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Relationship between Ecosystem-Services Trade-Offs and Supply–Demand Balance along a Precipitation Gradient: A Case Study in the Central Loess Plateau of China 降水梯度上生态系统服务权衡与供需平衡之间的关系:中国中部黄土高原案例研究
Pub Date : 2024-07-15 DOI: 10.3390/land13071057
Qiang Feng, Baoling Duan, Xiao Zhang
Although the theory of ecosystem services (ESs) is important for guiding land-use planning, knowledge of ESs trade-offs and supply–demand mechanisms is still lacking, and the characteristics of the correlation between the size of trade-offs and the balance between supply and demand along the precipitation gradient have not yet been clarified. In order to supplement this area of knowledge of ESs, we selected 30 small watersheds in high-, medium- and low-precipitation areas as study units. A biophysical model and socio-economic data were used to calculate supply and demand for carbon sequestration, soil conservation and water yield. Redundancy analysis and regression analysis were used to study the ESs trade-offs, the supply–demand dynamics, and the characteristics of their correlation. The results were as follows. (1) The supply and balance between supply and demand of the three ESs, the trade-off between carbon sequestration and water yield and the trade-off between soil conservation and water yield trended downwards from the high-precipitation area to the medium-precipitation area to the low-precipitation area. (2) The primary factors influencing balance between supply and demand with regard to carbon sequestration in high-, medium- and low-precipitation areas were population density and soil organic-matter content, and the size of the conditional effects were greater than 53%. The dominant factor affecting the balance between supply and demand with regard to soil conservation in the three precipitation areas was slope gradient, and the conditional effect was greater than 40%. The most significant determinants of balance between supply and demand with regard to water yield in the three precipitation areas were grassland area, forest area and precipitation, and the conditional effects were greater than 22%. (3) The most significant determinants of the trade-off between carbon sequestration and water yield in high-, medium- and low-precipitation areas were forest, soil organic-matter content and population density, and the conditional effects were all greater than 45%; the primary factors affecting the trade-off between soil conservation and water yield in high-, medium- and low-precipitation areas were grassland and slope gradient, and the conditional effects were all greater than 24%. (4) The relationship between the balance between supply and demand and trade-off size often followed a quadratic function; the next-most-common relationship was a monotonous nonlinear response, and a linear response relationship was relatively rare. This study revealed the factors influencing balance between supply and demand and trade-offs with regard to ESs and the characteristics of their correlations in areas with different degrees of precipitation, which provided a new idea for the synchronous regulation of ESs in the context of conflicts and supply–demand imbalance.
尽管生态系统服务(ESs)理论对于指导土地利用规划具有重要意义,但有关生态系统服务的权衡和供需机制的知识仍然缺乏,降水梯度上的权衡大小与供需平衡之间的相关性特征也尚未明确。为了补充这一领域的生态系统服务知识,我们选择了高、中、低降水量地区的 30 个小流域作为研究单元。我们使用生物物理模型和社会经济数据计算了碳封存、土壤保持和水资源产量的供需关系。利用冗余分析和回归分析研究了生态系统服务的权衡、供需动态及其相关性特征。研究结果如下(1)三种生态系统的供给与供需平衡、固碳与产水量之间的权衡、水土保持与产水量之间的权衡从高淀积区到中淀积区再到低淀积区呈下降趋势。(2)影响高、中、低吸水区固碳供需平衡的主要因素是人口密度和土壤有机质含量,条件效应的大小均大于 53%。影响三个降水区域土壤保持供需平衡的主导因素是坡度,条件效应大于 40%。三个降水区水量供需平衡最显著的决定因素是草原面积、森林面积和降水量,条件效应均大于 22%。(3)高、中、低降水量地区碳汇与水量权衡最显著的决定因素是森林、土壤有机质含量和人口密度,条件效应均大于 45%;高、中、低降水量地区影响水土保持与水量权衡的主要因素是草地和坡度,条件效应均大于 24%。(4)水土保持供需平衡与权衡规模之间的关系多为二次函数关系,其次为单调非线性响应关系,线性响应关系相对较少。本研究揭示了不同降水程度地区影响生态系统服务供需平衡与权衡的因素及其相关性特征,为冲突与供需失衡背景下的生态系统服务同步调控提供了新思路。
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引用次数: 0
The Temporal and Spatial Dynamics of Succession in a Glacial Foreland in Southern Iceland: The Effects of Landscape Heterogeneity 冰岛南部冰川前陆演替的时空动态:景观异质性的影响
Pub Date : 2024-07-15 DOI: 10.3390/land13071055
Lawrence Tanner, Genevieve Kikukawa, Kaylyn Weits
