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Statistical Relationship Between Bitcoin and Synthetic Opioid Mortalities: Are DEA Enforcement Actions Aligning with Trends in Drug Related Deaths? 比特币与合成类阿片死亡率之间的统计关系:缉毒局的执法行动是否与毒品相关死亡的趋势一致?
Pub Date : 2024-03-28 DOI: 10.1101/2024.03.27.24304987
Daihun Kang
Background: The intersection of cryptocurrency, especially Bitcoin, with public health issues, particularly synthetic opioid-related deaths, presents an emerging field of study. This research explores the statistical relationship between Bitcoin market fluctuations and synthetic opioid mortalities, against the backdrop of Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) enforcement actions. Methods: Utilizing data from 2009 to 2022, this study employs Pearson correlation and linear regression models to investigate the relationship between annual Bitcoin price fluctuations and synthetic opioid-related death rates, alongside DEA domestic arrest trends. Results: A pronounced positive correlation (r = 0.92) was found between Bitcoin price changes and synthetic opioid mortality rates, with the Bitcoin price accounting for approximately 84.78% of the variance in opioid-related deaths (R² = 0.8478). The analysis also notes a disparity between increasing synthetic opioid fatalities and decreasing DEA domestic arrests. Conclusions: The findings reveal significant correlations between Bitcoin price fluctuations and synthetic opioid-related fatalities, highlighting potential gaps in current drug enforcement strategies. This study underscores the need for an interdisciplinary approach to address the complexities introduced by cryptocurrency in the opioid crisis and suggests the necessity of integrating financial and public health strategies to combat emerging drug abuse trends.
背景:加密货币,尤其是比特币,与公共卫生问题,特别是与合成阿片类药物相关的死亡之间的交叉,是一个新兴的研究领域。本研究以美国缉毒署(DEA)的执法行动为背景,探讨比特币市场波动与合成阿片类药物死亡之间的统计关系。研究方法:本研究利用 2009 年至 2022 年的数据,采用皮尔逊相关性和线性回归模型,结合缉毒局的国内逮捕趋势,研究比特币年度价格波动与合成阿片类药物相关死亡率之间的关系。研究结果发现比特币价格变化与合成阿片类药物死亡率之间存在明显的正相关关系(r = 0.92),比特币价格约占阿片类药物相关死亡率变异的 84.78%(R² = 0.8478)。分析还指出,合成类阿片死亡率的上升与缉毒局国内逮捕人数的下降之间存在差异。结论:研究结果表明,比特币价格波动与合成类阿片相关死亡之间存在明显的相关性,凸显了当前缉毒策略中存在的潜在差距。这项研究强调,需要采用跨学科方法来解决加密货币在阿片类药物危机中带来的复杂问题,并表明有必要整合金融和公共卫生战略,以应对新出现的药物滥用趋势。
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引用次数: 0
HIV and Hepatitis B virus co-infection in Mozambique: Policy review and Health Professionals knowledge and practices 莫桑比克的艾滋病毒和乙型肝炎病毒双重感染问题:政策审查与卫生专业人员的知识和实践
Pub Date : 2024-03-26 DOI: 10.1101/2024.03.23.24304747
Vanda Suzel Viana Dos Muchangos, Charlotta Nilsson, Esperanca Sevene, Lucia Chambal
BackgroundHuman Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) and Hepatitis B Virus (HBV) co-infection is a public health problem affecting 2.7 million worldwide. In Mozambique, the prevalence of this co-infection is 9,1%, calling for specific policies on prevention, diagnosis and adequate management in health facilities caring for HIV patients. This study aimed to review the existing policies and to assess the knowledge and practices of health professionals about HIV/HBV co-infection.MethodsA document and literature review to describe the existing policies and guidelines on HIV/HBV co-infection in Mozambique was performed. Key informants were contacted to clarify or add information. Health professionals who care for HIV-positive patients in four health centers in Maputo City, the capital of Mozambique responded to a questionnaire on knowledge and practices about this co-infection. Qualitative analysis was done to identify main themes using content analysis. Descriptive statistics of sociodemographic, knowledge, practices variables was presented using the SPSS Program version 20 and bivariate analysis was applied to describe the association between variables.ResultsTwenty-one policy documents were found and five key informants were interviewed. Fifty-two participants answered the questionnaire. Only one policy document explicitly referred to HIV/HBV co-infection treatment. Most health professionals (96%) were aware of HIV/HBV co-infection. Although the only existing policy is on the treatment, few (33%) referenced antiretrovirals formulations containing Tenofovir and Lamivudine. Only 29% of health professionals reported screening HIV patients for HBV and 21% practiced HIV/HBV co-infection counseling. No statistically significant differences were found when relating the sociodemographic variables with knowledge and practices.ConclusionPolicy documents relating to prevention, diagnosis and clinical management of HIV/HBV co-infection were rare or absent. Health professionals had little knowledge about HIV/HBV co-infection. Defining adequate policies and training of health professionals may help increase awareness, increase counselling of patients for disease prevention, diagnosis and proper management of HIV/HBV co-infected patients.
