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Analysis on the Energy Demand, CO2 and Pollutant Emissions, and Health Benefits from Urban Road Transport Sector: A Case Study of Shenyang 城市道路交通行业能源需求、CO2和污染物排放与健康效益分析——以沈阳市为例
Pub Date : 2023-05-26 DOI: 10.47852/bonviewglce3202682
Shupeng Li, Qiang Yue
As society develops and urbanization accelerates, energy requirement and environmental emissions in the road transport field have expanded in Shenyang, China. It is necessary to look at its future energy needs and environmental emission trends. In this work, we have used the LEAP model to account for the energy requirement and environmental emissions from 2017 to 2030 under five scenarios for the road transport sector in Shenyang. Additionally, the intake fraction approach was applied to estimate the health effects and financial damages of NOX, SO2, PM10, and PM2.5 emissions. The results indicate that the energy required in 2030will reach 8.18~10.65 Mtce in various scenarios. By 2030, under the business as usual (BAU) scenario, the emissions of CO2, CO, SO2, NOX, PM10, and PM2.5 will be 31089.51, 1794.4, 20.59, 205.88, 6.6 and 6.5 kt, respectively. Regarding health benefits, financial damage caused by NOX, SO2, PM10, PM2.5 emissions will reach RMB 8.594, 0.117, 1.013, and 1.566 billion in 2030 under the BAU scenario. Moreover, the development of energy-efficient and new energy automobiles is the best means of reducing energy demand and environmental emissions; thus, this approach should be paid special attention when developing future energy efficiency and emission abatement policies for road transport.
随着社会的发展和城市化进程的加快,沈阳道路运输领域的能源需求和环境排放不断扩大。有必要考虑其未来的能源需求和环境排放趋势。在这项工作中,我们使用LEAP模型计算了沈阳市道路运输部门2017年至2030年五种情景下的能源需求和环境排放。此外,还应用吸入分数法估算了NOX、SO2、PM10和PM2.5排放对健康的影响和经济损失。结果表明,2030年各情景下的能源需求将达到8.18~10.65 Mtce。到2030年,在一切照旧(BAU)的情况下,二氧化碳、一氧化碳、二氧化硫、氮氧化物、PM10和PM2.5的排放量将分别为31089.51万吨、1794.4万吨、20.59万吨、205.88万吨、6.6万吨和6.5万吨。在BAU情景下,2030年NOX、SO2、PM10、PM2.5排放造成的健康效益、经济损失分别为8594亿元、0.117亿元、10.13亿元、15.66亿元。此外,发展节能汽车和新能源汽车是减少能源需求和环境排放的最佳手段;因此,在制定未来道路运输的能源效率和减少排放政策时,应特别注意这一办法。
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引用次数: 5
A Blockchain Cross-Border Payment System to Enable a Potential Caribbean Regional Emissions Trading Scheme 区块链跨境支付系统实现潜在的加勒比地区排放交易计划
Pub Date : 2023-05-17 DOI: 10.47852/bonviewglce3202825
Don Charles
The implementation of the Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) is crucial for achieving the goals of the Paris Agreement. However, the lack of financial support from the international community has been a significant obstacle for the Caribbean Community (CARICOM) Member States. To this end, market-based mechanisms, such as an emissions trading scheme (ETS), included in the Paris Agreement can provide an effective incentive for greenhouse gas (GHG) emitting stakeholders to reduce their emissions and help countries achieve their NDCs. A cross-border payment system is essential for the transfer of funds as well as emissions allowances between regulated entities in different countries in a regional emissions trading scheme. The cross-border payment system needs to be secure, fast, efficient, and cost-effective. Notably, the Caribbean region’s current cross-border payment system is based on correspondent banking, and ill-equipped to properly handle cross-country trading in a potential regional ETS. As a result, blockchain emerges as a practical tool to strengthen the Caribbean’s cross-border payment system to facilitate regional emissions trading. This study explores how a blockchain cross-border payment system can be used for a potential Caribbean emissions trading scheme.
