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Concentrations and Health Implications of As, Hg, and Cd and Micronutrients in Rice and Emissions of CH4 From Variably Flooded Paddies 水稻中砷、汞、镉和微量元素的浓度及其对健康的影响以及不同淹水稻田中甲烷的排放
IF 3.8 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-08-13 DOI: 10.1029/2025GH001410
Angelia L. Seyfferth, Matt A. Limmer, Brian P. Jackson, Benjamin R. K. Runkle

The flooded soil conditions under which rice is typically grown are beneficial for boosting yield and decreasing herbicide inputs but may pose a food safety and environmental health risk. Flooded soils lead to reducing conditions and anaerobic metabolisms of soil microorganisms, which mobilizes arsenic from soil into soil solution, where it can be absorbed by rice roots and transported to grain. These conditions also promote the production and emission of methane (CH4)—a potent greenhouse gas. To evaluate how water management affects metal(loid) grain concentrations and CH4 emissions, we conducted a 2-year field study in which rice paddy water was managed under a range of soil redox conditions that spanned from flooded to non-flooded. We observed that growing rice under less flooded conditions decreased CH4 emissions and concentrations of grain total As, grain inorganic As, grain total Hg, and grain inorganic Hg relative to flooded conditions, with more reductions observed as conditions were drier; grain organic As and Hg (MeHg) species also decreased with drier conditions particularly in Year 1. However, the driest conditions tested led to a 50%–97% increase in grain Cd concentrations that exceeded the CODEX limit and grain yield reductions as high as 25% and 40% in Year 1 and 2, respectively. While concentrations of toxic metal(loid)s could be manipulated by water management, micronutrient concentrations were similar or decreased with drier conditions, potentially increasing grain Cd bioaccessibility to humans. Because practices for rice water management are gaining momentum, more research should monitor grain Cd levels along with micronutrients.

水稻通常生长的淹水土壤条件有利于提高产量和减少除草剂投入,但可能造成食品安全和环境健康风险。淹水土壤导致土壤微生物的缺氧代谢,使砷从土壤中转移到土壤溶液中,被水稻根系吸收并输送到粮食中。这些条件也促进了甲烷(CH4)的产生和排放——一种强有力的温室气体。为了评估水管理如何影响金属(类)谷物浓度和CH4排放,我们进行了一项为期2年的实地研究,在从淹水到非淹水的一系列土壤氧化还原条件下对稻田水进行了管理。研究发现,相对于淹水条件,在较少淹水条件下种植水稻降低了CH4排放和籽粒总砷、籽粒无机砷、籽粒总汞和籽粒无机汞的浓度,且随着淹水条件的减少,减少幅度更大;粮食有机砷和汞(MeHg)种类也随着干旱条件的减少而减少,特别是在第1年。然而,测试的最干旱条件导致谷物镉浓度增加50%-97%,超过了国际食品法典委员会的限制,在第一年和第二年,粮食产量分别下降了25%和40%。虽然有毒金属(样物质)的浓度可以通过水分管理来控制,但在干旱条件下,微量营养素浓度相似或降低,可能会增加人类对谷物镉的生物可及性。由于水稻水管理的实践正在获得动力,更多的研究应该监测谷物镉水平以及微量营养素。
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引用次数: 0
Integrating Citizen Science and Remote Sensing Data to Identify Key Environmental Factors Influencing H5N1 Avian Influenza Virus Potential Spillover Risk in the Philippines 整合公民科学和遥感数据以确定影响菲律宾H5N1禽流感病毒潜在溢出风险的关键环境因素
IF 3.8 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-08-07 DOI: 10.1029/2025GH001405
John Oliver Sayseng, Ting-Wu Chuang

Highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) virus presents a serious threat to poultry and public health worldwide, with transmission dynamics shaped by avian migration patterns and environmental conditions. Recent outbreaks in the Philippines highlight the urgent need for effective control measures. While previous studies have shown the importance of waterfowl-to-poultry transmission and farm-to-farm spread, the spillover risk to local avian species remains underexplored. This study aimed to examine H5N1-HPAI outbreaks in poultry in relation to environmental factors and local avian species in the Philippines. We applied a two-step ecological niche modelling approach using maximum entropy algorithms. First, environmental variables from remote sensing images were used to predict the distribution of 10 common avian species based on citizen science data from the eBird platform. Next, these avian distribution data were combined with environmental variables to create a risk map for H5N1-HPAI outbreaks in the Philippines. The H5N1-HPAI risk model demonstrated strong predictive performance, with an AUCROC value of 0.936 ± 0.026. Key factors contributing to predicted H5N1-HPAI risk included precipitation levels, population density, and avian species such as the Eurasian Tree Sparrow and Zebra Dove. The higher risk of spillover for the two local avian species may be due to their shared similar environmental signatures with outbreak poultries. The risk map highlighted Metro Manila and Central Luzon as high-risk regions of H5N1-HPAI. This study identified the main clusters and environmental factors associated with avian influenza outbreaks in poultry in the Philippines. Additionally, the transmission risk may threaten the local avian population.

高致病性禽流感(HPAI)病毒对全世界的家禽和公共卫生构成严重威胁,其传播动态受鸟类迁徙模式和环境条件的影响。菲律宾最近的疫情突出表明迫切需要采取有效的控制措施。虽然以前的研究显示了水禽到家禽传播和农场到农场传播的重要性,但对当地鸟类物种的溢出风险仍未得到充分探讨。本研究旨在调查菲律宾家禽中H5N1-HPAI暴发与环境因素和当地鸟类物种的关系。我们采用最大熵算法的两步生态位建模方法。首先,基于eBird平台的公民科学数据,利用遥感影像中的环境变量对10种常见鸟类的分布进行预测。接下来,将这些禽类分布数据与环境变量相结合,创建了菲律宾H5N1-HPAI暴发的风险图。H5N1-HPAI风险模型具有较强的预测能力,其AUCROC值为0.936±0.026。预测H5N1-HPAI风险的关键因素包括降水水平、人口密度和鸟类物种,如欧亚树雀和斑马鸽。这两种本地鸟类的外溢风险较高,可能是由于它们与暴发家禽具有相似的环境特征。风险地图强调马尼拉大都会和中吕宋岛是H5N1-HPAI的高风险地区。本研究确定了与菲律宾家禽中禽流感暴发有关的主要群集和环境因素。此外,传播风险可能威胁到当地的鸟类种群。
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引用次数: 0
Contributions of Great Salt Lake Playa- and Industrially Sourced Priority Pollutant Metals in Dust Contribute to Possible Health Hazards in the Communities of Northern Utah 大盐湖Playa和工业来源的粉尘中的优先污染物金属对犹他州北部社区可能的健康危害的贡献
IF 3.8 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-08-05 DOI: 10.1029/2025GH001462
Annie L. Putman, Molly Blakowski, Destry DiViesti, Diego Fernandez, Morgan McDonnell, Patrick Longley, Daniel K. Jones

Communities and ecosystems of northern Utah, USA receive particulate pollution from anthropogenic activity and dust emissions from sources including the Great Salt Lake (“the Lake”) playa. In addition to affecting communities, anthropogenic pollution is delivered to the Lake's playa sediments, which are eroded during dust events. Yet, spatial variability in dust flux and composition and their risks to human health are poorly understood. We analyzed dust in 17 passive samplers proximal to the Lake during fall 2022 for dust flux, the dust fraction of particulate matter, 87Sr/86Sr, and elemental geochemistry. We evaluated spatial patterns of 11 priority pollutant metals and estimated the hypothetical non-cancer dust and soil ingestion health hazard for six age cohorts. We observed the highest dust fluxes proximal to the Lake's playa. The highest concentrations of and greatest number of metals occurred in and south of Ogden, UT. Sites to the northeast of Farmington Bay had the highest fluxes. Metal concentrations and 87Sr/86Sr suggest that the dust composition near Bountiful represents contributions from anthropogenic sources, whereas the dust composition to the northeast of Farmington Bay reflects the Lake's playa emissions. Evaluations of potential health hazards from dust ingestion suggest that children between birth and 6 years are vulnerable at higher ingestion rates. Thallium, As, Pb, Co and Cr contributed most to the estimated hazard. Among these, As and sometimes Pb are likely derived from the Lake's playa emissions. Thus, suppression of dust emissions from the Lake's playa may decrease possible health risks for children in northern Utah.

美国犹他州北部的社区和生态系统受到来自包括大盐湖(“湖”)盐湖在内的人为活动和粉尘排放的颗粒污染。除了影响社区外,人为污染还输送到湖泊的playa沉积物中,这些沉积物在尘埃事件期间被侵蚀。然而,人们对粉尘通量和组成的空间变异性及其对人类健康的风险了解甚少。我们分析了2022年秋季湖附近17个被动采样器的尘埃通量,颗粒物尘埃分数,87Sr/86Sr和元素地球化学。我们评估了11种重点污染金属的空间格局,并估计了6个年龄组的假设非癌症尘埃和土壤摄入对健康的危害。我们观察到,靠近湖的playa处的沙尘通量最高。最高浓度和最多数量的金属发生在奥格登,UT的南部。法明顿湾东北部的地点通量最高。金属浓度和87Sr/86Sr表明,Bountiful附近的粉尘成分代表了人为来源的贡献,而Farmington Bay东北部的粉尘成分反映了湖泊的playa排放。对吸入粉尘的潜在健康危害的评估表明,出生至6岁的儿童在较高的吸入率下易受伤害。铊、砷、铅、钴和铬对估计危害最大。其中,砷,有时铅可能来自湖的盐湖排放物。因此,抑制湖区的粉尘排放可能会降低犹他州北部儿童的健康风险。
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引用次数: 0
Short-Term Effects of Meteorological Factors on Severe Fever With Thrombocytopenia Syndrome Incidence in Xinyang, China 气象因素对信阳市发热伴血小板减少综合征发病的短期影响
IF 3.8 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-08-04 DOI: 10.1029/2025GH001440
Quanman Hu, Yan Hu, Yanyan Yang, Jundong Chen, Songshan Zhang, Fei Zhao, Saiwei Lu, Li Zhang, Shuaiyin Chen, Guangcai Duan

Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is a tick-borne zoonotic disease, which are classified by the World Health Organization as a priority disease for research and development in emergency situations due to the high mortality rate. Previous studies indicated that the complex nonlinear and delayed association was observed between meteorological factors and SFTS. However, these did not consider the short-term effect of meteorological factors on the incidence of SFTS. In this study, we used generalized additive models (GAM) and distributed lag nonlinear models (DLNM) to investigate the short-term correlation between meteorological factors and SFTS incidence. From 1 January 2013 to 31 December 2023 a total of 6,601 cases of SFTS were reported in Xinyang. Females constituted the majority with a male-to-female ratio of 0.68 and the average age of cases being approximately at around 61.52 years old. The multivariate GAM analysis revealed that mean temperature exerted the greatest influence on the incidence of SFTS compared to other meteorological factors and interacted with these factors. After accounting for lag period of 0–14 days, the DLNM analysis indicated that specific range of temperature (18–23°C), a certain range atmospheric pressure (1,006–1,017 hPa), extreme high wind speed (>11.6 m/s), and prolonged sunshine duration (>9h) were associated with SFTS, while there was no significant correlation between relative humidity and the incidence of SFTS. This study investigates the non-linear trend and lagged exposure effect of various meteorological factors on short-term SFTS incidence, thereby enhancing our comprehensive understanding of the effect of meteorological factors on SFTS.

发热伴血小板减少综合征(SFTS)是一种蜱传人畜共患疾病,由于死亡率高,被世界卫生组织列为紧急情况下研究和开发的重点疾病。以往的研究表明,气象因子与SFTS之间存在复杂的非线性延迟关联。然而,这些都没有考虑气象因素对SFTS发病率的短期影响。本文采用广义加性模型(GAM)和分布滞后非线性模型(DLNM)研究气象因子与SFTS发病率的短期相关性。从2013年1月1日至2023年12月31日,信阳市共报告了6601例SFTS病例。女性占多数,男女比例为0.68,病例的平均年龄约为61.52岁。多变量GAM分析显示,与其他气象因子相比,平均气温对SFTS发病率的影响最大,并与这些因子相互作用。在考虑0 ~ 14 d的滞后期后,DLNM分析表明,特定范围的温度(18 ~ 23℃)、一定范围的大气压(1006 ~ 1017 hPa)、极端高风速(11.6 m/s)和较长的日照时数(9h)与SFTS的发生有关,而相对湿度与SFTS的发生无显著相关。本研究考察了各种气象因子对SFTS短期发病率的非线性趋势和滞后暴露效应,从而增强了我们对气象因子对SFTS影响的全面认识。
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引用次数: 0
Comprehensive Spatial Investigation of Tuberculosis Dynamics and Affecting Factors in Şanlıurfa, Türkiye (2016–2023) 2016-2023年山东省Şanlıurfa、<e:1>结核病动态及影响因素综合空间调查
IF 3.8 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-07-22 DOI: 10.1029/2024GH001235
M. Çelik, M. F. Döker, C. Kırlangıçoğlu, Ö. Ünsal, S. Gökçeoğlu, M. R. Ceylan, O. Karabay

Tuberculosis (TB) remains a critical public health issue, particularly in regions with significant socio-economic disparities. This study provides a comprehensive spatial analysis of TB dynamics in Şanlıurfa, Türkiye, covering the period from 2016 to 2023. Utilizing Geographic Information Systems, epidemiological data, and advanced statistical techniques, the research examines the spatial distribution and temporal trends of TB cases within this region. By integrating patient data with demographic, environmental, and socio-economic variables, the study assesses the complex factors influencing TB incidence and prevalence. The results indicate significant spatial clustering of TB cases, with the highest concentrations in areas characterized by high population density, lower socio-economic status, limited healthcare accessibility, and poor environmental conditions. Temporal trends reveal a gradual decline in TB incidence over the study period; however, certain hotspots persist, underscoring the need for sustained and targeted interventions. Furthermore, the study identifies a correlation between TB prevalence and inadequate living conditions, emphasizing the role of socio-economic improvement in disease control. These findings provide crucial insights for policymakers and public health officials, facilitating the development of more effective, evidence-based TB control strategies tailored to the unique socio-economic and geographical landscape of Şanlıurfa.

结核病仍然是一个严重的公共卫生问题,特别是在社会经济差距很大的地区。本研究对2016年至2023年期间Şanlıurfa, t rkiye的结核病动态进行了全面的空间分析。利用地理信息系统、流行病学数据和先进的统计技术,研究了该地区结核病病例的空间分布和时间趋势。通过将患者数据与人口统计、环境和社会经济变量相结合,该研究评估了影响结核病发病率和患病率的复杂因素。结果表明,结核病病例具有明显的空间聚集性,在人口密度高、社会经济地位低、医疗可及性有限和环境条件差的地区,结核病病例的集中度最高。时间趋势表明,在研究期间,结核病发病率逐渐下降;然而,某些热点仍然存在,强调需要采取持续和有针对性的干预措施。此外,该研究确定了结核病患病率与生活条件不足之间的相关性,强调了社会经济改善在疾病控制中的作用。这些发现为决策者和公共卫生官员提供了重要的见解,促进了针对Şanlıurfa独特的社会经济和地理环境制定更有效的循证结核病控制战略。
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引用次数: 0
Urban Form and Environmental Characteristics as Drivers of Air Pollution Exposure Variability and Inequality in Fujian Province, China 福建省城市形态和环境特征:空气污染暴露变异性和不平等的驱动因素
IF 3.8 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-07-17 DOI: 10.1029/2025GH001393
Chaohao Ling, Yiqi Zhang, Qian Shen, Ruohan Dai, Bangru Lou, Yiling Kang, Shaofu He

