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ANFIS for prediction of epidemic peak and infected cases for COVID-19 in India. ANFIS用于预测印度COVID-19的流行高峰和感染病例。
IF 4.5 3区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2023-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-09-21 DOI: 10.1007/s00521-021-06412-w
Rajagopal Kumar, Fadi Al-Turjman, L N B Srinivas, M Braveen, Jothilakshmi Ramakrishnan

Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a continuing extensive incident globally affecting several million people's health and sometimes leading to death. The outbreak prediction and making cautious steps is the only way to prevent the spread of COVID-19. This paper presents an Adaptive Neuro-fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS)-based machine learning technique to predict the possible outbreak in India. The proposed ANFIS-based prediction system tracks the growth of epidemic based on the previous data sets fetched from cloud computing. The proposed ANFIS technique predicts the epidemic peak and COVID-19 infected cases through the cloud data sets. The ANFIS is chosen for this study as it has both numerical and linguistic knowledge, and also has ability to classify data and identify patterns. The proposed technique not only predicts the outbreak but also tracks the disease and suggests a measurable policy to manage the COVID-19 epidemic. The obtained prediction shows that the proposed technique very effectively tracks the growth of the COVID-19 epidemic. The result shows the growth of infection rate decreases at end of 2020 and also has delay epidemic peak by 40-60 days. The prediction result using the proposed ANFIS technique shows a low Mean Square Error (MSE) of 1.184 × 10-3 with an accuracy of 86%. The study provides important information for public health providers and the government to control the COVID-19 epidemic.

2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)是全球持续发生的广泛事件,影响数百万人的健康,有时会导致死亡。预测疫情并采取谨慎措施是防止新冠病毒传播的唯一途径。本文提出了一种基于自适应神经模糊推理系统(ANFIS)的机器学习技术来预测印度可能爆发的疫情。提出了基于anfiss的预测系统,该系统基于从云计算中获取的先前数据集跟踪流行病的增长。提出的ANFIS技术通过云数据集预测疫情峰值和COVID-19感染病例。之所以选择ANFIS进行这项研究,是因为它既有数字知识,也有语言知识,而且还具有对数据进行分类和识别模式的能力。提出的技术不仅可以预测疫情,还可以跟踪疾病,并提出可衡量的政策来管理COVID-19流行病。预测结果表明,所提出的方法可以非常有效地跟踪COVID-19疫情的发展。结果表明,2020年底感染率增速下降,并将疫情高峰推迟40 ~ 60天。采用ANFIS技术的预测结果显示,均方误差(MSE)为1.184 × 10-3,精度为86%。该研究为公共卫生机构和政府控制新冠肺炎疫情提供了重要信息。
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引用次数: 0
Archive-based coronavirus herd immunity algorithm for optimizing weights in neural networks. 用于优化神经网络权重的基于档案的冠状病毒群体免疫算法。
IF 4.5 3区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2023-01-01 Epub Date: 2023-04-19 DOI: 10.1007/s00521-023-08577-y
Iyad Abu Doush, Mohammed A Awadallah, Mohammed Azmi Al-Betar, Osama Ahmad Alomari, Sharif Naser Makhadmeh, Ammar Kamal Abasi, Zaid Abdi Alkareem Alyasseri

The success of the supervised learning process for feedforward neural networks, especially multilayer perceptron neural network (MLP), depends on the suitable configuration of its controlling parameters (i.e., weights and biases). Normally, the gradient descent method is used to find the optimal values of weights and biases. The gradient descent method suffers from the local optimal trap and slow convergence. Therefore, stochastic approximation methods such as metaheuristics are invited. Coronavirus herd immunity optimizer (CHIO) is a recent metaheuristic human-based algorithm stemmed from the herd immunity mechanism as a way to treat the spread of the coronavirus pandemic. In this paper, an external archive strategy is proposed and applied to direct the population closer to more promising search regions. The external archive is implemented during the algorithm evolution, and it saves the best solutions to be used later. This enhanced version of CHIO is called ACHIO. The algorithm is utilized in the training process of MLP to find its optimal controlling parameters thus empowering their classification accuracy. The proposed approach is evaluated using 15 classification datasets with classes ranging between 2 to 10. The performance of ACHIO is compared against six well-known swarm intelligence algorithms and the original CHIO in terms of classification accuracy. Interestingly, ACHIO is able to produce accurate results that excel other comparative methods in ten out of the fifteen classification datasets and very competitive results for others.

