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Influence of Soil Sulfur Content and Other Edaphic Factors on Sulfur Levels in Calophyllum inophyllum L. Biodiesel 土壤硫含量和其他环境因素对叶绿素生物柴油中硫含量的影响
Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.9734/ijecc/2024/v14i84349
V. Kousalya, K. T. Prasanna
Aims: This study investigates the sulfur content in biodiesel produced from Calophyllum inophyllum L. seeds collected from various regions in Southern Karnataka. Place and Duration of Study: The study area selected was Southern Karnataka region viz., Bengaluru (Plateau), Hassan (Plain) and Udupi (Coast). Methodology: Calophylum kernels collected at four different places in each district were subjected to the oil extraction process and an acid-base catalyzed transesterification process produced biodiesel due to the high acid value in oil. NaOH was used as a catalyst, and methanol served as the analytical solvent for transesterification reaction. During the process, a 1: 6 oil to methanol ratio was used at 60ºC reaction temperature. The sulfur content in soil, oil and biodiesel was analyzed using Inductively Coupled Plasma Optical Emission Spectroscopy (ICP-OES) through the CaCl2  extractant method(turbidimetry). Results: The study revealed better biodiesel quality was observed in the Udupi region, followed by Bengaluru and Hassan, as Udupi (coast) is native to this species and rainfall determines the growth performance. Also, biodiesel produced in these three regions met ASTM D6751 and BIS (ISO 15607) standards. The sulphur content in CIME was 7 ppm, 46 ppm and 46 ppm in Bengaluru, Hassan, and Udupi regions, respectively. The soil samples reveal that the total sulfur in the study area ranged from 10.31 ppm to 53.47 ppm. The samples collected from the Udupi region have shown higher sulfur content (42.49 to 53.47 ppm). The higher concentration of sulfur in biodiesel is due to the influence of edaphic factors. Conclusion: Calophyllum is found to be a suitable feedstock for biodiesel production by developing methods for purifying the elements that hinder its quality. The study highlights regional differences in sulfur content, which could impact biodiesel quality standards. These predictions, however, need further work to validate reliability.
目的:本研究调查了从卡纳塔克邦南部不同地区采集的茶树(Calophyllum inophyllum L.)种子生产的生物柴油中的硫含量。研究地点和时间:选择的研究区域是南卡纳塔克邦地区,即班加罗尔(高原)、哈桑(平原)和乌杜皮(沿海)。研究方法:在每个地区的四个不同地方采集的钙华果核都经过了榨油过程,由于油中的酸值较高,因此采用酸碱催化的酯交换过程生产生物柴油。NaOH 用作催化剂,甲醇作为酯交换反应的分析溶剂。在此过程中,油与甲醇的比例为 1:6,反应温度为 60ºC。使用电感耦合等离子体光学发射光谱 (ICP-OES) 通过 CaCl2 萃取剂法(浊度法)分析了土壤、油和生物柴油中的硫含量。结果研究表明,乌杜皮地区的生物柴油质量较好,其次是班加罗尔和哈桑,因为乌杜皮(海岸)是该物种的原产地,降雨量决定了其生长性能。此外,这三个地区生产的生物柴油符合 ASTM D6751 和 BIS(ISO 15607)标准。在班加罗尔、哈桑和乌杜比地区,CIME 的硫含量分别为 7 ppm、46 ppm 和 46 ppm。土壤样本显示,研究地区的总硫含量介于 10.31 ppm 至 53.47 ppm 之间。从乌杜皮地区采集的样本显示硫含量较高(42.49 至 53.47 ppm)。生物柴油中硫含量较高的原因是受环境因素的影响。结论通过开发净化阻碍生物柴油质量的元素的方法,发现茶树是生产生物柴油的合适原料。研究强调了硫含量的地区差异,这可能会影响生物柴油的质量标准。不过,这些预测还需要进一步的工作来验证其可靠性。
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引用次数: 0
Climate Justice or Climate Injustice on the Planet Earth: Social, Geopolitical, Legal, Security, Visual, and Moral Dimensions 地球上的气候正义或气候不正义:社会、地缘政治、法律、安全、视觉和道德层面
Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.9734/ijecc/2024/v14i84348
Faruk Hadžić
This study presents a comprehensive and insightful exploration of climate justice and climate injustice and their social, geopolitical, legal, security, visual and moral dimensions. It contributes perspectives on the global climate crisis and its implications. Theoretically and practically, the paper adds insight into global climate and environmental processes, concepts of climate justice and injustice, environmental and human security, climate visuals, and legal and moral approaches to the observed topics. The study explores contemporary academic scientific literature's methodological trends and critical themes. Besides a meta-analysis, content analysis, thematic analysis, a descriptive method, and an in-depth literature review of various scientific and expert-based data forms, the study incorporated the representation and analysis of visual expressions of climate change consequences and injustice. It also included human-centric aspects and perceptions of youth climate activists. Accordingly, the paper analyzes the essence and goals of climate justice, the consequences of climate injustice, and the positions of wealthy and poorer countries - mainly and severely affected by climate change, and offers normative solutions. Climate injustice processes and occurrences generate social injustice, inequalities, inequities, and exclusions while jeopardizing critical human security.
