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Marine heatwave prediction method for the South China Sea 南海海洋热浪预报方法研究
IF 2.5 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-10-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmarsys.2025.104151
Peihao Yang , Lingli Fan , Shujie Chang , Guodong Ye
Marine heat waves (MHWs) are prolonged anomalous sea temperature phenomena that affect marine ecosystems and their accurate prediction is of significance. In this study, a multivariate multi-granularity spatiotemporal graph neural network (MMS-GNN) based on a transformer is proposed. First, time series are sorted by period. The transformer is then used to capture the long-term dependency of various temporal granularities. Second, the entire marine region is divided into several subregions. The spatial dependency between different locations is then established by studying the changing trends between neighboring nodes. Third, a GNN is combined with a temporal convolutional network and employed to predict the collected information. Finally, experiments are conducted in the South China Sea using 40 years of observational data. Test results demonstrate that the proposed MMS-GNN can outperform other methods, meaning high effectiveness and flexibility of MMS-GNN for long-term MHW prediction.
海洋热浪是影响海洋生态系统的长时间海温异常现象,其准确预报具有重要意义。提出了一种基于变压器的多元多粒度时空图神经网络(MMS-GNN)。首先,时间序列按周期排序。然后使用转换器捕获各种时间粒度的长期依赖关系。第二,将整个海洋区域划分为若干子区域。然后通过研究相邻节点之间的变化趋势,建立不同位置之间的空间依赖关系。第三,将GNN与时间卷积网络相结合,对收集到的信息进行预测。最后,利用南海40年的观测资料进行了实验研究。实验结果表明,所提出的MMS-GNN方法优于其他方法,表明MMS-GNN在长期MHW预测中具有较高的有效性和灵活性。
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引用次数: 0
Suspended particulate matter and dissolved inorganic nutrients transport in a small urban shallow subtropical estuary 亚热带浅水河口小城市悬浮颗粒物和溶解无机营养物的运移
IF 2.5 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-10-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmarsys.2025.104149
Carlos A.F. Schettini , Jurandir Pereira Filho , Leonardo R. Rörig
The Biguaçu River estuary is a small system that traverses a highly urbanized area and flows into a larger estuarine system, the Baía Norte, in Santa Catarina, Brazil, thus being subject to various anthropogenic stresses. In the present study, we investigated the hydrodynamic regime of this system, assessing sedimentary and biogeochemical dynamics to evaluate the role of this system as a source or sink of materials for the adjacent coastal zone. A sampling campaign was conducted to record hydrodynamic data (water level and currents) and water properties (salinity, temperature, suspended particulate matter (SPM), dissolved oxygen, dissolved inorganic nutrients (nitrite, nitrate, ammoniacal nitrogen, and phosphate), chlorophyll-a, and phycocyanin during two complete cycles of semi-diurnal tides (25 h) under spring tide and average river discharge conditions. The results allowed us to classify the estuary as partially stratified. Based on the Richardson number diagnosis, periods of increased mixing occurred during flood tides, while stable stratification was observed during ebb tides. The variability in SPM concentration was associated with resuspension processes during flood periods, while during ebb tides, the variability was associated with advection. The residual transport of SPM was directed into the estuary. The low levels of chlorophyll-a and phycocyanin found indicate low primary productivity within the estuary, likely due to light limitation or inadequate relative nutrient ratios. The hydrodynamics of this small-scale estuary tend not to favor the establishment of planktonic communities. Additionally, the apparent high organic load related to the poor wastewater treatment in the watershed tends to favor a saprobic rather than a trophic state, limiting autotrophic activity. Nutrient variation showed that nitrate is associated with riverine origin through the estuary, but for ammoniacal nitrogen, nitrite and phosphate, processes occurring in the bay also influenced the estuary.
