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Formative personal experiences: How benefit recipiency and income changes shape perceptions of system abuse 个人成长经历:福利领取和收入变化如何影响对制度滥用的看法
IF 5.3 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-08 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12685
Arno Van Hootegem, Anna Helgøy, Miroslav Nemčok
Perceptions that others will contribute their fair share are fundamental to the legitimacy of the political system. To better understand how these perceptions take shape beyond the influence of political narratives and socializations, this paper investigates the role of the formative personal experiences of benefit recipiency and income changes in explaining views on welfare abuse as well as tax evasion. Theoretically, both increasing identification or ‘othering’ could occur when these experiences lead to new group adherence. To test this empirically, three‐wave Norwegian panel data (2014–2017) are analysed. Within‐ as well as between‐group analyses show that becoming dependent on benefits leads to lower perceptions of welfare abuse, while positive income changes prompt higher perceptions of tax evasion, albeit mostly among those with lower income levels. Overall, this article shows that formative personal experiences affect views that are fundamental to the perceived fairness, legitimacy and sustainability of the social and political system.
认为他人将贡献自己的公平份额是政治制度合法性的基础。为了更好地理解这些观念是如何在政治叙事和社会化的影响之外形成的,本文研究了领取福利金和收入变化的个人成长经历在解释对滥用福利和逃税的看法方面所起的作用。从理论上讲,当这些经历导致新的群体认同时,就会出现认同感增强或 "他者化 "现象。为了从实证角度检验这一点,我们分析了三波挪威面板数据(2014-2017年)。组内和组间分析表明,对福利的依赖会降低对福利滥用的认知,而积极的收入变化则会提高对逃税的认知,尽管这主要发生在收入水平较低的人群中。总之,本文表明,个人的成长经历会影响对社会和政治制度的公平性、合法性和可持续性的基本看法。
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引用次数: 0
The substantive representation of men: Intersectionality, masculinities, and men's interests 男性的实质性代表:交叉性、男性特征和男性利益
IF 5.3 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-08 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12684
Rainbow Murray
Men's numerical over‐representation in politics leads to complacency regarding their substantive representation. Yet the men in politics are not descriptively representative of most men and are drawn disproportionately from the most socially privileged groups. Building on theories of representation, intersectionality and masculinities, I argue that men have gendered representational needs that are not adequately met. Power structures among men leave many men marginalized and/or subordinated, and disincentivize the privileged men in power from defending disadvantaged men's interests. Masculinist cultures within politics inhibit discussion of male vulnerability and further undermine the substantive representation of men. I make the case for why we should study men's substantive representation and then show how we could do so. I propose a groundbreaking research agenda for identifying and measuring men's diverse representational needs, recognizing how these are shaped by gender and its intersection with other identities. Combining insights from objectivist, constructivist and intersectional approaches, I develop a framework for measuring the substantive representation of men that explores who represents men, which ideology informs their claims, which men are included and excluded and whether the goals of representation are to transform or uphold the status quo. I offer several illuminations of policies where different men have distinct gendered needs, and offer an extended example using educational outcomes in the United Kingdom to illustrate how privileged men are not effective representatives of disadvantaged men. This article builds the normative case and offers the theoretical tools for addressing an important gap in the study of representation.