前馈神经网络,特别是多层感知器神经网络(MLP)的监督学习过程的成功取决于其控制参数(即权重和偏差)的适当配置。通常,使用梯度下降法来寻找权重和偏差的最佳值。梯度下降法存在局部最优陷阱和收敛速度慢的问题。因此,邀请了诸如元启发式的随机逼近方法。冠状病毒群体免疫优化器(CHIO)是一种最新的元启发式基于人类的算法,源于群体免疫机制,作为治疗冠状病毒大流行传播的一种方法。在本文中,提出并应用了一种外部存档策略,以引导人口更接近更有前景的搜索区域。外部存档是在算法进化过程中实现的,它保存了以后使用的最佳解决方案。这种增强版的CHIO被称为ACHIO。该算法被用于MLP的训练过程中,以找到其最优控制参数,从而提高其分类精度。使用类别范围在2到10之间的15个分类数据集对所提出的方法进行了评估。在分类精度方面,将ACHIO的性能与六种著名的群体智能算法和原始的CHIO进行了比较。有趣的是,ACHIO能够在十五个分类数据集中的十个分类数据集中产生优于其他比较方法的准确结果,并对其他分类数据集产生非常有竞争力的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing COVID-19 tracking apps with human activity recognition using a deep convolutional neural network and HAR-images. 使用深度卷积神经网络和HAR-images,通过人类活动识别增强新冠肺炎追踪应用程序。
IF 4.5 3区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2023-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-03-30 DOI: 10.1007/s00521-021-05913-y
Gianni D'Angelo, Francesco Palmieri

With the emergence of COVID-19, mobile health applications have increasingly become crucial in contact tracing, information dissemination, and pandemic control in general. Apps warn users if they have been close to an infected person for sufficient time, and therefore potentially at risk. The distance measurement accuracy heavily affects the probability estimation of being infected. Most of these applications make use of the electromagnetic field produced by Bluetooth Low Energy technology to estimate the distance. Nevertheless, radio interference derived from numerous factors, such as crowding, obstacles, and user activity can lead to wrong distance estimation, and, in turn, to wrong decisions. Besides, most of the social distance-keeping criteria recognized worldwide plan to keep a different distance based on the activity of the person and on the surrounding environment. In this study, in order to enhance the performance of the COVID-19 tracking apps, a human activity classifier based on Convolutional Deep Neural Network is provided. In particular, the raw data coming from the accelerometer sensor of a smartphone are arranged to form an image including several channels (HAR-Image), which is used as fingerprints of the in-progress activity that can be used as an additional input by tracking applications. Experimental results, obtained by analyzing real data, have shown that the HAR-Images are effective features for human activity recognition. Indeed, the results on the k-fold cross-validation and obtained by using a real dataset achieved an accuracy very close to 100%.

随着新冠肺炎的出现,移动健康应用程序在接触者追踪、信息传播和总体疫情控制方面变得越来越重要。应用程序警告用户,如果他们与感染者接触足够长的时间,因此可能面临风险。距离测量的准确性严重影响被感染的概率估计。这些应用程序大多利用蓝牙低能量技术产生的电磁场来估计距离。然而,由拥挤、障碍和用户活动等众多因素产生的无线电干扰可能导致错误的距离估计,进而导致错误的决策。此外,世界上公认的大多数社交距离保持标准都计划根据个人活动和周围环境保持不同的距离。在本研究中,为了提高新冠肺炎追踪应用程序的性能,提供了一种基于卷积深度神经网络的人类活动分类器。特别地,来自智能手机的加速度计传感器的原始数据被布置成形成包括多个通道的图像(HAR图像),该图像被用作正在进行的活动的指纹,该指纹可以被跟踪应用用作附加输入。通过对真实数据的分析,实验结果表明,HAR图像是人类活动识别的有效特征。事实上,通过使用真实数据集获得的k次交叉验证的结果实现了非常接近100%的准确性。
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引用次数: 0
Interpretable tourism volume forecasting with multivariate time series under the impact of COVID-19. 在 COVID-19 的影响下,利用多变量时间序列进行可解释的旅游数量预测。
IF 4.5 3区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2023-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-11-04 DOI: 10.1007/s00521-022-07967-y
Binrong Wu, Lin Wang, Rui Tao, Yu-Rong Zeng