Air pollution, particularly fine particulate matter, poses significant health and environmental risks, with exposure levels exhibiting considerable spatial inequality. However, few studies have comprehensively examined how urban form and environmental factors influence air pollution exposure and its spatial inequality. This study investigates how urban and environmental factors affect particulate matter pollution (PM1, PM2.5, and PM10) and its spatial inequality across 85 counties in Fujian, China. Twelve indicators across urban form, socio-economic, and environmental domains were analyzed using principal component analysis and partial correlation networks. Our results show that while overall air pollution levels exhibit substantial variability, spatial inequality in exposure does not always correlate directly with these levels. Notably, while urbanized counties display higher pollution exposure, significant disparities in pollution distribution are observed within regions of similar pollution levels. Urban and socio-economic features such as population density and road density are strongly correlated with higher pollution exposure, especially in more urbanized areas. In contrast, environmental factors, such as vegetation coverage and precipitation, significantly mitigate pollution levels. Principal component analysis reveals that development density and environmental changes primarily drive overall pollution levels, while economic activity and segregation contribute to the spatial inequality of exposure. Network analysis further corroborates that high-density urban development exacerbates pollution exposure, while socio-economic segregation contributes to uneven distribution across the population. Our findings underscore the need for integrated urban planning strategies that address these urban and environmental factors to reduce air pollution inequality and promote more equitable urban environments.

空气污染,特别是细颗粒物,构成重大的健康和环境风险,其暴露程度表现出相当大的空间不平等。然而,很少有研究全面考察城市形态和环境因素对空气污染暴露及其空间不平等的影响。本文研究了城市和环境因素对福建省85个县颗粒物污染(PM1、PM2.5和PM10)及其空间不平等的影响。利用主成分分析和偏相关网络对城市形态、社会经济和环境领域的12个指标进行了分析。我们的研究结果表明,虽然整体空气污染水平表现出很大的可变性,但暴露的空间不平等并不总是与这些水平直接相关。值得注意的是,虽然城市化县的污染暴露程度较高,但在污染水平相似的区域内,污染分布存在显著差异。城市和社会经济特征,如人口密度和道路密度,与较高的污染暴露密切相关,特别是在城市化程度较高的地区。相比之下,环境因素,如植被覆盖和降水,显著减轻了污染水平。主成分分析表明,发展密度和环境变化是影响总体污染水平的主要因素,而经济活动和隔离则是污染暴露的空间不平等因素。网络分析进一步证实,高密度的城市发展加剧了污染暴露,而社会经济隔离导致人口分布不均。我们的研究结果强调,需要制定综合城市规划战略,解决这些城市和环境因素,以减少空气污染不平等,促进更公平的城市环境。
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引用次数: 0
Incorporating Community Knowledge Into Analysis of Air Quality Monitoring Network Data 将社区知识纳入空气质素监测网络数据分析
IF 3.8 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-07-17 DOI: 10.1029/2025GH001378
R. Gardner-Frolick, S. Jain, N. Martinussen, S. Chambliss, D. Jackson, N. Zimmerman, A. Giang

We conducted a pilot study to explore methods of incorporating qualitative community knowledge into quantitative assessment of temporal and spatial air quality patterns in a neighborhood in Vancouver, British Columbia. We deployed a low-cost sensor network measuring NO, NO2, and PM2.5. We used a variety of sources of community knowledge to complement a timeseries analysis and spatial model: a survey by the residents' association; odor reports from a citizen science project; and data from a community mapping event. Community knowledge highlighted, among other sources, areas where cars and heavy-duty vehicles idle, locations of construction, and locations of wood stoves. When creating a “traditional” land use regression (LUR) using easily accessible, and publicly available data sources, and a “community” LUR that uses community-reported air pollution sources, model fit was improved in the community LURs for NO2 and NOx. This suggests that community knowledge can provide insight into sources that are not well captured in commonly used, publicly available data sets due to their transient and informal nature. Not all community-reported short-term events corresponded to peaks in monitor data, which could reflect that reports were more correlated with unmeasured pollutants. We suggest that future studies collecting community knowledge on short-term pollution events through community mapping lower barriers to participation (i.e., through hosting a series of drop-in events, providing childcare, or timing any event to coincide with neighborhood-wide events). With these examples, we showcased ways to include community knowledge in quantitative air pollution studies and highlight opportunities to expand on these methods.

我们在不列颠哥伦比亚省温哥华的一个社区进行了一项试点研究,探索将定性社区知识纳入时空空气质量模式定量评估的方法。我们部署了一个低成本的传感器网络来测量NO、NO2和PM2.5。我们使用了多种社区知识来源来补充时间序列分析和空间模型:居民协会的调查;来自公民科学项目的气味报告;还有来自社区测绘活动的数据。除其他来源外,社区知识突出了汽车和重型车辆闲置的地区、建筑地点和柴炉地点。在使用易于获取和公开可用的数据源创建“传统”土地利用回归(LUR)和使用社区报告的空气污染源创建“社区”土地利用回归(LUR)时,NO2和NOx社区LUR的模型拟合得到了改善。这表明,社区知识可以提供对由于其短暂和非正式性质而无法在常用的、公开可用的数据集中很好地捕获的资源的见解。并非所有社区报告的短期事件都与监测数据的峰值相对应,这可能反映出报告与未测量的污染物更相关。我们建议未来的研究通过社区绘制较低的参与障碍来收集社区关于短期污染事件的知识(即,通过举办一系列偶然事件,提供儿童保育,或安排任何事件与社区范围内的事件相一致)。通过这些例子,我们展示了将社区知识纳入定量空气污染研究的方法,并强调了扩展这些方法的机会。
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引用次数: 0
Integrating Wind Speed Into Climate-Based West Nile Virus Models: A Comparative Analysis in Two Distinct Regions 将风速整合到基于气候的西尼罗病毒模型中:两个不同地区的比较分析
IF 3.8 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-07-05 DOI: 10.1029/2024GH001320
Eric R. Bump, Anita Bharadwaja, Sean Simonson, Emma Ortega, Michael C. Wimberly

Since its introduction to North America in 1999, West Nile virus (WNV) has become the most widespread mosquito-borne disease in the United States. Climatic conditions significantly influence transmission dynamics. While temperature, precipitation, and humidity are known to affect mosquito populations and virus replication, wind speed is often neglected in transmission models despite its potential to alter mosquito behavior and facilitate mosquito dispersal. This study incorporates wind speed into climate-based WNV models to compare its effects in Louisiana and South Dakota, two U.S. states with contrasting climates, land cover, and vector and host species. From 2004 to 2022, we analyzed weekly WNV human case data in relation to daily meteorological data. The relationships were modeled using logistic regression with distributed lag effects. Incorporating wind speed consistently enhanced the fit of climate-based models across both states, as evidenced by the Akaike Information Criterion. Higher-than-normal wind speeds were associated with decreased WNV cases over specific lag periods, suggesting that increased wind speed may inhibit mosquito activity and reduce virus transmission. Differences in how temperature and moisture-related variables influenced the two regions highlight the importance of considering regional climatic contexts. These findings demonstrate that incorporating wind speed can enhance meteorological models of mosquito-borne diseases and reinforce the importance of considering a broader range of climatic factors beyond temperature and precipitation. Understanding these regional variations is essential for predicting local climatic influences on disease transmission, which can support the implementation of more targeted and effective public health strategies.

