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Breast Cancer Detection and Localizing the Mass Area Using Deep Learning 利用深度学习检测乳腺癌并定位肿块区域
Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI: 10.3390/bdcc8070080
Md. Mijanur Rahman, Md. Zihad Bin Jahangir, Anisur Rahman, Moni Akter, Md Abdullah Al Nasim, Kishor Datta Gupta, Roy George
Breast cancer presents a substantial health obstacle since it is the most widespread invasive cancer and the second most common cause of death in women. Prompt identification is essential for effective intervention, rendering breast cancer screening a critical component of healthcare. Although mammography is frequently employed for screening purposes, the manual diagnosis performed by pathologists can be laborious and susceptible to mistakes. Regrettably, the majority of research prioritizes mass classification over mass localization, resulting in an uneven distribution of attention. In response to this problem, we suggest a groundbreaking approach that seeks to identify and pinpoint cancers in breast mammography pictures. This will allow medical experts to identify tumors more quickly and with greater precision. This paper presents a complex deep convolutional neural network design that incorporates advanced deep learning techniques such as U-Net and YOLO. The objective is to enable automatic detection and localization of breast lesions in mammography pictures. To assess the effectiveness of our model, we carried out a thorough review that included a range of performance criteria. We specifically evaluated the accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, ROC curve, and R-squared error using the publicly available MIAS dataset. Our model performed exceptionally well, with an accuracy rate of 93.0% and an AUC (area under the curve) of 98.6% for the detection job. Moreover, for the localization task, our model achieved a remarkably high R-squared value of 97%. These findings highlight that deep learning can boost the efficiency and accuracy of diagnosing breast cancer. The automation of breast lesion detection and classification offered by our proposed method bears substantial benefits. By alleviating the workload burden on pathologists, it facilitates expedited and accurate breast cancer screening processes. As a result, the proposed approach holds promise for improving healthcare outcomes and bolstering the overall effectiveness of breast cancer detection and diagnosis.
乳腺癌是一种严重的健康障碍,因为它是最常见的侵袭性癌症,也是导致妇女死亡的第二大原因。及时发现是有效干预的关键,因此乳腺癌筛查是医疗保健的重要组成部分。虽然乳房 X 射线照相术经常被用于筛查目的,但病理学家进行的人工诊断既费力又容易出错。遗憾的是,大多数研究都将肿块分类置于肿块定位之上,导致关注度分布不均。针对这一问题,我们提出了一种开创性的方法,旨在从乳房 X 射线照相图片中识别并精确定位癌症。这将使医学专家能够更快、更精确地识别肿瘤。本文介绍了一种复杂的深度卷积神经网络设计,其中融合了 U-Net 和 YOLO 等先进的深度学习技术。其目的是实现乳腺 X 射线照片中乳腺病变的自动检测和定位。为了评估我们模型的有效性,我们进行了全面的审查,其中包括一系列性能标准。我们使用公开的 MIAS 数据集对准确度、精确度、召回率、F1 分数、ROC 曲线和 R 平方误差进行了具体评估。我们的模型表现非常出色,检测任务的准确率为 93.0%,AUC(曲线下面积)为 98.6%。此外,在定位任务中,我们的模型取得了 97% 的显著高 R 平方值。这些发现突出表明,深度学习可以提高乳腺癌诊断的效率和准确性。我们所提出的方法可以实现乳腺病变检测和分类的自动化,具有很大的优势。它减轻了病理学家的工作量,有助于加快准确的乳腺癌筛查过程。因此,我们提出的方法有望改善医疗效果,提高乳腺癌检测和诊断的整体效率。
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引用次数: 0
Trends and Challenges Towards Effective Data-Driven Decision Making in UK Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises: Case Studies and Lessons Learnt from the Analysis of 85 Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises 英国中小企业实现有效数据驱动决策的趋势和挑战:对 85 家中小企业的案例研究和经验教训分析
Pub Date : 2024-07-12 DOI: 10.3390/bdcc8070079
Abdel-Rahman H. Tawil, Muhidin Mohamed, Xavier Schmoor, Konstantinos Vlachos, Diana Haidar
The adoption of data science brings vast benefits to Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (SMEs) including business productivity, economic growth, innovation and job creation. Data science can support SMEs to optimise production processes, anticipate customers’ needs, predict machinery failures and deliver efficient smart services. Businesses can also harness the power of artificial intelligence (AI) and big data, and the smart use of digital technologies to enhance productivity and performance, paving the way for innovation. However, integrating data science decisions into an SME requires both skills and IT investments. In most cases, such expenses are beyond the means of SMEs due to their limited resources and restricted access to financing. This paper presents trends and challenges towards effective data-driven decision making for organisations based on a 3-year long study which covered more than 85 UK SMEs, mostly from the West Midlands region of England. In particular, this study attempts to find answers to several key research questions around data science and AI adoption among UK SMEs, and the advantages of digitalisation and data-driven decision making, as well as the challenges hindering their effective utilisation of these technologies. We also present two case studies that demonstrate the potential of digitisation and data science, and use these as examples to unveil challenges and showcase the wealth of currently available opportunities for SMEs.