This study proposes a novel interpretable framework to forecast the daily tourism volume of Jiuzhaigou Valley, Huangshan Mountain, and Siguniang Mountain in China under the impact of COVID-19 by using multivariate time-series data, particularly historical tourism volume data, COVID-19 data, the Baidu index, and weather data. For the first time, epidemic-related search engine data is introduced for tourism demand forecasting. A new method named the composition leading search index-variational mode decomposition is proposed to process search engine data. Meanwhile, to overcome the problem of insufficient interpretability of existing tourism demand forecasting, a new model of DE-TFT interpretable tourism demand forecasting is proposed in this study, in which the hyperparameters of temporal fusion transformers (TFT) are optimized intelligently and efficiently based on the differential evolution algorithm. TFT is an attention-based deep learning model that combines high-performance forecasting with interpretable analysis of temporal dynamics, displaying excellent performance in forecasting research. The TFT model produces an interpretable tourism demand forecast output, including the importance ranking of different input variables and attention analysis at different time steps. Besides, the validity of the proposed forecasting framework is verified based on three cases. Interpretable experimental results show that the epidemic-related search engine data can well reflect the concerns of tourists about tourism during the COVID-19 epidemic.

本研究利用多变量时间序列数据,特别是历史旅游量数据、新冠肺炎数据、百度指数和天气数据,提出了一种新的可解释框架,用于预测新冠肺炎影响下九寨沟、黄山和四娘山的日旅游量。首次引入疫情相关搜索引擎数据进行旅游需求预测。提出了一种新的搜索引擎数据处理方法——组合领先搜索索引-变分模式分解。同时,针对现有旅游需求预测可解释性不足的问题,提出了一种新的DE-TFT可解释性旅游需求预测模型,该模型基于差分进化算法对时间融合变压器(TFT)的超参数进行了智能高效的优化。TFT是一种基于注意力的深度学习模型,将高性能预测与时间动态的可解释分析相结合,在预测研究中表现优异。TFT模型给出了一个可解释的旅游需求预测输出,包括不同输入变量的重要性排序和不同时间步长的注意力分析。最后,通过三个实例验证了所提预测框架的有效性。可解释的实验结果表明,疫情相关搜索引擎数据能很好地反映疫情期间游客对旅游的关注。
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引用次数: 0
A survey on deep learning applied to medical images: from simple artificial neural networks to generative models. 深度学习在医学图像中的应用综述:从简单的人工神经网络到生成模型。
IF 4.5 3区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2023-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-11-04 DOI: 10.1007/s00521-022-07953-4
P Celard, E L Iglesias, J M Sorribes-Fdez, R Romero, A Seara Vieira, L Borrajo

Deep learning techniques, in particular generative models, have taken on great importance in medical image analysis. This paper surveys fundamental deep learning concepts related to medical image generation. It provides concise overviews of studies which use some of the latest state-of-the-art models from last years applied to medical images of different injured body areas or organs that have a disease associated with (e.g., brain tumor and COVID-19 lungs pneumonia). The motivation for this study is to offer a comprehensive overview of artificial neural networks (NNs) and deep generative models in medical imaging, so more groups and authors that are not familiar with deep learning take into consideration its use in medicine works. We review the use of generative models, such as generative adversarial networks and variational autoencoders, as techniques to achieve semantic segmentation, data augmentation, and better classification algorithms, among other purposes. In addition, a collection of widely used public medical datasets containing magnetic resonance (MR) images, computed tomography (CT) scans, and common pictures is presented. Finally, we feature a summary of the current state of generative models in medical image including key features, current challenges, and future research paths.