碧瓜帕拉苏河河口是一个小系统,它穿过一个高度城市化的地区,流入巴西圣卡塔琳娜州的一个更大的河口系统Baía Norte,因此受到各种人为压力。在本研究中,我们研究了该系统的水动力机制,评估了沉积和生物地球化学动力学,以评估该系统作为邻近海岸带物质来源或汇的作用。在两个完整的半昼夜潮汐周期(25 h)中,在大潮和平均河流流量条件下,进行了采样活动,记录了水动力数据(水位和水流)和水性质(盐度、温度、悬浮颗粒物(SPM)、溶解氧、溶解无机营养物(亚硝酸盐、硝酸盐、氨态氮和磷酸盐)、叶绿素- A和藻蓝蛋白。结果使我们能够将河口分类为部分分层。根据理查德森数诊断,涨潮时混合增加,退潮时分层稳定。SPM浓度的变化与洪水期的再悬浮过程有关,而在退潮期间,变化与平流有关。SPM的残余输运直接进入河口。低水平的叶绿素-a和藻蓝蛋白表明河口内初级生产力较低,可能是由于光照限制或相对营养比例不足。这一小规模河口的水动力倾向于不利于浮游生物群落的建立。此外,与流域污水处理不良相关的明显高有机负荷倾向于处于退化状态而不是营养状态,从而限制了自养活动。营养物变化表明,硝酸盐通过河口与河流来源有关,但氨态氮、亚硝酸盐和磷酸盐也受到海湾发生的过程的影响。
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引用次数: 0
The nutritional quality of zooplankton in the sub-antarctic Southern Ocean during late austral summer 南极夏末南大洋亚南极浮游动物的营养品质
IF 2.5 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-10-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmarsys.2025.104147
Eleonora Puccinelli , Boris Espinasse , Brian P.V. Hunt , Fabienne Le Grand , Evgeny A. Pakhomov , Frédéric Planchon , Marine Remize , Philippe Soudant
Knowledge of the trophic ecology of zooplankton is essential for evaluating their functional roles in marine food webs and nutrient cycling since they represent the link between primary producers and higher trophic levels. Here we investigated the fatty acid (FA) composition of different zooplankton size classes and selected species collected in the vicinity of the sub-Antarctic Kerguelen Islands in late austral summer 2018 as part of the MOBYDICK research project. The analysis revealed that zooplankton FA composition varied significantly across size classes and species but not among stations. Larger zooplankton (>1000 μm) generally had higher total FA (TFA) amounts per dry weight than smaller classes (22.1 ± 3.0 vs. 61.9 ± 11.8 mg g−1). Essential FAs (EFA) accounted for 40.5 ± 0.8 % of TFA, with 22:6n-3 (DHA) and 20:5n-3 (EPA) being the most prominent. Diatom trophic markers (TM) were abundant in larger zooplankton size classes, while non-diatom TM were more prevalent in smaller size classes. The FA-based nutritional quality index (NQI) of zooplankton was positively correlated with EFA and DHA, and it was higher than the NQI of phytoplankton concurrently collected, indicating that zooplankton has a better nutritional quality than primary producers. This study highlights the importance of size and species-specific dietary preferences in determining zooplankton FA profiles and the high nutritional quality of this group collected during late austral summer, which significantly contributes to our understanding of zooplankton's ecological role in sub-Antarctic pelagic food webs.
