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The impact of mining-induced earthquakes on mental health: Evidence from the Dutch Lifelines Cohort Study and Biobank. 采矿引起的地震对心理健康的影响:来自荷兰生命线队列研究和生物银行的证据。
IF 3.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-02-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2026.103118
Ailun Shui, Gerard J van den Berg, Jochen O Mierau, Laura Viluma

A large body of literature demonstrates that exposure to major adverse events such as natural disasters affects physical and mental health. Less is known about health consequences of long-term exposure to smaller, recurring shocks such as mining-induced earthquakes. Leveraging data from the Dutch Lifelines Cohort Study and Biobank and the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, we examine mental health effects of frequent earthquakes generated by the extraction of natural gas, which was a major source of economic revenue for the Netherlands. Long-term exposure is captured by the accumulated peak ground acceleration. We employ individual-level fixed effects models to deal with selective exposure. We find that exposure increases depression and anxiety symptoms. Our results are robust to selective migration and to varying the exposure indicator. The results support a reassessment of the societal costs of the mining of natural gas.

大量文献表明,暴露于自然灾害等重大不良事件会影响身心健康。对于长期暴露于较小的、反复发生的冲击(如采矿引起的地震)对健康的影响,人们所知甚少。利用荷兰生命线队列研究和生物库以及荷兰皇家气象研究所的数据,我们研究了天然气开采引起的频繁地震对心理健康的影响,天然气开采是荷兰经济收入的主要来源。长期暴露由累积的峰值地面加速度捕获。我们采用个体水平的固定效应模型来处理选择性暴露。我们发现,这种接触会增加抑郁和焦虑症状。我们的结果是稳健的选择性迁移和变化的暴露指标。研究结果支持对开采天然气的社会成本进行重新评估。
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引用次数: 0
Learner driving experience and motor vehicle accidents. 学习驾驶经验及机动车辆事故。
IF 3.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-02-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2026.103113
Nathan Kettlewell, Peter Siminski

Minimum supervised driving hours (MSDH) are a key component of Graduated Driver Licensing (GDL) policy. GDL has been shown to reduce motor vehicle accidents, but its optimal design is far from clear. Exploiting two discrete MSDH changes in New South Wales (the largest state in Australia), we estimate causal effects of various MSDH options, providing evidence on driver safety under different regimes. Increasing MSDH from zero to 50 h lowered the risk of a motor vehicle accident in the first year of unsupervised driving by around 23%. Further increasing the mandate to 120 h had no additional benefit.

最低监督驾驶时间(MSDH)是毕业驾驶执照(GDL)政策的关键组成部分。GDL已被证明可以减少机动车事故,但其最佳设计还远未明确。利用新南威尔士州(澳大利亚最大的州)两个离散的MSDH变化,我们估计了各种MSDH选项的因果影响,提供了不同制度下驾驶员安全的证据。将MSDH从零增加到50小时,在无人监督驾驶的第一年,机动车辆事故的风险降低了约23%。将任务期限进一步增加到120小时没有额外的好处。
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引用次数: 0
Obesity, sedentary behavior and lifestyle: A lifecycle model of eating and physical activity. 肥胖、久坐行为和生活方式:饮食和身体活动的生命周期模型。
IF 3.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-01-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2026.103114
Davide Dragone, Gustav Feichtinger, Dieter Grass, Richard F Hartl, Peter M Kort, Andrea Seidl, Stefan Wrzaczek

We propose a theoretical model to study individual lifestyle choices related to calorie intake and physical activity, depending on personal fitness and body weight. The model builds on the rational eating literature and can generate a variety of behaviors that are consistent with the empirical evidence. In particular, we show that engaging in periods of a sedentary lifestyle can be a rational, utility-maximizing decision-a finding that is not present in the existing literature but is empirically widespread. Additionally, we show the possible existence of multiple equilibria and multiple indifferent lifestyles. The former justifies policy interventions to help individuals exit a self-reinforcing, but unhealthy equilibrium; the latter provides a theoretical basis for remediation plans that compensate for earlier unhealthy behaviors.