背景人类免疫缺陷病毒(HIV)和乙型肝炎病毒(HBV)合并感染是一个公共卫生问题,影响到全球 270 万人。在莫桑比克,这种合并感染的发病率为 9.1%,这就要求医疗机构在预防、诊断和适当管理艾滋病患者方面制定具体政策。本研究旨在审查现有政策,并评估医疗专业人员对 HIV/HBV 合并感染的认识和做法。方法:对莫桑比克有关 HIV/HBV 合并感染的现有政策和指南进行文件和文献审查。与主要信息提供者取得联系,以澄清或补充信息。在莫桑比克首都马普托市的四家医疗中心护理 HIV 阳性患者的医疗专业人员回答了有关这种合并感染的知识和实践的问卷。采用内容分析法进行了定性分析,以确定主要主题。使用 SPSS 程序第 20 版对社会人口学、知识和实践变量进行了描述性统计,并应用双变量分析来描述变量之间的关联。52 名参与者回答了调查问卷。只有一份政策文件明确提到了 HIV/HBV 合并感染治疗。大多数医疗专业人员(96%)都了解艾滋病毒/乙型肝炎病毒合并感染。尽管现有的唯一一份政策文件涉及治疗,但很少(33%)提及含有替诺福韦和拉米夫定的抗逆转录病毒制剂。只有 29% 的医疗专业人员报告对 HIV 患者进行了 HBV 筛查,21% 的医疗专业人员进行了 HIV/HBV 合并感染咨询。结论有关 HIV/HBV 合并感染的预防、诊断和临床管理的政策文件很少或根本没有。卫生专业人员对 HIV/HBV 合并感染知之甚少。制定适当的政策并对卫生专业人员进行培训可能有助于提高认识,增加对病人的疾病预防、诊断和适当管理咨询。
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引用次数: 0
A rapid review of the effectiveness of interventions for addressing digital exclusion in older adults 快速审查解决老年人数字排斥问题的干预措施的有效性
Pub Date : 2024-03-22 DOI: 10.1101/2024.03.21.24304670
Alesha Wale, Jordan Everitt, Toby Ayres, Chukwudi Okolie, Helen Morgan, Hannah Shaw, Rhiannon Tudor Edwards, Jacob Davies, Ruth Lewis, Alison Cooper, Adrian Edwards
Older adults constitute the largest proportion of non-users of the internet. With the increasing digitalisation of services, in particular those provided by Social Care Wales, it is important to understand how best to support older adults to overcome the challenges they face with accessing or engaging with the digital world (for personal use). This rapid review aimed to assess the effectiveness of interventions to address digital exclusion in older adults (aged 60 years and above). Digital exclusion can occur due to issues with motivation (if people do not see why the internet might be beneficial), accessibility (unable to physically access to the internet), ability (lack of skills to use the internet) or affordability (unable to afford access to the internet) of digital technology. Research Implications and Evidence GapsThe majority of studies included in this review were of low quality. It is unclear whether study findings would be generalisable to the UK. Outcome measures were heterogeneous across studies making it difficult to compare findings directly. Only one study assessed the cost-effectiveness of a digital education intervention. No study reported on interventions to address language barriers, for example, that may be experienced by people whose first language is not English. No study focused specifically on interventions to improve access to, or affordability of the internet and digital technologies to overcome digital exclusion. Further high-quality UK-based research is needed to better understand the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of interventions for addressing digital exclusion in older adults. Policy and Practice ImplicationsThis rapid review highlighted the potential benefits of a range of complex multi-component educational interventions, particularly with regards to improving digital literacy, and suggests that older adults are accepting of these interventions. To reduce digital exclusion in older adults, evidence suggests it may be important to ensure structural barriers, such as access to the internet and affordability of devices are removed. However, the cost of provision should be considered and assessed. Educational interventions may help to reduce perceptual barriers regarding digital technologies that contribute to digital exclusion including lack of confidence, fear and anxiety, or perceived lack of abilities. It is important to consider that older adults should be equipped with the skills to make an informed choice to interact with essential services physically (offline) or digitally. With the increasing digitalisation of services, it is important that older members of the community who do not wish to use digital technologies, are not left behind or disadvantaged.
