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Research on the Problems and Countermeasures in the Economic Integration of the Yangtze River Delta 长三角经济一体化的问题与对策研究
Pub Date : 2024-01-15 DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v16n2p121
Leifan Pan
At present, under the background of the rapid development of the world economy, the emergence of various multilateral or organization makes it more and more closely with the economic coordination mechanism.In the process of China’s economic development, the Yangtze River Delta region, as an important part of China’s economic development, is an important factor to promote the development of domestic market economy. However, under the influence of the novel coronavirus pneumonia epidemic, the problems of market development and planned economy are more obvious, and the development resistance between cities is also large.Starting from the actual situation of China’s national conditions, this paper studies the market-oriented reform and the transformation of capital economy existing in the regional integration of the Yangtze River Delta, summarizes the current situation faced by the Yangtze River Delta, the development goals and ideas, the improvement of the coordination system of funds, finance and taxation and the development prospects, and puts forward some targeted countermeasures according to these problems. The Yangtze River Delta region can better promote its own high-quality development under the new development pattern with the domestic great cycle as the main body and the domestic and international double cycles promoting each other.
当前,在世界经济快速发展的背景下,各种多边或组织的出现使得其与经济协调机制的联系越来越紧密,在我国经济发展的过程中,长三角地区作为我国经济发展的重要组成部分,是促进国内市场经济发展的重要因素。本文从我国国情的实际情况出发,研究了长三角区域一体化中存在的市场化改革和资本经济转型问题,总结了长三角当前面临的形势、发展目标和思路、资金财税协调体制的完善和发展前景,并针对这些问题提出了一些针对性的对策。在以国内大循环为主体、国内国际双循环相互促进的新发展格局下,长三角地区可以更好地推动自身的高质量发展。
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引用次数: 0
An Empirical Investigation into the Impact of FDI on Domestic Investments in East, Central and Southern Africa Region 外国直接投资对东部、中部和南部非洲地区国内投资影响的实证调查
Pub Date : 2024-01-12 DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v16n2p99
Esperance Nyinawumuntu, Patrick Muinde
This study examines the impacts of FDI inflows on domestic investments for the East, Central and Southern Africa region. The main study problem is whether FDI inflows into the region leads to a crowding-out or a crowding-in impact on domestic investments and the mechanisms through which such impacts happens. The data was obtained from the World Development Indicators, World Bank, International Monetary Fund and Heritage Foundation for the period 1995 to 2021. Initially, the study targeted all the 25 member countries affiliated to the East, Central and Southern Africa region. However, the final sample dropped to 12 countries due to lack of data. The main empirical estimation model for the study is the fixed effects regression model that is applied for the panel data. From the main findings, the study concludes that: one, there exists a crowding-out effect on domestic investments as a result of FDI inflows into the East, Central and Southern Africa region; and two, the impacts seems to be happening through the real market as opposed to the financial market channels. Notably, the study finds the natural resource curse to be an important factor for FDI impacts for the region. Based on the foregoing conclusions, the policy implications are that reform interventions that prioritize real market may sustain benefits of FDI as the region works towards financial market reforms. Further, the region may consider prioritizing joint reform initiatives as well as national level reforms to become competitive in attracting FDI. Enhancing member states absorptive capacity, addressing problem of human capital flight and increasing investments in technology may accelerate FDI benefits innumerably for the region. Finally, there were limitations on data for some of the countries. That notwithstanding, the 12 countries analyzed offer a sufficient panel data for a credible and robust estimation results.
