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Service utilization by high-need, high-cost patients following emergency department visits. 急诊科就诊后高需求、高费用患者的服务利用情况。
IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.37765/ajmc.2025.89818
Nadereh Pourat, Connie Lu, Menbere Haile, Helen Yu-Lefler, Benjamin Picillo, Minh Wendt, Troyana Benjamin, Hank Hoang, Alek Sripipatana

Objective: To compare the likelihood of timely outpatient follow-up care and repeat emergency department (ED) visits and hospitalization among patients with high need and high costs (HNHC) across 4 primary care provider (PCP) types.

Study design: Our cross-sectional study analyzed 2018 eligibility and claims data of patients with HNHC enrolled in California Medicaid managed care (N = 164,543).

Methods: Outcomes were outpatient follow-up visits for primary care, specialty care, mental health, or substance use disorder (SUD) within 7 days and ED readmission and all-cause hospitalization within 30 days of the first ED visit (index ED). Our independent variable was PCP type, categorized as Health Resources and Services Administration-funded health centers, group practices, solo practices, and other community clinics. Multivariable logistic regression models examined follow-up care utilization by PCP type.

Results: One-third of index ED visits were followed by a primary care (30.3%) or specialty care (31.8%) visit within 7 days. Within 30 days of the ED index visit, approximately 22% had a repeat ED visit and 6% had a hospitalization. Health center patients were more likely to have a primary care, mental health, or SUD follow-up visit than patients of other PCPs and were less likely to have a follow-up specialty visit, ED readmission, or hospitalization.

Conclusions: Findings indicate that health centers have been successful in linking patients to outpatient services that may reduce costly hospitalizations and repeat ED visits but could improve on linkage to specialty care. Improved process-of-care approaches may reduce repeat ED visits and hospitalizations across all PCP types.

目的:比较4种初级保健提供者(PCP)类型中高需求高费用(HNHC)患者及时门诊随访和重复急诊(ED)就诊和住院的可能性。研究设计:我们的横断面研究分析了2018年加州医疗补助管理医疗登记的HNHC患者的资格和索赔数据(N = 164,543)。方法:结果是7天内因初级保健、专科护理、精神健康或物质使用障碍(SUD)进行门诊随访,并在第一次ED就诊(index ED)后30天内再次入院和全因住院。我们的自变量是PCP类型,分类为卫生资源和服务管理局资助的卫生中心、团体诊所、个人诊所和其他社区诊所。多变量logistic回归模型检验了PCP类型的随访护理利用情况。结果:三分之一的急诊科患者在7天内接受了初级保健(30.3%)或专科护理(31.8%)的检查。在急诊科指数就诊后的30天内,约22%的患者再次就诊,6%的患者住院。与其他pcp的患者相比,健康中心的患者更有可能进行初级保健、心理健康或SUD随访,而进行专科随访、ED再入院或住院的可能性更小。结论:研究结果表明,卫生中心已经成功地将患者与门诊服务联系起来,这可能会减少昂贵的住院费用和重复的急诊科就诊,但可以改善与专科护理的联系。改进的护理过程方法可以减少所有PCP类型的重复急诊室就诊和住院。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating racial concordance in a telephonic care management program among Black patients. 评价黑人病人电话护理管理项目中的种族一致性。
IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.37765/ajmc.2025.89825
Melanie Canterberry, Aina Katsikas, Amanda K Sutherland, Yong Li, Emily Boudreau, Brian W Powers

Objective: To examine whether racial concordance between telephonic care managers and Medicare Advantage beneficiaries engaged in a care management program influenced the likelihood of fulfilling a set of identified health care needs.

Study design: Retrospective study of a real-world telephonic care management program among Medicare Advantage beneficiaries.

Methods: This study involved Medicare Advantage beneficiaries identified as having at least 1 of 23 gaps in care quality at baseline who were randomly assigned to a telephonic care management program between June 2020 and March 2021. We examined participating Black beneficiaries and assigned racial concordance based on engaging with a Black (race-concordant) or White (race-discordant) care manager. The primary outcome was a measure of whether the gap in care was closed at 90 days. We used logistic regression models adjusted for beneficiary characteristics to examine the impact of racial concordance on binary measures of gap closure at the individual and gap levels.

Results: Among the study population of 12,636 Black race beneficiaries, 1291 (10.2%) had a race-concordant care manager and 11,345 (89.8%) had a race-discordant care manager. In adjusted models, beneficiary-care manager racial concordance did not impact closure of gaps in care when examined at the beneficiary level (OR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.90-1.08) or the gap level (OR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.88-1.12).