在未使用互联网的人群中,老年人所占比例最大。随着服务的日益数字化,尤其是威尔士社会医疗机构提供的服务,了解如何最好地支持老年人克服他们在访问或参与数字世界(个人使用)时所面临的挑战非常重要。本次快速审查旨在评估解决老年人(60 岁及以上)数字排斥问题的干预措施的有效性。出现数字排斥的原因可能是数字技术的动机问题(如果人们不明白为什么互联网可能有益)、可访问性问题(无法实际访问互联网)、能力问题(缺乏使用互联网的技能)或可负担性问题(无法负担访问互联网的费用)。研究意义和证据差距本综述中包含的大多数研究质量不高。目前尚不清楚研究结果是否适用于英国。不同研究的结果衡量标准不尽相同,因此很难对研究结果进行直接比较。只有一项研究评估了数字教育干预措施的成本效益。没有研究报告了针对语言障碍的干预措施,例如,母语不是英语的人可能会遇到的语言障碍。没有一项研究特别关注为克服数字排斥而采取的干预措施,这些干预措施旨在改善互联网和数字技术的可及性或可负担性。需要进一步开展基于英国的高质量研究,以更好地了解解决老年人数字排斥问题的干预措施的有效性和成本效益。政策与实践启示 本次快速审查强调了一系列复杂的多成分教育干预措施的潜在益处,尤其是在提高数字素养方面,并表明老年人接受这些干预措施。有证据表明,要减少老年人的数字排斥,必须确保消除结构性障碍,如互联网接入和设备的可负担性。不过,也应考虑和评估提供设备的成本。教育干预措施可能有助于减少造成数字排斥的数字技术方面的观念障碍,包括缺乏信心、恐惧和焦虑,或认为自己缺乏能力。重要的是要考虑到,老年人应掌握技能,在知情的情况下选择与基本服务进行实体(离线)或数字互动。随着服务数字化程度的不断提高,重要的是社区中不愿意使用数字技术的老年人不会被落下或处于不利地位。
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引用次数: 0
European Health Regulations Reduce Registry-Based Research 欧洲卫生法规减少基于注册表的研究
Pub Date : 2024-03-20 DOI: 10.1101/2024.03.20.24304569
Oscar Bruck, Enni Sanmark, Ville Ponkilainen, Alexander Butzow, Aleksi Reito, Joonas Kauppila, Ilari Kuitunen
The European Health Data Space regulation (EHDS) has been proposed to harmonize health data processing. Given its parallels with the Act on Secondary Use of Health and Social Data (Secondary Use Act) implemented in Finland in 2020, this study examines the consequences of heightened privacy constraints on registry-based medical research. Between 2020 and 2023, a median of 5.5% fewer data permits were approved annually in by Finnish university hospitals. Based on linear regression modelling, we estimated a reduction of 46.9% in new data permits nationally in 2023 compared to the expected count. Similar changes were not observed in other medical research types highlighting the consequences of excessive data privacy laws on registry-based medical research.
欧洲健康数据空间法规(EHDS)旨在统一健康数据处理。鉴于该法规与芬兰 2020 年实施的《健康和社会数据二次使用法》(二次使用法)相似,本研究探讨了隐私限制加强对以登记册为基础的医学研究的影响。2020 年至 2023 年间,芬兰大学医院每年批准的数据许可中位数减少了 5.5%。根据线性回归模型,我们估计到2023年,全国新增数据许可数量将比预期数量减少46.9%。在其他医疗研究类型中没有观察到类似的变化,这凸显了过度的数据隐私法对以登记为基础的医疗研究的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Publication status of 95 clinical trials of 3 COVID-19 vaccines developed by Chinese companies: An observational cohort study 中国企业研发的3种COVID-19疫苗的95项临床试验的发表情况:观察性队列研究
Pub Date : 2024-03-18 DOI: 10.1101/2024.03.17.24304386
Till Bruckner, Yixuan Chen, Carolina Cruz, Christie Ebube Dike, Belen Chavarria, Shiyu Chen, Ernest Dela Dzidzornu
Transparency shortcomings can undermine confidence in the safety and efficacy of vaccines. This study assesses the publication status of 95 clinical trials of 3 COVID-19 vaccines developed by Chinese companies that received a World Health Organization Emergency Use Listing (EUL) and have been marketed globally. We searched trial registries and the scientific literature to assess current trial status and the public availability of results. After excluding 2 withdrawn trials, we found that at least 62/93 trials (67%) involving 307,933 patients had verifiably been completed or terminated. Only 44 of those 62 trials (71%) had published results in a peer-reviewed journal; none had tabular summary results available on a trial registry. The results of 18/62 (29%) verifiably completed or terminated trials remained unpublished. The trial status information stated in trial registries was often incorrect. Our findings reveal a substantial gap between the disclosure practices of the 3 Chinese companies and global best practice benchmarks. Transparency and global public trust in Chinese biopharmaceutical products could be improved by aligning Chinese legal disclosure requirements with those prevalent in more mature markets, or by the voluntary adoption of stronger transparency practices by Chinese companies.
透明度不足会削弱人们对疫苗安全性和有效性的信心。本研究评估了由中国公司开发的 3 种 COVID-19 疫苗的 95 项临床试验的公布情况,这些疫苗已获得世界卫生组织的紧急使用许可 (EUL),并已在全球上市。我们检索了试验登记册和科学文献,以评估当前的试验状态和结果的公开性。在排除了 2 项撤销的试验后,我们发现至少有 62/93 项试验(67%)(涉及 307933 名患者)已经完成或终止。在这 62 项试验中,只有 44 项(71%)在同行评议期刊上发表了结果;没有一项试验的结果汇总表可在试验登记册上查阅。18/62(29%)项经核实已完成或终止的试验结果仍未公布。试验登记表中的试验状态信息往往不正确。我们的研究结果表明,这三家中国公司的信息披露实践与全球最佳实践基准之间存在巨大差距。如果中国的法律信息披露要求与更成熟的市场相一致,或者中国企业自愿采用更强的透明度实践,那么中国生物制药产品的透明度和全球公众对中国生物制药产品的信任度都会得到提高。
{"title":"Publication status of 95 clinical trials of 3 COVID-19 vaccines developed by Chinese companies: An observational cohort study","authors":"Till Bruckner, Yixuan Chen, Carolina Cruz, Christie Ebube Dike, Belen Chavarria, Shiyu Chen, Ernest Dela Dzidzornu","doi":"10.1101/2024.03.17.24304386","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.03.17.24304386","url":null,"abstract":"Transparency shortcomings can undermine confidence in the safety and efficacy of vaccines. This study assesses the publication status of 95 clinical trials of 3 COVID-19 vaccines developed by Chinese companies that received a World Health Organization Emergency Use Listing (EUL) and have been marketed globally. We searched trial registries and the scientific literature to assess current trial status and the public availability of results. After excluding 2 withdrawn trials, we found that at least 62/93 trials (67%) involving 307,933 patients had verifiably been completed or terminated. Only 44 of those 62 trials (71%) had published results in a peer-reviewed journal; none had tabular summary results available on a trial registry. The results of 18/62 (29%) verifiably completed or terminated trials remained unpublished. The trial status information stated in trial registries was often incorrect. Our findings reveal a substantial gap between the disclosure practices of the 3 Chinese companies and global best practice benchmarks. Transparency and global public trust in Chinese biopharmaceutical products could be improved by aligning Chinese legal disclosure requirements with those prevalent in more mature markets, or by the voluntary adoption of stronger transparency practices by Chinese companies.","PeriodicalId":501386,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv - Health Policy","volume":"58 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140171189","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The impact of measures set by national regulatory authority to enhance affordability of medicines in Sudan: when good intention leads to worse outcomes 苏丹国家监管机构为提高药品可负担性而制定的措施所产生的影响:好心办坏事
