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DEPART: Decomposing prices using atheoretical regression trees DEPART:使用算术回归树分解价格
IF 7 2区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2023-09-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijresmar.2023.08.009
Huidi Lu , Ralf van der Lans , Kristiaan Helsen , Dinesh K. Gauri

Regular prices and temporary discounts are important elements for retailers’ and brands’ pricing decisions. These two variables need to be considered separately because consumer sensitivities to their changes typically differ. Although the scope and richness of retail datasets have grown rapidly in recent years, most of them only record actual prices paid by customers and lack direct information about regular prices and discounts. A systematic review involving close to five hundred publications that investigated pricing variables using retail scanner data confirms this, as 63% of them only observed actual prices. To solve this missing data problem, these studies often adopted heuristics to decompose actual prices into regular prices and discount depths. However, there are many such heuristics and their accuracies have not been assessed. This research introduces DEPART, a new machine learning approach based on regression trees with a publicly available R package and benchmarks it against previously used heuristics in two different datasets. The results show that on average the proposed method outperforms previously used heuristics by 26.5% or more. Additional analyses illustrate the potential economic benefits of adopting DEPART to improve pricing decisions.

常规价格和临时折扣是零售商和品牌定价决策的重要因素。这两个变量需要单独考虑,因为消费者对其变化的敏感度通常不同。尽管近年来零售数据集的范围和丰富程度都在迅速增长,但大多数数据集只记录了客户实际支付的价格,缺乏常规价格和折扣的直接信息。一项涉及近500份出版物的系统审查证实了这一点,这些出版物使用零售扫描仪数据调查了价格变量,因为63%的出版物只观察到实际价格。为了解决这一数据缺失问题,这些研究通常采用启发式方法将实际价格分解为常规价格和折扣深度。然而,有许多这样的启发式,其准确性尚未得到评估。本研究介绍了一种新的机器学习方法,基于回归树和公开可用的R包,并将其与之前在两个不同数据集中使用的启发式方法进行基准测试。结果表明,平均而言,所提出的方法比以前使用的启发式方法高出26.5%或更多。另外的分析说明了采用分离模型来改进定价决策的潜在经济效益。
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引用次数: 0
Sending mixed signals: How congruent versus incongruent signals of popularity affect product appeal 发出混合信号:一致与不一致的流行信号如何影响产品吸引力
IF 7 2区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijresmar.2023.08.008
Sarit Moldovan , Meyrav Shoham , Yael Steinhart

A high volume of sales or online reviews can make a product seem more popular and established and consequently enhance its appeal. But is it advisable to display both metrics? We focus on the interplay between volume of sales and number of reviews and explore what happens when these signals are perceived as congruent versus incongruent. Five experimental studies and an analysis of field data demonstrate that consumers find products with congruent (vs. incongruent) ratios of reviews to sales more appealing. We distinguish between two types of incongruities: when the volume of sales clearly exceeds that of the reviews (over-purchased products) versus many reviews compared to sales (over-reviewed products). We argue that both reduce consumer confidence in the product’s merit, but that the latter has a more pronounced impact. However, the effects are attenuated when contextual cues explain the incongruities.

大量的销售或在线评论可以使产品看起来更受欢迎和更成熟,从而增强其吸引力。但是同时显示这两个指标是否明智呢?我们关注销售量和评论数量之间的相互作用,并探索当这些信号被视为一致与不一致时会发生什么。五项实验研究和对现场数据的分析表明,消费者认为评论与销售额之比一致(与不一致)的产品更有吸引力。我们区分了两种类型的不一致:当销售量明显超过评论(过度购买的产品)时,与许多评论相比销售量(过度评论的产品)。我们认为,两者都会降低消费者对产品价值的信心,但后者的影响更为明显。然而,当上下文线索解释不一致时,效果就减弱了。
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引用次数: 0
Financial consequences of adding bricks to clicks 为点击添加砖块的经济后果
IF 7 2区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijresmar.2023.06.003
Erik Maier , Rico Bornschein , Rico Manss , Damian Hesse

