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Mechanical Self-replication 机械自我复制
Pub Date : 2024-07-18 DOI: arxiv-2407.14556
Ralph P. Lano
This study presents a theoretical model for a self-replicating mechanicalsystem inspired by biological processes within living cells and supported bycomputer simulations. The model decomposes self-replication into corecomponents, each of which is executed by a single machine constructed from aset of basic block types. Key functionalities such as sorting, copying, andbuilding, are demonstrated. The model provides valuable insights into theconstraints of self-replicating systems. The discussion also addresses thespatial and timing behavior of the system, as well as its efficiency andcomplexity. This work provides a foundational framework for future studies onself-replicating mechanisms and their information-processing applications.
本研究提出了一个自我复制机械系统的理论模型,其灵感来自活细胞内的生物过程,并通过计算机模拟加以支持。该模型将自我复制分解为多个核心组件,每个组件由一组基本块类型构建的单一机器执行。该模型演示了分类、复制和构建等关键功能。该模型为了解自我复制系统的制约因素提供了宝贵的见解。讨论还涉及系统的空间和时间行为,以及系统的效率和复杂性。这项工作为未来研究自我复制机制及其信息处理应用提供了一个基础框架。
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引用次数: 0
Quantifying vitamin D intake among Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples in Australia 量化澳大利亚土著居民和托雷斯海峡岛民的维生素 D 摄入量
Pub Date : 2024-07-17 DOI: arxiv-2407.13797
Belinda Neo, Dale Tilbrook, Noel Nannup, Alison Daly, Eleanor Dunlop, John Jacky, Carol Michie, Cindy Prior, Brad Farrant, Carrington C. J. Shepherd, Lucinda J. Black
Background/Objective: Vitamin D deficiency (serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D[25(OH)D] concentration <50 nmol/L) is prevalent among Aboriginal and TorresStrait Islander peoples in Australia. Alternative to sun exposure (the primarysource of vitamin D), vitamin D can also be obtained from food (e.g., fish,eggs, and meat) and supplements. However, vitamin D intake among Aboriginal andTorres Strait Islander peoples is currently unknown. We aimed to provide thefirst quantification of vitamin D intake using nationally representative datafrom Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples. Methods: We used foodconsumption data collected in the 2012-2013 National Aboriginal and TorresStrait Islander Nutrition and Physical Activity Survey (n = 4,109) and vitaminD food composition data to quantify mean absolute vitamin D intake by sex, agegroup, and remoteness of location. Differences in mean vitamin D intake betweensexes and between remoteness of location were assessed using the 95% confidenceinterval (95% CI). Results: The mean (standard deviation (SD)) vitamin D intakeamong Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples was 2.9 (3.0) {mu}g/day.Males had a statistically significantly higher mean (SD) [95% CI] vitamin Dintake (3.2 (3.1) [3.0-3.4] {mu}g/day) than females (2.6 (2.7) [2.4-2.7]{mu}g/day). There were no statistically significant differences between mean(SD) [95% CI] vitamin D intake in non-remote (2.9 (2.2) [2.7-3.1] {mu}g/day)and remote areas (2.8 (4.8) [2.6-3.0] {mu}g/day). Conclusions: Vitamin Dintake among Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples is low. Food-basedpublic health strategies could be developed to promote higher vitamin D intakeamong this population.
