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Assessing migration through social media: a review 通过社交媒体评估移民:综述
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2019-03-11 DOI: 10.1080/08898480.2019.1565271
A. Righi
ABSTRACT Social media can be used not only for evaluating migration flows almost in real time and the degree of integration in the destination countries but also for the understanding of public opinion sentiment about immigration. Experiences based on scraping social media are reviewed, and the use of geo-located data and advertising platforms turns out to be the most promising opportunities supplied by these sources. The current challenge is to measure the sentiment of Italian-speaking twitterers toward migration.
摘要社交媒体不仅可以用于几乎实时地评估移民流动和目的地国家的融合程度,还可以用于了解公众对移民的看法。回顾了基于抓取社交媒体的经验,地理位置数据和广告平台的使用被证明是这些来源提供的最有希望的机会。目前的挑战是衡量说意大利语的推特用户对移民的情绪。
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引用次数: 12
Double-sampling regression-cum-exponential estimator of the mean of a sensitive variable 敏感变量均值的双抽样回归指数估计
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2019-03-11 DOI: 10.1080/08898480.2019.1565273
Iram Saleem, A. Sanaullah, M. Hanif
ABSTRACT A flexible scrambled response model using a randomization device for quantitative sensitive data is used to evaluate the protection of respondents’ privacy. A double-sampling regression-cum-exponential estimator is used to estimate the mean of a sensitive variable using the mean of a nonsensitive auxiliary variable under scrambled response. The expected bias, the expected mean square error, and the minimum mean square error of this exponential-type estimator are expressed. Simulations and empirical results show that the proposed estimator under scrambled response model has a lower mean square error and a lower bias than the ratio and the exponential estimators.
摘要一种灵活的加扰响应模型,使用随机化装置对定量敏感数据进行随机化,用于评估受访者隐私的保护。双采样回归指数估计器用于在加扰响应下使用非敏感辅助变量的均值来估计敏感变量的均值。表达了该指数型估计器的期望偏差、期望均方误差和最小均方误差。仿真和经验结果表明,在加扰响应模型下,所提出的估计量比比率和指数估计量具有更低的均方误差和更低的偏差。
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引用次数: 17
Kalman 1960: The birth of modern system theory 卡尔曼1960:现代系统理论的诞生
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2019-02-22 DOI: 10.1080/08898480.2018.1553393
P. Bernhard, Marc Deschamps
ABSTRACT Rudolph E. Kalman is mainly known for the Kalman filter, first published in 1960. In this year, he published two equally important contributions, one about linear state space system theory and the other about linear quadratic optimal control theory. These three domains are intertwined in the later theory of linear quadratic Gaussian control. An extended version of linear quadratic optimal control is put into practice in an example of cooperation in population ecology.
摘要Rudolph E.Kalman主要以卡尔曼滤波器而闻名,最早发表于1960年。在这一年里,他发表了两篇同样重要的文章,一篇是关于线性状态空间系统理论,另一篇是线性二次型最优控制理论。这三个领域在后来的线性二次高斯控制理论中交织在一起。以种群生态学中的合作为例,将线性二次型最优控制的扩展版本付诸实践。
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引用次数: 2
Generalized functions in the qualitative study of heterogeneous populations 异质群体定性研究中的广义函数
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2019-02-22 DOI: 10.1080/08898480.2018.1553395
N. Hritonenko, Y. Yatsenko, A. Boranbayev
ABSTRACT Solutions from non-smooth functional spaces, including generalized functions and measures, often appear in optimal control theory but are avoided in applications. They are however useful in finding the optimal distribution of investments into new and old capital equipment under improving technology. The corresponding economic problem involves optimal control in a linear Lotka-McKendrik model of age-structured population. Optimal solutions do not exist in normal functional classes and, so, generalized functions are used to construct the solutions. The optimal age-distributions of capital and investment include the Dirac function and are interpreted as instantaneous investment in equipment of certain age. A numerical simulation completes the presentation of the dynamics.