Conclusions: In a real-world telephonic care management program aiming to resolve gaps in care quality, beneficiary-care manager racial concordance did not impact the rate of resolving gaps in care for Black beneficiaries.

目的:研究电话护理经理和医疗保险优势受益人之间的种族一致性是否会影响满足一组确定的医疗保健需求的可能性。研究设计:对现实世界中医疗保险优势受益人的电话护理管理项目进行回顾性研究。方法:本研究涉及在2020年6月至2021年3月期间随机分配到电话护理管理计划的医疗保险优势受益人,这些受益人被确定为在基线护理质量上至少存在23个差距中的1个。我们检查了参与的黑人受益人,并根据与黑人(种族和谐)或白人(种族不和谐)护理经理的接触来分配种族和谐。主要结果是衡量是否在90天内弥合护理差距。我们使用调整了受益人特征的逻辑回归模型来检验种族一致性对个体和差距水平上差距缩小的二元测量的影响。结果:在12636名黑人受益人的研究人群中,1291名(10.2%)有种族和谐的护理经理,11345名(89.8%)有种族不和谐的护理经理。在调整后的模型中,当在受益人水平(OR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.90-1.08)或差距水平(OR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.88-1.12)进行检查时,受益人-护理经理种族一致性并不影响护理差距的缩小。结论:在旨在解决护理质量差距的现实世界电话护理管理计划中,受益人-护理经理种族一致性并未影响解决黑人受益人护理差距的比率。
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引用次数: 0
Cost-effectiveness analysis of ubrogepant, rimegepant, and zavegepant for acute migraine treatment vs usual care. 与常规治疗相比,优孕、瑞孕和扎维孕治疗急性偏头痛的成本-效果分析。
IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.37765/ajmc.2025.89822
Pooja Gokhale, Lorenzo Villa Zapata

Objective: Migraine is a debilitating chronic disorder requiring multifaceted treatment approaches, including acute, preventive, and nonpharmacological interventions. Small-molecule calcitonin gene-related peptide (CGRP) receptor antagonists, also referred to as gepants , provide third-line treatment options for patients refractory to first- and second-line therapies. This study evaluates the cost-effectiveness of 3 CGRP antagonists-ubrogepant (Ubrelvy), rimegepant (Nurtec ODT), and zavegepant (Zavzpret)-compared with usual care.

Study design: Cost-effectiveness analysis of gepants vs usual care.

Methods: We used a Markov model to assess the cost-effectiveness from the US payer's perspective, incorporating 5 health states: mild, moderate, and severe pain while on treatment; no pain while on treatment; and off treatment. The analysis was conducted over a 5-year time horizon with a 48-hour cycle length, discounting costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) annually at 3%. Scenario analyses were used to determine the robustness of the results.

Results: None of the gepants were cost-effective at willingness-to-pay thresholds of $50,000, $100,000, or $150,000 per QALY. Among the 3 gepants, rimegepant was the most cost-effective option; it had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $93,700.20 per QALY compared with ubrogepant and was both less costly and more effective than zavegepant.

Conclusions: Ubrogepant, rimegepant, and zavegepant are not cost-effective options for acute migraine treatment but may be appropriate for patients experiencing 2 or fewer migraines per month. If a gepant is to be prescribed, rimegepant is the most cost-effective option of the 3.

目的:偏头痛是一种使人衰弱的慢性疾病,需要多方面的治疗方法,包括急性、预防性和非药物干预。小分子降钙素基因相关肽(CGRP)受体拮抗剂,也被称为gepants,为一线和二线治疗难治性患者提供了三线治疗选择。与常规治疗相比,本研究评估了3种CGRP拮抗剂——ubrogepant (Ubrelvy)、rimegepant (Nurtec ODT)和zavegepant (Zavzpret)的成本-效果。研究设计:患者与常规护理的成本-效果分析。方法:采用马尔可夫模型从美国付款人的角度评估成本效益,纳入5种健康状态:治疗期间轻度、中度和重度疼痛;治疗期间无疼痛;停止治疗。该分析是在5年的时间范围内进行的,周期为48小时,贴现成本和质量调整生命年(QALYs)每年为3%。情景分析用于确定结果的稳健性。结果:在每个QALY的支付意愿阈值为5万美元、10万美元或15万美元时,没有一个受试者具有成本效益。3种治疗方案中,子宫内膜炎是最具成本效益的治疗方案;与膨润剂相比,每QALY的增量成本效益比为93,700.20美元,比zavegepant成本更低,效果更好。结论:Ubrogepant、rimegepant和zavegepant不是治疗急性偏头痛的成本效益选择,但可能适用于每月偏头痛发作2次或更少的患者。如果要处方妊娠药,妊娠药是三者中最具成本效益的选择。
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引用次数: 0
Clinician-identified health characteristics and palliative care eligibility: is dementia overlooked? 临床鉴定的健康特征和姑息治疗资格:痴呆症被忽视了吗?
IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.37765/ajmc.2025.89817
Elizabeth A Luth, Carlin Brickner, Kathryn Bowles