背景/目的:维生素 D 缺乏症(血清 25- 羟维生素 D[25(OH)D] 浓度低于 50 nmol/L)在澳大利亚土著居民和托雷斯海峡岛民中十分普遍。除了阳光照射(维生素 D 的主要来源),维生素 D 还可以从食物(如鱼、蛋和肉)和补充剂中获得。然而,原住民和托雷斯海峡岛民的维生素 D 摄入量目前尚不清楚。我们的目的是首次利用具有全国代表性的原住民和托雷斯海峡岛民数据对维生素 D 的摄入量进行量化。方法:我们利用2012-2013年全国原住民和托雷斯海峡岛民营养与体育活动调查(n = 4,109)中收集的食物消费数据和维生素D食物成分数据,按性别、年龄组和地点偏远程度对维生素D绝对摄入量的平均值进行了量化。性别间和偏远地区间维生素 D 平均摄入量的差异采用 95% 置信区间 (95% CI) 进行评估。结果男性的维生素D平均摄入量(标准差(SD)[95% CI])(3.2(3.1)[3.0-3.4]{mu}g/天)明显高于女性(2.6(2.7)[2.4-2.7]{mu}g/天)。非偏远地区(2.9 (2.2) [2.7-3.1] {mu}克/天)和偏远地区(2.8 (4.8) [2.6-3.0] {mu}克/天)的维生素 D 平均摄入量(标度)[95% CI]之间没有明显的统计学差异。结论:土著居民和托雷斯海峡岛民的维生素D摄入量较低。可以制定以食物为基础的公共卫生策略,以促进该人群摄入更多的维生素D。
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引用次数: 0
A Numerical Comparison of Petri Net and Ordinary Differential Equation SIR Component Models Petri 网和常微分方程 SIR 组件模型的数值比较
Pub Date : 2024-07-13 DOI: arxiv-2407.10019
Trevor Reckell, Beckett Sterner, Petar Jevtić, Reggie Davidrajuh
Petri nets are a promising modeling framework for epidemiology, including thespread of disease across populations or within an individual. In particular,the Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) compartment model is foundationalfor population epidemiological modeling and has been implemented in severalprior Petri net studies. However, the SIR model is generally stated as a systemof ordinary differential equations (ODEs) with continuous time and variables,while Petri nets are discrete event simulations. To our knowledge, no priorstudy has investigated the numerical equivalence of Petri net SIR models to theclassical ODE formulation. We introduce crucial numerical techniques forimplementing SIR models in the GPenSim package for Petri net simulations. Weshow that these techniques are critical for Petri net SIR models and show arelative root mean squared error of less than 1% compared to ODE simulationsfor biologically relevant parameter ranges. We conclude that Petri nets providea valid framework for modeling SIR-type dynamics using biologically relevantparameter values provided that the other PN structures we outline are alsoimplemented.
Petri 网是一种很有前途的流行病学建模框架,包括疾病在人群中或个体内部的传播。其中,易感-传染-复发(SIR)区隔模型是人群流行病学建模的基础,并已在之前的多项 Petri 网研究中得到应用。然而,SIR 模型通常是一个具有连续时间和变量的常微分方程(ODE)系统,而 Petri 网则是离散事件模拟。据我们所知,此前没有任何研究探讨过 Petri 网 SIR 模型与经典 ODE 表述的数值等价性。我们介绍了在用于 Petri 网仿真的 GPenSim 软件包中实现 SIR 模型的关键数值技术。结果表明,这些技术对于 Petri 网 SIR 模型至关重要,在生物相关参数范围内,与 ODE 模拟相比,它们的均方根误差小于 1%。我们的结论是,Petri 网为利用生物相关参数值模拟 SIR 型动力学提供了一个有效的框架,前提是我们概述的其他 PN 结构也得到了实现。
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引用次数: 0
Automated and Continuous Chronotyping from a Calendar using Machine Learning 利用机器学习从日历中自动连续创建时间原型
Pub Date : 2024-07-09 DOI: arxiv-2407.06478
Pratiik Kaushik, Koorosh Askari, Saksham Gupta, Rahul Mohan, Kris Skrinak, Royan Kamyar, Benjamin Smarr
Objectives: Chronotypes -- comparisons of individuals' circadian phaserelative to others -- can contextualize mental health risk assessments, andsupport detection of social jet lag, which can hamper mental health andcognition. Existing ways of determining chronotypes, such as Dim LightMelatonin Onset (DLMO) or the Morningness-Eveningness Questionnaire (MEQ), arelimited by being discrete in time and time-intensive to update, rarelycapturing real-world variability over time. Chronotyping users based on livingschedules, as in daily planner apps, might augment existing methods byassessing chronotype and social jet lag continuously and at scale. Developingthis functionality would require a novel tool to translate between digitalschedules and chronotypes. Here we use a supervised binary classifier to assessthe feasibility of this approach. Methods: In this study, 1,460 registeredusers from the Owaves app opted in to filled out the MEQ survey. Of those, 142met the eligibility criteria for data analysis. We used multimodal app data toassess the classification of individuals identified as morning and eveningtypes from MEQ data, basing the classifier on app time series data. Thisincludes daily timing for 8 main lifestyle activity categories (exercise,sleep, social interactions, meal times, relaxation, work, play, andmiscellaneous) as defined in the app. Results: The novel chronotyping tool wasable to predict the morningness and eveningness of its users with an ROC AUC of0.70. Conclusion: Our findings support the feasibility of chronotypeclassification from multimodal, real-world app data. We highlight challenges toapplying binary labels to complex, multimodal behaviors. Our findings suggest apotential for real-time monitoring to support future, prospective mental healthresearch.