Many e-commerce retailers are adding “bricks to clicks” – that is, opening an offline channel in addition to their digital sales channel(s). Taking the perspective of such an online pure player, this research assesses the effects of offline channel additions on the financial performance (e.g., sales, profits) and customer behavior (e.g., basket size, return rate) in the extended channel network as well as the initial online channel of the retailer. Across two studies, one at the zip code level and the other at the customer level, we find that the channel addition of a fashion and lifestyle retailer is synergistic in terms of increasing not only overall sales but also profits. At the same time, the new offline channel does not significantly cannibalize the existing online shop, as new customers are attracted through the channel addition. The effects of channel additions, however, are influenced by characteristics of customers gained before the channel addition and of the trade area around the newly opened stores: among existing customers, those who bought more in the online channel do not react as positively to the addition of an offline channel, and trade areas with socioeconomic characteristics that are often viewed as disadvantageous for digital retailing (e.g., an older population, lower average income) show a stronger positive sales effect of a brick-and-mortar addition. The attractiveness of the offline channel for these customer segments highlights that adding bricks to clicks might be most attractive for those customers who were previously unwilling to purchase from an online-only retailer.

许多电子商务零售商正在增加“点击量”——也就是说,除了数字销售渠道之外,还开设了一个线下渠道。从这样一个纯粹的在线玩家的角度来看,本研究评估了线下渠道增加对扩展渠道网络和零售商初始在线渠道中的财务业绩(如销售额、利润)和客户行为(如购物篮大小、退货率)的影响。通过两项研究,一项在邮政编码层面,另一项在客户层面,我们发现时尚和生活方式零售商的渠道增加不仅在增加整体销售额方面,而且在增加利润方面是协同作用的。同时,新的线下渠道并没有显著蚕食现有的网店,因为通过增加渠道吸引了新客户。然而,渠道增加的效果受到渠道增加前获得的客户和新开商店周围贸易区的特征的影响:在现有客户中,那些在网上渠道购买更多的人对线下渠道的增加反应不那么积极,而具有社会经济特征的贸易领域通常被视为对数字零售不利(例如,人口老龄化,平均收入较低),则显示出实体店的积极销售效果更强。线下渠道对这些客户群体的吸引力突显出,对于那些以前不愿意从纯在线零售商那里购买的客户来说,为点击量增加砖块可能最具吸引力。
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引用次数: 1
How culture shapes consumer responses to anthropomorphic products 文化如何塑造消费者对拟人产品的反应
IF 7 2区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijresmar.2023.06.005
Sara Baskentli , Rhonda Hadi , Leonard Lee

Anecdotal evidence suggests that Eastern consumers respond more favorably to anthropomorphic products than their Western counterparts. In the present work, we examine the validity of this common intuition and uncover the specific cultural dimension underlying this difference in consumer response. Specifically, across a cross-national field study and three controlled experiments, we demonstrate that collectivistic consumers favor anthropomorphic products more than non-anthropomorphic products, whereas non-collectivistic consumers do not display this relative preference. This interactive effect holds across various product categories, regardless of whether collectivistic thinking is measured, manipulated, or operationalized based on nationality or ethnicity. We offer managerial and theoretical implications that stem from our findings.

轶事证据表明,与西方消费者相比,东方消费者对拟人化产品的反应更为积极。在目前的工作中,我们检验了这种共同直觉的有效性,并揭示了消费者反应差异背后的特定文化维度。具体而言,通过一项跨国家的实地研究和三项对照实验,我们证明集体主义消费者比非拟人化产品更喜欢拟人化产品,而非集体主义消费者没有表现出这种相对偏好。这种互动效应适用于各种产品类别,无论集体主义思维是基于国籍还是种族来衡量、操纵还是操作的。我们提供的管理和理论启示源于我们的发现。
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引用次数: 1
How firm communication affects the impact of layoff announcements on brand strength over time 随着时间的推移,企业沟通如何影响裁员公告对品牌实力的影响
IF 7 2区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijresmar.2023.06.002
Samuel Stäbler , Alexander Himme , Alexander Edeling , Max Backhaus