落实国家自主贡献对于实现《巴黎协定》目标至关重要。然而,缺乏国际社会的财政支持一直是加勒比共同体(加共体)成员国面临的一个重大障碍。为此,《巴黎协定》中包含的以市场为基础的机制,如排放交易计划(ETS),可以有效激励温室气体排放利益相关者减少排放,帮助各国实现国家自主贡献。在区域排放交易计划中,跨境支付系统对于在不同国家的受监管实体之间转移资金和排放配额至关重要。跨境支付系统需要安全、快速、高效、具有成本效益。值得注意的是,加勒比地区目前的跨境支付系统以代理银行为基础,无法妥善处理潜在区域ETS中的跨国交易。因此,区块链成为加强加勒比地区跨境支付系统以促进区域排放交易的实用工具。本研究探讨了如何将区块链跨境支付系统用于潜在的加勒比排放交易计划。
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引用次数: 0
Does the Carbon Emissions Trading Scheme Improve Carbon Total Factor Productivity? Evidence from Chinese Cities 碳排放交易机制是否提高了碳全要素生产率?来自中国城市的证据
Pub Date : 2023-05-15 DOI: 10.47852/bonviewglce3202905
Wantong Yang, Ning Zhang
Improving CTFP is required for China’s sustainable development, and the carbon emission trading scheme is crucial to achieving this goal. In this paper, we construct a staggered DID strategy to investigate the impact of regional ETS pilot policy on city-level CTFP using city panel data from 2008 to 2019. The main results show that the ETS pilot policy can increase CTFP by 3.3% in ETS cities compared to non-ETS cities. Mechanism tests suggest that the growth in CTFP mainly results from an increase in EC and BPC. Moreover, we use the CTFP calculated from the Solow residual instead of the CTFP obtained from the MML index. We also perform other robustness tests to exclude the interference of potential threats to the results.
提高CTFP是中国可持续发展的需要,而碳排放权交易机制是实现这一目标的关键。本文采用2008年至2019年的城市面板数据,构建了交错DID策略来研究区域ETS试点政策对城市CTFP的影响。主要结果表明,与非ETS城市相比,ETS试点政策可使ETS城市的CTFP提高3.3%。机制试验表明CTFP的增长主要是由于EC和BPC的增加。此外,我们使用从索洛残差计算的CTFP代替从MML指数得到的CTFP。我们还进行了其他稳健性测试,以排除潜在威胁对结果的干扰。
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引用次数: 4
Does Air Pollution Cause Obesity? New Evidence from China 空气污染会导致肥胖吗?来自中国的新证据
Pub Date : 2023-05-12 DOI: 10.47852/bonviewglce3202736
Guanglai Zhang, Bin Lin, Yayun Ren
The global obesity rate has risen at an alarming rate in recent decades, and “fatness” has become an increasingly serious public health problem. At the same time, the loss of working hours and increased medical costs caused by air pollution have a wide range of direct and indirect effects on the health of the population and the macroeconomy. Against this background, using data from the China Family Panel Survey (CFPS) and thermal inversion as instrumental variables, this study analyzes the effect of air pollution on the risk of obesity among residents. We employ a two-stage least squares method to identify the effects of air pollution on the risk of obesity. The findings indicate that for a 1 μg/m³ increase in the annual average PM2.5 concentration at the county level, the obesity level increases significantly by 0.0286. This result is credible after a series of robustness checks; male groups, less-educated groups, and rural residents are more sensitive to the negative effects of air pollution. Finally, policy suggestions are provided.