我们提出了一个理论模型来研究个人的生活方式选择与卡路里摄入量和体力活动,取决于个人健康和体重。该模型建立在理性饮食文献的基础上,可以产生与经验证据一致的各种行为。特别是,我们表明,从事久坐不动的生活方式可以是一个理性的,效用最大化的决定——这一发现没有出现在现有的文献中,但在经验上广泛存在。此外,我们还证明了多重均衡和多重冷漠生活方式的可能存在。前者为帮助个人摆脱自我强化但不健康的平衡的政策干预提供了理由;后者为补偿早期不健康行为的补救计划提供了理论基础。
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引用次数: 0
Corrigendum to "Religious proximity and misinformation: Experimental evidence from a mobile phone-based campaign in India" [Journal of Health Economics Volume 96, June 2024, 102883]. 对“宗教接近和错误信息:来自印度移动电话运动的实验证据”的更正[卫生经济学杂志第96卷,2024年6月,102883]。
IF 3.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2026.103117
Alex Armand, Britta Augsburg, Antonella Bancalari, Kalyan Kumar Kameshwara
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引用次数: 0
Community health teams and health utilization in El Salvador 萨尔瓦多的社区保健队和保健利用
IF 3.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-01-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2026.103110
Antonella Bancalari , Pedro Bernal , Pablo Celhay , Sebastian Martinez , Maria Deni Sánchez
The overutilization of costly hospital and emergency care and the underutilization of primary care is considered a key driver of wasteful health spending. We study how a shift toward community-based primary care reshapes care patterns across levels of the health system in El Salvador. Using data on outpatient consultations and hospitalizations across 254 municipalities, we exploit the staggered introduction of community health teams (CHTs) between 2010 and 2013 using an event-study design. We find that CHTs increased preventive care, reduced curative consultations for conditions amenable to effective primary care, and lowered preventable hospitalizations. We also document improved primary-care coverage for previously unattended chronic conditions. Together, these results suggest that strengthening primary care through CHTs can meaningfully improve the organization of care and bolster health system performance.
过度使用昂贵的医院和急诊护理以及初级保健利用不足被认为是造成卫生支出浪费的一个关键因素。我们研究了向以社区为基础的初级保健的转变如何重塑萨尔瓦多各级卫生系统的护理模式。利用254个城市的门诊会诊和住院数据,我们采用事件研究设计,利用2010年至2013年间交错引入的社区卫生团队(CHTs)。我们发现,CHTs增加了预防性护理,减少了适合有效初级保健的治疗性咨询,并降低了可预防的住院率。我们还记录了以前无人照料的慢性病的初级保健覆盖率的提高。总之,这些结果表明,通过CHTs加强初级保健可以有意义地改善护理组织并提高卫生系统绩效。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of immunotherapy on reductions in cancer mortality: Evidence from Medicare. 免疫疗法对降低癌症死亡率的影响:来自医疗保险的证据。
IF 3.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-01-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2026.103115
Danea Horn, Abby Alpert, Mark Duggan, Mireille Jacobson

Immunotherapy is a breakthrough innovation in cancer care, but it is also among the most expensive treatments, with costs exceeding $150,000 per patient. We study the introduction of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs), the most widely used class of immunotherapy drugs. In 2022, ICIs accounted for 44% of the $17.5 billion Medicare Part B cancer drug spending. We focus on metastatic melanoma, the first approved indication for ICIs. While overall cancer mortality rates declined since the 1990s, melanoma mortality rates increased through the early 2010s. Following the first ICI approvals in 2011 and 2014, melanoma mortality declined sharply. Using traditional Medicare claims, we estimate the impact of the introduction of ICIs on healthcare utilization, costs, and 1-year survival for patients with metastatic melanoma, relative to metastatic colorectal cancer (CRC), where ICIs were not approved until 2017. Variation in approval timing allows us to isolate the effect of ICIs from broader cancer care trends. We find that ICIs reduced 1-year mortality by 6.2%. Since about 1 in 5 metastatic melanoma patients received ICIs, this implies a 28.0% reduction among treated patients. The introduction of ICIs also reduced chemotherapy and radiation use, but increased Medicare spending by 59.3% or about 260% among ICI-treated patients. Accounting for life expectancy gains beyond one year, the benefits of ICIs for melanoma patients appear comparable, or potentially even greater, than the substantial added Medicare costs. Nonetheless, ICI use remains relatively low given large survival benefits and few alternative treatments, suggesting that costs and other barriers limit patient access.

