Pub Date : 2024-07-08DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2024.07.007
This paper considers an efficient and accurate spectral deferred correction (SDC) method for the initial value problem (IVP) with Caputo–Hadamard derivative. We first apply the basic idea of the SDC method to derive the numerical scheme. Then the iteration matrix which is the key to convergence of the proposed scheme can be obtained for the linear problem. Detailed computation of history term is presented using the spectral collocation method based on mapped Jacobi log orthogonal functions (MJLOFs). Finally, numerical simulations for both linear and nonlinear cases are shown to verify the feasibility and efficiency of the proposed method.
{"title":"Spectral deferred correction method for fractional initial value problem with Caputo–Hadamard derivative","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.matcom.2024.07.007","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.matcom.2024.07.007","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper considers an efficient and accurate spectral deferred correction (SDC) method for the initial value problem (IVP) with Caputo–Hadamard derivative. We first apply the basic idea of the SDC method to derive the numerical scheme. Then the iteration matrix which is the key to convergence of the proposed scheme can be obtained for the linear problem. Detailed computation of history term is presented using the spectral collocation method based on mapped Jacobi log orthogonal functions (MJLOFs). Finally, numerical simulations for both linear and nonlinear cases are shown to verify the feasibility and efficiency of the proposed method.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49856,"journal":{"name":"Mathematics and Computers in Simulation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2024-07-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141638979","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-06DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2024.07.002
Subir Dey , Tapan Kumar Kar , Toshikazu Kuniya
This paper studies the global dynamics of an SEIR (Susceptible–Exposed–Infectious–Recovered) model with nonlocal diffusion. We show the model’s well-posedness, proving the solutions’ existence, uniqueness, and positivity, along with a disease-free equilibrium. Next, we prove that the model admits the global threshold dynamics in terms of the basic reproduction number , defined as the spectral radius of the next-generation operator. We show that the solution map has a global compact attractor, offering insights into long-term dynamics. In particular, the analysis shows that for , the disease-free equilibrium is globally stable. Using the persistence theory, we show that there is an endemic equilibrium point for . Moreover, by constructing an appropriate Lyapunov function, we establish the global stability of the unique endemic equilibrium in two distinct scenarios.
{"title":"Global dynamics and threshold behavior of an SEIR epidemic model with nonlocal diffusion","authors":"Subir Dey , Tapan Kumar Kar , Toshikazu Kuniya","doi":"10.1016/j.matcom.2024.07.002","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.matcom.2024.07.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper studies the global dynamics of an SEIR (Susceptible–Exposed–Infectious–Recovered) model with nonlocal diffusion. We show the model’s well-posedness, proving the solutions’ existence, uniqueness, and positivity, along with a disease-free equilibrium. Next, we prove that the model admits the global threshold dynamics in terms of the basic reproduction number <span><math><msub><mrow><mi>R</mi></mrow><mrow><mn>0</mn></mrow></msub></math></span>, defined as the spectral radius of the next-generation operator. We show that the solution map has a global compact attractor, offering insights into long-term dynamics. In particular, the analysis shows that for <span><math><mrow><msub><mrow><mi>R</mi></mrow><mrow><mn>0</mn></mrow></msub><mo><</mo><mn>1</mn></mrow></math></span>, the disease-free equilibrium is globally stable. Using the persistence theory, we show that there is an endemic equilibrium point for <span><math><mrow><msub><mrow><mi>R</mi></mrow><mrow><mn>0</mn></mrow></msub><mo>></mo><mn>1</mn></mrow></math></span>. Moreover, by constructing an appropriate Lyapunov function, we establish the global stability of the unique endemic equilibrium in two distinct scenarios.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49856,"journal":{"name":"Mathematics and Computers in Simulation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2024-07-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141606489","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-06DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2024.06.018
Bükre Yıldırım Külekci , Ralf Korn , A. Sevtap Selcuk-Kestel
The frequency and severity of extreme events have increased in recent years in many areas. In the context of risk management for insurance companies, reinsurance provides a safe solution as it offers coverage for large claims. This paper investigates the impact of dependent extreme losses on ruin probabilities under four types of reinsurance: excess of loss, quota share, largest claims, and ecomor. To achieve this, we use the dynamic GARCH-EVT-Copula combined model to fit the specific features of claim data and provide more accurate estimates compared to classical models. We derive the surplus processes and asymptotic ruin probabilities under the Cramér–Lundberg risk process. Using a numerical example with real-life data, we illustrate the effects of dependence and the behavior of reinsurance strategies for both insurers and reinsurers. This comparison includes risk premiums, surplus processes, risk measures, and ruin probabilities. The findings show that the GARCH-EVT-Copula model mitigates the over- and under-estimation of risk associated with extremes and lowers the ruin probability for heavy-tailed distributions.