目的:时差--个人昼夜节律相位与他人昼夜节律相位的比较--可以为心理健康风险评估提供背景信息,并有助于检测会妨碍心理健康和认知的社会时差。现有的确定时间型的方法,如暗光褪黑素起始时间(DLMO)或早睡早起问卷(MEQ),由于时间离散性和更新耗时而受到限制,很少能捕捉到真实世界随时间的变化。基于生活时间表对用户进行时间分型(如在每日计划应用程序中)可能会通过持续、大规模地评估时间分型和社会时差来增强现有方法。开发这种功能需要一种新型工具来转换数字日程表和时间类型。在此,我们使用有监督的二元分类器来评估这种方法的可行性。方法:在这项研究中,1460 名 Owaves 应用程序的注册用户选择填写了 MEQ 调查表。其中,142 人符合数据分析的资格标准。我们使用多模态应用程序数据来评估从 MEQ 数据中识别出的早晚型个体的分类,分类器以应用程序时间序列数据为基础。这包括应用程序中定义的 8 种主要生活方式活动(运动、睡眠、社交、用餐时间、放松、工作、娱乐和其他)的每日时间。结果新颖的时间分型工具能够预测用户的晨昏,ROC AUC 为 0.70。结论我们的研究结果支持从多模态、真实世界的应用程序数据中进行时间类型分类的可行性。我们强调了在复杂的多模态行为中应用二进制标签所面临的挑战。我们的研究结果表明,实时监控具有支持未来前瞻性心理健康研究的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Challenges with the application and adoption of artificial intelligence for drug discovery 在药物发现中应用和采用人工智能面临的挑战
Pub Date : 2024-07-06 DOI: arxiv-2407.05150
Ghita Ghislat, Saiveth Hernandez-Hernandez, Chayanit Piwajanusorn, Pedro J. Ballester
Artificial intelligence (AI) is exhibiting tremendous potential to reduce themassive costs and long timescales of drug discovery. There are howeverimportant challenges limiting the impact and scope of AI models. Typically,these models are evaluated on benchmarks that are unlikely to anticipate theirprospective performance, which inadvertently misguides their development.Indeed, while all the developed models excel in a selected benchmark, only asmall proportion of them are ultimately reported to have prospective value(e.g. by discovering potent and innovative drug leads for a therapeutictarget). Here we discuss a range of data issues (bias, inconsistency, skewness,irrelevance, small size, high dimensionality), how they challenge AI models andwhich issue-specific mitigations have been effective. Next, we point out thechallenges faced by uncertainty quantification techniques aimed at enhancingthese AI models. We also discuss how conceptual errors, unrealistic benchmarksand performance misestimation can confound the evaluation of models and thustheir development. Lastly, we explain how human bias, whether from AI expertsor drug discovery experts, constitutes another challenge that can be alleviatedwith prospective studies.