了解浮游动物的营养生态学对于评估它们在海洋食物网和营养循环中的功能作用至关重要,因为它们代表了初级生产者和更高营养水平之间的联系。作为MOBYDICK研究项目的一部分,我们研究了2018年夏末在亚南极凯尔盖伦群岛附近收集的不同浮游动物大小类别和选定物种的脂肪酸组成。分析表明,浮游动物FA组成在不同的大小类和种类之间存在显著差异,但在不同的站位之间没有显著差异。体型较大的浮游动物(>1000 μm)的总FA (TFA)含量通常高于体型较小的浮游动物(22.1±3.0 vs. 61.9±11.8 mg g - 1)。必需脂肪酸(EFA)占总脂肪酸的40.5±0.8%,其中以22:6n-3 (DHA)和20:5n-3 (EPA)最为突出。硅藻营养标记物(TM)在较大的浮游动物中丰富,而非硅藻营养标记物(TM)在较小的浮游动物中更为普遍。以fa为基础的浮游动物营养品质指数(NQI)与EFA和DHA呈正相关,且高于同期采集的浮游植物营养品质指数(NQI),说明浮游动物的营养品质优于初级生产者。这项研究强调了大小和物种特定饮食偏好在确定浮游动物FA谱和南夏末收集的这组浮游动物的高营养质量方面的重要性,这对我们理解亚南极浮游动物在远洋食物网中的生态作用有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Shoreline displacement assessment on the Pacific Coast of Colombia using numerical simulations, remote sensing and machine learning in a data-limited environment 在数据有限的环境下,利用数值模拟、遥感和机器学习对哥伦比亚太平洋沿岸的海岸线位移进行评估
IF 2.5 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-10-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmarsys.2025.104146
Andrés M. Enríquez-Hidalgo , Andrés Vargas-Luna , Marc Mestres , Jorge Escobar-Vargas , Manuel Espino Infantes , Andrés Torres
Understanding Shoreline Displacement (SLD) in data- limited coastal regions, is critical for risk-informed management. We evaluate an integrated workflow that couples wave-hydrodynamic modeling, tide-corrected CoastSat satellite shorelines, and machine learning (ML) to characterize SLD drivers in Tumaco Bay on Colombia's southern pacific coast. Using data from 2017 to 2018, various structured meshes and advection schemes are tested. A 100 m mesh with a cyclic advection scheme best reproduced mesotidal dynamics when forced with TPXO8 tidal model for boundary conditions and wind data provided by a meteorological station. Model performance evaluated against Waverys reanalysis and available observations showed good skill, supporting application where in situ data are sparse. Multidecadal (1993–2024) CoastSat shoreline positions for El Morro and El Bajito beaches indicate an overall accretional tendency but found erosion hotspots affecting densely settled and touristic sectors. Regional wave conditions feature significant wave height (Hs) of 0.3–1.1 m, peak wave period (Tp) of 4–18 s, and predominantly westward wave approach, Random Forest (RF) results identify sea level (SL) and mean wave propagation direction (Θm) as the leading contributors to observed SLD variability, whereas Hs and Tp are secondary under the area's moderate wave energy. The study demonstrates the need to monitor localized erosion despite net accretion and demonstrate that combining physics-based modeling, open satellite archives, and data-driven methods can yield policy-relevant coastal insights in data-scarce tropical estuarine environments.
了解数据有限的沿海地区的海岸线位移(SLD)对于风险知情管理至关重要。我们评估了一个集成的工作流程,结合波浪-流体动力学建模、潮汐校正的海岸卫星海岸线和机器学习(ML)来表征哥伦比亚南太平洋海岸图马科湾的SLD驱动程序。使用2017 - 2018年的数据,对各种结构化网格和平流方案进行了测试。在TPXO8潮汐模式的边界条件和气象站提供的风资料的强制作用下,一个带有循环平流方案的100米网格最好地再现了中潮动力学。根据Waverys的再分析和现有观测结果评估的模型性能显示出良好的技能,支持原位数据稀疏的应用。多年代际(1993-2024年),El Morro和El Bajito海滩的海岸线位置显示出总体的增加趋势,但发现侵蚀热点影响人口密集和旅游部门。区域波高(Hs)为0.3 ~ 1.1 m,波峰周期(Tp)为4 ~ 18 s,以西向波为主要特征,随机森林(RF)结果表明海平面(SL)和平均波传播方向(Θm)是观测到的SLD变化的主要因素,而Hs和Tp在该区域的中等波能下是次要的。该研究表明,尽管有净增生,但仍有必要监测局部侵蚀,并表明,将基于物理的建模、开放卫星档案和数据驱动的方法相结合,可以在数据稀缺的热带河口环境中产生与政策相关的沿海见解。
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引用次数: 0
A 125 years (1879–2003 CE) record of seasonal δ18O changes in a Porites lutea coral from the Lakshadweep Archipelago, southeastern Arabian Sea 阿拉伯海东南部Lakshadweep群岛一个Porites lutea珊瑚125年(1879-2003年)的季节性δ18O变化记录
IF 2.5 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-10-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmarsys.2025.104142
Waseem Raza , Syed Masood Ahmad , Santosh Kumar Beja , Chun-Yuan Huang , Chuan-Chou Shen , E.V.S.S.K. Babu
