Yanyu Bai, Baoqing Wang, Ao Guo, Yuan Ji, Hasi Qingele, Yong Wang, Jieyu Wang, Jian Wang, Yan Jiang
Soil fugitive dust significantly degrades air quality in arid regions like Bole City, China. To address methodological limitations causing Particulate matter (PM) overestimation, this study aimed to: (a) Develop a refined 2021 inventory for PM10 and PM2.5 soil dust emissions in Bole City by integrating localized particle size data and the critical TSP proportion coefficient; (b) Analyze emission spatial patterns; and (c) Assess sensitivity to climate parameters. Methods were used to combine on-site sampling, localized coefficients, the TSP coefficient, meteorological data, and remote sensing. Results showed annual emissions of 422.60 t PM10 and 166.91 t PM2.5. Grassland was the dominant source 153.03 t PM10 and 58.67 t PM2.5, while bare land contributed least 2.39 t PM10 and 1.05 t PM2.5. Emission intensities were 0.07 t/km2 PM10 and 0.03 t/km2 PM2.5. Emissions peaked sharply in April (214.70 t PM10; 66.55 t PM2.5) and were lowest in May (2.82 t PM10; 2.16 t PM2.5). Spatially, emissions were low northeast and high southwest. Precipitation was the most sensitive climate factor, followed by temperature and wind speed. In conclusion, this study provides Bole City's first localized inventory incorporating the TSP coefficient, correcting prior overestimation. It identifies grassland as the key source, highlights April's peak emissions and the distinct southwest-increasing spatial pattern, and demonstrates precipitation's paramount sensitivity. These findings offer a crucial quantitative basis for targeted soil fugitive dust control strategies in Bole City and similar arid zones.
在伯乐市等干旱地区,土壤扬尘显著降低了空气质量。为了解决导致颗粒物(PM)高估的方法局限性,本研究旨在:(a)通过整合局部粒径数据和关键TSP比例系数,制定2021年伯乐市PM10和PM2.5土壤粉尘排放的精细清单;(b)分析排放空间格局;(c)评估对气候参数的敏感性。方法采用现场采样、局域系数、TSP系数、气象资料和遥感相结合的方法。结果显示,年排放量为422.60 t PM10和166.91 t PM2.5。草地对PM10和PM2.5的贡献分别为153.03 t和58.67 t,裸地对PM10和PM2.5的贡献最小,分别为2.39 t和1.05 t。排放强度分别为0.07 t/km2 PM10和0.03 t/km2 PM2.5。排放量在4月达到峰值(214.70 t PM10, 66.55 t PM2.5), 5月最低(2.82 t PM10, 2.16 t PM2.5)。从空间上看,东北低,西南高。降水是最敏感的气候因子,其次是温度和风速。总之,本研究提供了伯乐市第一个纳入TSP系数的本地化库存,纠正了先前的高估。它确定了草地是主要来源,突出了4月份的峰值排放和明显的西南增加的空间格局,并证明了降水的最高敏感性。这些研究结果为伯乐市及类似干旱区土壤扬尘定向控制策略提供了重要的定量依据。
{"title":"Soil Fugitive Dust Pollution in Bole City Near Sayram Lake","authors":"Yanyu Bai, Baoqing Wang, Ao Guo, Yuan Ji, Hasi Qingele, Yong Wang, Jieyu Wang, Jian Wang, Yan Jiang","doi":"10.1029/2024GH001255","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2024GH001255","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Soil fugitive dust significantly degrades air quality in arid regions like Bole City, China. To address methodological limitations causing Particulate matter (PM) overestimation, this study aimed to: (a) Develop a refined 2021 inventory for PM<sub>10</sub> and PM<sub>2.5</sub> soil dust emissions in Bole City by integrating localized particle size data and the critical TSP proportion coefficient; (b) Analyze emission spatial patterns; and (c) Assess sensitivity to climate parameters. Methods were used to combine on-site sampling, localized coefficients, the TSP coefficient, meteorological data, and remote sensing. Results showed annual emissions of 422.60 t PM<sub>10</sub> and 166.91 t PM<sub>2.5</sub>. Grassland was the dominant source 153.03 t PM<sub>10</sub> and 58.67 t PM<sub>2.5</sub>, while bare land contributed least 2.39 t PM<sub>10</sub> and 1.05 t PM<sub>2.5</sub>. Emission intensities were 0.07 t/km<sup>2</sup> PM<sub>10</sub> and 0.03 t/km<sup>2</sup> PM<sub>2.5</sub>. Emissions peaked sharply in April (214.70 t PM<sub>10</sub>; 66.55 t PM<sub>2.5</sub>) and were lowest in May (2.82 t PM<sub>10</sub>; 2.16 t PM<sub>2.5</sub>). Spatially, emissions were low northeast and high southwest. Precipitation was the most sensitive climate factor, followed by temperature and wind speed. In conclusion, this study provides Bole City's first localized inventory incorporating the TSP coefficient, correcting prior overestimation. It identifies grassland as the key source, highlights April's peak emissions and the distinct southwest-increasing spatial pattern, and demonstrates precipitation's paramount sensitivity. These findings offer a crucial quantitative basis for targeted soil fugitive dust control strategies in Bole City and similar arid zones.</p>","PeriodicalId":48618,"journal":{"name":"Geohealth","volume":"9 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12712225/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145806122","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
