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Agriculture for Development: Analytics and Action 农业促进发展:分析与行动
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-06-08 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-resource-090921-045011
A. de Janvry, E. Sadoulet
For many poor countries and for a majority of poor people in the world, agriculture broadly defined can be one of the most effective instruments for development. Yet using agriculture for development, while widely advocated in the development profession and effectively practiced by a number of countries, remains too often well below potential. At the invitation of the editors of the Annual Review of Resource Economics, we retrace how we have used our academic and activist careers to promote agriculture as an instrument for development. We show how access to assets, the design of agrarian institutions, the creation of income opportunities for rural households, and understanding their behavioral responses can lead to successful modernization of agriculture and its transformation toward farming systems, value chains, and local rural nonfarm economies instrumental for development. We encourage younger colleagues to pursue and fulfill this mission by combining analytical rigor, attention to behavior, commitment to activism, and a long-term vision of the development process. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Resource Economics, Volume 14 is October 2022. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
对许多贫穷国家和世界上大多数穷人来说,广义的农业可以成为最有效的发展工具之一。然而,利用农业促进发展,虽然在发展专业中得到广泛提倡,并得到一些国家的有效实践,但往往远远低于潜力。应《资源经济学年度评论》编辑的邀请,我们回顾了我们如何利用我们的学术和活动家生涯来促进农业作为发展的工具。我们展示了如何获取资产、设计农业制度、为农村家庭创造收入机会,以及了解他们的行为反应,从而成功实现农业现代化,并向有利于发展的农业体系、价值链和当地农村非农业经济转型。我们鼓励年轻的同事通过结合严谨的分析、对行为的关注、对行动主义的承诺和对发展过程的长期愿景来追求和完成这一使命。《资源经济学年度评论》第14卷的最终在线出版日期预计为2022年10月。修订后的估计数请参阅http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
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引用次数: 1
When and How to Use Economy-Wide Models for Environmental Policy Analysis 何时以及如何使用经济范围模型进行环境政策分析
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-06-06 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-resource-111820-015737
Jared C. Carbone, Linda T Bui, D. Fullerton, S. Paltsev, I. Wing
We describe the factors researchers should consider in deciding when and how to use computational general equilibrium (CGE) models for environmental policy analysis instead of partial equilibrium or engineering models. Special attention is given to modeling the social costs and benefits of regulations and the role played by labor markets. CGE models excel at quantifying interactions across different sectors of the economy, factor-market outcomes, and the distributional consequences of policy, all using a comprehensive set of the resource constraints faced by agents. The ceteris paribus nature of these experiments allows a skilled modeler to develop a systematic understanding of the connection between model assumptions and policy outcomes. Using CGE models to address environmental policy questions involves challenges, including the representation of narrow and technology-specific regulatory designs, data and aggregation issues, and the development of methods to improve model transparency and validity. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Resource Economics, Volume 14 is October 2022. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
我们描述了研究人员在决定何时以及如何使用计算一般均衡(CGE)模型而不是部分均衡或工程模型进行环境政策分析时应该考虑的因素。特别注意的是建模的社会成本和效益的规定和劳动力市场所发挥的作用。CGE模型擅长于量化不同经济部门之间的相互作用、要素市场结果和政策的分配后果,所有这些都使用了代理人面临的一套全面的资源约束。这些实验的特殊性质使熟练的建模者能够系统地理解模型假设与政策结果之间的联系。使用CGE模型来解决环境政策问题涉及挑战,包括狭隘和特定技术的监管设计的代表性,数据和汇总问题,以及提高模型透明度和有效性的方法的开发。《资源经济学年度评论》第14卷的最终在线出版日期预计为2022年10月。修订后的估计数请参阅http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
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引用次数: 3
COVID-19 and Global Poverty and Food Security 2019冠状病毒病与全球贫困和粮食安全
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-resource-111920-013613
R. Vos, John J. McDermott, J. Swinnen