One of the more visible consequences of anthropogenic climate change is the ongoing retreat of glaciers worldwide. Rates of primary succession in the resulting glacial forelands are commonly calculated from a single measurement set using a single set of measurements across a landscape of varying age, but repeated measurements over decadal scales may be a more effective means of examining the rates and trends of colonization and community development. Repeated measurements of vegetation groups in a glacial foreland in southern Iceland demonstrate that successional changes are measurable, as shown by the calculation of the dissimilarity index at sites over a 15 year interval. Inter-site dissimilarity validates the essential paradigm of primary succession, where vegetative coverage increases in the glacial foreland as a function of time and supports earlier interpretations saying that species richness decreases on older surfaces, even as the total vegetation cover increases. However, successional processes are subject to major abiotic factors, such as aspect, which is controlled by landscape topography, and the substrate composition. The glacial moraines and outwash plain are underlain by different substrates which produce separate successional trajectories. Succession on the moraines ultimately produces a birch-shrub-heath community, while the outwash deposits promote development of a moss-heath community.
人类活动造成的气候变化的一个更明显的后果是全球冰川的不断后退。对不同年龄的冰川地貌进行单次测量,通常可以计算出冰川前陆的原始演替率,但在十年尺度上进行重复测量,可能是研究殖民化和群落发展速度和趋势的更有效方法。对冰岛南部冰川前陆植被群落的重复测量表明,演替变化是可以测量的,这一点可以通过计算各站点 15 年间的差异指数得到证明。冰川前陆的植被覆盖率随着时间的推移而增加,站点间的差异验证了原生演替的基本模式,并支持了之前的解释,即即使植被总覆盖率增加,老地表的物种丰富度也会下降。然而,演替过程受制于主要的非生物因素,如受地形地貌控制的地势和基质成分。冰碛区和冲积平原由不同的基质覆盖,因而产生了不同的演替轨迹。冰碛上的演替最终会形成桦树-灌木-沼泽群落,而冲积层则会促进苔藓-沼泽群落的发展。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial and Temporal Dynamics and Multi-Scenario Forecasting of Habitat Quality in Gansu–Qinghai Contiguous Region of the Upper Yellow River 黄河上游甘肃-青海毗连区栖息地质量的时空动态和多情景预测
Pub Date : 2024-07-15 DOI: 10.3390/land13071060
Xuan Zhang, Huali Tong, Ling Zhao, Enwei Huang, Guofeng Zhu
Human activities exert a profound influence on land use and land cover, and these changes directly influence habitat quality and ecosystem functioning. In the Gansu–Qinghai contiguous region of the upper Yellow River, habitat quality has undergone substantial transformations in recent years due to the synergistic impacts of natural processes and human intervention. Therefore, evaluating the effects of land use changes on habitat quality is crucial for advancing regional sustainable development and improving the worth of ecosystem services. In response to these challenges, we devised a two-pronged approach: a land use simulation (FLUS) model and an integrated valuation of ecosystem services and trade-offs (InVEST) model, leveraging remote sensing data. This integrated methodology establishes a research framework for the evaluation and simulation of spatial and temporal variations in habitat quality. The results of the study show that, firstly, from 1980 to 2020, the habitat quality index in the Gansu–Qinghai contiguous region of the upper Yellow River decreased from 0.8528 to 0.8434. Secondly, our predictions anticipate a decrease in habitat quality, although the decline is not pronounced across all scenarios. The highest habitat quality values were projected under the EP (Ecology Priority) scenario, followed by the CLP (Cultivated Land Priority) scenario, while the BAU (Business as Usual) scenario consistently yielded the lowest values in all three scenarios. Finally, the ecological land, including forest land and grassland, consistently occupied areas characterized by high habitat quality. In contrast, Construction land consistently appeared in regions associated with low habitat quality. The implementation of conservation measures emerges as a crucial strategy, effectively limiting the expansion of construction land and promoting the augmentation of forest land and grassland cover. This approach serves to enhance overall habitat quality. These outcomes furnish a scientific foundation for the judicious formulation of future land-use policies and ecological protection measures.