Pub Date : 2024-03-15 DOI: 10.1101/2024.03.13.24304248
Gamal Khalafalla Ali, Yasir Abubaker Abuelrish, Abubakr Abdelraouf Alfadl, Mohamed Abdelrahman Shigidi
Introduction: The aim of this paper is to assess the impact of the measures and procedures imposed by the National Medicines and Poisons Board (NMPB) on the availability of safe, effective and quality medicines of affordable price on the Sudanese market.Methods: This is a descriptive study in which pharmacists, who were responsible for the regulatory affairs within their importing and locally manufacturing medicine companies, were asked to complete a 45-question online survey using the Google application, covering relevance and challenges of medicines quality and pricing system. A link to the data collection tool website was sent to all members of the Sudanese Society of Regulatory Affairs Pharmacists through WhatsApp. The survey was available on 6th May 2020 through 6th June 2020. Descriptive statistics were used to report results.Results: Survey respondents were 70 regulatory affairs’ pharmacists. 38% of participants believe that the technical procedures adopted by the NMPB do not achieve the goal of establishing Medicine Regulatory Authorities as described by World Health Organization. Almost all respondents believe that Sudan current economic situation, including the scarcity of foreign currency, has greatly impacted the availability of quality-assured medicines in pharmacies. Participants said that the situation is exacerbated by the intervention of NMPB in determining the exchange rate and controlling the medicine prices.Conclusion: The NMPB should consider options for balancing patient access to quality medicines, and reasonable pricing policies that encourage the local pharmaceutical manufacturing to flourish and a steady flow of quality-assured medicines from abroad to the Sudan market.
导言:本文旨在评估国家药品和毒药管理局(NMPB)实施的措施和程序对苏丹市场上安全、有效和优质且价格合理的药品供应的影响:这是一项描述性研究,要求在其进口和本地生产医药公司内负责监管事务的药剂师使用谷歌应用软件完成 45 个问题的在线调查,内容涉及药品质量和价格体系的相关性和挑战。数据收集工具网站的链接已通过 WhatsApp 发送给苏丹监管事务药剂师协会的所有成员。调查时间为 2020 年 5 月 6 日至 2020 年 6 月 6 日。报告结果时使用了描述性统计方法:调查对象为 70 名法规事务药剂师。38% 的参与者认为,国家药品管理局采用的技术程序没有实现世界卫生组织提出的建立药品监管机构的目标。几乎所有受访者都认为,苏丹当前的经济形势,包括外汇匮乏,极大地影响了药店质量有保证的药品的供应。与会者表示,国家药品管理局在确定汇率和控制药品价格方面的干预加剧了这种状况:国家药品管理局应考虑在患者获得优质药品和合理定价政策之间取得平衡的方案,以鼓励当地制药业的蓬勃发展,并鼓励国外有质量保证的药品源源不断地进入苏丹市场。
{"title":"The impact of measures set by national regulatory authority to enhance affordability of medicines in Sudan: when good intention leads to worse outcomes","authors":"Gamal Khalafalla Ali, Yasir Abubaker Abuelrish, Abubakr Abdelraouf Alfadl, Mohamed Abdelrahman Shigidi","doi":"10.1101/2024.03.13.24304248","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.03.13.24304248","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction: The aim of this paper is to assess the impact of the measures and procedures imposed by the National Medicines and Poisons Board (NMPB) on the availability of safe, effective and quality medicines of affordable price on the Sudanese market.\u0000Methods: This is a descriptive study in which pharmacists, who were responsible for the regulatory affairs within their importing and locally manufacturing medicine companies, were asked to complete a 45-question online survey using the Google application, covering relevance and challenges of medicines quality and pricing system. A link to the data collection tool website was sent to all members of the Sudanese Society of Regulatory Affairs Pharmacists through WhatsApp. The survey was available on 6th May 2020 through 6th June 2020. Descriptive statistics were used to report results.\u0000Results: Survey respondents were 70 regulatory affairs’ pharmacists. 38% of participants believe that the technical procedures adopted by the NMPB do not achieve the goal of establishing Medicine Regulatory Authorities as described by World Health Organization. Almost all respondents believe that Sudan current economic situation, including the scarcity of foreign currency, has greatly impacted the availability of quality-assured medicines in pharmacies. Participants said that the situation is exacerbated by the intervention of NMPB in determining the exchange rate and controlling the medicine prices.\u0000Conclusion: The NMPB should consider options for balancing patient access to quality medicines, and reasonable pricing policies that encourage the local pharmaceutical manufacturing to flourish and a steady flow of quality-assured medicines from abroad to the Sudan market.","PeriodicalId":501386,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv - Health Policy","volume":"40 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140150679","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Primary health care improvement in Benin: Cocreating an evidence-informed policy framework to guide the practices of primary care physicians 改善贝宁的初级保健:共同创建循证政策框架,指导初级保健医生的实践
Pub Date : 2024-03-13 DOI: 10.1101/2024.03.11.24304111
Kéfilath Bello, Bart Criel, Jean-Paul Dossou, Djimon Marcel Zannou, Jan De Lepeleire