人工智能(AI)在降低药物发现的巨额成本和缩短时间尺度方面展现出巨大潜力。然而,人工智能模型的影响和范围受到一些重要挑战的限制。事实上,虽然所有开发的模型都在选定的基准中表现出色,但只有一小部分模型最终被报告为具有前瞻性价值(例如为治疗目标发现了强效创新药物线索)。在此,我们将讨论一系列数据问题(偏差、不一致性、倾斜度、不相关性、小规模、高维度),它们如何对人工智能模型构成挑战,以及哪些针对特定问题的缓解措施是有效的。接下来,我们指出了旨在增强这些人工智能模型的不确定性量化技术所面临的挑战。我们还讨论了概念性错误、不切实际的基准和性能错误估计会如何扰乱模型评估和模型开发。最后,我们解释了人类偏见(无论是来自人工智能专家还是药物发现专家)是如何构成另一个挑战的,而这可以通过前瞻性研究来缓解。
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引用次数: 0
Synthetic data: How could it be used for infectious disease research? 合成数据:如何将其用于传染病研究?
Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI: arxiv-2407.06211
Styliani-Christina Fragkouli, Dhwani Solanki, Leyla J Castro, Fotis E Psomopoulos, Núria Queralt-Rosinach, Davide Cirillo, Lisa C Crossman
Over the last three to five years, it has become possible to generate machinelearning synthetic data for healthcare-related uses. However, concerns havebeen raised about potential negative factors associated with the possibilitiesof artificial dataset generation. These include the potential misuse ofgenerative artificial intelligence (AI) in fields such as cybercrime, the useof deepfakes and fake news to deceive or manipulate, and displacement of humanjobs across various market sectors. Here, we consider both current and future positive advances and possibilitieswith synthetic datasets. Synthetic data offers significant benefits,particularly in data privacy, research, in balancing datasets and reducing biasin machine learning models. Generative AI is an artificial intelligence genrecapable of creating text, images, video or other data using generative models.The recent explosion of interest in GenAI was heralded by the invention andspeedy move to use of large language models (LLM). These computational modelsare able to achieve general-purpose language generation and other naturallanguage processing tasks and are based on transformer architectures, whichmade an evolutionary leap from previous neural network architectures. Fuelled by the advent of improved GenAI techniques and wide scale usage, thisis surely the time to consider how synthetic data can be used to advanceinfectious disease research. In this commentary we aim to create an overview ofthe current and future position of synthetic data in infectious diseaseresearch.
在过去的三到五年中,为医疗保健相关用途生成机器学习合成数据已成为可能。然而,与人工生成数据集的可能性相关的潜在负面因素也引起了人们的关注。这些因素包括生成人工智能(AI)在网络犯罪等领域的潜在滥用、利用深度伪造和假新闻进行欺骗或操纵,以及在各个市场领域取代人类工作。在此,我们将探讨当前和未来合成数据集的积极进展和可能性。合成数据具有显著优势,特别是在数据隐私、研究、平衡数据集和减少机器学习模型偏差方面。生成式人工智能(Genative AI)是一种能够使用生成模型创建文本、图像、视频或其他数据的人工智能类型。这些计算模型能够实现通用语言生成和其他自然语言处理任务,并以变压器架构为基础,与以前的神经网络架构相比实现了飞跃。随着 GenAI 技术的改进和广泛应用,现在肯定是考虑如何利用合成数据推进传染病研究的时候了。在这篇评论中,我们旨在概述合成数据在传染病研究中的当前和未来地位。
{"title":"Synthetic data: How could it be used for infectious disease research?","authors":"Styliani-Christina Fragkouli, Dhwani Solanki, Leyla J Castro, Fotis E Psomopoulos, Núria Queralt-Rosinach, Davide Cirillo, Lisa C Crossman","doi":"arxiv-2407.06211","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2407.06211","url":null,"abstract":"Over the last three to five years, it has become possible to generate machine\u0000learning synthetic data for healthcare-related uses. However, concerns have\u0000been raised about potential negative factors associated with the possibilities\u0000of artificial dataset generation. These include the potential misuse of\u0000generative artificial intelligence (AI) in fields such as cybercrime, the use\u0000of deepfakes and fake news to deceive or manipulate, and displacement of human\u0000jobs across various market sectors. Here, we consider both current and future positive advances and possibilities\u0000with synthetic datasets. Synthetic data offers significant benefits,\u0000particularly in data privacy, research, in balancing datasets and reducing bias\u0000in machine learning models. Generative AI is an artificial intelligence genre\u0000capable of creating text, images, video or other data using generative models.