数据科学的应用为中小企业(SMEs)带来了巨大的利益,包括企业生产力、经济增长、创新和创造就业机会。数据科学可以帮助中小企业优化生产流程、预测客户需求、预测机器故障并提供高效的智能服务。企业还可以利用人工智能(AI)和大数据的力量,以及数字技术的智能使用来提高生产力和绩效,为创新铺平道路。然而,将数据科学决策融入中小企业需要技能和信息技术投资。在大多数情况下,由于中小企业资源有限,融资渠道受限,这些费用超出了它们的承受能力。本文基于一项长达 3 年的研究,介绍了企业在有效数据驱动决策方面的趋势和挑战,该研究涵盖了超过 85 家英国中小企业,其中大部分来自英格兰西米德兰兹地区。特别是,本研究试图找到英国中小企业采用数据科学和人工智能的几个关键研究问题的答案,以及数字化和数据驱动决策的优势和阻碍它们有效利用这些技术的挑战。我们还介绍了两个案例研究,展示了数字化和数据科学的潜力,并以此为例揭示了中小企业面临的挑战,展示了当前存在的大量机遇。
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引用次数: 0
The State of the Art of Artificial Intelligence Applications in Eosinophilic Esophagitis: A Systematic Review 人工智能在嗜酸性粒细胞食管炎中的应用现状:系统综述
Pub Date : 2024-07-09 DOI: 10.3390/bdcc8070076
M. Votto, C. M. Rossi, S. Caimmi, M. De Filippo, A. Di Sabatino, M. V. Lenti, A. Raffaele, G. L. Marseglia, A. Licari
Introduction: Artificial intelligence (AI) tools are increasingly being integrated into computer-aided diagnosis systems that can be applied to improve the recognition and clinical and molecular characterization of allergic diseases, including eosinophilic esophagitis (EoE). This review aims to systematically evaluate current applications of AI, machine learning (ML), and deep learning (DL) methods in EoE characterization and management. Methods: We conducted a systematic review using a registered protocol published in the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (CRD42023451048). The risk of bias and applicability of eligible studies were assessed according to the prediction model study risk of bias assessment tool (PROBAST). We searched PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science to retrieve the articles. The literature review was performed in May 2023. We included original research articles (retrospective or prospective studies) published in English in peer-reviewed journals, studies whose participants were patients with EoE, and studies assessing the application of AI, ML, or DL models. Results: A total of 120 articles were found. After removing 68 duplicates, 52 articles were reviewed based on the title and abstract, and 34 were excluded. Eleven full texts were assessed for eligibility, met the inclusion criteria, and were analyzed for the systematic review. The AI models developed in three studies for identifying EoE based on endoscopic images showed high score performance with an accuracy that ranged from 0.92 to 0.97. Five studies developed AI models that histologically identified EoE with high accuracy (87% to 99%). We also found two studies where the AI model identified subgroups of patients according to their clinical and molecular features. Conclusions: AI technologies could promote more accurate evidence-based management of EoE by integrating the results of molecular signature, clinical, histology, and endoscopic features. However, the era of AI application in medicine is just beginning; therefore, further studies with model validation in the real-world environment are required.
