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Agricultural Productivity and Climate Mitigation 农业生产力与气候减缓
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-10-07 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-resource-101323-094349
Keith O. Fuglie, Thomas W. Hertel, David B. Lobell, Nelson B. Villoria
Agriculture will play a central role in meeting greenhouse gas (GHG) emission targets, as the sector currently contributes ∼22% of global emissions. Because emissions are directly tied to resources employed in farm production, such as land, fertilizer, and ruminant animals, the productivity of input use tends to be inversely related to emissions intensity. We review evidence on how productivity gains in agriculture have contributed to historical changes in emissions, how they affect land use emissions both locally and globally, and how investments in research and development (R&D) affect productivity and therefore emissions. The world average agricultural emissions intensity fell by more than half since 1990, with a strong correlation between a region's agricultural productivity growth and reduction in emissions intensity. Additional investment in agricultural R&D offers an opportunity for cost-effective (<US$30 per ton carbon dioxide) and large-scale emissions reductions. Innovations that target specific commodities or inputs could even further reduce the cost of climate mitigation in agriculture.
农业在实现温室气体(GHG)排放目标方面将发挥核心作用,因为该部门目前占全球排放量的 22%。由于排放量与农业生产中使用的资源(如土地、化肥和反刍动物)直接相关,投入品使用的生产率往往与排放强度成反比。我们回顾了农业生产率的提高如何促进了排放的历史性变化、它们如何影响地方和全球的土地利用排放,以及研发投资如何影响生产率并进而影响排放的证据。自 1990 年以来,世界平均农业排放强度下降了一半以上,一个地区农业生产率的增长与排放强度的下降之间有着密切的联系。对农业研发的额外投资为实现具有成本效益(每吨二氧化碳 30 美元)的大规模减排提供了机会。针对特定商品或投入的创新甚至可以进一步降低农业气候减缓的成本。
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引用次数: 0
The Shadow Economy, an Enigma, in the Agriculture of 15 EU Member States over the Period 1996–2019 1996-2019 年期间欧盟 15 个成员国农业中的影子经济之谜
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-10-07 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-resource-100622-085736
Erika Quendler, Friedrich Schneider
The focus of this review is the shadow economy (SE) in agriculture. Our research aim is to empirically quantify the SE in the agricultural sector based on data collected in the EU-15 member states from 1996 to 2019. We apply the multiple indicators multiple causes model to estimate the levels and development of the SE in these countries. Furthermore, we investigate how the size of the agricultural SE differs between the EU-15 member states and how it affects the economy overall. The results show that (a) the main potential for SE lies in agricultural subsidies, the effects of taxation, the share of imports, and factor income in agriculture; (b) certain patterns and differences exist among the countries, which can be associated with the north-south-west divide; and (c) there are higher levels of SEs in agriculture compared to in the overall economies. This review emphasizes the potential for measuring the SE in agriculture, while recognizing current methodological limitations. Recommendations include diversifying methods, standardizing definitions internationally, and enhancing theoretical foundations. Furthermore, expanding research to include more regions and improve visibility and transparency in measurements is crucial if informed policy is to be made to benefit agriculture globally.
本综述的重点是农业中的影子经济(SE)。我们的研究目的是根据 1996 年至 2019 年在欧盟 15 个成员国收集的数据,对农业部门的影子经济进行实证量化。我们采用多指标多原因模型来估算这些国家的影子经济水平和发展情况。此外,我们还研究了欧盟 15 个成员国之间农业 SE 规模的差异及其对整体经济的影响。结果表明:(a) 社会经济的主要潜力在于农业补贴、税收影响、进口份额和农业要素收入;(b) 各国之间存在某些模式和差异,这可能与南北-东西分界线有关;(c) 与整体经济相比,农业中的社会经济水平更高。本综述强调了衡量农业中社会经济因素的潜力,同时也认识到当前方法的局限性。建议包括方法多样化、定义国际标准化和加强理论基础。此外,扩大研究范围,将更多地区纳入其中,并提高测量的可见度和透明度,这对制定有益于全球农业的知情政策至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Looking Backward, Looking Forward 回顾过去,展望未来
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-10-07 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-resource-112223-091502
William Nordhaus
This essay discusses three themes of my scholarly life from my student days up to today. They involve technological change, environmental accounting, and energy-climate-economic analysis. These themes have common analytical roots in the economic theory of public goods and encounter thorny issues of governance because of the Westphalian roots of international law and practice. Many of the issues, such as devising measures of natural capital and the need for strengthened international institutions, are just as pressing today as they were during my student days in the 1960s. In writing this, the enduring insight is that hindsight is the best foresight.
这篇文章讨论了我从学生时代至今的学术生涯中的三个主题。它们涉及技术变革、环境核算和能源-气候-经济分析。这些主题的共同分析根源在于公共产品的经济理论,并因国际法和国际惯例的威斯特伐利亚根源而遇到棘手的治理问题。其中许多问题,如制定自然资本衡量标准和加强国际机构的必要性,在今天与我 20 世纪 60 年代的学生时代一样紧迫。在写这篇文章的过程中,我始终认为事后诸葛亮是最好的先见之明。
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引用次数: 0
The Economics of Electricity and Development: Planning for Growth and a Changing Climate 电力与发展的经济学》:为增长和不断变化的气候制定规划
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-resource-112223-094752
Robyn C. Meeks, Anil Pokhrel
Many low- and middle-income countries have made tremendous gains in electrification over the past few decades. These improvements in electricity access have enabled a growing body of empirical evidence on its impacts. This article complements prior reviews on the impacts of electrification by addressing several major remaining challenges faced by the electricity sector in developing countries—impediments to maximizing electricity services᾽ economic effects, obstacles to recovering utility costs, difficulties in forecasting future electricity demand, and uncertainty regarding the future adoption of climate-mitigating technologies—and the existing micro economic causal evidence addressing those challenges. We describe how randomized experiments have complemented the quasi-experimental evidence and then highlight some remaining gaps in the existing literature. Specifically, we highlight climate adaptation within the electricity sector in developing countries, which remains a crucial gap in both the discussion on and financing of electrification for development. We use case studies of Nepal and Pakistan in South Asia—a region that both recently experienced great electrification gains and is among the most vulnerable to climate change—to illustrate the need for additional work on adaptation in the electricity sector. We conclude by linking to recent discussions on climate adaptation finance.
过去几十年来,许多中低收入国家在电气化方面取得了巨大进步。电力普及率的提高使越来越多的实证证据证明了电气化的影响。本文对之前有关电气化影响的综述进行了补充,探讨了发展中国家电力部门仍然面临的几大挑战--电力服务经济效应最大化的障碍、收回公用事业成本的障碍、预测未来电力需求的困难、未来采用气候减缓技术的不确定性--以及应对这些挑战的现有微观经济因果证据。我们介绍了随机实验如何补充了准实验证据,然后强调了现有文献中仍存在的一些空白。具体而言,我们强调了发展中国家电力部门的气候适应问题,这仍然是电气化促进发展的讨论和融资方面的一个重要空白。我们利用南亚的尼泊尔和巴基斯坦--这两个地区最近都取得了巨大的电气化成果,同时也是最易受气候变化影响的地区之一--的案例研究,说明在电力部门适应气候变化方面需要开展更多工作。最后,我们将联系近期关于气候适应融资的讨论。
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引用次数: 0
Navigating the Complexity: The Sustainability Challenges in Global Value Chains 驾驭复杂性:全球价值链的可持续性挑战
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-07-31 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-resource-101623-102101
E. Berthet, I. Fusacchia
The global value chain (GVC) framework may provide a systematic approach to depict and advance sustainable path options at the global, national, and local scales. However, a coherent picture of the fragmented body of knowledge on the sustainability implications of GVCs is lacking. In an attempt to delineate the most effective perspective for addressing sustainability challenges within GVCs, this review explores the main academic streams that have emerged in response to the pressing need for detailed insights into GVCs. These academic streams include sociological, economic, and management approaches. We examine the intersections and distinctions among them, evaluating whether they converge or diverge in addressing sustainability within GVCs. By discussing the limitations and potential of these approaches, we suggest a possible integrated and appropriate research agenda to achieve an encompassing and still operative perspective to address current sustainability challenges.