IntroductionIn Benin, policies for guiding the practices of primary care physicians (PCPs) are sparse and incomplete. This leads to sub-optimal use of these relatively rare human resources and reduces their potential contribution to people’s health and well-being. In this study, a policy framework guiding PCPs’ practice in Benin is developed in cooperation with key stakeholders.MethodsThe cocreation was a long-term process spread over several years, culminating in a two-day workshop in Cotonou (Benin’s capital city) in October 2022. The core principles of a successful cocreation process were respected: a clear definition of goals, the participation of all relevant stakeholders, including community members, and evidence-informed discussions.ResultsThe resulting policy framework includes four overarching dimensions: first, the objectives assigned to PCPs in Benin; second, their roles and related activities; third, their professional identity; and fourth, the governance arrangements guiding their practices. The policy framework provided concrete recommendations for these dimensions based on the Benin context and international evidence.ConclusionThe cocreation process was instrumental in developing an evidence-informed and consensual policy framework guiding PCPs' practices in Benin. The framework may be relevant for other West African countries but must be customised to each country’s context.
导言在贝宁,指导初级保健医生(PCPs)实践的政策既少又不完整。这导致这些相对稀缺的人力资源得不到最佳利用,降低了他们对人民健康和福祉的潜在贡献。本研究与主要利益相关方合作,制定了指导贝宁初级保健医生实践的政策框架。方法共同创造是一个长期过程,历时数年,最终于 2022 年 10 月在科托努(贝宁首都)举行了为期两天的研讨会。所产生的政策框架包括四个主要方面:第一,贝宁初级专业人员的目标;第二,他们的作用和相关活动;第三,他们的专业身份;第四,指导他们实践的治理安排。该政策框架根据贝宁的国情和国际证据为这些方面提供了具体建议。该框架可能适用于其他西非国家,但必须根据每个国家的具体情况进行定制。
{"title":"Primary health care improvement in Benin: Cocreating an evidence-informed policy framework to guide the practices of primary care physicians","authors":"Kéfilath Bello, Bart Criel, Jean-Paul Dossou, Djimon Marcel Zannou, Jan De Lepeleire","doi":"10.1101/2024.03.11.24304111","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.03.11.24304111","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction\u0000In Benin, policies for guiding the practices of primary care physicians (PCPs) are sparse and incomplete. This leads to sub-optimal use of these relatively rare human resources and reduces their potential contribution to people’s health and well-being. In this study, a policy framework guiding PCPs’ practice in Benin is developed in cooperation with key stakeholders.\u0000Methods\u0000The cocreation was a long-term process spread over several years, culminating in a two-day workshop in Cotonou (Benin’s capital city) in October 2022. The core principles of a successful cocreation process were respected: a clear definition of goals, the participation of all relevant stakeholders, including community members, and evidence-informed discussions.\u0000Results\u0000The resulting policy framework includes four overarching dimensions: first, the objectives assigned to PCPs in Benin; second, their roles and related activities; third, their professional identity; and fourth, the governance arrangements guiding their practices. The policy framework provided concrete recommendations for these dimensions based on the Benin context and international evidence.\u0000Conclusion\u0000The cocreation process was instrumental in developing an evidence-informed and consensual policy framework guiding PCPs' practices in Benin. The framework may be relevant for other West African countries but must be customised to each country’s context.","PeriodicalId":501386,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv - Health Policy","volume":"366 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140128816","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Investigating Ethical Tradeoffs in Crisis Standards of Care through Simulation of Ventilator Allocation Protocols 通过模拟呼吸机分配规程调查危机护理标准中的伦理权衡
Pub Date : 2024-03-13 DOI: 10.1101/2024.03.10.24304058
Jonathan Herington, Jessica Shand, Jeanne Holden-Wiltse, Anthony Corbett, Richard Dees, Chin-Lin Ching, Marjorie H Shaw, Xueya Cai, Martin Zand
Introduction: Arguments over the appropriate Crisis Standards of Care (CSC) for public health emergencies often assume that there is a tradeoff between saving the most lives, saving the most life-years, and preventing racial disparities. However, these assumptions have rarely been explored empirically. To quantitatively characterize possible ethical tradeoffs, we aimed to simulate the implementation of five proposed CSC protocols for rationing ventilators in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic.Methods: A Monte Carlo simulation was used to estimate the number of lives saved and life-years saved by implementing clinical acuity-, comorbidity- and age-based CSC protocols under different shortage conditions. This model was populated with patient data from 3707 adult admissions requiring ventilator support in a New York hospital system between April 2020 and May 2021. To estimate lives and life-years saved by each protocol, we determined survival to discharge and estimated remaining life expectancy for each admission.Results: The simulation demonstrated stronger performance for age- and comorbidity-sensitive protocols. For a capacity of 1 bed per 2 patients, ranking by age bands saves approximately 28.7 lives and 3408 life-years per thousand patients, while ranking by Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) bands saved the fewest lives (13.2) and life-years (416). For all protocols, we observed a positive correlation between lives saved and life-years saved. For all protocols except lottery and the banded SOFA, significant disparities in lives saved and life-years saved were noted between White non-Hispanic, Black non-Hispanic, and Hispanic sub-populations.Conclusion: While there is significant variance in the number of lives saved and life-years saved, we did not find a tradeoff between saving the most lives and saving the most life-years. Moreover, concerns about racial discrimination in triage protocols require thinking carefully about the tradeoff between enforcing equality of survival rates and maximizing the lives saved in each sub-population.