Objectives: Community-based palliative care provides support for community-dwelling individuals with elevated mortality risk, including those with dementia, who are underserved by palliative care. However, clinicians' eligibility assessment processes are not well understood. This study evaluates the relationship between the factors that clinicians indicate are important and the eligibility determinations for a community-based palliative care program.

Study design: Retrospective cohort analysis of July 2022 to December 2023 Medicare administrative claims data for a Medicare Advantage plan offering community-based palliative care. Participants included all members of the Medicare Advantage insurance plan who were identified as being at elevated risk for mortality and evaluated for palliative care need.

Methods: Multivariate logistic regression examined the relationship between eligibility determinations for a community-based palliative care program (outcome) and 4 factors that palliative care team members identify as important for determining palliative care need: diagnoses, symptom management, functional ability, and health care utilization.

Results: Of 343 palliative care evaluations (for 322 unique patients), 38% were of patients who identified as African American/Black, 38% as White, 9% as Asian/Pacific Islander, and 15% as other races; 41% were of patients who identified as Hispanic/Latino (measured separately from race); 80% were of female patients; and the mean patient age was 88 years. Of these, 169 (49%) evaluations were for patients who were eligible for palliative care. In multivariate logistic regression analysis of the factors team members deemed important when determining eligibility, only dementia was significantly associated-and negatively-with the final eligibility decision (adjusted OR, 0.45; 95% CI, 0.26-0.75; P  = .003).

Conclusions: There is a potential mismatch between what clinicians identify as important in determining palliative care need and final eligibility determinations. Patients with dementia were less likely to be referred for palliative care despite elevated risk of mortality, indicating a potential missed opportunity.

目的:以社区为基础的姑息治疗为社区居住的死亡风险高的个人提供支持,包括痴呆症患者,他们得不到姑息治疗的服务。然而,临床医生的资格评估过程并没有得到很好的理解。本研究评估了临床医生指出的重要因素与社区姑息治疗计划的资格决定之间的关系。研究设计:回顾性队列分析2022年7月至2023年12月提供社区姑息治疗的医疗保险优势计划的医疗保险行政索赔数据。参与者包括所有医疗保险优势计划的成员,他们被确定为死亡风险较高,并评估了姑息治疗需求。方法:多变量logistic回归检验了社区姑息治疗项目(结果)的资格决定与姑息治疗团队成员认为对确定姑息治疗需求重要的4个因素之间的关系:诊断、症状管理、功能能力和医疗保健利用。结果:在343项姑息治疗评估中(针对322名特殊患者),38%的患者被认定为非裔美国人/黑人,38%为白人,9%为亚洲/太平洋岛民,15%为其他种族;41%的患者被认为是西班牙裔/拉丁裔(与种族分开测量);女性占80%;患者的平均年龄为88岁。其中,169项(49%)评估是针对有资格接受姑息治疗的患者。在对团队成员在确定资格时认为重要的因素进行多因素logistic回归分析时,只有痴呆与最终的资格决定显著相关(校正OR为0.45;95% CI为0.26-0.75;P = 0.003)。结论:在确定姑息治疗需求和最终资格确定时,临床医生认为重要的内容可能不匹配。尽管死亡风险升高,但痴呆症患者接受姑息治疗的可能性较小,这表明可能错过了一个机会。
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引用次数: 0
Preventing tomorrow's high-cost claims: the rising-risk patient opportunity in Medicaid. 预防未来的高成本索赔:医疗补助中风险增加的病人机会。
IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.37765/ajmc.2025.89816
Sadiq Y Patel, Harold A Pollack, Sanjay Basu

