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A Low Carbon Pathway for the Turkish Electricity Generation Sector 土耳其发电行业的低碳之路
Pub Date : 2023-01-22 DOI: 10.47852/bonviewglce3202552
Izzet Ari
The aim of this article is to analyze the decarbonization options of Türkiye's electricity generation sector. Türkiye is an emerging economy, so its population, economic activities and overall welfare have been increasing. However, economic and social development result in rising greenhouse gases, particularly CO2 emissions. Türkiye's emissions are required to be mitigated. Firstly, the main drivers (GDP, population, energy, and carbon intensity of primary energy sources, etc.) CO2 emissions of electricity are investigated between 2008 and 2020. The method of this query is based on Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI). Secondly, Türkiye's climate policy on the decarbonization of the electricity sector is analyzed. To that, supply and demand projections of electricity are conducted. After these projections are completed, decarbonization policy options are assessed in the LEAP Model (Low Emissions Analysis Platform). The reduction potential for CO2 emissions and the costs will be calculated according to the policy options. The projections will be extended by 2053 because Türkiye has declared to net zero emissions target by 2053. The electricity sector will have a significant emissions reduction and decarbonization potential, so its contribution to the overall net zero emissions target is crucial for Türkiye's long-term low emissions development strategy.
本文的目的是分析基耶发电部门的脱碳选择。日本是一个新兴经济体,因此其人口、经济活动和整体福利一直在增加。然而,经济和社会的发展导致温室气体,特别是二氧化碳排放量的增加。 rkiye的排放必须得到缓解。首先,研究了2008 - 2020年电力CO2排放的主要驱动因素(GDP、人口、能源和一次能源碳强度等)。该查询的方法基于对数平均除法指数(LMDI)。其次,分析了日本在电力行业脱碳方面的气候政策。为此,进行了电力供需预测。在这些预测完成后,在LEAP模型(低排放分析平台)中评估脱碳政策选择。减少二氧化碳排放的潜力和成本将根据政策选择进行计算。这些预测将延长到2053年,因为 rkiye已宣布到2053年实现净零排放目标。电力部门将具有巨大的减排和脱碳潜力,因此其对总体净零排放目标的贡献对于 rkiye的长期低排放发展战略至关重要。
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引用次数: 1
An Ecological Impact Fund 生态影响基金
Pub Date : 2023-01-13 DOI: 10.47852/bonviewglce3202583
Thomas Pogge
The Ecological Impact Fund (EIF) is a proposed new international financing facility that would enable originators of innovative green technologies to exchange some of their monopoly privileges in return for impact rewards. The invited exchange would apply only in the lower-income countries: originators choosing to forgo their monopoly markups in this EIF Zone would receive annual premiums based on the emission reductions achieved with deployments of their “greenovation” in that EIF Zone. The EIF’s main purpose is greatly to improve the diffusion of impactful green technologies in the Global South. It would do so first by inducing participating originators to waive licensing fees and monopoly markups, and second by giving these originators a financial interest in the wide and effective use of their participating innovations. In addition, the EIF would stimulate development of additional greenovations that – tailored to prevailing needs, cultures, circumstances, and preferences in the EIF Zone – would be especially impactful there. These two effects would produce a third: the EIF would help build capacities to develop, manufacture, distribute, install, operate, and maintain greenovations in the EIF Zone.
生态影响基金(EIF)是一项拟议中的新的国际融资工具,它将使创新绿色技术的发起者能够以一些垄断特权换取影响奖励。被邀请的交易所将只适用于低收入国家:选择放弃在该EIF区内的垄断加价的发起者将根据在该EIF区内部署其“绿色创新”所实现的减排量获得年度奖励。EIF的主要目的是大力促进有影响力的绿色技术在全球南方国家的传播。它将首先通过诱导参与的原创者放弃许可费和垄断加成来实现这一目标,其次通过让这些原创者在广泛和有效地使用其参与的创新中获得经济利益。此外,EIF将刺激更多的绿色创新的发展,这些创新是根据EIF地区的普遍需求、文化、环境和偏好量身定制的,对当地的影响尤其大。这两种影响将产生第三种影响:EIF将有助于在EIF区内建立开发、制造、分销、安装、运营和维护绿色创新的能力。
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引用次数: 0
Pub Date : 2023-01-10 DOI: 10.47852/bonviewglce3202511
Victor D. Gazman
This article presents the results of the study, the purpose of which was to develop a new criterion for the Environment, Social, Governance (ESG) model and recommendations for its use in the ESG in determining the socioeconomic benefits of wind and solar energy instead of the most toxic generation—coal. The criterion proposed by the author for the ESG model has not been previously considered in the scientific literature. Based on the theoretical assumptions, the author’s methodology for determining the achieved savings is presented in the example of a number of large energy companies RWE, Enel, and Sunseap in Singapore. This article presents the model developed by the author and the calculations themselves and comments related to the proposed model. This article presents the author’s developed model and the calculations and comments themselves. The calculations carried out are based on the actual amount of carbon dioxide emissions charges, taking into account the damage caused, the number of people saved from premature death due to harmful CO2 emissions into the atmosphere, the value of statistical life determined by