Pub Date : 2025-10-07DOI: 10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.202598
Yong Yi Tan, Sara Tasnim, Mohammad Fahmy Bin Fadzil, Xin Rong Ng, Sabrina Kw Wong, Jo-Anne Elizabeth Manski-Nankervis, Joseph Jao-Yiu Sung, Joanne Ngeow
Introduction: Risk-based screening (RBS) has emerged as a promising alternative to age-based cancer screening. However, evidence regarding real-world implementation outcomes remains fragmented. Thus, a systematic review was conducted to evaluate the implementation metho-dologies and outcomes of RBS programmes across different cancer types.
Methods: MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, Web of Science, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials and Scopus were systematically searched from their respective dates of inception up to 8 July 2024. Prospective and rando-mised controlled trials (RCTs), which implement the RBS of cancer in an asymptomatic population, or studies retrospectively evaluating the outcomes of the same were included. Geographic distribution, population characteristics, RBS methodology, diagnostic accuracy and clinical outcomes were narratively synthesised.
Results: Among the 33 included studies (i.e. 21 prospective cohort, 8 RCTs, 3 retrospective and 1 non-RCT), sample sizes ranged from 102 to 1,429,890 participants. Most RBS trials were conducted in China (n=7, 21.2%), followed by the Netherlands (n=4, 12.1%) then the US, Australia and Sweden (n=3, 9.8%). Studies predominantly examined colorectal (27.3%), breast (21.2%) and prostate cancer (18.2%). Three main stratification approaches emerged: algorithmic (48.5%), validated risk models (39.4%) and physician assessment (9.1%). Implementation outcomes showed higher uptake in moderate-risk (75.4%) compared to high-risk (71.3%) and low-risk groups (67.9%). Five studies demonstrated cost-effectiveness with increased quality-adjusted life years, while 12 studies showed superior or non-inferior cancer detection rates compared to traditional screening.
Conclusion: The RBS of cancer has the potential to optimise healthcare resource allocation while minimising harm and increasing receptiveness for patients. More work is needed to evaluate long-term outcomes prior to the scaling of RBS programmes.
基于风险的筛查(RBS)已经成为基于年龄的癌症筛查的一个有希望的替代方案。然而,关于实际实施结果的证据仍然不完整。因此,进行了一项系统综述,以评估不同癌症类型的RBS计划的实施方法和结果。方法:系统检索MEDLINE、Embase、CINAHL、Web of Science、Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials和Scopus,检索时间从各自的成立日期至2024年7月8日。纳入前瞻性和随机对照试验(rct),这些试验在无症状人群中实施癌症的RBS,或回顾性评估其结果的研究。对地理分布、人群特征、RBS方法学、诊断准确性和临床结果进行叙述综合。结果:纳入的33项研究(21项前瞻性队列研究、8项随机对照试验、3项回顾性研究和1项非随机对照试验)中,样本量为102 ~ 1429890名受试者。大多数RBS试验在中国进行(n=7, 21.2%),其次是荷兰(n=4, 12.1%),然后是美国、澳大利亚和瑞典(n=3, 9.8%)。研究主要检查结直肠癌(27.3%)、乳腺癌(21.2%)和前列腺癌(18.2%)。出现了三种主要的分层方法:算法(48.5%)、验证风险模型(39.4%)和医生评估(9.1%)。实施结果显示,与高危组(71.3%)和低危组(67.9%)相比,中度风险组(75.4%)的吸收率更高。5项研究证明了提高质量调整生命年的成本效益,而12项研究表明与传统筛查相比,癌症检出率更高或更高。结论:癌症RBS有可能优化医疗资源配置,同时将危害最小化,提高患者的接受度。在扩大苏格兰皇家银行项目规模之前,需要做更多的工作来评估长期结果。
{"title":"Risk-based screening programmes for cancer diagnosis: A systematic review with narrative synthesis.","authors":"Yong Yi Tan, Sara Tasnim, Mohammad Fahmy Bin Fadzil, Xin Rong Ng, Sabrina Kw Wong, Jo-Anne Elizabeth Manski-Nankervis, Joseph Jao-Yiu Sung, Joanne Ngeow","doi":"10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.202598","DOIUrl":"10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.202598","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>Risk-based screening (RBS) has emerged as a promising alternative to age-based cancer screening. However, evidence regarding real-world implementation outcomes remains fragmented. Thus, a systematic review was conducted to evaluate the implementation metho-dologies and outcomes of RBS programmes across different cancer types.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, Web of Science, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials and Scopus were systematically searched from their respective dates of inception up to 8 July 2024. Prospective and rando-mised controlled trials (RCTs), which implement the RBS of cancer in an asymptomatic population, or studies retrospectively evaluating the outcomes of the same were included. Geographic distribution, population characteristics, RBS methodology, diagnostic accuracy and clinical outcomes were narratively synthesised.