导言:人工智能(AI)工具正被越来越多地集成到计算机辅助诊断系统中,这些系统可用于改善过敏性疾病(包括嗜酸性食管炎(EoE))的识别、临床和分子特征描述。本综述旨在系统评估当前人工智能、机器学习(ML)和深度学习(DL)方法在食管炎表征和管理中的应用。方法:我们采用国际系统综述前瞻性注册表(CRD42023451048)中公布的注册协议进行了系统综述。根据预测模型研究偏倚风险评估工具(PROBAST)评估了符合条件的研究的偏倚风险和适用性。我们对 PubMed、Embase 和 Web of Science 进行了检索。文献综述于 2023 年 5 月完成。我们纳入了在同行评审期刊上发表的英文原创研究文章(回顾性或前瞻性研究)、参与者为EoE患者的研究以及评估人工智能、ML或DL模型应用的研究。结果:共找到 120 篇文章。在删除 68 篇重复文章后,根据标题和摘要对 52 篇文章进行了审查,其中 34 篇被排除。对 11 篇全文进行了资格评估,符合纳入标准,并对其进行了系统综述分析。三项研究开发的人工智能模型可根据内窥镜图像识别EoE,其准确率介于0.92至0.97之间,得分表现优异。五项研究开发的人工智能模型通过组织学鉴定出了高准确率(87% 到 99%)的 EoE。我们还发现两项研究中,人工智能模型根据患者的临床和分子特征识别了亚组患者。研究结论通过整合分子特征、临床、组织学和内窥镜特征的结果,人工智能技术可促进对咽喉炎进行更准确的循证管理。然而,人工智能应用于医学的时代才刚刚开始;因此,还需要在真实世界环境中进行进一步的模型验证研究。
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引用次数: 0
AMIKOMNET: Novel Structure for a Deep Learning Model to Enhance COVID-19 Classification Task Performance AMIKOMNET:提高 COVID-19 分类任务性能的深度学习模型新结构
Pub Date : 2024-07-09 DOI: 10.3390/bdcc8070077
Muh Hanafi
Since early 2020, coronavirus has spread extensively throughout the globe. It was first detected in Wuhan, a province in China. Many researchers have proposed various models to solve problems related to COVID-19 detection. As traditional medical approaches take a lot of time to detect the virus and require specific laboratory tests, the adoption of artificial intelligence (AI), including machine learning, might play an important role in handling the problem. A great deal of research has seen the adoption of AI succeed in the early detection of COVID-19 using X-ray images. Unfortunately, the majority of deep learning adoption for COVID-19 detection has the shortcomings of high error detection and high computation costs. In this study, we employed a hybrid model using an auto-encoder (AE) and a convolutional neural network (CNN) (named AMIKOMNET) with a small number of layers and parameters. We implemented an ensemble learning mechanism in the AMIKOMNET model using Adaboost with the aim of reducing error detection in COVID-19 classification tasks. The experimental results for the binary class show that our model achieved high effectiveness, with 96.90% accuracy, 95.06% recall, 94.67% F1-score, and 96.03% precision. The experimental result for the multiclass achieved 95.13% accuracy, 94.93% recall, 95.75% F1-score, and 96.19% precision. The adoption of Adaboost in AMIKOMNET for the binary class increased the effectiveness of the model to 98.45% accuracy, 96.16% recall, 95.70% F1-score, and 96.87% precision. The adoption of Adaboost in AMIKOMNET in the multiclass classification task also saw an increase in performance, with an accuracy of 96.65%, a recall of 94.93%, an F1-score of 95.76%, and a precision of 96.19%. The implementation of AE to handle image feature extraction combined with a CNN used to handle dimensional image feature reduction achieved outstanding performance when compared to previous work using a deep learning platform. Exploiting Adaboost also increased the effectiveness of the AMIKOMNET model in detecting COVID-19.
