The Tunka Fault, a major active structure in the southwestern Baikal Rift system, poses a significant seismic hazard, yet its paleoseismic history remains poorly constrained. We present new paleoseismic data from trenches across its eastern Tory segment, constrained with morphotectonic analysis and radiocarbon dating. Our results reveal two Holocene earthquakes, corresponding to the E2 and E3 events identified in previous studies along the Mondy, Tunka, and Main Sayan faults. These three faults have been interpreted as having produced seismic clusters at least four times in the Late Pleistocene-Holocene times. Our radiocarbon data allow constraining more tightly the ages of the E2 and E3 events to 3170–3399 and 8453–8540 cal yr BP, respectively. Morphotectonic analysis of the Tory site, together with published data along the adjacent section of the Tunka Fault, showed that the average amplitude of displacement per event along the slip vector was 2.1 m, corresponding to a magnitude of Mw 7.3. In some cases, all fault segments seem to have ruptured simultaneously over a length of 200 km, while in others cases, only segments striking E-W and NW-SE directions ruptured with a reverse slip component. Fault segments with normal slip component ruptured with a delay, but with a similar recurrence interval. These results highlight the potential for multi-fault ruptures in the Baikal region and challenge existing seismic hazard models. Our study provides critical input for revising probabilistic seismic hazard assessments and underscores the need to consider fault interaction in tectonic settings with complex block boundaries.
扫码关注我们
求助内容:
应助结果提醒方式:
