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The Cape Town drought: A study of the combined effectiveness of measures implemented to prevent “Day Zero” 开普敦旱灾:预防“归零日”的综合措施有效性研究
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wre.2021.100177
Johanna Brühl , Martine Visser

In the 2016–2018 drought, Cape Town almost ran out of municipal water. Tariff increases, restrictions and campaigns brought big reductions in water use during the dry spring and summer months: 14.3% in September 2017, when non-compliant households were threatened with a water usage restriction meter; 17.2% in October, when a disaster plan threatened residents with collecting water daily at 200 points across the City; and 20.1–24.3%, when “Day Zero” appeared unavoidable, water pressure was reduced, usage was restricted to 50 L per person per day and exponential tariff hikes were introduced. Transparent information about the severity of the crisis and shifting the responsibility for crisis avoidance to residents amplified water savings at the height of the drought.

在2016-2018年的干旱中,开普敦几乎耗尽了市政用水。在干旱的春季和夏季,关税的增加、限制和宣传活动导致用水量大幅减少:2017年9月,不合规的家庭受到用水限制仪表的威胁,用水量减少了14.3%;去年10月,当一项灾难计划威胁居民每天在全市200个地点取水时,失业率为17.2%;20.1-24.3%,当“零日”不可避免地出现时,降低水压,限制每人每天50升的使用量,并引入指数级上涨的关税。关于危机严重程度的透明信息和将避免危机的责任转移给居民,在干旱最严重的时候增加了节水。
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引用次数: 13
The interconnection between water quality level and health status: An analysis of Escherichia Coli contamination and drinking water from Nepal 水质水平与健康状况之间的相互关系:尼泊尔饮用水中大肠杆菌污染的分析
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wre.2021.100179
Mohammad Mashiur Rahman , Samrat B. Kunwar , Alok K. Bohara

Health outcomes can be remarkably dependent on the quality of drinking water. This study employs primary survey data collected in May 10 – July 27, 2016 to investigate the effects of water quality, measured by the presence of the Escherichia Coli (E. Coli) bacteria, on the health outcomes of households in Nepal. The health outcomes are based on the self-reported health status as well as the actual health condition of the members of the household. The novel contribution of this paper is that we investigate the health impacts of water quality by considering water quality itself as an intermediary process that could be affected by factors like household's cleanliness behaviors and hygienic infrastructures. Using a control function approach to account for potential endogeneity issues, the results indicate a significant effect of E. coli on the health status of individuals. Findings indicate the difference in expected diarrheal incidence to be about 0.913 units higher when E. coli is present in households' drinking water. The impact of E. coli is evident in both the self-reported health status and the actual health outcome, and the results hold across various empirical models and specifications. From a policy perspective, our results indicate the pressing need for policymakers to implement water quality tracking programs, and also to raise awareness among households regarding adequate cleanliness practices and hygiene infrastructures.

健康结果在很大程度上取决于饮用水的质量。本研究利用2016年5月10日至7月27日收集的初步调查数据,调查了通过大肠杆菌(E. Coli)细菌的存在来测量的水质对尼泊尔家庭健康结果的影响。健康结果基于家庭成员自我报告的健康状况以及实际健康状况。本文的新颖之处在于,我们将水质本身作为一个中介过程来研究水质对健康的影响,而水质本身可能受到家庭清洁行为和卫生基础设施等因素的影响。使用控制函数方法来解释潜在的内生性问题,结果表明大肠杆菌对个体的健康状况有显著影响。研究结果表明,当家庭饮用水中存在大肠杆菌时,预期腹泻发病率的差异约为0.913个单位。大肠杆菌的影响在自我报告的健康状况和实际健康结果中都很明显,并且结果适用于各种经验模型和规范。从政策角度来看,我们的研究结果表明,决策者迫切需要实施水质跟踪计划,并提高家庭对适当清洁做法和卫生基础设施的认识。
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引用次数: 3
Non-market values of water sensitive urban designs: A case study on rain gardens 水敏感型城市设计的非市场价值:以雨水花园为例
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wre.2021.100178
Md Sayed Iftekhar , Fan Zhang , Maksym Polyakov , James Fogarty , Michael Burton

Rain gardens are an established element of water sensitive urban infrastructure. However, information on people's preferences for such systems is lacking. To understand whether people express willingness to pay for such systems and whether estimates are transferable between locations, we conducted choice experiments in Sydney and Melbourne. We found that people are willing to pay for rain gardens. The marginal willingness to pay for different features is similar in both locations, but the transfer of compensating surplus values between locations still generates transfer errors. The implications of transfer errors are investigated using a benefit-cost analysis of a rain garden installation.