D Ardra, Sajeev Philip, Debajit Sarkar, Subhadeep Ghosh, Aaron van Donkelaar, Randall V. Martin, Sagnik Dey
Ambient air pollutants are reported to have adverse health impacts, which could be better assessed by examining human exposure to multiple criteria pollutants or through a multi-pollutant Air Quality Index (AQI). As compared to AQIs developed using in situ measurements of pollutants across sparse monitoring stations, satellite-based products such as ambient PM2.5 or NO2 provide better spatiotemporal patterns. Here, we examine the long-term (2005–2019) air pollution exposure and health impacts over India with the novel Satellite-Based Multi-Pollutant Index (SMPI). The high spatial resolution (1 km × 1 km) SMPI over India reveals pollution exposure hotspots in most states and districts over the Indo-Gangetic Plain (IGP) and eastern states. The spatiotemporal patterns in SMPI exposure and its urban-rural heterogeneity were different from either PM2.5 or NO2, highlighting the importance of multi-pollutant indices to comprehensively assess air quality. Furthermore, we found a strong association (1.05, 95% UI: 1.025–1.075) between SMPI and odds of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD), which increased with increasing co-pollutant exposures [1.03 (1.018–1.042) to 1.184 (1.156–2.212)]. The SMPI—COPD association was significantly higher among males, middle class, tribes, and older sub-populations, highlighting the need for future environmental policies prioritized for vulnerable population subgroups for larger health benefits.
据报告,环境空气污染物对健康有不利影响,可以通过检查人体接触多种标准污染物或通过多污染物空气质量指数(AQI)来更好地评估这一影响。与通过稀疏监测站对污染物进行现场测量而开发的空气质量指数相比,基于卫星的产品,如环境PM2.5或NO2,提供了更好的时空格局。在这里,我们用新的基于卫星的多污染物指数(SMPI)研究了印度的长期(2005-2019)空气污染暴露和健康影响。印度的高空间分辨率(1 km × 1 km) SMPI显示了印度-恒河平原(IGP)和东部各邦的大多数邦和地区的污染暴露热点。SMPI暴露的时空格局及其城乡异质性与PM2.5和NO2均存在差异,凸显了多污染物指数对综合评价空气质量的重要性。此外,我们发现SMPI与慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)发病率之间有很强的相关性(1.05,95% UI: 1.025-1.075),并且随着共污染物暴露量的增加而增加[1.03(1.018-1.042)至1.184(1.156-2.212)]。在男性、中产阶级、部落和老年亚群中,SMPI-COPD相关性显著较高,这突出表明未来需要优先考虑弱势人群亚群的环境政策,以获得更大的健康效益。
{"title":"Assessment of Ambient Multipollutant Exposure and Health Impacts Over India Using the Novel Satellite-Based Multi-Pollutant Index","authors":"D Ardra, Sajeev Philip, Debajit Sarkar, Subhadeep Ghosh, Aaron van Donkelaar, Randall V. Martin, Sagnik Dey","doi":"10.1029/2025GH001409","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2025GH001409","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Ambient air pollutants are reported to have adverse health impacts, which could be better assessed by examining human exposure to multiple criteria pollutants or through a multi-pollutant Air Quality Index (AQI). As compared to AQIs developed using in situ measurements of pollutants across sparse monitoring stations, satellite-based products such as ambient PM<sub>2.5</sub> or NO<sub>2</sub> provide better spatiotemporal patterns. Here, we examine the long-term (2005–2019) air pollution exposure and health impacts over India with the novel Satellite-Based Multi-Pollutant Index (SMPI). The high spatial resolution (1 km × 1 km) SMPI over India reveals pollution exposure hotspots in most states and districts over the Indo-Gangetic Plain (IGP) and eastern states. The spatiotemporal patterns in SMPI exposure and its urban-rural heterogeneity were different from either PM<sub>2.5</sub> or NO<sub>2</sub>, highlighting the importance of multi-pollutant indices to comprehensively assess air quality. Furthermore, we found a strong association (1.05, 95% UI: 1.025–1.075) between SMPI and odds of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD), which increased with increasing co-pollutant exposures [1.03 (1.018–1.042) to 1.184 (1.156–2.212)]. The SMPI—COPD association was significantly higher among males, middle class, tribes, and older sub-populations, highlighting the need for future environmental policies prioritized for vulnerable population subgroups for larger health benefits.</p>","PeriodicalId":48618,"journal":{"name":"Geohealth","volume":"9 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12710085/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145783506","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Rosana Aguilera, Noemie Letellier, Rupa Basu, Ambarish Vaidyanathan, Joan A. Casey, Alexander Gershunov, Minghui Diao, Tarik Benmarhnia