本研究探讨了外国直接投资流入对东部、中部和南部非洲地区国内投资的影响。研究的主要问题是,流入该地区的外国直接投资是否会对国内投资产生挤出或挤入影响,以及产生这种影响的机制。研究数据来自世界发展指标、世界银行、国际货币基金组织和传统基金会,时间跨度为 1995 年至 2021 年。最初,研究对象是东部、中部和南部非洲地区的所有 25 个成员国。然而,由于缺乏数据,最终样本减少到 12 个国家。本研究的主要实证估计模型是适用于面板数据的固定效应回归模型。研究从主要发现中得出结论:第一,外国直接投资流入东部、中部和南部非洲地区对国内投资存在挤出效应;第二,这种影响似乎是通过实体市场而不是金融市场渠道产生的。值得注意的是,研究发现自然资源诅咒是外国直接投资对该地区产生影响的一个重要因素。基于上述结论,其政策含义是,在该地区致力于金融市场改革的同时,优先考虑实体市场的改革干预措施可能会维持外国直接投资的效益。此外,本区域可考虑优先考虑联合改革举措以及国家层面的改革,以便在吸引外国直接投资方面具有竞争力。提高成员国的吸收能力,解决人力资本外流问题,增加技术投资,这些都可能加速外国直接投资给该地区带来的好处。最后,一些国家的数据存在局限性。尽管如此,所分析的 12 个国家提供了足够的面板数据,可以得出可靠、稳健的估算结果。
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引用次数: 0
Does Budget Deficit Crowd Out Private Investment? Cote d’Ivoire As A Focus 预算赤字会挤出私人投资吗?聚焦科特迪瓦
Pub Date : 2024-01-12 DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v16n2p86
Y. Keho
This study examines the impact of budget deficit on private investment in Cote d’Ivoire. It uses data from 1975 to 2022. Using the autoregressive distributed lag approach, the results disclose a negative relationship between deficit and private investment, providing support to the crowding out hypothesis. This suggests that high deficits driven by government expenditure slow down private investment. Estimating a threshold model, the results confirm the significance of a nonlinear relationship between deficit and private investment. The results indicate that budget deficit lower than 2.3% of GDP is positively associated with private investment. However, once the budget deficit exceeds this threshold, it turns to be neutral to private investment. Since 2020, the budget deficit is higher than the threshold of 2.3%. Therefore, policy-makers are advised to take measures reducing deficit at a level conducive to investment and economic growth. Government should improve tax revenue and restrain the growth of public expenditure while enhancing its efficiency.
本研究探讨了预算赤字对科特迪瓦私人投资的影响。研究使用了 1975 年至 2022 年的数据。使用自回归分布滞后法,结果显示赤字与私人投资之间存在负相关关系,为挤出假说提供了支持。这表明,由政府支出驱动的高赤字会减缓私人投资。通过估计门槛模型,结果证实了赤字与私人投资之间非线性关系的重要性。结果表明,低于国内生产总值 2.3%的预算赤字与私人投资呈正相关。然而,一旦预算赤字超过这一临界值,它对私人投资的影响就会转为中性。自 2020 年起,预算赤字高于 2.3%的临界值。因此,建议决策者采取措施,将赤字降低到有利于投资和经济增长的水平。政府应增加税收,在提高效率的同时限制公共支出的增长。
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引用次数: 0
Investment Incentives and Effective Corporate Tax Rate for Manufacturing Firms in Kenya 肯尼亚制造业企业的投资激励措施和实际公司税率
Pub Date : 2024-01-10 DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v16n2p68
Silas Muyela Nganyi, Jeremiah Koori, Farida Abdul
Effective corporate tax rate is a finance subject of interest to firms, policy makers and researchers. It measures level of tax burden at firm level. Thus, governments implement various investment incentives to influence effective corporate tax rate. The effective corporate tax rate in Kenya is still a problem averaging 31.3 percent for the last 10 years. Such high effective corporate tax rate militates against desired competitive corporate environment for the manufacturing sector. In the last ten years, the manufacturing sector has deteriorated to 7.4 percent contribution to gross domestic product which is less than 15 percent as envisaged in Kenya Vision 2030. This undesirable phenomenon prompted design of this study. The objective of the study was to determine the effect of investment incentives on effective corporate tax rate. The study adopted positivist philosophy and longitudinal research design. A sample of 278 firms provided secondary data for the period 2010 to 2020. Descriptive and inferential statistics were conducted using panel data regression. The study established that investment incentives are statistically significant predictors of effective corporate tax rate for manufacturing firms in Kenya. The study recommends that public policy makers should design appropriate profit based, capital investment and custom duty incentives as part of fiscal policy instruments to grow firms involved in manufacturing. The study has added to finance knowledge that fiscal policy affects corporate operations. However, there is need for further investigation on other possible investment incentives that were not covered in this study that influence effective corporate tax.