导言:关于公共卫生突发事件的适当危机救护标准(CSC)的争论通常假定,在挽救最多的生命、挽救最多的生命年数和防止种族差异之间需要做出权衡。然而,这些假设很少经过实证探索。为了定量描述可能存在的伦理权衡,我们旨在模拟在 COVID-19 大流行的背景下实施五项建议的 CSC 协议以配给呼吸机:我们使用蒙特卡洛模拟法估算了在不同短缺条件下实施基于临床连续性、合并症和年龄的 CSC 方案所挽救的生命数量和挽救的生命年数。该模型使用了纽约一家医院系统在 2020 年 4 月至 2021 年 5 月期间收治的 3707 名需要呼吸机支持的成人患者数据。为了估算每种方案挽救的生命和寿命年数,我们确定了每位入院患者的出院存活率和剩余预期寿命:结果:模拟结果表明,对年龄和合并症敏感的方案更有效。在每 2 名患者使用 1 张病床的情况下,按年龄段排序每千名患者可挽救约 28.7 条生命和 3408 个生命年,而按器官功能衰竭序列评估(SOFA)排序每千名患者可挽救的生命(13.2 条)和生命年(416 个)最少。在所有方案中,我们观察到挽救的生命与挽救的生命年之间呈正相关。除抽签和带状 SOFA 外,所有方案的挽救生命和挽救生命年数在非西班牙裔白人、非西班牙裔黑人和西班牙裔亚群之间存在显著差异:结论:虽然挽救的生命数量和挽救的生命年数存在显著差异,但我们并未发现在挽救最多生命和挽救最多生命年数之间存在权衡。此外,考虑到分流方案中的种族歧视问题,我们需要认真思考如何在确保存活率平等与最大限度地挽救每个亚人群的生命之间进行权衡。
{"title":"Investigating Ethical Tradeoffs in Crisis Standards of Care through Simulation of Ventilator Allocation Protocols","authors":"Jonathan Herington, Jessica Shand, Jeanne Holden-Wiltse, Anthony Corbett, Richard Dees, Chin-Lin Ching, Marjorie H Shaw, Xueya Cai, Martin Zand","doi":"10.1101/2024.03.10.24304058","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.03.10.24304058","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction: Arguments over the appropriate Crisis Standards of Care (CSC) for public health emergencies often assume that there is a tradeoff between saving the most lives, saving the most life-years, and preventing racial disparities. However, these assumptions have rarely been explored empirically. To quantitatively characterize possible ethical tradeoffs, we aimed to simulate the implementation of five proposed CSC protocols for rationing ventilators in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic.\u0000Methods: A Monte Carlo simulation was used to estimate the number of lives saved and life-years saved by implementing clinical acuity-, comorbidity- and age-based CSC protocols under different shortage conditions. This model was populated with patient data from 3707 adult admissions requiring ventilator support in a New York hospital system between April 2020 and May 2021. To estimate lives and life-years saved by each protocol, we determined survival to discharge and estimated remaining life expectancy for each admission.\u0000Results: The simulation demonstrated stronger performance for age- and comorbidity-sensitive protocols. For a capacity of 1 bed per 2 patients, ranking by age bands saves approximately 28.7 lives and 3408 life-years per thousand patients, while ranking by Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) bands saved the fewest lives (13.2) and life-years (416). For all protocols, we observed a positive correlation between lives saved and life-years saved. For all protocols except lottery and the banded SOFA, significant disparities in lives saved and life-years saved were noted between White non-Hispanic, Black non-Hispanic, and Hispanic sub-populations.\u0000Conclusion: While there is significant variance in the number of lives saved and life-years saved, we did not find a tradeoff between saving the most lives and saving the most life-years. Moreover, concerns about racial discrimination in triage protocols require thinking carefully about the tradeoff between enforcing equality of survival rates and maximizing the lives saved in each sub-population.","PeriodicalId":501386,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv - Health Policy","volume":"35 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140128750","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Factors associated with the uptake of early antenatal care visits among pregnant women in Zambia: 2007-2019 赞比亚孕妇接受早期产前检查的相关因素:2007-2019 年
Pub Date : 2024-03-09 DOI: 10.1101/2024.03.08.24303972
Wingston Felix Ng'ambi, Cosmas Zyambo, Alice Ngoma Hazemba, Adamson Sinjani Muula, Dominic Nkhoma, Twaambo Hamonga, Angel Mwiche
OBJECTIVE To describe the adoption of at least four early ANC (ANC4+) visits among women of reproductive age in Zambia between 2007 and 2019. METHODS We used Zambia Demographic and Health Survey data gathered between 2007 and 2019. Early ANC4+ was the desired result and was defined as having at least four ANC visits with the first ANC visit occurring during the first four months of pregnancy. Weighted univariate, bivariate, and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed. RESULTS A total of 11633 (56%) of the 20661 women enrolled in our study had received early initiation of ANC4+. We saw an increase in the proportion of women who started ANC4+ early, from 55% in 2007 to 63% in 2018/19. There was a decreasing trend in the odds of early ANC4+ initiation with parity, but an increasing trend in the odds of early ANC4+ initiation with a higher level of education. Being a member of a wealthier household was associated with a lower risk of ANC4+ (OR= 0.81, 95%CI: 0.66-0.99, P=0.03). 27% of the 12,333 women who had at least four ANC visits, regardless of the timing of their first visit, reported being late for ANC. CONCLUSION Early ANC4+ uptake increased in Zambia between 2007 and 2019. We found that 27% of women who were misclassified as having at least ANC4+ using conventional analysis were actually late for ANC. We provide some key considerations for ensuring that Zambia and other similar settings achieve universal antenatal care coverage by 2030.
目的 描述 2007 年至 2019 年期间赞比亚育龄妇女至少进行四次早期产前保健(ANC4+)的情况。方法 我们使用了 2007 年至 2019 年期间收集的赞比亚人口与健康调查数据。早期 ANC4+ 是预期结果,其定义为至少接受过四次 ANC 访问,且第一次 ANC 访问发生在怀孕的前四个月。进行了加权单变量、双变量和多变量逻辑回归分析。结果 在参与研究的 20661 名妇女中,共有 11633 人(56%)接受了早期 ANC4+。我们发现,早期开始 ANC4+ 的妇女比例有所上升,从 2007 年的 55% 上升到 2018/19 年的 63%。提前开始 ANC4+ 的几率随着奇偶性呈下降趋势,但随着受教育程度的提高,提前开始 ANC4+ 的几率呈上升趋势。较富裕家庭的成员与较低的 ANC4+ 风险相关(OR= 0.81,95%CI:0.66-0.99,P=0.03)。在至少接受过四次产前检查的 12,333 名妇女中,有 27% 的妇女(无论其首次产前检查的时间如何)报告说她们的产前检查迟到了。结论 2007 年至 2019 年期间,赞比亚的 ANC4+早期就诊率有所上升。我们发现,在使用传统分析方法被误认为至少接受过 ANC4+ 的妇女中,有 27% 的人实际上推迟了产前检查。我们为确保赞比亚和其他类似国家到 2030 年实现产前保健普及提供了一些重要的考虑因素。
{"title":"Factors associated with the uptake of early antenatal care visits among pregnant women in Zambia: 2007-2019","authors":"Wingston Felix Ng'ambi, Cosmas Zyambo, Alice Ngoma Hazemba, Adamson Sinjani Muula, Dominic Nkhoma, Twaambo Hamonga, Angel Mwiche","doi":"10.1101/2024.03.08.24303972","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.03.08.24303972","url":null,"abstract":"OBJECTIVE To describe the adoption of at least four early ANC (ANC4+) visits among women of reproductive age in Zambia between 2007 and 2019. METHODS We used Zambia Demographic and Health Survey data gathered between 2007 and 2019. Early ANC4+ was the desired result and was defined as having at least four ANC visits with the first ANC visit occurring during the first four months of pregnancy. Weighted univariate, bivariate, and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed. RESULTS A total of 11633 (56%) of the 20661 women enrolled in our study had received early initiation of ANC4+. We saw an increase in the proportion of women who started ANC4+ early, from 55% in 2007 to 63% in 2018/19. There was a decreasing trend in the odds of early ANC4+ initiation with parity, but an increasing trend in the odds of early ANC4+ initiation with a higher level of education. Being a member of a wealthier household was associated with a lower risk of ANC4+ (OR= 0.81, 95%CI: 0.66-0.99, P=0.03). 27% of the 12,333 women who had at least four ANC visits, regardless of the timing of their first visit, reported being late for ANC. CONCLUSION Early ANC4+ uptake increased in Zambia between 2007 and 2019. We found that 27% of women who were misclassified as having at least ANC4+ using conventional analysis were actually late for ANC. We provide some key considerations for ensuring that Zambia and other similar settings achieve universal antenatal care coverage by 2030.","PeriodicalId":501386,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv - Health Policy","volume":"30 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140075347","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The costs and cost-effectiveness of different service models of palliative care, focusing on end of life care: A rapid review 不同姑息关怀服务模式的成本和成本效益,重点是生命末期关怀:快速审查
Pub Date : 2024-03-07 DOI: 10.1101/2024.03.06.24303850
Llinos Haf Spencer, Bethany Fern Anthony, Jacob Davies, Kalpa Pisavadia, Elizabeth Gillen, Jane Noyes, Deborah Fitzsimmons, Ruth Lewis, Alison Cooper, Dyfrig Hughes, Rhiannon Tudor Edwards, Adrian Edwards
Some people receive palliative or end of life care at home, others in hospitals or hospices, or a combination of home and hospice/home and hospital models. This rapid review aims to determine the costs and cost-effectiveness of different service models of palliative care or end of life care. These studies are mostly conducted from the perspective of the healthcare system, disregarding costs related to patients/caregivers economic burden (Perea-Bello et al., 2023). Research Implications and Evidence Gaps: More UK research is needed on cost impacts of new services such as Enhanced Supported Care (ESC). Future research should consider which methods are most appropriate to evaluate palliative care models. Standard methodology, such as the calculation of quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), may not be most appropriate for this end of life population. Improving QALYs may not be the intended aim of palliative care or end of life interventions, and prolonging death may be inconsistent with patient preferences and wishes. The quality and applicability of the evidence we found in our rapid review were variable, and therefore, uncertainty remains, especially when the perspective of analysis was not stated clearly. Therefore, it was difficult to ascertain whether all relevant costs were considered. Assumptions on costs were not varied in many studies, and most studies had different time horizons. Policy and Practice Implications: This rapid review has shown that hospital-based palliative care costs are higher than hospice or home-based palliative care. This suggests that home-based palliative care should be available to all patients in a recognisable end of life phase who desire to remain and die at home. Healthcare planners should aim to reduce hospitalisation at the end of life but only if access to quality home care at the end of life is guaranteed. Patients should have a choice about where they prefer to die without moving the costs from the healthcare system to the home caregivers, rendering the costs invisible.
