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Green hybrid fleets using electric vehicles: solving the heterogeneous vehicle routing problem with multiple driving ranges and loading capacities 使用电动汽车的绿色混合动力车队:解决多行驶里程和多载重能力的异构车辆路径问题
IF 1.6 4区 数学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.2436/20.8080.02.98
Sara Hatami, M. Eskandarpour, M. Serrano, Ángel Alejandro Juan Pérez, D. Ouelhadj
The introduction of Electric Vehicles (EVs) in modern fleets facilitates green road transportation. However, the driving ranges of EVs are limited by the duration of their batteries, which arise new operational challenges. Hybrid fleets of gas and EVs might be heterogeneous both in loading capacities as well as in driving-range capabilities,whichmakes the design of efficient routing plans a difficult task. In this paper, we propose a newMulti-Round IteratedGreedy (MRIG) metaheuristic to solve the Heterogeneous Vehicle Routing Problem with Multiple Driving ranges and loading capacities (HeVRPMD). MRIG uses a successive approximations method to offer the decision maker a set of alternative fleet configurations,with different distance-based costs and green levels. The numerical experiments show that MRIG is able to outperform previous works dealing with the homogeneous version of the problem, which assumes the same loading capacity for all vehicles in the fleet. The numerical experiments also confirm that the proposed MRIG approach extends previous works by solving a more realistic HeVRPMD and provides the decision-maker with fleets with higher green levels.
电动汽车(ev)在现代车队中的引入促进了绿色道路交通。然而,电动汽车的行驶里程受到电池续航时间的限制,这带来了新的运营挑战。汽油和电动汽车的混合动力车队在装载能力和行驶里程方面可能存在差异,这使得设计有效的路线规划成为一项艰巨的任务。本文提出了一种新的多轮迭代贪心(MRIG)元启发式算法来解决具有多行驶里程和负载能力的异构车辆路由问题(HeVRPMD)。MRIG使用连续逼近方法为决策者提供一组可选的车队配置,这些配置具有不同的基于距离的成本和绿色水平。数值实验表明,MRIG算法能够优于以往的同质版本算法,即假设车队中所有车辆的装载能力相同。数值实验也证实了所提出的MRIG方法通过解决更现实的HeVRPMD而扩展了先前的工作,并为决策者提供了更高绿色水平的车队。
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引用次数: 9
Integer constraints for enhancing interpretability in linear regression 提高线性回归可解释性的整数约束
IF 1.6 4区 数学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI: 10.2436/20.8080.02.95
E. Priego, Alba V. Olivares-Nadal, Pepa Ramírez Cobo
One of the main challenges researchers face is to identify the most relevant features in a prediction model. As a consequence, many regularized methods seeking sparsity have flourished. Although sparse, their solutions may not be interpretable in the presence of spurious coefficients and correlated features. In this paper we aim to enhance interpretability in linear regression in presence of multicollinearity by: (i) forcing the sign of the estimated coefficients to be consistent with the sign of the correlations between predictors, and (ii) avoiding spurious coefficients so that only significant features are represented in the model. This will be addressed by modelling constraints and adding them to an optimization problem expressing some estimation procedure such as ordinary least squares or the lasso. The so-obtained constrained regression models will become Mixed Integer Quadratic Problems. The numerical experiments carried out on real and simulated datasets show that tightening the search space of some standard linear regression models by adding the constraints modelling (i) and/or (ii) help to improve the sparsity and interpretability of the solutions with competitive predictive quality.
研究人员面临的主要挑战之一是确定预测模型中最相关的特征。因此,许多寻求稀疏性的正则化方法蓬勃发展。虽然稀疏,但在存在伪系数和相关特征时,它们的解可能无法解释。在本文中,我们的目标是通过:(i)强迫估计系数的符号与预测因子之间的相关性的符号一致,以及(ii)避免假系数,以便在模型中只表示重要的特征,来增强多重共线性存在的线性回归的可解释性。这将通过建模约束并将它们添加到表达一些估计过程(如普通最小二乘或套索)的优化问题中来解决。得到的约束回归模型将成为混合整数二次问题。在真实和模拟数据集上进行的数值实验表明,通过添加约束模型(i)和/或(ii)来缩小一些标准线性回归模型的搜索空间,有助于提高具有竞争性预测质量的解的稀疏性和可解释性。
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引用次数: 3
On interpretations of tests and effect sizes in regression models with a compositional predictor 用成分预测器解释回归模型中的检验和效应大小
IF 1.6 4区 数学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.2436/20.8080.02.100
G. Gallart, V. Pawlowsky-Glahn
Compositional data analysis is concerned with the relative importance of positive variables, expressed through their log-ratios. The literature has proposed a range of manners to compute log-ratios, some of whose interrelationships have never been reported when used as explanatory variables in regression models. This article shows their similarities and differences in interpretation based on the notion that one log-ratio has to be interpreted keeping all others constant. The article shows that centred, additive, pivot, balance and pairwise log-ratios lead to simple reparametrizations of the same model which can be combined to provide useful tests and comparable effect size estimates.