自 2020 年初以来,冠状病毒已在全球广泛传播。它首次在中国武汉被检测到。许多研究人员提出了各种模型来解决与 COVID-19 检测相关的问题。由于传统医学方法需要花费大量时间来检测病毒,并且需要特定的实验室测试,因此采用人工智能(AI),包括机器学习,可能会在处理该问题方面发挥重要作用。大量研究表明,人工智能的应用成功地利用 X 光图像对 COVID-19 进行了早期检测。遗憾的是,大多数用于 COVID-19 检测的深度学习都存在检测错误率高和计算成本高的缺点。在本研究中,我们采用了一种混合模型,该模型使用了自动编码器(AE)和卷积神经网络(CNN)(命名为 AMIKOMNET),层数和参数较少。我们利用 Adaboost 在 AMIKOMNET 模型中实施了一种集合学习机制,目的是减少 COVID-19 分类任务中的错误检测。二元分类的实验结果表明,我们的模型取得了很高的效率,准确率为 96.90%,召回率为 95.06%,F1 分数为 94.67%,精度为 96.03%。多类别的实验结果显示,准确率为 95.13%,召回率为 94.93%,F1 分数为 95.75%,精度为 96.19%。在 AMIKOMNET 中对二元分类采用 Adaboost 后,模型的有效性提高到了 98.45%的准确率、96.16% 的召回率、95.70% 的 F1 分数和 96.87% 的精确度。AMIKOMNET 在多类分类任务中采用 Adaboost 后,性能也有所提高,准确率达到 96.65%,召回率达到 94.93%,F1 分数达到 95.76%,精确率达到 96.19%。与之前使用深度学习平台的工作相比,使用 AE 处理图像特征提取,并结合 CNN 处理图像特征降维,取得了出色的性能。利用 Adaboost 还提高了 AMIKOMNET 模型检测 COVID-19 的效率。
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引用次数: 0
Demystifying Mental Health by Decoding Facial Action Unit Sequences 通过解码面部动作单元序列揭开心理健康的神秘面纱
Pub Date : 2024-07-09 DOI: 10.3390/bdcc8070078
Deepika Sharma, Jaiteg Singh, Sukhjit Singh Sehra, S. Sehra
Mental health is indispensable for effective daily functioning and stress management. Facial expressions may provide vital clues about the mental state of a person as they are universally consistent across cultures. This study intends to detect the emotional variances through facial micro-expressions using facial action units (AUs) to identify probable mental health issues. In addition, convolutional neural networks (CNN) were used to detect and classify the micro-expressions. Further, combinations of AUs were identified for the segmentation of micro-expressions classes using K-means square. Two benchmarked datasets CASME II and SAMM were employed for the training and evaluation of the model. The model achieved an accuracy of 95.62% on CASME II and 93.21% on the SAMM dataset, respectively. Subsequently, a case analysis was done to identify depressive patients using the proposed framework and it attained an accuracy of 92.99%. This experiment revealed the fact that emotions like disgust, sadness, anger, and surprise are the prominent emotions experienced by depressive patients during communication. The findings suggest that leveraging facial action units for micro-expression detection offers a promising approach to mental health diagnostics.
心理健康对于有效的日常运作和压力管理是不可或缺的。面部表情可以提供有关一个人精神状态的重要线索,因为它们在不同文化中具有普遍一致性。本研究旨在利用面部动作单元(AU)通过面部微表情检测情绪差异,从而识别可能存在的心理健康问题。此外,还使用卷积神经网络(CNN)对微表情进行检测和分类。此外,还使用 K-means 方程对 AUs 组合进行了识别,以划分微表情类别。模型的训练和评估采用了两个基准数据集 CASME II 和 SAMM。模型在 CASME II 和 SAMM 数据集上的准确率分别达到了 95.62% 和 93.21%。随后,利用所提出的框架进行了病例分析,以识别抑郁症患者,准确率达到 92.99%。该实验揭示了一个事实,即厌恶、悲伤、愤怒和惊讶等情绪是抑郁症患者在交流过程中体验到的主要情绪。研究结果表明,利用面部动作单元进行微表情检测为心理健康诊断提供了一种前景广阔的方法。
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引用次数: 0
Multimodal Quanvolutional and Convolutional Neural Networks for Multi-Class Image Classification 用于多类图像分类的多模态卷积和卷积神经网络
Pub Date : 2024-07-08 DOI: 10.3390/bdcc8070075
Yuri G. Gordienko, Yevhenii Trochun, S. Stirenko
By utilizing hybrid quantum–classical neural networks (HNNs), this research aims to enhance the efficiency of image classification tasks. HNNs allow us to utilize quantum computing to solve machine learning problems, which can be highly power-efficient and provide significant computation speedup compared to classical operations. This is particularly relevant in sustainable applications where reducing computational resources and energy consumption is crucial. This study explores the feasibility of a novel architecture by leveraging quantum devices as the first layer of the neural network, which proved to be useful for scaling HNNs’ training process. Understanding the role of quanvolutional operations and how they interact with classical neural networks can lead to optimized model architectures that are more efficient and effective for image classification tasks. This research investigates the performance of HNNs across different datasets, including CIFAR100 and Satellite Images of Hurricane Damage by evaluating the performance of HNNs on these datasets in comparison with the performance of reference classical models. By evaluating the scalability of HNNs on diverse datasets, the study provides insights into their applicability across various real-world scenarios, which is essential for building sustainable machine learning solutions that can adapt to different environments. Leveraging transfer learning techniques with pre-trained models such as ResNet, EfficientNet, and VGG16 demonstrates the potential for HNNs to benefit from existing knowledge in classical neural networks. This approach can significantly reduce the computational cost of training HNNs from scratch while still achieving competitive performance. The feasibility study conducted in this research assesses the practicality and viability of deploying HNNs for real-world image classification tasks. By comparing the performance of HNNs with classical reference models like ResNet, EfficientNet, and VGG-16, this study provides evidence of the potential advantages of HNNs in certain scenarios. Overall, the findings of this research contribute to advancing sustainable applications of machine learning by proposing novel techniques, optimizing model architectures, and demonstrating the feasibility of adopting HNNs for real-world image classification problems. These insights can inform the development of more efficient and environmentally friendly machine learning solutions.
