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Simulating cyberattacks with extended Petri nets 用扩展 Petri 网模拟网络攻击
Pub Date : 2024-09-14 DOI: 10.1177/00375497241268752
Mikel D Petty, John A Bland, Tymaine S Whitaker, Walter Alan Cantrell, Katia P Maxwell, C Daniel Colvett, E Michael Bearss
Cybersecurity is an urgent concern. Cybersecurity simulation is an important part of the response to it. This article describes a research program consisting of several interconnected cybersecurity simulation research projects. Cyberattacks are modeled using Petri nets extended with features designed for modeling cyberattacks, including representations of the attacker’s and defender’s strategies, their actions, and their actions’ cost. A database of known attack patterns is automatically processed to generate cyberattack component models, one for each attack pattern. The models are verified and validated using multiple application-relevant methods that consider both Petri nets’ theoretical properties and cyberattacks’ practical characteristics. Because the source attack pattern database is attacker-centric, the cyberattack component models are enhanced to include defender actions and responses, as well as representations of normal user activities on the computer system being attacked. Cyberattack component models stored in a repository are selected and composed into complete models of target computer systems. Metadata associated with each model guides the selection and composition. The cyberattack models are executed to simulate cyberattacks. Multiple simulation iterations are used to train reinforcement learning algorithms that automatically learn improved attacker or defender strategies.
网络安全是一个亟待解决的问题。网络安全模拟是应对这一问题的重要组成部分。本文介绍了一个由多个相互关联的网络安全模拟研究项目组成的研究计划。网络攻击是利用 Petri 网建模的,Petri 网具有为网络攻击建模而设计的扩展功能,包括攻击者和防御者的策略、行动及其行动成本的表示。已知攻击模式数据库经自动处理后生成网络攻击组件模型,每个攻击模式一个。这些模型采用多种与应用相关的方法进行验证和确认,这些方法既考虑了 Petri 网的理论特性,也考虑了网络攻击的实际特点。由于源攻击模式数据库是以攻击者为中心的,因此网络攻击组件模型得到了增强,以包括防御者的行动和响应,以及被攻击计算机系统上正常用户活动的表示。存储在资源库中的网络攻击组件模型会被挑选出来,并组成目标计算机系统的完整模型。与每个模型相关的元数据为选择和组合提供指导。执行网络攻击模型来模拟网络攻击。多次模拟迭代用于训练强化学习算法,该算法可自动学习改进的攻击者或防御者策略。
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引用次数: 0
Special Issue: Engineering of Dependable Digital Twins 特刊:可信赖的数字孪生系统工程
Pub Date : 2024-08-31 DOI: 10.1177/00375497241269721
Claudio Gomes
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引用次数: 0
Calibration method for microscopic traffic simulation considering lane difference 考虑车道差异的微观交通模拟校准方法
Pub Date : 2024-08-17 DOI: 10.1177/00375497241268740
Huasheng Liu, Haoran Deng, Jin Li, Sha Yang, Kui Dong, Yuqi Zhao
Lane-level differences in traffic conditions on urban roads are becoming increasingly significant. To remedy this problem, this study proposes a method for the microscopic traffic simulation calibration problem that considers the complexity of traffic conditions on-road sections and the differences in operating states between lanes. A simulation model was established by collecting actual data. Calibration parameters were determined using sensitivity analysis. A calibration model was built to minimize the relative errors of the roadway efficiency and lane differential indicators. The values of these parameters were obtained using a genetic algorithm (GA). The calibration processes were automated using programming. To assess the reliability of the proposed method, we conducted five sets of comparative experiments focusing on two aspects: calibration methods and algorithm utilization. Results indicate that the proposed method significantly enhances simulation accuracy, particularly in lane-level traffic simulations. In comparison to approaches considering only section-level traffic characteristics and default application software parameters, the proposed method yielded reductions in errors by 3.7%, 5.8%, 6.6%, and 3.2% for simulating lane occupancy rate and cross-section flow. The proposed method demonstrated a simulation error of approximately 5%, while the artificial neural network method was about 7%, validating the effectiveness of the algorithms employed. It can play a crucial role in multilane traffic flow, intelligent driving tests, vehicle–road cooperation, and other related study areas.