摘要非光滑函数空间的解,包括广义函数和测度,经常出现在最优控制理论中,但在应用中被避免。然而,它们有助于在技术进步的情况下找到新老资本设备投资的最佳分配。相应的经济问题涉及年龄结构人口的线性Lotka-McKendrik模型中的最优控制。最优解不存在于正规函数类中,因此,使用广义函数来构造解。资本和投资的最佳年限分布包括狄拉克函数,并被解释为对特定年限设备的瞬时投资。数值模拟完成了动力学的演示。
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引用次数: 5
Efficiency and feasibility of sampling schemes in establishment surveys 机构调查抽样方案的有效性和可行性
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2019-02-11 DOI: 10.1080/08898480.2018.1553411
M. M. Dickson, A. Grafström, D. Giuliani, G. Espa
ABSTRACT When conducting firm-level surveys, a relevant aspect in sampling design is to guarantee that the selected sample of business units is representative of the population. Stratified sampling design is used to obtain a representative sample. However, stratification of the main characteristics of establishments may not always be computationally feasible, due to the high number of small and empty strata occurring when the population is highly stratified. A simulation with common sampling designs allows the comparison of the local pivotal method and spatially correlated Poisson sampling in terms of spatial balance and efficiency in estimation. These spatial designs are efficient, whereas stratification is no longer feasible.
摘要在进行企业层面的调查时,抽样设计的一个相关方面是确保所选的业务单元样本能够代表人群。分层抽样设计用于获得具有代表性的样本。然而,机构主要特征的分层在计算上可能并不总是可行的,因为当人口高度分层时,会出现大量的小而空的分层。具有常见采样设计的模拟允许在空间平衡和估计效率方面比较局部关键方法和空间相关泊松采样。这些空间设计是有效的,而分层不再可行。
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引用次数: 1
Catalytic branching random walk with semi-exponential increments 具有半指数增量的催化分支随机游动
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2019-02-03 DOI: 10.1080/08898480.2020.1767424
E. Bulinskaya
ABSTRACT In a catalytic branching random walk on a multidimensional lattice, with arbitrary finite total number of catalysts, in supercritical regime, when the vector coordinates of the random walk jump are assumed independent (or close to independent) to one another and have semi-exponential distributions, a limit theorem provides the almost sure normalized locations of the particles at the boundary between populated and empty areas. Contrary to the case of random walk increments with light distribution tails, the normalizing factor grows faster than linearly over time. The limit shape of the front in the case of semi-exponential tails is no longer convex, as it is in the case of light tails.
摘要在具有任意有限催化剂总数的多维晶格上的催化分支随机游动中,在超临界状态下,当假设随机游动跳跃的矢量坐标彼此独立(或接近独立)并具有半指数分布时,极限定理提供了粒子在人口稠密和空旷区域之间的边界处几乎确定的归一化位置。与具有光分布尾部的随机漫游增量的情况相反,归一化因子随时间的增长速度快于线性增长速度。在半指数尾部的情况下,前部的极限形状不再是凸的,就像在轻尾部的情况一样。
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引用次数: 8
Neighborhood affluence protects against antenatal smoking: Evidence from a spatial multiple membership model 社区富裕可以防止产前吸烟:来自空间多成员模型的证据
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2019-01-15 DOI: 10.1080/08898480.2018.1553399
Jennifer B. Kane, Ehsan Farshchi
ABSTRACT A spatial multiple membership model formalizes the effect of neighborhood affluence on antenatal smoking. The data are geocoded New Jersey birth certificate records linked to United States census tract-level data from 1999 to 2007. Neighborhood affluence shows significant spatial autocorrelation and local clustering. Better model fit is observed when incorporating the spatial clustering of neighborhood affluence into multivariate analyses. Relative to the spatial multiple membership model, the multilevel model that ignores spatial clustering produced downwardly biased standard errors; the effective sample size of the key parameter of interest (neighborhood affluence) is also lower. Residents of communities located in high-high affluence clusters likely have better access to health-promoting institutions that regulate antenatal smoking behaviors.
