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Market experience and agricultural technology adoption: the role of risk aversion and locus of control
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-12-17 DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbae033
Halefom Yigzaw Nigus, Pierre Mohnen, Eleonora Nillesen
This study examines the relationship between market experience and the adoption of risky but profitable agricultural technologies and explores the role of demand-side barriers. Using survey and incentivized experimental data, we find that market experience is significantly associated with increased adoption of improved agricultural technologies. Furthermore, we find that market experience is linked to reduced risk aversion and a stronger internal locus of control, which, in turn, are associated with higher technology adoption. Our findings imply that policies aimed at increasing farmers’ investment in improved agricultural technologies benefit not only from providing access to these technologies but also from addressing psychological barriers.
本研究探讨了市场经验与采用有风险但有利可图的农业技术之间的关系,并探讨了需求方障碍的作用。利用调查和激励实验数据,我们发现市场经验与采用改良农业技术的增加显著相关。此外,我们还发现,市场经验与风险规避程度的降低和内部控制力的增强有关,而这反过来又与技术采用率的提高有关。我们的研究结果表明,旨在增加农民对改良农业技术投资的政策不仅可以从提供获得这些技术的途径中获益,还可以从解决心理障碍中获益。
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引用次数: 0
Agribusiness innovation, value chain interventions, farmer input use, agricultural productivity, land access and asset ownership
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-11-28 DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbae027
Mulubrhan Amare, Helder Zavale, Jenny Smart
This study evaluated the implications of the Innovation for Agribusiness (InovAgro) value chain interventions (VCIs) on farmers’ input use, market information access and land access. We used a spatial identification strategy to classify farmers as beneficiary or non-beneficiary farmers. The study used a FFs DiD analysis on a matched sample using the three-wave panel data. Our findings show that InovAgro VCIs have a positive and significant effect on beneficiary farmers’ use of yield-boosting agricultural inputs, productivity and access to agricultural market information. Our findings also show that simultaneous exposure to all three VCIs under the complete package had a positive effect on overall farmer assets.
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引用次数: 0
Spillover effects from agglomeration in seafood exports 海产品出口集聚的溢出效应
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-11-20 DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbae028
Frank Asche, Ursula Landazuri-Tveteraas, Atle Oglend, Nita Santika, Hans-Martin Straume
Agglomeration externality is a feature that has received limited attention in food production supply chains. Using highly disaggregated trade data, this paper investigates the presence of regional agglomeration effects in Norwegian seafood exports. Results indicate strong agglomeration effects in the exports of both farmed and harvested seafood at the region–product–destination level. Regional agglomeration of exporters affects the firms through different margins. In both industries, increased agglomeration results in larger volumes, while aquaculture exporters experience a small, negative, price effect. The largest firms, both in the number of employees and size of product portfolio, export most. We also document that agglomeration is important in explaining the creation of new regional product-destination-specific trade relationships, indicating the presence of regional spillover effects.
集聚外部性是食品生产供应链中受到关注有限的一个特征。本文利用高度分类的贸易数据,研究了挪威海产品出口中是否存在区域集聚效应。结果表明,在地区-产品-目的地层面上,养殖海产品和捕捞海产品的出口都存在强烈的集聚效应。出口商的区域聚集通过不同的利润率对企业产生影响。在这两个行业中,集聚程度的提高会带来更大的出口量,而水产养殖出口商则会受到较小的负面价格影响。无论是从雇员人数还是从产品组合规模来看,规模最大的企业出口量最大。我们还发现,集聚对于解释新的区域产品-目的地贸易关系的建立非常重要,这表明存在区域溢出效应。
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引用次数: 0
Productivity and growth decomposition: a novel single-index smooth-coefficient stochastic frontier approach 生产力与增长分解:一种新颖的单一指数平稳系数随机前沿方法
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-11-18 DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbae024
Kai Sun, Subal C Kumbhakar, Gudbrand Lien
Our paper investigates productivity, output growth and total factor productivity (TFP) growth using a novel single-index smooth-coefficient stochastic frontier approach and two firm-level datasets respectively from the high technology (high-tech) manufacturing and Knowledge Intensive Business Services (KIBS) sectors in Norway. The approach considers input productivity and technical inefficiency to be flexible functions of production environmental variables indexed with unknown parameters for more precise estimation of marginal effects of these variables on the frontier and inefficiency. Output growth is decomposed into technical change (TC), input-driven component (IDC) and efficiency change (EC), while TFP growth is decomposed into TC, scale component and EC. The primary objective is to (i) maximise output through the frontier and efficiency channels and (ii) enhance productivity growth through such channels as technical progress and efficiency improvement, specifically tailored for the manufacturing and services industries. The empirical results reveal substantial heterogeneity in technology across firms. Overall speaking, geographical industrial concentration, export intensity and urbanisation positively influence output in both sectors. Technical progress contributes to TFP growth in both sectors; however, TC is biased towards capital in the high-tech sector and driven by labour in the KIBS sector. In addition to TC, TFP growth in the high-tech and KIBS sectors also benefits from EC and IDC, respectively.