免疫疗法是癌症治疗领域的一项突破性创新,但它也是最昂贵的治疗方法之一,每位患者的费用超过15万美元。我们研究了免疫检查点抑制剂(ICIs)的引入,这是最广泛使用的一类免疫治疗药物。2022年,ICIs占175亿美元医疗保险B部分癌症药物支出的44%。我们专注于转移性黑色素瘤,这是第一个批准使用ICIs的适应症。虽然总体癌症死亡率自20世纪90年代以来有所下降,但黑色素瘤死亡率在2010年代初有所上升。继2011年和2014年首批ICI获批后,黑色素瘤死亡率大幅下降。使用传统的医疗保险索赔,我们估计引入ICIs对转移性黑色素瘤患者的医疗保健利用、成本和1年生存率的影响,相对于转移性结直肠癌(CRC), ICIs直到2017年才被批准。批准时间的变化使我们能够从更广泛的癌症治疗趋势中分离出ICIs的影响。我们发现ICIs使1年死亡率降低了6.2%。由于大约五分之一的转移性黑色素瘤患者接受了ICIs,这意味着接受治疗的患者减少了28.0%。ICIs的引入也减少了化疗和放疗的使用,但在接受ICIs治疗的患者中,医疗保险支出增加了59.3%,约为260%。考虑到预期寿命的增加超过一年,黑色素瘤患者使用ICIs的好处似乎与增加的医疗保险费用相当,甚至可能更大。尽管如此,ICI的使用仍然相对较低,因为有很大的生存效益和很少的替代治疗,这表明成本和其他障碍限制了患者的获得。
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引用次数: 0
Reform-induced competition: Evaluating the impact on Swiss pharmacies and total drug costs 改革引发的竞争:评估对瑞士药房和药品总成本的影响
IF 3.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-01-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2026.103111
Marc Anderes
This paper explores the effect of increased competition on pharmacies induced by a regime change in two Swiss cities allowing physicians to self-dispense drugs. By merging detailed sales and survey data at the pharmacy level, a difference-in-differences estimation shows a significant and permanent loss of market share in prescribed drug revenue and profits. The decline is driven by drugs used for acute illnesses and is less pronounced for larger pharmacies. While generic drug sales decrease significantly, the more expensive brand-name drugs remain largely unaffected. I find evidence that pharmacies respond to increased competition by diversifying toward health services. Adding administrative physician data shows that the reform caused approximately CHF 19.5M in additional drug costs per year. My results demonstrate that more competition can result in higher drug costs for society.
本文探讨了两个瑞士城市允许医生自行配药引起的药店竞争加剧的影响。通过合并药房层面的详细销售和调查数据,差中之差估计显示,处方药收入和利润的市场份额出现了重大而永久性的损失。这种下降是由用于急性病的药物驱动的,而大型药店的下降幅度则不那么明显。虽然仿制药的销量显著下降,但更昂贵的品牌药基本上没有受到影响。我发现有证据表明,药店通过向保健服务多元化来应对日益激烈的竞争。加上管理医师的数据显示,改革每年造成大约1950万瑞士法郎的额外药品费用。我的研究结果表明,竞争加剧会导致社会的药品成本上升。
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引用次数: 0
Housing affordability and domestic violence: The case of San Francisco’s rent control policies 住房负担能力和家庭暴力:旧金山房租控制政策的案例
IF 3.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-01-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2025.103101
Eilidh Geddes , Nicole Holz
Over a third of women in the United States experience intimate partner violence (IPV); existing research demonstrates that household finances are one important driver of such violence. We study the effects of rent control on IPV to develop understanding of the financial causes of IPV. Rent control may lessen financial stressors within a relationship and decrease strain that leads to violence. Conversely, it may make leaving the relationship more costly, shifting the bargaining power in the relationship and leading to more violence. We leverage the 1994 expansion of rent control in San Francisco as a natural experiment to study this question. This expansion created variation across ZIP codes in the number of rental units that were newly rent controlled. We exploit this variation in a continuous difference-in-difference design. We estimate an elasticity of -0.08 between the number of newly rent controlled units and assaults on women resulting in hospitalization. This effect translates to a nearly 10% decrease in assaults on women for the average ZIP code. This relationship is not explained by changes in neighborhood composition or overall crime, consistent with the effects being driven by individual level changes in IPV.
在美国,超过三分之一的女性遭受过亲密伴侣暴力(IPV);现有研究表明,家庭财务状况是此类暴力的一个重要驱动因素。我们研究租金管制对IPV的影响,以了解IPV的金融原因。房租管制可以减轻关系中的经济压力,减少导致暴力的压力。相反,它可能会使离开关系的代价更高,改变关系中的议价能力,导致更多的暴力。我们利用1994年旧金山扩大租金管制作为自然实验来研究这个问题。这种扩张造成了不同邮政编码的出租单位数量的变化,这些单位新近受到租金控制。我们在连续的差中差设计中利用这种变化。我们估计,新租金管制单位的数量与导致住院的对妇女的攻击之间的弹性为-0.08。这种影响意味着,在平均邮政编码范围内,对女性的攻击减少了近10%。这种关系不能用社区构成或整体犯罪的变化来解释,与IPV的个人水平变化所驱动的影响是一致的。
