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Friendshoring in global food supply chains 全球食品供应链中的友谊互助
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-01-03 DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbae031
Savin Khadka, Munisamy Gopinath, Feras A Batarseh
In the last decade, climate change, Covid-19, and several international conflicts have created significant disruptions to global and regional supply chains, leading to a re-evaluation of the benefits of globalisation. Modelling food trade as network graphs, this study spotlights the effects of these shocks, on the structure, flow and evolution of food supply chains. Network centrality measures show substantial changes in the influence exerted by China, Russia, and the United States, among others. Using machine learning, community detection and global metrics such as clustering further detail the structural changes in the trade network. Differences between systemic and idiosyncratic shocks are also discussed.
在过去十年中,气候变化、2019冠状病毒病和几次国际冲突对全球和区域供应链造成了严重破坏,导致人们重新评估全球化的好处。本研究将食品贸易建模为网络图,重点关注这些冲击对食品供应链结构、流动和演变的影响。网络中心性测量显示,中国、俄罗斯和美国等国施加的影响发生了实质性变化。使用机器学习、社区检测和全局指标(如聚类)进一步详细说明贸易网络中的结构变化。本文还讨论了系统性冲击和特殊冲击之间的差异。
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引用次数: 0
What moves farmland markets: decomposing the price surge in eastern Germany 是什么推动了农田市场:分解德国东部的价格飙升
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-12-28 DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbae029
Tim Hainbach, Silke Hüttel, Axel Werwatz
Farmland prices have been surging worldwide; yet little is known about the particular strong surges in the upper quantiles of price distribution. We investigate by quantile how the composition of the farmland sales and agents’ valuation of land characteristics contribute to these price developments. Using farmland transactions from Brandenburg, Germany, we decompose the price surges between 2008–09 and 2017–18 by combining unconditional quantile regressions with propensity score reweighting. Our results show an increased valuation of land characteristics, e.g. soil quality, and their responsibility for about 25% of the price surges in the upper (>75%) quantiles of price distribution.
全球农地价格一直在飙升;然而,对于价格分布中较高的分位数的特别强劲的飙升,人们知之甚少。我们通过分位数研究了农地销售的组成和代理人对土地特征的估值如何影响这些价格的发展。我们以德国勃兰登堡的农田交易为例,结合无条件分位数回归和倾向得分重新加权,对2008-09年至2017-18年间的价格上涨进行了分解。我们的研究结果显示,土地特征(如土壤质量)的价值增加了,它们对价格分布中较高(>75%)分位数的价格飙升负有大约25%的责任。
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引用次数: 0
What is the value of agrobiodiversity in southern Europe? 南欧农业生物多样性的价值是什么?
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-12-28 DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbae035
Lea Nicita, Robert Mendelsohn
This study explores how agrobiodiversity at both local and regional scales impacts farmland value across five Mediterranean countries in the EU. Previous literature has primarily addressed on-farm biodiversity and its effects on productivity and risk mitigation, yet the potential externalities of agrobiodiversity across neighboring farms remain underexplored. Using a cross-sectional Ricardian approach, we estimate the effects of agrobiodiversity, measured in terms of both crop richness and evenness, on long-term agricultural productivity. Our findings show significant non-linear relationships and substitution effects between local and regional agrobiodiversity, underscoring the need for regionally tailored biodiversity policies.