雨水花园是水敏感型城市基础设施的一个既定元素。然而,关于人们对这种系统的偏好的信息是缺乏的。为了了解人们是否愿意为这样的系统付费,以及评估是否在不同地点之间可转移,我们在悉尼和墨尔本进行了选择实验。我们发现人们愿意为雨水花园买单。两个地点对不同特征的边际支付意愿相似,但补偿剩余价值在地点之间的转移仍然会产生转移误差。通过对雨园装置的效益-成本分析,对转移误差的影响进行了研究。
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引用次数: 9
Crop farming adaptation to droughts in small-scale dryland agriculture in Chile 智利小规模旱地农业的作物种植适应干旱
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wre.2021.100176
Felipe Zúñiga , Marcela Jaime , César Salazar

Small-scale agriculture is one of the fundamental economic sectors in Chile. An increased frequency and intensity of extreme weather events due to climate change suggest a higher weather risk for the future, with potential consequences for crop choices. These effects are expected to be greater in dryland areas, where producers are more vulnerable to shocks and, therefore, less able to protect themselves against these risks. Using data from the 7th Chilean National Agriculture and Forestry Census, we explore small-scale farmers' cropland decisions as an adaptation strategy to cope with droughts. We use remote sensing data to identify drought events and model the impact of droughts on farmers’ decisions using a multivariate fractional model. This model assumes that farmers allocate shares of land over a crop portfolio. Our findings show that farmers in dryland areas reduce high-risk cropping activities after recent drought shocks, choosing crops with shorter growing periods and lower capital and technological costs, such as cereals. However, we found a different cropland pattern in areas with a higher frequency of droughts. In these locations, farmers prefer legumes and tubers, vineyards, fruits and vegetables. Finally, maize and vineyards are more likely to be grown in places with higher temperatures. Results suggest potential crop adaptation strategies in the face of more arid environments in the future.

小规模农业是智利的基本经济部门之一。由于气候变化,极端天气事件的频率和强度增加,这表明未来的天气风险更高,对作物选择有潜在影响。这些影响预计在干旱地区会更大,那里的生产者更容易受到冲击,因此保护自己免受这些风险的能力更弱。利用第七次智利国家农业和林业普查的数据,我们探讨了小农的耕地决策作为应对干旱的适应策略。我们使用遥感数据识别干旱事件,并使用多元分数模型模拟干旱对农民决策的影响。该模型假设农民在作物组合上分配土地份额。我们的研究结果表明,在最近的干旱冲击之后,干旱地区的农民减少了高风险的种植活动,选择了生长期较短、资本和技术成本较低的作物,如谷物。然而,我们在干旱频率较高的地区发现了不同的耕地模式。在这些地区,农民更喜欢豆类和块茎、葡萄园、水果和蔬菜。最后,玉米和葡萄园更有可能生长在温度较高的地方。研究结果提示了未来面对更干旱环境时可能的作物适应策略。
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引用次数: 9
Household preferences for improved water services in the Galápagos Islands Galápagos群岛家庭对改善供水服务的偏好
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wre.2021.100180
William F. Vásquez , Nejem Raheem , Diego Quiroga , Valeria Ochoa-Herrera

Like many islands worldwide, Santa Cruz, the most populated of Ecuador's Galápagos Islands, has limited resources to provide safe drinking water to an increasing number of inhabitants and tourists. Currently, households receive brackish water at their tap, which is rationed to a few hours per day. Insufficient recovery of water supply costs is an impediment to improving water services. Against this backdrop, we implemented a contingent valuation survey to investigate whether households are willing to pay for improved water services. Using split-sample scenarios that allow for scope and part-whole tests, we elicited household preferences for three improvements: 1) uninterrupted water supply, 2) drinkable tap water, and 3) combining both. Our estimation results indicate that households are willing to pay for safe drinking water. Conversely, our willingness-to-pay estimates suggest that households are indifferent about improvements of service reliability unless water quality is improved as well. The median willingness to pay for concurrent improvements of system reliability and water quality is estimated at approximately $36/month, about 2.1% of average monthly household income. This study has policy implications as it demonstrates that households deem system reliability and water quality as complementary improvements.

