Background: DS-5670d is a monovalent lipid nanoparticle-messenger ribonucleic acid vaccine against severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2), containing an omicron XBB.1.5-derived antigen. This phase 3 non-inferiority study assessed the immunogenicity and safety of a single dose of DS-5670d according to participant immune status.
Methods and findings: Participants aged ≥12 years were stratified according to their history of both prior SARS-CoV-2 infection plus prior coronavirus disease 2019 vaccination (subpopulation A), prior infection only (subpopulation B), prior vaccination only (subpopulation C), or no history of either infection or vaccination (subpopulation D), and randomly assigned (1:1) to receive DS-5670d or monovalent BNT162b2 omicron XBB.1.5. The primary efficacy endpoint was geometric mean titer (GMT) of blood neutralizing activity against SARS-CoV-2 (omicron XBB.1.5) and seroresponse rate at day 29 after study vaccine administration in the combined ABC subpopulations (DS-5670d, n = 362 versus BNT162b2, n = 363). Prespecified non-inferiority margins required that the lower limit of the 95% confidence interval (CI) exceeded 0.67 for the GMT ratio and -10% for the difference in seroresponse. The adjusted GMT ratio was 1.218 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.059, 1.401). Seroresponse rates were 87.3% (DS-5670d) and 82.9% (BNT162b2); adjusted difference 4.5% (95% CI, -0.70, 9.71). Both results exceeded the non-inferiority margins and the study met the primary endpoint. Immunogenicity data in the overall ABCD population also met non-inferiority criteria. There were no apparent immunogenicity differences according to age or sex, and analyses suggested that even unvaccinated persons achieved an adequate immune response following a single dose of DS-5670d. There were no major differences in the incidence or severity of adverse events between the study vaccination groups. The main study limitation was the short duration of follow-up.
Conclusions: A single dose of DS-5670d was immunogenically non-inferior to BNT162b2 and acceptably safe in persons with or without a history of prior infection and/or vaccination. Trial registration Japan Registry of Clinical Trials (jRCT2031230424).
背景:DS-5670d是一种单价脂质纳米粒子-信使核糖核酸疫苗,抗严重急性呼吸综合征-冠状病毒-2 (SARS-CoV-2),含有一组微米xbb .1.5衍生抗原。这项3期非劣效性研究根据参与者的免疫状态评估了单剂量DS-5670d的免疫原性和安全性。方法和研究结果:年龄≥12岁的参与者根据其既往SARS-CoV-2感染史和既往冠状病毒2019疫苗接种史(亚群A)、既往仅感染史(亚群B)、既往仅接种史(亚群C)或无感染史或疫苗接种史(亚群D)进行分层,并随机分配(1:1)接受DS-5670d或单价BNT162b2组粒XBB.1.5。主要疗效终点是在联合ABC亚群(DS-5670d, n = 362 vs BNT162b2, n = 363)接种疫苗后第29天对SARS-CoV-2 (omicron XBB.1.5)血液中和活性的几何平均滴度(GMT)和血清反应率。预先指定的非劣效性边际要求GMT比的95%置信区间(CI)的下限超过0.67,血清反应差异的下限超过-10%。校正后的GMT比值为1.218(95%可信区间[CI], 1.059, 1.401)。血清缓解率分别为87.3% (DS-5670d)和82.9% (BNT162b2);调整后差异为4.5% (95% CI, -0.70, 9.71)。这两个结果都超过了非劣效性边缘,研究达到了主要终点。总体ABCD人群的免疫原性数据也符合非劣效性标准。根据年龄或性别,没有明显的免疫原性差异,分析表明,即使未接种疫苗的人在单剂DS-5670d后也能获得足够的免疫应答。在研究疫苗接种组之间,不良事件的发生率或严重程度没有重大差异。研究的主要局限是随访时间短。结论:单剂DS-5670d在免疫原性上不逊于BNT162b2,在有或没有感染史和/或疫苗接种史的人群中具有可接受的安全性。日本临床试验注册中心(jRCT2031230424)。
{"title":"Immunogenicity and safety of DS-5670d, an omicron XBB.1.5-targeting COVID-19 mRNA vaccine: A phase 3, randomized, active-controlled study.","authors":"Ami Kawamoto, Masahiro Hashida, Katsuyasu Ishida, Kei Furihata, Aisaku Ota, Kaori Takahashi, Sachiko Sakakibara, Takashi Nakano, Fumihiko Takeshita","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004499","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004499","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>DS-5670d is a monovalent lipid nanoparticle-messenger ribonucleic acid vaccine against severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2), containing an omicron XBB.1.5-derived antigen. This phase 3 non-inferiority study assessed the immunogenicity and safety of a single dose of DS-5670d according to participant immune status.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>Participants aged ≥12 years were stratified according to their history of both prior SARS-CoV-2 infection plus prior coronavirus disease 2019 vaccination (subpopulation A), prior infection only (subpopulation B), prior vaccination only (subpopulation C), or no history of either infection or vaccination (subpopulation D), and randomly assigned (1:1) to receive DS-5670d or monovalent BNT162b2 omicron XBB.1.5. The primary efficacy endpoint was geometric mean titer (GMT) of blood neutralizing activity against SARS-CoV-2 (omicron XBB.1.5) and seroresponse rate at day 29 after study vaccine administration in the combined ABC subpopulations (DS-5670d, n = 362 versus BNT162b2, n = 363). Prespecified non-inferiority margins required that the lower limit of the 95% confidence interval (CI) exceeded 0.67 for the GMT ratio and -10% for the difference in seroresponse. The adjusted GMT ratio was 1.218 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.059, 1.401). Seroresponse rates were 87.3% (DS-5670d) and 82.9% (BNT162b2); adjusted difference 4.5% (95% CI, -0.70, 9.71). Both results exceeded the non-inferiority margins and the study met the primary endpoint. Immunogenicity data in the overall ABCD population also met non-inferiority criteria. There were no apparent immunogenicity differences according to age or sex, and analyses suggested that even unvaccinated persons achieved an adequate immune response following a single dose of DS-5670d. There were no major differences in the incidence or severity of adverse events between the study vaccination groups. The main study limitation was the short duration of follow-up.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>A single dose of DS-5670d was immunogenically non-inferior to BNT162b2 and acceptably safe in persons with or without a history of prior infection and/or vaccination. Trial registration Japan Registry of Clinical Trials (jRCT2031230424).</p>","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"22 10","pages":"e1004499"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2025-10-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12517495/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145287214","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-10-10eCollection Date: 2025-10-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004761
Akihiro Seita
A recent PLOS Medicine study reveals the wide variation in psychiatric bed numbers across the US. Globally, capacity differs 80-fold among OECD countries, reflecting history, policy, and care models. Without global standards and access, the efficiency and quality of psychiatric care remain uneven.