人类活动对土地利用和土地覆盖产生了深远的影响,这些变化直接影响着栖息地的质量和生态系统的功能。近年来,在黄河上游甘肃-青海毗连区,由于自然过程和人为干预的协同影响,生境质量发生了巨大变化。因此,评估土地利用变化对生境质量的影响对于促进区域可持续发展和提高生态系统服务价值至关重要。为应对这些挑战,我们设计了一种双管齐下的方法:土地利用模拟(FLUS)模型和生态系统服务与权衡综合评估(InVEST)模型,并充分利用遥感数据。这种综合方法为评估和模拟生境质量的时空变化建立了一个研究框架。研究结果表明:首先,从 1980 年到 2020 年,黄河上游甘肃-青海毗连区的生境质量指数从 0.8528 降至 0.8434。其次,我们预测栖息地质量会下降,但并非所有情景都会明显下降。EP(生态优先)情景下的生境质量值最高,其次是 CLP(耕地优先)情景,而 BAU(一切照旧)情景下的生境质量值在所有三种情景中都是最低的。最后,生态用地(包括林地和草地)始终占据着生境质量较高的区域。与此相反,建设用地则始终位于栖息地质量较低的区域。实施保护措施是一项重要战略,可有效限制建设用地的扩张,促进林地和草地覆盖面积的增加。这种方法有助于提高栖息地的整体质量。这些成果为明智地制定未来的土地使用政策和生态保护措施奠定了科学基础。
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引用次数: 0
The Relationship between Urbanization and the Water Environment in the Chengdu-Chongqing Urban Agglomeration 成渝城市群城市化与水环境的关系
Pub Date : 2024-07-14 DOI: 10.3390/land13071054
Yu Chen, Sisi Zhong, Xinlan Liang, Yanru Li, Jing Cheng, Ying Cao
Ensuring the harmonization between urbanization and water environment systems is imperative for fostering sustainable regional development in the future. With urban agglomerations and metropolitan areas increasingly dominating urbanization trends in China, it is crucial to explore the interdependent relationship between urbanization and the water environment. Such exploration holds significant implications for water resource management and the formulation of urbanization policies. This study utilizes a comprehensive index system encompassing urbanization and the water environment. It examines the coupled and coordinated spatial and temporal dynamics of these systems within the Chengdu-Chongqing Urban Agglomeration from 2011 to 2019. This analysis employs the Coupled Coordination Degree model alongside the spatial autocorrelation model. The results show that there is still much room for improving the urbanization development level and the water environment quality. During the study period, a nonlinear and nearly U-shaped evolutionary trajectory was observed between the two systems. The results suggest that there is a progression from basic to more advanced coordination between urbanization and water environment at the city cluster scale. Urbanization appears to generally lag behind the water environment in terms of coordination. At the municipal scale, there is a gradient in which some cities show better coordination compared to others. Spatially, the coupling and coordination of this region exhibited dual-core development characteristics centered around Chengdu and Chongqing. The region is in the transition stage towards a core-type networked and decentralized development mode, which has not yet formed an integrated pattern. This offers a theoretical and technical framework for harmonizing water environments and urbanization in similar regions globally.