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Among the 33 included studies (i.e. 21 prospective cohort, 8 RCTs, 3 retrospective and 1 non-RCT), sample sizes ranged from 102 to 1,429,890 participants. Most RBS trials were conducted in China (n=7, 21.2%), followed by the Netherlands (n=4, 12.1%) then the US, Australia and Sweden (n=3, 9.8%). Studies predominantly examined colorectal (27.3%), breast (21.2%) and prostate cancer (18.2%). Three main stratification approaches emerged: algorithmic (48.5%), validated risk models (39.4%) and physician assessment (9.1%). Implementation outcomes showed higher uptake in moderate-risk (75.4%) compared to high-risk (71.3%) and low-risk groups (67.9%). Five studies demonstrated cost-effectiveness with increased quality-adjusted life years, while 12 studies showed superior or non-inferior cancer detection rates compared to traditional screening.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The RBS of cancer has the potential to optimise healthcare resource allocation while minimising harm and increasing receptiveness for patients. More work is needed to evaluate long-term outcomes prior to the scaling of RBS programmes.</p>","PeriodicalId":502093,"journal":{"name":"Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore","volume":"54 10","pages":"644-663"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-10-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145461153","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-10-02DOI: 10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.2025182
Sharavan Sadasiv Mucheli, Minyang Chow, Michelle Jong
{"title":"\"Making better clinical decisions: How doctors can recognise and reduce bias and noise in medical practice\": Correspondence.","authors":"Sharavan Sadasiv Mucheli, Minyang Chow, Michelle Jong","doi":"10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.2025182","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.2025182","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":502093,"journal":{"name":"Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore","volume":"54 11","pages":"745-747"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-10-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145795562","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-10-01DOI: 10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.2025189
Darius Lim Xiang Wen, Thirumoorthy Thamotharampillai
{"title":"When is it ethically defensible for a medical practitioner to deviate from clinical practice guidelines?","authors":"Darius Lim Xiang Wen, Thirumoorthy Thamotharampillai","doi":"10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.2025189","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.2025189","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":502093,"journal":{"name":"Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore","volume":"54 10","pages":"664-667"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145461182","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-10-01DOI: 10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.202530
Mona P Tan
{"title":"Medicolegal implications of advice for surgical treatment of breast cancer.","authors":"Mona P Tan","doi":"10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.202530","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.202530","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":502093,"journal":{"name":"Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore","volume":"54 10","pages":"674-675"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145461092","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-09-30DOI: 10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.2025140
Shaun Kai Kiat Chua, Noah Tian Run Lim, Anna Hien Anh Tran, Liang Shen, Choon Chiet Hong, Joel Yong Hao Tan, Mark Edward Puhaindran, Jonathan Jiong Hao Tan
{"title":"Prognostic factors and outcomes of extremity necrotising fasciitis in Singapore.","authors":"Shaun Kai Kiat Chua, Noah Tian Run Lim, Anna Hien Anh Tran, Liang Shen, Choon Chiet Hong, Joel Yong Hao Tan, Mark Edward Puhaindran, Jonathan Jiong Hao Tan","doi":"10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.2025140","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.2025140","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":502093,"journal":{"name":"Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore","volume":"54 10","pages":"679-681"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145461121","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-09-25DOI: 10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.202532
Sanjay de Mel, Allison Cy Tso, Cinnie Y Soekojo, Melissa G Ooi, Chi Ching Lim, Constance Teo, Yun Xin Chen, Melinda Tan, Aditi Manjeri, Zhao Yuan Lee, Daryl Tan, Liang King Lee, Ling Cao, Yeow Tee Goh, Chandramouli Nagarajan, Wee Joo Chng