通过利用混合量子-古典神经网络(HNN),这项研究旨在提高图像分类任务的效率。HNNs 使我们能够利用量子计算来解决机器学习问题,与经典操作相比,HNNs 非常省电,并能显著提高计算速度。这与可持续应用尤其相关,因为减少计算资源和能源消耗至关重要。本研究利用量子设备作为神经网络的第一层,探索了一种新型架构的可行性,事实证明这种架构有助于扩展 HNN 的训练过程。了解量子卷积操作的作用以及它们如何与经典神经网络相互作用,可以优化模型架构,使其在图像分类任务中更加高效和有效。本研究调查了 HNN 在不同数据集上的性能,包括 CIFAR100 和飓风破坏卫星图像,评估了 HNN 在这些数据集上的性能,并与参考经典模型的性能进行了比较。通过评估 HNN 在不同数据集上的可扩展性,该研究深入揭示了 HNN 在各种真实世界场景中的适用性,这对于构建适应不同环境的可持续机器学习解决方案至关重要。利用预训练模型(如 ResNet、EfficientNet 和 VGG16)的迁移学习技术,展示了 HNN 从经典神经网络的现有知识中获益的潜力。这种方法可以大大降低从头开始训练 HNN 的计算成本,同时还能获得具有竞争力的性能。本研究进行的可行性研究评估了在现实世界的图像分类任务中部署 HNN 的实用性和可行性。通过比较 HNN 与 ResNet、EfficientNet 和 VGG-16 等经典参考模型的性能,本研究证明了 HNN 在某些情况下的潜在优势。总之,通过提出新技术、优化模型架构并证明在现实世界的图像分类问题中采用 HNN 的可行性,本研究的发现有助于推进机器学习的可持续应用。这些见解有助于开发更高效、更环保的机器学习解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
Application of Natural Language Processing and Genetic Algorithm to Fine-Tune Hyperparameters of Classifiers for Economic Activities Analysis 应用自然语言处理和遗传算法微调经济活动分析分类器的超参数
Pub Date : 2024-06-13 DOI: 10.3390/bdcc8060068
Ivan Malashin, Igor Masich, Vadim Tynchenko, Vladimir Nelyub, Aleksei Borodulin, Andrei Gantimurov
This study proposes a method for classifying economic activity descriptors to match Nomenclature of Economic Activities (NACE) codes, employing a blend of machine learning techniques and expert evaluation. By leveraging natural language processing (NLP) methods to vectorize activity descriptors and utilizing genetic algorithm (GA) optimization to fine-tune hyperparameters in multi-class classifiers like Naive Bayes, Decision Trees, Random Forests, and Multilayer Perceptrons, our aim is to boost the accuracy and reliability of an economic classification system. This system faces challenges due to the absence of precise target labels in the dataset. Hence, it is essential to initially check the accuracy of utilized methods based on expert evaluations using a small dataset before generalizing to a larger one.