要促进未来区域的可持续发展,就必须确保城市化与水环境系统之间的协调。随着城市群和大都市区日益成为中国城市化的主导趋势,探讨城市化与水环境之间的相互依存关系至关重要。这种探讨对水资源管理和城市化政策的制定具有重要意义。本研究采用了一个涵盖城市化和水环境的综合指标体系。它考察了 2011 年至 2019 年成渝城市群内这些系统的时空耦合协调动态。分析采用了耦合协调度模型和空间自相关模型。结果表明,城市化发展水平和水环境质量仍有很大的提升空间。在研究期间,两个系统之间出现了非线性和近似 U 型的演化轨迹。研究结果表明,在城市群尺度上,城市化与水环境之间的协调存在一个从基础到高级的发展过程。在协调方面,城市化似乎总体上落后于水环境。在市级范围内,一些城市与其他城市相比表现出更好的协调性。从空间上看,该区域的耦合与协调表现出以成都和重庆为中心的双核发展特征。该地区正处于向核心型网络化、分散型发展模式过渡的阶段,尚未形成一体化格局。这为全球类似地区的水环境与城市化协调提供了理论和技术框架。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic Replacement of Soil Inorganic Carbon under Water Erosion 水蚀作用下土壤无机碳的动态置换
Pub Date : 2024-07-14 DOI: 10.3390/land13071053
Chen Zhang, Can Xu, Tianbao Huang, Liankai Zhang, Jinjiang Yang, Guiren Chen, Xiongwei Xu, Fuyan Zou, Zihao Liu, Zhenhui Wang
The dynamic replacement of soil organic carbon represents a pivotal mechanism through which water erosion modulates soil–atmosphere CO2 fluxes. However, the extent of this dynamic replacement of soil inorganic carbon within this process remains unclear. In our study, we focused on Yuanmou County, China, a prototypical region afflicted by water erosion, as our study area. We leveraged the WaTEM/SEDEM model to quantify the dynamic replacement of soil carbon, accounted for the average annual net change in soil carbon pools, and used isotope tracer techniques to track and measure the process of the coupled carbon–water cycling. This comprehensive approach enabled us to scrutinize the dynamic replacement of soil carbon under water erosion and delineate its ramifications for the carbon cycle. Our findings unveiled that the surface soil carbon reservoir in the Yuanmou area receives an annual replacement of 47,600 ± 12,600 tons following water erosion events. A substantial portion, amounting to 39,700 ± 10,500 tons, stems from the dynamic replacement of soil inorganic carbon facilitated by atmospheric carbon. These results underscore the critical role of the dynamic replacement of soil inorganic carbon in altering the soil–atmosphere CO2 fluxes under water erosion, thereby influencing the carbon cycle dynamics. Consequently, we advocate for the integration of water erosion processes into regional carbon sink assessments to attain a more comprehensive understanding of regional carbon dynamics.
土壤有机碳的动态置换是水侵蚀调节土壤-大气二氧化碳通量的关键机制。然而,在这一过程中,土壤无机碳的动态置换程度仍不清楚。在我们的研究中,我们以中国元谋县为研究区域,元谋县是一个典型的水土流失地区。我们利用 WaTEM/SEDEM 模型量化了土壤碳的动态置换,计算了土壤碳库的年均净变化,并使用同位素示踪技术跟踪和测量了碳-水循环耦合过程。这种综合方法使我们能够仔细研究水侵蚀作用下土壤碳的动态置换,并阐明其对碳循环的影响。我们的研究结果表明,元谋地区的地表土壤碳库在水蚀事件后的年替换量为 47,600 ± 12,600 吨。其中很大一部分(39700 ± 10500 吨)来自大气碳对土壤无机碳的动态置换。这些结果强调了土壤无机碳的动态置换在水侵蚀条件下改变土壤-大气二氧化碳通量,从而影响碳循环动态中的关键作用。因此,我们主张将水侵蚀过程纳入区域碳汇评估,以便更全面地了解区域碳动态。
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引用次数: 0
Transitional and Post-Mining Land Uses: A Global Review of Regulatory Frameworks, Decision-Making Criteria, and Methods 过渡性和采矿后土地利用:对监管框架、决策标准和方法的全球审查
Pub Date : 2024-07-13 DOI: 10.3390/land13071051
Chrysoula Pagouni, Francis Pavloudakis, Ioannis Kapageridis, Athena Yiannakou
Post-mining land management is an integral part of surface mining and quarrying operations. In this context, the questions raised concern what course of action is mandated by laws and regulations; what type of land reclamation should be implemented, taking into account the site-specific conditions prevailing in each mining area; what are the appropriate land uses; and by what criteria and methodology can these be determined? The literature review conducted as part of the present study revealed that in addition to the traditional 4R actions of land management, namely remediation, restoration, reclamation, and rehabilitation, two more actions, repurposing and co-purposing, have now been added, with the purpose to address the social and economic impacts of mine closures. Furthermore, numerous land uses were documented and categorized into 11 classes, 38 sub-classes, and 119 alternatives. Nine criteria for selecting land uses were identified, expressed through 72 attributes that served as input information for 22 multicriteria methods, which, in most cases, were applied in combination of two or more.