{"title":"Ruin probability for heavy-tailed and dependent losses under reinsurance strategies","authors":"Bükre Yıldırım Külekci , Ralf Korn , A. Sevtap Selcuk-Kestel","doi":"10.1016/j.matcom.2024.06.018","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.matcom.2024.06.018","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The frequency and severity of extreme events have increased in recent years in many areas. In the context of risk management for insurance companies, reinsurance provides a safe solution as it offers coverage for large claims. This paper investigates the impact of dependent extreme losses on ruin probabilities under four types of reinsurance: excess of loss, quota share, largest claims, and ecomor. To achieve this, we use the dynamic GARCH-EVT-Copula combined model to fit the specific features of claim data and provide more accurate estimates compared to classical models. We derive the surplus processes and asymptotic ruin probabilities under the Cramér–Lundberg risk process. Using a numerical example with real-life data, we illustrate the effects of dependence and the behavior of reinsurance strategies for both insurers and reinsurers. This comparison includes risk premiums, surplus processes, risk measures, and ruin probabilities. The findings show that the GARCH-EVT-Copula model mitigates the over- and under-estimation of risk associated with extremes and lowers the ruin probability for heavy-tailed distributions.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49856,"journal":{"name":"Mathematics and Computers in Simulation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2024-07-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141606490","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-05DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2024.06.019
C.M. Mohana, B. Rushi Kumar
This study presents a meticulous investigation into the intricate dynamics of a FeO(25%)–AlO(50%)–ZnO(25%)/water ternary hybrid nanofluid within the framework of the Darcy–Forchheimer model, inclusive of heat source and suction/injection phenomena on two stretching surfaces. The governing partial differential equations are transformed into ordinary differential equations by strategically applying similarity variables. These equations are then solved using the efficient analytical approach of the Homotopy Analysis Method (HAM) and numerically using the implicit finite difference-based Keller Box Method (KBM). We further compare the solutions obtained through HAM with the numerical results from the KBM approach. The inquiry discerns those pivotal parameters such as porosity () and magnetic () amplifying the velocity profile (), while parameters including Reynolds number (), inertia coefficient (), rotational (), and stretching () manifest diminishing effects. Furthermore, the study reveals a direct correlation between temperature escalation and the amplification of Eckert number (), magnetic (), radiation (), heat source (), and stretching () parameters. In the case of suction applied to the lower and upper surfaces, the velocity profiles and , decrease whereas for injection, the opposite trend is observed. When there is suction at the upper surface the temperature profile decreases, but for suction at the upper surface the same increases. However, when there is injection, a reverse pattern is observed. Compared to water, suspension of nanoparticles with a 5% volume fraction of spheres, cylinders, platelets, and blades achieves 13%, 23%, 27%, and 36% heat transfer rates, respectively. This research provides crucial insights into nanofluid flow and heat transfer, with significant implications for various technological applications.
{"title":"Numerical and semi-analytical approaches for heat transfer analysis of ternary hybrid nanofluid flow: A comparative study","authors":"C.M. Mohana, B. Rushi Kumar","doi":"10.1016/j.matcom.2024.06.019","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.matcom.2024.06.019","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study presents a meticulous investigation into the intricate dynamics of a Fe<span><math><msub><mrow></mrow><mrow><mn>3</mn></mrow></msub></math></span>O<span><math><msub><mrow></mrow><mrow><mn>4</mn></mrow></msub></math></span>(25%)–Al<span><math><msub><mrow></mrow><mrow><mn>2</mn></mrow></msub></math></span>O<span><math><msub><mrow></mrow><mrow><mn>3</mn></mrow></msub></math></span>(50%)–ZnO(25%)/water ternary hybrid nanofluid within the framework of the Darcy–Forchheimer model, inclusive of heat source and suction/injection phenomena on two stretching surfaces. The governing partial differential equations are transformed into ordinary differential equations by strategically applying similarity variables. These equations are then solved using the efficient analytical approach of the Homotopy Analysis Method (HAM) and numerically using the implicit finite difference-based Keller Box Method (KBM). We further compare the solutions obtained through HAM with the numerical results from the KBM approach. The inquiry discerns those pivotal parameters such as porosity (<span><math><mrow><mi>P</mi><mi>m</mi></mrow></math></span>) and magnetic (<span><math><mi>M</mi></math></span>) amplifying the velocity profile (<span><math><mi>g</mi></math></span>), while parameters including Reynolds number (<span><math><mrow><mi>R</mi><mi>e</mi></mrow></math></span>), inertia coefficient (<span><math><mrow><mi>F</mi><mi>r</mi></mrow></math></span>), rotational (<span><math><mrow><mi>R</mi><mi>o</mi></mrow></math></span>), and stretching (<span><math><mi>α</mi></math></span>) manifest diminishing effects. Furthermore, the study reveals a direct correlation between temperature escalation and the amplification of Eckert number (<span><math><mrow><mi>E</mi><mi>c</mi></mrow></math></span>), magnetic (<span><math><mi>M</mi></math></span>), radiation (<span><math><mi>R</mi></math></span>), heat source (<span><math><mi>Q</mi></math></span>), and stretching (<span><math><mi>α</mi></math></span>) parameters. In the case of suction applied to the lower and upper surfaces, the velocity profiles <span><math><msup><mrow><mi>f</mi></mrow><mrow><mo>′</mo></mrow></msup></math></span> and <span><math><mi>g</mi></math></span>, decrease whereas for injection, the opposite trend is observed. When there is suction at the upper surface the temperature profile decreases, but for suction at the upper surface the same increases. However, when there is injection, a reverse pattern is observed. Compared to water, suspension of nanoparticles with a 5% volume fraction of spheres, cylinders, platelets, and blades achieves 13%, 23%, 27%, and 36% heat transfer rates, respectively. This research provides crucial insights into nanofluid flow and heat transfer, with significant implications for various technological applications.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49856,"journal":{"name":"Mathematics and Computers in Simulation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2024-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141594158","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-05DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2024.06.017
Yanru Sun, Hao Sun, Panfei Sun, Xuanzhu Jin
The shorter lifecycle and faster upgrading of the product make the potential demand change rapidly, thereby pricing based on market changes is critical to increasing profits. In response to changes in the potential demand, we present a dynamic surge pricing model that characterizes sales trajectories and gradient pricing. We introduce the Lotka–Volterra system to construct the sale-forecast system and prove its effectiveness in predicting the product lifecycle curve that reflects the change of the potential demand. In contrast to the linear demand function, we propose a gradient pricing mechanism based on marginal sales and total sales to describe the relationship between price and potential demand throughout the life cycle. Particularly, the dynamic surge pricing model degrades to Cournot model in the maturity phase of the market. We characterize the dynamic equilibrium and conduct the sensitivity analysis of parameters, showing that the dynamic surge pricing model outperforms Cournot model in terms of profit. A numerical example illustrates that the profit of the dynamic surge pricing model is nearly 21.82% higher than that of Cournot model.
{"title":"A dynamic surge pricing model throughout product lifecycle","authors":"Yanru Sun, Hao Sun, Panfei Sun, Xuanzhu Jin","doi":"10.1016/j.matcom.2024.06.017","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.matcom.2024.06.017","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The shorter lifecycle and faster upgrading of the product make the potential demand change rapidly, thereby pricing based on market changes is critical to increasing profits. In response to changes in the potential demand, we present a dynamic surge pricing model that characterizes sales trajectories and gradient pricing. We introduce the Lotka–Volterra system to construct the sale-forecast system and prove its effectiveness in predicting the product lifecycle curve that reflects the change of the potential demand. In contrast to the linear demand function, we propose a gradient pricing mechanism based on marginal sales and total sales to describe the relationship between price and potential demand throughout the life cycle. Particularly, the dynamic surge pricing model degrades to Cournot model in the maturity phase of the market. We characterize the dynamic equilibrium and conduct the sensitivity analysis of parameters, showing that the dynamic surge pricing model outperforms Cournot model in terms of profit. A numerical example illustrates that the profit of the dynamic surge pricing model is nearly 21.82% higher than that of Cournot model.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49856,"journal":{"name":"Mathematics and Computers in Simulation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2024-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141606486","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-04DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2024.06.014
F. Shokrollahi , D. Ahmadian , L.V. Ballestra
The mixed fractional Brownian motion () has gained popularity in finance because it can effectively model long-range dependence, self-similarity, and is arbitrage-free. This paper focuses on with jumps modeled by the Poisson process and derives an analytical formula for valuing geometric Asian options. Additionally, approximate closed-form solutions for pricing arithmetic Asian options and arithmetic Asian power options are obtained. Numerical examples are provided to demonstrate the accuracy of these formulas, which rely on a convenient approximation of the option strike price. The proposed approximation demonstrates significantly higher computational efficiency compared to Monte Carlo simulation.