本研究探讨了地方和区域尺度上的农业生物多样性如何影响欧盟五个地中海国家的农田价值。以前的文献主要讨论了农场生物多样性及其对生产力和风险缓解的影响,但邻近农场农业生物多样性的潜在外部性仍未得到充分探讨。利用横断面李嘉图方法,我们估计了农业生物多样性对长期农业生产力的影响,以作物丰富度和均匀度来衡量。我们的研究结果表明,地方和区域农业生物多样性之间存在显著的非线性关系和替代效应,强调需要制定因地制宜的生物多样性政策。
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引用次数: 0
Market experience and agricultural technology adoption: the role of risk aversion and locus of control 市场经验与农业技术采用:风险规避和控制点的作用
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-12-17 DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbae033
Halefom Yigzaw Nigus, Pierre Mohnen, Eleonora Nillesen
This study examines the relationship between market experience and the adoption of risky but profitable agricultural technologies and explores the role of demand-side barriers. Using survey and incentivized experimental data, we find that market experience is significantly associated with increased adoption of improved agricultural technologies. Furthermore, we find that market experience is linked to reduced risk aversion and a stronger internal locus of control, which, in turn, are associated with higher technology adoption. Our findings imply that policies aimed at increasing farmers’ investment in improved agricultural technologies benefit not only from providing access to these technologies but also from addressing psychological barriers.
本研究探讨了市场经验与采用有风险但有利可图的农业技术之间的关系,并探讨了需求方障碍的作用。利用调查和激励实验数据,我们发现市场经验与采用改良农业技术的增加显著相关。此外,我们还发现,市场经验与风险规避程度的降低和内部控制力的增强有关,而这反过来又与技术采用率的提高有关。我们的研究结果表明,旨在增加农民对改良农业技术投资的政策不仅可以从提供获得这些技术的途径中获益,还可以从解决心理障碍中获益。
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引用次数: 0
Leading-by-example and the voluntary provision of public goods in rural areas: Experimental evidence from China 以身作则与农村公共产品自愿提供:来自中国的实验证据
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-12-05 DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbae036
Ziming Liu, Zetian Wang, Jing Zhang, Shuyi Feng, Yuxin Zhu, Jens Rommel
Comparing randomly selected and real-world political leaders, this paper investigates the effect of leading-by-example on voluntary contributions in a linear contribution mechanism public goods game experiment with 550 residents in rural China. This setting provides a unique social structure, shaping people’s responses to leadership. We find that leading-by-example set by political leaders and randomly selected leaders increases participants’ contribution by 1.432 and 1.162 Chinese Yuan, which is an increase of approximately 22 and 18 per cent of average contributions in the control group. The difference in the effects of leading-by-example set by political leaders and randomly selected leaders is small and statistically insignificant. Contributions under the leading-by-example treatments are driven by increased contributions from leaders and mimicking behaviour of followers, although following political leaders is weaker. Our findings highlight the crucial role of leading-by-example and strong village-level institutions in the provision of public goods.
通过比较随机选择的政治领导人和现实生活中的政治领导人,对550名中国农村居民进行线性贡献机制公共产品博弈实验,考察了以身作则对自愿捐赠的影响。这种环境提供了一种独特的社会结构,塑造了人们对领导的反应。我们发现,政治领导人和随机选择的领导人树立的榜样使参与者的捐款增加了1.432元和1.162元人民币,这比对照组的平均捐款增加了大约22%和18%。政治领导人和随机选择的领导人在以身作则的效果上的差异很小,在统计上不显著。在以身作则的治疗下,贡献是由领导者的贡献增加和追随者的模仿行为驱动的,尽管追随政治领导人的能力较弱。我们的研究结果强调了以身作则和强有力的村级机构在提供公共产品方面的关键作用。
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引用次数: 0
Agribusiness innovation, value chain interventions, farmer input use, agricultural productivity, land access and asset ownership 农业综合企业创新、价值链干预、农民投入物使用、农业生产率、土地获取和资产所有权
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-11-28 DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbae027
Mulubrhan Amare, Helder Zavale, Jenny Smart
This study evaluated the implications of the Innovation for Agribusiness (InovAgro) value chain interventions (VCIs) on farmers’ input use, market information access and land access. We used a spatial identification strategy to classify farmers as beneficiary or non-beneficiary farmers. The study used a FFs DiD analysis on a matched sample using the three-wave panel data. Our findings show that InovAgro VCIs have a positive and significant effect on beneficiary farmers’ use of yield-boosting agricultural inputs, productivity and access to agricultural market information. Our findings also show that simultaneous exposure to all three VCIs under the complete package had a positive effect on overall farmer assets.
