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Income receipt, economic activities, and health: Evidence from ambulance transport patterns
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-02-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2025.102970
Yoko Ibuka , Junya Hamaaki
Studies indicate that mortality increases after income receipt. To explore whether this is due to increased economic activity around the period of receiving income, we examine within-month patterns in ambulance transport incidents, focusing on location and timing. Using Japan’s National Pension payments made every two months, we compare the number of ambulance transport incidents on the day of pension payment and on surrounding days in payment months with those in non-payment months. The results show a 4.5% increase in ambulance transport incidents on the day of pension payment, linked to increased activities such as gambling, shopping, and dining out. We show suggestive evidence that income receipt boosts economic activities by the mechanism of easing liquidity constraints. These findings have implications for healthcare system preparedness and the optimal design of public benefit payment.
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引用次数: 0
Investigator racial diversity and clinical trial participation
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2025.102968
Marcella Alsan , Romaine A. Campbell , Lukas Leister , Ayotomiwa Ojo
We investigate whether increased racial diversity of clinical trial principal investigators could increase the enrollment of Black patients, which currently lags population and disease-burden. We conducted a survey experiment in which respondents were shown a photo of a current NIH investigator in which race (Black/White) was randomized. Sex was also randomized as a relevant benchmark. Black respondents reported 0.35 standard deviation units higher interest in participating in a clinical study led by a race concordant investigator (a 12.6% increase). Sex concordance had no effect. Further analyses indicate that perceived trustworthiness and attractiveness are the most important factors explaining these results.
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引用次数: 0
The effect of smoking cessation on mental health: Evidence from a randomized trial
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2025.102969
Katherine Meckel , Katherine Rittenhouse
One in nine Americans smokes cigarettes, and a disproportionate share of smokers suffer from mental illness. Despite this correlation, there exists little rigorous evidence on the effects of smoking cessation on mental health. We re-use data from a randomized trial of a smoking cessation treatment to estimate short and long-term impacts on previously un-analyzed measures of mental distress. We find that smoking cessation increases short-run mental distress, while reducing milder forms of long-run distress. We provide suggestive evidence on mechanisms including physical health, marriage, employment and substance use. Our results suggest that cessation efforts and mental health supports are complementary interventions in the short run and provide new evidence of welfare gains from cessation in the long run.
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引用次数: 0
Intensive care supply and admission decisions
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2025.102967
Seth Freedman , Lauren Hoehn-Velasco , Diana R. Jolles
Over 2005–2019, the number of neonatal intensive care units (NICUs) grew by 10%, and the number of NICU beds increased by 30%. This expansion in intensive care has raised concerns over unwarranted intensive care admissions. In this study, we examine whether the greater supply of NICUs causally raises admission rates. Our event-study results show that an additional NICU opening in a county raises the share of newborns admitted to the NICU by 8%. The majority of new NICU admissions come from healthier newborns (2,500 grams and over) rather than very premature newborns (<1,500 grams). Admission for the smallest newborns (those under 1,500 grams) only increases in counties with limited NICU access. In these areas, greater NICU supply also reduces mortality, but only for very small newborns (<1,500 grams). Together, our findings suggest a tradeoff, where higher NICU supply reduces neonatal mortality for the most vulnerable infants while also raising admission for healthier newborns.
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引用次数: 0
Driving under the influence of allergies: the effect of seasonal pollen on traffic fatalities 过敏影响下的驾驶:季节性花粉对交通事故死亡的影响。
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2024.102945
Shooshan Danagoulian , Monica Deza
Traffic fatalities are the leading cause of mortality in the United States despite being preventable. While several policies have been introduced to improve traffic safety and their effects have been well documented, the role of transitory health shocks or situational factors at explaining variations in fatal traffic accidents has been understudied. Exploring daily variation in city-specific pollen counts, this study finds novel evidence that traffic fatalities increase on days in which the local pollen count is particularly high. We find that the effects are present in accidents involving private vehicles and occur most frequently on the weekends, suggesting potentially the missed opportunity to avoid these fatalities. We do not find similar effects for fleet vehicles. These findings remain robust to alternative specifications and alternative definitions of high pollen count. Taken together, this study finds evidence that a prevalent and transitory exogenous health-shock, namely pollen allergies, increases traffic fatalities. Given our lack of evidence of avoidance, these effects are not mechanical and are likely driven by cognitive impairments that arise as a result of seasonal allergies.