{"title":"Pricing Asian options under the mixed fractional Brownian motion with jumps","authors":"F. Shokrollahi , D. Ahmadian , L.V. Ballestra","doi":"10.1016/j.matcom.2024.06.014","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.matcom.2024.06.014","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The mixed fractional Brownian motion (<span><math><mrow><mi>m</mi><mi>f</mi><mi>B</mi><mi>m</mi></mrow></math></span>) has gained popularity in finance because it can effectively model long-range dependence, self-similarity, and is arbitrage-free. This paper focuses on <span><math><mrow><mi>m</mi><mi>f</mi><mi>B</mi><mi>m</mi></mrow></math></span> with jumps modeled by the Poisson process and derives an analytical formula for valuing geometric Asian options. Additionally, approximate closed-form solutions for pricing arithmetic Asian options and arithmetic Asian power options are obtained. Numerical examples are provided to demonstrate the accuracy of these formulas, which rely on a convenient approximation of the option strike price. The proposed approximation demonstrates significantly higher computational efficiency compared to Monte Carlo simulation.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49856,"journal":{"name":"Mathematics and Computers in Simulation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2024-07-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141606488","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-04DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2024.06.021
A new Discrete Ordinate-Lattice Boltzmann Method (DO-LBM) is developed by combining DOM and LBM to analyze radiative heat transfer in a two-dimensional irregular enclosure including absorbing, emitting, and scattering media. The accuracy of the proposed method was verified through Chapman-Enskog multi-scale expansion, and non-negativity analysis of the equilibrium distribution function was performed by introducing similarity numbers. Two-dimensional irregular enclosure including curved boundaries and obstacles were considered, and thn numerical results were compared with those obtained by other methods on standard problems. As a result, it was confirmed that the DO-LBM provides a valuable results in simulating radiative heat transfer in a complex boundary structure, which is simple, accurate and can reduce the computational cost compared to other methods.
通过结合 DOM 和 LBM,建立了一种新的离散正序-晶格玻尔兹曼法(DO-LBM),用于分析二维不规则围墙(包括吸收、发射和散射介质)中的辐射传热。通过 Chapman-Enskog 多尺度展开验证了所提方法的准确性,并通过引入相似数对平衡分布函数进行了非负性分析。研究考虑了包括弯曲边界和障碍物在内的二维不规则外壳,并将数值结果与其他方法在标准问题上得到的结果进行了比较。结果证实,DO-LBM 在模拟复杂边界结构中的辐射传热方面提供了有价值的结果,与其他方法相比,DO-LBM 简单、准确并能降低计算成本。
{"title":"Discrete-Ordinate-Lattice-Boltzmann Method for analyzing radiative heat transfer: Application to two-dimensional irregular enclosure","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.matcom.2024.06.021","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.matcom.2024.06.021","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>A new Discrete Ordinate-Lattice Boltzmann Method (DO-LBM) is developed by combining DOM and LBM to analyze radiative heat transfer in a two-dimensional irregular enclosure including absorbing, emitting, and scattering media. The accuracy of the proposed method was verified through Chapman-Enskog multi-scale expansion, and non-negativity analysis of the equilibrium distribution function was performed by introducing similarity numbers. Two-dimensional irregular enclosure including curved boundaries and obstacles were considered, and thn numerical results were compared with those obtained by other methods on standard problems. As a result, it was confirmed that the DO-LBM provides a valuable results in simulating radiative heat transfer in a complex boundary structure, which is simple, accurate and can reduce the computational cost compared to other methods.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49856,"journal":{"name":"Mathematics and Computers in Simulation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2024-07-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141716027","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-06-29DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2024.06.016
Jingwen Wu , Zhijun Tan
In this study, we develop a model for a binary fluid–surfactant system utilizing a coupling of two kinds conservative Allen–Cahn type equations and the Navier–Stokes equations. To ensure mass conservation, we incorporate hybrid Lagrange multipliers into the two Allen–Cahn type equations. Specifically, for the concentration variable, a global correction using a time-dependent Lagrange multiplier is utilized, while for the binary fluid variable, a space–time dependent Lagrange multiplier is applied to minimize the impact of dynamics of motion by mean curvature. We propose a linear second order scheme for practical solution of the model. Computational tests demonstrate that the proposed model is effective for the binary fluid–surfactant system and is capable of preserving the small features of interfaces.