城市道路上车道间交通状况的差异越来越大。为了解决这一问题,本研究提出了一种微观交通模拟标定问题的方法,该方法考虑了路段交通状况的复杂性和车道间运行状态的差异。通过收集实际数据建立了模拟模型。通过敏感性分析确定校准参数。建立了一个校准模型,以最小化道路效率和车道差异指标的相对误差。这些参数的值通过遗传算法(GA)获得。校准过程通过编程实现了自动化。为了评估所提方法的可靠性,我们进行了五组对比实验,重点关注两个方面:校准方法和算法利用率。结果表明,所提出的方法显著提高了仿真精度,尤其是在车道级交通仿真中。与只考虑路段级交通特征和默认应用软件参数的方法相比,所提出的方法在模拟车道占用率和横截面流量方面的误差分别减少了 3.7%、5.8%、6.6% 和 3.2%。拟议方法的模拟误差约为 5%,而人工神经网络方法的误差约为 7%,验证了所采用算法的有效性。它可以在多车道交通流、智能驾驶测试、车路协同等相关研究领域发挥重要作用。
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引用次数: 0
Serial and parallel algorithms for short time horizon multi-attribute queries on stochastic multi-agent systems 随机多代理系统中短时间跨度多属性查询的串行和并行算法
Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.1177/00375497241264815
Yenda Ramesh, MV Panduranga Rao
Statistical model checking (SMC) for the analysis of multi-agent systems has been studied in the recent past. A feature peculiar to multi-agent systems in the context of statistical model checking is that of aggregate queries–temporal logic formula that involves a large number of agents. To answer such queries through Monte Carlo sampling, the statistical approach to model checking simulates the entire agent population and evaluates the query. This makes the simulation overhead significantly higher than the query evaluation overhead. This problem becomes particularly challenging when the model checking queries involve multiple attributes of the agents. To alleviate this problem, we propose a population sampling algorithm that simulates only a subset of all the agents and scales to multiple attributes, thus making the solution generic. The population sampling approach results in increased efficiency (a gain in running time of 50%–100%) for a marginal loss in accuracy (between 1% and 5%) when compared with the exhaustive approach (which simulates the entire agent population to evaluate the query), especially for queries that involve limited time horizons. Finally, we report parallel versions of the above algorithms. We explore different strategies of core allocation, both for exhaustive simulations of all agents and the sampling approach. This yields further gains in running time, as expected. The parallel approach, when combined with the sampling idea, results in improving the efficiency (a gain in running time of 100%–150%) with a minor loss when compared with the exhaustive approach in accuracy (between 1% and 5%).