The impacts of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) on food systems, poverty, and nutrition have been caused by generalized economic recession and disruptions in agrifood supply chains. This article reviews a growing empirical literature assessing those impacts. The review confirms that income shocks and supply disruptions have affected food security and livelihoods more where supply chains were poorly integrated and poverty where market informality had a greater presence before COVID-19. Yet, as the pandemic persists, outcomes remain uncertain and reliable data are still sparsely available. This review also reveals how methodological approaches have evolved during the pandemic, ranging from model-based scenario analyses, telephone survey evidence, case-study analyses, and data collection on policy responses and their effects. This review concludes that while we have good insight into the COVID-19 pandemic's impacts on food security, there is still much that we do not know, requiring much more rigorous hypothesis testing based on reliable and observed data. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Resource Economics, Volume 14 is October 2022. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
2019年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)对粮食系统、贫困和营养的影响是由普遍的经济衰退和农产品供应链中断造成的。本文回顾了越来越多的评估这些影响的实证文献。该评估确认,在供应链整合程度较差的地区,收入冲击和供应中断对粮食安全和生计的影响更大,而在2019冠状病毒病之前,市场非正规状况更严重的地区,收入冲击和供应中断对贫困的影响更大。然而,随着大流行的持续,结果仍然不确定,可靠的数据仍然很少。本综述还揭示了方法方法在大流行期间的演变情况,包括基于模型的情景分析、电话调查证据、案例研究分析以及关于政策应对措施及其影响的数据收集。本综述的结论是,虽然我们对COVID-19大流行对粮食安全的影响有了很好的了解,但我们仍有很多不了解的地方,需要基于可靠和观察到的数据进行更严格的假设检验。《资源经济学年度评论》第14卷的最终在线出版日期预计为2022年10月。修订后的估计数请参阅http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
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引用次数: 3
Economics of the US National Park System: Values, Funding, and Resource Management Challenges 美国国家公园系统的经济学:价值、资金和资源管理挑战
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-resource-111920-021401
M. Walls
The US national park system includes 423 sites covering more than 85 million acres of land and some of the most iconic landscapes in the country. The parks host approximately 320 million visitors a year. In this review, I survey the economics literature on national parks, focusing on four main topics: values and economic impacts of the parks, funding challenges, congestion and overcrowding, and resource management issues related mainly to climate change. In each area, I discuss gaps in the literature, new data and methods that could be applied to national parks, and important topics for future research. The most pressing needs are for more empirical research on use values, using new data sources and modern econometric methods, and relatedly, studies of the responsiveness of demand to pricing, which would be helpful for addressing both congestion and funding challenges. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Resource Economics, Volume 14 is October 2022. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
美国国家公园系统包括423个景点,覆盖超过8500万英亩的土地,以及该国一些最具标志性的景观。这些公园每年接待约3.2亿游客。在这篇综述中,我调查了关于国家公园的经济学文献,重点关注四个主题:公园的价值和经济影响,资金挑战,拥堵和过度拥挤,以及主要与气候变化相关的资源管理问题。在每个领域,我讨论了文献中的空白,可以应用于国家公园的新数据和方法,以及未来研究的重要主题。最迫切的需要是对使用价值进行更多的实证研究,使用新的数据来源和现代计量经济学方法,以及相关的需求对定价的响应性研究,这将有助于解决拥堵和资金挑战。《资源经济学年度评论》第14卷的最终在线出版日期预计为2022年10月。修订后的估计数请参阅http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
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引用次数: 3
A Systematic Review of Energy Efficiency Home Retrofit Evaluation Studies 能效家庭改造评价研究的系统回顾
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-05-24 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-resource-111920-124353
Lauren Giandomenico, Maya Papineau, N. Rivers
We systematically review studies evaluating the energy savings and cost-effectiveness of residential energy efficiency retrofit programs. We review 39 evaluations of 23 residential retrofit programs that were evaluated between 1984 and 2021. Our sample is restricted to program evaluations that used postretrofit household energy billing or consumption data from 140,977 retrofitted households. We report four primary findings. First, none of the studies in our sample reported deep energy savings (e.g., 50% or greater) from retrofit programs. The mean reduction in measured electricity and/or fuel consumption due to energy efficiency retrofits for all programs included in our sample was roughly 7.2%. However, because many households use both fuel and electricity, total household energy savings from the retrofit programs evaluated in our sample are probably smaller. Second, reported program savings decreased as the internal validity of study design increased. Third, as measured by realized savings and cost-effectiveness, the most promising retrofits were insulation and programmable thermostats, whereas the least promising retrofits were storm windows and doors. Fourth, programs with high reported savings and low costs of conserved energy served low-income, fuel-heated households exclusively. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Resource Economics, Volume 14 is October 2022. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