{"title":"Why psychiatric bed capacity varies widely: Strategic questions on global mental health.","authors":"Akihiro Seita","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004761","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004761","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>A recent PLOS Medicine study reveals the wide variation in psychiatric bed numbers across the US. Globally, capacity differs 80-fold among OECD countries, reflecting history, policy, and care models. Without global standards and access, the efficiency and quality of psychiatric care remain uneven.</p>","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"22 10","pages":"e1004761"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2025-10-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12513577/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145276401","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-10-09eCollection Date: 2025-10-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004777
Joseph A Lewnard, Debbie E Malden, Vennis Hong, Jessica Skela, Leora R Feldstein, Sharon Saydah, Iris Anne C Reyes, Rulin Hechter, Lina S Sy, Bradley K Ackerson, Sara Y Tartof
Background: Post-acute sequelae (PAS) of SARS-CoV-2 infection are well documented. However, it remains unclear whether such long-term health effects are unique to COVID-19, or also occur following other viral respiratory infections.
Methods and findings: We undertook a retrospective cohort study of 74,738 COVID-19 cases and 18,790 influenza cases within the Kaiser Permanente Southern California healthcare system diagnosed between 1 September, 2022 and 31 December, 2023. Cases received care for index infections across a spectrum of clinical settings, spanning virtual (n = 35,835; 38.3%), ambulatory (n = 26,579; 28.4%), emergency department (n = 23,388; 25.0%) and inpatient (n = 7,726; 8.3%) facilities. We compared 180-day risk of PAS-related healthcare utilization among COVID-19 cases and influenza via adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) weighted to account for cases' index infection type and follow-up retention. Adjustment models addressed patients' demographic characteristics, comorbidity profiles, prior healthcare utilization patterns, and index episode severity. Risk of PAS diagnoses in any clinical setting was only modestly higher among COVID-19 cases in comparison to influenza cases within 31-90 days after cases' initial illness (aHR = 1.04 [95% confidence interval: 0.99, 1.09]; risk difference = 0.6 [-0.1, 1.2] cases per 100 person-months). This difference was attenuated by 91-180 days (aHR = 1.01 [0.97, 1.06]; risk difference = 0.4 [-0.1, 0.9] cases per 100 person-months). However, COVID-19 cases faced higher risk of severe PAS conditions requiring hospitalization (aHR = 1.31 [1.07, 1.59] and 1.24 [1.03, 1.49] within 31-90 and 91-180 days, respectively). This excess risk of severe PAS was concentrated among COVID-19 cases hospitalized during acute-phase illness, and was attenuated among cases who received antiviral treatment, who had up-to-date vaccination status prior to infection, or who did not require inpatient admission for acute-phase illness. As a limitation, analyses included only PAS resulting in healthcare utilization; patient-reported symptoms and quality-of-life measures were not captured.
Conclusions: In this large, real-world cohort, individuals with non-severe acute respiratory illness caused by SARS-CoV-2 experienced only modestly greater risk of PAS in comparison to those whose illness was caused by influenza. However, COVID-19 cases hospitalized for their initial illness experienced greater risk of severe PAS necessitating inpatient care, and this difference persisted through 180 days of follow-up. Our findings challenge assumptions about the uniqueness of post-acute COVID-19 morbidity and suggest the long-term burden of influenza may be underrecognized.