我们的论文采用一种新颖的单指数平滑系数随机前沿方法和两个企业级数据集,分别从挪威的高科技制造业和知识密集型商业服务业(KIBS)部门对生产率、产出增长和全要素生产率(TFP)增长进行了研究。该方法将投入生产率和技术低效率视为生产环境变量的灵活函数,并用未知参数进行索引,以更精确地估计这些变量对前沿和低效率的边际效应。产出增长分解为技术变化(TC)、投入驱动成分(IDC)和效率变化(EC),而全要素生产率增长分解为技术变化、规模成分和效率变化。主要目标是:(i) 通过前沿和效率渠道实现产出最大化;(ii) 通过技术进步和效率改进等渠道提高生产率增长,特别是针对制造业和服务业。实证结果表明,企业间的技术存在很大的异质性。总体而言,地理上的产业集中度、出口密集度和城市化对这两个行业的产出都有积极影响。技术进步促进了这两个行业的全要素生产率增长;然而,在高科技行业,技术进步偏向于资本,而在知识、创新和服务行业,技术进步则由劳动力驱动。除技术进步外,高科技部门和 KIBS 部门的全要素生产率增长还分别受益于 EC 和 IDC。
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引用次数: 0
Move out of the land: certification and migration in China 走出土地:中国的认证与移民
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-11-08 DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbae021
Bingyu Huangfu, Xuwen Gao, Xinjie Shi, Songqing Jin
Motivated by the emphasis on securing property rights as an important tool for the efficient allocation of resources, including land and labour, we use three rounds of China Rural Household Panel Survey data to assess the impact of a land certification programme (LCP) on the labour and land allocation in rural China. We find that the LCP results in increased rural–urban migration, more active land rental markets, as well as higher household income and consumption in rural China. These effects vary with age and are larger for younger individuals and households with heads aged 50 years or younger. Improving property rights could be a central task for the Chinese government to tackle issues related to labour and land misallocation.
在强调保障产权是有效配置资源(包括土地和劳动力)的重要工具的背景下,我们利用三轮中国农村住户面板调查数据,评估了土地确权项目(LCP)对中国农村劳动力和土地配置的影响。我们发现,土地确权项目增加了农村人口向城市的迁移,提高了土地租赁市场的活跃程度,并增加了中国农村的家庭收入和消费。这些影响因年龄而异,对年轻人和户主年龄在 50 岁或以下的家庭影响更大。中国政府应将改善产权作为解决劳动力和土地配置不当问题的核心任务。
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引用次数: 0
Can survey design reduce anchoring bias in recall data? Evidence from smallholder farmers in Malawi 调查设计能否减少回忆数据中的锚定偏差?来自马拉维小农的证据
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-11-06 DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbae026
Susan Godlonton, Manuel A Hernandez, Cynthia Paz
Recall biases in retrospective self-reported survey data have important implications for empirical research. We leverage the survey design literature and test three strategies to attenuate mental anchoring in retrospective data collection: question ordering, retrieval cues and aggregate (community) anchoring. We focus on maize production and happiness reports among smallholder farmers in Malawi. Asking for retrospective before concurrent data on average reduces recall bias (i.e. the deviation of the recalled versus the concurrent outcome reported in the previous period) by 34 per cent for maize production, a meaningful improvement with no increase in data collection costs. Retrieval cues are less successful and community anchors can exacerbate the bias. None of the strategies help to ease the recall bias for happiness reports.
回顾性自我报告调查数据中的回忆偏差对实证研究具有重要影响。我们利用调查设计文献,测试了在回顾性数据收集中减弱心理锚定的三种策略:问题排序、检索线索和总体(社区)锚定。我们将重点放在马拉维小农的玉米生产和幸福感报告上。在玉米产量方面,先询问回顾数据再询问同期数据平均可减少 34% 的回顾偏差(即回顾结果与上一期报告的同期结果的偏差),在不增加数据收集成本的情况下实现了有意义的改进。检索线索的成功率较低,社区锚会加剧偏差。所有策略都无助于缓解幸福感报告的回忆偏差。
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引用次数: 0
Do non-farmers pay more for land than farmers? 非农民是否比农民支付更多的土地费用?