成分数据分析关注的是通过对数比表示的正变量的相对重要性。文献提出了一系列计算对数比的方法,其中一些相互关系在回归模型中用作解释变量时从未报道过。本文基于必须在保持所有其他对数比不变的情况下解释一个对数比的概念,展示了它们在解释上的异同。本文表明,中心、加性、枢轴、平衡和成对对数比导致同一模型的简单重新参数化,可以结合起来提供有用的检验和可比较的效应大小估计。
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引用次数: 20
Bartlett and Bartlett-type corrections for censored data from a Weibull distribution 来自威布尔分布的删减数据的Bartlett和Bartlett型校正
IF 1.6 4区 数学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.2436/20.8080.02.97
Tiago M. Magalhães, D. Gallardo
In this paper, we obtain the Bartlett factor for the likelihood ratio statistic and the Bartlett-type correction factor for the score and gradient test in censored data from a Weibull distribution. The expressions derived are simple, we only have to define a few matrices. We conduct an extensive Monte Carlo study to evaluate the performance of the corrected tests in small sample sizes and we show how they improve the original versions. Finally, we apply the results to a real data set with a small sample size illustrating that conclusions about the regressors could be different if corrections were not applied to the three mentioned classical statistics for the hypothesis test.
本文从威布尔分布中得到了似然比统计量的Bartlett因子和删减数据的分数和梯度检验的Bartlett型校正因子。导出的表达式很简单,我们只需要定义几个矩阵。我们进行了广泛的蒙特卡罗研究,以评估小样本量修正后的测试的性能,并展示了它们如何改进原始版本。最后,我们将结果应用于具有小样本量的真实数据集,说明如果不对上述三个经典统计量进行修正,关于回归量的结论可能会不同。
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引用次数: 5
Modelling count data using the logratio-normal-multinomial distribution 使用对数-正态-多项分布建模计数数据
IF 1.6 4区 数学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.2436/20.8080.02.96
M. Comas-Cufí, J. Martín-Fernández, G. Mateu-Figueras, J. Palarea‐Albaladejo
The logratio-normal-multinomial distribution is a count data model resulting from compounding a multinomial distribution for the counts with a multivariate logratio-normal distribution for the multinomial event probabilities. However, the logratio-normal-multinomial probability mass function does not admit a closed form expression and, consequently, numerical approximation is required for parameter estimation. In this work, different estimation approaches are introduced and evaluated. We concluded that estimation based on a quasi-Monte Carlo Expectation-Maximisation algorithm provides the best overall results. Building on this, the performances of the Dirichlet-multinomial and logratio-normal-multinomial models are compared through a number of examples using simulated and real count data.