采矿后的土地管理是露天采矿和采石作业不可分割的一部分。在这种情况下,提出的问题包括:法律法规规定了哪些行动方案;考虑到每个矿区的具体情况,应实施哪种类型的土地复垦;哪些是适当的土地用途;以及通过什么标准和方法来确定这些用途?作为本研究一部分的文献综述显示,除了传统的土地管理 4R 行动,即补救、恢复、复垦和复原之外,现在又增加了两个行动,即重新利用和共同利用,目的是解决矿山关闭对社会和经济的影响。此外,还记录了众多土地用途,并将其分为 11 个类别、38 个子类别和 119 个备选方案。确定了选择土地用途的九项标准,这些标准通过 72 个属性表达,作为 22 种多标准方法的输入信息,在大多数情况下,这些方法结合两种或更多种方法使用。
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引用次数: 0
Policy-Driven Vegetation Restoration in Qinghai Province: Spatiotemporal Analysis and Policy Evaluation 青海省政策驱动的植被恢复:时空分析与政策评估
Pub Date : 2024-07-13 DOI: 10.3390/land13071052
Yuchen Zhang, Jianghong Zhu, Lin Wang, Ke Wang, Jianjun Zhang
The Chinese government has implemented numerous ecological policies in Qinghai Province aimed at protecting and restoring the natural ecosystem. Yet, amid global climate change, the precise effects of these policies on ecological improvement remain ambiguous. There is an urgent need for a comprehensive evaluation of the effects of these policies at a regional scale and an analysis of the changes in policy implementation stages to optimize the strategic direction of regional ecological policies. In this study, using mathematical statistics and spatial analysis, we analysed the spatial and temporal characteristics of the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) in Qinghai Province from 2000 to 2023. Further, by systematically reviewing ten major ecological policies currently or previously implemented in the region, we explored the response of vegetation restoration to these policies through both horizontal and vertical evaluations by reasonably delineating the policy study sub-zones. The study identified distinct stages of policy implementation—regreening, stabilizing, and natural recovery—and correlated these stages with the efficacy of policy impacts. Our findings indicate significant vegetation coverage improvements across Qinghai Province over the past two decades, with all ecological policies positively influencing the environment. The main contribution of this study is that it comprehensively evaluates the impact of multiple ecological policies on vegetation restoration at the regional scale, providing a reference for the formulation and adjustment of subsequent ecological policies.
中国政府在青海省实施了多项旨在保护和恢复自然生态系统的生态政策。然而,在全球气候变化的背景下,这些政策对生态改善的确切影响仍然模糊不清。因此,迫切需要对这些政策在区域范围内的效果进行综合评估,并分析政策实施阶段的变化,以优化区域生态政策的战略方向。本研究利用数理统计和空间分析方法,分析了青海省 2000-2023 年归一化差异植被指数(NDVI)的时空特征。此外,通过系统梳理该地区目前或之前实施的十项主要生态政策,合理划分政策研究分区,通过横向和纵向评价,探讨植被恢复对这些政策的响应。这项研究确定了政策实施的不同阶段--绿化、稳定和自然恢复,并将这些阶段与政策影响的效果联系起来。我们的研究结果表明,在过去二十年中,青海省的植被覆盖率有了明显改善,所有生态政策都对环境产生了积极影响。本研究的主要贡献在于在区域尺度上全面评估了多种生态政策对植被恢复的影响,为后续生态政策的制定和调整提供了参考。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial Heterogeneity Analysis of the Multidimensional Characteristics of Urban Green Spaces in China—A Study Based on 285 Prefecture-Level Cities 中国城市绿地多维特征的空间异质性分析--基于 285 个地级市的研究
Pub Date : 2024-07-13 DOI: 10.3390/land13071050
Wei Zhao, Dianfeng Liu, Jiqiang Niu, Jianhua He, Feng Xu
Quantitative measurement of urban green spaces (UGSs) plays a fundamental role in enhancing their ecological functions and services. Current studies have not adequately analyzed the multifunctional characteristics and the diverse benefits of urban green spaces at the national scale. This study developed a multidimensional indicator system in terms of scale, pattern, and services to measure green spaces in 285 prefecture-level cities in China. The influences of different geographic zones and urban development on UGS characteristics were also investigated. The results showed that per capita area of urban green spaces were significantly different between the two sides of the “Botai Line”, and the UGS structure was mainly dominated by woodlands. Urban green spaces in the central and east had higher fragmentation, lower landscape diversity, and weaker connectivity. The spatial accessibility of green spaces exhibited a “low–high–medium” pattern from north to south in China, with central-eastern China experiencing the worst equity in green space supply. Overall, cities with higher integrated benefits of green spaces were mainly located in Northeast and North China. Type I large cities had higher ratings for UGS characteristics compared with the other types of cities. These findings can serve as solid guidance for cities seeking to build green space systems with highly integrated socio–ecological benefits.