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-10-15 DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbae023
Lorenz Schmidt, Martin Odening, Matthias Ritter
The increase in farmland prices in many parts of the world over the past decade has sparked discussions about whether non-farmers pay higher prices for farmland. This study uses a causal machine learning approach with a rich data set of land transactions in Germany to quantify the potential price premium paid by non-farmers. By applying the causal forest method, we uncover the heterogeneity of price premiums and reveal moderating effects of covariates. We find that the average positive price premium by non-farmers decreases with parcel size and distance to a highway exit.
过去十年间,世界上许多地方的农田价格上涨,引发了关于非农人口是否为农田支付了更高价格的讨论。本研究利用因果机器学习方法和德国丰富的土地交易数据集,量化了非农者支付的潜在溢价。通过应用因果森林方法,我们发现了价格溢价的异质性,并揭示了协变量的调节作用。我们发现,非农者的平均正溢价随着地块大小和距离高速公路出口的远近而减少。
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引用次数: 0
Drought shocks and labour reallocation in rural Africa: evidence from Ethiopia 非洲农村地区的干旱冲击和劳动力重新分配:来自埃塞俄比亚的证据
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbae020
Arnold L Musungu, Zaneta Kubik, Matin Qaim
We study how rural households in Ethiopia adapt to droughts through labour reallocation. Using three waves of panel data and exploiting spatio-temporal variations in drought exposure, we find that households reduce on-farm work and increase off-farm self-employment in response to both short-term and persistent droughts, without abandoning family farming. Diversification into off-farm activities is driven by drought-related productivity declines in agriculture and contributes to consumption smoothing and food security. Households with better access to financial services are more likely to reallocate labour off-farm. Our results highlight the importance of strengthening the rural non-farm economy to enhance rural households’ climate resilience.
我们研究了埃塞俄比亚农村家庭如何通过劳动力重新分配来适应干旱。我们使用三波面板数据并利用干旱风险的时空变化,发现家庭在应对短期和持续干旱时会减少农场工作,增加农场外的自营职业,但不会放弃家庭农业。与干旱相关的农业生产率下降推动了非农业活动的多样化,并促进了消费平滑和粮食安全。更容易获得金融服务的家庭更有可能将劳动力重新分配到非农业领域。我们的研究结果凸显了加强农村非农经济对提高农村家庭气候适应能力的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Probabilistic programming for embedding theory and quantifying uncertainty in econometric analysis 在计量经济学分析中嵌入理论和量化不确定性的概率编程
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbae016
Hugo Storm, Thomas Heckelei, Kathy Baylis
The replication crisis in empirical research calls for a more mindful approach to how we apply and report statistical models. For empirical research to have a lasting (policy) impact, these concerns are crucial. In this paper, we present Probabilistic Programming (PP) as a way forward. The PP workflow with an explicit data-generating process enhances the communication of model assumptions, code testing and consistency between theory and estimation. By simplifying Bayesian analysis, it also offers advantages for the interpretation, communication and modelling of uncertainty. We outline the advantages of PP to encourage its adoption in our community.
实证研究中的复制危机要求我们对如何应用和报告统计模型采取更加谨慎的态度。要使实证研究产生持久的(政策)影响,这些问题至关重要。在本文中,我们提出了概率编程(Probabilistic Programming,PP)这一前进方向。概率编程工作流程具有明确的数据生成过程,可加强模型假设的交流、代码测试以及理论与估算之间的一致性。通过简化贝叶斯分析,它还为不确定性的解释、交流和建模提供了优势。我们概述了PP的优势,以鼓励在我们的社区中采用PP。
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引用次数: 0
Climate change and winter wheat yields: the roles of freezing days and long-run adaptations 气候变化与冬小麦产量:冰冻日和长期适应的作用
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-05-31 DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbae015
Yabin Da, Yangyang Xu, Fujin Yi, Bruce McCarl
This paper employs the recently proposed climate penalty model to estimate season-specific climate change impacts on Chinese winter wheat yields and also reveals the effects of long-run adaptions by comparing the short-run and long-run estimates identified from the model. We find that Spring freezing days are critical as we estimate small yield gains when considering a reduction in the number of freezing days (induced by global warming), as opposed to large yield losses when such effects are omitted. We also find substantial influences of adaptation effects that could reverse the sign of climate change impacts.
本文采用了最近提出的气候惩罚模型来估算特定季节气候变化对中国冬小麦产量的影响,并通过比较该模型得出的短期和长期估算值来揭示长期适应的影响。我们发现,春季冰冻天数至关重要,因为当考虑到冰冻天数减少(由全球变暖引起)时,我们估计产量会有小幅增加,而当忽略这种影响时,产量会有大幅损失。我们还发现了适应效应的巨大影响,它可以扭转气候变化影响的符号。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
European Review of Agricultural Economics
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