{"title":"Singapore Myeloma Study Group consensus guidelines for the management of patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma.","authors":"Sanjay de Mel, Allison Cy Tso, Cinnie Y Soekojo, Melissa G Ooi, Chi Ching Lim, Constance Teo, Yun Xin Chen, Melinda Tan, Aditi Manjeri, Zhao Yuan Lee, Daryl Tan, Liang King Lee, Ling Cao, Yeow Tee Goh, Chandramouli Nagarajan, Wee Joo Chng","doi":"10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.202532","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.202532","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":502093,"journal":{"name":"Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore","volume":"54 9","pages":"561-584"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145240630","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-09-24DOI: 10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.2025257
Gerald Gui Ren Sng, Joshua Yi Min Tung, Jia Long Chua
{"title":"The junior doctor experience in Singapore through a temporal prism.","authors":"Gerald Gui Ren Sng, Joshua Yi Min Tung, Jia Long Chua","doi":"10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.2025257","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.2025257","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":502093,"journal":{"name":"Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore","volume":"54 9","pages":"521-523"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145240705","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-09-23DOI: 10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.2025262
Charmaine Si Min Sia, Jia Neng Tan, Emmett Tsz Yeung Wong
{"title":"Gazing into the crystal ball of mortality prediction in conservative kidney care.","authors":"Charmaine Si Min Sia, Jia Neng Tan, Emmett Tsz Yeung Wong","doi":"10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.2025262","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.2025262","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":502093,"journal":{"name":"Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore","volume":"54 9","pages":"518-520"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145240625","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-09-23DOI: 10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.202594
Caitlin Alsandria O'Hara, Nur Haidah Ahmad Kamal, En Ci Isaac Ong, De Wei Isaac Chung, Siew Ngan Faith Lim, Malcolm Ravindran Mahadevan
Introduction: Despite efforts to improve junior doctors' working conditions, burnout, distress and disillusionment persist, with implications for patient outcomes. This qualitative study analysed factors shaping the lived experiences of junior doctors in Singapore and their changes over time, thereby seeking to inform improvements to working conditions.
Method: Thirty purposively sampled respondents who were junior doctors in Singapore between 1975 and 2022 were interviewed. Respondents were grouped into 3 cohorts: (1) junior, (2) middle and (3) senior. Employing the framework method of qualitative analysis, open coding was performed with reference to the individual, interpersonal, institutional, community and policy levels of the socioecological model (SEM). Four themes emerged: (1) inherent challenges of junior doctorship, (2) exacerbating factors, (3) alleviating factors and (4) responses of junior doctors to their experiences. Codes were reconstructed into a modified SEM, demonstrating trickle-down effects of interpersonal or structural forces on the individual doctor and pertinent factors evolving with time.
Results: Across cohorts, respondents echoed mental and physical challenges. While senior cohort doctors recounted higher patient-to-doctor ratios and longer working hours, junior cohort doctors cited new difficulties. These include a hostile medicolegal landscape, patients' increasingly complex needs and expectations, and higher administrative loads. Amid these difficulties, alleviating factors included good workplace relationships alongside institutional interventions. Doctors responded differently to their challenges. Some externalised difficulties through expression and advocacy; others internalised them, whether into fulfilment or distress.
Conclusion: While some facets of junior doctorship have improved with time, new challenges that warrant consideration are emerging. Junior doctors should be centred, listened to and empowered in shaping improvements to working conditions.