We present a high-resolution δ18O record from two cores of living massive Porites lutea, covering a time period from 1879 to 2003 CE in the southeastern Arabian Sea to understand regional climate variability. The age models were established using annual banding counts and U-Th dating technique. Results show δ18O values range from −5.45 to −4.41 ‰ and feature a monthly-resolved, decreasing δ18O trend over the entire 125 years, coinciding with a gradual increase in instrumental SST record. A marked decreasing coral-δ18O pattern was noticed for more recent years, in agreement with published coral-δ18O records from the Indian Ocean, suggesting a rapid rate of warming. The most negative δ18O (for any given year) occurs during peak summer and the least negative δ18O during peak southwest (SW) monsoon times. The seasonal δ18O amplitude lies mostly ∼0.6–0.7 ‰, indicating a combined effect of decreased sea surface temperature (SST) and increased sea surface salinity (SSS) during the SW monsoon times. Ordinary least squares linear regressions (OLS) analysis performed using the coral-δ18O and Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature (ERSST) values for three distinct time periods (1879 to 1924, 1939 to 1958 and 1988 to 2003 CE) yield the following equations: δ18O = −0.24 (±0.01) × SST (°C) + 1.9 (±0.32), δ18O = −0.29 (±0.01) × SST (°C) + 3.5 (±0.48) and δ18O = −0.25 (±0.02) × SST (°C) + 2.4 (±0.63). The coral record is characterized by a stepwise decreasing δ18O pattern and a dampening of δ18O signal during strong El-Niño Southern Oscillations years.
为了了解区域气候变化,我们对阿拉伯海东南部两个活的大质量lutea Porites的高分辨率δ18O记录进行了研究,时间跨度为1879年至2003年。使用年带计数和U-Th测年技术建立了年龄模型。结果表明,该区δ18O值在−5.45 ~−4.41‰之间,在整个125年的时间里,δ18O值呈逐月递减趋势,与仪器海温记录的逐渐升高相一致。近年来,珊瑚δ 18o显著减少,这与印度洋已发表的珊瑚δ 18o记录一致,表明变暖的速度很快。负δ18O最多的年份出现在夏季高峰时期,负δ18O最少的年份出现在西南季风高峰时期。季节δ18O幅值主要在~ 0.6 ~ 0.7‰之间,表明西南季风期海温(SST)下降和海盐(SSS)升高共同作用。利用1879 - 1924年、1939 - 1958年和1988 - 2003年三个不同时期(CE)的珊瑚δ18O和扩展重建海面温度(ERSST)值进行的普通最小二乘线性回归(OLS)分析得出以下方程:δ18O = - 0.24(±0.01)× SST(°C) + 1.9(±0.32),δ18O = - 0.29(±0.01)× SST(°C) + 3.5(±0.48)和δ18O = - 0.25(±0.02)× SST(°C) + 2.4(±0.63)。在El-Niño南方涛动强的年份,珊瑚的δ18O值呈逐渐减小的趋势,δ18O信号减弱。
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引用次数: 0
Unveiling the coastal diversity of benthic fauna of the Cantabrian Sea: Harbours and intertidal natural areas under the lens of invasive species 揭示坎塔布连海沿岸底栖动物的多样性:入侵物种镜头下的港口和潮间带自然区域
IF 2.5 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-10-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmarsys.2025.104145
Ricardo López-Alonso , Emma Shorter-Rodríguez , Esteban Pascual-Parra , Claudia González-Toral , Pablo Pereda-Bezanilla , María Díez-Muñoz , Verónica Soto-López , Deva Menéndez-Teleña , Iris Carrera-Rodríguez , Jesús Ángel García-Maza , Eduardo Cires , Andrés Arias
Biodiversity loss is one of nowadays best-known environmental problems. Biological invasions are acknowledged as one of the main causes of biodiversity loss. The globalisation phenomenon and subsequent spreading of invasive species cause damage to native ecosystems and harm the economy and health of the invaded areas. Harbours and marinas are among the main pathways that allow invasive species to enter new ranges. These anthropogenic structures provide a protected environment that allows the settlement of alien species. One of the questions that arises when dealing with this issue, is whether these invasive species can disperse and affect adjacent coastal areas. This work aims to characterise the diversity of exotic and invasive benthic fauna from four marinas of the northern Iberian Peninsula (Cantabrian Sea, Bay of Biscay) and eight neighbouring intertidal natural ecosystems, emphasising the introduction vectors. A great difference in terms of diversity was observed in each area, being more abundant in ports. In addition, according to our data, intertidal shores might be more resistant to biological invasions than harbours, which are highly degraded habitats. Most of the exotic species in ports have arrived through ballast