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A Mean Field Game Approach to Bitcoin Mining 比特币采矿的均值场博弈方法
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1137/23m1617813
Charles Bertucci, Louis Bertucci, Jean-Michel Lasry, Pierre-Louis Lions
SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics, Volume 15, Issue 3, Page 960-987, September 2024.
Abstract.We present an analysis of the Proof-of-Work consensus algorithm, used on the Bitcoin blockchain, using a mean field game framework. Using a master equation, we provide an equilibrium characterization of the total computational power devoted to mining the blockchain (hashrate). This class of models allows us to adapt to many different situations. The essential structure of the game is preserved across all the enrichments. In deterministic settings, the hashrate ultimately reaches a steady state in which it increases at the rate of technological progress only. In stochastic settings, there exists a target for the hashrate for every possible random state. As a consequence, we show that in equilibrium the security of the underlying blockchain and the energy consumption either are constant or increase with the price of the underlying cryptocurrency.
SIAM 金融数学期刊》第 15 卷第 3 期第 960-987 页,2024 年 9 月。 摘要:我们利用均值场博弈框架对比特币区块链上使用的工作证明共识算法进行了分析。利用主方程,我们提供了用于挖掘区块链的总计算能力(哈希率)的均衡特征。这一类模型使我们能够适应许多不同的情况。博弈的基本结构在所有富集情况下都得以保留。在确定性设置中,哈希率最终会达到一个稳定状态,其增长速度仅与技术进步的速度相同。在随机情况下,每一种可能的随机状态都存在一个哈希率目标。因此,我们证明,在均衡状态下,底层区块链的安全性和能耗要么保持不变,要么随着底层加密货币价格的上涨而增加。
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引用次数: 0
Decentralized Finance and Automated Market Making: Predictable Loss and Optimal Liquidity Provision 分散金融和自动做市:可预测的损失和最佳流动性供应
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1137/23m1602103
Álvaro Cartea, Fayçal Drissi, Marcello Monga
SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics, Volume 15, Issue 3, Page 931-959, September 2024.
Abstract. Constant product markets with concentrated liquidity (CL) are the most popular type of automated market makers. In this paper, we characterize the continuous-time wealth dynamics of strategic liquidity providers (LPs) who dynamically adjust their range of liquidity provision in CL pools. Their wealth results from fee income, the value of their holdings in the pool, and rebalancing costs. Next, we derive a self-financing and closed-form optimal liquidity provision strategy where the width of the LP’s liquidity range is determined by the profitability of the pool (provision fees minus gas fees), the predictable loss (PL) of the LP’s position, and concentration risk. Concentration risk refers to the decrease in fee revenue if the marginal exchange rate (akin to the midprice in a limit order book) in the pool exits the LP’s range of liquidity. When the drift in the marginal rate is stochastic, we show how to optimally skew the range of liquidity to increase fee revenue and profit from the expected changes in the marginal rate. Finally, we use Uniswap v3 data to show that, on average, LPs have traded at a significant loss, and to show that the out-of-sample performance of our strategy is superior to the historical performance of LPs in the pool we consider.
SIAM 金融数学期刊》,第 15 卷第 3 期,第 931-959 页,2024 年 9 月。 摘要。具有集中流动性(CL)的恒定产品市场是最流行的自动做市商类型。在本文中,我们描述了策略性流动性提供者(LPs)的连续时间财富动态,他们会动态调整其在 CL 池中提供流动性的范围。他们的财富来自费用收入、在池中的持股价值和再平衡成本。接下来,我们推导出一种自负盈亏的封闭式最优流动性提供策略,其中 LP 流动性范围的宽度由池的盈利能力(提供费减去气体费)、LP 持仓的可预测损失(PL)和集中风险决定。集中风险指的是当池中的边际汇率(类似于限价订单簿中的中间价)超出 LP 的流动性范围时,费用收入的减少。当边际汇率的漂移是随机的,我们将展示如何优化流动性范围,以增加手续费收入,并从边际汇率的预期变化中获利。最后,我们利用 Uniswap v3 数据表明,平均而言,LP 的交易出现了重大亏损,并表明我们策略的样本外表现优于我们所考虑的池中 LP 的历史表现。
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引用次数: 0
A Two-Person Zero-Sum Game Approach for a Retirement Decision with Borrowing Constraints 借款约束下退休决策的双人零和博弈法
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-11 DOI: 10.1137/22m1528124
Junkee Jeon, Hyeng Keun Koo, Minsuk Kwak
SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics, Volume 15, Issue 3, Page 883-930, September 2024.