企业实际税率是企业、政策制定者和研究人员都感兴趣的一个金融课题。它衡量公司层面的税收负担水平。因此,政府会实施各种投资激励措施来影响实际企业税率。肯尼亚的实际企业税率仍然是一个问题,过去 10 年平均为 31.3%。如此高的实际企业税率不利于制造业营造理想的企业竞争环境。在过去十年中,制造业对国内生产总值的贡献率已降至 7.4%,低于《肯尼亚 2030 年远景规划》中设想的 15%。这一不良现象促使我们设计了这项研究。本研究的目的是确定投资激励措施对实际企业税率的影响。研究采用了实证主义理念和纵向研究设计。278 家样本企业提供了 2010 年至 2020 年期间的二手数据。采用面板数据回归法进行了描述性和推论性统计。研究发现,投资激励措施对肯尼亚制造业企业的有效公司税率具有显著的预测作用。研究建议,公共政策制定者应设计适当的利润、资本投资和关税激励措施,作为财政政策工具的一部分,以促进制造业企业的发展。这项研究增加了财政政策影响企业运营的知识。不过,还需要进一步调查本研究未涉及的其他可能影响企业有效纳税的投资激励措施。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of the Relationship among Climate Change, Green Finance and Financial Stability: Evidence from Emerging and Developed Markets 评估气候变化、绿色金融和金融稳定性之间的关系:新兴市场和发达市场的证据
Pub Date : 2024-01-05 DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v16n2p51
Myvel Nabil
This study assesses the relationship among climate change, green finance, and financial stability annually from 2013 up to 2021 for 14 countries, focusing on emerging and developed markets. It first considers whether a country’s climate change impact financial stability, investigates whether green finance influences financial stability and how it affects climate change by using carbon dioxide emissions as proxy of climate change. Green finance has been measured by green of asset backed securities, green loans and bonds, while financial stability has been measured by Z-score. Using panel data, the findings indicate that there is a significantly negative effect of CO2 emissions on financial stability, but positive effects of green finance on financial stability in these markets, most notably through green loans. Also, this paper examines the relationship between green finance and climate change by using Kao Residual Cointegration test of countries. In the long run, green finance negatively affects carbon dioxide emissions. Furthermore, the empirical results of the robustness test of GMM are highly consistent with the main test. This study may be extended by conducting Further research to focus on the effect of CO2 emissions on financial markets with the role of financial deepening for countries.
本研究以新兴市场和发达市场为重点,对 14 个国家从 2013 年到 2021 年每年的气候变化、绿色金融和金融稳定性之间的关系进行了评估。研究首先考虑了一个国家的气候变化是否会影响金融稳定,然后以二氧化碳排放量作为气候变化的替代指标,调查绿色金融是否会影响金融稳定,以及绿色金融如何影响气候变化。绿色金融通过绿色资产支持证券、绿色贷款和债券来衡量,而金融稳定性则通过 Z 值来衡量。利用面板数据,研究结果表明,二氧化碳排放对金融稳定性有显著的负面影响,但绿色金融对这些市场的金融稳定性有正面影响,其中最明显的是绿色贷款。此外,本文还通过对各国进行 Kao 残差协整检验,研究了绿色金融与气候变化之间的关系。从长期来看,绿色金融对二氧化碳排放有负面影响。此外,GMM 稳健性检验的实证结果与主要检验结果高度一致。本研究还可通过进一步研究,关注二氧化碳排放对金融市场的影响,以及金融深化对各国的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Bank Credit Channel of Monetary Policy in the UEMOA Zone: A TVP-VAR Approach 西非经济货币联盟区货币政策的银行信贷渠道:TVP-VAR 方法
Pub Date : 2023-12-25 DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v16n1p73
Prao Yao Séraphin, Anzara Xavier Fabrice Méa
The main objective of this article is to analyze the transmission of monetary policy in the WAEMU zone via the bank credit channel, using monthly data from January 1999 to December 2021. Methodologically, we apply a TVP-VAR model that allows coefficients to vary over time to reflect potential changes in time series dynamics. First, we find that the bank credit channel remains relatively weak in the union. Secondly, monetary policy shocks have evolved over time. Thirdly, the tertiary sector is relatively more responsive to monetary policy shocks than the primary and secondary sectors.
