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Dynamical analysis of a novel fractional order SIDARTHE epidemic model of COVID-19 with the Caputo–Fabrizio(CF) derivative 带有卡普托-法布里齐奥(CF)导数的 COVID-19 新型分数阶 SIDARTHE 流行病模型的动力学分析
IF 4.1 3区 数学 Q1 MATHEMATICS Pub Date : 2024-01-25 DOI: 10.1186/s13662-024-03798-4
Yu Zhao, Tian-zeng Li, Rong Kang, Xi-liang He

Fabrizio and Caputo suggested an extraordinary definition of fractional derivative, which has been used in many fields. The SIDARTHE infectious disease model with regard to COVID-19 is studied by the new notion in this paper. Making use of the Banach fixed point theorem, the existence and uniqueness of the model’s solution are demonstrated. Then, an efficient method is utilized to deduce the iterative scheme. Finally, some numerical simulations of the model under various fractional orders and parameters are shown. From the computed result, we can see that it not only supports the theoretical demonstration, but also has an intensive insight into the characteristics of the model.

法布里奇奥和卡普托提出了一个非同寻常的分数导数定义,该定义已在许多领域得到应用。本文利用这一新概念研究了与 COVID-19 有关的 SIDARTHE 传染病模型。利用巴拿赫定点定理,证明了模型解的存在性和唯一性。然后,利用一种有效的方法推导出迭代方案。最后,展示了该模型在不同分数阶数和参数下的一些数值模拟。从计算结果可以看出,它不仅支持了理论论证,而且对模型的特征有深入的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Random exponential attractor for a stochastic reaction-diffusion equation in $L^{2p}(D)$ L^{2p}(D)$中随机反应扩散方程的随机指数吸引子
IF 4.1 3区 数学 Q1 MATHEMATICS Pub Date : 2024-01-02 DOI: 10.1186/s13662-023-03795-z
Gang Wang, Chaozhu Hu

In this paper, we establish some sufficient conditions for the existence of a random exponential attractor for a random dynamical system in a Banach space. As an application, we consider a stochastic reaction-diffusion equation with multiplicative noise. We show that the random dynamical system (phi(t,omega)) generated by this stochastic reaction-diffusion equation is uniformly Fréchet differentiable on a positively invariant random set in (L^{2p}(D)) and satisfies the conditions of the abstract result, then we obtain the existence of a random exponential attractor in (L^{2p}(D)), where p is the growth of the nonlinearity satisfying (1< pleq 3).

在本文中,我们为巴拿赫空间中随机动力系统的随机指数吸引子的存在建立了一些充分条件。作为应用,我们考虑了一个具有乘法噪声的随机反应-扩散方程。我们证明了由这个随机反应-扩散方程产生的随机动力系统 (phi(t,omega))在 (L^{2p}(D)) 中的正不变随机集上是均匀弗雷谢特可微分的,并且满足抽象结果的条件,然后我们得到在 (L^{2p}(D)) 中存在一个随机指数吸引子,其中 p 是满足 (1<;pleq 3).
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引用次数: 0
Casimir preserving stochastic Lie–Poisson integrators 卡西米尔保全随机李-泊松积分器
IF 4.1 3区 数学 Q1 MATHEMATICS Pub Date : 2024-01-02 DOI: 10.1186/s13662-023-03796-y
Erwin Luesink, Sagy Ephrati, Paolo Cifani, Bernard Geurts

Casimir preserving integrators for stochastic Lie–Poisson equations with Stratonovich noise are developed, extending Runge–Kutta Munthe-Kaas methods. The underlying Lie–Poisson structure is preserved along stochastic trajectories. A related stochastic differential equation on the Lie algebra is derived. The solution of this differential equation updates the evolution of the Lie–Poisson dynamics using the exponential map. The constructed numerical method conserves Casimir-invariants exactly, which is important for long time integration. This is illustrated numerically for the case of the stochastic heavy top and the stochastic sine-Euler equations.

通过扩展 Runge-Kutta Munthe-Kaas 方法,为具有 Stratonovich 噪声的随机 Lie-Poisson 方程开发了卡西米尔保留积分器。沿随机轨迹保留了基本的列-泊松结构。推导出了一个相关的列代数随机微分方程。该微分方程的解使用指数图更新了Lie-Poisson动力学的演化。所构建的数值方法精确地保留了卡西米尔不变式,这对长时间积分非常重要。这一点在随机重顶和随机正弦-欧拉方程中得到了数值说明。
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引用次数: 0
Rich dynamics of a delayed SIRS epidemic model with two-age structure and logistic growth 具有双年龄结构和逻辑增长的延迟 SIRS 流行病模型的丰富动态变化
IF 4.1 3区 数学 Q1 MATHEMATICS Pub Date : 2023-12-08 DOI: 10.1186/s13662-023-03794-0
Dongxue Yan, Yu Cao

This paper studies a two-age structured SIRS epidemic model with logistic growth of susceptible population and two-time delays. We simultaneously introduce two-time delays, i.e., the immunity and incubation periods, into this dynamic system and investigate their impact on different dynamic behaviors for the model. By means of the (C_{0})-semigroup theory, the model is transformed into a non-densely defined abstract Cauchy problem, and the condition of the existence and uniqueness of the endemic equilibrium is obtained. Following the spectral analysis, the characteristic equation technique, and the Hopf bifurcation theorem, we show that different combinations of the two delays perform a vital role in the instability/stability as well as the Hopf bifurcation results of equilibrium solutions. We numerically provide some graphical representations to check the main theoretical results and show the rich dynamics by varying the two delay parameters.