Abstract. We study an optimal consumption, investment, and retirement decision of an economic agent with borrowing constraints under a general class of utility functions. We transform the problem into a dual two-person zero-sum game, which involves two players: a stopper who is a maximizer and chooses a stopping time and a controller who is a minimizer and chooses a nonincreasing process. We derive the Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman quasi-variational inequality (HJBQVI) of a max-min type from the dual two-person zero-sum game. We provide a solution to the HJBQVI and verify that the solution to the HJBQVI is the value of the dual two-person zero-sum game. We establish the duality result which allows us to derive the optimal strategies and value function of the primal problem from those of the dual problem. We provide examples for a class of utility functions.
SIAM 金融数学期刊》,第 15 卷第 3 期,第 883-930 页,2024 年 9 月。 摘要。我们研究了一类效用函数下有借贷约束的经济主体的最优消费、投资和退休决策。我们将该问题转化为二元双人零和博弈,其中涉及两个参与者:一个是最大化并选择停止时间的停止者,另一个是最小化并选择非递增过程的控制者。我们从双人零和博弈中推导出最大最小类型的汉密尔顿-雅各比-贝尔曼准变分不等式(HJBQVI)。我们提供了 HJBQVI 的解,并验证了 HJBQVI 的解就是对偶两人零和博弈的值。我们建立了对偶性结果,从而可以从对偶问题中推导出原始问题的最优策略和价值函数。我们提供了一类效用函数的示例。
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引用次数: 0
Option Pricing in Sandwiched Volterra Volatility Model Sandwiched Volterra Volatility 模型中的期权定价
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-09 DOI: 10.1137/22m1521328
Giulia Di Nunno, Yuliya Mishura, Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko
SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics, Volume 15, Issue 3, Page 824-882, September 2024.
Abstract.We introduce a new model of financial market with stochastic volatility driven by an arbitrary Hölder continuous Gaussian Volterra process. The distinguishing feature of the model is the form of the volatility equation, which ensures that the solution is “sandwiched” between two arbitrary Hölder continuous functions chosen in advance. We discuss the structure of local martingale measures on this market, investigate integrability and Malliavin differentiability of prices and volatilities, and study absolute continuity of the corresponding probability laws. Additionally, we utilize Malliavin calculus to develop an algorithm of pricing options with discontinuous payoffs.
SIAM 金融数学期刊》,第 15 卷第 3 期,第 824-882 页,2024 年 9 月。 摘要.我们引入了一个由任意荷尔德连续高斯 Volterra 过程驱动的随机波动性金融市场新模型。该模型的显著特点是波动方程的形式,它确保了解被 "夹 "在事先选定的两个任意霍尔德连续函数之间。我们讨论了该市场上局部马氏计量的结构,研究了价格和波动率的可整性和马利亚文可微分性,并研究了相应概率规律的绝对连续性。此外,我们还利用马利亚文微积分开发了一种具有不连续报酬的期权定价算法。
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引用次数: 0
Reconciling Rough Volatility with Jumps 协调粗略波动与跳跃
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1137/23m1558847
Eduardo Abi Jaber, Nathan De Carvalho
SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics, Volume 15, Issue 3, Page 785-823, September 2024.
Abstract.We reconcile rough volatility models and jump models using a class of reversionary Heston models with fast mean reversions and large vol-of-vols. Starting from hyper-rough Heston models with a Hurst index [math]-, we derive a Markovian approximating class of one-dimensional reversionary Heston-type models. Such proxies encode a trade-off between an exploding vol-of-vol and a fast mean-reversion speed controlled by a reversionary timescale [math] and an unconstrained parameter [math]. Sending [math] to 0 yields convergence of the reversionary Heston model toward different explicit asymptotic regimes based on the value of the parameter [math]. In particular, for [math], the reversionary Heston model converges to a class of Lévy jump processes of normal inverse Gaussian type. Numerical illustrations show that the reversionary Heston model is capable of generating at-the-money skews similar to the ones generated by rough, hyper-rough, and jump models.
SIAM 金融数学期刊》第 15 卷第 3 期第 785-823 页,2024 年 9 月。 摘要.我们使用一类具有快速均值回归和大波动率的回归海斯顿模型来调和粗糙波动率模型和跳跃模型。从具有赫斯特指数[math]-的超粗糙赫斯顿模型出发,我们推导出一类马尔可夫近似的一维回归赫斯顿模型。这类近似模型在爆炸性的 Vol-of-vol 和快速的均值回归速度之间进行权衡,而快速均值回归速度由回归时标[math]和无约束参数[math]控制。将[math]设为 0 会导致回归海斯顿模型根据参数[math]的值向不同的显式渐近状态收敛。特别是,对于 [math],回归海斯顿模型收敛于一类正态反高斯类型的莱维跳跃过程。数值说明显示,复归赫斯顿模型能够产生与粗糙模型、超粗糙模型和跳跃模型类似的价差偏斜。
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引用次数: 0
Approximation Rates for Deep Calibration of (Rough) Stochastic Volatility Models 深度校准(粗糙)随机波动率模型的近似率
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-19 DOI: 10.1137/23m1606769
Francesca Biagini, Lukas Gonon, Niklas Walter
SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics, Volume 15, Issue 3, Page 734-784, September 2024.
Abstract.We derive quantitative error bounds for deep neural networks (DNNs) approximating option prices on a [math]-dimensional risky asset as functions of the underlying model parameters, payoff parameters, and initial conditions. We cover a general class of stochastic volatility models of Markovian nature as well as the rough Bergomi model. In particular, under suitable assumptions we show that option prices can be learned by DNNs up to an arbitrary small error [math] while the network size grows only subpolynomially in the asset vector dimension [math] and the reciprocal [math] of the accuracy. Hence, the approximation does not suffer from the curse of dimensionality. As quantitative approximation results for DNNs applicable in our setting are formulated for functions on compact domains, we first consider the case of the asset price restricted to a compact set, and then we extend these results to the general case by using convergence arguments for the option prices.
SIAM 金融数学期刊》,第 15 卷,第 3 期,第 734-784 页,2024 年 9 月。 摘要:我们推导了深度神经网络(DNN)近似[数学]维风险资产期权价格的定量误差边界,它是基础模型参数、报酬参数和初始条件的函数。我们的研究涵盖了马尔可夫性质的一般随机波动率模型以及粗糙的 Bergomi 模型。特别是,在合适的假设条件下,我们证明了 DNN 可以学习到任意小误差[数学]的期权价格,而网络规模的增长仅与资产向量维度[数学]和精度倒数[数学]成亚对数关系。因此,这种近似方法不会受到维度诅咒的影响。由于适用于我们设置的 DNN 的定量近似结果是针对紧凑域上的函数提出的,因此我们首先考虑了资产价格被限制在紧凑集合上的情况,然后通过使用期权价格的收敛论证将这些结果扩展到一般情况。
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引用次数: 0
Estimation of Systemic Shortfall Risk Measure Using Stochastic Algorithms 利用随机算法估算系统性亏空风险度量
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.1137/22m1539344
Sarah Kaakaï, Anis Matoussi, Achraf Tamtalini
SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics, Volume 15, Issue 3, Page 700-733, September 2024.
Abstract.Systemic risk measures were introduced to capture the global risk and the corresponding contagion effects that are generated by an interconnected system of financial institutions. To this purpose, two approaches were suggested. In the first one, systemic risk measures can be interpreted as the minimal amount of cash needed to secure a system after aggregating individual risks. In the second approach, systemic risk measures can be interpreted as the minimal amount of cash that secures a system by allocating capital to each single institution before aggregating individual risks. Although the theory behind these risk measures has been well investigated by several authors, the numerical part has been neglected so far. In this paper, we use stochastic algorithms schemes in estimating multivariate shortfall risk measure and prove that the resulting estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal. We also test numerically the performance of these algorithms on several examples.
SIAM 金融数学期刊》,第 15 卷第 3 期,第 700-733 页,2024 年 9 月。 摘要:引入系统风险度量是为了捕捉全球风险以及由相互关联的金融机构系统产生的相应传染效应。为此,提出了两种方法。在第一种方法中,系统风险度量可解释为在汇总单个风险后确保系统安全所需的最低现金量。在第二种方法中,系统性风险度量可解释为在汇总单个风险之前,通过向每个单一机构分配资本来确保系统安全的最小现金量。尽管多位学者对这些风险度量背后的理论进行了深入研究,但迄今为止,数值部分一直被忽视。在本文中,我们使用随机算法方案来估算多元缺口风险度量,并证明所得到的估算结果是一致的,且渐近正态的。我们还在几个例子中对这些算法的性能进行了数值测试。
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引用次数: 0
Short Communication: The Price of Information 简短交流:信息的价格
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1137/24m1644791
Sebastian Jaimungal, Xiaofei Shi
SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics, Volume 15, Issue 3, Page SC54-SC67, September 2024.
Abstract.When an investor is faced with the option to purchase additional information regarding an asset price, how much should she pay? To address this question, we solve for the indifference price of information in a setting where a trader maximizes her expected utility of terminal wealth over a finite time horizon. If she does not purchase the information, then she solves a partial information stochastic control problem, while if she does purchase the information, then she pays a cost and receives partial information about the asset’s trajectory. We further demonstrate that when the investor can purchase the information at any stopping time prior to the end of the trading horizon, she chooses to do so at a deterministic time.
SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics, Volume 15, Issue 3, Page SC54-SC67, September 2024. 摘要.当投资者面临购买资产价格额外信息的选择时,她应该支付多少钱?为了解决这个问题,我们求解了交易者在有限时间跨度内最大化其终端财富预期效用的情况下的信息无差异价格。如果她不购买信息,那么她就解决了一个部分信息随机控制问题,而如果她购买信息,那么她就支付了成本,并获得了关于资产轨迹的部分信息。我们进一步证明,当投资者可以在交易期限结束前的任何停止时间购买信息时,她会选择在确定时间购买。
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引用次数: 0
Adaptive Optimal Market Making Strategies with Inventory Liquidation Cost 有库存清算成本的自适应最优市场决策策略
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-31 DOI: 10.1137/23m1571058
Jonathan Chávez-Casillas, José E. Figueroa-López, Chuyi Yu, Yi Zhang
SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics, Volume 15, Issue 3, Page 653-699, September 2024.
Abstract.A novel high-frequency market making approach in discrete time is proposed that admits closed-form solutions. By taking advantage of demand functions that are linear in the quoted bid and ask spreads with random coefficients, we model the variability of the partial filling of limit orders posted in a limit order book (LOB). As a result, we uncover new patterns as to how the demand’s randomness affects the optimal placement strategy. We also allow the price process to follow general dynamics without any Brownian or martingale assumption as is commonly adopted in the literature. The most important feature of our optimal placement strategy is that it can react or adapt to the behavior of market orders online. Using LOB data, we train our model and reproduce the anticipated final profit and loss of the optimal strategy on a given testing date using the actual flow of orders in the LOB. Our adaptive optimal strategies outperform the nonadaptive strategy and those that quote limit orders at a fixed distance from the midprice.