本文的主要目的是利用 1999 年 1 月至 2021 年 12 月的月度数据,通过银行信贷渠道分析货币政策在西非经货联盟地区的传导情况。在方法上,我们采用了 TVP-VAR 模型,该模型允许系数随时间变化,以反映时间序列动态的潜在变化。首先,我们发现银行信贷渠道在联盟中仍然相对较弱。其次,货币政策冲击随着时间的推移而变化。第三,与第一产业和第二产业相比,第三产业对货币政策冲击的反应相对更灵敏。
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引用次数: 0
Forecasting of the Waste Generation in Jordan: Alternative Econometric Approaches 约旦废物产生量预测:替代计量经济学方法
Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v16n2p35
Omar Jraid Mustafa Alhanaqtah
The main purpose of the article is to predict the household waste generation in Jordan in the short-run using alternative methods and explain factors highly likely impacting its generation. The results of comparative analysis made by three methods – regression technique, time series modelling and the annual growth rate method – are provided. The results of time series approach take a compromised position between the other ones. It is concluded that time series modelling with the help of ARIMA(0,1,0) with drift is more reliable for the short-run forecasting of the waste generation in Jordan while the regression is more suitable for explaining the effect of input variables on an outcome.
文章的主要目的是利用其他方法预测约旦短期内家庭垃圾的产生,并解释极有可能影响其产生的因素。文章提供了三种方法(回归技术、时间序列模型和年增长率法)的比较分析结果。时间序列方法的结果在其他方法中处于折中位置。得出的结论是,借助带漂移的 ARIMA(0,1,0)建立时间序列模型,对约旦废物产生量的短期预测更为可靠,而回归法更适合解释输入变量对结果的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Public Policies and State and Market Failures Social Economy in the Context of Partnership with Civil Society Organizations 公共政策与国家和市场失灵 与民间社会组织合作背景下的社会经济
Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v16n1p57
J. A. D. França, Sérgio Ricardo Miranda Nazaré, Eduardo Tadeu Vieira, C. Pereira, Paulo César Melo Mendes
The State as the Entity that represents the first sector of the economy, has the aim of being the provider and articulator of public policies so that the Market, as the second sector, produces utilities, generates employment and income, which are the bases for supporting economic and social policies. Failure to fulfill this mission produces losses, known as State failures, due to the lack of clarity and inclusive public policies. The market, dependent on economic policies, produces inefficiency, known as market failures. The article discusses the context of State and Market failures and partnerships with Civil Society Organizations from the perspective that partnerships can be one of the instruments to mitigate the consequences of the aforementioned failures, and aims to propose a quantitative-qualitative theoretical model to evaluate the contribution of the third sector in building the social economy, as well as evaluating the performance and sustainability of partnership projects, in the context of State and Market failures. Using academic data from the research group “Third Sector Research and Extension Laboratory - TSREL”, the model was tested and the results obtained suggest that the methodology is consistent in signaling that the project performance is efficient, effective and the partnership is sustainable, getting a robust contribution to the construction of the social economy, assisting regulators and public policy managers in monitoring the performance and sustainability of social policies.