本研究采用机器学习技术和专家评估相结合的方法,提出了一种经济活动描述符分类方法,以匹配经济活动术语(NACE)代码。通过利用自然语言处理(NLP)方法对活动描述符进行矢量化,并利用遗传算法(GA)优化来微调 Naive Bayes、决策树、随机森林和多层感知器等多类分类器中的超参数,我们的目标是提高经济分类系统的准确性和可靠性。由于数据集中缺乏精确的目标标签,该系统面临着挑战。因此,在推广到更大的数据集之前,必须先根据专家评估使用小数据集检查所用方法的准确性。
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引用次数: 0
Towards a Refined Heuristic Evaluation: Incorporating Hierarchical Analysis for Weighted Usability Assessment 走向完善的启发式评估:结合层次分析法进行加权可用性评估
Pub Date : 2024-06-13 DOI: 10.3390/bdcc8060069
L. Talero-Sarmiento, Marc Gonzalez-Capdevila, Antoni Granollers, Henry Lamos-Diaz, Karine Pistili-Rodrigues
This study explores the implementation of the analytic hierarchy process in usability evaluations, specifically focusing on user interface assessment during software development phases. Addressing the challenge of diverse and unstandardized evaluation methodologies, our research develops and applies a tailored algorithm that simplifies heuristic prioritization. This novel method combines the analytic hierarchy process framework with a bespoke algorithm that leverages transitive properties for efficient pairwise comparisons, significantly reducing the evaluative workload. The algorithm is designed to facilitate the estimation of heuristic relevance regardless of the number of items per heuristic or the item scale, thereby streamlining the evaluation process. Rigorous simulation testing of this tailored algorithm is complemented by its empirical application, where seven usability experts evaluate a web interface. This practical implementation demonstrates our method’s ability to decrease the necessary comparisons and simplify the complexity and workload associated with the traditional prioritization process. Additionally, it improves the accuracy and relevance of the user interface usability heuristic testing results. By prioritizing heuristics based on their importance as determined by the Usability Testing Leader—rather than merely depending on the number of items, scale, or heuristics—our approach ensures that evaluations focus on the most critical usability aspects from the start. The findings from this study highlight the importance of expert-driven evaluations for gaining a thorough understanding of heuristic UI assessment, offering a wider perspective than user-perception-based methods like the questionnaire approach. Our research contributes to advancing UI evaluation methodologies, offering an organized and effective framework for future usability testing endeavors.
本研究探讨了在可用性评估中实施层次分析法的问题,尤其侧重于软件开发阶段的用户界面评估。为了应对评估方法多样化和非标准化的挑战,我们的研究开发并应用了一种定制算法,简化了启发式优先级排序。这种新方法将层次分析法框架与定制算法相结合,利用反式属性进行高效的成对比较,从而大大减少了评估工作量。该算法旨在促进启发式相关性的估算,无论每个启发式的项目数量或项目规模如何,从而简化评估流程。除了对这种量身定制的算法进行严格的模拟测试外,我们还对其进行了实证应用,让七位可用性专家对一个网络界面进行评估。这一实际应用表明,我们的方法能够减少必要的比较,简化与传统优先级排序过程相关的复杂性和工作量。此外,它还提高了用户界面可用性启发式测试结果的准确性和相关性。我们的方法是根据可用性测试负责人确定的启发式测试的重要性来确定优先级,而不是仅仅取决于项目、量表或启发式测试的数量,从而确保评估从一开始就集中在最关键的可用性方面。这项研究的结果凸显了专家驱动评估对于全面了解启发式用户界面评估的重要性,与问卷调查法等基于用户感知的方法相比,专家驱动评估提供了更广阔的视角。我们的研究为推进用户界面评估方法做出了贡献,为未来的可用性测试工作提供了一个有序而有效的框架。
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引用次数: 0
Harnessing Graph Neural Networks to Predict International Trade Flows 利用图神经网络预测国际贸易流量
Pub Date : 2024-06-07 DOI: 10.3390/bdcc8060065
Bassem Sellami, Chahinez Ounoughi, Tarmo Kalvet, M. Tiits, Diego Rincon-Yanez
In the realm of international trade and economic development, the prediction of trade flows between countries is crucial for identifying export opportunities. Commonly used log-linear regression models are constrained due to difficulties when dealing with extensive, high-cardinality datasets, and the utilization of machine learning techniques in predictions offers new possibilities. We examine the predictive power of Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) in estimating the value of bilateral trade between countries. We work with detailed UN Comtrade data that represent annual bilateral trade in goods between any two countries in the world and more than 5000 product groups. We explore two different types of GNNs, namely Graph Convolutional Networks (GCNs) and Graph Attention Networks (GATs), by applying them to trade flow data. This study evaluates the effectiveness of GNNs relative to traditional machine learning techniques such as random forest and examines the possible effects of data drift on their performance. Our findings reveal the superior predictive capability of GNNs, suggesting their effectiveness in modeling complex trade relationships. The research presented in this work offers a data-driven foundation for decision-making and is relevant for business strategies and policymaking as it helps in identifying markets, products, and sectors with significant development potential.