The intensity and frequency of wildfire events in the United States are increasing, with wildfire emissions serving as a major contributor to air pollution, particularly through airborne particulate matter and ground-level ozone (O3). Wildfire smoke detrimentally impacts human health, and evidence has shown that wildfire fine particulate matter (PM2.5) might be more harmful than other sources of PM2.5 for respiratory conditions. Epidemiological research on health effects of wildfire smoke has mainly focused on PM2.5 and there is limited evidence on the impacts of particulate matter less than or equal to 10 μm in aerodynamic diameter (PM10) and O3. PM2.5, PM10, and O3 might have differential effects on human health based on the source of emissions (smoke vs. non-smoke air pollution). Here, we first quantified the contribution of wildfires to PM10 and O3 concentrations in California, USA for years 2006–2019, using a statistical modeling framework. R2 for our PM10 predictive model ranged between 0.68 and 0.78 for prediction using testing and all monitoring sites involved, respectively. Similarly, R2 values for our ozone predictive model ranged between 0.78 (hold-out sites) and 0.89 (all sites). Second, we quantified the short-term impacts of wildfire-specific PM10 and O3 concentrations, along with wildfire-specific PM2.5, on hospital admissions for respiratory and cardiovascular illnesses during three different time periods and at various spatial extents (all California ZIP codes and regional analyses). We found heterogeneous effects of wildfire smoke pollutants on different health outcomes and across different regions and periods considered in our study.
{"title":"Effects of Multiple Wildfire Smoke Pollutants (PM2.5, PM10, and Ozone) on Respiratory and Cardiovascular Hospitalizations in California (2006–2019)","authors":"Rosana Aguilera, Noemie Letellier, Rupa Basu, Ambarish Vaidyanathan, Joan A. Casey, Alexander Gershunov, Minghui Diao, Tarik Benmarhnia","doi":"10.1029/2025GH001510","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2025GH001510","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The intensity and frequency of wildfire events in the United States are increasing, with wildfire emissions serving as a major contributor to air pollution, particularly through airborne particulate matter and ground-level ozone (O<sub>3</sub>). Wildfire smoke detrimentally impacts human health, and evidence has shown that wildfire fine particulate matter (PM<sub>2.5</sub>) might be more harmful than other sources of PM<sub>2.5</sub> for respiratory conditions. Epidemiological research on health effects of wildfire smoke has mainly focused on PM<sub>2.5</sub> and there is limited evidence on the impacts of particulate matter less than or equal to 10 μm in aerodynamic diameter (PM<sub>10</sub>) and O<sub>3</sub>. PM<sub>2.5</sub>, PM<sub>10</sub>, and O<sub>3</sub> might have differential effects on human health based on the source of emissions (smoke vs. non-smoke air pollution). Here, we first quantified the contribution of wildfires to PM<sub>10</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> concentrations in California, USA for years 2006–2019, using a statistical modeling framework. <i>R</i><sup>2</sup> for our PM<sub>10</sub> predictive model ranged between 0.68 and 0.78 for prediction using testing and all monitoring sites involved, respectively. Similarly, <i>R</i><sup>2</sup> values for our ozone predictive model ranged between 0.78 (hold-out sites) and 0.89 (all sites). Second, we quantified the short-term impacts of wildfire-specific PM<sub>10</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> concentrations, along with wildfire-specific PM<sub>2.5</sub>, on hospital admissions for respiratory and cardiovascular illnesses during three different time periods and at various spatial extents (all California ZIP codes and regional analyses). We found heterogeneous effects of wildfire smoke pollutants on different health outcomes and across different regions and periods considered in our study.</p>","PeriodicalId":48618,"journal":{"name":"Geohealth","volume":"9 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12712234/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145806035","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
E. Blanco, J. D. Conejeros, P. Rubilar, R. Jiménez, P. Guiñez, M. I. Matute, P. Smith
