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Integrated environmental-economic modelling for cross sectoral water policy evaluation 用于跨部门水政策评估的综合环境经济模型
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.wre.2024.100245
Raphael Filippelli , Mette Termansen , Berit Hasler , Andreas Holbach , Karen Timmermann , Maria Konrad , Gregor Levin

The Water Framework Directive (WFD) has set a deadline for 2027 to reach at least good ecological status (GES) in coastal waters in the EU. As nutrient pollution (eutrophication) is one of the main pressures in most EU coastal waters, and Danish waters in particular, significant nutrient reductions are required. In this paper, we take an integrated environmental-economic modelling approach to assess alternative strategies to mitigate non-point source nutrient pollution. A spatially explicit optimization model, TargetEconN, is implemented at the Danish national scale and extended to include mussel production as a marine water quality improvement measure. Different eutrophication mitigation strategies investigated in the model are characterized by whether nitrogen emissions are reduced at the source, between the source and the recipient e.g., by establishing wetlands, or in the recipient itself. We run scenarios exploring the uncertainty in baseline load assumptions and the effects of mussel farming. The results show that the potential for marine measures depends on the baseline load assumptions and that marine measures have a limited impact on the overall costs of achieving GES. The results also show that including marine measures has a significant indirect impact through the influence on the spatial distribution of land-based measures. We conclude that including mussel farming in policy initiatives to meet WFD targets has potential, but that the distributional effects across sectors and spillover effects to other policy targets should be a central part of the ex-ante policy discussions. We argue therefore that spatially explicit integrated modelling, as the model developed for this paper, can offer useful insights to manage the unescapable trade-offs in effective policy design to meet the WFD.

水框架指令》(WFD)将 2027 年定为欧盟沿海水域至少达到良好生态状态(GES)的最后期限。由于营养物污染(富营养化)是大多数欧盟沿海水域(尤其是丹麦水域)的主要压力之一,因此需要大量减少营养物。在本文中,我们采用综合环境经济模型方法来评估减缓非点源营养污染的替代战略。我们在丹麦全国范围内实施了一个空间明确的优化模型 TargetEconN,并将其扩展到包括贻贝生产在内的海洋水质改善措施。模型中研究的不同富营养化缓解策略的特点是,是在源头、源头与受体之间(如通过建立湿地)还是在受体本身减少氮排放。我们对基线负荷假设的不确定性和贻贝养殖的影响进行了情景模拟。结果表明,海洋措施的潜力取决于基线负荷假设,海洋措施对实现 GES 的总体成本影响有限。结果还显示,通过对陆基措施空间分布的影响,纳入海洋措施具有重大的间接影响。我们的结论是,将贻贝养殖纳入实现 WFD 目标的政策措施具有潜力,但各部门的分布效应以及对其他政策目标的溢出效应应成为事前政策讨论的核心部分。因此,我们认为,空间明确的综合建模(如本文所开发的模型)可提供有用的见解,以管理有效政策设计中不可避免的权衡问题,从而实现世界水论坛的目标。
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引用次数: 0
Groundwater quality vs. groundwater quantity. Combining information on irrigator concerns with past water use and cropping behavior. 地下水质与地下水量。将灌溉者关注的问题与过去的用水情况和种植行为相结合。
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.wre.2024.100246
Grant Gardner , Gabriel S. Sampson

The effectiveness of groundwater in fulfilling crop water deficits depends on its quality and quantity. This paper examines the relationship between irrigators’ stated concerns over groundwater quality and groundwater quantity and their past water use and cropping decisions. Information on irrigator concerns over groundwater quality and quantity is obtained from 626 survey responses of agricultural producers in the Kansas portion of the High Plains Aquifer. We combine 20 years of field-level water use and cropping data with each of the 626 survey responses. We find that irrigators indicating elevated concern over either groundwater quality or groundwater quantity correlates with less total water use, fewer total irrigated acres, and fewer acres of irrigated corn. Additionally, concerns over groundwater quantity generally correlate with a greater reduction in water use along multiple water use margins compared to equal concerns over groundwater quality.

