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Exploiting unanticipated change in block rate pricing for water demand elasticities estimation: Evidence from Indonesian suburban area 在水需求弹性估算中利用整体费率定价的意外变化:来自印度尼西亚郊区的证据
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wre.2020.100161
Muhammad Halley Yudhistira, Prani Sastiono, Melly Meliyawati

We exploit sudden changes in the marginal tariff scheme to estimate the price elasticity of water demand using households' and firms' data in Tangerang Regency, a part of the Jakarta Greater Metropolitan Area, where water demand management is imperative due to the city's growing population and industrial activities. A monthly water consumption dataset at the consumer level is used in our study. Using the regression discontinuity in time (RDiT) approach, we find the price elasticity of water demand is −0.32 for household consumers and inelastic to changes in price. In contrast, elasticity for industrial and commercial consumers is −1.16, implying a more elastic response. The results raise concerns that firms substitute for a cheaper water source, endangering the water resources sustainability in the area.

我们利用边际电价方案的突然变化,利用雅加达大都市区坦格朗县的家庭和公司数据来估计水需求的价格弹性。由于城市人口和工业活动的增长,坦格朗县的水需求管理势在必行。在我们的研究中使用了消费者层面的月度用水量数据集。利用时间不连续回归(RDiT)方法,我们发现家庭消费者用水需求的价格弹性为- 0.32,对价格变化无弹性。相比之下,工业和商业消费者的弹性为- 1.16,意味着更有弹性的反应。研究结果引起了人们的担忧,即企业会替代更便宜的水源,危及该地区水资源的可持续性。
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引用次数: 6
The impact of El Nio-Southern Oscillation on U.S. food and agricultural stock returns 厄尔尼诺-南方涛动对美国粮食和农业股票收益的影响
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wre.2020.100157
Bebonchu Atems, Michael Maresca, Baomei Ma, Emily McGraw

The paper examines the response of twelve U.S. agricultural stock returns to El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) shocks using a recursive VAR model. Baseline results indicate that for seven of the stock returns, an ENSO shock has positive and significant effects. The effects, however, are shortlived, generally becoming statistically indistinguishable from zero three to six months after the shock. Variance decomposition analyses show that ENSO shocks have little explanatory power for fluctuations in U.S. agricultural stock returns. We also provide evidence that historically, movements in the stock returns of U.S. food and agricultural companies have been driven by other shocks, rather than ENSO shocks.

本文使用递归VAR模型检验了12个美国农业股票回报对El Niño-Southern振荡(ENSO)冲击的响应。基线结果表明,对于7个股票收益,ENSO冲击具有积极和显著的影响。然而,这种影响是短暂的,通常在休克后3到6个月,从统计上看,这种影响几乎为零。方差分解分析表明,ENSO冲击对美国农业股票收益的波动几乎没有解释力。我们还提供证据表明,从历史上看,美国食品和农业公司股票回报的变动是由其他冲击驱动的,而不是由ENSO冲击驱动的。
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引用次数: 7
Response of residential water demand to dynamic pricing: Evidence from an online experiment 住宅用水需求对动态价格的响应:来自在线实验的证据
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wre.2020.100169
Riccardo Marzano , Charles Rougé , Paola Garrone , Julien J. Harou , Manuel Pulido-Velazquez

Urban water demand management is key to water supply sustainability in high-density, water-stressed areas throughout the world, and emerging technologies could transform it. In particular, smart metering could allow for conserving water by dynamically changing prices to reflect water scarcity and supply cost variability. Yet, little is known on end-users’ reaction to short-term price changes, an essential determinant of the effectiveness and acceptability of dynamic water pricing. This paper reports on the design and results of an online experiment that measures end-users’ water consumption decisions when confronted with time-varying prices, and investigates the interaction between pricing and water scarcity awareness. We design a series of treatments where players must indicate their shower length given different water prices, price variations, and scarcity scenarios. Beyond corroborating the theory that higher prices lower usage, the experiment finds evidence of a dynamic pricing effect: users respond more strongly to a given price if they have been exposed to a lower price before. This suggests short-term residential price increases could be effective at boosting water conservation.