Exposure to extreme temperatures during pregnancy can have adverse effects on birth weight, however, there is little evidence from Latin America. We used birth records in 2011–2020. Mean, minimum, and maximum daily temperatures were obtained from meteorological stations in 26 municipalities representing different climatic zones of Chile. We explored different windows of exposure (entire pregnancy, trimester, and gestational week) and calculated temperature percentiles based on climatic zone for each window. The 50th percentile served as the reference for comparison. General additive models and distributed lag nonlinear models (DLNM) adjusted for month and year of last menstrual cycle, maternal and paternal: age, education, and employment. Exposure to cold mean temperatures (≤10th percentile) in the total pregnancy period and each trimester was associated with a lower mean birth weight (−28.7 g for the total period, −45.9, −36.1, and −83.4 g for trimester 1, 2, and 3, respectively), whereas exposure to warm mean temperatures was associated with higher birth weight (21.3 g for >90th percentile). For extreme temperatures, exposure to both cold (≤10th percentile for minimum) and hot (>90th percentile for maximum) in the total pregnancy period related to lower birth weight: −48.7 g (95% CI −49.7; −47.6) and −17.48 g (95% CI −18.5; −16.4), respectively, with similar effects by trimester. In DLNM, consistent effects were observed later in pregnancy. Lower birthweight was observed with exposure to extreme cold and heat, while warmer mean temperatures were associated with higher birthweight. Findings from Chile underscore regional impacts of climate change on child health.
然而,在怀孕期间暴露在极端温度下会对出生体重产生不利影响,拉丁美洲几乎没有证据表明这一点。我们使用的是2011-2020年的出生记录。平均、最低和最高日气温来自代表智利不同气候带的26个城市的气象站。我们探索了不同的暴露窗口(整个孕期、孕期和妊娠周),并根据每个窗口的气候带计算了温度百分位数。第50百分位作为比较参考。一般加性模型和分布滞后非线性模型(DLNM)对最后一次月经周期的月份和年份、母亲和父亲、年龄、教育程度和就业进行了调整。在整个妊娠期和每个妊娠期暴露在低温平均温度下(≤第10百分位)与较低的平均出生体重相关(总妊娠期为-28.7 g,妊娠1、2和3期分别为-45.9、-36.1和-83.4 g),而暴露在温暖的平均温度下与较高的出生体重相关(第90百分位为21.3 g)。对于极端温度,在整个妊娠期暴露于低温(最低≤第10百分位数)和高温(最高≤第90百分位数)与低出生体重相关:分别为-48.7 g (95% CI -49.7; -47.6)和-17.48 g (95% CI -18.5; -16.4),在妊娠期的影响相似。在DLNM中,在妊娠后期观察到一致的效果。较低的出生体重与极端寒冷和高温的暴露有关,而较高的平均温度与较高的出生体重有关。智利的调查结果强调了气候变化对儿童健康的区域性影响。
{"title":"From the Atacama to Patagonia: Understanding the Effects of Extreme Temperatures on Birth Weight Across Climate Regions in Chile","authors":"E. Blanco, J. D. Conejeros, P. Rubilar, R. Jiménez, P. Guiñez, M. I. Matute, P. Smith","doi":"10.1029/2025GH001444","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2025GH001444","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Exposure to extreme temperatures during pregnancy can have adverse effects on birth weight, however, there is little evidence from Latin America. We used birth records in 2011–2020. Mean, minimum, and maximum daily temperatures were obtained from meteorological stations in 26 municipalities representing different climatic zones of Chile. We explored different windows of exposure (entire pregnancy, trimester, and gestational week) and calculated temperature percentiles based on climatic zone for each window. The 50th percentile served as the reference for comparison. General additive models and distributed lag nonlinear models (DLNM) adjusted for month and year of last menstrual cycle, maternal and paternal: age, education, and employment. Exposure to cold mean temperatures (≤10th percentile) in the total pregnancy period and each trimester was associated with a lower mean birth weight (−28.7 g for the total period, −45.9, −36.1, and −83.4 g for trimester 1, 2, and 3, respectively), whereas exposure to warm mean temperatures was associated with higher birth weight (21.3 g for >90th percentile). For extreme temperatures, exposure to both cold (≤10th percentile for minimum) and hot (>90th percentile for maximum) in the total pregnancy period related to lower birth weight: −48.7 g (95% CI −49.7; −47.6) and −17.48 g (95% CI −18.5; −16.4), respectively, with similar effects by trimester. In DLNM, consistent effects were observed later in pregnancy. Lower birthweight was observed with exposure to extreme cold and heat, while warmer mean temperatures were associated with higher birthweight. Findings from Chile underscore regional impacts of climate change on child health.</p>","PeriodicalId":48618,"journal":{"name":"Geohealth","volume":"9 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12703126/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145769528","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Skye-Anne Tschoepe, Ryan E. Emanuel, Gabrielle Moreau, Peter Cada
