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Understanding the Improbable: A Survey of Fat Tails in Environmental Economics 理解不可能:对环境经济学肥尾的调查
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-06-25 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-resource-102020-094143
M. Conte, David L. Kelly
We survey the growing literature on fat-tailed distributions in environmental economics. We then examine the theoretical and statistical properties of such distributions, focusing especially on when these properties are likely to arise in environmental problems. We find that a number of variables are fat tailed in environmental economics, including the climate sensitivity, natural disaster impacts, spread of infectious diseases, and stated willingness to pay. We argue that different fat-tailed distributions arise from common pathways. Finally, we review the literature on the policy implications of fat-tailed distributions and controversies over their interpretation. We conclude that the literature has made great strides in demonstrating when fat tails matter for optimal environmental policy. Yet, much is less well understood, including how alternative policies affect fat-tailed distributions, the optimal policy in a computational economy with many fat-tailed problems, and how to account for imprecision in empirical tests for fat tails. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Resource Economics, Volume 13 is October 2021. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
我们调查了环境经济学中关于厚尾分布的越来越多的文献。然后,我们研究了这些分布的理论和统计特性,特别关注这些特性何时可能在环境问题中出现。我们发现,在环境经济学中,有许多变量是“肥尾”的,包括气候敏感性、自然灾害的影响、传染病的传播以及人们表示的支付意愿。我们认为不同的肥尾分布源于共同的途径。最后,我们回顾了有关厚尾分布的政策含义及其解释争议的文献。我们的结论是,在证明肥尾对最佳环境政策的影响方面,文献已经取得了很大的进步。然而,还有很多问题还没有得到很好的理解,包括替代政策如何影响肥尾分布,在有许多肥尾问题的计算经济中,最优政策是什么,以及如何解释肥尾实证测试中的不精确性。《资源经济学年鉴》第13卷的最终在线出版日期预计为2021年10月。修订后的估计数请参阅http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
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引用次数: 2
Agricultural Trade and Environmental Sustainability 农业贸易与环境可持续性
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-06-25 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-resource-101420-090453
K. Baylis, T. Heckelei, T. Hertel
Global agriculture consumes substantial resources and produces significant pollution. By shifting its production to new locations, and inducing changes in technology and input use, trade has a substantial impact on environmental sustainability of the world's food systems, but due to suboptimal environmental policy, the exact nature of these impacts is in dispute. We review the literature on agricultural trade and environmental sustainability, highlighting the different approaches taken in ecology versus economics. While useful in identifying environmental costs, much of the ecological literature does not compare these costs to a trade-free counterfactual and can therefore be misleading. Further, by moving production to places with more resources and increasing production efficiency, trade can reduce the environmental impact of food production. On the other hand, trade can also limit the effectiveness of domestic environmental policy because production can be shifted to countries with less stringent regulations. However, recently, consumers are leveraging trade policy to induce exporters to improve environmental sustainability. While such policies are gaining traction in wealthy countries, evidence suggests that such measures will not reach their potential without buy-in from decision makers in the countries where the environmental damages are occurring. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Resource Economics, Volume 13 is October 2021. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
全球农业消耗大量资源,产生严重污染。通过将其生产转移到新的地点,并引起技术和投入使用的变化,贸易对世界粮食系统的环境可持续性产生了重大影响,但由于次优的环境政策,这些影响的确切性质存在争议。我们回顾了有关农业贸易和环境可持续性的文献,强调了生态学与经济学所采用的不同方法。虽然在确定环境成本方面很有用,但许多生态文献并没有将这些成本与自由贸易的反事实进行比较,因此可能会产生误导。此外,通过将生产转移到资源更多的地方并提高生产效率,贸易可以减少粮食生产对环境的影响。另一方面,贸易也会限制国内环境政策的效力,因为生产可以转移到管制不那么严格的国家。然而,最近,消费者正在利用贸易政策促使出口商改善环境的可持续性。虽然这些政策在富裕国家越来越受欢迎,但有证据表明,如果没有环境损害发生国家决策者的支持,这些措施将无法发挥其潜力。《资源经济学年鉴》第13卷的最终在线出版日期预计为2021年10月。修订后的估计数请参阅http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
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引用次数: 11
Food Systems for Human and Planetary Health: Economic Perspectives and Challenges 促进人类和地球健康的粮食系统:经济前景和挑战
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-06-25 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-resource-101520-081337
S. Fan, D. Headey, Christopher Rue, T. Thomas
Food systems are currently facing unprecedented challenges. More than 690 million people still suffer hunger while climate change, rapid depletion of natural resources, and loss of biodiversity further threaten future food systems. Influential global reports emphasize the need for fundamental transformations of food systems for human and planetary health, but few incorporate economic considerations. This review adopts an economic lens to assessing potential transitions to ideal food systems that are productive, sustainable, nutritious, resilient, and inclusive. Our findings show that new technologies, policies, institutions, and behavior changes can leverage synergies for achieving multiple food system targets, but rigorous economic analysis is needed to further analyze trade-offs and to overcome complex behavioral, institutional, and political barriers. This review also points to important knowledge gaps that economists and other social scientists must address to contribute to the radical transformation of food systems. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Resource Economics, Volume 13 is October 2021. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
粮食系统目前正面临前所未有的挑战。超过6.9亿人仍在遭受饥饿,而气候变化、自然资源的迅速枯竭和生物多样性的丧失进一步威胁着未来的粮食系统。有影响力的全球报告强调,为了人类和地球的健康,需要从根本上改变粮食系统,但很少考虑到经济因素。本综述采用经济视角来评估向高产、可持续、营养、有韧性和包容的理想粮食系统的潜在转型。我们的研究结果表明,新技术、政策、制度和行为变化可以利用协同效应实现粮食系统的多个目标,但需要进行严格的经济分析,以进一步分析利弊权衡,并克服复杂的行为、制度和政治障碍。这篇综述还指出了经济学家和其他社会科学家必须解决的重要知识缺口,以便为粮食系统的根本变革做出贡献。《资源经济学年鉴》第13卷的最终在线出版日期预计为2021年10月。修订后的估计数请参阅http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
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引用次数: 18
Price Transmission in Agricultural Markets 农产品市场的价格传导
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-06-15 DOI: 10.1146/ANNUREV-RESOURCE-100518-093938
S. Cramon-Taubadel, B. Goodwin
We review recent developments in the analysis of price transmission in agricultural markets. Markets may be separated in time, form, and space (as well as in combinations of such factors). Transact...