在国际贸易和经济发展领域,预测国家间的贸易流量对于确定出口机会至关重要。常用的对数线性回归模型在处理大量高心率数据集时受到限制,而在预测中利用机器学习技术则提供了新的可能性。我们研究了图形神经网络(GNN)在估算国家间双边贸易价值时的预测能力。我们使用了联合国商品贸易统计数据库的详细数据,这些数据代表了世界上任何两个国家和 5000 多个产品组之间的年度双边货物贸易。我们探索了两种不同类型的 GNN,即图卷积网络(GCN)和图注意网络(GAT),并将它们应用于贸易流量数据。本研究评估了 GNN 相对于随机森林等传统机器学习技术的有效性,并研究了数据漂移对其性能可能产生的影响。我们的研究结果揭示了 GNNs 的卓越预测能力,表明其在复杂贸易关系建模中的有效性。本作品中介绍的研究为决策提供了数据驱动基础,有助于识别具有巨大发展潜力的市场、产品和行业,因此与商业战略和政策制定息息相关。
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引用次数: 0
Research on Multimodal Transport of Electronic Documents Based on Blockchain 基于区块链的电子文件多式联运研究
Pub Date : 2024-06-07 DOI: 10.3390/bdcc8060067
Xueqi Qian, Lixin Shen, Dong Yang, Zhiwen Zhang, Zhihong Jin
Multimodal transport document collaboration is the foundation of multimodal transport operations. Blockchain technology can effectively address issues such as a lack of trust and difficulties in information sharing in current multimodal transport document collaboration. However, in current research on blockchain-based electronic documents, the bottleneck lies in the collaboration aspect of multimodal transport among multiple entities, known as the “one-bill coverage system” collaborative problem. The collaboration problem studied in this paper involves selecting suitable transport routes according to the shipper’s transport needs, and selecting the most suitable specific carrier from numerous carriers. To address the collaboration problem among multiple parties in the multimodal transport “one-bill coverage system”, a multiparty collaboration mechanism is designed. This mechanism includes two aspects: firstly, designing the architecture of the multimodal transport blockchain transport platform, which reengineers the operation process of the “one-bill coverage system” for container multimodal transport; secondly, constructing a multiparty collaboration decision-making model for the “one-bill coverage system” in multimodal transport. The model is solved and analyzed, and the collaboration strategy obtained is embedded in the application layer of the platform. Smart contracts related to the “one-bill coverage system” for multimodal transport are written in the Solidity language and deployed and executed on the Remix platform. The design of this mechanism can effectively improve the collaboration efficiency of participants in the “one-bill coverage system” for multimodal transport.
多式联运单证协作是多式联运业务的基础。区块链技术可以有效解决目前多式联运单证协作中缺乏信任、信息共享困难等问题。然而,在目前基于区块链的电子单证研究中,瓶颈在于多主体之间的多式联运协同方面,即所谓的 "一单覆盖系统 "协同问题。本文研究的协作问题涉及根据托运人的运输需求选择合适的运输路线,并从众多承运人中选择最合适的特定承运人。为解决多式联运 "一票制 "中的多方协作问题,本文设计了一种多方协作机制。该机制包括两个方面:一是设计多式联运区块链运输平台架构,再造集装箱多式联运 "一票制 "操作流程;二是构建多式联运 "一票制 "多方协同决策模型。对模型进行求解和分析,并将得到的协同策略嵌入平台应用层。用 Solidity 语言编写了与多式联运 "一票制 "相关的智能合约,并在 Remix 平台上部署和执行。该机制的设计可有效提高多式联运 "一票制 "参与方的协作效率。
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Big Data and Cognitive Computing
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