近年来,人们一直在研究用于分析多代理系统的统计模型检查(SMC)。在统计模型检查中,多代理系统的一个特点是集合查询--涉及大量代理的时态逻辑公式。要通过蒙特卡洛抽样回答这类查询,模型检查的统计方法需要模拟整个代理群体并评估查询。这使得模拟开销大大高于查询评估开销。当模型检查查询涉及代理的多个属性时,这个问题就变得尤为棘手。为了缓解这一问题,我们提出了一种群体抽样算法,该算法只模拟所有代理的一个子集,并可扩展到多个属性,从而使解决方案具有通用性。与穷举法(模拟整个代理群体来评估查询)相比,群体抽样法提高了效率(运行时间增加了 50%-100%),但准确性却略有下降(1% 到 5%),特别是对于涉及有限时间跨度的查询。最后,我们报告了上述算法的并行版本。我们探索了不同的核心分配策略,包括针对所有代理的穷举模拟和抽样方法。正如预期的那样,这将进一步缩短运行时间。并行方法与抽样方法相结合,提高了效率(运行时间增加了 100%-150%),但与穷举法相比,准确性略有下降(1%-5%)。
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引用次数: 0
Agent-based simulation of citizens’ satisfaction in smart cities 基于代理的智慧城市市民满意度模拟
Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1177/00375497241265730
Lugang Yu, Dezhi Li, Shenghua Zhou, Xiongwei Zhu
Although the citizens’ satisfaction in smart cities (CSSC) has become a vital criterion for smart cities, which symbolizes the people-centric concept, the previous research on simulating CSSC only considered the technological innovation and policy changes at the macro level, resulting in the neglect of the micro emotional contagion between citizens. To address this gap, a simulation approach is proposed to consider the influence caused by emotional contagion through the agent-based model (ABM). Supported by the expectation confirmation model (ECM) and the emotional contagion theory (ECT), the ABM simulation is implemented through the Anylogic platform, based on survey data from 19 smart cities in China. The results of various scenarios show that citizens’ expectations are the key factor affecting the CSSC, and the influence of emotional contagion cannot be ignored, especially in the acquaintance society. As social networks become more intimate, the impact of emotional contagion will turn the citizen group into an “antithetical society,” which means a situation with severe polarization of CSSC. This study also discusses the possible threshold of this transition process. Based on the analysis of multiple scenarios, it is implied that CSSC should be evaluated by considering the emotional contagion, and smart cities prioritize quality over quantity.
尽管智慧城市中的市民满意度(CSSC)已成为智慧城市的重要标准,象征着以人为本的理念,但以往关于模拟市民满意度的研究仅考虑了宏观层面的技术创新和政策变化,导致忽视了市民之间微观的情感传染。针对这一缺陷,本文提出了一种模拟方法,通过基于代理的模型(ABM)来考虑情感传染所造成的影响。在期望确认模型(ECM)和情感传染理论(ECT)的支持下,基于中国 19 个智慧城市的调查数据,通过 Anylogic 平台实现了 ABM 仿真。各种场景的结果表明,市民的期望是影响 CSSC 的关键因素,情感传染的影响也不容忽视,尤其是在熟人社会中。随着社会网络的亲密化,情感传染的影响将使公民群体变成 "对立社会",即出现严重的 CSSC 两极分化。本研究还讨论了这一转变过程的可能门槛。基于对多种情景的分析,本研究认为应通过考虑情感传染来评估 CSSC,而智慧城市则应重质不重量。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling and simulation to improve patient admission process: a case study in an educational and treatment hospital 改善病人入院流程的建模和模拟:一家教育和治疗医院的案例研究
Pub Date : 2024-08-03 DOI: 10.1177/00375497241267304
Neda Rasoli, Mohammad Sheikhalishahi
Increasing medical costs around the world and limited resources have led health decision-makers to focus on measuring and improving their performance to effectively deliver high-quality care. In such an environment, timeliness is one of the most significant attributes for service performance and patient satisfaction. As a result, decision-makers are continually looking for ways to reduce wait times, as this is the primary measure of care timeliness. In this article, the main contribution is to reduce patient waiting time during admission process and increase patient satisfaction incorporating combination of business process modeling (BPM) and discrete event simulation (DES). With the BPM notation (BPMN2.0) modeling language, the patient admission process is modeled. ARENA software has been used to simulate current (As-Is) and redesigned (To-Be) processes, and Process Analyzer is used to evaluate improvement scenarios. The process has been optimized by utilizing OptQuest to reduce waiting time. Based on the results, work in process (WIP) has been reduced by 29% and waiting time has been reduced by 6% in the optimal scenario. The root causes of long queues have been identified as redundancy in the patient admission process, a shortage of reception staff, non-value-added administrative activities, and suboptimal allocation of resources.