\u0000The recent explosion of interest in GenAI was heralded by the invention and\u0000speedy move to use of large language models (LLM). These computational models\u0000are able to achieve general-purpose language generation and other natural\u0000language processing tasks and are based on transformer architectures, which\u0000made an evolutionary leap from previous neural network architectures. Fuelled by the advent of improved GenAI techniques and wide scale usage, this\u0000is surely the time to consider how synthetic data can be used to advance\u0000infectious disease research. In this commentary we aim to create an overview of\u0000the current and future position of synthetic data in infectious disease\u0000research.","PeriodicalId":501219,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuanBio - Other Quantitative Biology","volume":"22 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141566351","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Cement Dust Exposure and Risk of Hyperglycemia and Overweight among Artisans and Residents Close to a Cement Factory in Sokoto, Nigeria 水泥粉尘暴露与尼日利亚索科托一家水泥厂附近的工匠和居民患高血糖和超重的风险
Pub Date : 2024-06-29 DOI: arxiv-2407.00420
T Yahaya, KA Sani, E Oladele, E Yawa, M Musa, M Abubakar, R Sulaiman, M Bilyaminu
The potential health risks of cement dust exposure are increasingly raisingconcern worldwide as the cement industry expands in response to rising cementdemand. This necessitates the need to determine the nature of the risks inorder to develop appropriate measures. This study determined the effects ofcement dust exposure on the weight and blood glucose levels of people residingor working around a cement company in Sokoto, Nigeria. Demographic informationwas obtained using questionnaires from 72 participants, which included age,gender, educational level, exposure hours, occupation, and lifestyle. The bloodglucose levels and body mass index (BMI) were measured using a Fine Testglucometer and a mechanical scale, respectively. The results showed that mostof the people living or working around the cement company were middle-aged men(31-40; 42.06%) with a primary (33.33%) or secondary (45.83%) school education.It showed that 30 (41.69%) of the participants were overweight while 5 (6.94%)were obese. Additionally, 52.78% of the participants were diabetic while 31.94%were prediabetic. Participants that were exposed for long hours (> 15 hours perday) were the most diabetic (20% of the participants), followed by smokers(15%), and artisans (7%). It can be concluded that exposure to cement dust fromthe company increased the risk of overweight, obesity, and hyperglycemia amongthe participants. These health risks were worsened by daily long hours ofexposure, smoking, and artisanal pollutant exposure. Human settlements andartisans should not be located near the cement company, and the company shouldminimize pollutant emissions.