我们回顾了农产品市场价格传导分析的最新进展。市场可以在时间、形式和空间(以及这些因素的组合)上分离。办理……
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引用次数: 12
Recent Advances in Empirical Land-Use Modeling 土地利用实证模型研究进展
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-06-08 DOI: 10.1146/ANNUREV-RESOURCE-100620-045839
A. Plantinga
Data sets providing repeated observations of land use at fine spatial scales have enabled a new generation of land-use studies. In the past decade, these analyses have put increasing emphasis on em...
提供精细空间尺度上土地利用重复观测的数据集使新一代土地利用研究成为可能。在过去的十年里,这些分析越来越强调……
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引用次数: 4
The Capitalization of Agricultural Subsidies into Land Prices 农业补贴在地价中的资本化
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-06-08 DOI: 10.1146/ANNUREV-RESOURCE-102020-100625
P. Ciaian, E. Baldoni, d'Artis Kancs, D. Drabik
We review the recent theoretical and empirical literature on the capitalization of agricultural subsidies into land prices. The theoretical literature predicts that agricultural subsidies are capit...
我们回顾了最近关于农业补贴资本化到土地价格的理论和实证文献。理论文献预测农业补贴是资本…
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引用次数: 14
Small Steps with Big Data: Using Machine Learning in Energy and Environmental Economics 大数据的小步:在能源和环境经济学中使用机器学习
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-06-03 DOI: 10.1146/ANNUREV-RESOURCE-100920-034117
Matthew Harding, Carlos Lamarche
This article reviews recent endeavors to incorporate big data and machine learning techniques into energy and environmental economics research. We find that novel datasets, from high frequency smar...
本文回顾了最近将大数据和机器学习技术纳入能源和环境经济学研究的努力。我们发现新的数据集,从高频智能…
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引用次数: 2
Carbon Taxes in Theory and Practice 碳税的理论与实践
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-06-02 DOI: 10.1146/ANNUREV-RESOURCE-102519-113630
G. Metcalf
As of 2020, carbon taxes were in effect in 30 jurisdictions around the world. This article provides a theoretical overview of carbon taxes along with some empirical evidence on the macroeconomic im...
截至2020年,全球30个司法管辖区实施了碳税。本文提供了碳税的理论概述以及一些宏观经济影响的实证证据。
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引用次数: 20
Resource Management Under Catastrophic Threats 灾难性威胁下的资源管理
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-06-02 DOI: 10.1146/ANNUREV-RESOURCE-100920-020522
Y. Tsur, A. Zemel
We survey the rapidly growing economic literature on environmental catastrophes and the various approaches developed to address the hovering threats. Various theoretical descriptions of catastrophi...
我们调查了关于环境灾难的快速增长的经济文献,以及为解决悬停威胁而开发的各种方法。关于灾难的各种理论描述……
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引用次数: 2
Information and Communications Technology (ICT) and Agricultural Extension in Developing Countries 发展中国家的信息和通信技术与农业推广
IF 5.8 2区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2021-06-02 DOI: 10.1146/ANNUREV-RESOURCE-101520-080657
D. Spielman, Els Lecoutere, Simrin Makhija, B. V. Campenhout
With new possibilities offered by information and communications technology (ICT), an abundance of products, services, and projects has emerged with the promise of revitalizing agricultural extension in developing countries. However, a growing body of evidence suggests that not all ICT-enabled extension approaches are equally effective in improving adoption, productivity, income, or welfare outcomes. In this review, we explore various conceptual and methodological threads in the literature on ICT-enabled extension in developing countries. We examine the role of multiple impact pathways, highlighting how ICTs influence behaviors and preferences, gender and intrahousehold dynamics, spillovers, and public worker incentives. We also explore the opportunities presented by ICT-enabled extension for increasing the methodological rigor with which extension outcomes are identified. These conceptual and methodological insights—coupled with empirical evidence from prior studies—offer direction for several lines of policy-relevant research on ICT-enabled extension. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Resource Economics, Volume 13 is October 2021. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
随着信息通信技术(ICT)提供新的可能性,出现了丰富的产品、服务和项目,有望重振发展中国家的农业推广。然而,越来越多的证据表明,并非所有利用信息通信技术的推广方法在提高采用率、生产力、收入或福利结果方面都同样有效。在这篇综述中,我们探讨了发展中国家信息通信技术扩展文献中的各种概念和方法线索。我们研究了多种影响途径的作用,强调了信息通信技术如何影响行为和偏好、性别和家庭内部动态、溢出效应和公共工作者激励。我们还探讨了支持信息通信技术的扩展所提供的机会,以提高确定扩展结果的方法严谨性。这些概念和方法上的见解,加上以往研究的经验证据,为信息通信技术扩展的若干政策相关研究方向提供了方向。《资源经济学年鉴》第13卷的最终在线出版日期预计为2021年10月。修订后的估计数请参阅http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
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引用次数: 19
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Annual Review of Resource Economics
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