对城市绿地(UGSs)进行定量测量对增强其生态功能和服务起着基础性作用。目前的研究尚未在全国范围内充分分析城市绿地的多功能特征和多样化效益。本研究从规模、格局和服务三个方面建立了多维指标体系,用以衡量中国 285 个地级市的绿地状况。研究还探讨了不同地理区域和城市发展对城市绿地系统特征的影响。结果表明,"博太线 "两侧人均城市绿地面积差异显著,城市绿地结构以林地为主。中部和东部的城市绿地破碎化程度较高,景观多样性较低,连通性较弱。中国城市绿地的空间可达性从北到南呈现 "低-高-中 "的格局,中东部城市绿地供给的公平性最差。总体而言,绿地综合效益较高的城市主要分布在东北和华北地区。与其他类型城市相比,I 类大城市的 UGS 特征得分更高。这些发现可以为城市建设具有高度社会生态综合效益的绿地系统提供可靠的指导。
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引用次数: 0
Quantifying the Wild: Public Acceptance and Challenges of Urban Wildscapes in Chiba, Japan 量化荒野:日本千叶城市荒野景观的公众接受度与挑战
Pub Date : 2024-07-13 DOI: 10.3390/land13071048
Daer Su, Jie Chen, Hongyu Li, S. Luo, Jing Xie, Huixin Wang, Fuhao Sun, Wanyue Ren, Takeshi Kinoshita
People’s reduced connection with nature has led to many health problems. In the NBS framework, urban wildscapes (UWSs) are considered an important solution. They can contribute to improving the health of residents and ecosystems within the city. However, overly wild green spaces may also be offensive to residents. It is necessary to understand the public’s acceptance of UWSs. Current studies on the acceptance of UWSs have used vague terms to generalize the “wildness degree”. In this study, we attempted to quantify the degree of wildness using plant height and plant abundance in Japan and analyzed the results through mediated effect analysis. We discovered the following: 1. Japanese residents have low acceptance of UWSs in vacant lots. 2. The use of “height” and “abundance” may be a more objective way to quantify wildness. 3. The negative effects of abundance can be minimized. The negative effect of height cannot be controlled. This study addresses a gap in the study of Asian cities and proposes a novel approach to quantifying “wildness.” It improves the health benefits of UWSs. Furthermore, it can offer guidance on the management and construction of urban green spaces.