本文研究了一种具有易感人群逻辑增长和双时间延迟的双年龄结构 SIRS 流行病模型。我们同时在这个动态系统中引入了两个时间延迟,即免疫期和潜伏期,并研究了它们对模型不同动态行为的影响。通过(C_{0})-半群理论,模型被转化为一个非密集定义的抽象考奇问题,并得到了流行均衡的存在性和唯一性条件。根据谱分析、特征方程技术和霍普夫分岔定理,我们证明了两种延迟的不同组合对平衡解的不稳定性/稳定性以及霍普夫分岔结果起着至关重要的作用。我们用数值方法提供了一些图解来检验主要理论结果,并通过改变两个延迟参数展示了丰富的动态变化。
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引用次数: 0
A central limit theorem for a classical gas 经典气体的中心极限定理
IF 4.1 3区 数学 Q1 MATHEMATICS Pub Date : 2023-11-23 DOI: 10.1186/s13662-023-03793-1
Hans Zessin, Suren Poghosyan

For a class of translation-invariant pair potentials ϕ in ((mathbb{R}^{d},zlambda )) satisfying a stability and regularity condition, we choose z so small that the associated collection (mathcal{ G}(phi,zlambda )) of Gibbs processes contains at least the stationary process G, which is a Gibbs process in the sense of DLR and is given by the limiting Gibbs process with empty boundary conditions. Using an abstract version of the method of cluster expansions and Dobrushin’s approach to the central limit theorem, we present a central limit theorem for the particle numbers of G.

对于一类满足稳定性和正则性条件的平移不变对势φ (((mathbb{R}^{d},zlambda ))),我们选择极小的z,使得Gibbs过程的相关集合(mathcal{ G}(phi,zlambda ))至少包含平稳过程G,这是一个DLR意义上的Gibbs过程,由具有空边界条件的极限Gibbs过程给出。利用抽象的聚类展开方法和Dobrushin的中心极限定理,给出了G粒子数的中心极限定理。
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引用次数: 0
Reproduction number projection for the COVID-19 pandemic COVID-19大流行的繁殖数预测
IF 4.1 3区 数学 Q1 MATHEMATICS Pub Date : 2023-11-22 DOI: 10.1186/s13662-023-03792-2
Ryan Benjamin

The recently derived Hybrid-Incidence Susceptible-Transmissible-Removed (HI-STR) prototype is a deterministic compartment model for epidemics and an alternative to the Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model. The HI-STR predicts that pathogen transmission depends on host population characteristics including population size, population density and social behaviour common within that population.

The HI-STR prototype is applied to the ancestral Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV2) to show that the original estimates of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) basic reproduction number (mathcal{R}_{0}) for the United Kingdom (UK) could have been projected onto the individual states of the United States of America (USA) prior to being detected in the USA.

The Imperial College London (ICL) group’s estimate of (mathcal{R}_{0}) for the UK is projected onto each USA state. The difference between these projections and the ICL’s estimates for USA states is either not statistically significant on the paired Student t-test or not epidemiologically significant.

The SARS-CoV2 Delta variant’s (mathcal{R}_{0}) is also projected from the UK to the USA to prove that projection can be applied to a Variant of Concern (VOC). Projection provides both a localised baseline for evaluating the implementation of an intervention policy and a mechanism for anticipating the impact of a VOC before local manifestation.

最近导出的混合发病率易感-传播-去除(HI-STR)原型是流行病的确定性室室模型,是易感-感染-去除(SIR)模型的替代方案。HI-STR预测病原体传播取决于宿主种群特征,包括种群规模、种群密度和该种群中常见的社会行为。HI-STR原型应用于祖先的严重急性呼吸系统综合征冠状病毒2 (SARS-CoV2),以表明英国(英国)的2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)基本繁殖数(mathcal{R}_{0})的原始估计可以在美国(美国)被发现之前预测到美利坚合众国(美国)的各个州。伦敦帝国理工学院(ICL)小组对英国的(mathcal{R}_{0})估计是在美国的每个州进行的。这些预测与ICL对美国各州的估计之间的差异在配对学生t检验中要么在统计上不显著,要么在流行病学上不显著。SARS-CoV2 Delta变体的(mathcal{R}_{0})也从英国投影到美国,以证明投影可以应用于关注变体(VOC)。预测既为评估干预政策的实施提供了一个本地基线,也提供了一个机制,在VOC在本地出现之前预测其影响。
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引用次数: 0
Stability and control in a stochastic model of malaria population dynamics 疟疾种群动态随机模型的稳定性和控制
IF 4.1 3区 数学 Q1 MATHEMATICS Pub Date : 2023-11-15 DOI: 10.1186/s13662-023-03791-3
Peter J. Witbooi, Sibaliwe Maku Vyambwera, Garth J. van Schalkwyk, Grant E. Muller

This article proves a stability theorem for the disease-free equilibrium of a stochastic differential equations model of malaria disease dynamics. The theorem is formulated in terms of an invariant which is similar to the basic reproduction number of a related deterministic model. Compared to the deterministic model, stability of the disease-free equilibrium holds more generally for the stochastic model. The optimal control theory is applied to the stochastic model, revealing some important new insights. Theoretical results are illustrated by way of simulations.