一个空间多成员模型形式化了社区富裕程度对产前吸烟的影响。这些数据是经过地理编码的新泽西州出生证明记录,与1999年至2007年的美国人口普查数据相关联。邻里富裕表现出显著的空间自相关和局部聚类。当将邻里富裕的空间聚类纳入多变量分析时,可以观察到更好的模型拟合。相对于空间多重隶属度模型,忽略空间聚类的多层模型产生了向下偏的标准误差;感兴趣的关键参数(邻里富裕程度)的有效样本量也较低。位于高-高富裕集群的社区居民可能有更好的机会进入规范产前吸烟行为的健康促进机构。
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引用次数: 3
Estimation of a rare sensitive attribute in two-stage sampling using a randomized response model under Poisson distribution 泊松分布下两阶段抽样中一个罕见敏感属性的随机响应模型估计
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2019-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/08898480.2018.1553404
G. Singh, S. Suman, C. Singh
ABSTRACT Unbiased estimation procedures of the mean total number of persons with a rare sensitive attribute apply for a clustered population under two-stage and stratified two-stage sampling schemes. Randomized response model is used to obtain the estimators, when the parameter of an unrelated rare non-sensitive attribute is either known or unknown. The variances of the resultant estimators are derived and their unbiased estimates are expressed. Numerical comparisons show that dispersions in the estimates are lower than other contemporary estimators.
摘要具有罕见敏感属性的平均总人数的无偏估计程序适用于两阶段和分层两阶段抽样方案下的聚类人群。当不相关的稀有非敏感属性的参数已知或未知时,使用随机响应模型来获得估计量。导出了结果估计量的方差,并表达了它们的无偏估计。数值比较表明,估计中的离散度低于其他当代估计。
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引用次数: 2
Beyond Household Walls: The Spatial Structure of American Extended Kinship Networks. 超越家庭围墙:美国扩展亲属网络的空间结构。
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2019-01-01 Epub Date: 2019-05-23 DOI: 10.1080/08898480.2019.1592637
Jonathan Daw, Ashton Verdery, Sarah E Patterson

How far do Americans live from their close and extended kin? The answer is likely to structure the types of social, instrumental, and financial support that they are able to provide to one another. Based on the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, kin pairs vary widely in odds of household co-residence, co-residence in the same administrative units, and inter-tract distances if they do not live in the same census tract. Multivariate regression tests show that family structure, educational attainment, and age are closely associated with kin proximity. Fixed effects models demonstrate that fam ily formation shapes spatial relations between kin.

美国人离他们的近亲和远亲有多远?答案很可能是构建他们能够相互提供的社会、工具和经济支持的类型。根据收入动态的小组研究,如果他们不住在同一个人口普查区,亲属在家庭共同居住的几率、同一行政单位共同居住的几率和区域间距离方面差异很大。多元回归检验表明,家庭结构、受教育程度和年龄与亲缘关系密切相关。固定效应模型表明,家庭的形成塑造了亲属之间的空间关系。
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引用次数: 8
Steady state and intermittency in the critical branching random walk with arbitrary total number of offspring 具有任意子代总数的临界分支随机游走的稳态和间歇性
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2018-10-08 DOI: 10.1080/08898480.2018.1493868
E. Chernousova, S. Molchanov
ABSTRACT For the critical branching random walk on the lattice , in the case of an arbitrary total number of produced offspring spreading on the lattice from the parental particle, the existence of a limit distribution (which corresponds to a steady state (or statistical equilibrium)) of the population is proved. If the second factorial moment of the total number of offspring is much larger than the square of the first factorial moment, then the limit particle field displays strong deviations from the uniformity: this is intermittency.
摘要对于格上的临界分支随机漫步,在从母粒子向格上扩散的子代总数为任意的情况下,证明了种群的一个极限分布(对应于稳态(或统计平衡))的存在性。如果子代总数的第二个阶乘矩远远大于第一个阶乘矩的平方,则极限粒子场表现出与均匀性的强烈偏差,这是间歇性的。
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引用次数: 6
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Mathematical Population Studies
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