全球价值链(GVC)框架可以提供一种系统的方法,在全球、国家和地方范围内描述和推进可持续发展的道路选择。然而,关于全球价值链对可持续发展的影响的知识体系支离破碎,缺乏连贯的图景。为了界定应对全球价值链中可持续发展挑战的最有效视角,本综述探讨了为满足详细了解全球价值链的迫切需求而出现的主要学术流派。这些学术流派包括社会学、经济学和管理学方法。我们研究了它们之间的交叉和区别,评估了它们在解决全球价值链中的可持续性问题方面是趋同还是分歧。通过讨论这些方法的局限性和潜力,我们提出了一个可能的综合和适当的研究议程,以实现一个包罗万象且仍然有效的视角来应对当前的可持续性挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Transformation of the Rural Nonfarm Economy During Rapid Urbanization and Structural Transformation in Developing Regions 发展中地区快速城市化和结构转型过程中的农村非农经济转型
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-resource-101623-105713
Peter Hazell, Steven Haggblade, Thomas Reardon
This article reviews the past 25 years of empirical research on the rural nonfarm economy (RNFE) in developing countries; that literature has evolved in ways that track and mirror the rural transformation itself. Since 2000, rapid urbanization, structural transformation, and a sharp series of economic, climate, and disease shocks have influenced trajectories in the RNFE. It has grown to become, on average, the predominant source of income for rural households in developing countries. Both segments of the RNFE—activities linked to agricultural value chains as well as those unrelated to the agricultural sector—have grown. Understanding how each component of the RNFE influences rural incomes, employment, resilience, women, youth, and farming and natural resource management practices is, therefore, more important than ever.
本文回顾了过去 25 年对发展中国家农村非农经济(RNFE)的实证研究;这些文献的发展轨迹与农村转型本身如出一辙。自 2000 年以来,快速城市化、结构转型以及一系列经济、气候和疾病冲击影响了农村非农经济的发展轨迹。平均而言,它已成为发展中国家农村家庭的主要收入来源。与农业价值链相关的活动和与农业部门无关的活动这两个部分都在增长。因此,现在比以往任何时候都更有必要了解 "农村可再生能源 "的每个组成部分如何影响农村收入、就业、复原力、妇女、青年以及耕作和自然资源管理做法。
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引用次数: 0
The Role of Transdisciplinary Approaches in Environmental Economics 跨学科方法在环境经济学中的作用
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-07-17 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-resource-101623-102715
Shefali V. Mehta, Stephen Polasky, Elena Tsakakis
Environmental and resource challenges continue to grow in magnitude and complexity. Addressing these challenges requires expansive thinking to formulate and implement effective solutions. Transdisciplinary research, considered the pinnacle of integration across disciplines, offers a powerful approach for addressing complex questions. Three key themes emerge from transdisciplinary research in the context of environmental economics: (a) There are degrees of transdisciplinarity that contribute to new emergent approaches and on-the-ground application through behavior and practice changes; (b) there are many examples of environmental economics research that exhibit characteristics of transdisciplinary research, but aspects of transdisciplinarity could be expanded in many cases; and (c) there are various barriers (cross-disciplinary, individual, and systemic) facing economists in the application of a transdisciplinary approach. While transdisciplinary research comes with its own barriers, environmental economists could generate large potential gains in formulating and implementing solutions by exploring the transdisciplinary mindset and approach.