{"title":"In my time: A qualitative exploration of the junior doctor experience in Singapore over the years.","authors":"Caitlin Alsandria O'Hara, Nur Haidah Ahmad Kamal, En Ci Isaac Ong, De Wei Isaac Chung, Siew Ngan Faith Lim, Malcolm Ravindran Mahadevan","doi":"10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.202594","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.202594","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>Despite efforts to improve junior doctors' working conditions, burnout, distress and disillusionment persist, with implications for patient outcomes. This qualitative study analysed factors shaping the lived experiences of junior doctors in Singapore and their changes over time, thereby seeking to inform improvements to working conditions.</p><p><strong>Method: </strong>Thirty purposively sampled respondents who were junior doctors in Singapore between 1975 and 2022 were interviewed. Respondents were grouped into 3 cohorts: (1) junior, (2) middle and (3) senior. Employing the framework method of qualitative analysis, open coding was performed with reference to the individual, interpersonal, institutional, community and policy levels of the socioecological model (SEM). Four themes emerged: (1) inherent challenges of junior doctorship, (2) exacerbating factors, (3) alleviating factors and (4) responses of junior doctors to their experiences. Codes were reconstructed into a modified SEM, demonstrating trickle-down effects of interpersonal or structural forces on the individual doctor and pertinent factors evolving with time.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Across cohorts, respondents echoed mental and physical challenges. While senior cohort doctors recounted higher patient-to-doctor ratios and longer working hours, junior cohort doctors cited new difficulties. These include a hostile medicolegal landscape, patients' increasingly complex needs and expectations, and higher administrative loads. Amid these difficulties, alleviating factors included good workplace relationships alongside institutional interventions. Doctors responded differently to their challenges. Some externalised difficulties through expression and advocacy; others internalised them, whether into fulfilment or distress.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>While some facets of junior doctorship have improved with time, new challenges that warrant consideration are emerging. Junior doctors should be centred, listened to and empowered in shaping improvements to working conditions.</p>","PeriodicalId":502093,"journal":{"name":"Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore","volume":"54 9","pages":"542-560"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145240658","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-09-15DOI: 10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.2025168
Swee Ping Teh, Boon Cheok Lai, Ivan Wei Zhen Lee, Shashidhar Baikunje, Sye Nee Tan, Lee Ying Yeoh
Introduction: Conservative kidney management (CKM) is a recognised treatment option for selected patients with chronic kidney disease stage 5 (CKD G5), but prognostic indicators for mortality and optimal timing for palliative care transition remain uncertain.
Method: This is a single-centre, prospective cohort study of CKD G5 patients who opted for CKM, conducted between April 2021 and September 2024, with longitudinal monitoring of Edmonton Symptom Assessment System Revised: Renal; Palliative Perfor-mance Scale (PPS); Resources Utilisation Group.Activities of Daily Living (RUG-ADL) scale; Clinical Frailty Score; Karnofsky Performance Score; and clinical and laboratory data. Primary outcomes included identifying baseline mortality predictors and validating the PPS for survival estimation. Cox proportional hazards models were used to identify independent predictors of mortality.
Results: Among 109 patients (mean age 79.8±7.3 years, 64.2% female), 62 (56.9%) died during follow-up. Multivariate analysis identified baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (hazard ratio [HR] 1.32, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.08.1.68, P<0.01) and serum albumin (HR 1.24, 95% CI 1.08.1.43, P<0.01) as predictors of 1-year mortality. Median survival varied by eGFR: 3.0 months (95% CI 0.6.2) for eGFR .5 mL/min/1.73 m2, 13.0 months (95% CI 9.1.16.9) for eGFR 6.10 mL/ min/1.73 m2, and 20.0 months (95% CI 16.5.23.5) for eGFR >10 mL/min/1.73 m2 (P<0.01). Subsequent PPS correlated strongly with survival, with median survival of 1.8 months for PPS <50, 5.3 months for PPS 50.60, and 7.9 months for PPS 70.80 (P=0.03).