男性在政治中的人数比例过高,导致人们对他们的实质代表性沾沾自喜。然而,政治中的男性在描述上并不能代表大多数男性,他们不成比例地来自于社会地位最优越的群体。在代表性、交叉性和男性气质理论的基础上,我认为男性的性别代表性需求没有得到充分满足。男性间的权力结构使许多男性被边缘化和/或处于从属地位,并使掌权的特权男性不愿维护弱势男性的利益。政治中的大男子主义文化抑制了对男性脆弱性的讨论,进一步削弱了男性的实质性代表性。我提出了我们为什么要研究男性的实质性代表权的理由,然后说明了我们如何才能做到这一点。我提出了一个开创性的研究议程,用于识别和衡量男性不同的代表性需求,并认识到这些需求是如何由性别及其与其他身份的交集形成的。结合客观主义、建构主义和交叉方法的见解,我建立了一个衡量男性实质代表性的框架,该框架探讨了谁代表男性、他们的主张基于何种意识形态、哪些男性被纳入和排除在外,以及代表性的目标是改变还是维持现状。我对不同男性有不同性别需求的政策进行了阐述,并以英国的教育成果为例,说明特权男性如何不能有效地代表弱势男性。本文为解决代表权研究中的一个重要空白建立了规范性案例,并提供了理论工具。
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引用次数: 0
Follow the media? News environment and public concern about immigration 关注媒体?新闻环境与公众对移民问题的关注
IF 5.3 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-08 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12683
João Carvalho, Mariana CARMO DUARTE, Didier Ruedin
Immigration is a hot topic in Europe, but research on the media effects on public attention to immigration remains limited. We examine how media coverage affects the degree of importance attached to immigration in seven Western European Union member states. Data come from an extensive analysis of claims in printed newspapers, and the Eurobarometer (2002–2009). The continuous sample of news coverage is aggregated into a biannual panel, and we relate these data to citizens’ perceptions of the most important issues in their country 6 months later (lagged). The public consider immigration more important than other policy‐related issues when there is an increase in the volume of news and more political claims on the topic in the media. The media environment appears to be an exogenous actor that can have agenda‐setting effects on public concern about immigration. Our results highlight limitations of both the ‘policy‐gap’ thesis and thermostatic models of policy making.
移民是欧洲的热门话题,但有关媒体对公众关注移民的影响的研究仍然有限。我们研究了媒体报道如何影响七个西欧联盟成员国对移民问题的重视程度。数据来源于对印刷报纸和欧洲晴雨表(2002-2009 年)的广泛分析。我们将连续的新闻报道样本汇总成一个半年面板,并将这些数据与 6 个月后(滞后)公民对本国最重要问题的看法联系起来。当新闻量增加、媒体对移民问题的政治诉求增多时,公众认为移民问题比其他政策相关问题更重要。媒体环境似乎是一个外生因素,可以对公众对移民问题的关注产生议程设置效应。我们的研究结果凸显了 "政策差距 "理论和政策制定恒温模型的局限性。
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引用次数: 0
Opening the door to anti‐system leaders? Anti‐corruption campaigns and the global rise of populism 向反体制领导人敞开大门?反腐败运动与全球民粹主义的兴起
IF 5.3 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-24 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12682
Nic Cheeseman, Caryn Peiffer
Almost all anti‐corruption drives contain an awareness raising element. However, recent research reveals that anti‐corruption awareness raising messages can backfire by triggering a sense that corruption is too big of a problem to tackle, thus encouraging resignation rather than resistance. We advance this literature by exploring another potential unintended impact. Corruption scandals have played a prominent role in the rise of many populist leaders, who claim to challenge ‘the corrupt status quo’. We test whether anti‐corruption messages that call attention to the problem unintentionally help to foster populist attitudes through an original survey experiment in Albania. Breaking new ground by testing messages based on descriptive (how the world is) and injunctive (how people want it to be) norms, we find that while the latter has no effect, exposure to the former – which is more common in contemporary anti‐corruption campaigns – is associated with greater agreement with populist sentiments and beliefs.