本研究对气候正义和气候不正义及其社会、地缘政治、法律、安全、视觉和道德层面进行了全面而深刻的探讨。它为全球气候危机及其影响提供了视角。从理论和实践的角度,论文对全球气候和环境进程、气候正义和不公正的概念、环境和人类安全、气候视觉效果以及对所观察主题的法律和道德方法进行了深入探讨。本研究探讨了当代学术科学文献的方法论趋势和关键主题。除了荟萃分析、内容分析、主题分析、描述性方法以及对各种科学和专家数据形式的深入文献综述之外,本研究还纳入了对气候变化后果和不公正的视觉表达的表述和分析。它还包括以人为本的方面和青年气候活动家的看法。因此,本文分析了气候公正的本质和目标、气候不公正的后果、富国和穷国--主要受气候变化影响的国家和受气候变化严重影响的国家--的立场,并提出了规范性的解决方案。气候不公正的过程和现象会产生社会不公正、不平等、不公平和排斥现象,同时危及人类的重要安全。
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引用次数: 0
Determination of the Coefficients "a" and "b" of the K-R Relationship for Accurate Measurement of Water Quantity Using Cellular Links in Burkina Faso 确定 K-R 关系系数 "a "和 "b "以利用布基纳法索的蜂窝链接精确测量水量
Pub Date : 2024-07-27 DOI: 10.9734/ijecc/2024/v14i74323
Ratagskiégré Joseph Bonkoungou, A. Doumounia, Moumouni Djibo, Serge Roland Sanou, François Zougmoré
Electromagnetic waves emitted between antennas interact with the atmosphere, undergoing absorption, scattering, and emission processes. Previous studies have shown that the relationship between specific attenuation (K) due to rain of these microwaves and the precipitation rate (R) can be modeled by an empirical power law. The coefficients "a" and "b" of this relationship, linking microwave signal attenuation to precipitation rate, vary depending on frequency, temperature, raindrop size distribution, and other parameters. Thus, it is crucial to obtain data adapted to specific geographical and environmental conditions for accurate rainfall rate assessment. In this study, we determined for the first time in Burkina Faso, the values of "a" and "b" using data from a disdrometer installed in Nazinga. These Data were collected from October 1, 2016, to September 26, 2017, over a period of about one year. These values were used in the relationship to determine rainfall rates. The Pearson correlation coefficient between the different series of values of the rain is over 0.9.  A comparison of the cumulative rainfall rates determined with the data from a rain gauge at Bobo Dioulasso airport was made. There is a perfect correlation between the values determined in Nazinga and those of Doumounia et al., 2019 with bias values ranging between -3,31 and 0.61 depending on the frequency value and its polarization. The discrepancy between the series of values and those of the rain gauge highlights the need to take local conditions into account when determining the values of "a" and "b" for a better determination of rainfall rates.