This commentary notes the superiority of targeting rising-risk patients rather than high-cost claimants for Medicaid cost containment based on analysis of 13.1 million beneficiaries across 15 states. In 2019, spending for rising-risk patients (13.6% of sample) increased by 98.5% whereas spending for high-cost claimants (0.64%) decreased by 41.6%. Significantly, 54% of high-cost claimants in the first half of 2019 fell below the cost threshold in the second half of the year, and 50% of new high-cost claimants were previously identified as rising risk. Our findings reveal the limitations of focusing solely on high-cost claimants, whose costs naturally decrease due to regression to the mean. We argue that Medicaid programs should shift from reactive, cost-management interventions to proactive, prevention-oriented outreach, particularly as new predictive algorithms become more sensitive and specific. Early identification of and intervention for rising-risk patients is a more effective way to prevent the progression of chronic conditions and manage associated costs than attempting to reduce extreme utilization, which tends to decrease naturally over time.

根据对15个州1310万受益人的分析,这篇评论指出了针对风险上升的患者而不是医疗补助成本控制的高成本索赔人的优势。2019年,高风险患者(占样本的13.6%)的支出增长了98.5%,而高成本索赔者(0.64%)的支出下降了41.6%。值得注意的是,2019年上半年54%的高成本索赔人在下半年跌破了成本门槛,50%的新高成本索赔人之前被确定为风险上升。我们的研究结果揭示了只关注高成本索赔人的局限性,由于回归均值,其成本自然会降低。我们认为,医疗补助计划应该从被动的、成本管理干预转向主动的、以预防为导向的推广,尤其是在新的预测算法变得更加敏感和具体的情况下。与试图减少过度使用相比,早期识别和干预高危患者是预防慢性疾病进展和管理相关费用的更有效方法,过度使用往往会随着时间的推移自然减少。
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引用次数: 0
Relationship between medication adherence and other Medicare star rating measures. 药物依从性与其他医保星级评定措施的关系。
IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.37765/ajmc.2025.89820
Eric P Borrelli, Peter Saad, Nathan E Barnes, Idal Beer, Julia D Lucaci

Objectives: To assess the interrelation between Medicare Star Ratings medication adherence measures and other intermediate and process measures.

Study design: A cross-sectional analysis was performed of the annual Medicare Star Ratings health plan performance data from Star Ratings years 2015-2025. The analysis evaluated the potential relationship between (1) renin-angiotensin system antagonist (RASA) adherence and controlling blood pressure, (2) noninsulin antidiabetic adherence and controlling blood glucose, (3) statin adherence and statin therapy for patients with cardiovascular disease (CVD), and (4) statin adherence and statin use in persons with diabetes (SUPD).

Methods: The outcomes of interest were ORs and 95% CIs evaluating the likelihood of a health plan achieving 5 stars or at least 4 stars on the intermediate or process measures if they achieved 5 stars or at least 4 stars on the medication adherence measures compared with not achieving 5 stars or at least 4 stars on the medication adherence measures.

Results: Plans that achieved 5 stars on the antidiabetic adherence measure and RASA adherence measure had significantly higher odds of achieving 5 stars on their respective intermediate measures (blood glucose control: OR, 3.50; 95% CI, 2.98-4.12; blood pressure control: OR, 4.61; 95% CI, 3.82-5.60). Plans that achieved 5 stars on the statin adherence measure had significantly higher odds of achieving 5 stars on statin therapy for patients with CVD and SUPD (CVD: OR, 4.68; 95% CI, 3.49-6.27; SUPD: OR, 4.37; 95% CI, 3.26-5.85).

Conclusions: Medicare Star Ratings medication adherence measures are significantly tied to intermediate and statin process measures. Targeted interventions to improve adherence should be a key strategy for health plans to enhance both clinical outcomes and financial incentives.