全球不断增长的医疗成本和有限的资源促使医疗决策者将重点放在衡量和改进其绩效上,以有效提供高质量的医疗服务。在这种环境下,及时性是影响服务绩效和患者满意度的最重要因素之一。因此,决策者一直在寻找缩短等待时间的方法,因为这是衡量医疗服务及时性的主要标准。本文的主要贡献在于结合业务流程建模(BPM)和离散事件仿真(DES),减少患者在入院过程中的等待时间,提高患者满意度。本文使用业务流程建模(BPM)符号(BPMN2.0)建模语言对病人入院流程进行建模。ARENA 软件用于模拟当前(As-Is)和重新设计(To-Be)的流程,流程分析器用于评估改进方案。利用 OptQuest 对流程进行了优化,以减少等待时间。根据结果,在最佳方案中,在制品(WIP)减少了 29%,等待时间减少了 6%。排长队的根本原因是病人入院流程中的冗余、接待人员短缺、无附加值的行政活动以及资源分配不当。
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引用次数: 0
Searching for adoption of electric vehicles to our modern life: a discrete event simulation analysis 搜索电动汽车在现代生活中的应用:离散事件模拟分析
Pub Date : 2024-08-03 DOI: 10.1177/00375497241267319
Hakan Erdeş, Saadettin Erhan Kesen
Considering a massive stride in improving decarbonization and eventually in reaching net zero emission goal, electrification has spread through all types of industries. Prominently, in the transportation sector, the shift from fossil fuel toward electric vehicles (EVs) has been intensely realized and the past several years have seen the proliferation of EVs on the roads. Although influx of EVs is a fact, the literature suffers to provide valuable insights related to full-scale adoption of EVs. This paper proposes a novel and comprehensive variant of charging infrastructure in which there are noncommercial, commercial, and contracted commercial EVs depending on the offered business model. EVs can request alternating current (AC) charging, direct current (DC) charging, and battery swapping, and these requests are fulfilled by fixed and mobile chargers. Having developed a discrete event simulation model of the problem at hand, we implement full factorial experimental design, through which impacts of several factors involving business model, service type, arrival rate of EVs, waiting threshold, and the number of mobile chargers are detected on critical measures ranging from queuing times to the rate and mean time of EVs exceeding waiting threshold and from total revenue to service rate and utilization rate of mobile chargers. Significant statistical findings along with possible explanations are discussed.
电气化是提高去碳化和最终实现净零排放目标的一大进步,已遍及各行各业。尤其是在交通领域,从化石燃料向电动汽车(EV)的转变已经得到了强烈的响应,过去几年来,电动汽车在道路上的数量激增。尽管电动汽车的涌入已是不争的事实,但相关文献却未能就电动汽车的全面采用提供有价值的见解。本文提出了一种新颖而全面的充电基础设施变体,其中有非商业、商业和合同商业电动汽车,具体取决于所提供的商业模式。电动汽车可以要求交流充电、直流充电和电池交换,这些要求由固定和移动充电器满足。在开发了手头问题的离散事件仿真模型后,我们实施了全因子实验设计,通过该设计检测了涉及商业模式、服务类型、电动汽车到达率、等待阈值和移动充电器数量的多个因素对关键指标的影响,这些指标包括排队时间、超过等待阈值的电动汽车比率和平均时间,以及总收入、服务率和移动充电器利用率。对重要的统计结果和可能的解释进行了讨论。
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引用次数: 0
Toward a systematic reporting framework for Digital Twins: a cooperative robotics case study 建立数字孪生系统报告框架:合作机器人案例研究
Pub Date : 2024-08-02 DOI: 10.1177/00375497241261406
Santiago Gil, Bentley J Oakes, Cláudio Gomes, Mirgita Frasheri, Peter G Larsen
Digital Twins (DTs) can be constructed for many different applications, leading to substantial differences between different case studies. To be able to learn from the challenges and lessons learned by other DT practitioners, it is important that experience reports be consistent to facilitate comparisons. In this paper, we merge three reference description frameworks for DTs, one generated from a systematic mapping study, one generated from an analysis of experience reports, and one from a systematic literature review, to come up with a unified characterization of DT applications. This analysis has identified six non-overlapping and three cross-cutting characteristics in the reference frameworks. This paper showcases the unified characterization with 21 characteristics to report on a DT case study called the Flex-cell, a manufacturing cell with two robotic arms used for cooperative assembly. The generalizability of this unified characterization is validated using a multi-case approach with another case study in robotics and another in the food industry. We call on the DT community to integrate these systematic reporting principles in their future DT experience reports such that other practitioners can learn from each other more effectively.