近几十年来,全球肥胖率以惊人的速度上升,“肥胖”已成为一个日益严重的公共卫生问题。与此同时,空气污染造成的工时损失和医疗费用增加对人口健康和宏观经济产生广泛的直接和间接影响。在此背景下,本研究利用中国家庭面板调查(CFPS)数据和热反演作为工具变量,分析了空气污染对居民肥胖风险的影响。我们采用两阶段最小二乘法来确定空气污染对肥胖风险的影响。结果表明,县级PM2.5年平均浓度每增加1 μg/m³,肥胖水平显著增加0.0286。经过一系列稳健性检验,该结果是可信的;男性群体、受教育程度较低的群体和农村居民对空气污染的负面影响更为敏感。最后,提出政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
Carbon Farming: Nature-Based Solutions in Brazil 碳农业:巴西基于自然的解决方案
Pub Date : 2023-05-04 DOI: 10.47852/bonviewglce3202887
Danielle Mendes Thame Denny, Carlos Eduardo Pellegrino Cerri, Maurício Roberto Cherubin
Agriculture can breach the emission gap between countries' and companies' declared goals and actual achievements related to carbon neutrality. But to do so, techniques must change from the monocultural to more integrated systems that provide many eco-services, among which carbon sequestration. The Research Centre for Greenhouse Gas Innovation, which was created in 2016, in its last renewal in 2021, established the first nationwide nature-based solutions empirical data collection from the seven Brazilian biomes, on forestry, pasture, and agriculture, more specifically researching the role of agriculture for carbon sequestration and the possibilities to implement low emissions pastures. Some of the experts that take part in this centre were the source of the information this paper brings, and that is the result of action research techniques, combined with content analyses assisted by Atlas TI. The main conclusions of this paper are: a) that soil health increases the capacity to sequester carbon inside the soil at the same time that it also promotes socio-economic development because of more productivity in the long term and also by bringing extra economic value derived from the better quality sustainability can provide; b) the transition needed away from low-productivity pastures and in direction to carbon farming regenerative projects can contribute to meeting the emission goals; c) there is the risk of carbon pricing increase the value of land, cause social exclusion or influence production decisions away from food; therefore regulation will need to play an important role, d) Brazil has an opportunity to promote circular sustainable bioeconomy and doing so to assume its position as an agri-environmental power.
农业可以弥补国家和企业在碳中和方面宣布的目标与实际成就之间的排放差距。但要做到这一点,技术必须从单一栽培转变为更综合的系统,提供许多生态服务,其中包括碳封存。温室气体创新研究中心成立于2016年,在2021年的最后一次更新中,建立了第一个全国性的基于自然的解决方案,收集了来自巴西七个生物群落、林业、牧场和农业的经验数据,更具体地研究了农业在碳封存方面的作用以及实施低排放牧场的可能性。参与该中心的一些专家是本文带来的信息的来源,这是行动研究技术与Atlas TI协助的内容分析相结合的结果。本文的主要结论是:a)土壤健康增加了土壤固碳能力,同时也促进了社会经济发展,因为从长远来看,土壤健康提高了土壤的生产力,并带来了更高质量的可持续性带来的额外经济价值;B)从低生产力牧场向碳农业方向的转型,可再生项目有助于实现排放目标;C)存在碳定价增加土地价值、造成社会排斥或影响粮食以外的生产决策的风险;因此,监管将需要发挥重要作用,d)巴西有机会促进循环可持续生物经济,并以此承担其作为农业环境大国的地位。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding the Potential Impact of Climate Change on Hydropower Generation in Rwanda 了解气候变化对卢旺达水力发电的潜在影响
Pub Date : 2023-04-24 DOI: 10.47852/bonviewglce3202762
Hakizimana Eustache, Umaru Garba Wali, Kayibanda Venant
The primary energy sources used in Rwanda include solar energy, methane gas, diesel and heavy oil generators, hydropower plants, and thermal power plants. Hydropower is a significant renewable low-carbon energy source, generates more than 45% of Rwanda's total electricity. It requires water to produce energy, therefore any modifications to the natural hydrological cycle brought on by climate change have an impact and will continue to have an influence on the production of electricity. Hydropower is sorrow from an increase in extreme weather occurrences and erosion. Therefore, by altering flow (discharge) and head, climate change may have an effect on hydropower. The amount of sediment that is transferred to the reservoir lowers its capacity, and the dry season may result in less water in the reservoir, which has an impact on the hydroelectric power generation process. According to the study, changes in river flow have the greatest impact on how hydropower is affected by climate change. Droughts, seasonal and frequent floods, and greater variability due to climate change are the main contributors. The results show that climate change is likely to have a more pronounced impact on hydropower operations, with reductions in water availability due to climate change expected to result in reduced power generation. Additionally, existing dams will be located in areas at high risk of flooding due to climate change. In order to ensure electricity availability throughout the year, especially during the hot or dry seasons when discharges are often low, the required changes should be performed. These adjustments include using alternate backup sources and storage systems. Water consumers can be conserved and optimized through water resource management, drought resistance, flood protection, and conservation.