天线之间发射的电磁波与大气相互作用,经历吸收、散射和发射过程。以往的研究表明,这些微波因降雨引起的特定衰减(K)与降水率(R)之间的关系可以用经验幂律来模拟。微波信号衰减与降水率之间的系数 "a "和 "b "因频率、温度、雨滴大小分布和其他参数而异。因此,获得适合特定地理和环境条件的数据对于准确评估降水率至关重要。在这项研究中,我们利用安装在纳津加的测距仪数据,首次在布基纳法索确定了 "a "和 "b "值。这些数据收集于 2016 年 10 月 1 日至 2017 年 9 月 26 日,历时约一年。这些数值被用于确定降雨率的关系。不同雨量系列值之间的皮尔逊相关系数超过 0.9。 将确定的累积降雨率与博博迪乌拉索机场雨量计的数据进行了比较。在 Nazinga 测定的数值与 Doumounia 等人在 2019 年测定的数值之间存在完美的相关性,偏差值介于-3.31 和 0.61 之间,具体取决于频率值及其极化。这一系列数值与雨量计数值之间的差异突出表明,在确定 "a "和 "b "值时需要考虑当地条件,以便更好地确定降雨率。
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引用次数: 0
A Review of the Impact of Impounded Rivers in KSA and as an Assessment of their Potential for Hydroelectric Power Generation 对 KSA 境内被拦截河流的影响进行审查,并对其水力发电潜力进行评估
Pub Date : 2024-07-27 DOI: 10.9734/ijecc/2024/v14i74324
Ahmed Al Nashrey
As an alternative to fossil fuels-based power generation, hydropower offers cheap operating and maintenance costs, a clean, and sustainable domestic energy source. Currently, hydro resources account for about more than 15% of the global electricity, with renewables accounting for 70% of the total. While 150 countries produce hydropower, the kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) has around 559 dams that could have the capacity for hydropower energy production. KSA can meet its internal demand, produce an excess for export, and create jobs for its people by utilising its renewable resource. Therefore, this paper reviews KSA’s current dams and assesses their environmental and socioeconomic impacts and then, it is conducted out technical feasibility study if is sustainable to retrofit Hydroelectric Power (HEP) to existing dams.
作为化石燃料发电的替代品,水力发电提供了廉价的运营和维护成本、清洁和可持续的国内能源。目前,水力资源约占全球电力的 15%以上,其中可再生能源占 70%。有 150 个国家生产水电,而沙特阿拉伯王国(KSA)约有 559 座大坝具备水电能源生产能力。通过利用其可再生资源,沙特可以满足其国内需求,生产过剩的能源用于出口,并为其人民创造就业机会。因此,本文回顾了 KSA 现有的水坝,并评估了它们对环境和社会经济的影响,然后对在现有水坝上改造水力发电(HEP)是否可持续进行了技术可行性研究。
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引用次数: 0
Degradation Dynamics of Flonicamid Insecticide Residues in Rice Crop and Soil in Southern Kerala and Its Dietary Risk Assessment 南喀拉拉邦水稻作物和土壤中氟啶虫酰胺杀虫剂残留的降解动态及其膳食风险评估
Pub Date : 2024-07-27 DOI: 10.9734/ijecc/2024/v14i74322
Sakthiselvi T, Thomas George, Visal Kumar S, R. B., Anith K N, A. B., Gowri Priya
Flonicamid is extensively used to manage rice crop from sucking insect pests owing to its high efficacy and relatively non-hazardous nature. Frequent sprayings over the course of the crop season elevate concerns regarding the possibility of residues on crops and soils. The study aimed to investigate the dissipation of foliar-applied flonicamid in rice ecosystem after single, double and triple application frequencies using a modified QuEChERS method combined with UHPLC-MS/MS. Recoveries of 74.34-116.36% were obtained for flonicamid in rice and soil matrices with relative standard deviation less than 7 and Horwitz ratio within 0.3. In the field experiment, flonicamid had half-lives of 2.75 to 3.15 days in leaves and 9.01 days in grains. No significant differences in residues were found after each application frequency owing to the similar environmental conditions prevailed during the growing season. A waiting period of 25 days is recommended for flonicamid when considering crop use for fodder purposes. In soil, no residues were detected regardless of the frequency of application. Upon harvest, residues were detected only in grains treated three times with flonicamid. Dietary risk assessment indicated that risk quotient values were below 1, suggesting no associated risks.