water or biofouling, due to the high maritime traffic in the Cantabrian Sea. A total of 399 species were found. The dominant phylum was Mollusca (98 species), followed by Annelida (95 species) and Arthropoda with (88 species). According to their status, 26 species were catalogued as invasive, two as cryptogenic, six as exotic and 365 as native. Most invasive species belong to the phyla Bryozoa and Chordata. An Indicator Species Analysis identified two species indicatives of natural intertidal shores and 66 species of harbours. Additionally, PERMANOVA tests revealed significant differences in species composition among sampling sites. Information about exotic species can help increase knowledge regarding biological invasions and subsequently prevent them. It is also crucial to comprehend the biology of the species involved in order to predict their ecological and economic impacts.
生物多样性的丧失是当今最著名的环境问题之一。生物入侵被认为是生物多样性丧失的主要原因之一。全球化现象和随之而来的入侵物种的蔓延对当地生态系统造成破坏,损害被入侵地区的经济和健康。港口和码头是允许入侵物种进入新范围的主要途径。这些人为的结构为外来物种的定居提供了一个受保护的环境。在处理这个问题时出现的一个问题是,这些入侵物种是否会分散并影响邻近的沿海地区。这项工作旨在描述来自伊比利亚半岛北部四个码头(坎塔布里亚海,比斯开湾)和八个邻近的潮间带自然生态系统的外来和入侵底栖动物的多样性,强调引入媒介。在每个地区观察到的多样性差异很大,在港口更为丰富。此外,根据我们的数据,潮间带海岸可能比海港更能抵御生物入侵,海港是高度退化的栖息地。由于坎塔布连海的海上交通繁忙,港口的大多数外来物种都是通过压载水或生物污垢到达的。共发现399种。优势门为软体动物(98种),其次为环节动物(95种)和节肢动物(88种)。根据它们的现状,26种被列为入侵物种,2种为隐源物种,6种为外来物种,365种为本地物种。大多数入侵物种属于苔藓虫门和脊索动物门。指示物种分析确定了2种天然潮间带海岸指示物种和66种港口指示物种。此外,PERMANOVA测试揭示了采样地点之间物种组成的显着差异。关于外来物种的信息可以帮助增加对生物入侵的认识,从而预防它们。为了预测其生态和经济影响,了解相关物种的生物学也至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Lagrangian dispersion in the Red River plume region, Northeast Vietnam, from drifter observations and modeling 越南东北部红河羽流区域的拉格朗日色散,来自漂流观测和模拟
IF 2.5 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-10-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmarsys.2025.104143
Alexei Sentchev , Thinh Nguyen-Duc , Stefano Berti , Nadia K. Ayoub , Vu Duy Vinh
The transport and spatial distribution of materials within river plumes and neighboring waters are strongly influenced by the plume morphology and fronts bounding the plume area. Thus, identifying locations of plume fronts and assessing frontal mixing activity is particularly important for understanding the spatial distribution of biogeochemical tracers and the connectivity between source (river mouth) and offshore regions. Statistical properties of horizontal dispersion in the Red River (RR) plume region were obtained from drifter experiments, conducted in the Gulf of Tonkin during summer 2022, and also from realistic numerical modeling. Adopting a Lagrangian perspective, a method is proposed to characterize the RR plume morphology based on the extraction of Lagrangian Coherent Structures (LCS) from the surface flow field using Finite-Size Lyapunov Exponents (FSLE). Maxima of the attracting FSLE field (FSLE ridge lines) enabled us to identify zones of current convergence and shear in the flow, which are essential for characterizing the dynamics associated with plumes and mapping the fronts delimiting them. It became clear that the body of the RR plume is formed by the individual river plumes of the RR deltaic system. FSLE ridge lines allowed identification of the offshore expansion of individual plumes and revealed a variety of forms, semi-circular or hook-like filaments, characterizing the plume shape. The ballistic regime of dispersion was found inside the plume region, with the dominant direction perpendicular to the coastal flow direction revealing anisotropic shear dispersion. It was observed at scales of 0.3 to 3 km (submesoscale range), with a maximum value of 10–13 day−1, as derived from the analysis of the scale dependent relative dispersion of real drifters. In model simulations, the relative dispersion appeared scale independent in the range below 2 km, indicating a significant effect of grid resolution on the model's representation of lateral mixing.