{"title":"A conservative Allen–Cahn model for a hydrodynamics coupled phase-field surfactant system","authors":"Jingwen Wu , Zhijun Tan","doi":"10.1016/j.matcom.2024.06.016","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.matcom.2024.06.016","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In this study, we develop a model for a binary fluid–surfactant system utilizing a coupling of two kinds conservative Allen–Cahn type equations and the Navier–Stokes equations. To ensure mass conservation, we incorporate hybrid Lagrange multipliers into the two Allen–Cahn type equations. Specifically, for the concentration variable, a global correction using a time-dependent Lagrange multiplier is utilized, while for the binary fluid variable, a space–time dependent Lagrange multiplier is applied to minimize the impact of dynamics of motion by mean curvature. We propose a linear second order scheme for practical solution of the model. Computational tests demonstrate that the proposed model is effective for the binary fluid–surfactant system and is capable of preserving the small features of interfaces.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49856,"journal":{"name":"Mathematics and Computers in Simulation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2024-06-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141594159","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-06-27DOI: 10.1016/S0378-4754(24)00235-0
{"title":"IMACS Calendar of Events","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/S0378-4754(24)00235-0","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4754(24)00235-0","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":49856,"journal":{"name":"Mathematics and Computers in Simulation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2024-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378475424002350/pdfft?md5=418d6e3aed6183c0da68aa1162ee3c3f&pid=1-s2.0-S0378475424002350-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141484297","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-06-27DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2024.06.013
Hyosun Lee , Arsen Abdulali , Haeyoung Park , Sunmi Lee
Although non-pharmaceutical interventions such as social distancing have proven effective in curbing outbreaks, they also carry economic consequences. This poses a dilemma for policymakers striving to find a balance between disease control and economic burden. This delicate balance varies regionally, influenced by non-epidemiological factors such as population movements, socio-demographic characteristics, and the intricacies of social distancing policies. These factors interact in intricate ways, shaping the transmission dynamics of COVID-19. To address this complexity, we propose an innovative approach utilizing deep reinforcement learning (RL). This method assists in tailoring intervention policies for diverse regions, taking into account their unique dynamics. We incorporate South Korea’s social distancing policies and their economic impact into a RL framework with a multi-region epidemic model, offering a comprehensive solution. We integrate official mobility data and GDP specific to each region, employing the proximity policy optimization algorithm to determine the most appropriate region-specific social distancing policy. The algorithm’s reward function considers both outbreak control and economic impacts, providing policymakers with the flexibility to fine-tune the balance between these two factors according to their preferences. This adjustment can be performed across three distinct cost scenarios: High, Base, and Low-cost scenarios. In scenarios with High-costs, social distancing measures are aimed at regions with extensive connectivity and higher transmission rates. When costs are moderate, policies center around the period of peak prevalence, illustrating adaptable strategies in areas characterized by high transmission rates, budget limitations, and population mobility. In situations with Low-costs, these measures encompass most regions, excluding those with low transmission rates. The study’s results support focused interventions in specific regions to balance outbreak control and economic impact mitigation.
{"title":"Optimal region-specific social distancing strategies in a complex multi-patch model through reinforcement learning","authors":"Hyosun Lee , Arsen Abdulali , Haeyoung Park , Sunmi Lee","doi":"10.1016/j.matcom.2024.06.013","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.matcom.2024.06.013","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Although non-pharmaceutical interventions such as social distancing have proven effective in curbing outbreaks, they also carry economic consequences. This poses a dilemma for policymakers striving to find a balance between disease control and economic burden. This delicate balance varies regionally, influenced by non-epidemiological factors such as population movements, socio-demographic characteristics, and the intricacies of social distancing policies. These factors interact in intricate ways, shaping the transmission dynamics of COVID-19. To address this complexity, we propose an innovative approach utilizing deep reinforcement learning (RL). This method assists in tailoring intervention policies for diverse regions, taking into account their unique dynamics. We incorporate South Korea’s social distancing policies and their economic impact into a RL framework with a multi-region epidemic model, offering a comprehensive solution. We integrate official mobility data and GDP specific to each region, employing the proximity policy optimization algorithm to determine the most appropriate region-specific social distancing policy. The algorithm’s reward function considers both outbreak control and economic impacts, providing policymakers with the flexibility to fine-tune the balance between these two factors according to their preferences. This adjustment can be performed across three distinct cost scenarios: High, Base, and Low-cost scenarios. In scenarios with High-costs, social distancing measures are aimed at regions with extensive connectivity and higher transmission rates. When costs are moderate, policies center around the period of peak prevalence, illustrating adaptable strategies in areas characterized by high transmission rates, budget limitations, and population mobility. In situations with Low-costs, these measures encompass most regions, excluding those with low transmission rates. The study’s results support focused interventions in specific regions to balance outbreak control and economic impact mitigation.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49856,"journal":{"name":"Mathematics and Computers in Simulation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2024-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378475424002386/pdfft?md5=4c5df34513037f4c6999139d133815fd&pid=1-s2.0-S0378475424002386-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141547123","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}