几乎所有的反腐败活动都包含提高认识的内容。然而,最近的研究表明,提高反腐败意识的信息可能会适得其反,引发人们认为腐败是一个难以解决的大问题,从而鼓励人们逆来顺受,而不是抵制腐败。我们通过探讨另一种潜在的意外影响来推进这一文献。腐败丑闻在许多声称要挑战 "腐败现状 "的民粹主义领导人的崛起过程中扮演了重要角色。我们通过在阿尔巴尼亚进行的一项原创调查实验,检验了呼吁关注腐败问题的反腐信息是否会无意中助长民粹主义态度。通过测试基于描述性规范(世界是怎样的)和命令性规范(人们希望世界是怎样的)的信息,我们开创性地发现,虽然后者没有影响,但接触前者(在当代反腐运动中更为常见)却与更多的民粹主义情绪和信念相关联。
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引用次数: 0
When do voters reveal candidate gender preferences? Evidence from individual‐level ballot data 选民何时透露候选人的性别偏好?来自个人层面选票数据的证据
IF 5.3 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-17 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12679
Jana Belschner, Raimondas Ibenskas, Florian Weiler
Does candidate gender matter for vote choice? Whereas experimental research suggests an average preference for female candidates, observational studies tend to find null effects. In this note, we address the recent debate on how to measure voter preferences on the aggregate and the individual level. We argue that candidate gender preferences exist, but that whether and when they are revealed varies between and within voters. Drawing on an observational design and using data from over 500,000 individual ballots in Lithuanian elections, we employ multilevel regression and exponential random graph models to show how voters' candidate gender preferences are distributed across the electorate and how they vary in size and direction. We find that about half of all voters prefer either male or female candidates. Whereas preference for male candidates tends to be revealed in the first and second preference votes, preference for female candidates is first revealed in lower preference votes. Our results help explain contradictory findings in the literature and illustrate how observational data and methods can be used to assess voter preferences within electorates.
候选人的性别对投票选择有影响吗?实验研究表明,人们平均偏好女性候选人,而观察研究则倾向于发现无效效应。在本文中,我们将讨论近期关于如何衡量选民总体和个体偏好的争论。我们认为,候选人的性别偏好是存在的,但在选民之间和选民内部,候选人的性别偏好是否以及何时显现出来是不同的。通过观察设计和使用立陶宛选举中超过 500,000 张个人选票的数据,我们采用多层次回归和指数随机图模型来展示选民的候选人性别偏好在选民中的分布情况,以及它们在规模和方向上的变化。我们发现,约有一半的选民偏好男性或女性候选人。对男性候选人的偏好往往在第一和第二优先选票中显现,而对女性候选人的偏好则首先在较低优先选票中显现。我们的研究结果有助于解释文献中相互矛盾的结论,并说明了如何利用观察数据和方法来评估选民在选举中的偏好。
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引用次数: 0
Auction politics: Party competition and expansionary election promises 拍卖政治:政党竞争与扩张性选举承诺
IF 5.3 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-13 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12678
Rory Costello
Party competition sometimes resembles an auction, where parties seek to ‘buy’ elections through promises of economic largesse. In this article, I argue that whether parties engage in this practice will depend on political circumstances, such as the level of ideological competition. Incentives to promise more to voters will also vary depending on a party's electoral prospects: for parties that expect a significant level of government responsibility, promising too much is a risky strategy. I test these arguments by focusing on the spending commitments in party manifestos from 20 countries over the period 1945–2017. In line with expectations, parties tend to make more expansionary election pledges when ideological competition is more muted. In addition, left‐wing parties’ spending commitments are found to be influenced by their projected seat shares (based on opinion polls from before the start of the election campaign) relative to their competitors. Specifically, the stronger a left‐wing party's electoral prospects, the more fiscally conservative it tends to be, and vice versa.
政党竞争有时类似于拍卖,政党通过许诺经济上的慷慨解囊来 "购买 "选举。在本文中,我认为政党是否采取这种做法取决于政治环境,如意识形态竞争的激烈程度。向选民做出更多承诺的动机也会因政党的选举前景而异:对于期望政府承担重大责任的政党来说,承诺过多是一种冒险策略。我通过关注 1945-2017 年间 20 个国家政党宣言中的支出承诺来检验这些论点。与预期一致的是,当意识形态竞争较为缓和时,政党倾向于做出更具扩张性的竞选承诺。此外,研究还发现,左翼政党的支出承诺会受到其相对于竞争对手的预计席位份额(基于竞选开始前的民意调查)的影响。具体来说,左翼政党的选举前景越好,其财政政策就越保守,反之亦然。
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引用次数: 0
Strategic postponement of coalition policymaking in European Parliamentary democracies 欧洲议会民主制中联盟决策的战略性推迟
IF 5.3 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-11 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12677
Xiao Lu
Coalition policymaking concerns not only who decides what in which jurisdiction but also when, how speedy and in what rhythm. Due to the limited time budget and shadow of future elections, parties in charge of respective ministerial portfolios have to strategically organize their policy agendas to trade off between policy and electoral incentives in the face of coalition partners who monitor and control ministerial autonomy. However, despite the burgeoning literature on coalition governance, the temporal dimension of ministerial agenda control is less well understood. I advance this research by proposing a model to directly account for the influence of time budgets on timing decisions of ministers in policy initiation. In this model, I distinguish between different timing strategies of policy initiation a ministerial party may possibly adopt and identify in equilibrium a conditional postponing strategy by which ministers facing high scrutiny of coalition partners will postpone bill initiation till the end of the term. The empirical examination lends support to my argument and further demonstrates that the timing strategy of ministers can also be influenced by coalition conflict and policy saliency of bills.