对数-正态-多项分布是一种计数数据模型,由计数的多项分布与多项事件概率的多元对数-正态分布复合而成。然而,对数-正态-多项概率质量函数不允许一个封闭形式的表达式,因此,参数估计需要数值逼近。在这项工作中,介绍和评估了不同的估计方法。我们得出结论,基于准蒙特卡罗期望最大化算法的估计提供了最佳的整体结果。在此基础上,对dirichlet -多项式模型和对数-正态多项式模型的性能进行了比较。
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引用次数: 2
Bayesian structured antedependence model proposals for longitudinal data 纵向数据的贝叶斯结构前相关模型建议
IF 1.6 4区 数学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.2436/20.8080.02.99
Edwin Castillo-Carreno, Edilberto Cepeda-Cuervo, V. Núñez-Antón
An important problem in Statistics is the study of longitudinal data taking into account the effect of other explanatory variables, such as treatments and time and, simultaneously, the incorporation into the model of the time dependence between observations on the same individual. The latter is specially relevant in the case of nonstationary correlations, and nonconstant variances for the different time point at which measurements are taken. Antedependence models constitute a well known commonly used set of models that can accommodate this behaviour. These covariance models can include too many parameters and estimation can be a complicated optimization problem requiring the use of complex algorithms and programming. In this paper, a new Bayesian approach to analyse longitudinal data within the context of antedependence models is proposed. This innovative approach takes into account the possibility of having nonstationary correlations and variances, and proposes a robust and computationally efficient estimation method for this type of data. We consider the joint modelling of the mean and covariance structures for the general antedependence model, estimating their parameters in a longitudinal data context. Our Bayesian approach is based on a generalization of the Gibbs sampling and Metropolis-Hastings by blocks algorithm, properly adapted to the antedependence models longitudinal data settings. Finally, we illustrate the proposed methodology by analysing several examples where antedependence models have been shown to be useful: the small mice, the speech recognition and the race data sets.
统计学中的一个重要问题是研究纵向数据,同时考虑到其他解释变量的影响,如治疗和时间,同时,将同一个体的观察结果之间的时间依赖性纳入模型。后者在非平稳相关和不同时间点的非恒定方差的情况下特别相关。前依赖性模型构成了一组众所周知的常用模型,可以适应这种行为。这些协方差模型可能包含太多参数,估计可能是一个复杂的优化问题,需要使用复杂的算法和编程。本文提出了一种新的贝叶斯方法,在前相关模型的背景下分析纵向数据。这种创新的方法考虑了具有非平稳相关性和方差的可能性,并为这类数据提出了一种鲁棒且计算效率高的估计方法。我们考虑了一般前相关模型的均值和协方差结构的联合建模,在纵向数据环境中估计它们的参数。我们的贝叶斯方法是基于Gibbs抽样和Metropolis-Hastings块算法的推广,适当地适应前依赖模型的纵向数据设置。最后,我们通过分析几个例子来说明所提出的方法,其中前依赖模型已被证明是有用的:小老鼠,语音识别和种族数据集。
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引用次数: 0
False discovery rate control for grouped or discretely supported p-values with application to a neuroimaging study 在神经影像学研究中应用分组或离散支持p值的错误发现率控制
IF 1.6 4区 数学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2019-07-01 DOI: 10.2436/20.8080.02.87
H. Nguyen, Yohan Yee, G. McLachlan, J. Lerch
False discovery rate (FDR) control is important in multiple testing scenarios that are common in neuroimaging experiments, and p-values from such experiments may often arise from some discretely supported distribution or may be grouped in some way. Two situations that may lead to discretely supported distributions are when the p-values arise from Monte Carlo or permutation tests are used. Grouped p-values may occur when p-values are quantized for storage. In the neuroimaging context, grouped p-values may occur when data are stored in an integer-encoded form. We present a method for FDR control that is applicable in cases where only p-values are available for inference, and when those p-values are discretely supported or grouped. We assess our method via a comprehensive set of simulation scenarios and find that our method can outperform commonly used FDR control schemes in various cases. An implementation to a mouse imaging data set is used as an example to demonstrate the applicability of our approach.
错误发现率(FDR)控制在神经成像实验中常见的多个测试场景中很重要,并且此类实验的p值通常可能来自一些离散支持分布或可能以某种方式分组。可能导致离散支持分布的两种情况是,当p值来自蒙特卡罗检验或使用排列检验时。当p值被量化存储时,可能会出现分组p值。在神经影像学环境中,当数据以整数编码形式存储时,可能会出现分组p值。我们提出了一种FDR控制方法,该方法适用于只有p值可用于推理的情况,以及当这些p值被离散支持或分组时。我们通过一组全面的模拟场景来评估我们的方法,并发现我们的方法在各种情况下都优于常用的FDR控制方案。以鼠标成像数据集的实现为例,说明了我们的方法的适用性。
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引用次数: 1
On the optimism correction of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve in logistic prediction models logistic预测模型中接收者工作特征曲线下面积的乐观修正
IF 1.6 4区 数学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2019-06-11 DOI: 10.2436/20.8080.02.82
Amaia Iparragirre, Irantzu Barrio, M. Rodríguez-Álvarez
When the same data are used to fit a model and estimate its predictive performance, this estimate may be optimistic, and its correction is required. The aim of this work is to compare the behaviour of different methods proposed in the literature when correcting for the optimism of the estimated area under the receiver operating characteristic curve in logistic regression models. A simulation study (where the theoretical model is known) is conducted considering different number of covariates, sample size, prevalence and correlation among covariates. The results suggest the use of k-fold cross-validation with replication and bootstrap.
