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Theory and applications of stratification criteria based on space-filling pattern and projection pattern 基于空间填充模式和投影模式的分层标准的理论与应用
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-22 DOI: 10.1007/s00184-024-00964-2
Xinqi Zhang, Yaping Wang, Fasheng Sun
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引用次数: 0
Optimality and constructions of spanning bipartite block designs 跨两方块设计的最优性和构造
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-10 DOI: 10.1007/s00184-024-00963-3
Shoko Chisaki, Ryoh Fuji-Hara, Nobuko Miyamoto

We consider a statistical problem to estimate variables (effects) that are associated with the edges of a complete bipartite graph (K_{v_1, v_2}=(V_1, V_2;E)). Each data is obtained as a sum of selected effects, a subset of E. To estimate efficiently, we propose a design called Spanning Bipartite Block Design (SBBD). For SBBDs such that the effects are estimable, we proved that the estimators have the same variance (variance balanced). If each block (a subgraph of (K_{v_1, v_2})) of SBBD is a semi-regular or a regular bipartite graph, we show that the design is A-optimum. We also show a construction of SBBD using an ((r,lambda ))-design and an ordered design. A BIBD with prime power blocks gives an A-optimum semi-regular or regular SBBD.

我们考虑了一个统计问题,即如何估计与完整双栅格图 (K_{v_1,v_2}=(V_1,V_2;E))的边相关联的变量(效应)。每个数据都是所选效应的总和,是 E 的一个子集。为了高效估算,我们提出了一种称为跨双栅格块设计(SBBD)的设计方法。对于可估算效应的 SBBD,我们证明了估算器具有相同的方差(方差平衡)。如果 SBBD 的每个块((K_{v_1, v_2}) 的一个子图)都是半规则或规则的双栅格图,我们证明该设计是 A-最优的。我们还展示了一种使用((r,lambda ))设计和有序设计来构造 SBBD 的方法。一个具有质数幂块的 BIBD 给出了一个 A-最优的半规则或规则 SBBD。
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引用次数: 0
Structure of hybrid censoring schemes and its implications 混合剔除方案的结构及其影响
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-09 DOI: 10.1007/s00184-024-00960-6
Erhard Cramer

In this paper, structural properties of (progressive) hybrid censoring schemes are established by studying the possible data scenarios resulting from the hybrid censoring scheme. The results illustrate that the distributions of hybrid censored random variables can be immediately derived from the cases of Type-I and Type-II censored data. Furthermore, it turns out that results in likelihood and Bayesian inference are also obtained directly which explains the similarities present in the probabilistic and statistical analysis of these censoring schemes. The power of the approach is illustrated by applying the approach to the quite complex unified Type-II (progressive) hybrid censoring scheme. Finally, it is shown that the approach is not restricted to (progressively Type-II censored) order statistics and that it can be extended to almost any kind of ordered data.

本文通过研究混合剔除方案可能产生的数据情况,建立了(渐进)混合剔除方案的结构特性。结果表明,混合剔除随机变量的分布可以立即从第一类和第二类剔除数据的情况中推导出来。此外,还可以直接得到似然法和贝叶斯推理的结果,这就解释了这些剔除方案的概率和统计分析中存在的相似性。通过将该方法应用于相当复杂的统一第二类(渐进式)混合剔除方案,说明了该方法的威力。最后,研究还表明,该方法并不局限于(渐进式 II 类剔除)有序统计,它几乎可以扩展到任何类型的有序数据。
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引用次数: 0
Variance estimation for average treatment effects estimated by g-computation 通过 g 计算估计的平均治疗效果的方差估计
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-06 DOI: 10.1007/s00184-024-00962-4
Stefan Nygaard Hansen, Morten Overgaard

The average treatment effect is used to evaluate effects of interventions in a population. Under certain causal assumptions, such an effect may be estimated from observational data using the g-computation technique. The asymptotic properties of this estimator appears not to be well-known and hence bootstrapping has become the preferred method for estimating its variance. Bootstrapping is, however, not an optimal choice for multiple reasons; it is a slow procedure and, if based on too few bootstrap samples, results in a highly variable estimator of the variance. In this paper, we consider estimators of potential outcome means and average treatment effects using g-computation. We consider these parameters for the entire population but also in subgroups, for example, the average treatment effect among the treated. We derive their asymptotic distributions in a general framework. An estimator of the asymptotic variance is proposed and shown to be consistent when g-computation is used in conjunction with the M-estimation technique. The proposed estimator is shown to be superior to the bootstrap technique in a simulation study. Robustness against model misspecification is also demonstrated by means of simulations.