尽管交通事故是可以预防的,但它仍然是美国人死亡的主要原因。虽然已经采取了若干政策来改善交通安全,其影响也有充分的记录,但暂时的健康冲击或情境因素在解释致命交通事故变化方面的作用尚未得到充分研究。在探索城市特定花粉数量的日常变化时,这项研究发现了新的证据,即在当地花粉数量特别高的日子里,交通死亡人数会增加。我们发现,这种影响在涉及私家车的事故中存在,而且最常发生在周末,这表明可能错过了避免这些死亡的机会。我们在车队中没有发现类似的效果。这些发现对于高花粉计数的其他规格和其他定义仍然是可靠的。综上所述,本研究发现了一种普遍而短暂的外源性健康冲击,即花粉过敏,会增加交通死亡人数的证据。鉴于我们缺乏回避的证据,这些影响不是机械的,很可能是由季节性过敏引起的认知障碍造成的。
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引用次数: 0
Moral hazard and risk adjustment 道德风险和风险调整。
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2024.102955
Gijsbert Zwart
We analyse a model of optimal risk adjustment in competitive health-insurance markets which suffer from both ex-ante adverse selection and ex-post moral hazard. We find, firstly, that, unlike in an adverse-selection-only market, in an environment where also moral hazard is important, removing insurers’ selection incentives requires risk-adjustment payments that do not fully equalize costs among consumer types. Current practice of attempting to correct for all predictable cost differences among consumers is then misguided. Secondly, if the sponsor of the risk-adjustment system is not only concerned with eliminating selection distortions, but also wants to redistribute towards high-risk consumers, the required higher risk-adjustment payments will introduce selection distortions in high-risk consumers’ contracts. This leads to excessive equilibrium provision of care for those suffering severe health shocks. Finally, insurer market power creates countervailing incentives, helping the risk adjuster to combat selection distortions but working against a risk-adjustment regulation that also cares about redistribution.
本文分析了竞争性医疗保险市场中存在事前逆向选择和事后道德风险的最优风险调整模型。首先,我们发现,与只有逆向选择的市场不同,在道德风险也很重要的环境中,取消保险公司的选择激励需要风险调整支付,这并不能完全平衡消费者类型之间的成本。目前试图纠正消费者之间所有可预测的成本差异的做法是错误的。其次,如果风险调整制度的发起者不仅关心消除选择扭曲,而且希望向高风险消费者进行再分配,那么所需的较高风险调整支付将在高风险消费者的合同中引入选择扭曲。这导致向遭受严重健康冲击的人提供过度均衡的护理。最后,保险公司的市场力量创造了抵消性激励,帮助风险调整者对抗选择扭曲,但与同样关心再分配的风险调整监管背道而驰。
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引用次数: 0
Triage at shift changes and distortions in the perception and treatment of emergency patients 分诊在轮班变化和扭曲的感知和治疗的紧急病人。
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2024.102944
Simone Ferro , Chiara Serra
Employing more than 2 million emergency department (ED) records, we combine machine learning and regression discontinuity to document novel distortions in triage nurses’ assessments of patients’ conditions and investigate the short- and medium-term consequences for patients. We show that triage nurses progressively become more lenient during their shifts, and identical ED patients arriving just after a shift change are thus assigned a lower priority. We show that these patients receive lower levels of care and require additional emergency care afterward. We conclude that distortions in nurses’ initial assessments of urgency bias’ medical staff’s perceptions.
我们利用超过200万份急诊科(ED)记录,将机器学习和回归不连续相结合,记录了分诊护士对患者病情评估中的新扭曲,并调查了对患者的短期和中期后果。我们表明,分诊护士在轮班期间逐渐变得更加宽松,相同的急诊科患者在换班后到达,因此被分配较低的优先级。我们表明,这些患者接受较低水平的护理,并需要额外的紧急护理。我们得出的结论是,护士对紧急情况的初步评估扭曲了医务人员的看法。
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引用次数: 0
Ridesharing and substance use disorder treatment 拼车和药物使用障碍治疗。
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2024.102941
Conor Lennon , Johanna Catherine Maclean , Keith Teltser
We examine whether ridesharing provides a meaningful transportation alternative for those who require ongoing healthcare. Specifically, we combine variation in UberX entry across the U.S. with the Treatment Episode Data Set to estimate the effect of ridesharing on admissions to substance use disorder treatment. People needing such treatment report transportation as a barrier to receiving care. We find that UberX entry into a Core Based Statistical Area has no effect on the overall number of treatment admissions. However, we find a decline in non-intensive outpatient treatment which is fully offset by an increase in intensive outpatient treatment. Given the required relative frequency of non-intensive and intensive outpatient treatment in terms of visits per week, our findings indicate that UberX helps to reduce transportation barriers to accessing healthcare. Event-studies show parallel trends in outcomes before UberX entry and results are robust to numerous sensitivity checks.