城市用水需求管理是世界各地高密度缺水地区供水可持续性的关键,新兴技术可以改变这一状况。特别是,智能计量可以通过动态改变价格来反映水资源短缺和供应成本的可变性,从而节约用水。然而,人们对最终用户对短期价格变化的反应知之甚少,而短期价格变化是动态水价的有效性和可接受性的基本决定因素。本文报告了一个在线实验的设计和结果,该实验测量了终端用户面对时变价格时的用水决策,并研究了价格与水资源短缺意识之间的相互作用。我们设计了一系列的处理方法,玩家必须根据不同的水价、价格变化和稀缺性情况指出他们的淋浴时间。除了证实高价格降低使用量的理论之外,该实验还发现了动态定价效应的证据:如果用户之前接触过较低的价格,他们对给定价格的反应会更强烈。这表明,短期住宅价格上涨可以有效促进节约用水。
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引用次数: 3
(g)etting to the point: The problem with water risk and uncertainty (g) 开门见山:水风险和不确定性问题
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wre.2019.100154
Adam Loch, David Adamson, Christopher Auricht

Where we may be aware that a problem exists, but have only an incomplete description of the drivers and/or possible management solutions, we will be unaware/uncertain about future returns from, and risks to, private and public investments in capital (i.e. social, natural, economic, cultural and political). This paper explores the unawareness/uncertainty problem by coupling Arrow's states of nature approach for dealing with uncertainty with Rothschild and Stiglitz's exploration of inputs and increasing risk. This results in a modified Just-Pope production function equation isolating inputs to i) protect base capital (natural, social or private) and/or ii) generate an output. By exploring water input supply unawareness via alternative states of nature we may identify tipping points where current technology fails, resulting in irreversible losses of private and public capital tied to water inputs. We conclude by discussing the value of quantifying minimum-input requirements and identifying critical tipping-point outcomes in water systems, increased benefits/risks from transformed landscapes chasing higher economic returns, and the need for adaptive public arrangements in response. These insights may help us to understand future risk to natural capital from rising incentives to steal increasingly constrained resources that may trigger revised risk-sharing arrangements, and some limits to analyses relying on perfect foresight requirements by decision-makers.

如果我们可能意识到问题的存在,但对驱动因素和/或可能的管理解决方案只有不完整的描述,我们将不知道/不确定私人和公共资本投资(即社会、自然、经济、文化和政治)的未来回报和风险。本文通过将阿罗处理不确定性的自然状态方法与罗斯柴尔德和斯蒂格利茨对投入和风险增加的探索相结合,探讨了无意识/不确定性问题。这就产生了一个改进的Just-Pope生产函数方程,它将输入隔离为i)保护基础资本(自然的、社会的或私人的)和/或ii)产生产出。通过探索不同自然状态下的水投入供应无意识,我们可以确定当前技术失效的临界点,从而导致与水投入相关的私人和公共资本的不可逆转的损失。最后,我们讨论了量化最低投入要求和确定水系统关键临界点结果的价值、追求更高经济回报的景观转型带来的收益/风险增加以及适应性公共安排的必要性。这些见解可能有助于我们理解自然资本未来面临的风险,包括窃取日益受限的资源的动机不断上升,可能引发风险分担安排的修订,以及依赖于决策者完美预见要求的分析的一些限制。
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引用次数: 16
Water demand in the Chilean manufacturing industry: Analysis of the economic value of water and demand elasticities 智利制造业的用水需求:水的经济价值和需求弹性分析
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wre.2020.100159
Felipe Vásquez-Lavín , Leonardo Vargas O , José I. Hernández , Roberto D. Ponce Oliva

In this article, we estimate both the economic value of water and own-price and cross-price elasticities of water for the Chilean manufacturing industry using the production function approach. Estimating the production function allows us to estimate the marginal productivity of water which corresponds to its economic value. Our estimations are based on panel data obtained from the National Industrial Survey for the period 1995–2014, accounting for more than 10,000 industrial plants. We use a translog specification for the production function, considering water, capital, labor, energy, and intermediate material as explanatory variables. We find substitution patterns among most inputs, except for energy and water, which are found to be complements. Our results suggest that the manufacturing sector is characterized by an elastic water demand, with an average economic value of water of 8.071 [USD/m3]. Based on our findings, there is room to increase water prices in most sectors without affecting the competitiveness of firms. Knowing the economic value of water and its price elasticity could help policymakers to design water policies that promote more efficient use of this scarce resource.