自1999年传入北美以来,西尼罗河病毒(WNV)已成为美国传播最广的蚊媒疾病。气候条件显著影响传播动力学。虽然已知温度、降水和湿度会影响蚊子种群和病毒复制,但在传播模型中,风速往往被忽视,尽管它有可能改变蚊子的行为并促进蚊子的传播。本研究将风速纳入以气候为基础的西尼罗河病毒模型,以比较其在路易斯安那州和南达科他州的影响,这两个州的气候、土地覆盖、媒介和宿主物种都存在差异。从2004年到2022年,我们分析了每周西尼罗河病毒人间病例数据与每日气象数据的关系。使用具有分布滞后效应的逻辑回归对这些关系进行建模。正如赤池信息标准所证明的那样,将风速纳入两个州的气候模型的拟合度不断提高。在特定的滞后期内,高于正常的风速与西尼罗河病毒病例的减少有关,这表明风速的增加可能抑制蚊子的活动并减少病毒的传播。温度和湿度相关变量如何影响这两个地区的差异突出了考虑区域气候背景的重要性。这些发现表明,纳入风速可以增强蚊媒疾病的气象模型,并强调考虑温度和降水以外更广泛的气候因素的重要性。了解这些区域差异对于预测当地气候对疾病传播的影响至关重要,这可以支持实施更有针对性和更有效的公共卫生战略。
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引用次数: 0
Fungal Spore Seasons Advanced Across the US Over Two Decades of Climate Change 在20年的气候变化中,美国各地的真菌孢子季节提前了
IF 3.8 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-06-30 DOI: 10.1029/2024GH001323
Ruoyu Wu, Yiluan Song, Jennifer R. Head, Daniel S. W. Katz, Kabir G. Peay, Kerby Shedden, Kai Zhu

Phenological shifts due to climate change have been extensively studied in plants and animals. Yet, the responses of fungal spores—organisms important to ecosystems and major airborne allergens—remain understudied. This knowledge gap limits our understanding of their ecological and public health implications. To address this, we analyzed a long-term (2003–2022), large-scale (the continental US) data set of airborne fungal spores collected by the US National Allergy Bureau. We first pre-processed the spore data by gap-filling and smoothing. Afterward, we extracted 10 metrics describing the phenology (e.g., start and end of season) and intensity (e.g., peak concentration and integral) of fungal spore seasons. These metrics were derived using two complementary but not mutually exclusive approaches—ecological and public health approaches, defined as percentiles of total spore concentration and allergenic thresholds of spore concentration, respectively. Using linear mixed-effects models, we quantified annual shifts in these metrics across the continental US. We revealed a significant advancement in the onset of the spore seasons defined in both ecological (11 days, 95% confidence interval: 0.4–23 days) and public health (22 days, 6–38 days) approaches over two decades. Meanwhile, total spore concentrations in an annual cycle and in a spore allergy season tended to decrease over time. The earlier start of the spore season was significantly correlated with climatic variables, such as warmer temperatures and altered precipitations. Overall, our findings suggest possible climate-driven advanced fungal spore seasons, highlighting the importance of climate change mitigation and adaptation in public health decision-making.