目的:评估医疗星级评定药物依从性措施与其他中间和过程措施之间的相互关系。研究设计:对2015-2025年Star Ratings年度医疗保险Star Ratings健康计划绩效数据进行横断面分析。该分析评估了(1)肾素-血管紧张素系统拮抗剂(RASA)依从性与控制血压之间的潜在关系,(2)非胰岛素降糖药依从性与控制血糖,(3)心血管疾病(CVD)患者他汀类药物依从性与他汀类药物治疗之间的潜在关系,以及(4)糖尿病患者他汀类药物依从性与他汀类药物使用之间的潜在关系。方法:关注的结果是ORs和95% ci,评估健康计划在药物依从性措施上达到5星或至少4星与在药物依从性措施上没有达到5星或至少4星相比,在中间或过程措施上达到5星或至少4星的可能性。结果:在降糖依从性措施和RASA依从性措施上达到5星的计划在各自的中间措施上达到5星的几率显著更高(血糖控制:OR, 3.50; 95% CI, 2.98-4.12;血压控制:OR, 4.61; 95% CI, 3.82-5.60)。在他汀类药物依从性指标上达到5星的计划,对于患有CVD和SUPD的患者,他汀类药物治疗达到5星的几率显著更高(CVD: OR, 4.68; 95% CI, 3.49-6.27; SUPD: OR, 4.37; 95% CI, 3.26-5.85)。结论:医疗Star评分药物依从性措施与中间和他汀类药物过程措施显著相关。改善依从性的有针对性的干预措施应成为卫生计划的关键战略,以提高临床结果和财政激励。
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引用次数: 0
Managed care reflections: a Q&A with Laurie C. Zephyrin, MD, MPH, MBA. 管理式护理反思:与医学博士、公共卫生硕士、工商管理硕士Laurie C. Zephyrin的问答。
IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.37765/ajmc.2025.89815
Laurie C Zephyrin, Christina Mattina

To mark the 30th anniversary of The American Journal of Managed Care (AJMC), each issue in 2025 includes a special feature: reflections from a thought leader on what has changed-and what has not-over the past 3 decades and what's next for managed care. The November issue features a conversation with Laurie C. Zephyrin, MD, MPH, MBA, senior vice president for achieving equitable outcomes at the Commonwealth Fund.

为了纪念《美国管理式医疗杂志》(AJMC)创刊30周年,2025年的每期杂志都有一个专题:一位思想领袖对过去30年里哪些变化了、哪些没有变化的反思,以及管理式医疗的下一步是什么。11月号刊登了与Laurie C. Zephyrin的对话,他是医学博士,公共卫生硕士,工商管理硕士,联邦基金负责实现公平结果的高级副总裁。
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引用次数: 0
The biosimilar shift: trending infliximab biosimilar utilization and associated cost savings for commercial insurance. 生物仿制药的转变:趋势英夫利昔单抗生物仿制药的使用和相关的成本节约的商业保险。
IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-10-01 DOI: 10.37765/ajmc.2025.89811
Samantha R Paglinco, Mahmoud Abdel-Rasoul, Megan McNicol, Morgane C Mouslim, Brendan Boyle, Jennifer L Dotson, Hilary K Michel, Ross M Maltz

Objectives: To evaluate the effects of the introduction of infliximab biosimilars on the cost of infliximab originator, the associated cost savings with infliximab biosimilars, and the market utilization of infliximab products in the first 5 years after infliximab biosimilars became available in the US.

Study design: Retrospective longitudinal analysis.

Methods: A retrospective longitudinal analysis with an interrupted time series analysis was performed using the Merative MarketScan Commercial Claims and Encounters Database for outpatient infliximab claims from January 1, 2015, to December 31, 2021, for patients aged 0 to 64 years with commercial insurance. Outcomes of interest included market share of all infliximab products, cost per vial and infusion, and projected cost savings to the health care system after adjusting for inflation using the US Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index for medical care.

Results: A total of 471,731 claims from 42,099 unique patients met the inclusion criteria. Using an interrupted time series analysis, there was a 13-month lag before infliximab biosimilar utilization began to affect originator drug cost. Infliximab utilization increased to 26% by December 2021, and the price per infusion and per vial of infliximab originator decreased by 53% and 62%, respectively, from December 2017 to December 2021. The introduction of infliximab biosimilars has saved the US health care system an estimated $260 million to $842 million.

Conclusions: Utilization of infliximab biosimilars steadily increased in the first 5 years after market entry. The competition created by biosimilars has contributed to significant health care savings and a decrease in the total cost of both the infliximab originator drug and its biosimilars.