在本文中,我们使用生产函数方法估计了智利制造业的水的经济价值和水的自有价格弹性和交叉价格弹性。估计生产函数使我们能够估计与水的经济价值相对应的边际生产力。我们的估计基于1995年至2014年期间全国工业调查的面板数据,涉及10,000多家工业工厂。我们对生产函数使用超对数规范,考虑水、资本、劳动力、能源和中间材料作为解释变量。我们发现,除了能源和水是互补的,大多数投入都存在替代模式。研究结果表明,制造业用水需求具有弹性特征,平均用水经济价值为8.071 [USD/m3]。根据我们的研究结果,在不影响企业竞争力的情况下,大多数行业的水价都有提高的空间。了解水的经济价值及其价格弹性可以帮助决策者制定促进更有效利用这一稀缺资源的水政策。
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引用次数: 13
A micro-scale cost-benefit analysis of building-level flood risk adaptation measures in Los Angeles 洛杉矶建筑物级洪水风险适应措施的微观成本效益分析
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wre.2019.100147
Lars T. de Ruig , Toon Haer , Hans de Moel , W.J.Wouter Botzen , Jeroen C.J.H. Aerts

Cost-benefit analysis (CBA) of flood risk adaptation strategies offers policymakers insight into economically optimal strategies for adapting to sea level rise. However, building-level adaptation measures such as floodproofing or building elevation are often evaluated at aggregated spatial scales, which may result in sub-optimal investment decisions. In this paper, we develop a flood risk model and combine it with a micro-scale CBA at the building level to obtain an optimal mix of adaptation measures per area. We apply this approach to Venice Beach in Los Angeles and Naples in Long Beach. We subsequently compare our results with the conventional, spatially aggregated area-based CBA approach. Our findings show that a mix of 35%–45% dry-floodproofing measures and 55%–65% building elevation measures is optimal. Elevation works best in areas with high inundation depths, while dry-floodproofing is preferable in areas with shallow inundation depths. The optimal mix of measures derived from our micro-scale approach results in an economic efficiency up to 85% higher than that yielded by the commonly applied spatially aggregated approach. We therefore recommend that economic evaluations of building-level adaptation measures are conducted at the smallest possible scale, or that CBAs are performed on disaggregated areas based on inundation depth.

洪水风险适应策略的成本效益分析(CBA)为决策者提供了适应海平面上升的最优经济策略。然而,建筑物级别的适应性措施,如防洪或建筑物标高,往往在聚集的空间尺度上进行评估,这可能导致次优投资决策。在本文中,我们建立了一个洪水风险模型,并将其与建筑层面的微观尺度CBA相结合,以获得每个区域的最优适应措施组合。我们将这种方法应用于洛杉矶的威尼斯海滩和长滩的那不勒斯。随后,我们将结果与传统的基于空间聚合区域的CBA方法进行比较。我们的研究结果表明,35%-45%的干防措施和55%-65%的建筑标高措施的组合是最佳的。高程防洪在淹没深度高的地区效果最好,而干式防洪在淹没深度浅的地区效果最好。从我们的微观尺度方法中得出的最佳措施组合的经济效率比通常应用的空间聚合方法高出85%。因此,我们建议在尽可能小的尺度上对建筑物级别的适应措施进行经济评估,或者根据淹没深度对分类区域进行cba。
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引用次数: 34
Cost-effectiveness of mussel farming as a water quality improvement measure: Agricultural, environmental and market drivers 贻贝养殖作为水质改善措施的成本效益:农业、环境和市场驱动因素
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wre.2020.100168
Raphael Filippelli , Mette Termansen , Berit Hasler , Karen Timmermann , Jens Kjerulf Petersen