地下水能否有效解决作物缺水问题取决于其质量和数量。本文研究了灌溉者对地下水水质和水量的关注与其过去的用水和种植决策之间的关系。有关灌溉者对地下水水质和水量关注的信息来自堪萨斯州高原含水层部分农业生产者的 626 份调查问卷。我们将 20 年的田间用水和种植数据与 626 份调查问卷中的每一份结合起来。我们发现,灌溉者对地下水水质或地下水水量的高度关注与总用水量减少、总灌溉面积减少和玉米灌溉面积减少相关。此外,与对地下水水质的担忧程度相同相比,对地下水水量的担忧通常与多个用水边际用水量的减少程度相关。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring gender differences in residential water demand 探索住宅用水需求中的性别差异
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wre.2024.100243
Roberto Balado-Naves, Sara Suárez-Fernández

Residential water demand has been extensively studied, with the impact of various household characteristics on consumption well-documented. However, the specific effect of gender on household consumption remains insufficiently identified due to the predominant focus on mixed-gender households in previous research. In this paper, we aim to address this gap by examining gender differences in water consumption specifically within single-gender households. To accomplish this, we analyze data from 275 households equipped with individual meters in the city of Gijón, Spain, between 2017 and 2021. Our approach involves two main steps: first, the estimation of a Stone-Geary demand function for water consumption for both women and men single-gender households, and second, employ the Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition to examine gender differences based on the previous estimations. Our findings reveal that women's households consume significantly more water compared to men's households. Additionally, we observe that the demand for water is more inelastic among women, and their level of conditional use threshold is higher than that of men. Importantly, we find that these differences can be primarily attributed to distinct factors such as family composition, housing characteristics, and bill information between genders.

人们对居民用水需求进行了广泛的研究,各种家庭特征对用水量的影响已得到充分证实。然而,由于以往的研究主要集中在混合性别家庭,性别对家庭用水量的具体影响仍未得到充分确定。本文旨在通过研究单一性别家庭用水量的性别差异来弥补这一不足。为此,我们分析了西班牙希洪市 2017 年至 2021 年期间 275 户安装了个人水表的家庭的数据。我们的方法包括两个主要步骤:首先,估算女性和男性单一性别家庭的斯通-吉利(Stone-Geary)用水需求函数;其次,在前述估算的基础上,采用瓦哈卡-布林德分解法研究性别差异。我们的研究结果表明,女性家庭的用水量明显高于男性家庭。此外,我们还发现女性对水的需求更缺乏弹性,其有条件使用门槛水平也高于男性。重要的是,我们发现这些差异主要归因于两性之间不同的因素,如家庭组成、住房特征和账单信息。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing resilience: Understanding the impact of flood hazard and vulnerability on business interruption and losses 增强抗灾能力:了解洪水灾害和脆弱性对业务中断和损失的影响
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wre.2024.100244
Thijs Endendijk , W.J. Wouter Botzen , Hans de Moel , Kymo Slager , Matthijs Kok , Jeroen C.J.H. Aerts

Without taking additional measures, flooding is becoming more likely and intense in a changing climate, which causes large economic damage. Households and firms are directly impacted by physical flood damage, but further ripple effects on society occur through business disruptions. By using post-disaster survey data from the 2021 flood event in the Netherlands, this study adds to the literature on business interruption duration and losses after flooding. The current empirical literature on flood impacts on firms is often unable to distinguish separate effects for flooded and non-flooded firms and does not incorporate flood severity and the influence of risk reduction measures. Here, we use multivariate regression models to determine depth-duration functions that describe the relationship between flood hazard characteristics and business interruption duration. This relationship can be used to calibrate flood damage models that capture indirect firm impacts. The prediction of business interruption after flooding allows for differentiation in business interruption between firms within a flooded area, reducing the reliance of these macroeconomic models on restrictive assumptions. Our results indicate that a day of business interruption duration costs a firm on average 0.5 % of their annual revenue; an effect that is stronger for firms with a weaker connection to their region. Flood damage mitigation (FDM) measures taken at the building level do not significantly affect business interruption duration, although further research on this is required. Finally, quick damage compensation is found to reduce business interruption duration and thus revenue losses, calling for higher insurance uptake and rapid and streamlined post-disaster insurance and government compensation.

