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Small farm enterprises amid war in Ukraine: Disruption channels and resilience patterns 乌克兰战争中的小型农场企业:中断渠道和恢复模式
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-10-15 DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbaf032
Monica Schuster, Ibrahima Diouf
This paper examines the impact of the 2022 war in Ukraine on small farm enterprises in global value chains. Drawing on nationally representative survey data, we assess initial disruptions to market access, productivity, damages, labor supply, and coping strategies. We analyze how pre-war characteristics—such as farm scale, adaptive capacity, and market orientation—shaped resilience. Results reveal significant disruptions, mainly from productivity losses. The findings underscore the complex interplay between structural features and resilience, identifying scale and adaptive capacity as key mitigating factors, while nuancing the view that diversification always strengthens resilience. The study offers insights to enhance farm resilience amid shocks.
本文考察了2022年乌克兰战争对全球价值链中的小农场企业的影响。根据具有全国代表性的调查数据,我们评估了市场准入、生产力、损害、劳动力供应和应对策略的初步中断。我们分析了战前的特征——如农场规模、适应能力和市场导向——是如何塑造弹性的。结果显示了严重的破坏,主要来自生产力损失。研究结果强调了结构特征与弹性之间复杂的相互作用,确定了规模和适应能力是关键的缓解因素,同时微妙地表明多样化总是增强弹性。该研究为增强农业在冲击中的抵御能力提供了见解。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating technical efficiency at farm level when plot-level data are available 在有地块数据的情况下,估算农场层面的技术效率
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-10-15 DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbaf022
Yashree Mehta, Bernhard Brümmer
Ownership of multiple plots by a farmer leads to hierarchical structure of data on production. Researchers use averaging of plot-level technical efficiency scores for computing the farm-level technical efficiency score. With Monte Carlo simulation, we checked the performance of averaging and that of the linear mixed effects model in estimating the true farm efficiency. We generated true efficiency scores under half-normal, normal, and skew-normal distributions of the farm-level random effect. Plot-level score averaging did not estimate the true efficiency. The linear mixed effects model preserved the ranking as well as estimated the true farm-level efficiency score.
一个农民拥有多块土地导致生产数据的分层结构。研究人员利用小区级技术效率得分的平均值来计算农场级技术效率得分。通过蒙特卡罗模拟,验证了平均模型和线性混合效应模型在估计真实农场效率方面的性能。我们在农场水平随机效应的半正态分布、正态分布和偏正态分布下生成了真实的效率分数。情节水平平均分不能估计真实的效率。线性混合效应模型保留了排名,并估计了真实的农场水平效率得分。
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引用次数: 0
How is China shaping global food supply chains? Insights from the seed industry 中国如何塑造全球食品供应链?来自种子行业的见解
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-07-03 DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbaf017
Haiyan Deng, Changxin Yu, Yanhong Jin, Carl E Pray, Chunqing Liu, Lianwu Deng
China’s global expansion of state-owned enterprises, like ChemChina and Longping High-Tech (LPHT), along with agricultural policy reforms, is revolutionizing global food supply chains. This study investigates the evolution of China’s domestic seed industry, and its growing presence in the global seed market, assesses how Chinese acquisitions and the rise of local companies, such as Syngenta and LPHT, are changing the global market structure, and explores the challenges and opportunities for China and the global seed industry. The findings suggest China’s current global influence is limited, mainly affecting South America’s corn seed sector, though ongoing international collaborations suggest long-term potential for greater global influence.
中国化工(ChemChina)和隆平高科技(Longping High-Tech)等国有企业的全球扩张,以及农业政策改革,正在彻底改变全球食品供应链。本研究考察了中国国内种子产业的演变及其在全球种子市场上日益增长的影响力,评估了中国企业的收购和本土企业(如先正达和LPHT)的崛起如何改变全球市场结构,并探讨了中国和全球种子产业面临的挑战和机遇。研究结果表明,中国目前的全球影响力有限,主要影响南美的玉米种子部门,尽管正在进行的国际合作表明,中国有更大的全球影响力的长期潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamically optimal cover crop adoption 动态最优覆盖作物采用
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-06-03 DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbaf018
Le Chen, Roderick M Rejesus, Zachary S Brown, Christopher N Boyer, James A Larson
This paper develops a stochastic dynamic programming model to investigate optimal cover crop adoption policies, accounting for cumulative effects on soil fertility, uncertain future fertilizer and output prices, irreversibility of sunk machinery costs and flexibility in the timing of adoption over time. Based on data from a 35-year cotton field experiment in West Tennessee (1984–2018), we first estimate the static and dynamic yield effects of cover crop adoption and then use these estimates to evaluate the decision of a representative cotton farmer to adopt three cover cropping practices—hairy vetch, winter wheat and crimson clover—under conventional till and no-till production systems. Econometric estimates imply significant cumulative effects of cover crops on yields, as well as static and dynamic substitution effects between cover crops and nitrogen fertilizer inputs. With these substitution effects implying increasing marginal profit from soil fertility, our analysis suggests a threshold level of soil fertility level, above which it is optimal to adopt cover crops and below which it is not. Adoption of cover crops is more favored if no-till practices have been implemented. Moreover, in the presence of sunk costs that have not yet been incurred, the optimal strategy is to postpone the adoption of cover crops in both conventional till and no-till fields until crop prices improve, the cost of adoption decreases, or fertilizer prices increase. Our results also indicate that when fertilizer prices are higher, cover crop adoption in no-till systems can lead to substantial fertilizer cost savings, with the amount of those fertilizer cost savings increasing over time as soil health further improves.