This study aims to understand the economic and bio-physical conditions under which mussel farming is a cost-effective mitigation measure to improve water quality related to excess nitrogen in fjords and coastal areas. We set-up a mixed-integer optimization model including every farm in three agricultural catchments surrounding Limfjorden, the largest fjord in Denmark. We include a number of relevant nitrogen abatement measures, including agricultural land-use measures and mussel farming in the sea. The aim is to model the least costly combination of mitigation measures to improve water quality when agricultural, environmental and market conditions vary. We run three scenarios varying environmental conditions for mussel productivity and market opportunities for mussel-based products as organic animal feed. We analyze the resulting marginal abatement costs and draw insights about the potential scale of mussel farming for the different catchments. We show that mussel farming is a cost-effective option for 2 of the 3 catchments, but that decreasing mussel productivity over time may make the measure ineffective for one of the catchments, if a market for feed is not available. The possibility of a market for mussel-based organic feed significantly increases the share of nitrogen reduction done by mussels and decreases overall costs by up to 65%. Ultimately, the results indicate that, for catchments where environmental conditions are adequate, mussel farming can be a cost-effective nutrient reduction measure. Therefore, mussel farming can potentially increase the cost-effectiveness of incentive schemes aimed at reducing eutrophication in fjords and coastal waters.

本研究旨在了解在经济和生物物理条件下,贻贝养殖是一种具有成本效益的缓解措施,以改善峡湾和沿海地区与过量氮有关的水质。我们建立了一个混合整数优化模型,包括丹麦最大的峡湾Limfjorden周围三个农业集水区的每个农场。我们纳入了一些相关的氮减排措施,包括农业土地利用措施和海洋贻贝养殖。其目的是在农业、环境和市场条件变化的情况下,建立成本最低的缓解措施组合模型,以改善水质。我们运行了三种不同环境条件的贻贝生产力和贻贝产品作为有机动物饲料的市场机会。我们分析了由此产生的边际减排成本,并对不同流域贻贝养殖的潜在规模提出了见解。我们表明,贻贝养殖对3个集水区中的2个来说是一个具有成本效益的选择,但如果没有饲料市场,随着时间的推移,贻贝生产力的下降可能会使该措施对其中一个集水区无效。以贻贝为基础的有机饲料市场的可能性大大增加了贻贝减少氮的份额,并将总成本降低了65%。最终,结果表明,对于环境条件充足的集水区,贻贝养殖可以是一种具有成本效益的减少营养的措施。因此,贻贝养殖可以潜在地提高旨在减少峡湾和沿海水域富营养化的奖励计划的成本效益。
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引用次数: 8
Recovering water for the environment during droughts through public water banks within a monopsony-monopoly setting 在垄断环境下,通过公共供水银行在干旱期间为环境恢复用水
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wre.2020.100163
José A. Gómez-Limón, Carlos Gutiérrez-Martín, Nazaret M. Montilla-López

Allocation trade is an instrument that has been widely used to recover water for the environment during periods of scarcity (droughts). This paper proposes a water bank operating within a monopsony-monopoly setting with the dual purpose of reallocating water among farmers and acquiring water for the environment during drought periods. The proposed water bank would be managed by a public agency seeking to maximize economic efficiency generated in purchases and sales of water for agriculture and the efficiency generated by the recovery of water allocations for the environment. An additional, innovative feature of the analysis performed is that it considers the inefficiencies in the economy as a whole caused by public spending on water allocation purchases, measured through the marginal cost of public funds. The potential performance of the proposed water bank is simulated by mathematical programming techniques, taking the Guadalquivir River Basin (Southern Spain) as an empirical case study. The results provide evidence that, in terms of economic efficiency, the proposed institutional arrangement outperforms the instruments currently in place to purchase water allocations.

分配贸易是一种在缺水(干旱)期间广泛用于为环境回收水的工具。本文提出了一个在垄断-垄断环境下运作的水银行,其双重目的是在农民之间重新分配水,并在干旱时期为环境获取水。拟议的水库将由一个公共机构管理,力求最大限度地提高农业用水买卖所产生的经济效率和回收环境用水分配所产生的效率。所进行的分析的另一个创新之处在于,它考虑了通过公共资金的边际成本来衡量的用于水分配购买的公共支出在整个经济中造成的低效率。本文以瓜达尔基维尔河流域(西班牙南部)为实证案例,采用数学规划技术模拟了拟建水岸的潜在性能。结果证明,就经济效率而言,拟议的制度安排优于目前用于购买水分配的工具。
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引用次数: 2
Drinking water quality impacts on health care expenditures in the United States 饮用水质量对美国医疗保健支出的影响
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wre.2020.100162
Fahad Alzahrani , Alan R. Collins , Elham Erfanian