SIAM 金融数学期刊》,第 15 卷第 3 期,第 653-699 页,2024 年 9 月。 摘要.本文提出了一种新颖的离散时间高频做市方法,并给出了闭式解。通过利用在报价买入价和卖出价差中具有线性随机系数的需求函数,我们对在限价订单簿(LOB)中发布的限价订单部分成交的可变性进行了建模。因此,我们发现了需求随机性如何影响最优配售策略的新模式。我们还允许价格过程遵循一般动态,而不采用文献中通常采用的布朗或马氏假设。我们的最优配售策略最重要的特点是,它可以对在线市场订单的行为做出反应或适应。利用 LOB 数据,我们训练了模型,并利用 LOB 中的实际订单流重现了最优策略在给定测试日期的预期最终盈亏。我们的自适应最优策略的表现优于非自适应策略,也优于那些以中间价固定距离报价限价订单的策略。
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引用次数: 0
Partial Hedging in Rough Volatility Models 粗略波动模型中的部分套期保值
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.1137/23m1583090
Edouard Motte, Donatien Hainaut
SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics, Volume 15, Issue 3, Page 601-652, September 2024.
Abstract.This paper studies the problem of partial hedging within the framework of rough volatility models in an incomplete market setting. We employ a stochastic control problem formulation to minimize the discrepancy between a stochastic target and the terminal value of a hedging portfolio. As rough volatility models are neither Markovian nor semimartingales, stochastic control problems associated with rough models are quite complex to solve. Therefore, we propose a multifactor approximation of the rough volatility model and introduce the associated Markov stochastic control problem. We establish the convergence of the optimal solution for the Markov partial hedging problem to the optimal solution of the original problem as the number of factors tends to infinity. Furthermore, the optimal solution of the Markov problem can be derived by solving a Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equation and more precisely a nonlinear partial differential equation (PDE). Due to the inherent complexity of this nonlinear PDE, an explicit formula for the optimal solution is generally unattainable. By introducing the dual solution of the Markov problem and expressing the primal solution as a function of the dual solution, we derive approximate solutions to the Markov problem using a dual control method. This method allows for suboptimal choices of dual control to deduce lower and upper bounds on the optimal solution as well as suboptimal hedging ratios. In particular, explicit formulas for partial hedging strategies in a rough Heston model are derived.
SIAM 金融数学期刊》第 15 卷第 3 期第 601-652 页,2024 年 9 月。 摘要:本文研究了不完全市场环境下,在粗糙波动率模型框架内的部分对冲问题。我们采用随机控制问题的表述方法,以最小化对冲组合的随机目标值与终值之间的差异。由于粗糙波动率模型既不是马尔可夫模型,也不是半马尔马特模型,因此与粗糙模型相关的随机控制问题的求解相当复杂。因此,我们提出了粗糙波动率模型的多因素近似,并引入了相关的马尔可夫随机控制问题。我们确定了当因子数趋于无穷大时,马尔可夫部分对冲问题的最优解收敛于原始问题的最优解。此外,马尔可夫问题的最优解可以通过求解汉密尔顿-雅各比-贝尔曼方程(Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation),更确切地说,是通过求解非线性偏微分方程(PDE)得到。由于这种非线性偏微分方程本身的复杂性,通常无法获得最优解的明确公式。通过引入马尔可夫问题的对偶解,并将原始解表达为对偶解的函数,我们利用对偶控制方法得出了马尔可夫问题的近似解。这种方法允许选择次优对偶控制,从而推导出最优解的下限和上限以及次优对冲比率。特别是推导出了粗略赫斯顿模型中部分对冲策略的明确公式。
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引用次数: 0
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SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics
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