由于氟啶虫酰胺药效高且相对无害,因此被广泛用于防治水稻吸浆虫害。由于在作物生长季节频繁喷洒,可能会对作物和土壤造成残留。本研究旨在采用改良的 QuEChERS 方法并结合超高效液相色谱-质谱/质谱法,调查叶面喷施氟啶虫酰胺在水稻生态系统中单次、两次和三次喷施后的消散情况。结果表明,水稻和土壤基质中氟啶虫酰胺的回收率为74.34%-116.36%,相对标准偏差小于7,Horwitz比值在0.3以内。在田间试验中,氟啶虫酰胺在叶片中的半衰期为 2.75 至 3.15 天,在谷物中的半衰期为 9.01 天。由于生长季节的环境条件相似,每次施药后的残留量没有明显差异。在考虑将作物用作饲料时,建议氟啶虫酰胺的等待期为 25 天。在土壤中,无论施用频率如何,均未检测到残留。收获时,仅在用氟啶虫酰胺处理过三次的谷物中检测到残留。膳食风险评估表明,风险商数值低于 1,表明没有相关风险。
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引用次数: 0
Studies on Operational Parameters of Drone Mounted Sprayer to Determine the Application Rate for Herbicide Application in Crops 研究无人机喷雾器的操作参数以确定作物中除草剂的施用量
Pub Date : 2024-07-27 DOI: 10.9734/ijecc/2024/v14i74321
Satish, Sunil Shirwal, Veerangouda, M, Sushilendra, Ananda N
The experiment was conducted to study the operational parameters drone mounted sprayer to determine the actual application rate required. The hexa-copter drone mounted sprayer of 10 L was selected to for pre-field test. The treatment plot size of 15mx20m area was marked. The drone mounted sprayer operated at autonomous mode. The experiments were conducted at five different levels of independent parameters, viz, forward speed (1, 2, 3.5 5 and 6 m) and height of spray (1, 1.5, 2, 2.5 and 3 m). Dependent parameters like as swath width, application rate and field capacity were determined. The design expert software RSM central composite design was sused for optimal number of experiments. The total combinations of 13 experiment treatments were conducted. The results obtained at the maximum and minimum application rate of drone mounted sprayer was found to be 133 and 33.1 l ha-1. The swath width of drone mounted sprayer was in the range of 1.8 to 6 m.
实验旨在研究无人机喷雾器的运行参数,以确定实际所需的施药量。田间试验前选择了 10 升的六旋翼无人机喷雾器。标记的处理小区面积为 15 米 x 20 米。无人机喷雾器以自主模式运行。试验在五个不同的独立参数水平下进行,即前进速度(1、2、3.5 5 和 6 米)和喷洒高度(1、1.5、2、2.5 和 3 米)。同时还确定了依赖参数,如垄宽、施药量和田间容量。采用设计专家软件 RSM 中心复合设计来优化实验次数。共进行了 13 种实验处理组合。结果发现,无人机喷雾器的最大和最小施药量分别为 133 升/公顷和 33.1 升/公顷。无人机喷雾器的喷幅范围为 1.8 至 6 米。
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引用次数: 0
Comparative Study of Above Ground Biomass and Carbon Stock in Chakrata Forest Division Chakrata 林区地面生物量和碳储量比较研究
Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI: 10.9734/ijecc/2024/v14i74320
Raushan Kumar Yadav, Shefali Kesarwani, V. Dhawan, P. Sinha, Arpana Pandey
Forests plays important role in ecosystem. Forest shows a variety of ecosystem services, one of the most important ones being absorbing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere and converting it into biomass. Biomass refers to the mass of the living organism within a tree. Forests play a major role in sequestering carbon and regulating the global carbon and energy cycles. Accurately estimating forest biomass is crucial for understanding carbon stock and sequestration, forest degradation, and climate change mitigation. The primary objective of this research paper is to find out above ground biomass as well as carbon stock of coniferous species of Chakrata forest division also known as “Jaunsar Bawar” located in the state Uttarakhand. Sample plots are selected on random basis in 22 compartments from where data is collected. Techniques used for assessment of biomass are traditional field measurement. Biomass has measured through collection of information on DBH, Number of tree species, tree height etc within sample plots. The present study demonstrates that Chakrata forest division is one of most floristic diverse forest area. Chakrata forest division is very diverse consisting of 5 major forest types from sub-tropical to alpine forest. Under Chakrata forest division Kanasar forest range is acclaimed in Asia for Deodar tree growth. Present study also illustrates the well growth of Deodar, Kail, Silver fir and Spruce. In this study highest average AGB 107.41 tonnes/ha is recorded in case of Cedrus deodara species with Average carbon stock of 226.7 tonnes/ha as compared to Fir and spruce which are 53.51 tones/ha and 113.29 tonnes/ha. In case of species Pinus wallichiana Average above ground biomass is 38.3 ton/ha and average carbon stock is 81.08 ton/ha.