卢旺达使用的主要能源包括太阳能、甲烷气、柴油和重油发电机、水力发电厂和火力发电厂。水电是一种重要的可再生低碳能源,发电量占卢旺达总发电量的45%以上。它需要水来产生能量,因此气候变化对自然水文循环的任何改变都会对电力的生产产生影响,并将继续产生影响。水力发电因极端天气和水土流失的增加而受到损害。因此,气候变化可能通过改变流量(流量)和水头对水电产生影响。输往水库的泥沙量降低了水库的容量,旱季可能导致水库水量减少,这对水力发电过程产生了影响。根据这项研究,河流流量的变化对气候变化对水电的影响最大。干旱、季节性和频繁的洪水以及气候变化造成的更大变异是主要原因。结果表明,气候变化可能对水电运营产生更明显的影响,由于气候变化导致的水资源供应减少预计将导致发电量减少。此外,由于气候变化,现有的水坝将位于洪水风险较高的地区。为了确保全年的电力供应,特别是在炎热或干旱的季节,当排放量通常很低时,应该进行必要的改变。这些调整包括使用备用备份源和存储系统。通过水资源管理、抗旱、防洪和节约,可以节约和优化用水户。
{"title":"Understanding the Potential Impact of Climate Change on Hydropower Generation in Rwanda","authors":"Hakizimana Eustache, Umaru Garba Wali, Kayibanda Venant","doi":"10.47852/bonviewglce3202762","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.47852/bonviewglce3202762","url":null,"abstract":"The primary energy sources used in Rwanda include solar energy, methane gas, diesel and heavy oil generators, hydropower plants, and thermal power plants. Hydropower is a significant renewable low-carbon energy source, generates more than 45% of Rwanda's total electricity. It requires water to produce energy, therefore any modifications to the natural hydrological cycle brought on by climate change have an impact and will continue to have an influence on the production of electricity. Hydropower is sorrow from an increase in extreme weather occurrences and erosion. Therefore, by altering flow (discharge) and head, climate change may have an effect on hydropower. The amount of sediment that is transferred to the reservoir lowers its capacity, and the dry season may result in less water in the reservoir, which has an impact on the hydroelectric power generation process. According to the study, changes in river flow have the greatest impact on how hydropower is affected by climate change. Droughts, seasonal and frequent floods, and greater variability due to climate change are the main contributors. The results show that climate change is likely to have a more pronounced impact on hydropower operations, with reductions in water availability due to climate change expected to result in reduced power generation. Additionally, existing dams will be located in areas at high risk of flooding due to climate change. In order to ensure electricity availability throughout the year, especially during the hot or dry seasons when discharges are often low, the required changes should be performed. These adjustments include using alternate backup sources and storage systems. Water consumers can be conserved and optimized through water resource management, drought resistance, flood protection, and conservation.","PeriodicalId":489841,"journal":{"name":"Green and Low-Carbon Economy","volume":"36 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-04-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135223513","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Carbon Neutrality Goal Is Too Far Away? Residents’ Psychological Distance of Low-Carbon Policy Over Time and Space in China 碳中和目标太遥远了?中国居民对低碳政策的时空心理距离
Pub Date : 2023-04-23 DOI: 10.47852/bonviewglce3202771
Yong Liu, Shaoyi Sun
Residents' psychological time and space distance from the low-carbon policy can affect their support for the policy. The objective of this study is to investigate the psychological spatiotemporal distance of Chinese residents toward low-carbon policies and its influencing factors. Structural equation modeling was used in this study. Based on the data from the questionnaire survey, we found that most of the interviewed residents had a psychological time distance of 21–30 years for low-carbon policies, while the spatial distance was in the "global" range. Therefore, the goal of achieving carbon neutrality by 2060 exceeds the psychological time distance of the interviewed residents. The results of the structural equation model showed that residents' psychological time distance toward low-carbon policies is significantly and positively correlated with policy effects, policy costs, and residents' low-carbon values and attitudes. Residents' psychological spatial distance to low-carbon policies was significantly and positively correlated with the effects of low-carbon policies and residents' low-carbon values and attitudes.