数字孪生(DT)可以为许多不同的应用而构建,导致不同案例研究之间存在很大差异。为了能够从其他 DT 实践者的挑战和经验教训中吸取教训,经验报告必须保持一致,以便于比较。在本文中,我们合并了三个 DT 的参考描述框架,一个来自系统性的绘图研究,一个来自经验报告分析,一个来自系统性的文献综述,从而得出了 DT 应用的统一特征描述。这项分析在参考框架中发现了六个非重叠特征和三个交叉特征。本文展示了包含 21 个特征的统一特征描述,并报告了一个名为 Flex-cell 的 DT 案例研究。我们采用多案例方法,通过另一个机器人案例研究和另一个食品行业案例研究,验证了这一统一特征描述的通用性。我们呼吁 DT 界在今后的 DT 经验报告中纳入这些系统报告原则,以便其他从业人员能够更有效地相互学习。
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引用次数: 0
Implementation of 802.11ax and cell-free massive MIMO scenario for 6G wireless network analysis extending OMNeT++ simulator 为 6G 无线网络分析实现 802.11ax 和无小区大规模 MIMO 场景,扩展 OMNeT++ 模拟器
Pub Date : 2024-07-27 DOI: 10.1177/00375497241266256
Vincenzo Inzillo, Alfonso Ariza Quintana
In an era where ubiquitous connectivity and escalating data demands are altering the landscape of wireless communications, our paper proposes a pioneering enhancement for the OMNeT++ simulator to support the advanced features of IEEE 802.11ax high efficiency (HE) alongside cell-free massive multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) systems. Traditional wireless networks face daunting challenges in sustaining elevated quality of service (QoS), primarily due to fluctuating user densities and signal quality. Cell-free massive MIMO serves as a compelling answer to this predicament by decentralizing the cellular architecture. It eradicates conventional cell boundaries, furnishing uniform QoS regardless of user locations. However, these advancements come at the expense of complex backhaul networks and articulated joint signal processing. The 802.11ax standard, touted for its robustness and efficiency, remains underexplored in this new paradigm. Our research not only dissects the architectural elements and constraints of both 802.11ax and cell-free massive MIMO but also elaborates on the adaptations required to extend OMNeT++ functionalities for these technologies. By doing so, we bridge a crucial gap, enabling the simulator to provide a more precise, detailed, and scalable evaluation of emerging 6G scenarios and directional communications also taking into account the impact of the most known routing protocols such as dynamic source routing (DSR), ad hoc on-demand distance vector routing (AODV), optimized link state routing (OLSR), and dynamic mobile ad hoc network on-demand (DYMO) that were selected for this comparative study. The proposed extensions promise to revolutionize network simulations and lay the foundation for in-depth analyses of wireless systems in complex and dynamic environments. Through extensive simulations, our study demonstrates that cell-free massive MIMO configurations significantly improve network throughput in high-density mobile ad hoc network (MANET) environments, with results indicating an average throughput gain of up to 30% compared with non-cell-free configurations. This improvement highlights the efficacy of cell-free massive MIMO to take advantage of the spatial and frequency multiplexing capabilities inherent in the 802.11ax standard, making it a promising solution for future wireless systems in densely populated areas.