森林在生态系统中发挥着重要作用。森林提供多种生态系统服务,其中最重要的是吸收大气中的二氧化碳并将其转化为生物量。生物量是指树木中生物的质量。森林在固碳和调节全球碳和能量循环方面发挥着重要作用。准确估算森林生物量对于了解碳储量和固碳、森林退化以及减缓气候变化至关重要。本研究论文的主要目的是了解北阿坎德邦 Chakrata 林区(又称 "Jaunsar Bawar")针叶树种的地上生物量和碳储量。样本地块在 22 个分区中随机选取,并从中收集数据。生物量评估采用的是传统的实地测量技术。通过收集样本地块内的 DBH、树种数量、树高等信息来测量生物量。本研究表明,查克拉塔林区是植物种类最丰富的林区之一。Chakrata 林区由 5 种主要森林类型组成,从亚热带森林到高山森林,种类繁多。查克拉塔森林分区下的卡纳萨尔(Kanasar)林区因菩提树的生长而在亚洲享有盛誉。本研究也说明了铎达树、噶尔树、银杉和云杉的良好生长情况。与冷杉和云杉的平均碳储量(53.51 吨/公顷和 113.29 吨/公顷)相比,雪松的平均碳储量最高,达到 107.41 吨/公顷,平均碳储量为 226.7 吨/公顷。红松的平均地上生物量为 38.3 吨/公顷,平均碳储量为 81.08 吨/公顷。
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引用次数: 0
Comparative Study of Antagonistic Effect of Soil-Derived Strains of Trichoderma harzianum Against Sclerotinia sclerotium (Lib). de Bary under In vitro Conditions 体外条件下土壤衍生的哈茨真菌菌株对硬皮病菌(Lib).de Bary 的拮抗作用比较研究
Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI: 10.9734/ijecc/2024/v14i74319
Falak Fayaz, Ramji Singh, Mohammad Waris Haider
Sclerotinia sclerotiorum (Lib.) de Bary is a soil-borne plant fungal pathogen with a broad host range and infects over 400 plant species at all growth and development stages. In chickpeas,it affects both the seedlings as they tend to collapse at the soil line and in grown up plants experience stem rot and non specific wilting. Trichoderma spp. act as an effective biocontrol agent for managing myriads of plant pathogens affecting various crops at different stages of growth. The research aimed to compare the antagonistic potential of lab-maintained Trichoderma harzianum strains (SV-1, SV-2, SV3, SV-14, SV-18, and IRRI-1) with those re-isolated from soil after intervals of 30, 60 and 90 days. Its already known that pathogens if subcultured for long suffer from attenuation in their virulence, on the similar lines we intended to determine whether some degree of loss in their antagonistic potential over the same strains inoculated and re-isolated from their natural ecological niche existed or so. In a dual culture assay, re-isolated strains demonstrated superior antagonistic effects on the pathogen's mycelial growth compared to lab-maintained counterparts. Notably, re-isolated strain SV-18 exhibited a 14.83% increase in antagonistic activity compared to the mother culture, while others showed an increase ranging from 6.99% to 9.32% after 30 days. Although the difference was slightly reduced after 60 days, it underscored the potential loss in antagonistic efficacy for Trichoderma harzianum strains subjected to decade long culturing and sub-culturing. Furthermore, a significant variation was reported in the inhibition %age between the re-isolations performed statistically as F(static) 46.3426 was reported to be much larger than the critical value. These findings highlight the significance of re-isolated strains outperforming in inhibiting the pathogen, emphasizing the importance of biocontrol agents functioning optimally in their natural ecological niches.