Firms usually undertake layoffs to improve financial performance. However, layoffs often have negative effects on various stakeholders, including consumers. In this paper, we examine the magnitude and duration of the potential negative effect of layoff announcements on brand strength. We also examine how a firm's communication accompanying a layoff can potentially counteract the observed negative effect of layoff announcements on brand strength. We compare how advertising communication intensity, social media communication (i.e., brand-initiated tweets), public relation (PR) communication, and communication of CSR initiatives moderate the main effect of layoff announcements on brand strength. Using an error correction model and drawing on 366 announcements of layoff events in Germany, this study identifies the magnitude and duration of the main effect. An examination of five years of weekly consumer brand perception data across multiple industries and domestic and foreign firms shows that advertising communication intensity and social media communication amplify the negative impact of layoff announcements on brand strength. Conversely, PR communication and communication of CSR initiatives help mitigate the negative effect. These findings provide guidance on the best way for firms to design firm communication in the context of layoff announcements.

公司通常通过裁员来提高财务业绩。然而,裁员往往会对包括消费者在内的各种利益相关者产生负面影响。在本文中,我们考察了裁员公告对品牌实力的潜在负面影响的大小和持续时间。我们还研究了一家公司在裁员时的沟通如何可能抵消裁员公告对品牌实力的负面影响。我们比较了广告传播强度、社交媒体传播(即品牌发起的推文)、公共关系(PR)传播和企业社会责任倡议的传播如何调节裁员公告对品牌实力的主要影响。本研究使用误差校正模型,并利用德国366份裁员事件公告,确定了主要影响的程度和持续时间。对多个行业、国内外公司五年来每周消费者品牌感知数据的研究表明,广告传播强度和社交媒体传播放大了裁员公告对品牌实力的负面影响。相反,公关沟通和企业社会责任倡议的沟通有助于减轻负面影响。这些发现为企业在裁员公告背景下设计企业沟通的最佳方式提供了指导。
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引用次数: 1
Timing customer reactivation initiatives 把握客户重新激活计划的时机
IF 7 2区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijresmar.2023.05.001
Niels Holtrop , Jaap E. Wieringa

Firms operating in non-contractual settings apply customer reactivation initiatives such as email messages to stimulate customers who have become inactive temporarily or permanently to resume their transaction activities. Thus, firms need to know which customers are inactive, and when a customer becomes inactive. Existing approaches struggle to distinguish active from inactive customers and do not provide time-scale estimates of when to send reactivation mails. To address these shortcomings, we develop an approach to target and time the sending of reactivation mails. Building on control chart methods, we introduce a gamma–gamma control chart, modelling the average customer interpurchase time and the variation therein to determine activity boundaries. Crossing these boundaries signals a potential change in a customer’s purchasing activity, providing a signal to initiate customer reactivation. A field experiment in the greetings and gifts industry, supported by several additional analyses, illustrates the improved performance of our approach when it comes to signaling customer activity against a wide range of competing models. The improved performance of our method occurs particularly in settings where customers vary strongly in purchase and inactivity patterns.

在非合同环境中运营的公司应用客户重新激活计划,如电子邮件,以刺激暂时或永久不活跃的客户恢复交易活动。因此,公司需要知道哪些客户不活跃,以及客户何时变得不活跃。现有的方法很难区分活跃客户和非活跃客户,并且没有提供何时发送重新激活邮件的时间尺度估计。为了解决这些缺点,我们开发了一种方法来确定重新激活邮件的发送目标并确定发送时间。在控制图方法的基础上,我们引入了伽马-伽马控制图,对客户平均采购时间及其变化进行建模,以确定活动边界。跨越这些界限标志着客户购买活动的潜在变化,为启动客户重新激活提供了信号。在问候语和礼品行业的一项实地实验中,通过几项额外的分析,说明了我们的方法在与各种竞争模式进行客户活动信号传递时的性能有所提高。我们的方法性能得到了改善,尤其是在客户购买和不活动模式差异很大的情况下。
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引用次数: 1
The motivational dynamics of arousal and values in promoting sustainable behavior: A cognitive energetics perspective 从认知能量学的角度看促进可持续行为的唤醒动力和价值观
IF 7 2区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijresmar.2022.12.004
Li Yan , Kyle B. Murray