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引用次数: 0
What happens to population health when the doctors leave? Evidence from the exit of Cuban doctors in Brazil 当医生离开后,人们的健康会发生什么?来自古巴医生离开巴西的证据
IF 3.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-01-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2025.103099
Stefan Sliwa Ruiz , Malte Becker , Thomas Hone , Rudi Rocha
This paper studies the effects of a large-scale exit of doctors on population health outcomes, health production inputs, outputs, and health system adaptation in Brazil. Identification exploits the exogenous timing of the Cuban exit from municipalities that relied more versus less on Cuban doctors within the More Doctors Program. We find persistent reductions in the care of chronic diseases, while service utilization for conditions requiring immediate care, such as maternal-related services and infections, quickly recovered. Reductions in utilization did not translate into changes in health outcomes. Supply-side response and demand diversion helped mitigate major adverse repercussions for population health at the market level.
本文研究了医生大规模退出对巴西人口健康结果、卫生生产投入、产出和卫生系统适应的影响。身份识别利用了古巴人从更多医生计划中更多或更少依赖古巴医生的城市退出的外生时机。我们发现慢性病的治疗持续减少,而需要立即治疗的疾病,如与产妇有关的服务和感染的服务利用率迅速恢复。药物利用的减少并未转化为健康结果的变化。供应方面的应对措施和需求转移有助于在市场一级减轻对人口健康的重大不利影响。
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引用次数: 0
Accelerating birth timing to access cash transfers? Evidence from households in extreme poverty 加快生育时间以获得现金转移?来自极端贫困家庭的证据。
IF 3.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-01-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2025.103098
Pedro Carneiro , Lucy Kraftman , Imran Rasul , Francesca Salvati , Molly Scott
There has been a sustained rise in cash transfer programs to the poor, and burgeoning interest in interventions promoting early childhood development. We draw together these trends to study whether open enrolment interventions targeting cash transfers to pregnant mothers unintentionally induce those not pregnant to accelerate birth timing in order to start receiving the cash. Our study context is rural Northern Nigeria, where households have high demand for liquidity because they are reliant on volatile earnings from agriculture, are subject to frequent natural and man-made aggregate shocks, and reside in communities with imperfect credit markets. Our evidence comes from an evaluation of an intervention providing high-valued unconditional cash transfers to pregnant mothers, with four years of open enrolment. We examine how this impacts pregnancy timing among 1700 women not pregnant at baseline. We document relatively weak distortionary impacts on pregnancy timing over the four year period of open enrolment. The reasons are women retain full control over the use of cash transfers, they have productive investment opportunities in their own businesses, and they choose to invest in those rather than transfer cash to husbands. This constellation of factors allows women to internalize the marginal benefits and costs of accelerating birth timing, and place a brake on the incentives households otherwise have to accelerate birth timing. On external validity, we draw together 45 DHS surveys to classify countries into those more or less likely to see distortionary effects on birth timing from open enrolment interventions targeting cash transfers to pregnant mothers.
向穷人提供的现金转移支付项目持续增加,对促进儿童早期发展的干预措施的兴趣日益浓厚。我们将这些趋势汇总在一起,以研究针对孕妇现金转移的公开登记干预措施是否会无意中导致那些未怀孕的人为了开始接受现金而加快生育时间。我们的研究背景是尼日利亚北部农村,那里的家庭对流动性的需求很高,因为他们依赖于不稳定的农业收入,经常受到自然和人为的总冲击,并且居住在信贷市场不完善的社区。我们的证据来自对一项干预措施的评估,该干预措施向孕妇提供高价值的无条件现金转移,并进行了四年的公开登记。我们在1700名基线时未怀孕的妇女中研究了这对妊娠时间的影响。我们记录了相对较弱的扭曲影响怀孕时间在四年的开放招生期间。原因是妇女对现金转移的使用保持着完全的控制权,她们在自己的企业中有生产性投资机会,她们选择投资于这些企业,而不是将现金转移给丈夫。这一系列因素使妇女能够内化加速计划生育的边际收益和成本,并抑制家庭必须加快计划生育的激励。在外部有效性方面,我们汇集了45项国土安全部调查,将国家分类为或多或少可能看到针对孕妇现金转移的公开登记干预措施对生育时间产生扭曲效应的国家。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Health Economics
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