本文开发了一个随机动态规划模型来研究最优覆盖作物采用政策,该模型考虑了对土壤肥力的累积效应、未来肥料和产出价格的不确定性、沉没机械成本的不可逆性以及随着时间的推移采用时间的灵活性。基于美国西田纳西州35年棉田试验数据(1984-2018),本文首先估算了采用覆盖作物的静态和动态产量效应,然后利用这些估算值评估了典型棉农在常规耕作和免耕生产制度下采用毛叶杨、冬小麦和深红色三叶草三种覆盖作物的决策。计量经济学估计表明覆盖作物对产量有显著的累积效应,以及覆盖作物与氮肥投入之间的静态和动态替代效应。由于这些替代效应意味着土壤肥力的边际利润增加,我们的分析提出了土壤肥力水平的一个阈值水平,高于该阈值水平是采用覆盖作物的最佳选择,低于该阈值水平则不是。如果实行免耕,则更倾向于采用覆盖作物。此外,在尚未发生沉没成本的情况下,最优策略是在传统耕作和免耕作领域推迟采用覆盖作物,直到作物价格改善、采用成本降低或肥料价格上涨。我们的研究结果还表明,当肥料价格较高时,在免耕系统中采用覆盖作物可以节省大量的肥料成本,随着土壤健康的进一步改善,这些肥料成本的节省量会随着时间的推移而增加。
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引用次数: 0
Evolution of innovation and production supply chains: the case of microalgae-based β-carotene 创新与生产供应链的演变:以微藻为基础的β-胡萝卜素为例
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-05-21 DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbaf019
Ruslana Rachel Palatnik, Michael Borowitzka, Gal Hochman, David Zilberman
Establishing new bio-based sectors requires effective implementation of innovation and production supply chains, often competing with established synthetic technologies. Our analytical model conceptualizes the competition between an incumbent industry and a competitive fringe, each producing differentiated products. Although motivated by the β-carotene case, the model is versatile and applicable to other contexts involving novel products entering markets dominated by established technologies. Developed by university researchers and commercialized by start-ups, natural β-carotene was eventually integrated into major synthetic corporations. Initially niche and costly, it gained market competitiveness through innovation and expanded applications, driving technological advancements and significantly benefiting the broader algae-based industry.
建立新的生物基部门需要有效实施创新和生产供应链,往往与现有的合成技术竞争。我们的分析模型将现有产业和竞争边缘产业之间的竞争概念化,每个产业都生产差异化的产品。虽然受到β-胡萝卜素案例的启发,但该模型是通用的,适用于涉及新产品进入由现有技术主导的市场的其他情况。天然β-胡萝卜素由大学研究人员开发,由初创企业商业化,最终被大型合成公司纳入其中。它最初是小众的,成本很高,但通过创新和扩大应用获得了市场竞争力,推动了技术进步,并极大地惠及了更广泛的藻类产业。
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引用次数: 0
Relationship between crop diversification and farm efficiency: Does farm size matter? 作物多样化与农场效率的关系:农场规模重要吗?
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-05-16 DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbaf016
Toho Hien
Crop diversification has gained interest due to its role in climate change adaptation. While previous studies have focused on farm productivity and income variability, this study examines the relationship between crop diversification and farm performance, considering farm size, socio-economic status and location. Using French Farm Accountancy Data Network data from 2010 to 2022, we analyse 19,822 observations from 3,246 crop-focused farms. Results show that small farms benefit from crop diversification, while large farms face income challenges from diversification. Additionally, crop diversification increases the efficiency of larger farms. The results highlight the need for flexible policies to balance economic viability with environmental objectives.
作物多样化因其在适应气候变化中的作用而受到关注。虽然以前的研究侧重于农业生产力和收入变异性,但本研究考虑到农场规模、社会经济地位和地点,考察了作物多样化与农场绩效之间的关系。利用法国农场会计数据网络2010年至2022年的数据,我们分析了3246个以作物为重点的农场的19822个观察结果。结果表明,小型农场受益于作物多样化,而大型农场则面临多样化带来的收入挑战。此外,作物多样化提高了大型农场的效率。结果强调需要灵活的政策来平衡经济可行性和环境目标。
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引用次数: 0
Bridging the rural divide: The impact of broadband grants on US agriculture 弥合农村鸿沟:宽带拨款对美国农业的影响
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-05-08 DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbaf015
Minhae Kim, Jayash Paudel
Since 2002, the Community Connect Grants (CCG) Program has provided financial assistance to provide broadband service in rural, economically challenged communities where service does not exist. We employ the event study model to show that a zip code receiving the grant experiences a 9.3 per cent increase in crop productivity after three years. This positive effect is predominantly driven by low-income areas that see a consistently positive increase in crop productivity, ranging from 6.3 to 13.8 per cent. Our findings conclude that policies designed to expand high-speed broadband infrastructure in rural areas can further develop the agricultural sector through gains in productivity.