我们系统地回顾了评估住宅节能改造项目的能源节约和成本效益的研究。我们回顾了1984年至2021年间对23个住宅改造项目的39项评估。我们的样本仅限于使用改造后家庭能源账单或来自140,977个改造家庭的消费数据的项目评估。我们报告了四个主要发现。首先,在我们的样本中,没有一项研究报告说改造项目能节省大量能源(例如50%或更多)。在我们的样本中包括的所有项目中,由于能效改造,测量的电力和/或燃料消耗的平均减少约为7.2%。然而,由于许多家庭既使用燃料又使用电力,因此我们样本中评估的改造项目所节省的家庭能源总量可能较小。第二,随着研究设计的内部效度增加,报告的项目节省减少。第三,根据实现的节约和成本效益来衡量,最有希望的改造是隔热和可编程恒温器,而最没有希望的改造是防风窗和防风门。第四,节电高、节约能源成本低的项目专门为低收入、燃料取暖的家庭服务。《资源经济学年度评论》第14卷的最终在线出版日期预计为2022年10月。修订后的估计数请参阅http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
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引用次数: 4
Sovereign Wealth Funds in Theory and Practice 主权财富基金的理论与实践
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-05-24 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-resource-111920-015758
A. James, Timothy Retting, J. Shogren, Brett Watson, S. Wills
Are natural resources a curse or a blessing? The answer may depend on how natural wealth is managed. By transforming a temporary windfall into a permanent stock in the form of a sovereign wealth fund, resource-rich economies can avoid volatility and Dutch disease effects, save for future generations, and invest locally. We review the theory behind these resource funds and explore the empirical evidence for their success. Our review is complemented by case studies that highlight some of the moresnuanced features, behaviord, and effects of resource funds. While the theoretical research highlights the situational success of funds, empirical examinations are minimal. We discuss possible reasons for this gap in the literature and, in doing so, highlight some of the challenges associated with empirical research in this area and discuss possible paths forward. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Resource Economics, Volume 14 is October 2022. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
自然资源是祸还是福?答案可能取决于如何管理自然财富。通过将暂时的意外之财转变为主权财富基金形式的永久储备,资源丰富的经济体可以避免波动和荷兰病效应,为子孙后代储蓄,并在当地投资。我们回顾了这些资源基金背后的理论,并探讨了它们成功的经验证据。我们的审查还辅以案例研究,这些研究突出了资源基金的一些更细微的特征、行为和影响。虽然理论研究强调了基金的情境成功,但实证检验很少。我们讨论了文献中这一差距的可能原因,并在此过程中,强调了与该领域实证研究相关的一些挑战,并讨论了可能的前进道路。《资源经济学年度评论》第14卷的最终在线出版日期预计为2022年10月。修订后的估计数请参阅http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
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引用次数: 1
Energy Justice, Decarbonization, and the Clean Energy Transformation 能源公正、脱碳和清洁能源转型
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-05-13 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-resource-111920-022328
Lori S. Bennear
Addressing climate change will require significant reductions in carbon emissions. Decarbonization will likely lead to increases in energy prices, which are regressive. Poorer households spend a higher percentage of income on energy and also have less access to energy efficient options in housing, transportation (including electric vehicles), and household durables. This review summarizes the state of knowledge on the energy justice implications of the clean energy transformation along four dimensions—production of energy, energy insecurity/energy poverty, access to clean energy technologies, and impacts of policy instrument choices for achieving decarbonization. Along each dimension there is evidence of greater negative impacts on lower-income households and on Black, Indigenous, and people of color (BIPOC) households, even controlling for income. But there is also evidence that these impacts can be mitigated through policy choices. Together these findings highlight that centering justice concerns in policy debates is critical for a just and clean energy transformation. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Resource Economics, Volume 14 is October 2022. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
应对气候变化需要大幅减少碳排放。脱碳可能会导致能源价格上涨,这是一种倒退。较贫穷的家庭在能源上的支出占收入的比例较高,而且在住房、交通(包括电动汽车)和家庭耐用品方面获得节能选择的机会较少。本文从能源生产、能源不安全/能源贫困、清洁能源技术获取和政策工具选择对实现脱碳的影响四个方面总结了清洁能源转型对能源正义的影响。在每个维度上都有证据表明,即使控制了收入,对低收入家庭以及黑人、土著和有色人种(BIPOC)家庭的负面影响也更大。但也有证据表明,这些影响可以通过政策选择来减轻。综上所述,这些发现突出表明,将公正问题纳入政策辩论,对于实现公正和清洁的能源转型至关重要。《资源经济学年度评论》第14卷的最终在线出版日期预计为2022年10月。修订后的估计数请参阅http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
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引用次数: 3
Is Agricultural Insurance Fulfilling its Promise for the Developing World? A Review of Recent Evidence 农业保险对发展中国家的承诺兑现了吗?近期证据综述
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-05-13 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-resource-111220-014147
B. Kramer, P. Hazell, H. Alderman, F. Ceballos, Neha Kumar, A. Timu