As the United States (US) has increased its domestic production of natural gas, transmission pipeline infrastructure continues to expand. Previous research highlights the environmental justice implications of this situation in the US, including fugitive methane emissions and the disproportionate concentration of pipelines in counties with high social vulnerability. However, gaps in publicly-available data make it difficult to understand the intersection of social factors, pipeline prevalence, and race, particularly in rural areas and at community-level spatial scales. This study begins to address this gap by examining the relationship between natural gas pipeline prevalence and demographics at the census block group level. This study uses North Carolina as a case study due to the state's dramatic increase in natural gas consumption driving an increase in pipeline infrastructure in recent years. This work highlights two critical findings: First, African American and American Indian people make up a disproportionately large share of the population living in block groups characterized by high social vulnerability and high densities of natural gas pipelines. Second, our main finding is insensitive to the threshold used to determine disproportionality, suggesting these results are robust. These data demonstrate a need for more equitable methods for energy infrastructure planning and maintenance. These results underscore the need for geospatial analysts to critically evaluate their methods for identifying disparities.
{"title":"Fueling Inequity: Geospatial Analyses Reveal Racial Patterns in Vulnerability to Natural Gas Pipeline Impacts in North Carolina","authors":"Skye-Anne Tschoepe, Ryan E. Emanuel, Gabrielle Moreau, Peter Cada","doi":"10.1029/2024GH001281","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GH001281","url":null,"abstract":"<p>As the United States (US) has increased its domestic production of natural gas, transmission pipeline infrastructure continues to expand. Previous research highlights the environmental justice implications of this situation in the US, including fugitive methane emissions and the disproportionate concentration of pipelines in counties with high social vulnerability. However, gaps in publicly-available data make it difficult to understand the intersection of social factors, pipeline prevalence, and race, particularly in rural areas and at community-level spatial scales. This study begins to address this gap by examining the relationship between natural gas pipeline prevalence and demographics at the census block group level. This study uses North Carolina as a case study due to the state's dramatic increase in natural gas consumption driving an increase in pipeline infrastructure in recent years. This work highlights two critical findings: First, African American and American Indian people make up a disproportionately large share of the population living in block groups characterized by high social vulnerability and high densities of natural gas pipelines. Second, our main finding is insensitive to the threshold used to determine disproportionality, suggesting these results are robust. These data demonstrate a need for more equitable methods for energy infrastructure planning and maintenance. These results underscore the need for geospatial analysts to critically evaluate their methods for identifying disparities.</p>","PeriodicalId":48618,"journal":{"name":"Geohealth","volume":"9 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2024GH001281","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145751298","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Emily A. Matthews, Ying-Xian Goh, Shannon L. Hepp, Jingqiu Liao, Ryan S. D. Calder
Soils are reservoirs of pathogenic bacteria that cause human illness, particularly after mobilizing events such as extreme rain. Land-use patterns (e.g., proximity to agriculture) and soil properties (e.g., moisture) are associated with abundance of individual pathogenic bacteria. However, there are major uncertainties in (a) the importance of local/regional land-use decisions relative to overall natural variability of pathogenicity and (b) the correlations among pathogen abundance, climate-linked physical processes increasing pathogen mobility, and the vulnerability of human receptors. This impairs identification of priority areas for outbreak surveillance, which has traditionally focused on food and water distribution networks, and the development of process-based risk screening models. Here, we analyze