环境和资源挑战的严重性和复杂性不断增加。应对这些挑战需要拓展思维,以制定和实施有效的解决方案。跨学科研究被认为是跨学科整合的顶峰,为解决复杂问题提供了强有力的方法。在环境经济学的背景下,跨学科研究产生了三个关键主题:(a) 有一定程度的跨学科性,有助于新的新兴方法,并通过行为和实践的改变进行实地应用;(b) 有许多环境经济学研究实例展示了跨学科研究的特点,但在许多情况下,跨学科性的各个方面都可以扩展;(c) 经济学家在应用跨学科方法时面临各种障碍(跨学科、个人和系统性障碍)。虽然跨学科研究有其自身的障碍,但环境经济学家可以通过探索跨学科思维和方法,在制定和实施解决方案方面产生巨大的潜在收益。
{"title":"The Role of Transdisciplinary Approaches in Environmental Economics","authors":"Shefali V. Mehta, Stephen Polasky, Elena Tsakakis","doi":"10.1146/annurev-resource-101623-102715","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-resource-101623-102715","url":null,"abstract":"Environmental and resource challenges continue to grow in magnitude and complexity. Addressing these challenges requires expansive thinking to formulate and implement effective solutions. Transdisciplinary research, considered the pinnacle of integration across disciplines, offers a powerful approach for addressing complex questions. Three key themes emerge from transdisciplinary research in the context of environmental economics: (<jats:italic>a</jats:italic>) There are degrees of transdisciplinarity that contribute to new emergent approaches and on-the-ground application through behavior and practice changes; (<jats:italic>b</jats:italic>) there are many examples of environmental economics research that exhibit characteristics of transdisciplinary research, but aspects of transdisciplinarity could be expanded in many cases; and (<jats:italic>c</jats:italic>) there are various barriers (cross-disciplinary, individual, and systemic) facing economists in the application of a transdisciplinary approach. While transdisciplinary research comes with its own barriers, environmental economists could generate large potential gains in formulating and implementing solutions by exploring the transdisciplinary mindset and approach.","PeriodicalId":48856,"journal":{"name":"Annual Review of Resource Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.8,"publicationDate":"2024-07-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141725780","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Nature of the Beast: Wildlife Valuation from the Iconic to the Ordinary 野兽的本质:从偶像到普通的野生动物价值评估
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-07-17 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-resource-101623-093149
Lynne Lewis, Jennifer Raynor, Leslie Richardson
Wildlife species generate significant economic value through recreational opportunities, ecosystem services, and their existence and preservation for future generations. Policymaker decisions about fish and wildlife conservation, population management, hunting and fishing limits, and damage assessments all rely to some extent on nonmarket valuation estimates of the species in question. Focusing on individual species, we present a comprehensive review of the nonmarket valuation literature from 1990 to 2023. We quantify studies by species and synthesize the characteristics of these species. We examine why certain species or uses have been the historical focus. Finally, we offer some insights into gaps in our knowledge and directions for future research. While the wildlife valuation literature is extensive, we question the scope of coverage and speculate on the reasons for such heavy coverage of some species and limited coverage of others. Charisma, endemism, and rarity play a large role, as do species with large use values.
野生动物物种通过娱乐机会、生态系统服务以及它们的存在和为子孙后代的保护创造了巨大的经济价值。决策者对鱼类和野生动物保护、种群管理、狩猎和捕鱼限制以及损害评估的决策都在一定程度上依赖于对相关物种的非市场估值。我们以单个物种为重点,全面回顾了 1990 年至 2023 年的非市场估值文献。我们按物种对研究进行了量化,并综合了这些物种的特征。我们研究了某些物种或用途成为历史焦点的原因。最后,我们对知识空白和未来研究方向提出了一些见解。虽然野生动植物价值评估的文献非常广泛,但我们对其覆盖范围提出质疑,并推测某些物种被大量报道而其他物种被有限报道的原因。魅力、特有性和稀有性以及具有巨大使用价值的物种在很大程度上发挥了作用。
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引用次数: 0
Economics of the Adoption of Artificial Intelligence–Based Digital Technologies in Agriculture 农业采用基于人工智能的数字技术的经济学意义
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-07-15 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-resource-101623-092515
Madhu Khanna, Shady S. Atallah, Thomas Heckelei, Linghui Wu, Hugo Storm
Rapid advances and diffusion of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies have the potential to transform agriculture globally by improving measurement, prediction, and site-specific management on the farm, enabling autonomous equipment that is trained to mimic human behavior and developing recommendation systems designed to autonomously achieve various tasks. Here, we discuss the applications of AI-enabled technologies in agriculture, including those that are capable of on-farm reinforcement learning and key attributes that distinguish them from precision technologies currently available. We then describe various ways through which AI-driven technologies are likely to change the decision space for farmers and require changes to the theoretical and empirical economic models that seek to understand the incentives for their adoption. We conclude with a discussion of areas for future research on the economic, environmental, and equity implications of AI-enabled technology adoption for the agricultural sector.