像世界上许多岛屿一样,厄瓜多尔Galápagos群岛中人口最多的圣克鲁斯岛资源有限,无法为越来越多的居民和游客提供安全的饮用水。目前,每家每户都能从水龙头里获得咸淡水,每天只配给几个小时。供水成本回收不足是改善供水服务的一个障碍。在此背景下,我们实施了一项条件评估调查,以调查家庭是否愿意为改善的供水服务付费。使用允许范围和部分-整体测试的分离样本场景,我们引出了家庭对三个改进的偏好:1)不间断的供水,2)可饮用的自来水,以及3)将两者结合起来。我们的估计结果表明,家庭愿意为安全饮用水付费。相反,我们的支付意愿估计表明,除非水质也得到改善,否则家庭对服务可靠性的改善漠不关心。同时改善系统可靠性和水质的意愿中位数估计约为每月36美元,约占家庭平均月收入的2.1%。这项研究具有政策意义,因为它表明家庭认为系统可靠性和水质是互补的改进。
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引用次数: 4
The impact of irrigated agriculture on child nutrition outcomes in southern Ghana 灌溉农业对加纳南部儿童营养状况的影响
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wre.2020.100174
Charles Y. Okyere , Muhammed A. Usman

In this study, we investigated whether irrigated agriculture results in improved child nutrition outcomes among farm households in southern Ghana. Using panel data collected between 2014 and 2015, this study seeks to add to the growing body of literature on the determinants of irrigated agriculture adoption, its effects on child nutrition, and the potential pathways through which irrigation can affect child nutrition outcomes. The results from the inverse probability weighted regression adjustment (IPWRA) estimator suggest that children living in irrigating households have, on average, 0.23 standard deviations of weight-for-age and 0.27 standard deviations of weight-for-height higher than their counterparts; with males and under-five children gaining substantial improvements. Disaggregating irrigation by types, the results indicate that households planting on riverbeds or riverbanks had improved child nutrition. In contrast, children living with households lifting water from water sources had higher height-for-age and weight-for-age. Further analysis of the underlying pathways suggests that an increase in health care financing and improvement in environmental quality rather than decreases in illness incidence may be the crucial channels. Altogether, the findings show the importance of investments in agricultural development, particularly in small-scale irrigated agriculture technologies, to reduce childhood undernutrition.

在这项研究中,我们调查了灌溉农业是否会改善加纳南部农户的儿童营养状况。利用2014年至2015年间收集的面板数据,本研究试图为越来越多的文献补充关于灌溉农业采用的决定因素、灌溉对儿童营养的影响以及灌溉影响儿童营养结果的潜在途径。逆概率加权回归调整(IPWRA)估计结果表明,灌溉家庭儿童的年龄比体重平均高出0.23个标准差,身高比体重平均高出0.27个标准差;男性和五岁以下儿童获得了实质性的改善。按灌溉类型分类,结果表明,在河床或河岸种植的家庭改善了儿童营养。相比之下,与从水源取水的家庭一起生活的儿童,其身高和体重比年龄高。对潜在途径的进一步分析表明,增加卫生保健资金和改善环境质量而不是降低发病率可能是关键渠道。总之,研究结果表明,投资于农业发展,特别是投资于小规模灌溉农业技术,对于减少儿童营养不良的重要性。
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引用次数: 5
Competition between different groundwater uses under water scarcity 水资源短缺情况下不同地下水用途之间的竞争
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wre.2020.100173
Julia de Frutos Cachorro, Jesús Marín-Solano, Jorge Navas

We study groundwater management under a regime shock affecting water availability, using a dynamic common-property resource game. The different players correspond to different groundwater uses (irrigation or urban water supply), enabling us to consider competition between economic sectors for the stock with limited availability. The players have different water demand functions and, under certain circumstances depending on the shock, different discount rates. The effects of asymmetries in both demand and discount rates are analyzed, comparing cooperative and non-cooperative solutions. A numerical analysis for the particular case of the Western La Mancha aquifer in Spain is conducted to analyze the degree of inefficiency of non-cooperative solutions with respect to cooperative solutions in terms of welfare. We show that a higher asymmetry in discount rates reduces the inefficiency of non-cooperative solutions. The opposite result is obtained when considering the asymmetry in demand.

本文利用一个动态共有资源博弈模型,研究了影响水资源可用性的制度冲击下的地下水管理问题。不同的参与者对应不同的地下水用途(灌溉或城市供水),使我们能够考虑经济部门之间对有限可用储量的竞争。玩家有不同的水需求函数,在某些情况下,根据冲击,有不同的贴现率。分析了需求和贴现率不对称的影响,比较了合作和非合作解决方案。对西班牙西拉曼查含水层的特殊情况进行了数值分析,以分析非合作解决方案相对于合作解决方案在福利方面的低效率程度。我们证明了较高的贴现率不对称性降低了非合作解决方案的低效率。当考虑需求的不对称性时,得到了相反的结果。
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引用次数: 4
Impact of participatory irrigation management on mulched drip irrigation technology adoption in rural Xinjiang, China 参与式灌溉管理对新疆农村地膜滴灌技术采用的影响
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wre.2020.100170
Fangping Rao , Abudureheman Abudikeranmu , Xiaoping Shi , Nico Heerink , Xianlei Ma