{"title":"Comparative risk of post-acute sequelae following SARS-CoV-2 or influenza virus infection: A retrospective cohort study among United States adults.","authors":"Joseph A Lewnard, Debbie E Malden, Vennis Hong, Jessica Skela, Leora R Feldstein, Sharon Saydah, Iris Anne C Reyes, Rulin Hechter, Lina S Sy, Bradley K Ackerson, Sara Y Tartof","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004777","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004777","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Post-acute sequelae (PAS) of SARS-CoV-2 infection are well documented. However, it remains unclear whether such long-term health effects are unique to COVID-19, or also occur following other viral respiratory infections.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>We undertook a retrospective cohort study of 74,738 COVID-19 cases and 18,790 influenza cases within the Kaiser Permanente Southern California healthcare system diagnosed between 1 September, 2022 and 31 December, 2023. Cases received care for index infections across a spectrum of clinical settings, spanning virtual (n = 35,835; 38.3%), ambulatory (n = 26,579; 28.4%), emergency department (n = 23,388; 25.0%) and inpatient (n = 7,726; 8.3%) facilities. We compared 180-day risk of PAS-related healthcare utilization among COVID-19 cases and influenza via adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) weighted to account for cases' index infection type and follow-up retention. Adjustment models addressed patients' demographic characteristics, comorbidity profiles, prior healthcare utilization patterns, and index episode severity. Risk of PAS diagnoses in any clinical setting was only modestly higher among COVID-19 cases in comparison to influenza cases within 31-90 days after cases' initial illness (aHR = 1.04 [95% confidence interval: 0.99, 1.09]; risk difference = 0.6 [-0.1, 1.2] cases per 100 person-months). This difference was attenuated by 91-180 days (aHR = 1.01 [0.97, 1.06]; risk difference = 0.4 [-0.1, 0.9] cases per 100 person-months). However, COVID-19 cases faced higher risk of severe PAS conditions requiring hospitalization (aHR = 1.31 [1.07, 1.59] and 1.24 [1.03, 1.49] within 31-90 and 91-180 days, respectively). This excess risk of severe PAS was concentrated among COVID-19 cases hospitalized during acute-phase illness, and was attenuated among cases who received antiviral treatment, who had up-to-date vaccination status prior to infection, or who did not require inpatient admission for acute-phase illness. As a limitation, analyses included only PAS resulting in healthcare utilization; patient-reported symptoms and quality-of-life measures were not captured.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>In this large, real-world cohort, individuals with non-severe acute respiratory illness caused by SARS-CoV-2 experienced only modestly greater risk of PAS in comparison to those whose illness was caused by influenza. However, COVID-19 cases hospitalized for their initial illness experienced greater risk of severe PAS necessitating inpatient care, and this difference persisted through 180 days of follow-up. Our findings challenge assumptions about the uniqueness of post-acute COVID-19 morbidity and suggest the long-term burden of influenza may be underrecognized.</p>","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"22 10","pages":"e1004777"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2025-10-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12551960/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145259907","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-10-09eCollection Date: 2025-10-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004759
Nitya Wadhwa, Antara Sinha, Sudha Basnet, Sugandha Arya, Raghvendra Singh, Mamta Jajoo, Ayushi, Dharmendra Sharma, Ajay Kumar, Harish K Pemde, Varinder Singh, Ram H Chapagain, Anuradha Govil, Debjani R Purakayastha, Ganesh P Shah, Medha Mittal, Laxman P Shrestha, Harish Chellani, Halvor Sommerfelt, Tor A Strand, Shinjini Bhatnagar
Background: Annually, an estimated 2.3 million infants die within their first month of life, primarily in sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. Infections, including sepsis are among the major contributors to these deaths. Effective interventions added to standard antimicrobial therapy can reduce sepsis mortality. A recent meta-analysis suggests that adjunct zinc treatment of young infants with sepsis could reduce case fatality risk. This study evaluated the efficacy of zinc as an adjunct to antibiotics in young infants with suspected sepsis, defined as clinical severe infection (CSI).
Methods and findings: We conducted a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial across seven hospitals in India and Nepal from February 28, 2017, to February 22, 2022. Infants aged 3-59 days hospitalized with suspected sepsis, defined as CSI, adapted from the WHO Integrated Management of Childhood Illness (IMCI) criteria, were randomly assigned to receive 10 mg of elemental zinc daily or placebo orally for 14 days, in addition to standard of care. The primary outcomes were death during hospitalization and death within 12 weeks after enrollment. Among 3,153 enrolled infants (1,203 [38%] females), the median age at enrollment was 25 days (interquartile range 13-41 days), and the mean weight was 2.9 kg (standard deviation 0.8). During the hospital stay, 64 (4.1%) of 1,576 infants died in the zinc arm compared to 77 (4.9%) of 1,577 in the placebo arm (relative risk [RR] 0.83 (95% CI [0.60, 1.15]; p = 0.267)). Among those who completed 12 weeks of follow-up, 140 of 1,554 infants (9.0%) died in the zinc arm, and 133 of 1,550 (8.6%) in the placebo arm (RR 1.05 (95% CI [0.84, 1.32]; p = 0.674)). Adverse events were similar across trial arms, except for a slight increase in vomiting in the zinc arm; no events were attributed to the intervention. The main limitation of the study is that it was underpowered due to lower-than-anticipated event rates and a shortfall in the achieved sample size.
Conclusions: In this setting, we found little evidence for an effect of adjunct zinc therapy on young infants with CSI on the risk of dying during hospitalization or for the subsequent 3 months. Our findings contrast previous studies that used more specific case definitions. This underscores the need for further RCTs to evaluate the effect of zinc in young infant sepsis before it can be recommended in treatment guidelines.
Trial registration: Clinical Trials Registry-India (CTRI/2017/02/007966) on February 27, 2017, and Universal Trial Number is U1111-1187-6479.
背景:每年估计有230万婴儿在出生后第一个月内死亡,主要发生在撒哈拉以南非洲和南亚。包括败血症在内的感染是这些死亡的主要原因之一。在标准抗菌药物治疗的基础上加入有效的干预措施可降低败血症死亡率。最近的一项荟萃分析表明,对患有败血症的婴儿进行辅助锌治疗可以降低病死率。本研究评估了锌作为抗生素辅助治疗疑似脓毒症(定义为临床严重感染(CSI))婴儿的疗效。方法和研究结果:我们于2017年2月28日至2022年2月22日在印度和尼泊尔的七家医院进行了一项随机、双盲、安慰剂对照试验。根据世卫组织儿童疾病综合管理(IMCI)标准,3-59天因疑似败血症住院的婴儿(定义为CSI)被随机分配接受每日10mg元素锌或安慰剂口服14天,并接受标准护理。主要结局为住院期间死亡和入组后12周内死亡。在3153名入组婴儿中(1,203名[38%]女性),入组时的中位年龄为25天(四分位数间距为13-41天),平均体重为2.9 kg(标准差为0.8)。在住院期间,锌组1576名婴儿中有64名(4.1%)死亡,安慰剂组1577名(4.9%)死亡(相对危险度[RR] 0.83 (95% CI [0.60, 1.15]; p = 0.267))。在完成12周随访的患者中,锌组1554名婴儿中有140名(9.0%)死亡,安慰剂组1550名婴儿中有133名(8.6%)死亡(RR 1.05 (95% CI [0.84, 1.32]; p = 0.674))。除了锌组呕吐轻微增加外,各试验组的不良事件相似;没有事件归因于干预。该研究的主要局限性在于,由于事件发生率低于预期,以及达到的样本量不足,该研究的能力不足。结论:在这种情况下,我们发现很少有证据表明对患有CSI的婴儿进行辅助锌治疗对住院期间或随后3个月的死亡风险有影响。我们的发现与先前使用更具体的病例定义的研究形成对比。这强调了需要进一步的随机对照试验来评估锌在年幼婴儿败血症中的作用,然后才能在治疗指南中推荐。试验注册:2017年2月27日印度临床试验注册中心(CTRI/2017/02/007966),通用试验号为U1111-1187-6479。