the WorldBank for Germany, Singapore, and Italy, the costs of treating concomitant diseases, and the social discount rate. This makes it possible to determine the real socioeconomic effect of replacing fossil energy sources with cleaner energy carriers that are not carbon-containing. An argument is presented that refutes the argument about the occurrence of a significant increase in costs in the economy that may arise due to the introduction of a fixed fee for harmful emissions. This allows you to set more accurate benchmarks and indicators in the ESG system and use them in attracting investors, forming ratings, and training specialists. The results of the research presented in this article may be useful for analysts who are engaged in the development and use of ratings for the ESG model, primarily for section E but also for section S. This article highlights the possibilities of accelerating invest
本文介绍了这项研究的结果,其目的是为环境、社会、治理(ESG)模型制定一个新的标准,并建议在ESG中使用该标准来确定风能和太阳能替代毒性最大的发电方式——煤炭的社会经济效益。作者为ESG模型提出的标准以前在科学文献中没有被考虑过。基于理论假设,作者以新加坡的RWE、Enel和Sunseap等大型能源公司为例,介绍了确定已实现节约的方法。本文介绍了作者开发的模型和计算本身,并对所提出的模型进行了评论。本文给出了作者开发的模型,并给出了计算结果和评论。所进行的计算是根据二氧化碳排放费的实际数额,考虑到造成的损害、因有害二氧化碳排放到大气中而免于过早死亡的人数、世界银行为德国、新加坡和意大利确定的统计寿命值、治疗伴随疾病的费用以及社会贴现率。这使得确定用不含碳的清洁能源替代化石能源的真正社会经济影响成为可能。本文提出了一个论点,反驳了由于对有害排放物征收固定费用而可能导致经济成本显著增加的论点。这使您可以在ESG系统中设置更准确的基准和指标,并将其用于吸引投资者、形成评级和培训专家。本文提出的研究结果可能对从事ESG模型评级开发和使用的分析师有用,主要用于E部分,但也用于s部分。本文强调了加速投资的可能性
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引用次数: 0
The Role of Renewable Energy in the Transition to Green, Low-carbon Power Generation in Asia 可再生能源在亚洲向绿色低碳发电转型中的作用
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.47852/bonviewglce3202761
Jorge Morales Pedraza
An essential factor in a nation's economic development is energy. Among the various energy sources, renewable energies have demonstrated that they can replace fossil fuels in electricity production without harming the environment and are a trustworthy and affordable source to meet future energy requirements. Asia is now involved in an energy and economy transition process to move away from a fossil fuel-based energy matrix toward a green economy, where electricity generation will depend on renewable energy. This shift should be carried out and supported by governments and energy industries in different countries. The manuscript aims to provide governments and industry representatives with the latest information they need to guide the energy transaction to a green economy, minimizing the harmful ecological and environmental impact.
能源是一个国家经济发展的重要因素。在各种能源中,可再生能源已经证明,它们可以在不损害环境的情况下取代化石燃料发电,是一种值得信赖和负担得起的能源,可以满足未来的能源需求。亚洲目前正在进行能源和经济转型,从以化石燃料为基础的能源模式转向绿色经济,在绿色经济中,发电将依赖可再生能源。这种转变应该由不同国家的政府和能源行业来实施和支持。该手稿旨在为政府和行业代表提供他们所需的最新信息,以指导能源交易走向绿色经济,最大限度地减少有害的生态和环境影响。
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引用次数: 1
A Literature Survey of Green and Low-Carbon Economics Using Natural Experiment Approaches in Top Field Journal 基于自然实验方法的绿色低碳经济学文献综述
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.47852/bonviewglce3202827
Zhiyang Wu, Yu Zhao, Ning Zhang
The last 20 years or so have witnessed the academic torrent of natural experiments in environmental and climate change economics, and we have attempted to document this particular and important branch of economics. This paper reviews theoretical and empirical research in this branch using natural experiment approaches in field-top journals, including economic and scientific journals. We have organized and categorized the related papers into five major dimensions: content, identification strategies, regions, data, and theoretical models and channels. Statistics have found that causal inference and channel analysis on environmental externalities and related governance have endured for 20 years. Until about 10 years ago, a major shift towards diversification of research was taking place, with energy and low-carbon development themes making their way into these journals on the one hand, and developing countries, led by China, attracting attention because of their political systems and other factors. Identification strategies have also become more rigorous, as reflected in the identification concerns (e.g., omitted variables, selection, and reverse causation). Lastly, we also observe that the deep exploration of internal mechanisms and the availability of all types of data have dramatically impacted the traditional paradigm of economics.
过去20年左右见证了环境和气候变化经济学中自然实验的学术洪流,我们试图记录这一特殊而重要的经济学分支。本文用自然实验的方法回顾了该领域顶尖期刊(包括经济和科学期刊)在这一领域的理论和实证研究。我们将相关论文分为五大维度:内容、识别策略、地域、数据、理论模型和渠道。统计发现,对环境外部性和相关治理的因果推理和渠道分析已经持续了20年。直到大约10年前,向研究多样化的重大转变正在发生,一方面,能源和低碳发展主题进入了这些期刊,而以中国为首的发展中国家由于其政治制度和其他因素而吸引了人们的关注。识别策略也变得更加严格,这反映在识别关注点上(例如,省略变量、选择和反向因果关系)。最后,我们还观察到,对内部机制的深入探索和所有类型数据的可用性极大地影响了传统的经济学范式。
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引用次数: 1
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Green and Low-Carbon Economy
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