如果不采取更多措施,在气候不断变化的情况下,洪水发生的可能性和强度都会增加,从而造成巨大的经济损失。家庭和企业直接受到洪水造成的物质损失的影响,但通过业务中断对社会产生进一步的连锁反应。通过使用荷兰 2021 年洪水事件的灾后调查数据,本研究为有关洪水后业务中断持续时间和损失的文献增添了新的内容。目前有关洪灾对企业影响的实证文献往往无法区分洪灾和非洪灾对企业的不同影响,也没有纳入洪灾严重程度和降低风险措施的影响。在此,我们使用多元回归模型来确定描述洪水灾害特征与业务中断持续时间之间关系的深度-持续时间函数。这种关系可用于校准洪水损害模型,以捕捉企业的间接影响。通过预测洪灾后的业务中断情况,可以区分洪灾区域内不同企业的业务中断情况,从而减少这些宏观经济模型对限制性假设的依赖。我们的研究结果表明,一天的业务中断时间平均会使企业损失 0.5% 的年收入;对于与所在区域联系较弱的企业来说,这种影响更大。在建筑物层面采取的洪灾损失缓解(FDM)措施对业务中断持续时间的影响不大,但仍需进一步研究。最后,研究发现快速的损失赔偿可缩短业务中断时间,从而减少收入损失,这就要求提高保险覆盖率,快速简化灾后保险和政府赔偿。
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引用次数: 0
Transboundary pollution control with ecological compensation in a watershed containing multiple regions: A dynamic analysis 在包含多个区域的流域中,利用生态补偿进行跨界污染控制:动态分析
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wre.2024.100242
Yongxi Yi, Min Yang, Chunyan Fu, Chao Li

A watershed consists of more than two regions intending to apply ecological compensation to solve the transboundary pollution problems. For this purpose, we develop a differential game model to investigate each region's optimal strategy and show the following main conclusions: (1) There is a set of optimal ecological compensation rates that improve the welfare of each region and produce Pareto improvement results. (2) Ecological compensation shifts partial pollution reduction investments from downstream to upstream regions and increases total reduction investments in the basin. (3) Ecological compensation improves the water ecosystem and increases each region's yield and income level.

一个流域由两个以上的区域组成,这些区域打算采用生态补偿来解决跨界污染问题。为此,我们建立了一个微分博弈模型来研究各地区的最优策略,并得出以下主要结论:(1) 有一组最优生态补偿率可以提高各地区的福利,并产生帕累托改进结果。(2) 生态补偿将部分污染减排投资从下游地区转移到上游地区,增加了流域的总减排投资。(3) 生态补偿改善了水生态系统,提高了各地区的产量和收入水平。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of water rights trading on water resource use efficiency: Evidence from China's water rights trading pilots 水权交易对水资源利用效率的影响:来自中国水权交易试点的证据
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.wre.2024.100241
Ruiwen Yan , Nan Zhao , Yongyu Wang , Xiaojie Liu