人工智能(AI)技术的快速发展和普及有可能通过改善农场的测量、预测和现场特定管理,启用经过训练可模仿人类行为的自主设备,以及开发旨在自主完成各种任务的推荐系统,在全球范围内改变农业。在此,我们将讨论人工智能技术在农业中的应用,包括能够在农场进行强化学习的技术,以及区别于现有精准技术的关键属性。然后,我们描述了人工智能驱动技术可能改变农民决策空间的各种方式,并要求改变理论和实证经济模型,以了解采用这些技术的激励因素。最后,我们讨论了未来就农业部门采用人工智能技术对经济、环境和公平的影响开展研究的领域。
{"title":"Economics of the Adoption of Artificial Intelligence–Based Digital Technologies in Agriculture","authors":"Madhu Khanna, Shady S. Atallah, Thomas Heckelei, Linghui Wu, Hugo Storm","doi":"10.1146/annurev-resource-101623-092515","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-resource-101623-092515","url":null,"abstract":"Rapid advances and diffusion of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies have the potential to transform agriculture globally by improving measurement, prediction, and site-specific management on the farm, enabling autonomous equipment that is trained to mimic human behavior and developing recommendation systems designed to autonomously achieve various tasks. Here, we discuss the applications of AI-enabled technologies in agriculture, including those that are capable of on-farm reinforcement learning and key attributes that distinguish them from precision technologies currently available. We then describe various ways through which AI-driven technologies are likely to change the decision space for farmers and require changes to the theoretical and empirical economic models that seek to understand the incentives for their adoption. We conclude with a discussion of areas for future research on the economic, environmental, and equity implications of AI-enabled technology adoption for the agricultural sector.","PeriodicalId":48856,"journal":{"name":"Annual Review of Resource Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.8,"publicationDate":"2024-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141624664","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Causes and Policy Responses to Forced Migration and Environmental Degradation in Africa 非洲强迫移民和环境退化的原因与对策
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-resource-101123-100528
Jean-Francois Maystadt, Ashok K. Mishra, Valerie Mueller, Matthew Smoldt
Forced migration has a complex relationship with the environment. The type of policy responses required to alleviate distress migration and improve the livelihoods of involuntary migrants, while preserving the environment for broader society will vary by context. We highlight the need to better identify the related mechanisms underlying forced migration and their practices in receiving areas in an attempt to self-integrate. Implementation of safety net programs has risen. Such programs have the potential to promote migration as a risk management strategy and disincentivize the adoption of poor environmental practices in receiving areas. We discuss how available satellite data combined with machine learning approaches open new opportunities to discover solutions to the migration-related environmental issues of Africa.
强迫移民与环境之间的关系错综复杂。在为更广泛的社会保护环境的同时,为缓解移民困境、改善非自愿移民的生活所需的应对政策类型也会因情况而异。我们强调有必要更好地识别强迫移民的相关机制及其在接收地区试图自我融入的做法。安全网计划的实施率有所上升。此类计划有可能促进移民成为一种风险管理策略,并抑制接收地区采用不良的环境做法。我们将讨论现有卫星数据如何与机器学习方法相结合,为探索解决非洲与移民相关的环境问题提供新的机遇。
{"title":"The Causes and Policy Responses to Forced Migration and Environmental Degradation in Africa","authors":"Jean-Francois Maystadt, Ashok K. Mishra, Valerie Mueller, Matthew Smoldt","doi":"10.1146/annurev-resource-101123-100528","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-resource-101123-100528","url":null,"abstract":"Forced migration has a complex relationship with the environment. The type of policy responses required to alleviate distress migration and improve the livelihoods of involuntary migrants, while preserving the environment for broader society will vary by context. We highlight the need to better identify the related mechanisms underlying forced migration and their practices in receiving areas in an attempt to self-integrate. Implementation of safety net programs has risen. Such programs have the potential to promote migration as a risk management strategy and disincentivize the adoption of poor environmental practices in receiving areas. We discuss how available satellite data combined with machine learning approaches open new opportunities to discover solutions to the migration-related environmental issues of Africa.","PeriodicalId":48856,"journal":{"name":"Annual Review of Resource Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.8,"publicationDate":"2024-07-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141521612","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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Annual Review of Resource Economics
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