Sclerotinia sclerotiorum (Lib.) de Bary 是一种土传植物真菌病原体,寄主范围很广,可在所有生长和发育阶段感染 400 多种植物。在鹰嘴豆中,这种病菌会影响幼苗,因为幼苗往往会在土壤线上倒伏,而长大的植物则会出现茎腐和非特异性枯萎。毛霉菌是一种有效的生物控制剂,可用于控制影响各种作物不同生长阶段的大量植物病原体。这项研究旨在比较实验室培养的毛霉菌株(SV-1、SV-2、SV3、SV-14、SV-18 和 IRRI-1)与土壤中重新分离的菌株在 30、60 和 90 天后的拮抗潜力。众所周知,病原体如果长期进行亚培养,其毒力就会减弱。同样,我们也想确定接种并从其自然生态环境中重新分离出来的相同菌株的拮抗潜力是否会有一定程度的减弱。在双重培养试验中,重新分离的菌株对病原体菌丝生长的拮抗作用优于实验室培养的菌株。值得注意的是,与母体培养物相比,重新分离的菌株 SV-18 的拮抗活性提高了 14.83%,而其他菌株在 30 天后的拮抗活性提高了 6.99% 到 9.32%。虽然 60 天后差异略有缩小,但这表明经过十年长期培养和亚培养的毛霉菌株的拮抗效力可能会下降。此外,在统计学上,由于 F(静态)46.3426 远大于临界值,报告显示再分离之间的抑制率存在明显差异。这些发现凸显了再分离菌株在抑制病原体方面表现优异的重要意义,强调了生物控制剂在其自然生态壁龛中发挥最佳功能的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
A Comprehensive Review of the Effect and Mitigation of Climate Change on Sericulture 气候变化对养蚕业的影响及缓解措施综述
Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI: 10.9734/ijecc/2024/v14i74317
Sujatha G S, Gadde Anil Kumar, Katta Subramanya Sai Teja, Dharanikota Lalithambica Devi, V. E, Aradhana Panda, R. J S, Saransh Kumar Gautam
Sericulture, the practice of silkworm cultivation to produce silk, has been around for thousands of years and is even a part of cultural significance in Asia. But, the changes in climate change have created so many problems due to physical and physiological factors that are affecting silkworm larvae (Bombyx mori) as well as mulberry plants which is primary food of silkworm. In this review, we address about the influence of climate change on sericulture by discussing pertinent studies in relation to rising temperatures and temperature changes; self-defensive responses related with heat waves; precipitation changes. Growth and cocoon quality in the optimal range for silkworm are so critical to temperature and humidity, that deviating from them lowers silk production while higher numbers can deteriorate death rates. In addition, climate change results in shifts of mulberry plant physiology and pest dynamics which are additional complications to sericulture practices.In alignment with the above, research and development is oriented toward climate-resilient silkworm breeding lines, improved mulberry cultivation practices, and modern technologies like remote sensing and GIS for efficient resource management. Works of planned future interest include bettering the quality of genetic research for the development of more resilient silkworm strains and the performance of comprehensive vulnerability assessments to formulate suitable adaptation strategies. Ensuring the resilience and economic viability of the sericulture industry in the face of climate change is crucial for sustaining long-term silk production if the mitigation measures discussed in this paper are put in place.