居民与低碳政策的心理时空距离会影响其对政策的支持度。本研究旨在探讨中国居民对低碳政策的心理时空距离及其影响因素。本研究采用结构方程模型。根据问卷调查数据,我们发现大部分受访居民对低碳政策的心理时间距离为21-30年,而空间距离在“全球”范围内。因此,到2060年实现碳中和的目标超出了受访居民的心理时间距离。结构方程模型结果显示,居民对低碳政策的心理时间距离与政策效果、政策成本、居民低碳价值观和态度显著正相关。居民对低碳政策的心理空间距离与低碳政策效果、居民的低碳价值观和低碳态度呈显著正相关。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Farmer-Managed Natural Regeneration on Resilience and Welfare in Mali 农民管理的自然再生对马里恢复力和福利的影响
Pub Date : 2023-04-21 DOI: 10.47852/bonviewglce3202698
Ephraim Nkonya, Edward Kato, Carolyn Kabore
Climate change, poverty, and low environmental education have contributed to increasing vulnerability of poor farmers in Mali. This study was done to determine the impact of low-cost adaptation strategies on resilience and welfare. We analyzed the impact of a World Vision project which promoted climate-smart agricultural (CSA) practices in Mali from 2016-2019. We identified the impact using a two-stage weighted regression (2SWR). Results show that the World Vision Project significantly increased the adoption of Farmer-Managed Natural Regeneration (FMNR) practice and eventually crop yield. These intermediate impacts were translated into a significant reduction in food and nutrition insecurity and an increase in household income. The impacts of the project on child health were especially greater for farmers who participated in the project for a longer time. However, the project did not have a significant impact on the adoption of a combination of CSA practices – which could have enhanced the effectiveness of the FMNR practice. The results suggest the need for future interventions to emphasize the promotion of complementary CSA practices, which significantly increases returns to farmer investments.
气候变化、贫困和环境教育水平低下是马里贫困农民日益脆弱的原因之一。本研究旨在确定低成本适应策略对恢复力和福利的影响。我们分析了2016-2019年世界宣明会在马里推广气候智能型农业(CSA)实践的项目的影响。我们使用两阶段加权回归(2SWR)来确定影响。结果表明,世界宣明会项目显著提高了农民管理的自然再生(FMNR)实践的采用率,并最终提高了作物产量。这些中间影响转化为粮食和营养不安全状况的显著减少以及家庭收入的增加。对于长期参与该项目的农民来说,该项目对儿童健康的影响尤其大。然而,该项目并没有对CSA实践组合的采用产生重大影响——这可能会提高FMNR实践的有效性。结果表明,未来的干预措施需要强调促进互补的CSA实践,这将显著提高农民的投资回报。
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引用次数: 1
Environmental Quality, Energy Consumption and Economic Growth: Evidence from Selected African Countries 环境质量、能源消费和经济增长:来自选定非洲国家的证据
Pub Date : 2023-04-21 DOI: 10.47852/bonviewglce3202802
Olugbenga Olaoye
This study examines the nexus between environmental quality, energy consumption and growth performance between 1981 and 2019 in selected African Countries. The study adopts the Co-integration analytical technique based on the framework of FMOLS and DOLS to analyse the panel data. The empirical finding shows that environmental quality (CO2 Emission) positively and significantly impacts economic growth in Africa. Similarly, energy consumption impacts economic growth positively and significantly. Also, the interaction of environmental quality and energy consumption positively and significantly propel economic growth. The FMOL evidence indicates that all the key variables are significant at 1% critical value. Therefore, the study recommends that African countries be committed to sustainable measures towards sustainable economic growth and development based on Africa's aspiration by 2063 to attain growth and a quality environment.