Conclusion: Baseline eGFR and serum albumin predict 1-year mortality in CKM patients. PPS offers a practical tool for identifying patients requiring palliative care transition, supporting personalised care pathways and timely integration of palliative care.
保守肾管理(CKM)是选定的慢性肾病5期(CKD G5)患者公认的治疗选择,但死亡率的预后指标和姑息治疗过渡的最佳时机仍然不确定。方法:这是一项针对选择CKM的CKD G5患者的单中心前瞻性队列研究,于2021年4月至2024年9月进行,纵向监测埃德蒙顿症状评估系统修订:肾;姑息治疗表现量表(PPS);资源利用组。日常生活活动(RUG-ADL)量表;临床虚弱评分;卡诺夫斯基表演分数;以及临床和实验室数据。主要结果包括确定基线死亡率预测因子和验证PPS用于生存估计。Cox比例风险模型用于确定死亡率的独立预测因子。结果:109例患者(平均年龄79.8±7.3岁,女性占64.2%),随访期间死亡62例(56.9%)。多因素分析确定基线估计肾小球滤过率(eGFR)(风险比[HR] 1.32, 95%可信区间[CI] 1.08.1.68, P2, eGFR 6.10 mL/min/1.73 m2时13.0个月(95% CI 9.1.16.9), eGFR 10 mL/min/1.73 m2时20.0个月(95% CI 16.5.23.5)。结论:基线eGFR和血清白蛋白预测CKM患者1年死亡率。PPS提供了一个实用的工具,用于识别需要姑息治疗过渡的患者,支持个性化护理途径和及时整合姑息治疗。
{"title":"Surviving the year: Predictors of mortality in conservative kidney management.","authors":"Swee Ping Teh, Boon Cheok Lai, Ivan Wei Zhen Lee, Shashidhar Baikunje, Sye Nee Tan, Lee Ying Yeoh","doi":"10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.2025168","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.47102/annals-acadmedsg.2025168","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>Conservative kidney management (CKM) is a recognised treatment option for selected patients with chronic kidney disease stage 5 (CKD G5), but prognostic indicators for mortality and optimal timing for palliative care transition remain uncertain.</p><p><strong>Method: </strong>This is a single-centre, prospective cohort study of CKD G5 patients who opted for CKM, conducted between April 2021 and September 2024, with longitudinal monitoring of Edmonton Symptom Assessment System Revised: Renal; Palliative Perfor-mance Scale (PPS); Resources Utilisation Group.Activities of Daily Living (RUG-ADL) scale; Clinical Frailty Score; Karnofsky Performance Score; and clinical and laboratory data. Primary outcomes included identifying baseline mortality predictors and validating the PPS for survival estimation. Cox proportional hazards models were used to identify independent predictors of mortality.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Among 109 patients (mean age 79.8±7.3 years, 64.2% female), 62 (56.9%) died during follow-up. Multivariate analysis identified baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (hazard ratio [HR] 1.32, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.08.1.68, P<0.01) and serum albumin (HR 1.24, 95% CI 1.08.1.43, P<0.01) as predictors of 1-year mortality. Median survival varied by eGFR: 3.0 months (95% CI 0.6.2) for eGFR .5 mL/min/1.73 m<sup>2</sup>, 13.0 months (95% CI 9.1.16.9) for eGFR 6.10 mL/ min/1.73 m<sup>2</sup>, and 20.0 months (95% CI 16.5.23.5) for eGFR >10 mL/min/1.73 m<sup>2</sup> (P<0.01). Subsequent PPS correlated strongly with survival, with median survival of 1.8 months for PPS <50, 5.3 months for PPS 50.60, and 7.9 months for PPS 70.80 (P=0.03).</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Baseline eGFR and serum albumin predict 1-year mortality in CKM patients. PPS offers a practical tool for identifying patients requiring palliative care transition, supporting personalised care pathways and timely integration of palliative care.</p>","PeriodicalId":502093,"journal":{"name":"Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore","volume":"54 9","pages":"524-530"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145240677","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}