本研究评估了农业综合企业创新价值链干预(vci)对农民投入物使用、市场信息获取和土地获取的影响。我们使用空间识别策略将农民划分为受益农民和非受益农民。该研究使用三波面板数据对匹配样本进行了FFs DiD分析。我们的研究结果表明,InovAgro vci对受益农民使用增产农业投入物、提高生产力和获取农业市场信息具有显著的正向影响。我们的研究结果还表明,在完整的一揽子计划下,同时暴露于所有三种vci对农民的整体资产有积极的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Everything under control: comparing machine learning and classical econometric impact assessment methods using FADN data 一切尽在掌握:利用 FADN 数据比较机器学习和传统计量经济学影响评估方法
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-11-25 DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbae034
P L Brignoli, Y de Mey, C Gardebroek
Machine learning (ML) methods have been proposed to improve the assessment of agricultural policies through enhanced causal inference. This study uses a simulation framework tailored to Farm Accountancy Data Network (FADN) data to scrutinize the performance of both ML and classical methods under diverse causal properties crucial for identification. Our findings reveal significant variations in performance across different treatment assignment rules, sample sizes and causal properties. Notably, the Causal Forest method consistently outperforms others in retrieving the causal effect and accurately characterizing its heterogeneity. However, the data-driven approach of ML methods proves ineffective in selecting the correct set of controls and addressing latent confounding.
已经提出了机器学习(ML)方法,通过增强因果推理来改进农业政策的评估。本研究使用为农场会计数据网络(FADN)数据量身定制的模拟框架,仔细检查ML和经典方法在各种因果属性下的性能,这些属性对于识别至关重要。我们的研究结果显示,在不同的处理分配规则、样本量和因果性质中,绩效存在显著差异。值得注意的是,因果森林方法在检索因果效应和准确表征其异质性方面始终优于其他方法。然而,ML方法的数据驱动方法在选择正确的控制集和处理潜在混淆方面被证明是无效的。
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引用次数: 0
Spillover effects from agglomeration in seafood exports 海产品出口集聚的溢出效应
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-11-20 DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbae028
Frank Asche, Ursula Landazuri-Tveteraas, Atle Oglend, Nita Santika, Hans-Martin Straume
Agglomeration externality is a feature that has received limited attention in food production supply chains. Using highly disaggregated trade data, this paper investigates the presence of regional agglomeration effects in Norwegian seafood exports. Results indicate strong agglomeration effects in the exports of both farmed and harvested seafood at the region–product–destination level. Regional agglomeration of exporters affects the firms through different margins. In both industries, increased agglomeration results in larger volumes, while aquaculture exporters experience a small, negative, price effect. The largest firms, both in the number of employees and size of product portfolio, export most. We also document that agglomeration is important in explaining the creation of new regional product-destination-specific trade relationships, indicating the presence of regional spillover effects.