With the increasing conflict between the supply and demand of water resources, enhancing water resource use efficiency has gradually become a focus of attention. As a new way to manage water resources, water rights trading pilots have been implemented in China. It is important to explore the impact of water rights trading on regional water resource use efficiency and possible impact paths. This paper employs a global nonradial directional distance function (GNDDF) model to measure water resource use efficiency, which is more accurate and reliable. To discern the effect of China's water rights trading pilot policy on enhancing regional water resource use efficiency, we apply the regression control method (RCM) for counterfactual analysis and test the possible pathways through which the water rights trading policy affects water resource use efficiency. This article draws the following conclusions. (i) China's overall water resource use efficiency has not reached a high level over the past decade, and water resource use efficiency has exhibited substantial regional disparities. (ii) There is some evidence to suggest that the water rights trading policy may have a positive impact on improving water resource use efficiency in the pilot provinces. However, the improvement effect exhibits regional variations, which are likely attributed to the initial water resource use levels in the pilot provinces and the specific implementation modes of water rights trading. (iii) Water rights trading policies can enhance water resource use efficiency through two pathways, including facilitating reclaimed water reuse and promoting water use restructuring.

随着水资源供需矛盾的日益突出,提高水资源利用效率逐渐成为人们关注的焦点。作为一种新的水资源管理方式,水权交易试点已在中国开展。探讨水权交易对区域水资源利用效率的影响及可能的影响路径具有重要意义。本文采用全球非径向距离函数(GNDDF)模型来衡量水资源利用效率,该模型更加准确可靠。为探讨中国水权交易试点政策对提高区域水资源利用效率的影响,我们运用回归控制法(RCM)进行了反事实分析,检验了水权交易政策影响水资源利用效率的可能路径。本文得出以下结论。(i) 近十年来,中国水资源利用效率总体上没有达到较高水平,水资源利用效率呈现出较 大的地区差异。(ii) 有证据表明,水权交易政策对试点省份水资源利用效率的提高有积极作用。然而,改善效果表现出地区差异,这可能与试点省份最初的水资源利用水平和水权交易的具体实施模式有关。(iii) 水权交易政策可以通过促进再生水回用和推动用水结构调整两个途径提高水资 源利用效率。
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引用次数: 0
Public preferences for water-conserving groundcovers on verges 公众对路边节水地被植物的偏好
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.wre.2024.100239
Claire Doll , Curtis Rollins , Michael Burton , David Pannell , Katrin Rehdanz , Jürgen Meyerhoff

Adapting to changes in water availability is becoming an increasingly important environmental management objective in many regions around the world. One way for cities to conserve water is to enhance drought-resistant vegetation cover. This revegetation practice can take place on many types of land, including road-side verges (also known as nature strips or boulevards), which, in Western Australia, are publicly owned but managed privately by residents of adjoining properties. As preferences for alternative verge groundcovers are not well understood, designing solutions that help achieve environmental goals and satisfy communities is a challenge. We survey community members in Perth, Western Australia, and find that peoples’ preferences for verge landscape design are largely bimodal, and can be classified under two dominant groups of people: those who prefer native vegetation, which requires little irrigation, and those who prefer watered grass. Neighbourhood norms prevail in their rankings, where individuals whose neighbours have planted water-conserving native vegetation gardens on their verges are also more likely to prefer ecological landscape designs. Increasing the extent of gardens that feature water-conserving native plants in high-profile public areas may further increase community acceptance of low water-use groundcovers, and may assist in driving changes in landscape management practices towards having more ecological landscape designs on verges, and beyond.

在全球许多地区,适应水资源供应的变化正成为一个日益重要的环境管理目标。城市节水的方法之一是提高抗旱植被覆盖率。这种重新植被的做法可以在多种类型的土地上进行,包括路边绿化带(也称为自然带或林荫大道),在西澳大利亚,这些绿化带属于公有,但由相邻物业的居民私人管理。由于人们对替代性路边地被植物的偏好不甚了解,因此设计既有助于实现环保目标又能满足社区需求的解决方案是一项挑战。我们对西澳大利亚州珀斯的社区成员进行了调查,发现人们对路边景观设计的偏好基本上是双向的,可以分为两大类:一类是偏好几乎不需要灌溉的本地植被,另一类是偏好浇过水的草地。在他们的排名中,邻里规范占主导地位,如果邻居在自家的路边种植了节水的本地植被,那么他们也更倾向于生态景观设计。在引人注目的公共区域增加以节水型本地植物为特色的花园,可能会进一步提高社区对低用水量地被植物的接受度,并有助于推动景观管理实践的变化,使更多的生态景观设计出现在路边及其他地方。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of pricing structure change on residential water consumption: A long-term analysis of water utilities in California 价格结构变化对居民用水量的影响:对加利福尼亚州供水公司的长期分析
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.wre.2024.100240
Juhee Lee , Mehdi Nemati , Maura Allaire , Ariel Dinar