This research applies Cognitive Energetics Theory (CET) to explain when and why consumers engage in sustainable behavior. Across six studies, we find a positive interaction effect of arousal and openness-to-change on sustainable behaviors. In particular, openness-to-change (vs conservation) increases the likelihood of engaging in effortful sustainable behaviors in a high-arousal state rather than in a low-arousal state. Interestingly, our results reveal that this interactive effect is explained by the tendency of consumers to believe that the target sustainable behavior requires less effort, when they are in a high-arousal state and endorsing openness-to-change. Moreover, perceived effort is positively related to sustainable behavior for experienced consumers but negatively related to the behavior for less experienced consumers. In addition, the effect of value and arousal on perceived effort is stronger among less experienced consumers but attenuated among more experienced consumers. Thus, arousal can serve as a catalyst to enhance value-consistent sustainable behaviors and help the less experienced consumers form habits. These findings contribute to CET by highlighting the important roles that values and arousal play in the motivational forces that drive and restrain sustainable behaviors. The results improve our understanding of how to motivate value-consistent sustainable behaviors, with implications for both marketers and policy-makers.

本研究应用认知能量学理论(CET)来解释消费者何时以及为什么参与可持续行为。在六项研究中,我们发现唤醒和对改变的开放性对可持续行为有积极的交互作用。特别是,对变化的开放性(与保护相比)增加了在高唤醒状态下而不是在低唤醒状态下进行努力可持续行为的可能性。有趣的是,我们的研究结果表明,这种互动效应是由消费者倾向于相信,当他们处于高度觉醒状态并支持改变的开放性时,目标可持续行为需要更少的努力来解释的。此外,感知到的努力与经验丰富的消费者的可持续行为呈正相关,但与经验不足的消费者的行为负相关。此外,价值和唤醒对感知努力的影响在经验较少的消费者中更强,但在经验较多的消费者中减弱。因此,唤醒可以作为一种催化剂,增强价值一致的可持续行为,并帮助经验不足的消费者养成习惯。这些发现通过强调价值观和唤醒在驱动和约束可持续行为的动机中发挥的重要作用,为CET做出了贡献。研究结果提高了我们对如何激励价值一致的可持续行为的理解,对营销人员和决策者都有启示。
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引用次数: 2
Estimating the effect of brand beliefs on brand evaluations when beliefs are measured with error 当信念被误差测量时,估计品牌信念对品牌评价的影响
IF 7 2区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijresmar.2023.02.002
Garrett P. Sonnier , Oliver J. Rutz , Adrian F. Ward

We consider the internal validity of estimates of the effects of brand beliefs on brand evaluations when beliefs are measured with error. Consumer research suggests numerous errors that may impact belief measures. However, the literature has not determined precisely why and how myriad types of error matter for the evaluation-belief relationship. Furthermore, the literature has not explicitly considered what is necessary and sufficient to control for different types of belief error when using the latent general factor approach. We show that the important distinction for empirical research is not the origin of the error per se but its relationship to affective evaluation. Error related to brand evaluation has an inflationary effect on estimates of the evaluation-belief relationship while error unrelated to brand evaluation has an attenuating effect. We use a bifactor structural equations model to decompose belief measures into general and specific dimensions. The model uses bias free variation in specific beliefs to identify effects on brand evaluation while controlling for a general belief dimension correlated with evaluation. Compared to models that do not adjust for the bias, estimates of the bias corrected marginal effects are smaller but positive and significant.