本研究考察了1981年至2019年某些非洲国家的环境质量、能源消耗和增长绩效之间的关系。本研究采用基于FMOLS和DOLS框架的协整分析技术对面板数据进行分析。实证结果表明,环境质量(CO2排放)对非洲经济增长具有显著的正向影响。同样,能源消费对经济增长也有显著的正向影响。此外,环境质量与能源消费的相互作用对经济增长具有积极而显著的推动作用。FMOL证据表明,在1%临界值下,所有关键变量都是显著的。因此,该研究建议非洲国家根据非洲到2063年实现增长和优质环境的愿望,致力于采取可持续措施,实现可持续经济增长和发展。
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引用次数: 3
Capacity Needs Assessment for Implementation of Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency in the Cardamom Value Chain of Nepal's Mountain Regions: Results of a Survey Study 尼泊尔山区豆蔻价值链中实施可再生能源和能源效率的能力需求评估:一项调查研究的结果
Pub Date : 2023-03-22 DOI: 10.47852/bonview3202672
Pugazenthi Dhananjayan, Surendra Raj Joshi, Ujala Rajbhandari, Mewang Gyeltshen
The HKH region presents an immense opportunity for implementing decentralized, sustainable energy solutions that rely on renewable energy sources. However, the region remains vulnerable to energy poverty due to inadequate capacity at various levels for deploying renewable energy and energy efficiency (RE&EE) solutions in mountainous areas. To achieve sustainable economic, social, and environmental performance, a thorough understanding of capacity development in RE&EE deployment within the value chain concept is crucial. This paper introduces a capacity needs assessment framework for the mountainous context, which was developed and applied to Nepal's cardamom value chain to explore the interplay of different core capabilities at individual and organizational levels. The survey study aimed to identify the specific capacity requirements necessary for the effective deployment of RE&EE solutions in the cardamom value chain. The analysis revealed significant capacity development needs on core capabilities affecting RE&EE deployment within the value chain, including technical skills, knowledge transfer, institutional strengthening, and policy development. The study also identifies challenges encountered when implementing RE&EE solutions in the cardamom value chain, such as financial constraints, technical challenges, and lack of awareness and education. Based on the study's findings, policymakers can design and implement effective capacity development initiatives that address the identified gaps and challenges and promote the deployment and implementation of RE&EE solutions in Nepal's mountain regions. This framework's applicability can extend to other value chains, such as tourism, dairy, poultry, and transportation sectors, by considering appropriate study dimensions and key indicators for value chain analysis.
香港地区提供了一个巨大的机会来实施分散的、依赖可再生能源的可持续能源解决方案。然而,由于在山区部署可再生能源和能源效率(RE&EE)解决方案的各级能力不足,该地区仍然容易受到能源贫困的影响。为了实现可持续的经济、社会和环境绩效,在价值链概念中全面了解可再生能源部署的能力发展至关重要。本文介绍了山区环境下的能力需求评估框架,该框架被开发并应用于尼泊尔的豆蔻价值链,以探索个人和组织层面不同核心能力的相互作用。调查研究旨在确定在豆蔻价值链中有效部署RE&EE解决方案所需的特定容量需求。分析揭示了影响价值链中RE&EE部署的核心能力的重要能力发展需求,包括技术技能、知识转移、制度加强和政策发展。该研究还确定了在豆蔻价值链中实施RE&EE解决方案时遇到的挑战,例如财务限制、技术挑战以及缺乏意识和教育。根据研究结果,政策制定者可以设计和实施有效的能力发展举措,以解决已发现的差距和挑战,并促进在尼泊尔山区部署和实施可再生能源解决方案。通过考虑适当的研究维度和价值链分析的关键指标,该框架的适用性可以扩展到其他价值链,如旅游、乳制品、家禽和运输部门。
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引用次数: 0
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Green and Low-Carbon Economy
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