深度学习技术,尤其是生成模型,在医学图像分析中占据了重要地位。本文概述了与医学图像生成相关的深度学习基本概念。它简明扼要地概述了一些研究,这些研究使用了过去几年中一些最新的先进模型,并将其应用于与疾病相关的不同受伤身体部位或器官(如脑肿瘤和 COVID-19 肺部肺炎)的医学图像。本研究的目的是全面概述人工神经网络(NN)和深度生成模型在医学影像中的应用,以便让更多不熟悉深度学习的团体和作者考虑到其在医学工程中的应用。我们回顾了生成模型的使用情况,如生成对抗网络和变异自动编码器,它们是实现语义分割、数据增强和更好的分类算法等目的的技术。此外,我们还介绍了一组广泛使用的公共医疗数据集,其中包含磁共振(MR)图像、计算机断层扫描(CT)扫描和普通图片。最后,我们总结了医学图像生成模型的现状,包括主要特征、当前挑战和未来研究方向。
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引用次数: 0
Topical collection on machine learning for big data analytics in smart healthcare systems. 智能医疗系统中用于大数据分析的机器学习专题集。
IF 6 3区 计算机科学 Q1 Computer Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 Epub Date: 2023-05-09 DOI: 10.1007/s00521-023-08627-5
Mian Ahmad Jan, Houbing Song, Fazlullah Khan, Ateeq Ur Rehman, Lie-Liang Yang
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引用次数: 1
Human activity recognition from sensor data using spatial attention-aided CNN with genetic algorithm. 基于遗传算法的空间注意力辅助CNN对传感器数据的人类活动识别。
IF 6 3区 计算机科学 Q1 Computer Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/s00521-022-07911-0
Apu Sarkar, S K Sabbir Hossain, Ram Sarkar

Capturing time and frequency relationships of time series signals offers an inherent barrier for automatic human activity recognition (HAR) from wearable sensor data. Extracting spatiotemporal context from the feature space of the sensor reading sequence is challenging for the current recurrent, convolutional, or hybrid activity recognition models. The overall classification accuracy also gets affected by large size feature maps that these models generate. To this end, in this work, we have put forth a hybrid architecture for wearable sensor data-based HAR. We initially use Continuous Wavelet Transform to encode the time series of sensor data as multi-channel images. Then, we utilize a Spatial Attention-aided Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) to extract higher-dimensional features. To find the most essential features for recognizing human activities, we develop a novel feature selection (FS) method. In order to identify the fitness of the features for the FS, we first employ three filter-based methods: Mutual Information (MI), Relief-F, and minimum redundancy maximum relevance (mRMR). The best set of features is then chosen by removing the lower-ranked features using a modified version of the Genetic Algorithm (GA). The K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) classifier is then used to categorize human activities. We conduct comprehensive experiments on five well-known, publicly accessible HAR datasets, namely UCI-HAR, WISDM, MHEALTH, PAMAP2, and HHAR. Our model significantly outperforms the state-of-the-art models in terms of classification performance. We also observe an improvement in overall recognition accuracy with the use of GA-based FS technique with a lower number of features. The source code of the paper is publicly available here https://github.com/apusarkar2195/HAR_WaveletTransform_SpatialAttention_FeatureSelection.

捕获时间序列信号的时间和频率关系为从可穿戴传感器数据中自动识别人类活动(HAR)提供了固有的障碍。从传感器读取序列的特征空间中提取时空背景对于当前的循环、卷积或混合活动识别模型来说是一个挑战。总体分类精度也受到这些模型生成的大尺寸特征映射的影响。为此,在本工作中,我们提出了一种基于可穿戴传感器数据的混合HAR架构。我们首先使用连续小波变换将传感器数据的时间序列编码为多通道图像。然后,我们利用空间注意辅助卷积神经网络(CNN)来提取高维特征。为了找到识别人类活动的最基本特征,我们提出了一种新的特征选择方法。为了识别FS特征的适应度,我们首先采用了三种基于滤波器的方法:互信息(MI)、Relief-F和最小冗余最大相关性(mRMR)。然后,通过使用遗传算法(GA)的改进版本去除排名较低的特征来选择最佳特征集。然后使用k近邻(KNN)分类器对人类活动进行分类。我们在UCI-HAR、WISDM、MHEALTH、PAMAP2和HHAR这五个知名的、可公开访问的HAR数据集上进行了全面的实验。我们的模型在分类性能方面明显优于最先进的模型。我们还观察到,使用基于ga的FS技术,使用较少数量的特征,可以提高整体识别精度。论文的源代码可以在这里公开获得https://github.com/apusarkar2195/HAR_WaveletTransform_SpatialAttention_FeatureSelection。
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引用次数: 13
Empirical validation of ELM trained neural networks for financial modelling. ELM训练神经网络用于金融建模的实证验证。
IF 6 3区 计算机科学 Q1 Computer Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/s00521-022-07792-3
Volodymyr Novykov, Christopher Bilson, Adrian Gepp, Geoff Harris, Bruce James Vanstone

The purpose of this work is to compare predictive performance of neural networks trained using the relatively novel technique of training single hidden layer feedforward neural networks (SFNN), called Extreme Learning Machine (ELM), with commonly used backpropagation-trained recurrent neural networks (RNN) as applied to the task of financial market prediction. Evaluated on a set of large capitalisation stocks on the Australian market, specifically the components of the ASX20, ELM-trained SFNNs showed superior performance over RNNs for individual stock price prediction. While this conclusion of efficacy holds generally, long short-term memory (LSTM) RNNs were found to outperform for a small subset of stocks. Subsequent analysis identified several areas of performance deviations which we highlight as potentially fruitful areas for further research and performance improvement.

这项工作的目的是比较使用相对新颖的训练单隐层前馈神经网络(SFNN)的神经网络的预测性能,称为极限学习机(ELM),与常用的反向传播训练的递归神经网络(RNN)应用于金融市场预测任务。在澳大利亚市场的一组大市值股票上进行评估,特别是ASX20的组成部分,elm训练的sfnn在单个股票价格预测方面表现优于rnn。虽然这一功效结论普遍成立,但研究发现,长短期记忆(LSTM) rnn在一小部分股票中表现优于其他股票。随后的分析确定了几个性能偏差的领域,我们强调这些领域可能是进一步研究和性能改进的富有成效的领域。
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引用次数: 1
Performance analysis and comparison of Machine Learning and LoRa-based Healthcare model. 基于机器学习和LoRa的医疗保健模型的性能分析和比较。
IF 6 3区 计算机科学 Q1 Computer Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 Epub Date: 2023-03-07 DOI: 10.1007/s00521-023-08411-5
Navneet Verma, Sukhdip Singh, Devendra Prasad

Diabetes Mellitus (DM) is a widespread condition that is one of the main causes of health disasters around the world, and health monitoring is one of the sustainable development topics. Currently, the Internet of Things (IoT) and Machine Learning (ML) technologies work together to provide a reliable method of monitoring and predicting Diabetes Mellitus. In this paper, we present the performance of a model for patient real-time data collection that employs the Hybrid Enhanced Adaptive Data Rate (HEADR) algorithm for the Long-Range (LoRa) protocol of the IoT. On the Contiki Cooja simulator, the LoRa protocol's performance is measured in terms of high dissemination and dynamic data transmission range allocation. Furthermore, by employing classification methods for the detection of diabetes severity levels on acquired data via the LoRa (HEADR) protocol, Machine Learning prediction takes place. For prediction, a variety of Machine Learning classifiers are employed, and the final results are compared with the already existing models where the Random Forest and Decision Tree classifiers outperform the others in terms of precision, recall, F-measure, and receiver operating curve (ROC) in the Python programming language. We also discovered that using k-fold cross-validation on k-neighbors, Logistic regression (LR), and Gaussian Nave Bayes (GNB) classifiers boosted the accuracy.

糖尿病是一种广泛存在的疾病,是世界各地健康灾难的主要原因之一,健康监测是可持续发展的主题之一。目前,物联网(IoT)和机器学习(ML)技术共同提供了一种监测和预测糖尿病的可靠方法。在本文中,我们介绍了一种用于患者实时数据收集的模型的性能,该模型采用了物联网远程(LoRa)协议的混合增强自适应数据速率(HEADR)算法。在Contiki-Cooja模拟器上,根据高传播性和动态数据传输范围分配来衡量LoRa协议的性能。此外,通过采用分类方法来检测通过LoRa(HEADR)协议获取的数据中的糖尿病严重程度水平,实现了机器学习预测。对于预测,使用了各种机器学习分类器,并将最终结果与现有模型进行了比较,在现有模型中,随机森林和决策树分类器在Python编程语言中的精度、召回率、F-测度和接收器工作曲线(ROC)方面优于其他分类器。我们还发现,在k近邻上使用k倍交叉验证、逻辑回归(LR)和高斯Nave Bayes(GNB)分类器提高了准确性。
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引用次数: 0
Special issue on neuro, fuzzy and their hybridization. 神经、模糊及其杂交专刊。
IF 6 3区 计算机科学 Q1 Computer Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/s00521-022-08181-6
Longzhi Yang, Vijayakumar Varadarajan, Yanpeng Qu
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Neural Computing & Applications
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