目的:评估引入英夫利昔单抗生物类似药对英夫利昔单抗原药成本的影响,英夫利昔单抗生物类似药的相关成本节约,以及英夫利昔单抗产品在美国上市后前5年的市场利用率。研究设计:回顾性纵向分析。方法:使用Merative MarketScan商业索赔和遭遇数据库,对2015年1月1日至2021年12月31日0至64岁有商业保险的患者的门诊英夫利昔单抗索赔进行回顾性纵向分析和中断时间序列分析。关注的结果包括所有英夫利昔单抗产品的市场份额、每瓶和输液成本,以及使用美国劳工统计局医疗保健消费者价格指数调整通货膨胀后医疗保健系统的预计成本节约。结果:42,099例独特患者的471,731例索赔符合纳入标准。使用中断时间序列分析,在英夫利昔单抗生物类似药的使用开始影响初始药物成本之前存在13个月的滞后。到2021年12月,英夫利昔单抗的使用率增加到26%,从2017年12月到2021年12月,英夫利昔单抗原药的每输液和每瓶价格分别下降了53%和62%。英夫利昔单抗生物仿制药的引入为美国医疗保健系统节省了约2.6亿至8.42亿美元。结论:英夫利昔单抗生物类似药在进入市场后的前5年使用率稳步上升。生物仿制药带来的竞争大大节省了医疗费用,降低了英夫利昔单抗原药及其生物仿制药的总成本。
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引用次数: 0
Managed care reflections: a Q&A with Ge Bai, PhD, CPA. 管理式医疗的思考——与葛白(注册会计师)博士的答问
IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-10-01 DOI: 10.37765/ajmc.2025.89804
Ge Bai, Christina Mattina

To mark the 30th anniversary of The American Journal of Managed Care (AJMC), each issue in 2025 includes a special feature: reflections from a thought leader on what has changed-and what has not-over the past 3 decades and what's next for managed care. The October issue features a conversation with Ge Bai, PhD, CPA, professor of accounting at Johns Hopkins Carey Business School and professor of health policy and management at Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health in Baltimore, Maryland.

为了纪念《美国管理式医疗杂志》(AJMC)创刊30周年,2025年的每期杂志都有一个专题:一位思想领袖对过去30年里哪些变化了、哪些没有变化的反思,以及管理式医疗的下一步是什么。10月号刊登了与葛白的对话,葛白博士,注册会计师,约翰霍普金斯大学凯里商学院会计学教授,约翰霍普金斯大学彭博公共卫生学院卫生政策和管理学教授。
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引用次数: 0
Value-based care interventions and management of CKD progression. 基于价值的护理干预和CKD进展的管理。
IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2025-10-01 DOI: 10.37765/ajmc.2025.89812
Melissa Feeney, Joseph Mehltretter, Tammy Cheung, Emily Simon, Farhad Modarai

Objectives: This study aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of value-based care (VBC) interventions in slowing the progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD), as measured by changes in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) over time.

Study design: This retrospective cohort study used eGFR values from 2017 to 2023 to evaluate 623 patients with stage 3b or 4 CKD with routine eGFR testing who received VBC intervention. The focus was on comparing rates of eGFR decline before and after enrollment in the VBC.

Methods: Linear regression was used to model patient-specific trajectories of kidney function across time using eGFR, with the slope serving as an estimate for the rate of disease progression.Patients were grouped into cohorts by disease stage, and mixed-effects models were used to compare the rates of eGFR decline pre- and post VBC intervention.

Results: The rate of eGFR decline was slower across all CKD stages after enrollment compared with before, with a 77.2% reduction in the median rate of eGFR decline in stage 3b (P < .001) and 65.2% in stage 4 (P < .001). As a result of the reduced rates of disease progression, patients had higher median eGFR values at their latest month of eGFR measurement post enrollment compared with the eGFR values expected without a VBC intervention (stage 3b, 1.9 mL/min/1.73 m2 higher; stage 4, 3.5 mL/min/1.73 m2 higher).

Conclusions: Our findings indicate statistically significant differences in the rate of eGFR decline after enrollment in a VBC model, particularly for those in advanced CKD stages.

目的:本研究旨在通过肾小球滤过率(eGFR)随时间的变化来评估基于价值的护理(VBC)干预在减缓慢性肾脏疾病(CKD)进展方面的有效性。研究设计:这项回顾性队列研究使用2017年至2023年的eGFR值来评估623例接受VBC干预的常规eGFR检测的3b或4期CKD患者。重点是比较在VBC入组前后的eGFR下降率。方法:采用线性回归方法,利用eGFR对患者特定的肾脏功能随时间的变化轨迹进行建模,斜率作为疾病进展率的估计。根据疾病分期将患者分组,并使用混合效应模型来比较VBC干预前后eGFR下降率。结果:与入组前相比,eGFR下降的速度在所有CKD阶段都较慢,在3b期eGFR下降的中位率降低了77.2% (P结论:我们的研究结果表明,在VBC模型入组后,eGFR下降的速度具有统计学意义,特别是对于晚期CKD患者。
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American Journal of Managed Care
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