{"title":"Zinc as adjunct treatment for clinical severe infection in young infants: A randomized double-blind placebo-controlled trial in India and Nepal.","authors":"Nitya Wadhwa, Antara Sinha, Sudha Basnet, Sugandha Arya, Raghvendra Singh, Mamta Jajoo, Ayushi, Dharmendra Sharma, Ajay Kumar, Harish K Pemde, Varinder Singh, Ram H Chapagain, Anuradha Govil, Debjani R Purakayastha, Ganesh P Shah, Medha Mittal, Laxman P Shrestha, Harish Chellani, Halvor Sommerfelt, Tor A Strand, Shinjini Bhatnagar","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004759","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004759","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Annually, an estimated 2.3 million infants die within their first month of life, primarily in sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. Infections, including sepsis are among the major contributors to these deaths. Effective interventions added to standard antimicrobial therapy can reduce sepsis mortality. A recent meta-analysis suggests that adjunct zinc treatment of young infants with sepsis could reduce case fatality risk. This study evaluated the efficacy of zinc as an adjunct to antibiotics in young infants with suspected sepsis, defined as clinical severe infection (CSI).</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>We conducted a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial across seven hospitals in India and Nepal from February 28, 2017, to February 22, 2022. Infants aged 3-59 days hospitalized with suspected sepsis, defined as CSI, adapted from the WHO Integrated Management of Childhood Illness (IMCI) criteria, were randomly assigned to receive 10 mg of elemental zinc daily or placebo orally for 14 days, in addition to standard of care. The primary outcomes were death during hospitalization and death within 12 weeks after enrollment. Among 3,153 enrolled infants (1,203 [38%] females), the median age at enrollment was 25 days (interquartile range 13-41 days), and the mean weight was 2.9 kg (standard deviation 0.8). During the hospital stay, 64 (4.1%) of 1,576 infants died in the zinc arm compared to 77 (4.9%) of 1,577 in the placebo arm (relative risk [RR] 0.83 (95% CI [0.60, 1.15]; p = 0.267)). Among those who completed 12 weeks of follow-up, 140 of 1,554 infants (9.0%) died in the zinc arm, and 133 of 1,550 (8.6%) in the placebo arm (RR 1.05 (95% CI [0.84, 1.32]; p = 0.674)). Adverse events were similar across trial arms, except for a slight increase in vomiting in the zinc arm; no events were attributed to the intervention. The main limitation of the study is that it was underpowered due to lower-than-anticipated event rates and a shortfall in the achieved sample size.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>In this setting, we found little evidence for an effect of adjunct zinc therapy on young infants with CSI on the risk of dying during hospitalization or for the subsequent 3 months. Our findings contrast previous studies that used more specific case definitions. This underscores the need for further RCTs to evaluate the effect of zinc in young infant sepsis before it can be recommended in treatment guidelines.</p><p><strong>Trial registration: </strong>Clinical Trials Registry-India (CTRI/2017/02/007966) on February 27, 2017, and Universal Trial Number is U1111-1187-6479.</p>","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"22 10","pages":"e1004759"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2025-10-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12527131/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145259953","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-10-07eCollection Date: 2025-10-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004549
Andres Garchitorena, Ann C Miller, Hobisoa L Razanadranaivo, Luc Rakotonirina, Sarah-Anne Barriault, Benedicte Razafinjato, Jacques Aubin Kotchofa, Feno Rafenoarimalala, Rado J L Rakotonanahary, Felana A Ihantamalala, Michelle V Evans, Andoniaina Tojoharimanda Tolojananahary, Vero Ramanandraitsiory, Andriatiana Tsitinomen'nyaina, Fiainamirindra Anjaratiana Ralaivavikoa, Estelle M Raza-Fanomezanjanahary, Marius Randriamanambintsoa, Samuel Andrianambinina, Lethicia Lydia Yasmine, Megan B Murray, Michael L Rich, Laura F Cordier, Karen E Finnegan, Matthew H Bonds, Zely Arivelo Randriamanantany
<p><strong>Background: </strong>Reducing child mortality rates is a unifying goal of the global health and international development communities. In Africa, unambiguous empirical evidence on how health system interventions can drive such reductions has been elusive. This gap in the literature is due to challenges in implementing system-level changes on a scale and pace to have measurable impacts on mortality, and the challenges of collecting adequate data on the population and programs over sufficient time with plausible counterfactuals. This study aimed to assess the population health impact of the first decade of implementation of a health system strengthening (HSS) intervention in a rural district of Madagascar.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>The study is a prospective quasi-experiment using a district-representative cohort of over 1,500 households (five waves of survey collection), in combination with patient data collected across different levels of care (community health workers and health facilities), geographic information systems, and programmatic data to assess changes in mortality, healthcare coverage and utilization from 2014 to 2023. The HSS intervention integrates support to clinical programs with strengthened health system building blocks and social protection at all levels of care of a district health system (community health, primary care centers, and hospital). Under-five, infant and neonatal mortality were estimated at the population level using the synthetic life-table method for DHS surveys. Impact of the HSS intervention on healthcare coverage and utilization was assessed through interrupted time-series analyses. Changes in geographic and financial inequalities in coverage indicators were studied via the relative concentration index and slope index of inequality. Our results show that trends in child mortality rates (neonatal, infant, under-five) decreased in the initial HSS intervention area from 2014 to 2023, but increased in the comparison area as well as the rest of the country over the same period. The HSS intervention was associated with statistically significant increases in service coverage and primary care utilization for a wide range of maternal and child health indicators, as well as reductions in geographic and financial barriers to care. The main limitations of this study were that the intervention was not randomized, and that changes in child mortality were estimated from 5-year averages from repeated cross sections, with overlapping time windows that prevented formal integration into the statistical modeling framework used for coverage indicators.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>By measuring both indirect and direct impacts of HSS on population health in a context where health and economic indicators are not otherwise improving, these results provide converging evidence on how strengthening health systems, from community health to hospitals, in low-resource settings increases overall utilizat