This research explores the relationship between episodes of contaminated drinking water and health care expenditures in the United States. The analysis relies on panel data from the 48 contiguous states from 2000 to 2011. We use the population served by public water systems that violate health-based standards of the Safe Drinking Water Act as a proxy for contaminated drinking water. We estimate spatial and non-spatial models and control for factors that may affect per capita health care expenditures including variables that reflect air quality violations along with ability to pay plus demand for and supply of health care services. The results from a Spatial Durbin Model indicate that a 1% decrease in the annual percentage of population exposed to drinking water quality violations is associated with reductions in in-state and regional effects equal to 0.005% and 0.035% of per capita health care expenditures, respectively. While relatively small on a per capita basis, drinking water violations have a larger impact on health care expenditures than air quality violations (whose effects are not statistically different from zero). However, compared to other factors, such as Medicare enrollment and income, the impact of these violations on health care expenditures is small. We find that the cumulative regional health care expenditure impacts from drinking water violations are substantially greater than in-state impacts. Thus, a regional approach is recommended to addressing drinking water quality improvements.

本研究探讨了美国受污染饮用水事件与医疗保健支出之间的关系。该分析依赖于2000年至2011年48个相邻州的面板数据。我们使用违反《安全饮用水法》健康标准的公共供水系统所服务的人口作为受污染饮用水的代表。我们估计了空间和非空间模型,并控制了可能影响人均卫生保健支出的因素,包括反映空气质量违规行为的变量,以及支付能力和卫生保健服务的需求和供应。空间德宾模型的结果表明,每年暴露于饮用水质量违规的人口百分比每减少1%,州内和区域效应的减少分别相当于人均医疗保健支出的0.005%和0.035%。虽然按人均计算相对较小,但违反饮用水规定对保健支出的影响大于违反空气质量规定(其影响在统计上接近于零)。然而,与医疗保险登记和收入等其他因素相比,这些违规行为对医疗支出的影响很小。我们发现,饮用水违规对区域卫生保健支出的累积影响大大大于州内影响。因此,建议采取区域办法来改善饮用水质量。
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引用次数: 6
The impacts of three dimensions of (dis)similarities on water quality benefit transfer errors 三维相似性对水质效益传递误差的影响
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wre.2020.100164
Johannes Friedrich Carolus , Jette Bredahl Jacobsen , Søren Bøye Olsen

Benefit Transfer (BT) is often applied when a primary valuation study is considered too costly or time consuming to conduct. It is commonly assumed that BT performance improves with increasing similarity between study and policy sites. However, no common criteria for defining similarity exist, making it difficult to operationalise the concept of similarity in a practical BT context. We propose a structured framework for distinguishing between different degrees of similarity. In particular, we differentiate between three dimensions: physical, population and attribute similarity. While the first two are often used in the literature, attribute similarity is not. To investigate the impact attribute descriptions have on BT, we define it as whether or not the same ecosystem service categories are emphasised in the valuation studies. Using value estimates for water quality improvements obtained from 17 Choice Experiments conducted in Europe, we empirically test unit value transfer performance along a similarity gradient. The results confirm that increasing physical similarities across commodities and sites generally lead to lower transfer errors. However, when using income adjusted value transfer, we surprisingly find the opposite. Finally, we demonstrate that increasing attribute similarity may offset dissimilarities in terms of the site characteristics.

当初步评估研究被认为过于昂贵或耗时而无法进行时,通常采用利益转移(BT)。人们通常认为,随着研究站点和政策站点之间的相似性增加,BT性能也会提高。然而,没有定义相似性的共同标准存在,使得难以在实际的BT上下文中操作相似性的概念。我们提出了一个结构化的框架来区分不同程度的相似性。特别是,我们区分了三个维度:物理,人口和属性相似性。虽然前两者在文献中经常使用,但属性相似度却不是。为了研究属性描述对BT的影响,我们将其定义为在评估研究中是否强调相同的生态系统服务类别。利用在欧洲进行的17项选择实验中获得的水质改善价值估计,我们沿着相似性梯度对单位价值转移性能进行了实证测试。结果证实,增加商品和地点之间的物理相似性通常会降低传递误差。然而,当使用收入调整后的价值转移时,我们惊讶地发现情况正好相反。最后,我们证明了增加属性相似性可以抵消网站特征方面的差异。
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引用次数: 4
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Water Resources and Economics
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