自2002年以来,“社区连接赠款计划”(CCG)为在没有宽带服务的农村、经济困难社区提供宽带服务提供了财政援助。我们使用事件研究模型来证明,一个接受赠款的邮政编码在三年后的作物生产率提高了9.3%。这种积极影响主要是由低收入地区推动的,这些地区的作物生产力持续增长,从6.3%到13.8%不等。我们的研究结果表明,旨在扩大农村地区高速宽带基础设施的政策可以通过提高生产力进一步发展农业部门。
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引用次数: 0
The economics of circular bioeconomy supply chains: Theory and case studies 循环生物经济供应链的经济学:理论与案例研究
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-05-01 DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbaf012
Meilin Ma, Shira Bukchin-Peles, Jeffery K Tomberlin, David Zilberman
Circular bioeconomy employs advanced life science technologies to utilize renewable natural resources to produce goods and is a key part of the sustainable development strategy. Most circular-bioeconomy supply chains, however, are still in their infancy. We propose a conceptual model that characterizes the farm decision to adopt the circular use of agricultural residues such as animal waste and corn stover. The model highlights the complementarity between farm outputs and the residue and pins down key determinants of adoption. We illustrate how the economic forces work by examining two budding circular-bioeconomy supply chains—biochar and black soldier fly.
循环生物经济采用先进的生命科学技术,利用可再生的自然资源生产商品,是可持续发展战略的重要组成部分。然而,大多数循环生物经济供应链仍处于起步阶段。我们提出了一个概念模型,该模型描述了农场决定采用循环利用农业残留物(如动物粪便和玉米秸秆)的特征。该模型强调了农业产出和残留物之间的互补性,并确定了采用的关键决定因素。我们通过研究两个新兴的循环生物经济供应链——生物炭和黑苍蝇,来说明经济力量是如何起作用的。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of the Crimea annexation on agricultural trade: A structural gravity approach 克里米亚吞并对农业贸易的影响:结构重力方法
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-04-25 DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbaf010
Dimitrios Dadakas, Renáta Pitoňáková, Evangelos Ioannidis
We examine the impact of the 2014 Russian annexation of Crimea on global agricultural trade flows. Using a structural gravity model with a Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood (PPML) estimator and intra-country sales, we differentiate the effects of the war from those of the sanctions on trade. We estimate conditional General Equilibrium PPML counterfactual scenarios and apply a “conventional two-step approach” to assess trade potential for Russia, Ukraine and European Union members. Our results suggest that while both Russia’s and Ukraine’s trade flows benefited during the post-annexation period, sanctions had a negative impact, with Russia experiencing more severe effects.
我们研究了 2014 年俄罗斯吞并克里米亚对全球农产品贸易流动的影响。通过使用泊松伪最大似然(PPML)估计器和国内销售的结构重力模型,我们区分了战争和制裁对贸易的影响。我们估算了有条件的一般均衡 PPML 反事实情景,并采用 "常规两步法 "评估了俄罗斯、乌克兰和欧盟成员国的贸易潜力。我们的结果表明,虽然俄罗斯和乌克兰的贸易流量在后兼并时期都受益匪浅,但制裁却产生了负面影响,俄罗斯受到的影响更为严重。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of heat stress on risk and efficiency in dairy farming 热应激对奶牛养殖风险和效率的影响
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-04-15 DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbaf013
Iordanis Parikoglou, Robert Finger
Our study employs a stochastic frontier model that explains short- and long-run production risk and efficiency with respect to heat stress conditions and other farm specific characteristics. We use an unbalanced dataset of specialist Swiss dairy farmers between 2003 and 2014. We find that farms are not able to reduce production risk towards heat stress in the short run. We also find that farm-specific characteristics explain risk and efficiency patterns in short and long run. Our results hold important policy implications regarding sustainability and resilience of dairy farming towards heat stress, with generalizations in the European policy context.
我们的研究采用了一个随机前沿模型,该模型可以解释与热应激条件和其他牧场具体特征相关的短期和长期生产风险和效率。我们使用的是 2003 年至 2014 年期间瑞士专业奶农的非平衡数据集。我们发现,短期内牧场无法降低热应激带来的生产风险。我们还发现,农场的具体特征可以解释短期和长期的风险和效率模式。我们的研究结果对欧洲政策背景下奶牛业的可持续性和抗热应激能力具有重要的政策意义。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
European Review of Agricultural Economics
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