{"title":"Changes in child mortality and population health following 10 years of health systems strengthening in rural Madagascar: A longitudinal cohort study.","authors":"Andres Garchitorena, Ann C Miller, Hobisoa L Razanadranaivo, Luc Rakotonirina, Sarah-Anne Barriault, Benedicte Razafinjato, Jacques Aubin Kotchofa, Feno Rafenoarimalala, Rado J L Rakotonanahary, Felana A Ihantamalala, Michelle V Evans, Andoniaina Tojoharimanda Tolojananahary, Vero Ramanandraitsiory, Andriatiana Tsitinomen'nyaina, Fiainamirindra Anjaratiana Ralaivavikoa, Estelle M Raza-Fanomezanjanahary, Marius Randriamanambintsoa, Samuel Andrianambinina, Lethicia Lydia Yasmine, Megan B Murray, Michael L Rich, Laura F Cordier, Karen E Finnegan, Matthew H Bonds, Zely Arivelo Randriamanantany","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004549","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004549","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Reducing child mortality rates is a unifying goal of the global health and international development communities. In Africa, unambiguous empirical evidence on how health system interventions can drive such reductions has been elusive. This gap in the literature is due to challenges in implementing system-level changes on a scale and pace to have measurable impacts on mortality, and the challenges of collecting adequate data on the population and programs over sufficient time with plausible counterfactuals. This study aimed to assess the population health impact of the first decade of implementation of a health system strengthening (HSS) intervention in a rural district of Madagascar.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>The study is a prospective quasi-experiment using a district-representative cohort of over 1,500 households (five waves of survey collection), in combination with patient data collected across different levels of care (community health workers and health facilities), geographic information systems, and programmatic data to assess changes in mortality, healthcare coverage and utilization from 2014 to 2023. The HSS intervention integrates support to clinical programs with strengthened health system building blocks and social protection at all levels of care of a district health system (community health, primary care centers, and hospital). Under-five, infant and neonatal mortality were estimated at the population level using the synthetic life-table method for DHS surveys. Impact of the HSS intervention on healthcare coverage and utilization was assessed through interrupted time-series analyses. Changes in geographic and financial inequalities in coverage indicators were studied via the relative concentration index and slope index of inequality. Our results show that trends in child mortality rates (neonatal, infant, under-five) decreased in the initial HSS intervention area from 2014 to 2023, but increased in the comparison area as well as the rest of the country over the same period. The HSS intervention was associated with statistically significant increases in service coverage and primary care utilization for a wide range of maternal and child health indicators, as well as reductions in geographic and financial barriers to care. The main limitations of this study were that the intervention was not randomized, and that changes in child mortality were estimated from 5-year averages from repeated cross sections, with overlapping time windows that prevented formal integration into the statistical modeling framework used for coverage indicators.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>By measuring both indirect and direct impacts of HSS on population health in a context where health and economic indicators are not otherwise improving, these results provide converging evidence on how strengthening health systems, from community health to hospitals, in low-resource settings increases overall utilizat","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"22 10","pages":"e1004549"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2025-10-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12503271/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145245491","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-09-30eCollection Date: 2025-09-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004736
Maple Goh, A M Viens, Safura Abdool Karim, Aaron S Kesselheim, Kevin Outterson
New evidence suggests that mass drug administration of azithromycin (MDAA) can significantly reduce childhood mortality in high-burden, low-resource settings, yet the World Health Organization's (WHO) 2020 guidelines take a cautious approach due to concerns about antimicrobial resistance (AMR).While the WHO guidelines cite ethical principles, they insufficiently address key considerations, such as intergenerational justice, equitable burden sharing, and the structural determinants of health that shape infectious disease vulnerability.Global AMR policy often prioritizes conservation over access in ways that disproportionately burden low-income countries, despite high-income countries also bearing significant responsibility for the emergence and spread of AMR.A balanced ethical framework is needed: one that explicitly integrates contextual values, including justice across generations, historical inequities, and community input under uncertainty.Revised WHO guidelines that expand eligibility for MDAA based on context-specific criteria, establish thresholds for mortality and resistance monitoring, and encourage global investment in sustainable health systems and antibiotic access, may better align with the WHO's own principles on equity, human rights, and social determinants of health in the development of guidelines.
{"title":"Whose burden, whose benefit? Revisiting ethical trade-offs in the WHO guidelines on scaling up mass azithromycin administration.","authors":"Maple Goh, A M Viens, Safura Abdool Karim, Aaron S Kesselheim, Kevin Outterson","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004736","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004736","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>New evidence suggests that mass drug administration of azithromycin (MDAA) can significantly reduce childhood mortality in high-burden, low-resource settings, yet the World Health Organization's (WHO) 2020 guidelines take a cautious approach due to concerns about antimicrobial resistance (AMR).While the WHO guidelines cite ethical principles, they insufficiently address key considerations, such as intergenerational justice, equitable burden sharing, and the structural determinants of health that shape infectious disease vulnerability.Global AMR policy often prioritizes conservation over access in ways that disproportionately burden low-income countries, despite high-income countries also bearing significant responsibility for the emergence and spread of AMR.A balanced ethical framework is needed: one that explicitly integrates contextual values, including justice across generations, historical inequities, and community input under uncertainty.Revised WHO guidelines that expand eligibility for MDAA based on context-specific criteria, establish thresholds for mortality and resistance monitoring, and encourage global investment in sustainable health systems and antibiotic access, may better align with the WHO's own principles on equity, human rights, and social determinants of health in the development of guidelines.</p>","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"22 9","pages":"e1004736"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2025-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12483271/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145201927","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-09-26eCollection Date: 2025-09-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004754
Jingjing Sun, Hemalkumar B Mehta, Jodi B Segal, G Caleb Alexander
Background: While apixaban has demonstrated advantages over alternative direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) in some settings, its comparative safety and effectiveness in cancer-associated venous thromboembolism (VTE) remain uncertain. Current guidelines recommend DOACs as first-line treatment for cancer-associated VTE, though they do not recommend any specific DOAC over another. This study aimed to quantify the risk of recurrent VTE, major bleeding, and clinically relevant non-major bleeding among individuals with cancer-associated VTE treated with apixaban versus rivaroxaban.