平均治疗效果用于评估干预措施在人群中的效果。在某些因果假设条件下,可以使用 g 计算技术从观察数据中估算出平均治疗效果。这种估计方法的渐近特性似乎并不为人所知,因此引导法成为估计其方差的首选方法。然而,由于多种原因,自举法并不是最佳选择;它是一个缓慢的过程,而且如果基于过少的自举样本,会导致方差估计值的高度可变性。在本文中,我们考虑使用 g 计算来估计潜在结果均值和平均治疗效果。我们不仅考虑了整个人群的这些参数,还考虑了子群中的这些参数,例如,受治疗者的平均治疗效果。我们在一般框架下推导出它们的渐近分布。我们提出了一个渐近方差估计器,并证明当 g 计算与 M 估计技术结合使用时,该估计器是一致的。模拟研究表明,所提出的估计方法优于自举技术。此外,还通过模拟研究证明了该方法对模型错误规范的稳健性。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating the suspected larger of two normal means 估计两个正态均值中较大的可疑值
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-04 DOI: 10.1007/s00184-024-00961-5
Courtney Drew, Éric Marchand

For (X_1, X_2) independently and normally distributed with means (theta _1) and (theta _2), variances (sigma ^2_1) and (sigma ^2_2), we consider Bayesian inference about (theta _1) with the difference (theta _1-theta _2) being lower-bounded by an uncertain m. We obtain a class of minimax Bayes estimators of (theta _1), based on a posterior distribution for ((theta _1, theta _2)^{top }) taking values on (mathbb {R}^2), which dominate the unrestricted MLE under squared error loss for (theta _1-theta _2 ge 0). We also construct and study an ad hoc credible set for (theta _1) with approximate credibility (1-alpha ) and provide numerical evidence of its frequentist coverage probability closely matching the nominal credibility level. A spending function is incorporated which further increases the coverage.

对于 (X_1, X_2) 独立正态分布,具有均值 (theta _1) 和 (theta _2), 方差 (sigma ^2_1) 和 (sigma ^2_2)、我们考虑用贝叶斯推理来推断差值 (theta _1-theta _2) 被不确定的 m 限定。我们基于取值于 (mathbb {R}^2) 的 ((theta _1, theta _2)^{top }) 的后验分布得到了一类 (theta _1(theta _1, theta _2)^{top }) 的最小贝叶斯估计值,这些估计值在 (theta _1-theta _2 ge 0) 的平方误差损失下支配了无限制的 MLE。我们还为 (theta _1-theta _2ge 0) 构造并研究了一个近似可信度为 (1-alpha )的特设可信集,并提供了其频数覆盖概率与名义可信度密切匹配的数值证据。支出函数的加入进一步提高了覆盖率。
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引用次数: 0
Bahadur representations for the bootstrap median absolute deviation and the application to projection depth weighted mean 自举绝对偏差中值的巴哈杜尔表示法及其在投影深度加权平均值中的应用
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-19 DOI: 10.1007/s00184-024-00958-0
Qing Liu, Xiaohui Liu, Zihao Hu

Median absolute deviation (hereafter MAD) is known as a robust alternative to the ordinary variance. It has been widely utilized to induce robust statistical inferential procedures. In this paper, we investigate the strong and weak Bahadur representations of its bootstrap counterpart. As a useful application, we utilize the results to derive the weak Bahadur representation of the bootstrap sample projection depth weighted mean—a quite important location estimator depending on MAD.

中位绝对偏差(以下简称 MAD)被称为普通方差的稳健替代方案。它被广泛用于稳健的统计推断程序。在本文中,我们研究了其 bootstrap 对应的强和弱 Bahadur 表示。作为一个有用的应用,我们利用这些结果推导出了自举样本投影深度加权均值的弱巴哈多表示--这是一个依赖于 MAD 的相当重要的位置估计器。
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引用次数: 0
Measures of kurtosis: inadmissible for asymmetric distributions? 峰度测量:非对称分布不允许?
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-17 DOI: 10.1007/s00184-024-00959-z
Andreas Eberl, Bernhard Klar

Skewness and kurtosis are natural characteristics of a distribution. While it has long been recognized that they are more intrinsically entangled than other characteristics like location and dispersion, this has recently been made more explicit by Eberl and Klar (Stat Papers 65:415–433, 2024) with regard to orders of kurtosis. In this paper, we analyze the implications of this entanglement on kurtosis measures in general and for several specific examples. As a key finding, we show that kurtosis measures that are defined in the classical order-based way, which is analogous to measures of location, dispersion and skewness, do not exist. This raises serious doubts about the frequent application of such measures to skewed data. We then consider old and new proposals for kurtosis measures and evaluate under which additional conditions they measure kurtosis in a meaningful way. Some measures also allow more specific representations of the influence of skewness on the measurement of kurtosis than are available in a general setting. This works particularly well for a family of newly introduced density-based kurtosis measures.