联盟决策不仅涉及谁在哪个管辖区决定什么,而且还涉及何时、以何种速度和节奏决 策。由于有限的时间预算和未来选举的阴影,面对监督和控制部长自主权的联盟伙伴,负责各自部长职位的政党必须战略性地组织其政策议程,在政策和选举激励之间进行权衡。然而,尽管有关联盟治理的文献不断涌现,但人们对部长议程控制的时间维度却知之甚少。我提出了一个模型来直接解释时间预算对部长们在政策启动中的时间决策的影响,从而推动了这一研究。在这一模型中,我区分了部长党可能采取的不同政策启动时机策略,并在均衡状态下确定了一种有条件的推迟策略,即部长们在面临联盟伙伴的高度审查时会将法案启动推迟到任期结束。实证研究支持了我的论点,并进一步证明部长们的时间策略也会受到联盟冲突和法案政策显著性的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Everyone will know someone who died of Corona: Government threat language during the COVID‐19 pandemic 每个人都认识死于科罗娜的人:COVID-19 大流行期间的政府威胁语言
IF 5.3 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-10 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12676
S. Dingler, L. Hayek, Christian Schwaderer, Martin Senn, Andreas M. Kraxberger, Nada Ragheb
Threat language is an important, albeit ambivalent, element of political crisis communication. It raises public awareness and enhances compliance with emergency measures, but, if overused, it also carries the risk of making governments appear overwhelmed by a crisis. Research on political communication during the COVID‐19 pandemic has so far only produced very limited insights into the use of threat language by governments. To address this gap in the literature, our article analyses which factors influence the likelihood of threat language in the crisis communication of governments. We argue that individual‐level factors (politician vs. non‐politician and gender) shape the odds of including threat language and that contextual factors (time and subject area) determine the probability with which speakers employ this communication tool.Based on a unique dataset of 1108 press conferences with 433 speakers in 17 OECD countries and three US states, we demonstrate that men are slightly more prone to employ threat language than women. The most important determinant of its use, however, is the subject area that speakers are addressing. In particular, in the context of the health system and public management, speeches are likely to be associated with risks, dangers, and threats. Overall, our findings imply that crisis communication across countries is not as diverse as indicated by previous literature. Once countries are facing a comparable challenge, political actors largely communicate in a similar manner.