Innovations in agricultural index insurance have raised expectations that the private sector can overcome shortcomings associated with more traditional indemnity-based products like multiperil crop insurance and strengthen agricultural risk management at scale across developing countries. This article updates previous reviews on agricultural insurance but differs in that it goes beyond the prognosis that recent innovations can help make insurance more commercially viable. As such, it addresses two important challenges that have received limited attention. First, it distinguishes different types of farm households and recognizes that many are excluded from the insurance market, describing additional innovations that can help make insurance more accessible to these excluded groups. Second, it acknowledges that insurance for catastrophic risks is unaffordable for most farmers and summarizes new developments in disaster assistance and safety net programs that can provide broader protection against these risks. The review concludes that cost-benefit analyses of subsidized insurance programs will be crucial for guiding public spending decisions. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Resource Economics, Volume 14 is October 2022. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
农业指数保险的创新提高了人们的期望,即私营部门能够克服与多灾作物保险等更传统的赔偿性产品相关的缺陷,并在发展中国家大规模加强农业风险管理。本文更新了以前对农业保险的评论,但不同之处在于它超越了预测,即最近的创新可以帮助使保险更具商业可行性。因此,它解决了两个受到有限关注的重要挑战。首先,它区分了不同类型的农户,并认识到许多农户被排除在保险市场之外,描述了有助于使这些被排除在外的群体更容易获得保险的其他创新。其次,报告承认大多数农民负担不起灾难性风险的保险,并总结了灾害援助和安全网项目的新进展,这些项目可以提供更广泛的防范这些风险的保护。报告的结论是,补贴保险项目的成本效益分析对于指导公共支出决策至关重要。《资源经济学年度评论》第14卷的最终在线出版日期预计为2022年10月。修订后的估计数请参阅http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
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引用次数: 8
Structural Transformation of the Agricultural Sector In Low- and Middle-Income Economies 中低收入经济体农业部门的结构转型
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-05-05 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-resource-111820-033252
Klaus Deininger, Songqing Jin, Meilin Ma
Movement of labor from agriculture to nonagriculture and the associated increase in farm size through structural transformation are at the core of economic development. We conduct a comprehensive review of the literature exploring the causes and consequences of the transformation. We discuss ( a) the size and determinants for the persisting wage gap between agriculture and nonagriculture, ( b) policy-induced barriers to structural changes, ( c) the role of trade costs and technical change in shaping the nature of structural transformation and comparative advantage of regions, and ( d) how the overall development of an economy affects the relationship between farm size and farm productivity and hence changes competitiveness of different scales of farms. We also identify questions for policy and research and the ways in which new sources and interoperability of data can help answer these questions.
经济发展的核心是劳动力从农业向非农业的转移,以及通过结构转型带来的农场规模的增加。我们对文献进行了全面的回顾,探讨了转型的原因和后果。我们讨论(a)农业和非农业之间持续工资差距的规模和决定因素,(b)政策导致的结构性变化障碍,(c)贸易成本和技术变革在塑造结构转型和区域比较优势的性质中的作用,以及(d)经济的整体发展如何影响农场规模和农场生产率之间的关系,从而改变不同规模农场的竞争力。我们还确定了政策和研究的问题,以及新来源和数据互操作性可以帮助回答这些问题的方式。
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引用次数: 0
The Economics of Agricultural Productivity in South Africa 南非农业生产力经济学
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-04-28 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-resource-111920-014135
Nick Vink, Beatrice Conradie, Nicolette Matthews
Accurate measures of productivity growth are an important policy tool but are difficult to obtain in South African circumstances. In this article, we review work on the measurement of farm-level productivity in South Africa since the earliest attempts at multifactor indices in the early 1990s. The focus is on total factor productivity, but single input measures such as labor and land productivity (yields) are also discussed. Measurements using time-series and cross-sectional data are discussed separately, along with measures to explain the effect of climate change. Data deficiencies are also pointed out. The article concludes that international collaboration should be maintained if important issues such as the COVID-19 impact, food security, climate change, and labor market shocks are to be successfully addressed.
对生产率增长的准确衡量是一项重要的政策工具,但在南非的情况下很难获得。在本文中,我们回顾了自20世纪90年代初最早尝试使用多因素指数以来南非农业水平生产率的测量工作。重点是全要素生产率,但也讨论了单一投入措施,如劳动和土地生产率(产量)。分别讨论了使用时间序列和截面数据的测量方法,以及解释气候变化影响的措施。同时指出了数据的不足。文章的结论是,如果要成功解决COVID-19影响、粮食安全、气候变化和劳动力市场冲击等重要问题,就必须保持国际合作。
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引用次数: 0
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Annual Review of Resource Economics
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