当使用相同的数据来拟合模型并估计其预测性能时,该估计可能是乐观的,并且需要对其进行校正。这项工作的目的是比较文献中提出的不同方法在修正逻辑回归模型中接收者工作特征曲线下估计面积的乐观性时的行为。在理论模型已知的情况下,考虑不同协变量数量、样本量、患病率和协变量之间的相关性,进行模拟研究。结果建议使用k-fold交叉验证与复制和自举。
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引用次数: 2
A simheuristic for routing electric vehicles with limited driving ranges and stochastic travel times 有限续驶里程和随机行驶时间下电动汽车路径的相似启发式算法
IF 1.6 4区 数学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2019-06-11 DOI: 10.2436/20.8080.02.77
Lorena Silvana Reyes Rubiano, D. Ferone, Ángel Alejandro Juan Pérez, Francisco Javier Faulín Fajardo
Green transportation is becoming relevant in the context of smart cities, where the use of electric vehicles represents a promising strategy to support sustainability policies. However the use of electric vehicles shows some drawbacks as well, such as their limited driving-range capacity. This paper analyses a realistic vehicle routing problem in which both driving-range constraints and stochastic travel times are considered. Thus, the main goal is to minimize the expected time-based cost required to complete the freight distribution plan. In order to design reliable Routing plans, a simheuristic algorithm is proposed. It combines Monte Carlo simulation with a multi-start metaheuristic, which also employs biased-randomization techniques. By including simulation, simheuristics extend the capabilities of metaheuristics to deal with stochastic problems. A series of computational experiments are performed to test our solving approach as well as to analyse the effect of uncertainty on the routing plans.
在智能城市的背景下,绿色交通正变得越来越重要,在智能城市中,使用电动汽车代表了一种支持可持续发展政策的有前途的战略。然而,电动汽车的使用也显示出一些缺点,比如行驶里程有限。本文分析了一个考虑行驶里程约束和随机行驶时间约束的现实车辆路径问题。因此,主要目标是最小化完成货运分配计划所需的预期时间成本。为了设计可靠的路由方案,提出了一种相似启发式算法。它将蒙特卡罗模拟与多起点元启发式相结合,后者也采用了偏随机化技术。通过模拟,相似启发式扩展了元启发式处理随机问题的能力。通过一系列的计算实验验证了我们的求解方法,并分析了不确定性对路径规划的影响。
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引用次数: 36
Internalizing negative externalities in vehicle routing problems through green taxes and green tolls 通过绿色税收和绿色通行费内部化车辆路线问题的负外部性
IF 1.6 4区 数学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.2436/20.8080.02.80
Adrian Hernandez, Francisco Javier Faulín Fajardo
Road freight transportation includes various internal and external costs that need to be accounted for in the construction of efficient routing plans. Typically, the resulting optimization problem is formulated as a vehicle routing problem in any of its variants. While the traditional focus of the vehicle routing problem was the minimization of internal routing costs such as travel distance or duration, numerous approaches to include external factors related to environmental routing aspects have been recently discussed in the literature. However, internal and external routing costs are often treated as competing objectives. This paper discusses the internalization of external routing costs through the consideration of green taxes and green tolls. Numeric experiments with a biased-randomization savings algorithm, show benefits of combining internal and external costs in delivery route planning.
公路货物运输包括各种内部和外部的成本,需要考虑到有效的路线计划的建设。通常,所得到的优化问题被表述为任意变体中的车辆路径问题。虽然车辆路线问题的传统焦点是最小化内部路线成本,如行驶距离或持续时间,但最近文献中讨论了许多包括与环境路线方面相关的外部因素的方法。然而,内部和外部路由成本通常被视为相互竞争的目标。本文通过考虑绿色税和绿色通行费来讨论外部路径成本的内部化问题。用一种偏随机化节约算法进行了数值实验,结果表明,将内部成本和外部成本结合起来进行配送路线规划是有好处的。
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引用次数: 5
期刊
Sort-Statistics and Operations Research Transactions
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