河流羽流和邻近水域内物质的运输和空间分布受到羽流形态和包围羽流区域的锋面的强烈影响。因此,确定地幔柱锋面的位置和评估锋面混合活动对于了解生物地球化学示踪剂的空间分布以及源(河口)和近海区域之间的连通性尤为重要。通过2022年夏季在东京湾进行的漂流实验和实际数值模拟,获得了红河(RR)羽流区域水平弥散的统计特性。采用拉格朗日视角,利用有限尺寸李雅普诺夫指数(FSLE)从地表流场提取拉格朗日相干结构(LCS),提出了一种表征RR羽流形态的方法。吸引FSLE场的极大值(FSLE脊线)使我们能够识别气流中的电流辐合和切变区域,这对于表征与羽流相关的动力学和绘制划定它们的锋面是必不可少的。很明显,RR羽流体是由RR三角洲体系的单个河流羽流形成的。FSLE脊线可以识别单个羽流的近海扩张,并揭示了各种形式,半圆形或钩状细丝,表征了羽流的形状。在羽流区域内发现弹道型弥散,主要方向垂直于海岸流动方向,表现出各向异性剪切弥散。观测尺度为0.3 ~ 3 km(亚中尺度范围),最大值为10-13天−1,这是根据实际漂流者的尺度相关相对分散分析得出的。在模式模拟中,在2 km以下的范围内,相对弥散与尺度无关,表明网格分辨率对模式的横向混合表示有显著影响。
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引用次数: 0
Zooplankton seasonal variability in Arctic fjord during cold and warm events – taxonomic and trait-based approaches (Kongsfjorden, Svalbard) 北极峡湾浮游动物在寒冷和温暖事件中的季节变化——分类和基于特征的方法(斯瓦尔巴群岛kongsjorden)
IF 2.5 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmarsys.2025.104144
Marta Gluchowska , Stig Falk-Petersen , Haakon Hop , Anna Olszewska , Wojciech Walkusz , Slawomir Kwaśniewski
Kongsfjorden, located on the west coast of Spitsbergen (79°N), lies at the boundary between Arctic and Atlantic water masses, making it an ideal site for studying the influence of environmental conditions on ecosystem dynamics and offering insights applicable to other Arctic regions. In this study, we describe the seasonal succession and interannual variability of the zooplankton community in Kongsfjorden in quantitative, taxonomic, and ecological terms, as observed during years with contrasting hydrographic conditions. The analysis is based on data collected in 2002, 2006, and 2007—years characterized by pronounced environmental differences, particularly in spring, with notable variation in seawater temperature and salinity. Zooplankton samples were collected from stations within the fjord and on the adjacent shelf using vertically stratified hauls with a Hydro-Bios Multi Plankton Sampler midi (180 μm mesh). Ecologically, the zooplankton community was analyzed using four traits—body size, feeding mode, spawning strategy, and transparency—allowing classification of 115 taxa into ten functional groups. Across all seasons, zooplankton biomass was consistently dominated by non-gelatinous, medium-sized, free-spawning forms. A clear seasonal shift in functional composition was observed, from current feeders in spring to ambush feeders in autumn, reflecting changes in food availability and trophic dynamics. Trait-based patterns proved more stable than taxonomic composition and more effectively captured key aspects of zooplankton functional roles in ecosystem processes, including trophic interactions, carbon export, and pelago–benthic coupling. Although the data reflect conditions from nearly two decades ago, they represent both cold and warm hydrographic states and remain ecologically relevant. Our findings highlight the sensitivity of Arctic zooplankton communities to early-season hydrography and bloom composition, and underscore the value of trait-based approaches for detecting structural shifts and anticipating ecosystem responses under ongoing Arctic Atlantification.