集聚外部性是食品生产供应链中受到关注有限的一个特征。本文利用高度分类的贸易数据,研究了挪威海产品出口中是否存在区域集聚效应。结果表明,在地区-产品-目的地层面上,养殖海产品和捕捞海产品的出口都存在强烈的集聚效应。出口商的区域聚集通过不同的利润率对企业产生影响。在这两个行业中,集聚程度的提高会带来更大的出口量,而水产养殖出口商则会受到较小的负面价格影响。无论是从雇员人数还是从产品组合规模来看,规模最大的企业出口量最大。我们还发现,集聚对于解释新的区域产品-目的地贸易关系的建立非常重要,这表明存在区域溢出效应。
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引用次数: 0
Productivity and growth decomposition: a novel single-index smooth-coefficient stochastic frontier approach 生产力与增长分解:一种新颖的单一指数平稳系数随机前沿方法
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-11-18 DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbae024
Kai Sun, Subal C Kumbhakar, Gudbrand Lien
Our paper investigates productivity, output growth and total factor productivity (TFP) growth using a novel single-index smooth-coefficient stochastic frontier approach and two firm-level datasets respectively from the high technology (high-tech) manufacturing and Knowledge Intensive Business Services (KIBS) sectors in Norway. The approach considers input productivity and technical inefficiency to be flexible functions of production environmental variables indexed with unknown parameters for more precise estimation of marginal effects of these variables on the frontier and inefficiency. Output growth is decomposed into technical change (TC), input-driven component (IDC) and efficiency change (EC), while TFP growth is decomposed into TC, scale component and EC. The primary objective is to (i) maximise output through the frontier and efficiency channels and (ii) enhance productivity growth through such channels as technical progress and efficiency improvement, specifically tailored for the manufacturing and services industries. The empirical results reveal substantial heterogeneity in technology across firms. Overall speaking, geographical industrial concentration, export intensity and urbanisation positively influence output in both sectors. Technical progress contributes to TFP growth in both sectors; however, TC is biased towards capital in the high-tech sector and driven by labour in the KIBS sector. In addition to TC, TFP growth in the high-tech and KIBS sectors also benefits from EC and IDC, respectively.
我们的论文采用一种新颖的单指数平滑系数随机前沿方法和两个企业级数据集,分别从挪威的高科技制造业和知识密集型商业服务业(KIBS)部门对生产率、产出增长和全要素生产率(TFP)增长进行了研究。该方法将投入生产率和技术低效率视为生产环境变量的灵活函数,并用未知参数进行索引,以更精确地估计这些变量对前沿和低效率的边际效应。产出增长分解为技术变化(TC)、投入驱动成分(IDC)和效率变化(EC),而全要素生产率增长分解为技术变化、规模成分和效率变化。主要目标是:(i) 通过前沿和效率渠道实现产出最大化;(ii) 通过技术进步和效率改进等渠道提高生产率增长,特别是针对制造业和服务业。实证结果表明,企业间的技术存在很大的异质性。总体而言,地理上的产业集中度、出口密集度和城市化对这两个行业的产出都有积极影响。技术进步促进了这两个行业的全要素生产率增长;然而,在高科技行业,技术进步偏向于资本,而在知识、创新和服务行业,技术进步则由劳动力驱动。除技术进步外,高科技部门和 KIBS 部门的全要素生产率增长还分别受益于 EC 和 IDC。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial analysis of production technology, productivity and innovation 生产技术、生产力和创新的空间分析
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-11-11 DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbae030
Fikru K Alemayehu, Subal C Kumbhakar
This study employs a state-of-the-art econometric methodology to investigate the relationship between firm productivity and innovation, considering the spatial heterogeneity of firms and locations. It examines significant variations in productivity and production technologies among firms and locations within Norwegian food and beverage (F&B) manufacturing. Analysing data from 336 firms over 12 years, our findings indicate that geographical location influences production processes, productivity and productivity persistence. This research contributes to existing knowledge by emphasising the influence of spatial heterogeneity on productivity and innovation in the F&B industry. It also recommends integrating geographical variations into regional development policies and firm-level strategies.
本研究采用最先进的计量经济学方法,在考虑企业和地区的空间异质性的情况下,研究了企业生产率与创新之间的关系。它考察了挪威食品和饮料(F&;B)制造业中各公司和地点在生产率和生产技术方面的重大差异。通过对336家企业12年的数据分析,我们发现地理位置影响生产过程、生产率和生产率持久性。本研究通过强调空间异质性对餐饮行业生产率和创新的影响,为现有知识做出了贡献。它还建议将地域差异纳入区域发展政策和公司一级战略。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
European Review of Agricultural Economics
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