有些人在家中接受姑息关怀或生命末期关怀,有些人在医院或临终关怀机构接受姑息关怀或生命末期关怀,有些人则将家庭与临终关怀机构/家庭与医院模式结合起来接受姑息关怀或生命末期关怀。本快速综述旨在确定姑息关怀或生命末期关怀的不同服务模式的成本和成本效益。这些研究大多从医疗保健系统的角度出发,忽略了与患者/护理人员经济负担相关的成本(Perea-Bello 等人,2023 年)。研究意义和证据差距:英国需要对增强型支持护理(ESC)等新服务的成本影响进行更多研究。未来的研究应考虑哪些方法最适合评估姑息关怀模式。标准方法,如计算质量调整生命年(QALYs),可能并不最适合这一生命末期人群。提高 QALYs 可能并不是姑息关怀或生命末期干预的预期目标,延长死亡时间也可能不符合患者的偏好和意愿。我们在快速综述中发现的证据的质量和适用性参差不齐,因此仍存在不确定性,尤其是在分析角度没有明确说明的情况下。因此,很难确定是否考虑了所有相关成本。许多研究对成本的假设不尽相同,而且大多数研究的时间跨度不同。政策与实践意义:本次快速综述显示,医院姑息关怀的成本高于临终关怀或居家姑息关怀。这表明,居家姑息关怀应适用于所有处于生命末期、希望留在家中或在家中去世的病人。医疗保健规划者应致力于减少生命末期的住院治疗,但前提是必须保证患者在生命末期能够获得高质量的居家姑息关怀服务。病人应该可以选择自己喜欢的死亡地点,而不需要将费用从医疗系统转移到家庭护理人员身上,从而使费用无形化。
{"title":"The costs and cost-effectiveness of different service models of palliative care, focusing on end of life care: A rapid review","authors":"Llinos Haf Spencer, Bethany Fern Anthony, Jacob Davies, Kalpa Pisavadia, Elizabeth Gillen, Jane Noyes, Deborah Fitzsimmons, Ruth Lewis, Alison Cooper, Dyfrig Hughes, Rhiannon Tudor Edwards, Adrian Edwards","doi":"10.1101/2024.03.06.24303850","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.03.06.24303850","url":null,"abstract":"Some people receive palliative or end of life care at home, others in hospitals or hospices, or a combination of home and hospice/home and hospital models. This rapid review aims to determine the costs and cost-effectiveness of different service models of palliative care or end of life care. These studies are mostly conducted from the perspective of the healthcare system, disregarding costs related to patients/caregivers economic burden (Perea-Bello et al., 2023). Research Implications and Evidence Gaps: More UK research is needed on cost impacts of new services such as Enhanced Supported Care (ESC). Future research should consider which methods are most appropriate to evaluate palliative care models. Standard methodology, such as the calculation of quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), may not be most appropriate for this end of life population. Improving QALYs may not be the intended aim of palliative care or end of life interventions, and prolonging death may be inconsistent with patient preferences and wishes. The quality and applicability of the evidence we found in our rapid review were variable, and therefore, uncertainty remains, especially when the perspective of analysis was not stated clearly. Therefore, it was difficult to ascertain whether all relevant costs were considered. Assumptions on costs were not varied in many studies, and most studies had different time horizons. Policy and Practice Implications: This rapid review has shown that hospital-based palliative care costs are higher than hospice or home-based palliative care. This suggests that home-based palliative care should be available to all patients in a recognisable end of life phase who desire to remain and die at home. Healthcare planners should aim to reduce hospitalisation at the end of life but only if access to quality home care at the end of life is guaranteed. Patients should have a choice about where they prefer to die without moving the costs from the healthcare system to the home caregivers, rendering the costs invisible.","PeriodicalId":501386,"journal":{"name":"medRxiv - Health Policy","volume":"25 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140054384","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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medRxiv - Health Policy
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