Methods and findings: In this retrospective cohort study, we used data from Medicare fee-for-service (2016-2020) and MarketScan (2016-2022), two U.S. administrative claims databases covering publicly and commercially insured individuals. We included individuals aged ≥65 years (Medicare) or 18-64 years (MarketScan) with active cancer, defined as a cancer diagnosis within 6 months before an index VTE event, who newly initiated apixaban or rivaroxaban within 30 days of that event. The outcomes were (1) hospitalization for recurrent VTE; (2) hospitalization for major bleeding; and (3) hospitalization or outpatient visit for clinically relevant non-major bleeding events. Eligible individuals were followed for outcomes at 6 months (consistent with guideline recommendations) and during the entire follow-up period. We used inverse probability of treatment weighting to adjust for baseline differences, including demographics, comorbidities (e.g., prior bleed), VTE risk factors, cancer type and treatments, and medication use, and applied inverse probability of censoring weighting to account for differential loss to follow-up. We analyzed outcomes using adjusted Cox proportional hazards models, pooling estimates using an inverse variance-weighted fixed-effects model. The final cohort included 6,329 apixaban and 4,260 rivaroxaban users across both databases. At 6 months, apixaban was associated with similar risks of recurrent VTE (hazard ratio [HR] 0.66, 95% confidence interval [CI] [0.40, 1.11]; p-value = 0.11) and major bleeding (HR 0.95, 95% CI [0.73, 1.23]; p = 0.70), and a lower risk of clinically relevant non-major bleeding (HR 0.84, 95% CI [0.74, 0.96]; p = 0.009) compared to rivaroxaban. The same pattern persisted during the extended follow‑up. The main limitation is the observational design, which may leave residual confounding despite adjustments using inverse probability weighting.
Conclusions: In cancer-associated VTE, apixaban was associated with similar risks of recurrent VTE and major bleeding, and a lower risk of clinically relevant non-major bleeding compared with rivaroxaban. These findings suggest apixaban may be a favorable option for anticoagulation in cancer-associated VTE when minimizing bleeding risk is a priority.
背景:虽然阿哌沙班在某些情况下已证明优于其他直接口服抗凝剂(DOACs),但其在癌症相关静脉血栓栓塞(VTE)中的相对安全性和有效性仍不确定。目前的指南推荐DOAC作为癌症相关性静脉血栓栓塞的一线治疗,尽管他们没有推荐任何特定的DOAC。本研究旨在量化阿哌沙班与利伐沙班治疗的癌症相关性静脉血栓栓塞患者复发性静脉血栓栓塞、大出血和临床相关非大出血的风险。方法和发现:在这项回顾性队列研究中,我们使用了来自医疗保险服务收费(2016-2020)和MarketScan(2016-2022)的数据,这两个美国行政索赔数据库涵盖了公共和商业保险个人。我们纳入了年龄≥65岁(Medicare)或18-64岁(MarketScan)的活动性癌症患者,定义为在VTE事件发生前6个月内诊断出癌症,并在事件发生后30天内开始使用阿哌沙班或利伐沙班。结果为:(1)静脉血栓栓塞复发住院;(二)大出血住院;(3)因临床相关的非大出血事件住院或门诊就诊。在6个月(与指南建议一致)和整个随访期间对符合条件的个体进行随访。我们使用治疗加权的逆概率来调整基线差异,包括人口统计学、合并症(如既往出血)、静脉血栓栓塞危险因素、癌症类型和治疗以及药物使用,并应用审查加权的逆概率来解释随访的差异损失。我们使用调整后的Cox比例风险模型分析结果,使用反向方差加权固定效应模型进行汇总估计。最后的队列包括两个数据库中的6329名阿哌沙班使用者和4260名利伐沙班使用者。6个月时,阿哌沙班与静脉血栓栓塞复发的风险相似(风险比[HR] 0.66, 95%可信区间[CI] [0.40,1.11]; p值= 0.11)和大出血(HR 0.95, 95% CI [0.73,1.23]; p = 0.70),与利伐沙班相比,临床相关的非大出血风险较低(HR 0.84, 95% CI [0.74,0.96]; p = 0.009)。在延长的随访期间,同样的模式持续存在。主要的限制是观察设计,尽管使用逆概率加权进行调整,但可能会留下残留的混淆。结论:在癌症相关性静脉血栓栓塞(VTE)中,阿哌沙班与VTE复发和大出血的风险相似,且与利伐沙班相比,临床相关非大出血的风险较低。这些发现表明,当最小化出血风险是优先考虑的时候,阿哌沙班可能是癌症相关性静脉血栓栓塞抗凝治疗的一个有利选择。
{"title":"Comparative safety and effectiveness of apixaban and rivaroxaban for treatment of cancer-associated venous thromboembolism: A retrospective cohort study.","authors":"Jingjing Sun, Hemalkumar B Mehta, Jodi B Segal, G Caleb Alexander","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004754","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004754","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>While apixaban has demonstrated advantages over alternative direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) in some settings, its comparative safety and effectiveness in cancer-associated venous thromboembolism (VTE) remain uncertain. Current guidelines recommend DOACs as first-line treatment for cancer-associated VTE, though they do not recommend any specific DOAC over another. This study aimed to quantify the risk of recurrent VTE, major bleeding, and clinically relevant non-major bleeding among individuals with cancer-associated VTE treated with apixaban versus rivaroxaban.