kongsjorden位于斯匹次卑尔根岛西海岸(北纬79°),位于北极和大西洋水团之间的边界,是研究环境条件对生态系统动态影响的理想场所,并提供适用于其他北极地区的见解。在本研究中,我们从数量、分类和生态的角度描述了在不同水文条件下Kongsfjorden浮游动物群落的季节演替和年际变化。该分析基于2002年、2006年和2007年收集的数据,这些年份的环境差异明显,特别是在春季,海水温度和盐度变化显著。采用Hydro-Bios Multi Plankton Sampler midi (180 μm目)垂直分层运输,在峡湾内和邻近大陆架上采集浮游动物样本。生态学上,利用体型、摄食方式、产卵策略和透明度4个特征对浮游动物群落进行了分析,并将115个类群划分为10个功能类群。在所有季节,浮游动物生物量始终以非凝胶状、中等大小、自由产卵的形式为主。观察到功能组成有明显的季节变化,从春季的当前摄食者到秋季的伏击摄食者,反映了食物供应和营养动态的变化。基于性状的模式被证明比分类组成更稳定,并且更有效地捕获了浮游动物在生态系统过程中的功能角色的关键方面,包括营养相互作用、碳输出和远洋-底栖耦合。虽然这些数据反映的是近20年前的情况,但它们代表了寒冷和温暖的水文状态,并且仍然具有生态相关性。我们的研究结果强调了北极浮游动物群落对早季水文和水华组成的敏感性,并强调了基于特征的方法在正在进行的北极大西洋化中检测结构变化和预测生态系统响应的价值。
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引用次数: 0
Spatiotemporal patterns of marine heatwaves in the Southern Ocean and their role in air-sea interaction 南大洋海洋热浪的时空格局及其在海气相互作用中的作用
IF 2.5 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-09-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmarsys.2025.104141
K. Gurumoorthi, Alvarinho J. Luis
Marine heatwaves (MHWs) are extended periods of abnormally warm ocean conditions in which temperature exceeds the 90th percentile threshold limit. While prior studies have mainly focused on regional trends, the Southern Ocean, particularly around Antarctica, has been relatively understudied despite experiencing considerable warming in recent decades. This study investigates MHWs in the Southern Ocean from 1982 to 2022, highlighting significant spatial and temporal variations in their frequency, intensity, and days. MHWs were found to be more frequent (0.4 events per decade) and intense north of 65°S, especially during the summer, with a marked rise in occurrence after 2008, coinciding with anthropogenic climate change and increasing sea surface temperatures (SST). The study also identifies the influence of climate patterns such as El Niño and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) on MHWs intensity and frequency, particularly in the Ross Sea during spring and autumn. We analyzed the atmospheric impacts of significant MHWs in 2013. The 2013 MHW event serves as a key example of extreme subsurface warming, where temperatures reached 6.2 °C at 120 m depth, significantly increasing the region's heat content. This highlights how MHWs can transmit heat vertically, impacting both surface and deep ocean layers. The findings emphasize the complex interactions between ocean dynamics, and atmospheric conditions in determining MHWs patterns in the Southern Ocean, offering crucial insights for predicting the region's future responses to climate change.