本文证明了疟疾疾病动力学随机微分方程模型的无病平衡的稳定性定理。该定理是用一个类似于相关确定性模型的基本再现数的不变量来表述的。与确定性模型相比,无病平衡的稳定性在随机模型中更为普遍。将最优控制理论应用于随机模型,揭示了一些重要的新见解。通过仿真对理论结果进行了说明。
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引用次数: 0
A pseudo-spectral method based on reproducing kernel for solving the time-fractional diffusion-wave equation 基于再现核的伪谱法求解时间分数阶扩散波方程
IF 4.1 3区 数学 Q1 MATHEMATICS Pub Date : 2022-08-23 DOI: 10.1186/s13662-022-03726-4
Mojtaba Fardi, Shrideh K. Qasem Al-Omari, Serkan Araci

In this paper, we focus on the development and study of the finite difference/pseudo-spectral method to obtain an approximate solution for the time-fractional diffusion-wave equation in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. Moreover, we make use of the theory of reproducing kernels to establish certain reproducing kernel functions in the aforementioned reproducing kernel Hilbert space. Furthermore, we give an approximation to the time-fractional derivative term by applying the finite difference scheme by our proposed method. Over and above, we present an appropriate technique to derive the numerical solution of the given equation by utilizing a pseudo-spectral method based on the reproducing kernel. Then, we provide two numerical examples to support the accuracy and efficiency of our proposed method. Finally, we apply numerical experiments to calculate the quality of our approximation by employing discrete error norms.

本文主要研究了用有限差分/伪谱方法在再现核Hilbert空间中求得时间分数阶扩散波方程的近似解。此外,我们利用可再生核理论在上述可再生核希尔伯特空间中建立了若干可再生核函数。在此基础上,利用有限差分格式给出了时间分数阶导数项的近似。在此基础上,我们提出了一种适当的技术,利用基于再现核的伪谱方法来推导给定方程的数值解。最后给出了两个数值算例,验证了所提方法的准确性和有效性。最后,我们应用数值实验来计算离散误差范数近似的质量。
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引用次数: 8
Numerical analysis of a linear second-order finite difference scheme for space-fractional Allen–Cahn equations 空间分数阶Allen-Cahn方程线性二阶有限差分格式的数值分析
IF 4.1 3区 数学 Q1 MATHEMATICS Pub Date : 2022-08-20 DOI: 10.1186/s13662-022-03725-5
Kai Wang, Jundong Feng, Hongbo Chen, Changling Xu

In this paper, we construct a new linear second-order finite difference scheme with two parameters for space-fractional Allen–Cahn equations. We first prove that the discrete maximum principle holds under reasonable constraints on time step size and coefficient of stabilized term. Secondly, we analyze the maximum-norm error. Thirdly, we can see that the proposed scheme is unconditionally energy-stable by defining the modified energy and selecting the appropriate parameters. Finally, two numerical examples are presented to verify the theoretical results.

本文构造了空间分数阶Allen-Cahn方程的一种新的线性二阶双参数有限差分格式。首先证明了在合理的时间步长和稳定项系数约束下,离散极大值原理成立。其次,分析了最大范数误差。第三,通过定义修正后的能量并选择合适的参数,可以看出所提方案是无条件能量稳定的。最后给出了两个数值算例来验证理论结果。
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引用次数: 0
Applying fixed point methodologies to solve a class of matrix difference equations for a new class of operators 应用不动点方法求解一类新算子的矩阵差分方程
IF 4.1 3区 数学 Q1 MATHEMATICS Pub Date : 2022-08-17 DOI: 10.1186/s13662-022-03724-6
Hasanen A. Hammad, Mohamed Elmursi, Rashwan A. Rashwan, Hüseyin Işık

The goal of this paper is to present a new class of operators satisfying the Prešić-type rational η-contraction condition in the setting of usual metric spaces. New fixed point results are also obtained for these operators. Our results generalize, extend, and unify many papers in this direction. Moreover, two examples are derived to support and document our theoretical results. Finally, to strengthen our paper and its contribution to applications, some convergence results for a class of matrix difference equations are investigated.

本文的目的是在通常度量空间的设置下,给出一类新的满足Prešić-type有理η-收缩条件的算子。这些算子还得到了新的不动点结果。我们的研究结果概括、扩展并统一了这方面的许多论文。此外,还推导了两个例子来支持和证明我们的理论结果。最后,研究了一类矩阵差分方程的收敛性结果,以加强本文的研究和应用。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Advances in Difference Equations
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