人们与自然的联系减少导致了许多健康问题。在国家生物多样性战略框架中,城市野生景观(UWSs)被认为是一个重要的解决方案。它们有助于改善城市居民的健康和生态系统。然而,过于狂野的绿地也可能会引起居民的反感。有必要了解公众对 UWS 的接受程度。目前,关于公众对公用事业绿地接受程度的研究都使用模糊的术语来概括 "野性程度"。在本研究中,我们尝试使用日本的植物高度和植物丰度来量化野性程度,并通过中介效应分析对结果进行分析。我们发现了以下几点:1.日本居民对空地上的 UWS 接受度较低。2.2. 使用 "高度 "和 "丰度 "来量化野生度可能更客观。3.丰度的负面影响可以最小化。高度的负面影响无法控制。本研究填补了亚洲城市研究的空白,提出了量化 "野趣 "的新方法。它提高了城市综合体对健康的益处。此外,它还能为城市绿地的管理和建设提供指导。
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引用次数: 0
Research on the Spatiotemporal Distribution Characteristics and Accessibility of Traditional Villages Based on Geographic Information Systems—A Case Study of Shandong Province, China 基于地理信息系统的传统村落时空分布特征及可达性研究--以山东省为例
Pub Date : 2024-07-13 DOI: 10.3390/land13071049
Bingliang Li, Yuefeng Lu, Yudi Li, Huaiying Zuo, Ziqi Ding
The traditional settlements are of paramount significance as indispensable elements of China’s cultural heritage, simultaneously functioning as prime assets for the enhancement of rural economic and social dynamics. Nestled within the comprehensive framework of China’s rural revitalization endeavor and Shandong Province’s proactive initiatives toward the amalgamation of cultural and tourism sectors, a meticulous exploration of the spatiotemporal evolution and connectivity of traditional villages in Shandong Province is indispensable for their preservation and forward-thinking evolution. For this study, 557 traditional villages across Shandong Province are identified as pivotal points, with the application of geographic information system (GIS) techniques to scrutinize their spatiotemporal transformation patterns and spatial characteristics. Additionally, a suite of analytical instruments, encompassing metrics for accessibility assessment, ordinary least squares (OLS) linear regression, and geographically weighted regression (GWR) models, are deployed to evaluate the accessibility levels and influential factors shaping traditional villages within the region. The analytical outcomes reveal the following: (1) Chronologically, approximately 80% of the traditional villages in the province of Shandong were established during the Ming and Qing epochs, and they demonstrate a migratory pattern that is spatially and temporally oriented from “southwest to northeast”; geographically, these traditional villages are characterized by pronounced clustering, predominantly situated at the confluence of Jinan and Zibo Cities, the Shantou District of Zaozhuang City, Zhaoyuan City of Yantai City, and Rongcheng City of Weihai City, forming a coherent “four-core” spatial distribution configuration. (2) Considering the criteria for village location, traditional villages in Shandong are predominantly found in areas with a predominantly flat landscape and a certain proximity to water bodies. (3) On the whole, the accessibility of traditional villages in Shandong is relatively high, with the average accessibility assessed at 199.92 min, a range spanning from 175 min, and approximately 57.99% of the villages falling within the 100 to 200 min accessibility bracket, indicating a systematic decline in accessibility from the central areas to the periphery. (4) The pivotal factors influencing the accessibility of traditional villages in Shandong are primarily altitude, slope, and road network density, with altitude and slope showing a negative correlation with accessibility, whereas road network density exhibits a positive correlation, and the proximity to water bodies has a relatively minor impact on accessibility.
传统聚落是中国文化遗产不可或缺的重要组成部分,同时也是增强农村经济和社会活力的重要资产。在中国乡村振兴和山东省积极推进文化旅游融合发展的大背景下,深入探讨山东省传统村落的时空演进与联系,对于传统村落的保护和前瞻性演进至关重要。本研究以山东省 557 个传统村落为支点,运用地理信息系统(GIS)技术对其时空变迁模式和空间特征进行了研究。此外,还采用了一套分析工具,包括可达性评估指标、普通最小二乘法(OLS)线性回归和地理加权回归(GWR)模型,以评估区域内传统村落的可达性水平和影响因素。分析结果如下(1) 从时间上看,山东省约 80% 的传统村落始建于明清时期,在时空上呈现出 "由西南向东北 "的迁徙模式;在地理位置上,这些传统村落具有明显的集聚特征,主要分布在济南市与淄博市、枣庄市山亭区、烟台市招远市和威海市荣成市的交汇处,形成了连贯的 "四核 "空间分布格局。(2)从村落选址的标准来看,山东的传统村落主要分布在地势平坦、靠近水体的地区。(3) 总体而言,山东传统村落的可达性相对较高,平均可达性为 199.92 分钟,范围在 175 分钟之间,约 57.99%的村落在 100 至 200 分钟的可达性范围内,表明可达性从中心区向外围呈系统性下降趋势。(4)影响山东传统村落可达性的关键因素主要是海拔、坡度和路网密度,其中海拔和坡度与可达性呈负相关,而路网密度与可达性呈正相关,靠近水体对可达性的影响相对较小。
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