国家作为代表经济第一部门的实体,其目标是成为公共政策的提供者和阐明者,以便市场作为第二部门生产公用事业、创造就业和收入,这是支持经济和社会政策的基础。由于缺乏明确和包容性的公共政策,未能履行这一使命会造成损失,即所谓的国家失灵。市场依赖于经济政策,效率低下,被称为市场失灵。文章从伙伴关系可以成为减轻上述失灵后果的工具之一的角度,讨论了国家和市场失灵的背景以及与民间社会组织的伙伴关系,并旨在提出一个定量-定性理论模型,以评估第三部门在建设社会经济方面的贡献,以及在国家和市场失灵的背景下评估伙伴关系项目的绩效和可持续性。利用 "第三部门研究和推广实验室--TSREL "研究小组的学术数据,对该模型进行了测试,结果表明,该方法在表明项目绩效是高效、有效和伙伴关系是可持续的方面是一致的,对社会经济建设做出了有力的贡献,有助于监管者和公共政策管理者监测社会政策的绩效和可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
Moving Beyond Silo Thinking: A Deductive Analysis of Financial Literacy, Financial Inclusion, FinTech, and the UN Sustainable Development Goals 超越孤岛思维:金融扫盲、金融普惠、金融科技与联合国可持续发展目标的演绎分析
Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v16n2p1
Johannes Treu
Financial literacy, financial inclusion, FinTech, and the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) have thus far been scrutinized only in pairs or separately, without considering their interdependencies and impacts. This lack of examination calls for a deductive argumentative approach to comprehensively analyze all four aspects coherently. The objective is to establish a holistic framework for attaining the SDGs through financial literacy, financial inclusion, and FinTech. The argumentation reveals the existence of intricate theoretical and empirical links between all four objects of investigation. Previous silo thinking or bilateral approaches fall short of fully understanding the comprehensive effects. This paper adopts a holistic perspective, with financial literacy serving as the starting point, as it is indispensable for establishing a positive correlation between financial inclusion, FinTech, and the SDGs. Therefore, financial literacy fosters the adoption and utilization of FinTech, contributes to financial inclusion, and facilitates the achievement of the SDGs. The holistic framework can also guide policymakers in formulating recommendations. Decision-makers should adopt a comprehensive outlook encompassing all four points and prioritize the promotion and expansion of financial education.
迄今为止,对金融扫盲、金融普惠、金融科技和联合国可持续发展目标(SDGs)只是成对或单独进行了研究,而没有考虑它们之间的相互依存关系和影响。由于缺乏研究,因此需要采用演绎论证的方法,对所有四个方面进行连贯的全面分析。目的是建立一个整体框架,通过金融扫盲、金融普惠和金融科技实现可持续发展目标。论证揭示了所有四个研究对象之间存在着错综复杂的理论和经验联系。以往的孤岛思维或双边方法无法充分理解其综合效应。本文采用整体视角,以金融扫盲为出发点,因为金融扫盲对于建立普惠金融、金融科技和可持续发展目标之间的正相关性不可或缺。因此,金融扫盲能促进金融科技的采用和利用,推动金融普惠,促进可持续发展目标的实现。整体框架还可以指导决策者制定建议。决策者应采取包含所有四点的全面观点,并将促进和扩大金融教育作为优先事项。
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引用次数: 0
New Institutionalism: Public Agents’ Choices Based on Individual Interests 新制度主义:公共代理人基于个人利益的选择
Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v16n1p68
Jeremias Pereira da Silva Arraes, José Matias- Pereira
This essay aims to explore the emergence of new institutional theory based on the historical context of the formation of modern society with the change in basic cultural rules. It is observed that there is a change in the power to govern, which was previously given by God or inherited and now depends on the will of society. A movement of rationalization of choices emerges that end up leading to private interests. The vision of the matrix of classic sociological thinkers ends up influencing the intellectual orientations of the Western world and brings important statements to understand the organizations of modern society. The study concludes that the new institutional theory and the theory of public choice help to understand the actions of public agents in favor of their individual interests.
本文旨在根据现代社会形成的历史背景和基本文化规则的变化,探讨新制度理论的出现。我们注意到,过去由神赋予或继承的治理权力发生了变化,现在则取决于社会的意愿。出现了一种选择合理化的运动,最终导致了私人利益。经典社会学思想家的矩阵视角最终影响了西方世界的思想取向,并为理解现代社会组织带来了重要论述。本研究的结论是,新制度理论和公共选择理论有助于理解公共代理人为个人利益所采取的行动。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
International Journal of Economics and Finance
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