威胁性语言是政治危机传播的一个重要因素,尽管它是矛盾的。它能提高公众意识,促进对应急措施的遵守,但如果过度使用,也有可能使政府在危机面前显得手足无措。迄今为止,有关 COVID-19 大流行期间政治沟通的研究只对政府使用威胁语言的情况提出了非常有限的见解。针对这一文献空白,我们的文章分析了哪些因素会影响政府在危机沟通中使用威胁语言的可能性。我们认为,个人层面的因素(政治家与非政治家和性别)决定了使用威胁性语言的几率,而语境因素(时间和主题领域)则决定了发言人使用这种沟通工具的几率。我们基于一个独特的数据集,该数据集包含了 17 个经合组织国家和美国三个州的 1108 场新闻发布会,共有 433 位发言人发言,结果表明男性比女性更容易使用威胁性语言。然而,决定威胁语使用的最重要因素是发言者所涉及的主题领域。特别是在卫生系统和公共管理方面,演讲很可能与风险、危险和威胁有关。总之,我们的研究结果表明,各国的危机公关并不像以往文献所指出的那样具有多样性。一旦各国面临相似的挑战,政治行动者的沟通方式大体相同。
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引用次数: 1
The consistency principle: Crisis perceptions, partisanship and public support for democratic norms in comparative perspective 一致性原则:从比较角度看危机认知、党派和公众对民主规范的支持
IF 5.3 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-08 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12673
A. Driscoll, Jay N. Krehbiel, Michael J. Nelson, Sangyeon Kim
A growing body of research theorizes that partisanship can undermine democracy as citizens prioritize their political interests over abstract norms and values. We argue that crises might counteract intense partisanship by giving citizens clarity on the threats posed by rule of law violations. Examining the differential application of a law – a breach of democratic norms – we draw on an experiment embedded in representative surveys of Germany, the United States, Hungary and Poland to examine citizens’ sense of appropriate punishment for elites’ violation of a municipal mask‐wearing ordinance. We find evidence of partisan bias in citizens’ willingness to support punishment in all four countries. But, in the two consolidated democracies, we find that concern about the Covid‐19 crisis diminishes partisan biases in punishment preferences: citizens who are most concerned about the crisis also model the most consistency in their willingness to hold copartisans into account.
越来越多的研究认为,由于公民将其政治利益置于抽象规范和价值观之上,党派纷争可能会破坏民主。我们认为,危机可能会让公民清楚地认识到违反法治所带来的威胁,从而抵消激烈的党派纷争。我们通过对德国、美国、匈牙利和波兰的代表性调查进行实验,考察了公民对精英违反市政戴面具条例的适当惩罚的看法。我们发现,在所有四个国家中,公民支持惩罚的意愿都存在党派偏见。但是,在两个巩固的民主国家中,我们发现对 Covid-19 危机的关注减少了惩罚偏好中的党派偏见:最关注危机的公民也最愿意让党派成员承担责任。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the linkage of higher education and attitudes towards European integration: The British case 探索高等教育与欧洲一体化态度之间的联系:英国案例
IF 5.3 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-05 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12675
Andrew McNEIL, Elizabeth Simon
While cross‐sectional research has consistently shown graduates are less Eurosceptic than non‐graduates, little is known about the causal role of university study in determining these attitudes, as few longitudinal studies have explored this. This study does so, providing robust causal estimates of higher education's effect on Euroscepticism through applying individual‐ and sibling fixed‐effect modelling techniques to British Household Panel and Understanding Society data from 1999–2022. Both specifications provide consistent results; suggesting university study does little to decrease Euroscepticism in the short‐run but has substantial long‐run effects. This alludes to an ‘allocation’ effect, whereby it is largely not the experience of obtaining a degree itself, but the opportunities afforded by virtue of doing so that shape attitudes towards Europe. Our novel findings not only demonstrate that within‐sibling estimates of higher education's effect can be generalised to the wider British population but also advance our understanding of the mechanisms linking education with Euroscepticism.
尽管横向研究一直表明毕业生的欧洲怀疑论低于非毕业生,但人们对大学学习在决定这些态度方面的因果作用却知之甚少,因为很少有纵向研究对此进行探讨。本研究就是这样做的,通过对 1999-2022 年英国家庭面板数据和 "了解社会 "数据应用个人和兄弟姐妹固定效应建模技术,提供了高等教育对欧洲怀疑论影响的可靠因果估计。两种规格都提供了一致的结果;表明大学学习在短期内几乎不会降低欧洲怀疑论,但却有很大的长期影响。这暗示了一种 "分配 "效应,即影响人们对欧洲态度的主要不是获得学位的经历本身,而是获得学位所带来的机会。我们的新发现不仅证明了对高等教育影响的同胞估计可以推广到更广泛的英国人口中,而且还推进了我们对教育与欧洲怀疑论之间关联机制的理解。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
European Journal of Political Research
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