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>In this retrospective cohort study, we used data from Medicare fee-for-service (2016-2020) and MarketScan (2016-2022), two U.S. administrative claims databases covering publicly and commercially insured individuals. We included individuals aged ≥65 years (Medicare) or 18-64 years (MarketScan) with active cancer, defined as a cancer diagnosis within 6 months before an index VTE event, who newly initiated apixaban or rivaroxaban within 30 days of that event. The outcomes were (1) hospitalization for recurrent VTE; (2) hospitalization for major bleeding; and (3) hospitalization or outpatient visit for clinically relevant non-major bleeding events. Eligible individuals were followed for outcomes at 6 months (consistent with guideline recommendations) and during the entire follow-up period. We used inverse probability of treatment weighting to adjust for baseline differences, including demographics, comorbidities (e.g., prior bleed), VTE risk factors, cancer type and treatments, and medication use, and applied inverse probability of censoring weighting to account for differential loss to follow-up. We analyzed outcomes using adjusted Cox proportional hazards models, pooling estimates using an inverse variance-weighted fixed-effects model. The final cohort included 6,329 apixaban and 4,260 rivaroxaban users across both databases. At 6 months, apixaban was associated with similar risks of recurrent VTE (hazard ratio [HR] 0.66, 95% confidence interval [CI] [0.40, 1.11]; p-value = 0.11) and major bleeding (HR 0.95, 95% CI [0.73, 1.23]; p = 0.70), and a lower risk of clinically relevant non-major bleeding (HR 0.84, 95% CI [0.74, 0.96]; p = 0.009) compared to rivaroxaban. The same pattern persisted during the extended follow‑up. The main limitation is the observational design, which may leave residual confounding despite adjustments using inverse probability weighting.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>In cancer-associated VTE, apixaban was associated with similar risks of recurrent VTE and major bleeding, and a lower risk of clinically relevant non-major bleeding compared with rivaroxaban. These findings suggest apixaban may be a favorable option for anticoagulation in cancer-associated VTE when minimizing bleeding risk is a priority.</p>","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"22 9","pages":"e1004754"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2025-09-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12494242/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145179837","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-09-26eCollection Date: 2025-09-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004765
Veronika Whitesell Skrivankova, Stephan Rabie, Mpho Tlali, Naomi Folb, Chido Chinogurei, Sarah Bennett, Aimee Wesso, Yann Ruffieux, Morna Cornell, Soraya Seedat, Matthias Egger, Mary-Ann Davies, Gary Maartens, John Joska, Andreas D Haas
Background: Self-harm is a major public health concern globally and in South Africa. Individuals with a history of self-harm are at increased risk of unnatural death, including suicide and fatal accidents. This study investigates the incidence and predictors of self-harm and its role as a predictor for subsequent unnatural death.
Methods and findings: We conducted a cohort study using insurance claims and vital registration data from beneficiaries of South African medical insurance schemes (2011-2022), aged 10 years or older. We estimated the cause-specific cumulative incidences of healthcare encounters for intentional self-harm (International Classification of Diseases 10th Revision [ICD-10] codes X60-X84) and unnatural deaths (ICD-10 codes V01-Y98), using the Aalen-Johansen method. We assessed predictors of both outcomes using Cox regression. We followed 1,356,119 beneficiaries (median age 33 years, 52.2% female) for a median of 3 years, during which 7,510 (0.6%) had a healthcare encounter for self-harm. The 5-year cumulative incidence of self-harm ranged from 0.2% in males aged 10-14 to 2.1% in females aged 15-24. Sex, age, and mental disorders were strong predictors for self-harm, while HIV was a modest predictor. Among individuals who survived a self-harm event, the five-year cumulative incidence of subsequent unnatural death was 3.43% (95% CI [2.38, 4.76]) for males and 0.77% (95% CI [0.48, 1.19]) for females. Non-fatal self-harm was a strong predictor of subsequent unnatural death in both males (hazard ratio [HR] 7.03, 95% CI [5.27, 9.39]) and females (HR 4.63, 95% CI [3.00, 7.15]). The study's main limitations include potential under-ascertainment of self-harm incidence due to reliance on routine data, and the unavailability of the exact cause of death, preventing analysis of suicide.
Conclusion: Self-harm is common among beneficiaries of South African private medical insurance, with the highest risk in young females and individuals with mental disorders. These groups may benefit from targeted screening and early intervention. Non-fatal self-harm was a strong predictor of subsequent unnatural death, underscoring the need for suicide-specific brief interventions for individuals presenting with self-harm.