Reforms in irrigation management can make important contributions to reducing irrigation water scarcity. This paper attempts to examine the role of participatory irrigation management (PIM) in farmers’ mulched drip irrigation technology adoption decisions. It is based on a comparative analysis between government-promoted mulched drip irrigation technology (GMDIT) and localized self-governed mulched drip irrigation technology (LMDIT) in rural Xinjiang, China. Data from a survey conducted in 2017 across 739 households covering 1763 plots in Awati County in Xinjiang were used to estimate a nested logit model. The results indicate that PIM induces farmers to switch from traditional flood irrigation technology to GMDIT but does not promote the adoption of LMDIT. We conclude that promoting PIM can make an important contribution to more sustainable water use in this drought-prone area but that the self-governance of localized irrigation systems requires more attention by local governments.

灌溉管理改革可以为减少灌溉用水短缺作出重要贡献。本文试图探讨参与式灌溉管理(PIM)在农户膜下滴灌技术采用决策中的作用。本研究基于对中国新疆农村政府推广的地膜滴灌技术(GMDIT)与本地化的自主地膜滴灌技术(LMDIT)的比较分析。2017年对新疆阿瓦提县1763块地块739户家庭的调查数据用于估算嵌套logit模型。结果表明,PIM诱导农民从传统的漫灌技术转向GMDIT,但没有促进LMDIT的采用。我们的结论是,在干旱易发地区推广PIM可以为更可持续的水资源利用做出重要贡献,但地方政府需要更多地关注地方灌溉系统的自治。
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引用次数: 11
Exploiting unanticipated change in block rate pricing for water demand elasticities estimation: Evidence from Indonesian suburban area 在水需求弹性估算中利用整体费率定价的意外变化:来自印度尼西亚郊区的证据
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wre.2020.100161
Muhammad Halley Yudhistira, Prani Sastiono, Melly Meliyawati

We exploit sudden changes in the marginal tariff scheme to estimate the price elasticity of water demand using households' and firms' data in Tangerang Regency, a part of the Jakarta Greater Metropolitan Area, where water demand management is imperative due to the city's growing population and industrial activities. A monthly water consumption dataset at the consumer level is used in our study. Using the regression discontinuity in time (RDiT) approach, we find the price elasticity of water demand is −0.32 for household consumers and inelastic to changes in price. In contrast, elasticity for industrial and commercial consumers is −1.16, implying a more elastic response. The results raise concerns that firms substitute for a cheaper water source, endangering the water resources sustainability in the area.

我们利用边际电价方案的突然变化,利用雅加达大都市区坦格朗县的家庭和公司数据来估计水需求的价格弹性。由于城市人口和工业活动的增长,坦格朗县的水需求管理势在必行。在我们的研究中使用了消费者层面的月度用水量数据集。利用时间不连续回归(RDiT)方法,我们发现家庭消费者用水需求的价格弹性为- 0.32,对价格变化无弹性。相比之下,工业和商业消费者的弹性为- 1.16,意味着更有弹性的反应。研究结果引起了人们的担忧,即企业会替代更便宜的水源,危及该地区水资源的可持续性。
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引用次数: 6
The impact of El Nio-Southern Oscillation on U.S. food and agricultural stock returns 厄尔尼诺-南方涛动对美国粮食和农业股票收益的影响
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wre.2020.100157
Bebonchu Atems, Michael Maresca, Baomei Ma, Emily McGraw

The paper examines the response of twelve U.S. agricultural stock returns to El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) shocks using a recursive VAR model. Baseline results indicate that for seven of the stock returns, an ENSO shock has positive and significant effects. The effects, however, are shortlived, generally becoming statistically indistinguishable from zero three to six months after the shock. Variance decomposition analyses show that ENSO shocks have little explanatory power for fluctuations in U.S. agricultural stock returns. We also provide evidence that historically, movements in the stock returns of U.S. food and agricultural companies have been driven by other shocks, rather than ENSO shocks.

本文使用递归VAR模型检验了12个美国农业股票回报对El Niño-Southern振荡(ENSO)冲击的响应。基线结果表明,对于7个股票收益,ENSO冲击具有积极和显著的影响。然而,这种影响是短暂的,通常在休克后3到6个月,从统计上看,这种影响几乎为零。方差分解分析表明,ENSO冲击对美国农业股票收益的波动几乎没有解释力。我们还提供证据表明,从历史上看,美国食品和农业公司股票回报的变动是由其他冲击驱动的,而不是由ENSO冲击驱动的。
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引用次数: 7
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Water Resources and Economics
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