我们研究拼车是否为那些需要持续医疗保健的人提供了一种有意义的交通选择。具体来说,我们将全美UberX入境的变化与治疗事件数据集相结合,以估计拼车对药物使用障碍治疗入院的影响。需要这种治疗的人报告说,运输是接受治疗的障碍。我们发现UberX进入基于核心的统计区域对治疗入院的总人数没有影响。然而,我们发现非强化门诊治疗的下降完全抵消了强化门诊治疗的增加。考虑到每周非重症门诊和重症门诊所需的相对频率,我们的研究结果表明,UberX有助于减少就医的交通障碍。事件研究表明,在UberX进入之前,结果呈平行趋势,并且结果对许多敏感性检查都是稳健的。
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引用次数: 0
Biological age and predicting future health care utilisation 生物年龄和预测未来的医疗保健利用。
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2024.102956
Apostolos Davillas , Andrew M. Jones
We explore the role of epigenetic biological age in predicting subsequent health care utilisation. We use longitudinal data from the UK Understanding Society panel, capitalising on the availability of baseline epigenetic biological age measures along with data on general practitioner (GP) consultations, outpatient (OP) visits, and hospital inpatient (IP) care collected 5–12 years from baseline. Using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analyses and accounting for participants’ pre-existing health conditions, baseline biological underlying health, and socio-economic predictors we find that biological age is selected as a predictor of future GP consultations and IP care, while chronological rather than biological age is selected for future OP visits. Post-selection prediction analysis and Shapley-Shorrocks decompositions, comparing our preferred prediction models to models that replace biological age with chronological age, suggest that biological ageing has a stronger role in the models predicting future IP care as opposed to “gatekeeping” GP consultations.
我们探讨了表观遗传生物年龄在预测后续医疗保健使用方面的作用。我们使用了英国 "了解社会 "小组的纵向数据,利用从基线开始 5-12 年收集的基线表观遗传生物年龄测量数据以及全科医生(GP)咨询、门诊(OP)就诊和医院住院(IP)护理数据。通过使用最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)回归分析,并考虑到参与者之前的健康状况、基线生物学基础健康状况和社会经济预测因素,我们发现生物年龄被选为未来全科医生咨询和 IP 护理的预测因子,而未来门诊就诊的预测因子是年代年龄而非生物年龄。通过选择后预测分析和 Shapley-Shorrocks 分解,将我们首选的预测模型与用纪年年龄替代生物年龄的模型进行比较,结果表明,在预测未来 IP 护理的模型中,生物年龄的作用比全科医生会诊的 "把关 "作用更大。
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引用次数: 0
The light of life: The effects of sunlight on suicide 生命之光:阳光对自杀的影响。
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2024.102947
Shinsuke Tanaka , Tetsuya Matsubayashi
This study examines the causal effects of sunlight exposure on suicide rates. Leveraging county-month-year data on solar insolation and suicide rates in the U.S. from 1979 to 2004, we provide first robust evidence that insufficient sunlight increases suicide rates. We also find that insufficient sunlight increases Google searches containing depressive language, suggesting a potential adverse impact on mental well-being. Importantly, our findings favor a biological pathway over alternative mechanisms. The estimated effect of sunlight on suicide, often exceeding other interventions in magnitude, sheds new light on sunlight as a significant risk factor in suicide incidence.
这项研究调查了阳光照射对自杀率的因果影响。利用1979年至2004年美国各县日照和自杀率的月-年数据,我们首次提供了强有力的证据,证明日照不足会增加自杀率。我们还发现,日照不足会增加含有抑郁语言的谷歌搜索量,这表明对心理健康有潜在的不利影响。重要的是,我们的研究结果支持生物途径而不是其他机制。据估计,阳光对自杀的影响在程度上往往超过其他干预措施,这为阳光作为自杀发生率的重要风险因素提供了新的视角。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Health Economics
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