养蚕,即养蚕以生产丝绸,已有数千年的历史,甚至是亚洲文化的一部分。但是,由于物理和生理因素的影响,气候变化带来了许多问题,影响到蚕的幼虫(桑蚕)和桑树(蚕的主要食物)。在这篇综述中,我们通过讨论与气温上升和气温变化有关的相关研究、与热浪有关的自卫反应、降水变化,来探讨气候变化对养蚕业的影响。蚕在最佳温度和湿度范围内的生长和蚕茧质量对温度和湿度至关重要,偏离温度和湿度会降低蚕丝产量,而温度和湿度过高则会降低死亡率。此外,气候变化还导致桑树生理和虫害动态的变化,使养蚕实践变得更加复杂。根据上述情况,研究和开发的方向是培育气候适应性强的蚕种品系,改进桑树栽培实践,以及采用遥感和地理信息系统等现代技术进行有效的资源管理。未来计划开展的工作包括提高基因研究的质量,以培育抗逆性更强的蚕种,以及开展全面的脆弱性评估,以制定合适的适应战略。如果本文所讨论的减缓措施得以实施,那么确保养蚕业在气候变化面前的适应能力和经济可行性对于维持长期的丝绸生产至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing Flood Risk Management: A Comparative Study of Regional Frequency Models in the Upper Meghna River, Bangladesh 加强洪水风险管理:孟加拉国梅格纳河上游区域频率模型比较研究
Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI: 10.9734/ijecc/2024/v14i74315
Md. Touhidul Islam, Nusrat Jahan, N. Das, Md. Asibur Rahman Abir, Abdullah Al Ferdaus, M. S. Islam, Mohammed Mizanur Rahman, A. Adham
Flood risk management is essential in Bangladesh, frequently affected by severe flooding due to its location at the confluence of the Ganges, Brahmaputra, and Meghna rivers. This study assesses the effectiveness of Gumbel and Log-Pearson Type III (LP3) probability distributions for flood frequency analysis at the Bhairab Bazar station in the Upper Meghna River. Using 32 years (1990-2021) of annual peak discharge data from the Bangladesh Water Development Board, flood magnitudes were predicted for various return periods. The Gumbel distribution predicted discharges from 10,709.71 m³/s for a 2-year return period to 24,519.62 m³/s for a 200-year return period, while LP3 estimates ranged from 10,701.51 m³/s to 22,911.84 m³/s for the same periods. The peak over threshold (POT) approach yielded higher discharge estimates, showing its sensitivity to extreme events. For a 200-year return period, the Gumbel-POT and LP3-POT estimates were 22,117.40 m³/s and 21,964.07 m³/s, respectively. Goodness-of-fit tests, including Kolmogorov-Smirnov, Anderson-Darling, and Chi-squared, favored the LP3 distribution for both extreme value series (EVS) and POT data, especially in critical tail regions. A rating curve was also developed using the generalized reduced gradient algorithm to better understand the river's hydraulic behavior. These findings are crucial for local flood management strategies. Discharges exceeding critical thresholds, like the 5.8-m danger level and 6.8-m severe flood level, highlight the need for robust measures. This analysis offers essential insights for designing hydraulic structures, planning flood mitigation, and improving prediction models to enhance flood risk assessments in the Upper Meghna River basin.
孟加拉国位于恒河、雅鲁藏布江和梅格纳河的交汇处,经常受到严重洪水的影响,因此洪水风险管理对孟加拉国至关重要。本研究评估了 Gumbel 和 Log-Pearson III 型(LP3)概率分布在梅格纳河上游 Bhairab Bazar 站的洪水频率分析中的有效性。利用孟加拉国水利发展局提供的 32 年(1990-2021 年)年峰值排水量数据,预测了不同重现期的洪水量级。根据 Gumbel 分布预测,2 年一遇的洪峰流量为 10,709.71 立方米/秒,200 年一遇的洪峰流量为 24,519.62 立方米/秒,而 LP3 预测的同期洪峰流量为 10,701.51 立方米/秒至 22,911.84 立方米/秒。峰值超过阈值(POT)方法得出了更高的排放估算值,显示了其对极端事件的敏感性。对于 200 年重现期,Gumbel-POT 和 LP3-POT 的估计值分别为 22,117.40 立方米/秒和 21,964.07 立方米/秒。包括 Kolmogorov-Smirnov、Anderson-Darling 和 Chi-squared 在内的拟合优度检验结果表明,极值序列 (EVS) 和 POT 数据均采用 LP3 分布,尤其是在临界尾部区域。此外,还利用广义梯度降低算法绘制了等级曲线,以更好地了解河流的水力行为。这些发现对当地的洪水管理策略至关重要。超过关键阈值(如 5.8 米危险水位和 6.8 米严重洪水位)的排水量凸显了采取有力措施的必要性。这项分析为设计水力结构、规划防洪减灾以及改进预测模型以加强上梅格纳河流域的洪水风险评估提供了重要见解。
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International Journal of Environment and Climate Change
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