随着水泥需求的不断增长,水泥行业也在不断扩大,水泥粉尘暴露的潜在健康风险日益引起全世界的关注。因此,有必要确定风险的性质,以便制定适当的措施。本研究确定了水泥粉尘暴露对尼日利亚索科托一家水泥公司附近居民或工人的体重和血糖水平的影响。通过问卷调查获得了 72 名参与者的人口统计学信息,包括年龄、性别、受教育程度、接触时间、职业和生活方式。血糖水平和体重指数(BMI)分别使用精细血糖测试仪和机械体重计进行测量。结果显示,在水泥公司附近居住或工作的大多数人为中年男性(31-40 岁;42.06%),小学(33.33%)或中学(45.83%)学历。此外,52.78%的参与者患有糖尿病,31.94%患有糖尿病前期。接触水泥时间长(每天超过 15 小时)的参与者患糖尿病的比例最高(占参与者的 20%),其次是吸烟者(15%)和工匠(7%)。由此可以得出结论,接触公司水泥粉尘增加了参与者超重、肥胖和高血糖的风险。每天长时间接触水泥粉尘、吸烟和接触手工业污染物会加剧这些健康风险。人类居住区和工匠不应位于水泥公司附近,公司应尽量减少污染物排放。
{"title":"Cement Dust Exposure and Risk of Hyperglycemia and Overweight among Artisans and Residents Close to a Cement Factory in Sokoto, Nigeria","authors":"T Yahaya, KA Sani, E Oladele, E Yawa, M Musa, M Abubakar, R Sulaiman, M Bilyaminu","doi":"arxiv-2407.00420","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2407.00420","url":null,"abstract":"The potential health risks of cement dust exposure are increasingly raising\u0000concern worldwide as the cement industry expands in response to rising cement\u0000demand. This necessitates the need to determine the nature of the risks in\u0000order to develop appropriate measures. This study determined the effects of\u0000cement dust exposure on the weight and blood glucose levels of people residing\u0000or working around a cement company in Sokoto, Nigeria. Demographic information\u0000was obtained using questionnaires from 72 participants, which included age,\u0000gender, educational level, exposure hours, occupation, and lifestyle. The blood\u0000glucose levels and body mass index (BMI) were measured using a Fine Test\u0000glucometer and a mechanical scale, respectively. The results showed that most\u0000of the people living or working around the cement company were middle-aged men\u0000(31-40; 42.06%) with a primary (33.33%) or secondary (45.83%) school education.\u0000It showed that 30 (41.69%) of the participants were overweight while 5 (6.94%)\u0000were obese. Additionally, 52.78% of the participants were diabetic while 31.94%\u0000were prediabetic. Participants that were exposed for long hours (> 15 hours per\u0000day) were the most diabetic (20% of the participants), followed by smokers\u0000(15%), and artisans (7%). It can be concluded that exposure to cement dust from\u0000the company increased the risk of overweight, obesity, and hyperglycemia among\u0000the participants. These health risks were worsened by daily long hours of\u0000exposure, smoking, and artisanal pollutant exposure. Human settlements and\u0000artisans should not be located near the cement company, and the company should\u0000minimize pollutant emissions.","PeriodicalId":501219,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuanBio - Other Quantitative Biology","volume":"32 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-06-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141505128","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Machine Learning Models for Dengue Forecasting in Singapore 新加坡登革热预测的机器学习模型
Pub Date : 2024-06-29 DOI: arxiv-2407.00332
Zi Iun Lai, Wai Kit Fung, Enquan Chew
With emerging prevalence beyond traditionally endemic regions, the globalburden of dengue disease is forecasted to be one of the fastest growing. Withlimited direct treatment or vaccination currently available, prevention throughvector control is widely believed to be the most effective form of managingoutbreaks. This study examines traditional state space models (moving average,autoregressive, ARIMA, SARIMA), supervised learning techniques (XGBoost, SVM,KNN) and deep networks (LSTM, CNN, ConvLSTM) for forecasting weekly denguecases in Singapore. Meteorological data and search engine trends were includedas features for ML techniques. Forecasts using CNNs yielded lowest RMSE inweekly cases in 2019.