海洋热浪(MHWs)是指温度超过90个百分位阈值限制的长时间异常温暖的海洋条件。虽然先前的研究主要集中在区域趋势上,但尽管近几十年来经历了相当大的变暖,但对南大洋,特别是南极洲周围的南大洋的研究相对不足。本研究调查了1982年至2022年南大洋的强震,突出了其频率、强度和天数的显著时空变化。在65°S以北,特别是夏季,强热带副热带气旋更为频繁(每10年0.4次),发生频率在2008年后显著上升,与人为气候变化和海表温度升高相一致。该研究还确定了厄尔尼诺Niño和印度洋偶极子(IOD)等气候模式对强震强度和频率的影响,特别是在春季和秋季的罗斯海。我们分析了2013年显著强震对大气的影响。2013年MHW事件是极端地下变暖的一个重要例子,在120米深处温度达到6.2°C,显著增加了该地区的热含量。这突出了MHWs如何垂直传播热量,影响海洋表层和深海层。这些发现强调了海洋动力学和大气条件之间复杂的相互作用在决定南大洋的mhw模式,为预测该地区未来对气候变化的反应提供了重要的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation and projection of Arctic sea ice transport through Fram Strait with emphasis on atmospheric multimodal responses 北极海冰通过弗拉姆海峡运输的评估和预测,重点是大气多模式响应
IF 2.5 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-09-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmarsys.2025.104139
Zhou Ye , Yu Zhang , Wenyun Guo , Changsheng Chen , Hailong Guo , Weizeng Shao , Deshuai Wang , Danya Xu , Yi Zhou
This study evaluates the historical (1988–2014) sea ice drift (SID), sea ice concentration (SIC), sea ice thickness (SIT), and associated sea ice volume transport (SIVT) from 12 CMIP6 models in Fram Strait based on multi-source reference datasets. In addition, a global ice-ocean coupled model based on the Finite Volume Community Ocean Model (Global-FVCOM), is included as a comparison. Both the simulated and reference SIVT show significant interannual variability, but inter-model spread exists. Compared to reference data, the CMIP6 models exhibit greater discrepancies than Global-FVCOM. The comprehensive assessment reveals notable performance differences among the models in simulating varying sea ice variables. Ensemble experiments, incorporating models with varying performance in simulating SIVT, demonstrate a decreasing trend in SIVT across all schemes under the SSP2–4.5 and SSP5–8.5 scenarios, with a more pronounced decline in the latter. Compared to the traditional multi-model mean scheme using all models, the scheme selecting six better-performing models through evaluation results of SIVT exhibits lower SIVT values and a slower decline. There are significant differences among the CMIP6 models regarding the dominant factors contributing to future SIVT variations. The largest number of models demonstrates a strong relationship between the dipole anomaly (DA) and sea ice transport, followed by those associated with the Arctic Oscillation (AO), while the fewest models show a significant connection to the Beaufort-Barents Oscillation (BBO). The choice of time period, whether by year or month, considerably influences the identification of dominant modes for sea ice transport.
基于多源参考数据,利用12个CMIP6模式,对福里姆海峡地区1988-2014年的海冰漂移(SID)、海冰浓度(SIC)、海冰厚度(SIT)和相关海冰体积输运(SIVT)进行了评估。此外,还采用了基于有限体积群落海洋模型(global - fvcom)的全球冰海耦合模型作为对比。模拟和参考SIVT均表现出显著的年际变化,但模式间存在差异。与参考数据相比,CMIP6模型比Global-FVCOM模型表现出更大的差异。综合评价表明,不同模式在模拟不同海冰变量方面存在显著差异。综上实验表明,在SSP2-4.5和SSP5-8.5情景下,所有方案的SIVT均呈下降趋势,其中SSP2-4.5和SSP5-8.5情景下SIVT下降更为明显。与使用所有模型的传统多模型均值方案相比,通过SIVT评价结果选择6个表现较好的模型的方案SIVT值更低,下降速度更慢。在影响未来SIVT变化的主要因素方面,CMIP6模式之间存在显著差异。最大数量的模式显示了偶极子异常(DA)和海冰运输之间的强烈关系,其次是与北极涛动(AO)相关的模式,而最少的模式显示了与波弗特-巴伦支涛动(BBO)的显著联系。时间段的选择,无论是按年还是按月,对海冰运输的主要模式的确定有很大的影响。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Marine Systems
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