气候变化引起的物候变化已经在动植物中得到了广泛的研究。然而,真菌孢子(对生态系统和主要空气过敏原很重要的有机体)的反应仍未得到充分研究。这种知识差距限制了我们对其生态和公共卫生影响的理解。为了解决这个问题,我们分析了美国国家过敏局收集的长期(2003-2022)、大规模(美国大陆)空气传播真菌孢子数据集。我们首先对孢子数据进行了空白填充和平滑预处理。随后,我们提取了10个描述真菌孢子季节物候(如季节开始和结束)和强度(如峰值浓度和积分)的指标。这些指标是通过两种互补但不相互排斥的方法得出的——生态和公共卫生方法,分别定义为总孢子浓度的百分位数和孢子浓度的致敏阈值。使用线性混合效应模型,我们量化了这些指标在美国大陆的年变化。我们发现,在过去的20年里,生态(11天,95%置信区间:0.4-23天)和公共卫生(22天,6-38天)方法定义的孢子季节的开始有了显著的进展。同时,在年度周期和孢子过敏季节,总孢子浓度随着时间的推移而下降。孢子季节的提前开始与气候变量(如温度升高和降水变化)显著相关。总的来说,我们的研究结果表明可能是气候驱动的提前真菌孢子季节,突出了气候变化减缓和适应在公共卫生决策中的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Overheated and Understudied: A Scoping Review of Heat-Related Health Impacts in the Arabian Peninsula 过热和未充分研究:阿拉伯半岛热相关健康影响的范围审查
IF 3.8 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-06-30 DOI: 10.1029/2024GH001277
Anais Teyton, Jennifer Bailey, Eqi Luo, Rahaf Ajaj, Colin Raymond, Cascade Tuholske, Tarik Benmarhnia

Extreme heat is worsening due to climate change, and, in combination with increasing urban growth, is an escalating public health concern. In the Arabian Peninsula, the wet-bulb temperature is projected to surpass theoretical human tolerance limits during the 21st century. Yet, heat research in the region has generally not focused on health impacts, and it is unclear how epidemiologic literature has investigated this. We performed a scoping review to examine the existing literature that assessed the relationship between extreme heat and health outcomes in the Arabian Peninsula, collecting papers published from 2010 to 2024 from three databases. We identified and extracted detailed information from a limited number of studies (n = 12). The greatest number of studies were conducted in Kuwait (n = 8), with others in Saudi Arabia (n = 4), and Qatar, Oman, Yemen, and the United Arab Emirates (n = 1 each). Average temperature was the most used exposure (n = 9) assessed at the daily level (n = 10), using one or several meteorological stations (n = 9) from a single city (n = 8). The outcome was predominantly daily-level (n = 10) mortality (n = 9) assessed at an ecological scale (n = 10) as opposed to the individual scale. While most studies included confounders (n = 10), their selection was not always consistent with best practices. Most papers did not assess effect modification (n = 8), and none investigated modification by land-cover and land-use change on the heat-health relationship. We provide future research recommendations based on our findings. Additional studies are critical to better understand the heat-health relationship in the Arabian Peninsula, which can aid intervention implementation.

由于气候变化,极端高温正在恶化,再加上城市的不断增长,这是一个日益严重的公共卫生问题。在阿拉伯半岛,预计湿球温度在21世纪将超过人类理论承受极限。然而,该地区的热研究通常不关注健康影响,也不清楚流行病学文献如何对此进行调查。我们对评估阿拉伯半岛极端高温与健康结果之间关系的现有文献进行了范围审查,从三个数据库中收集了2010年至2024年发表的论文。我们从有限数量的研究(n = 12)中识别并提取了详细信息。在科威特进行的研究最多(n = 8),沙特阿拉伯(n = 4),卡塔尔、阿曼、也门和阿拉伯联合酋长国(各1)也进行了研究。使用单个城市(n = 8)的一个或多个气象站(n = 9),在日水平(n = 10)评估中,平均温度是最常用的暴露点(n = 9)。结果主要是在生态尺度(n = 10)评估的日水平(n = 10)死亡率(n = 9),而不是个体尺度。虽然大多数研究包括混杂因素(n = 10),但它们的选择并不总是与最佳实践一致。大多数论文没有评估效应变化(n = 8),没有研究土地覆盖和土地利用变化对热健康关系的影响。我们根据我们的发现提出未来的研究建议。进一步的研究对于更好地了解阿拉伯半岛的热健康关系至关重要,这有助于干预措施的实施。
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Geohealth
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