随着登革热在传统流行地区之外的新流行,预计全球登革热病负担将成为增长最快的疾病之一。由于目前可提供的直接治疗或疫苗接种有限,人们普遍认为通过病媒控制进行预防是控制疫情的最有效方式。本研究检验了用于预测新加坡每周登革热病例的传统状态空间模型(移动平均、自回归、ARIMA、SARIMA)、监督学习技术(XGBoost、SVM、KNN)和深度网络(LSTM、CNN、ConvLSTM)。气象数据和搜索引擎趋势被作为 ML 技术的特征。在 2019 年的每周案例中,使用 CNN 进行预测的 RMSE 最低。
{"title":"Machine Learning Models for Dengue Forecasting in Singapore","authors":"Zi Iun Lai, Wai Kit Fung, Enquan Chew","doi":"arxiv-2407.00332","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2407.00332","url":null,"abstract":"With emerging prevalence beyond traditionally endemic regions, the global\u0000burden of dengue disease is forecasted to be one of the fastest growing. With\u0000limited direct treatment or vaccination currently available, prevention through\u0000vector control is widely believed to be the most effective form of managing\u0000outbreaks. This study examines traditional state space models (moving average,\u0000autoregressive, ARIMA, SARIMA), supervised learning techniques (XGBoost, SVM,\u0000KNN) and deep networks (LSTM, CNN, ConvLSTM) for forecasting weekly dengue\u0000cases in Singapore. Meteorological data and search engine trends were included\u0000as features for ML techniques. Forecasts using CNNs yielded lowest RMSE in\u0000weekly cases in 2019.","PeriodicalId":501219,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuanBio - Other Quantitative Biology","volume":"57 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-06-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141513144","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Rooting behavior of pomegranate (Punica granatum L.) hardwood cuttings in relation to genotype and irrigation frequency 石榴(Punica granatum L.)硬木插条的生根行为与基因型和灌溉频率的关系
Pub Date : 2024-06-29 DOI: arxiv-2407.00408
Kocher Omer Salih, Aram Akram Mohammed, Jamal Mahmood Faraj, Anwar Mohammed Raouf, Nawroz Abdul-Razzak Tahir
The study was conducted to determine the best irrigation frequency forrooting hardwood cuttings of some pomegranate genotypes that are cultivated inHalabja province, Kurdistan Region, Iraq. The hardwood cuttings were collectedfrom 11 genotypes, which were 'Salakhani Trsh' (G1), 'Salakhani Mekhosh' (G2),'Amriki' (G3), 'Twekl Sury Trsh' (G4), 'Twekl Astury Naw Spy' (G5), 'HanaraSherina' (G6), 'Kawa Hanary Sherin' (G7), 'Kawa Hanary Trsh' (G8), 'MalesayTwekl Asture' (G9), 'Malesay Twekl Tank' (G10), and 'Sura Hanary Trsh' (G11).The genotypes were subjected to irrigation applications by 1-day, 2-day, 7-day,or 10-day frequencies. Among pomegranates, G11, G6, and G7 produced 95, 90, and83% rooting percentages, which were significantly higher than the rest of othergenotypes. The lowest rooting percentages (28, 36, 38, and 40%) were found inG1, G5, G3, and G10, respectively. The effect of irrigation frequencies on thegenotypes confirmed that a 7-day frequency was the best irrigation frequency toachieve the maximum rooting percentages (93, 86, 80, 73, 53, and 40%) in G6,G9, G2, G4, G3, and G1, respectively. In contrast, the minimum rootingpercentage (20%) was recorded in G3 with a 1-day frequency and in G1 with10-day frequency. In this study, it was found that the cuttings of G11, G6, andG7 had the best ability to form roots, and irrigation with a 7-day frequencywas the best for the cuttings of all the 11 pomegranate genotypes investigated.