偏度和峰度是分布的自然特征。虽然人们早已认识到,与位置和离散度等其他特征相比,它们在本质上更具有纠缠性,但最近 Eberl 和 Klar(Stat Papers 65:415-433, 2024)在研究峰度阶数时更明确地指出了这一点。在本文中,我们分析了这种纠缠对一般峰度度量和几个具体例子的影响。作为一项重要发现,我们证明了以经典阶次方式定义的峰度度量(类似于位置度量、离散度量和偏斜度量)是不存在的。这让人对频繁将此类度量应用于偏斜数据产生了严重怀疑。接下来,我们将考虑有关峰度测量的新旧建议,并评估在哪些附加条件下它们能以有意义的方式测量峰度。与一般情况相比,有些测量方法还能更具体地表示偏度对峰度测量的影响。这对新引入的基于密度的峰度测量系列尤其有效。
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引用次数: 0
Staged trees and asymmetry-labeled DAGs 分期树和不对称标记的 DAG
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-07 DOI: 10.1007/s00184-024-00957-1
Gherardo Varando, Federico Carli, Manuele Leonelli

Bayesian networks are a widely-used class of probabilistic graphical models capable of representing symmetric conditional independence between variables of interest using the topology of the underlying graph. For categorical variables, they can be seen as a special case of the much more general class of models called staged trees, which can represent any non-symmetric conditional independence. Here we formalize the relationship between these two models and introduce a minimal Bayesian network representation of a staged tree, which can be used to read conditional independences intuitively. A new labeled graph termed asymmetry-labeled directed acyclic graph is defined, with edges labeled to denote the type of dependence between any two random variables. We also present a novel algorithm to learn staged trees which only enforces a specific subset of non-symmetric independences. Various datasets illustrate the methodology, highlighting the need to construct models that more flexibly encode and represent non-symmetric structures.

贝叶斯网络是一类广泛使用的概率图形模型,能够利用底层图形的拓扑结构来表示相关变量之间的对称条件独立性。对于分类变量来说,贝叶斯网络可以看作是更为通用的分阶段树模型的特例,后者可以表示任何非对称的条件独立性。在这里,我们正式阐述了这两种模型之间的关系,并介绍了分阶段树的最小贝叶斯网络表示法,它可以用来直观地读取条件独立性。我们定义了一种新的标记图,称为 "不对称标记有向无环图",其边缘用标记表示任意两个随机变量之间的依赖类型。我们还提出了一种学习分阶段树的新算法,该算法只强制执行特定的非对称独立性子集。各种数据集说明了这一方法,突出了构建能更灵活地编码和表示非对称结构的模型的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Right-censored nonparametric regression with measurement error 有测量误差的右删失非参数回归
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-05 DOI: 10.1007/s00184-024-00953-5
Dursun Aydın, Ersin Yılmaz, Nur Chamidah, Budi Lestari, I. Nyoman Budiantara

This study focuses on estimating a nonparametric regression model with right-censored data when the covariate is subject to measurement error. To achieve this goal, it is necessary to solve the problems of censorship and measurement error ignored by many researchers. Note that the presence of measurement errors causes biased and inconsistent parameter estimates. Moreover, non-parametric regression techniques cannot be applied directly to right-censored observations. In this context, we consider an updated response variable using the Buckley–James method (BJM), which is essentially based on the Kaplan–Meier estimator, to solve the censorship problem. Then the measurement error problem is handled using the kernel deconvolution method, which is a specialized tool to solve this problem. Accordingly, three denconvoluted estimators based on BJM are introduced using kernel smoothing, local polynomial smoothing, and B-spline techniques that incorporate both the updated response variable and kernel deconvolution.The performances of these estimators are compared in a detailed simulation study. In addition, a real-world data example is presented using the Covid-19 dataset.

本研究的重点是在协变量存在测量误差的情况下,利用右删失数据估计非参数回归模型。要实现这一目标,就必须解决许多研究人员忽视的删减和测量误差问题。需要注意的是,测量误差的存在会导致参数估计的偏差和不一致。此外,非参数回归技术无法直接应用于右删失观测值。在这种情况下,我们考虑使用 Buckley-James 方法(BJM)(该方法本质上基于 Kaplan-Meier 估计器)更新响应变量,以解决删减问题。然后使用核卷积法来处理测量误差问题,核卷积法是解决这一问题的专门工具。因此,在 BJM 的基础上,使用核平滑、局部多项式平滑和 B-样条技术引入了三种去卷积估计器,这些估计器同时包含了更新的响应变量和核卷积。此外,还介绍了一个使用 Covid-19 数据集的实际数据示例。
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引用次数: 0
Bootstrap for inference after model selection and model averaging for likelihood models 模型选择后的推理引导和似然模型的模型平均法
IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q3 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-05 DOI: 10.1007/s00184-024-00956-2
Andrea C. Garcia-Angulo, Gerda Claeskens

A one-step semiparametric bootstrap procedure is constructed to estimate the distribution of estimators after model selection and of model averaging estimators with data-dependent weights. The method is generally applicable to non-normal models. Misspecification is allowed for all candidate parametric models. The semiparametric bootstrap estimator is shown to be consistent within specific regions such that the good and the bad candidate models are separated. Simulation studies exemplify that the bootstrap procedure leads to short confidence intervals with a good coverage.

本文构建了一种一步半参数引导程序,用于估计模型选择后估计子的分布,以及带有数据相关权重的模型平均估计子的分布。该方法一般适用于非正态模型。允许对所有候选参数模型进行错误规范。半参数自举估计器在特定区域内是一致的,因此好的和坏的候选模型是分开的。仿真研究表明,自举程序可以得到覆盖范围较小的置信区间。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Metrika
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