California's demand-side urban water management policies, such as shifting water pricing structures from non-conservation to conservation-based rates, have received much attention in terms of meeting the state's short- and long-term water conservation policies. This paper quantifies the effect of pricing structure changes on residential water consumption using a survey dataset of 189 major California water utilities from 1994 to 2019. Results of our study demonstrate that residential per capita per day water consumption was reduced by an average of 2.6% when water agencies switched from non-conservation-based to conservation-based pricing structures. We also found evidence that the longer a utility maintained a non-conservation-based rate structure before switching to conservation-based pricing, the larger the water consumption reduction in that utility's service area. In addition, utilities that reverted to non-conservation rates after having longer-term conservation pricing structures experienced smaller increases compared to having long-term non-conservation ones in water use in their service areas. This suggests evidence of a crowding-in effect for transitions from conservation-based to non-conservation-based pricing structures.

加利福尼亚州的需求侧城市水资源管理政策,如将水价结构从非节水型转变为节水型,在实现该州的短期和长期节水政策方面受到了广泛关注。本文利用 1994 年至 2019 年加州 189 家主要供水公司的调查数据集,量化了水价结构变化对居民用水量的影响。研究结果表明,当供水机构从非节水型定价结构转变为节水型定价结构时,居民人均日用水量平均减少了 2.6%。我们还发现有证据表明,在转为基于保护的定价之前,水务公司维持非基于保护的费率结构的时间越长,该公司服务区域的用水量减少的幅度就越大。此外,与长期采用非节约型水价相比,在采用较长的节约型水价结构后重新采用非节约型水价的公用事业公司,其服务区域用水量的增长幅度较小。这表明在从节约型定价结构向非节约型定价结构过渡的过程中存在挤入效应。
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引用次数: 0
Scenario-based techno-economic analysis of pumped denitrification bioreactors 基于情景的抽水脱硝生物反应器技术经济分析
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.wre.2024.100238
Lindsey M. Hartfiel , Carolina Díaz-García , Laura E. Christianson , Michelle L. Soupir

Pumped denitrification bioreactors are currently being assessed in the field to extend the use of traditional, subsurface drainage bioreactors. Pumped bioreactors for the treatment of drainage ditches, surface waters, and cisterns intercepting drainage were evaluated to provide a basis of the unit cost of bioreactor operation ($ kg NO3–N removed−1) under a variety of scenarios. The unit costs were modeled using a techno-economic analysis. The variables assessed in the analysis included nitrate removal rate, bioreactor lifespan, and operating periods, which were assumed. To evaluate the impact of these variables on the unit cost, a sensitivity analysis was conducted where one variable was adjusted (e.g., lifespan) while the other variables were kept the same as a traditional bioreactor. The cistern and supplemental surface water bioreactors were larger in size and had similar unit costs ranging from ∼$5 to $27 kg NO3–N removed−1 for all scenarios except for the low mass removal and worst-case scenarios. The smaller, ditch diversion bioreactor had unit costs in the best- and worst-case scenarios in the range of $24 to $619 kg NO3–N removed−1, respectively. A breakeven analysis indicated increasing the mass removal rate of the bioreactors and ensuring an operating period greater than 6-months had the greatest impact on reducing the unit cost compared to a traditional bioreactor. Overall, the larger-scale surface water and cistern bioreactors had comparable, but slightly higher, unit costs than traditional bioreactors under most scenarios evaluated. This information can be used to optimize and inform of the potential of pumped bioreactor systems.

目前正在对抽水反硝化生物反应器进行实地评估,以扩大传统的地下排水生物反应器的使用范围。对用于处理排水沟、地表水和拦截排水的蓄水池的抽水式生物反应器进行了评估,以便为各种情况下生物反应器的单位运行成本(去除 NO3-N 公斤数-1 美元)提供依据。单位成本是通过技术经济分析建模得出的。分析中评估的变量包括硝酸盐去除率、生物反应器寿命和假定的运行期。为评估这些变量对单位成本的影响,进行了敏感性分析,即调整一个变量(如寿命),而其他变量保持与传统生物反应器相同。蓄水池和补充地表水生物反应器的体积较大,除低去除率和最坏情况外,在所有情况下的单位成本都差不多,从 5 美元到 27 美元不等,去除的 NO3-N 公斤数为 1。较小的沟渠分流生物反应器在最佳和最坏情况下的单位成本分别为 24 美元至 619 美元千克 NO3-N 去除率-1。盈亏平衡分析表明,与传统生物反应器相比,提高生物反应器的质量去除率并确保超过 6 个月的运行期对降低单位成本的影响最大。总体而言,在大多数评估方案下,大型地表水和蓄水池生物反应器的单位成本与传统生物反应器相当,但略高于后者。这些信息可用于优化抽水生物反应器系统并为其潜力提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
Using Best Worst Scaling to prioritise issues in major river catchments: The Murray Darling Basin in Australia 利用 "最佳最差规模 "确定主要流域问题的优先次序:澳大利亚墨累达令流域
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wre.2024.100237
John Rolfe , Darshana Rajapaksa , Megan Star , Nicole Flint

There is an increasing focus on improving environmental health in major river catchments to address pressures from extensive modification and overuse. However, river catchments often involve many complex and competing uses, making it difficult to prioritise where remediation actions should be concentrated. In this research, the Best Worst Scaling (BWS) technique is applied to assess community views about the relative importance of multiple major issues in the Murray Darling Basin that span environmental, social, economic, and cultural dimensions. The BWS technique was applied by identifying 16 major issues relevant to river management, generating a statement for each, and then using an experimental design to create profiles with four statements each. A random sample of respondents across New South Wales were each presented with four profiles and asked to identify the statement that they agreed with most and least for each profile. The results, analysed through both counting and logistic regression methods, show that the community prioritized environmental issues over economic, social, and cultural aspects. Improved water quality, native animals, water flow management and fish populations were identified as greater priority issues with both the logit model and counting model approaches. The analysis demonstrates how application of the logit model generates greater insights than is available with the counting approach.

人们越来越重视改善主要集水区的环境健康状况,以应对大面积改造和过度使用带来的压力。然而,集水区通常涉及许多复杂且相互竞争的用途,因此很难确定整治行动的优先次序。在这项研究中,采用了最佳最差比例(BWS)技术来评估社区对墨累达令流域多个主要问题的相对重要性的看法,这些问题涉及环境、社会、经济和文化等多个方面。BWS 技术的应用是通过确定与河流管理相关的 16 个主要问题,为每个问题生成一个陈述,然后使用实验设计创建每个问题包含四个陈述的概况。对新南威尔士州的受访者进行随机抽样,每个受访者都收到了四份简介,并被要求指出他们最同意和最不同意每份简介中的哪项陈述。通过计数法和逻辑回归法分析得出的结果显示,与经济、社会和文化方面相比,社区优先考虑环境问题。通过 logit 模型和计数模型方法,改善水质、本地动物、水流管理和鱼类种群被确定为更优先的问题。分析表明,与计数方法相比,对数模型的应用能产生更深刻的见解。
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引用次数: 0
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Water Resources and Economics
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