本研究旨在确定伊拉克库尔德斯坦地区哈拉布贾省栽培的一些石榴基因型硬木插条生根的最佳灌溉频率。硬木插条采集自 11 个基因型,分别是'Salakhani Trsh'(G1)、'Salakhani Mekhosh'(G2)、'Amriki'(G3)、'Twekl Sury Trsh'(G4)、'Twekl Astury Naw Spy'(G5)、HanaraSherina"(G6)、"Kawa Hanary Sherin"(G7)、"Kawa Hanary Trsh"(G8)、"MalesayTwekl Asture"(G9)、"Malesay Twekl Tank"(G10)和 "Sura Hanary Trsh"(G11)。这些基因型的灌溉频率分别为 1 天、2 天、7 天或 10 天。在石榴中,G11、G6 和 G7 的生根率分别为 95%、90% 和 83%,明显高于其他基因型。生根率最低的是 G1、G5、G3 和 G10,分别为 28%、36%、38% 和 40%。灌溉频率对基因型的影响证实,7 天的灌溉频率是 G6、G9、G2、G4、G3 和 G1 获得最高生根率(分别为 93、86、80、73、53 和 40%)的最佳灌溉频率。相反,G3 的生根率最低(20%),生根频率为 1 天,G1 的生根频率为 10 天。本研究发现,G11、G6 和 G7 的插条生根能力最强,7 天频率的灌溉对所有 11 个石榴基因型的插条生根效果最好。
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引用次数: 0
Comparative Evaluation of the Proximate and Cytogenotoxicity of Ash and Rice Chips Used as Mango Fruit Artificial Ripening Agents in Birnin Kebbi, Nigeria 对尼日利亚比尔宁-凯比地区用作芒果果实人工催熟剂的灰分和大米片的物理性质和细胞毒性的比较评估
Pub Date : 2024-06-29 DOI: arxiv-2408.01425
CD Obadiah, TO Yahaya, AA Aliero, M Abdulkareem
The high demand for mango (Mangifera indica L.) fruits has led sellers toemploy ripening agents. However, concerns are growing regarding the potentialtoxicities of induced ripening, emphasizing the need for scientificinvestigation. Samples of artificially and naturally ripened mangoes wereanalyzed for proximate composition using standard protocols. Cytogenotoxicitywas then assessed using the Allium cepa L. toxicity test. Twenty (20)A. cepa(onion) bulbs were used, with 5 ripened naturally, 5 with wood ash, 5 withherbaceous ash, and 5 with rice chips, all grown over tap water for five days.The root tips of the bulbs were assayed and examined for chromosomalaberrations. The results revealed a significant (P<0.05) increase in moisture,protein, and ash content of mangoes as ripening agents were introduced. Mangoesripened with wood ash exhibited the highest moisture content (81%), while thoseripened with rice chips had the highest protein (0.5%) and ash content (1.5%).Naturally ripened mangoes displayed the highest fat (0.0095%) and fiber(11.46%) contents. The A. cepa toxicity test indicated significant (p<0.05)differences in the root growth of mangoes ripened with various agents. Wood ashresulted in the highest root growth (2.62cm), while herbaceous ash had theleast (2.18%). Chromosomal aberrations, including sticky, vagrant, and laggardabnormalities, were observed in all agents, with herbaceous ash exhibiting thehighest and rice chips the least. The obtained results suggest that inducedripening of the fruits could induce toxicities, highlighting the necessity forpublic awareness regarding the potential dangers posed by these agents.
对芒果(Mangifera indica L.)水果的大量需求促使销售商使用催熟剂。然而,人们越来越担心催熟剂的潜在毒性,因此需要进行科学研究。采用标准方案对人工催熟和自然催熟的芒果样品进行近似成分分析。然后使用 Allium cepa L. 毒性试验评估了细胞遗传毒性。使用了 20 个洋葱鳞茎,其中 5 个自然成熟,5 个加入木灰,5 个加入草木灰,5 个加入米屑,所有鳞茎都在自来水中生长了 5 天。结果表明,加入催熟剂后,芒果的水分、蛋白质和灰分含量都有明显增加(P<0.05)。使用木灰催熟的芒果水分含量最高(81%),而使用米屑催熟的芒果蛋白质含量(0.5%)和灰分含量(1.5%)最高,自然催熟的芒果脂肪含量(0.0095%)和纤维含量(11.46%)最高。牛肝菌毒性试验表明,用各种药剂催熟的芒果根系生长差异显著(p<0.05)。木灰导致的根系生长最高(2.62 厘米),而草木灰导致的根系生长最低(2.18%)。在所有药剂中都观察到了染色体畸变,包括粘性、游离和滞后异常,其中草木灰的染色体畸变最高,米屑的染色体畸变最低。研究结果表明,诱导果实成熟可能会引起中毒,因此有必要提高公众对这些制剂潜在危险的认识。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
arXiv - QuanBio - Other Quantitative Biology
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