on improving financial efficiency. It explores the mechanisms behind this complementary effect, examines whether financial efficiency can continue to improve once digital finance reaches a critical scale, and investigates whether economic development moderates the impact of digital finance on financial efficiency. The findings reveal that digital finance contributes positively to enhancing financial efficiency, and that there exists a complementary effect between digital finance and traditional finance in this regard. These conclusions remain robust even after conducting various stability tests and addressing endogeneity issues. Mechanism testing demonstrated that this complementary effect arises from improvements of transactional efficiency and marketization level. Further analysis reveals that, while digital finance significantly enhances financial efficiency up to a critical scale, this effect diminishes beyond that threshold. Moreover, in areas with high-level financial development, economic development has a positive moderating effect on the impact of digital finance on financial efficiency, whereas in areas with low-level financial development, such a moderating effect is not robust.
随着数字经济时代的到来,通过数字金融与传统金融的互补效应提升金融效率日益成为金融业关注的焦点。本文以中国 19 个城市群为研究对象,探讨数字金融与传统金融在提高金融效率方面是否具有互补效应。本文探讨了这种互补效应背后的机制,研究了数字金融达到临界规模后金融效率能否继续提高,并研究了经济发展是否会调节数字金融对金融效率的影响。研究结果表明,数字金融对提高金融效率有积极的促进作用,数字金融与传统金融在这方面存在互补效应。即使在进行了各种稳定性检验并解决了内生性问题后,这些结论依然稳健。机制测试表明,这种互补效应源于交易效率和市场化水平的提高。进一步的分析表明,虽然数字金融能在临界规模内显著提高金融效率,但超过这一临界值后,这种效应就会减弱。此外,在金融发展水平较高的地区,经济发展对数字金融对金融效率的影响具有积极的调节作用,而在金融发展水平较低的地区,这种调节作用并不稳健。
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引用次数: 0
Do firms incur financial restatements? A recognition study based on textual features of key audit matters reports 公司会进行财务重述吗?基于关键审计事项报告文本特征的识别研究
IF 7.5 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103606
This article uses China's A-share nonfinancial listed company reports from 2017 to 2019 as the research sample and analyzes three textual features of key audit matters using machine learning to identify financial restatement behaviors. Results show that firms with a worse level of key audit matter readability, a negative tone, and a greater level of detail had a higher probability of financial restatement behaviors. From this, investors can infer whether firms have strong internal or external monitoring. These correlations reflect the importance of standardized information disclosures and appropriate regulatory programs to safeguard investors' rights and interests.
本文以2017年至2019年中国A股非金融类上市公司报告为研究样本,利用机器学习分析关键审计事项的三个文本特征,以识别财务重述行为。结果表明,关键审计事项可读性较差、语气消极、详细程度较高的公司发生财务重述行为的概率较高。由此,投资者可以推断出公司是否有较强的内部或外部监控。这些相关性反映了规范的信息披露和适当的监管方案对维护投资者权益的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Break a peg! A study of stablecoin co-instability 打破挂钩!稳定币共不稳定性研究
IF 7.5 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103608
Following the increasing adoption of stablecoins, their robustness has become an ongoing concern for investors and regulators alike. This article studies the co-instability of a large panel of stablecoins by identifying their structural breaks and co-occurrences. Moreover, we use Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) and Dynamic Conditional Correlation DCC-GARCH models to assess spillover effects in the wake of four major black swan events in the crypto world. Similar to prior literature, we conclude that algorithmic stablecoins were the major shock receivers of the IRON TITAN and TERRA LUNA crashes, highlighting the importance of allowing for sufficient margins of safety in their design. We also observe that the FTX bankruptcy and the Silicon Valley Bank collapse had repercussions of a different nature and affected more categories of stablecoins, from algorithmic to fiat money-backed. We also highlight how, irrespective of the idiosyncratic or systemic nature of the shocks, well-known custodial stablecoins, as well as the most successful crypto-collateralized tokens, showed resilience during or in the immediate aftermath of these events.
随着稳定币被越来越多地采用,其稳健性已成为投资者和监管机构持续关注的问题。本文通过识别稳定币的结构断裂和共现,研究了大量稳定币的共不稳定性。此外,我们还使用动态时间扭曲(DTW)和动态条件相关性 DCC-GARCH 模型来评估加密世界四大黑天鹅事件后的溢出效应。与之前的文献类似,我们得出的结论是,算法稳定币是 IRON TITAN 和 TERRA LUNA 崩溃的主要冲击接收器,这凸显了在其设计中留出足够的安全边际的重要性。我们还注意到,FTX 破产和硅谷银行倒闭产生了不同性质的反响,影响了更多类别的稳定币,从算法币到法币支持币。我们还强调,无论冲击的特异性或系统性如何,知名的托管型稳定币以及最成功的加密担保代币在这些事件期间或之后都表现出了韧性。
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引用次数: 0
Crowd-sourced CEO approval and turnover 众包 CEO 批准和更替
IF 7.5 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103587
This study examines how employee approval ratings of CEOs improve the predictability of turnover. Using the crowd-sourced reviews from Glassdoor, we find that CEOs with high employee approval are less likely to be removed, even after a poor performance. The decrease in turnover–performance sensitivity is particularly strong when the relative importance of employees is greater in industries of higher intangible asset intensity and in states with strong employee protection. Firms with higher CEO approval subsequently show improved performance and lowered firm-specific risk. We highlight the role of employees as a key stakeholder in predicting CEO turnover, consistent with the value creation view of stakeholder capitalism.
本研究探讨了员工对首席执行官的认可度如何提高离职的可预测性。通过使用 Glassdoor 的众包评论,我们发现,员工支持率高的首席执行官即使业绩不佳,也不太可能被撤职。在无形资产密集度较高的行业和员工保护力度较大的国家,当员工的相对重要性较高时,离职-业绩敏感性的下降尤为明显。首席执行官认可度较高的公司随后会表现出业绩改善和公司特定风险降低。我们强调了员工作为关键利益相关者在预测首席执行官更替中的作用,这与利益相关者资本主义的价值创造观点是一致的。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
International Review of Financial Analysis
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