在无处不在的连接和不断升级的数据需求正在改变无线通信格局的时代,我们的论文为 OMNeT++ 模拟器提出了一个开创性的增强功能,以支持 IEEE 802.11ax 高效(HE)以及无小区大规模多输入多输出(MIMO)系统的先进功能。传统无线网络在维持较高的服务质量(QoS)方面面临严峻挑战,主要原因是用户密度和信号质量的波动。无蜂窝大规模多输入多输出(MIMO)系统通过分散蜂窝架构,有力地解决了这一难题。它消除了传统的小区界限,无论用户位于何处,都能提供统一的服务质量。然而,这些进步是以复杂的回程网络和衔接的联合信号处理为代价的。802.11ax 标准因其稳健性和高效性而备受推崇,但在这一新模式中仍未得到充分开发。我们的研究不仅剖析了 802.11ax 和无小区大规模多输入多输出(massive MIMO)的架构要素和限制因素,还详细阐述了为这些技术扩展 OMNeT++ 功能所需的调整。通过这样做,我们弥补了一个重要的差距,使模拟器能够对新兴的 6G 场景和定向通信进行更精确、详细和可扩展的评估,同时考虑到最知名的路由协议的影响,如动态源路由(DSR)、按需特设距离矢量路由(AODV)、优化链路状态路由(OLSR)和按需动态移动特设网络(DYMO),这些都被选作本次比较研究的内容。所提出的扩展有望彻底改变网络模拟,并为深入分析复杂动态环境中的无线系统奠定基础。通过大量仿真,我们的研究表明,无蜂窝大规模多输入多输出(massive MIMO)配置可显著提高高密度移动特设网络(MANET)环境中的网络吞吐量,结果表明,与无蜂窝配置相比,平均吞吐量增益高达 30%。这一改进凸显了无蜂窝大规模多输入多输出(massive MIMO)利用 802.11ax 标准固有的空间和频率多路复用能力的功效,使其成为人口稠密地区未来无线系统的一个前景广阔的解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling and control of a novel mechatronic model of a 750 kW-FSWT with power-splitting transmission using RBF neural network: a bond graph approach 利用 RBF 神经网络对 750 kW-FSWT 功率分流传动装置的新型机电一体化模型进行建模和控制:键图方法
Pub Date : 2024-07-27 DOI: 10.1177/00375497241259509
Mohssine Karimi, M. Zekraoui, Zakaria Khaouch, S. Touairi
This work addresses issues that appear from wind turbines equipped with frequency converters and presents a new fixed-speed wind turbine (FSWT) concept based on a split power transmission, along with a Mechatronic Control Model. The wind turbine rotor drives the first transmission shaft, while a servomotor with variable speed powers the second input. The differential gear transmission output is linked to the electric grid through an asynchronous generator. To optimize the power extracted from the wind energy while minimizing excessive dynamic loads on the wind turbine, a mechatronic control model of a 750 kW-FSWT is applied using a proportional and integral controller (PI). The paper suggests employing neural networks and evolutionary algorithms for determining appropriate PI gains. For collective servomotor control of a 750 kW-FSWT, a radial basis function (RBF) neural networks based on PI controller is proposed. To acquire an optimum dataset for RBF training, the particle swarm optimization (PSO) evolutionary algorithm is harnessed. The robustness and effectiveness of the proposed model and controller are verified and confirmed through simulation results. Hands-on experience is conducted using the 20-sim software package.
本研究针对配备变频器的风力涡轮机出现的问题,提出了一种基于分体式动力传输的新型定速风力涡轮机(FSWT)概念和机电一体化控制模型。风力涡轮机转子驱动第一传动轴,而变速伺服电机则为第二输入端提供动力。差速齿轮传动装置的输出端通过异步发电机与电网相连。为了优化从风能中提取的电能,同时最大限度地减少风力涡轮机上的过大动态负载,采用比例积分控制器(PI)对 750 kW-FSWT 进行机电控制。论文建议采用神经网络和进化算法来确定适当的 PI 增益。针对 750 kW-FSWT 的伺服电机集体控制,提出了一种基于 PI 控制器的径向基函数(RBF)神经网络。为了获得用于 RBF 训练的最佳数据集,利用了粒子群优化(PSO)进化算法。仿真结果验证并确认了所提模型和控制器的鲁棒性和有效性。使用 20-sim 软件包进行了实际操作。
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引用次数: 0
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