当信念被误差测量时,我们考虑了品牌信念对品牌评价影响的估计的内部有效性。消费者研究表明,许多错误可能会影响信念测量。然而,文献并没有确切地确定无数类型的错误为什么以及如何影响评估-信念关系。此外,在使用潜在的一般因素方法时,文献没有明确考虑控制不同类型的信念错误的必要性和充分性。我们表明,实证研究的重要区别不是错误本身的起源,而是它与情感评价的关系。与品牌评价相关的误差对评价信念关系的估计具有通货膨胀效应,而与品牌评价无关的误差具有衰减效应。我们使用双因子结构方程模型将置信测度分解为一般维度和特定维度。该模型使用特定信念的无偏见变化来识别对品牌评价的影响,同时控制与评价相关的一般信念维度。与不调整偏差的模型相比,对偏差校正的边际效应的估计较小,但是积极和显著的。
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引用次数: 0
How business-to-business salespeople deal with buying center dissenters 企业对企业销售人员如何处理购买中心异议者
IF 7 2区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijresmar.2023.02.001
Jeff S. Johnson

Salespeople routinely sell to multiple members with influence over the purchasing decision in the customer organization. Given these buying center members’ varying needs, wants, perspectives, and motivations, dispositions toward a sales discussion can be heterogeneous. Salespeople may encounter situations in which members of the buying center react positively to the sales discussion, with the exception of a dissenter who exerts a negative impact on the salesperson in the interaction. Through a qualitative research design, this article provides insight into salespeople’s approaches in dealing with a dissenter in the buying center. The findings provide an integrated understanding of salespeople’s experiences of dissent encounters in business-to-business selling. In-meeting mitigation and post-meeting remediation strategies are advanced along with influencing situational factors. In illustrating how salespeople handle dissenters, the article contributes to scholarship, provides managerial guidance, and advances avenues for future research.

销售人员通常向多个成员销售产品,这些成员对客户组织中的采购决策具有影响力。考虑到这些购买中心成员的不同需求、愿望、观点和动机,对销售讨论的态度可能是不同的。销售人员可能会遇到购买中心成员对销售讨论做出积极反应的情况,但在互动中对销售人员产生负面影响的持不同意见者除外。通过定性研究设计,本文深入了解了销售人员在处理购买中心异议者时的方法。这些发现提供了对销售人员在企业对企业销售中遇到异议的经历的综合理解。会内缓解和会后补救策略与影响情境因素一起提出。这篇文章阐述了销售人员如何处理持不同意见者,为学术研究做出了贡献,提供了管理指导,并为未来的研究提供了途径。
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引用次数: 1
Adverse inclusion of asymmetric advertisers in position auctions 不对称广告客户在职位拍卖中的不利纳入
IF 7 2区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijresmar.2023.01.001
Zibin Xu , Yi Zhu , Shantanu Dutta

Product listing platforms commonly use generalized second-price auctions to select competing advertisers for limited ad positions. However, when advertisers are asymmetric, position auctions may confound the post-auction competition structure and thus endogenize the bidders’ values of the ad positions. We build an analytical model to examine the impact of position auctions on an asymmetric market structure, which consists of a mass marketer and two specialized advertisers of heterogeneous quality efficiencies. The advertisers bid for two ad slots and then compete for the market in price and quality. We find that the asymmetric market structure may increase the uncertainty of the auction outcomes, which then may induce the advertisers to underbid using a conservative strategy profile in the locally-envy free equilibrium. Consequently, the auction outcome may adversely include the less-efficient specialized advertiser. This result is stronger than the position paradox in the classic auction literature, as the advertiser with a competitive advantage may be driven out and obtain zero profit.

产品上市平台通常使用广义的第二价格拍卖来选择有限广告位置的竞争广告商。然而,当广告商不对称时,位置拍卖可能会混淆拍卖后的竞争结构,从而内生投标人的广告位置价值。我们建立了一个分析模型来检验头寸拍卖对不对称市场结构的影响,该市场结构由一个大规模营销人员和两个质量效率异质的专业广告商组成。广告商竞标两个广告位,然后在价格和质量上争夺市场。我们发现,不对称的市场结构可能会增加拍卖结果的不确定性,这可能会导致广告商在局部无嫉妒均衡中使用保守的策略来降低出价。因此,拍卖结果可能不利地包括效率较低的专业广告商。这一结果比经典拍卖文献中的位置悖论更强,因为具有竞争优势的广告商可能会被赶出去,并获得零利润。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
International Journal of Research in Marketing
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