{"title":"Incidence and prognostic factors of self-harm and subsequent unnatural death in South Africa: A cohort study.","authors":"Veronika Whitesell Skrivankova, Stephan Rabie, Mpho Tlali, Naomi Folb, Chido Chinogurei, Sarah Bennett, Aimee Wesso, Yann Ruffieux, Morna Cornell, Soraya Seedat, Matthias Egger, Mary-Ann Davies, Gary Maartens, John Joska, Andreas D Haas","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004765","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004765","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Self-harm is a major public health concern globally and in South Africa. Individuals with a history of self-harm are at increased risk of unnatural death, including suicide and fatal accidents. This study investigates the incidence and predictors of self-harm and its role as a predictor for subsequent unnatural death.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>We conducted a cohort study using insurance claims and vital registration data from beneficiaries of South African medical insurance schemes (2011-2022), aged 10 years or older. We estimated the cause-specific cumulative incidences of healthcare encounters for intentional self-harm (International Classification of Diseases 10th Revision [ICD-10] codes X60-X84) and unnatural deaths (ICD-10 codes V01-Y98), using the Aalen-Johansen method. We assessed predictors of both outcomes using Cox regression. We followed 1,356,119 beneficiaries (median age 33 years, 52.2% female) for a median of 3 years, during which 7,510 (0.6%) had a healthcare encounter for self-harm. The 5-year cumulative incidence of self-harm ranged from 0.2% in males aged 10-14 to 2.1% in females aged 15-24. Sex, age, and mental disorders were strong predictors for self-harm, while HIV was a modest predictor. Among individuals who survived a self-harm event, the five-year cumulative incidence of subsequent unnatural death was 3.43% (95% CI [2.38, 4.76]) for males and 0.77% (95% CI [0.48, 1.19]) for females. Non-fatal self-harm was a strong predictor of subsequent unnatural death in both males (hazard ratio [HR] 7.03, 95% CI [5.27, 9.39]) and females (HR 4.63, 95% CI [3.00, 7.15]). The study's main limitations include potential under-ascertainment of self-harm incidence due to reliance on routine data, and the unavailability of the exact cause of death, preventing analysis of suicide.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Self-harm is common among beneficiaries of South African private medical insurance, with the highest risk in young females and individuals with mental disorders. These groups may benefit from targeted screening and early intervention. Non-fatal self-harm was a strong predictor of subsequent unnatural death, underscoring the need for suicide-specific brief interventions for individuals presenting with self-harm.</p>","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"22 9","pages":"e1004765"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2025-09-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12503312/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145179840","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-09-26eCollection Date: 2025-09-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004774
Helen Lumbard, Daniel Routledge
Systematic fraud threatens the integrity of science, with paper and review mills distorting the evidence base in medicine and global health. Data transparency-once seen mainly as a driver of discovery-must now be recognized as a frontline defense against misconduct. Only through open data and coordinated action can we safeguard trust in research and its impact on health.
{"title":"Open science and transparency are our strongest tools in the fight against fraudulent publishing activities.","authors":"Helen Lumbard, Daniel Routledge","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004774","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004774","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Systematic fraud threatens the integrity of science, with paper and review mills distorting the evidence base in medicine and global health. Data transparency-once seen mainly as a driver of discovery-must now be recognized as a frontline defense against misconduct. Only through open data and coordinated action can we safeguard trust in research and its impact on health.</p>","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"22 9","pages":"e1004774"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2025-09-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12483235/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145179815","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-09-25eCollection Date: 2025-09-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004735
Yichen Guo, Yixiang Zhu, Cheng He, Ya Gao, Lu Zhou, Jovine Bachwenkizi, Haidong Kan, Renjie Chen
Background: Climate change has exacerbated the frequency, intensity, and impacts of extreme weather events (EWEs), such as tropical cyclones. However, the increasing impact of tropical cyclones on child mortality, especially in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), remains understudied.
Methods and findings: Utilizing individual-level data from the Demographic and Health Surveys, we conducted a sibling-matched case-control study to assess the impact of cyclone exposure over the past 3 months on under-five mortality. The study included 100,798 under-five deaths and 247,445 controls across 34 LMICs from 1993 to 2021. After adjusting for key meteorological and temporal confounders and maternal age, significant positive associations were observed between under-five deaths and cyclone exposure over the past 3 months before death (odds ratio [OR]: 1.038, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.002, 1.075; p = 0.041). Specifically, the strongest effects were observed in the first month before death (OR: 1.101, 95% CI: 1.039, 1.166; p < 0.001), diminishing in the second and third months before death. We estimated that cyclone exposure 0-30 days before death may have caused 0.85 million under-five deaths (95% CI: 0.35 million, 1.32 million) in countries exposed to cyclones from 2000 to 2020. As an observational study, its use of self-reported data and dichotomous exposure assessment may introduce recall bias and exposure misclassification, limiting accuracy and representativeness.
Conclusions: This global analysis demonstrates the substantial under-five mortality risk from cyclones, emphasizing the importance of targeted strategies to enhance community resilience against the growing threat of EWEs on children, such as improving access to water sources and sanitation facilities.
{"title":"Cyclone exposure and mortality risk of children under 5 years old: An observational study in 34 low- and middle-income countries.","authors":"Yichen Guo, Yixiang Zhu, Cheng He, Ya Gao, Lu Zhou, Jovine Bachwenkizi, Haidong Kan, Renjie Chen","doi":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004735","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pmed.1004735","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Climate change has exacerbated the frequency, intensity, and impacts of extreme weather events (EWEs), such as tropical cyclones. However, the increasing impact of tropical cyclones on child mortality, especially in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), remains understudied.</p><p><strong>Methods and findings: </strong>Utilizing individual-level data from the Demographic and Health Surveys, we conducted a sibling-matched case-control study to assess the impact of cyclone exposure over the past 3 months on under-five mortality. The study included 100,798 under-five deaths and 247,445 controls across 34 LMICs from 1993 to 2021. After adjusting for key meteorological and temporal confounders and maternal age, significant positive associations were observed between under-five deaths and cyclone exposure over the past 3 months before death (odds ratio [OR]: 1.038, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.002, 1.075; p = 0.041). Specifically, the strongest effects were observed in the first month before death (OR: 1.101, 95% CI: 1.039, 1.166; p < 0.001), diminishing in the second and third months before death. We estimated that cyclone exposure 0-30 days before death may have caused 0.85 million under-five deaths (95% CI: 0.35 million, 1.32 million) in countries exposed to cyclones from 2000 to 2020. As an observational study, its use of self-reported data and dichotomous exposure assessment may introduce recall bias and exposure misclassification, limiting accuracy and representativeness.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>This global analysis demonstrates the substantial under-five mortality risk from cyclones, emphasizing the importance of targeted strategies to enhance community resilience against the growing threat of EWEs on children, such as improving access to water sources and sanitation facilities.</p>","PeriodicalId":49008,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Medicine","volume":"22 9","pages":"e1004735"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9,"publicationDate":"2025-09-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12463208/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145151247","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}