a novel data set of 622 soil samples covering 42 of the 48 contiguous United States. We describe (a) the relationship between putative pathogenicity and natural and land-use drivers and (b) how hotspots of putative pathogen abundance intersect with climate-linked hazard of mobilization via fire, floods, wind, and fluvial transport, and the social vulnerability of local human populations. Variability in putative pathogenicity can be partially explained by known drivers, with natural variables having greater explanatory power than land-use variables. Relative abundance of putative pathogens is generally higher in forested ecoregions, notably in the eastern and southeastern United States and in proximity to surface waters. Higher relative abundance of putative pathogens, climate risks promoting pathogen mobility, and a relatively vulnerable rural population intersect in the southeastern United States. Integrated sampling and modeling are needed to monitor and forecast health risks from soilborne pathogens.
{"title":"Hotspots of Bacterial Pathogen Abundance and Exposure Risk in Soils of the Contiguous United States","authors":"Emily A. Matthews, Ying-Xian Goh, Shannon L. Hepp, Jingqiu Liao, Ryan S. D. Calder","doi":"10.1029/2025GH001459","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GH001459","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Soils are reservoirs of pathogenic bacteria that cause human illness, particularly after mobilizing events such as extreme rain. Land-use patterns (e.g., proximity to agriculture) and soil properties (e.g., moisture) are associated with abundance of individual pathogenic bacteria. However, there are major uncertainties in (a) the importance of local/regional land-use decisions relative to overall natural variability of pathogenicity and (b) the correlations among pathogen abundance, climate-linked physical processes increasing pathogen mobility, and the vulnerability of human receptors. This impairs identification of priority areas for outbreak surveillance, which has traditionally focused on food and water distribution networks, and the development of process-based risk screening models. Here, we analyze a novel data set of 622 soil samples covering 42 of the 48 contiguous United States. We describe (a) the relationship between putative pathogenicity and natural and land-use drivers and (b) how hotspots of putative pathogen abundance intersect with climate-linked hazard of mobilization via fire, floods, wind, and fluvial transport, and the social vulnerability of local human populations. Variability in putative pathogenicity can be partially explained by known drivers, with natural variables having greater explanatory power than land-use variables. Relative abundance of putative pathogens is generally higher in forested ecoregions, notably in the eastern and southeastern United States and in proximity to surface waters. Higher relative abundance of putative pathogens, climate risks promoting pathogen mobility, and a relatively vulnerable rural population intersect in the southeastern United States. Integrated sampling and modeling are needed to monitor and forecast health risks from soilborne pathogens.</p>","PeriodicalId":48618,"journal":{"name":"Geohealth","volume":"9 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2025GH001459","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145750751","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
This study reviews the use of the distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) in public health research, focusing on environmental-exposure, health–outcome relationships, and providing recommendations for future studies. Embase, PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus databases were searched for literature published from January 2020 to November 2024 using the DLNM to analyze the environmental exposures and health outcomes. After screening, removing duplicates, and reviewing full-text articles, eligible studies were assessed using the DLNM to examine the health effects related to environmental exposure, particularly temperature and other environmental factors. From 2,847 studies, 274 studies from 36 countries were selected for analysis, primarily from China (164), Europe (28), and North America (23). There were 174 exclusive climate data sources, no standardized heat thresholds, and 131 unique sources of air pollutant data. Among the 53 adverse health outcomes identified using the DLNM, morbidity was the most prevalent (